Investor Presentation November 2016
– November 9, 2017 –
Nasdaq Ticker: PVAC
Third Quarter 2017 Earnings Presentation Investor Presentation - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Third Quarter 2017 Earnings Presentation Investor Presentation November 9, 2017 November 2016 Nasdaq Ticker: PVAC Forward Looking and Cautionary Statements Certain statements contained herein that are not descriptions of historical
Investor Presentation November 2016
– November 9, 2017 –
Nasdaq Ticker: PVAC
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Certain statements contained herein that are not descriptions of historical facts are "forward-looking" statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Words such as “expects,” “guidance,” “will,” “plan,”, anticipate, “intend”, “opportunistic” and variations of such words or similar expressions are used to identify forward-looking
contingencies include, but are not limited to, the following: risks related to the recently completed acquisition and our ability to realize expected benefits of the acquisition; potential adverse effects of the completed bankruptcy proceedings on our liquidity, anticipation of resource potential, results of operations, business prospects, ability to retain financing and other risks and uncertainties related to our emergence from bankruptcy; our ability to satisfy our short-term and long-term liquidity needs, including our inability to generate sufficient cash flows from operations or to obtain adequate financing to fund our capital expenditures and meet working capital needs; negative events or publicity adversely affecting our ability to maintain our relationships with our suppliers, service providers, customers, employees, and other third parties; the occurrence of unusual weather or
vary significantly from the current estimates in connection with the application of fresh start accounting; plans, objectives, expectations and intentions contained in this presentation that are not historical; our ability to execute
explore for, acquire and replace oil and natural gas reserves and sustain production; our ability to generate profits or achieve targeted reserves in our development and exploratory drilling and well operations; any impairments, write-downs or write-offs of our reserves or assets; the projected demand for and supply of oil, NGLs and natural gas; our ability to contract for drilling rigs, frac crews, supplies and services at reasonable costs; our ability to obtain adequate pipeline transportation capacity for our oil and gas production at reasonable cost and to sell the production at, or at reasonable discounts to, market prices; the uncertainties inherent in projecting future rates of production for our wells and the extent to which actual production differs from that estimated in our proved oil and natural gas reserves; drilling and operating risks; concentration of assets; our ability to compete effectively against other oil and gas companies; leasehold terms expiring before production can be established and our ability to replace expired leases; costs or results of any strategic initiatives; environmental
commodity and financial derivative arrangements; our ability to retain or attract senior management and key employees; counterparty risk related to the ability of these parties to meet their future obligations; compliance with and changes in governmental regulations or enforcement practices, especially with respect to environmental, health and safety matters; physical, electronic and cybersecurity breaches; litigation that impacts us, our assets
Additional information concerning these and other factors can be found in our press releases and public filings with the SEC, including our most recent annual report on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q. Many
as of the date hereof. The statements in this presentation speak only as of the date of this presentation. We undertake no obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statements, or to make any other forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable law. Oil and Gas Reserves Statements of reserves are only estimates and may not correspond to the ultimate quantities of oil and gas recovered. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in Penn Virginia’s Annual Report on Form 10‐K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2016 and subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, which are available on its website at www.pennvirginia.com under Investors – SEC Filings. You can also obtain these reports from the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov. Definitions Proved reserves are those quantities of oil and gas which, by analysis of geosciences and engineering data, can be estimated with reasonable certainty to be economically producible from a given date forward, from known reservoirs, and under existing economic conditions, operating methods and government regulation before the time at which contracts providing the right to operate expire, unless evidence indicates that renewal is reasonably certain, regardless of whether the estimate is a deterministic estimate or probabilistic estimate. Probable reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves, but which are as likely than not to be recoverable (there should be at least a 50% probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the proved plus probable reserve estimates). Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recoverable than probable reserves (there should be at least a 10% probability that the total quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the proved plus probable plus possible reserve estimates). Estimated ultimate recovery (EUR) is the sum of reserves remaining as of a given date and cumulative production as of that date. EUR is a measure that by its nature is more speculative than estimates of reserves prepared in accordance with SEC definitions and guidelines and accordingly is less certain. Reconciliation of Non‐GAAP Financial Measures This presentation contains references to certain non‐GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations between GAAP and non‐GAAP financial measures are available in the appendix to this presentation. The non-GAAP financial measures presented may not provide information that is directly comparable to that provided by other companies, as other companies may calculate such financial results differently. The Company's non-GAAP financial measures are not measurements of financial performance under GAAP and should not be considered as alternatives to amounts presented in accordance with GAAP. The Company views these non-GAAP financial measures as supplemental and they are not intended to be a substitute for, or superior to, the information provided by GAAP financial results.
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Exchange: Ticker NASDAQ: PVAC Share Price (1) $39.33 Shares Outstanding (MM) 15.0 Market Capitalization ($ MM) (1) 590.0 Cash ($ MM) (2) 4.0 Long Term Debt ($ MM) (2) 261.0 Enterprise Value ($ MM) (1) 847.0
9,396 (72% oil)
(BOEPD) ~12,200 Proved Reserves (MMBOE) (3) 55.8
position in Gonzales, Lavaca and Dewitt Counties in south Texas
with high-percentage oil and robust EBITDAX margins
working interests in 40+ non-op wells
gross locations (~454 net)
than 8,000’ with anticipated superior returns Pure Play Focused Eagle Ford Shale Operator
Financial & Operational Profile
1) As of November 7, 2017. 2) As of November 3, 2017. 3) As of December 31, 2016 pro forma for the Devon acquisition. PVAC also holds a small position in the Granite Wash play (See Appendix for additional information). Note: All other data as of September 30, 2017, except as otherwise provided.
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Eagle Ford shale
Key Highlights
Strong Multi-Year Inventory of High Rate of Return Drilling Locations
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Houston (HQ)
(64% oil) and 43 identified locations for XRLs
impact of Hurricane Harvey
several operations personnel
lower Eagle Ford, which could optimize recoveries
Note: All data as of September 30, 2017.
Gonzales Office
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Note: Not to scale
Chicken Hawk 2H
Upper Eagle Ford (Upside Potential)
Jake Berger 2H Chicken Hawk 5H Jake Berger 1H Chicken Hawk 4H
Austin Chalk (Upside Potential)
3H 1H
~400’ ~400’ ~400’ ~400’
Lower Eagle Ford
~400’ ~400’ ~400’ ~400’
3H 4H 5H Lower Eagle Ford Upper Eagle Ford (Marl) Lower Eagle Ford - Upper Bench
~60’- 100’
Chicken Hawk 5H Drilled to a New Landing Zone Which Could Optimize Recoveries Upside Potential from the Austin Chalk and Upper Eagle Ford
Lower Eagle Ford - Parent
~30’- 40’
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Fayette County Gonzales County Lavaca County Dewitt County
TX Geo Hunter Pad 2 Wells – Drilling Schacherl Effenberger 2-Well Pad Drilling Mid-November Rhino Hunter Pad 4 Wells – Flowing Back Jake Berger / Chicken Hawk Pads Turned to Sales Oryx Hunter Pad 3 Wells – Completion Underway Furrh Pad 2 Wells – Drilling 1 1/2 rigs in Area 1 through 2018 Drill ~ 37- 42 gross wells 4Q 2017 - 2018 Working interest ~ 45 - 55% 1 1/2 rigs in Area 2 through 2018 Start in North and PVAC legacy acreage Expand into South acreage Drill ~30-35 gross wells 4Q 2017 - 2018 Working interest is 60 - 98%
Leveraging Three Rig Drilling Program to Accelerate Growth in 2018
Recently acquired acreage is shown in darker yellow.
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drilling and completion schedule
resulted in downtime and impacted lateral lengths
complex drilling operations
adding 3rd drilling rig that is anticipated to run through the end
prices
contracted three flex rigs from H&P
significant Eagle Ford experience and additional related staff Challenges Solutions
New Rigs and Added Technical Expertise are Expected to Restore Previous Operational Efficiency with a Clear Path to Continued Improvements
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Producing Wells 220
1 Drilling Locations 329 27 127 49 40 33 Type Curve EUR (Mboe) 488 692 612 917 1,166 1,943 % Oil 86% 86% 69% 69% 39% 39% % NGL 8% 8% 17% 17% 34% 34% % Gas 6% 6% 14% 14% 27% 27% Type Curve EUR/1,000 ft (Mboe) 81 81 102 102 194 194 Lateral Length 6,000 8,500 6,000 9,000 6,000 10,000 Well Cost (MM$) 5.1 6.2 6.5 8.2 6.5 8.7 PV10 BTAX (MM$) 3.2 6.0 2.5 5.4 5.2 11.1 ROR BTAX (%) 48% 80% 30% 51% 63% 114% Payout (Yrs) 1.6 1.1 2.3 1.5 1.3 0.9 48% 80% 30% 51% 63% 114%
Conv XLR Conv XLR Conv XLR Area 1 Area 2 (North) Area 2 (South)
Note: Based on management’s internal estimates; economics based on $50 oil and $3.00 natural gas
Eagle Ford Economics by Area
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million or $39.72 per BOE (87% from crude oil sales)
diluted share and adjusted net income(1) of $8.6 million, or $0.57 per diluted share
per BOE
1) Adj. EBITDAX and adj. Net income are a non-GAAP measure. Definitions of non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures to the closest GAAP-based measures appear in the Appendix to this presentation.
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The table below sets forth the Company’s current operational guidance for 2017 and 2018
2017 to the fourth quarter of 2018, and 100% production growth in 2018 over 2017 volumes.
achieving the previously guided to range of 14,600 to 15,200 BOEPD by the end of the fourth quarter of 2017.
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Liquidity of ~$187 MM
Million
Current Borrowing Base Current Drawn Letters of Credit Cash Liquidity
(1) As of September 30, 2017. (2) As of November 3, 2017.
$237.5 $187.2 $7.5(1) ($57.0)(1) ($0.8)(1)
million from $200 million
ratio) of 1.5x or below by end of 2018
fourth quarter of 2018
Preserve Strong Balance Sheet and Ample Liquidity
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1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000
$56.18 $51.97 $51.30 $50.35
2020 2020
Barrels Per Day
$48.59 $49.30 $49.87
WTI Oil V Volumes (Bar arrel els P Per er Day ay) Aver erag age e Price W e WTI ($ P $ Per er Bar arrel el) LLS LLS Oil V Vol
umes (Bar arrel els P Per er Day ay) Aver erag age e Price L e LLS ($ P $ Per er Bar arrel el) 2017 ( 2017 (Q4) 4) 4, 4,381 381 $48. $48.59 59 663 663 $56. $56.18 18 2018 2018 5, 5,477 477 $49. $49.30 30 1, 1,500 500 $51. $51.97 97 2019 2019 2, 2,916 916 $49. $49.87 87 2, 2,500 500 $51. $51.30 30 2020 2020 1, 1,000 000 $50. $50.35 35
2019 2019 2018 2018 2017 Q 2017 Q4
Mitigating Commodity Price Volatility Through Proactive Hedging Program
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Houston (HQ)
Granite Wash Net Acreage: ~7,1501 (100% HBP) Q3 2017 Production 79 MBOE (859 BOEPD) Proved Reserves: 2.5 MMBOE2
Eagle Ford
Core Net Acreage: ~75,8001 (92% HBP) Drilling Locations: ~605 gross locations Q3 2017 Production 785 MBOE (8,537 BOEPD) Proved Reserves: 53.3 MMBOE2
1) As of September 30, 2017, including acreage leased in 2017. Excludes net acreage expiring in 2017. 2) As of December 31, 2016, pro forma for the Devon acquisition.
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Readers are reminded that non-GAAP measures are merely a supplement to, and not a replacement for, or superior to financial measures prepared according to
non-GAAP information provided by other companies.
Successor Successor Successor Predecessor Successor Predecessor Three Months Three Months September 13 July 1 Nine Months January 1 Ended Ended Through Through Ended Through September 30, June 30, September 30, September 12, September 30, September 12, 2017 2017 2016 2016 2017 2016 Net income (loss) (5,947) $ 21,329 $ (3,441) $ 1,155,341 $ 43,463 $ 1,054,602 $ Adjustments to reconcile to Adjusted EBITDAX: Interest expense 1,202 1,274 218 1,363 3,014 58,018 Income tax (benefit) expense
10,659 11,076 2,029 8,024 31,545 33,582 Exploration
Share-based compensation expense (equity-classified) 1,013 848
2,707 1,511 Loss (gain) on sale of assets, net (9) 134
60 (1,261) Accretion of firm transportation obligation
Adjustments for derivatives: Net losses (gains) 12,275 (11,061) 4,369 (8,934) (15,802) 8,333 Cash settlements, net 788 (466)
(1,670) 48,008 Adjustment for special items: Acquisition transaction costs 1,505
Strategic and financial advisory costs
Restructuring expenses
2,722 (20) 3,821 Account write-offs and reserves prior to emergence from bankruptcy
Adjusted EBITDAX 21,486 $ 23,134 $ 3,193 $ 14,606 $ 64,802 $ 93,385 $ Adjusted EBITDAX per BOE $ 24.85 $ 25.02 $ 17.49 $ 18.36 $ 24.51 $ 27.91 Adjusted EBITDAX represents net income (loss) before interest expense, income tax expense (benefit), depreciation, depletion and amortization expense, exploration, and share-based compensation expense, further adjusted to exclude the effects of gains and losses on sales of assets, accretion of firm transportation obligation, non- cash changes in the fair value of derivatives, and special items including acquisition transaction costs, reorganization items, strategic and financial advisory costs, restructuring expenses and account write-offs and reserves prior to our emergence from bankruptcy. We believe this presentation is commonly used by investors and professional research analysts for the valuation, comparison, rating, and investment recommendations of companies within the oil and gas exploration and production
be considered as a measure of liquidity or as an alternative to net income (loss). Adjusted EBITDAX as defined by Penn Virginia may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies and should be considered in conjunction with net income (loss) and other measures prepared in accordance with GAAP, such as operating income or cash flows from operating activities. Adjusted EBITDAX should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for an analysis of Penn Virginia's results as reported under GAAP.
Note: (dollars in thousands)
Note: (amounts in thousands, except per unit amounts)
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Note: (amounts in thousands)
Successor Successor Successor Predecessor Successor Predecessor Three Months Three Months September 13 July 1 Nine Months January 1 Ended Ended Through Through Ended Through September 30, June 30, September 30, September 12, September 30, September 12, 2017 2017 2016 2016 2017 2016 Net income (loss) $ (5,947) $ 21,329 $ (3,441) $ 1,155,341 $ 43,463 $ 1,054,602 Adjustments for derivatives: Net losses (gains) 12,275 (11,061) 4,369 (8,934) (15,802) 8,333 Cash settlements, net 788 (466)
(1,670) 48,008 Loss (gain) on sale of assets, net (9) 134
60 (1,261) Acquisition transaction costs 1,505
Strategic and financial advisory costs
Restructuring expenses
2,722 (20) 3,821 Account write-offs and reserves prior to emergence from bankruptcy
Impact of adjustment on income taxes
8,612 $ 9,936 $ 946 $ 431 $ 27,536 $ (10,331) $ Adjusted net income (loss) attributable to common shareholders, per diluted share $ 0.57 $ 0.66 $ 0.06 $ 0.00 $ 1.83 $ (0.08) Adjusted net income (loss) is a non-GAAP financial measure that represents net income (loss) adjusted to exclude the effects, net of income taxes, of non-cash changes in the fair value of derivatives, net gains and losses on the sales of assets, acquisition transaction costs, reorganization items, strategic and financial advisory costs, restructuring expenses and account write-offs and reserves prior to our emergence from bankruptcy. We believe that Non-GAAP adjusted net income (loss) and non- GAAP adjusted net income (loss) per share amounts provide meaningful supplemental information regarding our operational performance. This information facilitates management's internal comparisons to the Company's historical operating results as well as to the operating results of our competitors. Since management finds this measure to be useful, the Company believes that our investors can benefit by evaluating both non-GAAP and GAAP results. Adjusted net income (loss) non-GAAP is not a measure of financial performance under GAAP and should not be considered as a measure of liquidity or as an alternative to net income (loss).
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Successor Successor Successor Successor Successor Successor Three Months Three Months September 13 July 1 Nine Months January 1 Ended Ended Through Through Ended Through September 30, June 30, September 30, September 12, September 30, September 12, 2017 2017 2016 2016 2017 2016 General and administrative expenses - direct 5,939 $ 2,873 $ 1,476 $ 6,748 $ 12,093 $ 37,434 $ Share-based compensation - equity-classified awards 1,013 848
2,707 1,511 GAAP General and administrative expenses 6,952 3,721 1,476 6,895 14,800 38,945 Less: Share-based compensation - equity-classified awards (1,013) (848)
(2,707) (1,511) Significant special charges: Acquisition transaction costs (1,505)
Restructuring expenses
(2,722) 20 (3,821) Adjusted cash-based general and administrative expenses 4,434 $ 2,873 $ 1,458 $ 4,026 $ 10,608 $ 15,577 $ Adjusted cash-based general and administrative expense ("Adjusted G&A") is a supplemental non-GAAP financial measure that excludes certain non-recurring expenses and non-cash share-based compensation expense. We believe that the non-GAAP measure of Adjusted G&A is useful to investors because it provides readers with a meaningful measure of our recurring G&A expense and provides for greater comparability period-over-period. The table details all adjustments to G&A on a GAAP basis to arrive at Adjusted G&A.
Note: (amounts in thousands)