Third Quarter 2015 Earnings Call November 2, 2015 Important Note - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Third Quarter 2015 Earnings Call November 2, 2015 Important Note - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Third Quarter 2015 Earnings Call November 2, 2015 Important Note to Investors This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 regarding Dominion and
Important Note to Investors
2
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 regarding Dominion and Dominion Midstream. The statements relate to, among other things, expectations, estimates and projections concerning the business and operations of Dominion and Dominion Midstream. We have used the words "anticipate", "believe", "could", "estimate", "expect", "intend", "may", "plan", “outlook”, "predict", "project", “should”, “strategy”, “target”, "will“, “potential” and similar terms and phrases to identify forward-looking statements in this presentation. As outlined in our SEC filings, factors that could cause actual results to differ include, but are not limited to: unusual weather conditions and their effect on energy sales to customers and energy commodity prices; extreme weather events and other natural disasters; federal, state and local legislative and regulatory developments; changes to federal, state and local environmental laws and regulations, including proposed carbon regulations; cost of environmental compliance; changes in enforcement practices of regulators relating to environmental standards and litigation exposure for remedial activities; capital market conditions, including the availability of credit and the ability to obtain financing on reasonable terms; fluctuations in interest rates; changes in rating agency requirements or credit ratings and their effect on availability and cost of capital; impacts of acquisitions, divestitures, transfers of assets by Dominion to joint ventures or to Dominion Midstream, and retirements of assets based on asset portfolio reviews; receipt of approvals for, and timing of, closing dates for acquisitions; the execution of Dominion Midstream’s growth strategy; changes in demand for Dominion’s services; additional competition in Dominion’s industries; changes to regulated rates collected by Dominion; changes in operating, maintenance and construction costs; timing and receipt of regulatory approvals necessary for planned construction or expansion projects and compliance with conditions associated with such regulatory approvals; the inability to complete planned construction projects within time frames initially anticipated; and the ability of Dominion Midstream to negotiate and consummate acquisitions from Dominion and third-parties, and the impacts of such acquisitions. Other risk factors are detailed from time to time in Dominion’s and Dominion Midstream’s quarterly reports on Form 10-Q or most recent annual report on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The information in this presentation was prepared as of November 2, 2015. Dominion and Dominion Midstream undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking information statement to reflect developments after the statement is made. Projections or forecasts shown in this document are based on the assumptions listed in this document and are subject to change at any time. In addition, certain information presented in this document incorporates planned capital expenditures reviewed and endorsed by Dominion’s Board of Directors in late 2014. Dominion undertakes no obligation to update such planned expenditures to reflect plan or project-specific developments, including regulatory developments, or other updates until the following annual update for the plans. Actual capital expenditures may be subject to regulatory and/or Board of Directors’ approval and may vary from these estimates. This presentation shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy securities. Any offers, solicitations or offers to buy, or any sales of securities will be made in accordance with the requirements of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended. This presentation has been prepared primarily for security analysts and investors in the hope that it will serve as a convenient and useful reference document. The format of this document may change in the future as we continue to try to meet the needs of security analysts and investors. This document is not intended for use in connection with any sale, offer to sell, or solicitation of any offer to buy securities. This presentation includes various estimates of EBITDA which is a non-GAAP financial measure. Please see the third quarter 2015 Dominion Midstream Press Release for a reconciliation to GAAP. Please continue to regularly check Dominion’s website at www.dom.com/investors and Dominion Midstream’s website at www.dommidstream.com/investors.
Third Quarter 2015
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
Third Quarter 2015 Versus Guidance
Operating Earnings Summary
3
$0.95 $1.03 Guidance Range Actual Operating EPS* $1.10 3rd Quarter Drivers
Higher merchant margins Lower operating expenses Delay in strategic undergrounding
*See page 30 of the third quarter 2015 Earnings Release Kit for a reconciliation to GAAP.
Third Quarter 2015
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
Third Quarter 2015 Versus Guidance (in $millions)
Operating EBITDA Summary
4
Operating Segment Guidance EBITDA Actual EBITDA Drivers Dominion Virginia Power $390 - $410 $388
Delay in Strategic Undergrounding
Dominion Generation $755 - $820 $796
Higher merchant margins Lower operating expenses
Dominion Energy $310 - $335 $332
Higher distribution margins Lower operating expenses
*See page 34 of the third quarter 2015 Earnings Release Kit for a reconciliation to GAAP.
Third Quarter 2015
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
Dominion Midstream Partners (DM)
– Financial Results in line with Management expectations
- Net Income $18.0 million
- Adjusted EBITDA $20.3 million*
- Distributable Cash Flow $19.8 million*
– Distribution Results
- Board declared 3Q 2015 cash distribution of $0.20 per unit
- 7% increase above second-quarter
– Key DM Updates
- Acquired 25.93% interest in Iroquois Pipeline
- No asset drops or equity needed in 2016 to support 22% growth
- D initiated $50mm DM unit market purchase program
5
Third Quarter 2015 Earnings and Distribution
*See the third quarter 2015 Dominion Midstream Press Release for a reconciliation to GAAP.
Third Quarter 2015
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
6
Cash Flow and Financing Activities
Third Quarter 2015
– Cash Flow & Liquidity
- $3.4 billion in funds from operations for the first 9 months of the year
- $2.6 billion in commercial paper and letters of credit outstanding
- $4.5 billion of credit facilities
- $2.0 billion of liquidity
– Equity Financing
- No additional public equity issuances needed this decade to fund
growth projects
– Debt Financing
- DRI issued $650 million of ten-year notes in September
- Expect Dominion Gas debt issuance in fourth quarter
Third Quarter 2015
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
Fourth Quarter 2015
Operating Earnings Guidance
7
$0.84 $0.85 4Q 2014 EPS* 4Q 2015 Guidance* $0.95 4th Quarter Drivers
Growth projects Higher merchant margins Lower capacity payments Lower farmout earnings Share dilution
*See page 36 and 37 of the third quarter 2015 Earnings Release Kit for a reconciliation to GAAP.
Third Quarter 2015
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
Hedged Power Update
8
Millstone Hedge Position
$52.43 $56.98 $51.93 $65.06 $46.59 $45.52 2014 2015 2016 NEPOOL Baseload Avg Hedge Position NEPOOL ATC Power Price 99% Hedged 83% Hedged
2015-2016 forward curves as of October 21, 2015.
Third Quarter 2015
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
Dominion Generation
9
Growth Projects Update
– Brunswick County
- ~90% complete – On Time, On Budget
- Expect in service mid-2016
– Greensville County
- Construction of a ~1,588
MW natural gas fired plant
- Estimated Costs of $1.3
billion
- Filed CPCN/Rider July 2015
- Hearing scheduled for Jan
2016
- Expect in service Dec 2018
- Subject to SCC approval
Brunswick
Third Quarter 2015
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
Contracted Solar Strategy
– Joint Venture Announced in September
- Agreement to sell 33% ownership in 425 MW from ‘13, ‘14, &
‘15 projects
- ~$300M consideration from SunEdison
– Benefits:
Immediately accretive to Dominion ITCs preserved Maintain flexibility to monetize remaining 67% stake Reduces financial and operational risk exposure
10
Recycle Capital through Joint Venture Proceeds will be used to reduce DRI debt
Third Quarter 2015
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
Dominion Energy
– First Utica lease agreement closed in September
- Conveyed approximately 16,000 acres of development rights
– Atlantic Coast Pipeline & Supply Header (~1.5 Bcf/day each)
- Pipeline surveying over 85% complete and detailed engineering ~75%
complete
- Awarded small diameter pipe contract in August
- Construction bids received and expect to award by the end of the year
- Filed FERC Applications September 2015
- Begin construction in fourth quarter 2016
- Expect in service November 2018
11
Growth Projects Update
Third Quarter 2015
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
Dominion Energy
– Engineering is ~95% complete – Procurement of engineered
equipment is ~95% complete
– Main cryogenic heat exchanger
delivered in October
– All 34 FERC construction
packages submitted and approved
12
Cove Point Liquefaction
Construction is On-time & On-budget Project is ~47% complete
Third Quarter 2015
Heat exchanger
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
Gas Infrastructure
– Cove Point Export – Atlantic Coast Pipeline – DTI Supply Header – Nine Market Access Projects
- CPV St. Charles and Keys Energy power generation projects
- New Market and Leidy South projects from Leidy, PA
- Edgemoor in South Carolina
- Several other projects in the mid-atlantic, mid-west and southeast
13
Demand Driven Growth
Third Quarter 2015
Focus on demand-driven projects moving gas to end use customers ~3 Bcf/day of Growth Projects Underway
Please refer to page 2 for risks and uncertainties related to projections and forward looking statements.
Third Quarter 2015 14
Key Takeaways
Third Quarter 2015 Highlights
– Dominion
- Operating earnings of $1.03 per share at midpoint of third quarter
guidance range*
- Strong operating and safety performance in the third quarter
- Major growth projects continue, on-time and on-budget
– Dominion Midstream (DM)
- Financial and distribution results in line with expectations
- Declared third quarter distribution of $0.20 per unit
- 7% increase above second-quarter
*See page 30 of the third quarter 2015 Earnings Release Kit for a reconciliation to GAAP.
Executing the growth plan and delivering on guidance
15 Third Quarter 2015