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Third Quarter 2007 Results Presentation 6 November 2007 Agenda - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Third Quarter 2007 Results Presentation 6 November 2007 Agenda Results Overview Performance Trends Results of Key Subsidiaries Conclusion 2 Third Quarter Core Net Profit up 12% 3Q07 3Q06 YoY 2Q07 QoQ S$m S$m


  1. Third Quarter 2007 Results Presentation 6 November 2007

  2. Agenda • Results Overview • Performance Trends • Results of Key Subsidiaries • Conclusion 2

  3. Third Quarter Core Net Profit up 12% 3Q07 3Q06 YoY 2Q07 QoQ S$m S$m +/(-)% S$m +/(-)% Net Interest Income 565 473 19 558 1 Non-Interest Income 481 357 35 493 (2) Total Income 1,047 831 26 1,050 - Operating Expenses (427) (333) 28 (416) 3 Operating Profit 620 498 24 634 (2) Amortisation of Intangibles (12) (11) 3 (12) - (Allowances)/Write-back (39) (3) n.m. 16 (345) Associates & JVs 2 4 (57) 4 (55) (146) (109) 34 (125) 17 Tax & Minority Interests Core Net Profit 425 379 12 518 (18) Tax Refunds 38 - - 15 161 Reported Net Profit 463 379 22 532 (13) 3

  4. Core Net Profit for Nine Months up 44% 9M07 9M06 YoY S$m S$m +/(-)% Net Interest Income 1,631 1,303 25 Non-Interest Income 1,480 1,035 43 Total Income 3,111 2,339 33 Operating Expenses (1,195) (989) 21 Operating Profit 1,916 1,349 42 Amortisation of Intangibles (35) (32) 8 (Allowances)/Write-back (23) 9 (349) Associates & JVs 22 9 143 Tax & Minority Interests (427) (324) 32 Core Net Profit 1,453 1,011 44 Divestment Gains/Tax Refunds 1/ 190 481 (61) Reported Net Profit 1,642 1,493 10 1/ Net divestment gains of S$90m in 9M07 and S$481m in 9M06; tax refunds of S$100m in 9M07 4

  5. Key Financial Ratios – Based on Core Earnings 9M07 9M06 3Q07 2Q07 3Q06 % % % % % Net Interest Margin 2.08 1.98 2.07 2.13 2.06 Non-Interest Income/ 47.6 44.3 46.0 46.9 43.0 Total Income Cost-to-Income Ratio 38.4 42.3 40.8 39.6 40.0 Loans-to-Deposits Ratio 77.6 82.6 77.6 77.4 82.6 NPL Ratio 2.1 3.3 2.1 2.4 3.3 Allowances/NPLs 107.2 97.1 107.2 104.0 97.1 ROE 14.1 11.2 11.5 15.4 12.3 Cash ROE 14.5 11.5 11.8 15.7 12.7 5

  6. Bank’s CDO Portfolio (S$m) Investment 3Q07 Allowance/ Cumulative Adj. to Fair Amount MTM Loss Value Reserves (taken to P&L) (taken to Equity) Total CDOs 641 (224) (16) - ABS CDOs 270 (221) - - Corporate CDOs 372 (3)* (16) * MTM loss in the value of credit default swaps embedded in some of the corporate CDOs • ABS CDOs � Switched from counterparty quotations to third party valuation model • Corporate CDOs � Continue to use counterparty quotations � S$104m of CDOs will mature in Nov 08, and S$60m in Sep 09 • No defaults or downgrades in any CDO as of 30 Sep 07, but S$57m of ABS CDOs that showed signs of weakness were classified as non-performing assets 6

  7. Great Eastern’s CDO Exposure • Outstanding investment portfolio of S$176m (MTM basis) as at 30 Sep 07, inclusive of new S$30m investment in “AA” corporate CDO tranche in Aug 07 � S$9m under shareholders’ funds � S$167m under life funds (out of total life fund assets of S$42bn), including S$18m ABS CDOs with some US sub-prime exposure • MTM value fell by S$28m during 3Q07, immaterial impact on P&L: � S$3m taken to fair value reserves in shareholders’ funds � S$25m taken to life fund assets • Policyholders own investment-linked policies (ILP) of S$583m related to CDOs � Includes new S$186m ILP successfully closed in Oct 07, invested in “AA” corporate CDO � No US sub-prime exposure � All returns and risks borne by policyholders Lion Capital: S$5.6 bn CDOs under management as at 30 Sep (no change from June) � S$1.5 bn in ABS CDOs with some US sub-prime exposure � All returns and risks borne by investors 7

  8. Agenda • Results Overview • Performance Trends • Results of Key Subsidiaries • Conclusion 8

  9. 3Q07 Net Interest Income up 19% YoY 2.13% 2.07% 2.00% 2.08% 2.00% 2.06% 2.03% 2.04% Net 1.89% 1.84% interest margin 1,794 565 558 1,631 1,597 508 491 473 435 395 Net interest income (S$m) 2005 2006 9M07 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 9

  10. Non-interest Income sustained in 3Q07 despite market turmoil 49.9% 47.6% 46.8% 46.9% 46.0% 45.7% Non- 44.7% 44.7% 43.1% 43.0% interest income/ Total 845 2,045 income 1,573 598 598 92 515 92 1,480 1,289 495 493 1,448 481 506 83 Non- interest 357 348 412 income (S$m) 329 2005 2006 9M07 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 Divestment gains Excluding divestment gains 10

  11. 3Q07 Fee Income up 36% YoY 20.7% 20.2% 19.5% 18.9% Fee 18.7% 18.5% 18.4% income/ 17.8% 17.5% 17.6% Total income 606 597 217 211 507 178 161 155 141 140 Fee income (S$m) 2005 2006 9M07 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 Excluding divestment gains 11

  12. Higher Expenses from Increased Staff Costs and Business Expansion 45.6% Cost-to- 41.5% 41.1% 40.8% Income 40.0% 39.6% 39.6% Ratio 38.4% 37.9% 34.7% 1,331 427 416 1,195 1,145 332 352 349 342 333 108 98 289 308 278 83 87 87 Operating 277 89 71 87 68 227 Expenses 233 69 (S$m) 62 83 64 69 722 247 679 231 634 200 193 179 179 170 2005 2006 9M07 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 Staff Costs Property & Equipment Others Excluding divestment gains 12

  13. 3Q07 Core Operating Profit up 24% YoY Operating Profit before allowances (S$m) 2,508 598 931 754 2,008 92 92 644 1,742 634 1,916 620 1,911 515 662 83 498 561 435 416 2005 2006 9M07 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 Divestment gains 13

  14. Allowances Allowances for loans and other 39 assets (S$m) 23 12 12 3 2 0.3 (5) (7) (16) 2005 2006 9M07 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 14

  15. CDO-related allowances partially offset by net write-backs for loans and properties* 9M07 9M06 3Q07 2Q07 3Q06 S$m S$m S$m S$m S$m Specific allowances/ (103) 6 (82) (18) 1 (write-back) for loans Allowances for CDOs 221 - 221 - - Allowances/(write-back) for (95) (16) (101) 2 2 other assets Total net allowances/ 23 (9) 39 (16) 3 (write-back) * The properties involved are now carried at the original acquisition cost 15

  16. Quarterly ROE Included Effect of Bank of Ningbo Surplus of S$1bn 15.9% 15.4% 14.4% 13.8% 14.1% ROE 12.3% 11.8% 12.2% 11.4% (%) 10.8% 10.4% 647 11.5% 47 2,002 559 532 1,642 90 795 510 100 518 463 510 481 77 1,298 38 Net Profit 379 1,453 1,443 432 425 (S$m) 318 314 2005 2006 9M07 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 Excluding divestment gains/ tax refunds Divestment gains Tax Refunds Core ROE excluding Bank of Ningbo surplus 16

  17. Earnings Contribution by Segments PBT by Business Segment PBT by Geography Other Asia Insurance Pacific Others 3% & Others 1% Other 19% ASEAN 4% Consumer Banking Malaysia 26% 19% Treasury 14% Singapore Business 73% Banking 41% 9M07 Profit Before Tax & MI : S$1,880m 9M07 Profit Before Tax & MI : S$1,880m (excluding divestment gains) (excluding divestment gains) 17

  18. Loans Growth of 15% YoY, 4% QoQ Loans (S$bn) 68.0 65.3 63.3 61.1 59.4 58.1 13.7 56.6 13.0 11.9 11.2 10.3 9.6 8.8 11.5 11.0 10.9 10.4 10.1 9.8 9.6 42.8 41.3 40.5 39.5 38.9 38.6 38.1 Mar-06 Jun-06 Sep-06 Dec-06 Mar-07 Jun-07 Sep-07 Singapore Malaysia International 18

  19. Deposits Up 23% YoY, 4% QoQ 84.6% 82.6% 81.7% 85.0% 79.0% 78.9% 77.6% 77.4% Loans-to-deposits 83.2% 81.2% 80.0% 75.0% 77.8% 77.8% 76.8% 76.7% 65.0% 85.7 82.2 78.0 75.1 55.0% 11.6 68.7 69.6 11.6 64.5 9.9 10.0 12.9 9.2 45.0% 9.5 13.0 11.7 9.0 11.2 10.6 10.8 11.0 35.0% Deposits (S$bn) 57.2 25.0% 53.2 51.8 50.2 46.7 45.4 41.1 15.0% Mar-06 Jun-06 Sep-06 Dec-06 Mar-07 Jun-07 Sep-07 Fixed Deposits Savings Deposits Current Account Others Including FRNs and ECPs 19

  20. NPL Ratio Improved to 2.1% 4.1% NPL Ratio 3.6% 3.3% 3.0% 2.7% 2.4% 2,346 2,096 2.1% 258 1,966 NPLs 1,829 1,766 290 (S$m) 1,614 262 701 226 1,484 239 244 683 673 286 652 658 621 581 1,387 1,123 1,031 951 869 749 617 Mar-06 Jun-06 Sep-06 Dec-06 Mar-07 Jun-07 Sep-07 Singapore Malaysia International 20

  21. Allowances Coverage at 107% 107% 104% 102% 101% 97% 94% 88% Total Allowances / NPLs 48% 48% 48% 47% 46% 44% 43% Specific Allowances / NPLs Mar-06 Jun-06 Sep-06 Dec-06 Mar-07 Jun-07 Sep-07 21

  22. Capital Ratios Lower Due to RWA Growth, Dividend Payment and Tier 2 Amortisation (%) 17.9 Total CAR 17.0 15.8 15.8 15.4 14.6 4.2 3.9 2.7 Tier 2 CAR 2.9 2.3 12.8 2.1 0.9 13.7 Tier 1 CAR 13.1 13.1 13.1 12.9 12.5 11.9 Mar-06 Jun-06 Sep-06 Dec-06 Mar-07 Jun-07 Sep-07 (S$m) Tier-1 Capital 9,268 9,881 9,575 10,057 10,738 11,049 11,051 Risk Weighted 70,545 72,136 74,024 76,514 81,878 87,846 92,849 Assets 22

  23. Agenda • Results Overview • Performance Trends • Results of Key Subsidiaries • Conclusion 23

  24. OCBC Malaysia: Quarterly Results 3Q07 3Q06 YoY 2Q07 QoQ Unaudited Results* RM m RM m +/(-)% RM m +/(-)% Net Interest Income 216 198 9 216 0 Islamic Banking Income 20 12 67 20 0 Non-Interest Income 91 63 44 78 17 Total Income 327 273 20 314 4 Operating Expenses (139) (113) 23 (131) 6 Operating Profit 188 160 18 183 3 (Allowances)/Write-back (15) (16) (6) 8 >100 Tax (48) (41) 17 (54) (9) Net Profit 125 103 21 138 (9) * Based on Bank Negara Malaysia’s guidelines and Malaysia accounting standards. 24

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