THE VERTICALLY INTEGRATED PRIMARY VANADIUM PRODUCER
February 2019 Corporate Presentation
THE VERTICALLY INTEGRATED PRIMARY VANADIUM PRODUCER February 2019 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
THE VERTICALLY INTEGRATED PRIMARY VANADIUM PRODUCER February 2019 Corporate Presentation Disclaimer These presentation slides and any other material provided with these slides (the Presentation Materials ) do not comprise an admission
February 2019 Corporate Presentation
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These presentation slides and any other material provided with these slides (the “Presentation Materials”) do not comprise an admission document, listing particulars or a prospectus relating to Bushveld Minerals Limited (the “Company”) or any subsidiary of the Company, do not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe for any securities of the Company and should not be relied on in connection with a decision to purchase or subscribe for any such securities. The Presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding any decision to sell or purchase securities in the Company. No reliance may be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the information contained in the Presentation Materials or the completeness or accuracy of such information. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is given by or on behalf of the Company or its respective shareholders, directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or
The Presentation Materials contain forward-looking statements, which relate, inter alia, to the Company’s proposed strategy, plans and objectives. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors beyond the control of the Company that could cause the actual performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from such forward-looking statements. Accordingly, you should not rely on any forward-looking statements and the Company accepts no obligation to disseminate any updates or revisions to such forward- looking statements. The Presentation Materials should not be distributed, published, reproduced or otherwise made available in whole or in part by recipients to any other person and, in particular, should not be distributed to persons with an address in the Republic of South Africa, the Republic of Ireland, Australia or Japan or in any other country outside the United Kingdom where such distribution may lead to a breach of any legal or regulatory requirement. No securities commission or similar authority in Canada has in any way passed on the merits of the securities offered hereunder and any representation to the contrary is an offence. No document in relation to the Company’s securities has been, or will be, lodged with, or registered by, The Australian Securities and Investments Commission, and no registration statement has been, or will be, filed with the Japanese Ministry of Finance in relation to the Company’s securities. Accordingly, subject to certain exceptions, the Company’s securities may not, directly or indirectly, be offered or sold within Australia, Japan, South Africa or the Republic of Ireland or offered or sold to a resident of Australia, Japan, South Africa or the Republic of Ireland. Neither this presentation nor any copy of it may be taken or released or distributed or published, directly or indirectly, in the United States of America (the “United States”). The material set out in the presentation materials is for information purposes only and is not intended, and shall not be construed, as an offer for securities for sale in the United States or any other jurisdiction. The Company’s securities (the “Securities”) have not been, and will not be, registered under the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “US Securities Act”) or with any securities regulatory authority of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States and may not be offered or sold within the United States or to, or for the account or benefit of, any US Person as that term is defined in Regulation under the US Securities Act except pursuant to an exemption from or in a transaction not subject to the registration requirements of the applicable securities legislation. The Company has not been registered and will not register under the United States Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended. The technical information contained within this presentation has been reviewed and approved by Dr Luke Longridge, consulting geologist. Dr Longridge has a PhD in Geology (2012) and over 6 years' experience working on vanadiferous magnetite deposits in the Bushveld Complex. He is a member of the Geological Society of South Africa and is a registered Professional Natural Scientist (Pr Sci.Nat.) in South Africa. Dr Longridge has sufficient experience relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration and to the activity which he is undertaking to qualify as a Competent Person as defined under the JORC Code (2012). Dr Longridge consents to the inclusion in this presentation of the matters based on his information in the form and context in which it appears.
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1. The Company holds a 10.04% shareholding in AIM-listing AfriTin Mining Limited and a 100% Holding in Lemur Holdings
Source: Bushveld Minerals
An energy storage project developer and component manufacturer
manufacturing
process => significantly lowering costs
Battery (VRFB) Assembly & manufacturing
project development
PPAs, leasing models Targeting initial 200MWh of electrolyte p.a. Targeting 1,000 MWh opportunities by 2020
A growing, low cost, vertically integrated primary vanadium producer
vanadium mining & processing
resource base in the world The Group is targeting a 10,000 mtV production in the medium term
processing
enhancement of brownfield operation
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Source: Bloomberg, 31 January 2019
BMN Share Price (31 January 2019) 37.25p Basic Ordinary Shares 1,119,057,953 52-Week Hi-Lo 48.50 - 8.20p Market Capitalisation £416,849,087
Source: Link Asset Services, as at 31 December 2018
0% 100% 200% 300% 400% 500% 600% Jan - 18 Mar - 18 May - 18 Jul - 18 Sep - 18 Nov - 18 Jan - 19 Bushveld Minerals FTSE AIM All shares FTSE AIM All shares - Basic Resources Ferro-vanadium basis 78% min, US$/kg V
Bushveld Minerals Top Shareholders # shares % ownership 1 Hargreaves Lansdown Asset Mgt 187,606,809 16.75 2 Halifax Share Dealing 109,869,383 9.81 3 Interactive Investor 101,006,940 9.02 4 Acacia Resources Limited 70,598,644 6.30 5 Yellow Dragon Holding Limited 67,832,778 6.06
Source: Bloomberg, 31 January 2019
L12M Share Price Performance (indexed) AIM:BMN Bushveld Minerals Top Institutional Shareholders # shares % ownership 1 Invesco Perpetual Asset Mgt 21,418,938 1.91 2 Amati Global Investors 8,376,933 0.75 3 Canaccord Genuity Wealth Mgt 8,216,150 0.73
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EBITDA1 Profit After Tax1,4 $ 85.4 million $ 34.6 million 1.57c $ 14.0 million $ 0.0 0.34c $ 0.0
$ 93.1k $ 1.3 million 3 $ 1.4 million $ 0.0 Revenue1 Free Cash Flow1,5 Cash Balance2 Earnings Per Share1 $ 43.6 million $ 29.0 million Gross Debt2 H1 2018 H1 2017
Vametco Mine
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Source: Bushveld Minerals
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cast primary vanadium resource base
combined reserves
V2O5 among the highest in the world
vanadium processing capacity supplying ~3%
market
platform with scope for additional brownfield capacity expansions
vanadium production in the medium term
Q1 2019
1.96% V2O5
V2O5 in magnetite)
capex, V price $33/kgV for 5,500mtV per annum production
KEY Vanadium-bearing titaniferous magnetite Main Road Railway
3 2 1
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Vametco in December 2017, Bushveld’s net attributable interest was 59.1%, this subsequently increased to 74% in September 2018, through a series of transactions
and impact from production stoppages
CY19e production >2,560mtV (2018), guidance to be provided in Q1 2019 Expansion project to grow Vametco’s share of global market in the near term ➢ The Company commenced an Operational Transformation programme to enhance Vametco’s production efficiency
Strong price performance trading at ~US$76kgV YTD1 ➢ Vametco’s realized price is based on the prior month’s average price
Source: Bloomberg, Company records
Bushveld Vametco’s Global Customer Base (CY18 Sales)
Bushveld Vametco results2 (100%) CY18 CY17 CY16 CY15 Vanadium produced (mtV) 2,560 2,649 2,856 2,419 Vanadium sold (mtV) 2,573 2,721 2 ,810 2 ,340 FeV LMB price US$/Kg V 81.2 32.6 18.5 18.6 USD/ZAR exchange $=ZAR 13.2 13.3 14.7 12.8 Revenue US$'m 192.2 79.1 51.7 49.2 EBITDA US$'m 107.5 23.9 3.3 1.3 Production costs3 US$/kgV 19.7 16.6 12.9 14.6
60% 16% 10% 7% 4% 3%
America Europe Asia Oceania Africa Middle East
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Ore body extends West to East and dips in northerly direction at 20 degrees Brits Vanadium Project's Strike Confirmed by Ground Magnetics & Drilling Results
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Development strategy options:
the MML only which is 63Mt even though the overall project resource is 298 Mt
based on operating costs and capital expenditure as estimated in pre-feasibility
imply judgement on Roskill’s behalf of the likelihood of Mokopane being commissioned, nor does it imply a judgement of Mokopane’s economics as compared to other brownfield and greenfield expansion projects not included in this cost curve Item Unit Value Production Mineral Resource Mt 2981 Ore Reserve Mt 28.5 Grade (in-situ) % 1.4% Grade (in-magnetite) % 1.7% Assumed vanadium Price US$/kg FeV 33 Initial Capital Costs US$ m 298 NPV @ 9% real US$ m 418 IRR real % 25% Cost curve of vanadium pentoxide, by cost item US$/lb2
Vametco
0,00% 0,20% 0,40% 0,60% 0,80% 1,00% 1,20% 1,40% 1,60% 1,80%
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
Mokopane
Resource size (Mt) Resource grade (%V205)
Measured and indicated resources size (bubble size = contained V205)
Project
Primary producer Co-producer
Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project
Source: Bushveld Minerals analysis, Roskill. The measured and indicated resources chart and the cost curve chart are based on Roskill’s 2017 Vanadium report
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Bushveld Energy’s focus
Bushveld Energy recognises that electricity in Africa intersects paramount potential for social transformation with an immense commercial opportunity The Company is focused on developing and promoting the role of vanadium in the growing global energy storage market through application in VRFBs Its strategy is to install several VRFB systems as part of its longer term vision to become a significant electricity storage provider in Africa by 2020, meeting the demand for utility scale energy storage in Africa by leveraging South Africa- mined and beneficiated vanadium Bushveld Energy, together with the Industrial Development Corporation (“IDC”) of South Africa, is currently establishing the manufacturing of vanadium electrolyte in South Africa Bushveld Energy is commissioning a VRFB with a peak power
Research Testing & Development (“RT&D”) facility
grade ore for primary vanadium mining
resource base in the best areas of the Bushveld complex
manufacturing
locate in Vametco process => significantly lowering costs
assembly & manufacturing
energy storage project development
models include PPAs, leasing models
grow into one of the world’s most significant, lowest cost and vertically integrated vanadium companies
large low cost production base and be a catalyst in the emerging energy storage industry
vanadium processing
expansion and enhancement
Source: Bushveld Minerals
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Direct VRFB sales Project investment and development Analytics2 Business lines Business activities
Electrolyte production Testing / laboratory / R&D Sales VRFB production Monitoring of produced systems Post sales support1
partnership or investment with VRFB firms and local partners
local market for storage is established
installed
creating the market, especially in South Africa
pipeline in Africa
Progress to date
electrolyte facility in East London, SA
vanadium feedstock from Vametco
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electrolyte
VRFB systems
invest in projects
electrolyte
end user
compete with lithium ion cost reductions
another party)
Source: Bushveld Minerals
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Use case for battery energy storage Customer type Energy arbitrage \ time shifting Spinning reserve Frequency regulations Voltage support Black start Load shifting Transmission congestion Transmission deferral Distribution deferral Grid resilience Curtailment avoidance Time of use account management Demand charge reduction Increased solar PV self- consumption Back-up Multiple use cases Power utilities Renewable energy power producers Behind the meter (BTM) Remote locations
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Horizontal growth strategy Vertical growth strategy
Organic growth
increase in the near term Targeted brownfield opportunities
brownfield opportunities
vanadium redox flows batteries (VRFBs) for energy storage
energy storage by:
based energy solutions across Africa
leading VRFB manufacturer
peak energy of 450 kWh into Eskom’s RT&D facility in Q4 2018
production plant in East London, South Africa, with a minimum capital expenditure requirement
rental, to accelerate VRFB deployments and create new revenue streams Targeting a production platform of 10,000 mtV in the medium term
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Q1 2019
growth
will be provided by Q1 2019
battery supply chain
expenditure
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Positive price outlook as a result of sustained structural deficit on the back of growing demand amidst constrained and concentrated supply Large, open cast deposits 439.6Mt combined resource (including ~55 Mt combined reserves) ~2% in-magnetite V2O5 amongst the highest in the world 1st quartile cost curve position Vertical integration anchored in high quality, low cost production base allows us to be a key player in the multibillion-dollar energy storage industry through the application of vanadium redox flow batteries, in addition to providing a natural hedge Concentrated global supply with South Africa as the largest host of high-grade primary vanadium resources Brownfield infrastructure The company’s deposits exist in close proximity to brownfield infrastructure creating scope for low capex and quick scale-up of production capacity 1 3 2 4 6 Shareholder Return Committed to delivering attractive returns to shareholders 7 5
Management team combines more than 100 years’ experience
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10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 Jan'01 Jul'01 Jan'02 Jul'02 Jan'03 Jul'03 Jan'04 Jul'04 Jan'05 Jul'05 Jan'06 Jul'06 Jan'07 Jul'07 Jan'08 Jul'08 Jan'09 Jul'09 Jan'10 Jul'10 Jan'11 Jul'11 Jan'12 Jul'12 Jan'13 Jul'13 Jan'14 Jul'14 Jan'15 Jul'15 Jan'16 July'16 Jan'17 Jul'17 Jan'18 Jul'18 Jan'19
FeV historical mid-price US$/kgV
Robust and growing demand from steel sector with significant upside from energy storage application uses Constrained supply, with short term reductions and limited new supply prospects A sustained structural market deficit, with significant price upside
Source: Metal Bulletin; 31 January 2019
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Source: Bushveld Minerals analysis, Roskill
transition metal, in pure form is a grey, soft, ductile element that does not occur in native form but as a component of minerals and as an impurity amongst hydrocarbons and bauxites
several stable
III, IV, and V)
Steel
weight ratio
different oxidation states
alkalis, hydrochloric acid, sulphuric acid, and salt water Characteristics
Chemicals
The steel industry accounts for ~90% of total vanadium consumption Electrolyte accounted for ~2% of 2017 global vanadium consumption, but could grow up to 44% by 2027 as VRFB’s gain momentum
Construction steel - rebar Alloys for aerospace industry Long duration utility scale batteries
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Steel sector
industry where it is used as an additive
at a CAGR of 2.3% up to 2027 due to a revision of the tensile strength of steel rebar products, announced in 2017
use of inferior steels in construction (Grade 2 rebar):
➢ Grade 3 (400MPa), Grade 4 (500MPa), and Grade 5
(600MPa), will require 0.03% V, 0.06% V, and more than 0.1% V respectively
➢ The above may lead to an increase in Chinese
vanadium demand of over 30% or 10,000 tpa in 2019
Energy storage
scale, long duration energy storage using VRFBs
large (MW) scale deployments globally
#1701) focus “includes 100MW-grade, vanadium redox flow battery energy storage stations”
comprises 30-60% of cost of VRFB systems
will be economic potential for very large amounts (about 400 GW) of storage in the EU
doubled in the past 12 to 18 months, according to Vanitec
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500 000 1 000 000 1 500 000 2 000 000 2 500 000
40 000 60 000 80 000 100 000 120 000 140 000 160 000
World steel production (kt)
Year
V consumption (mtV) Steel Production & World apparent vanadium consumption - High Steel Forecast
Vanadium consumption in steel forecast (mtv) (LHS) World Apparent Vanadium consumption (mtv) (LHS) World Steel Production (kt) (RHS) Linear (World Apparent Vanadium consumption (mtv) (LHS)) Linear (World Steel Production (kt) (RHS))
Source: Bushveld Minerals analysis, Roskill, World Steel Association
production are strongly correlated
standard effective November 2018 estimated to increase global Vanadium demand by 10-15%
possible to estimate with relative certainty demand outlook for vanadium in the steel sector In a nascent energy storage industry, the steel anchor is important for vanadium supply development
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Source: Bushveld Minerals analysis, TTP Squared
10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 100 000 200 000 300 000 400 000 500 000 600 000 700 000 800 000 900 000 1 000 000 Vanadium (tV) Steel (kt) China Crude Steel and Vanadium China crude steel production (LHS) (kt) China crude steel consumption (LHS) (kt) China vanadium consumption (RHS) (tV) 0.8% 1.5%
2014 - 2017 CAGR 5.2% 3.9% 9.8% 2010 - 2014 CAGR Quenching & tempering techniques among steel plants leads to lower V consumption 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% % of China Rebar Structure China Rebar Product Structure Gr.1 - 235MPa Gr.2 - 335MPa Gr.3 - 400MPa Gr.4 - 500MPa Gr.5 - 600MPa
0.45% 19.36 % 67.31 % 6.49 % 3.77 % 2010 Code for Design of Concrete Structures (GB50010-2010) issued in August 2010 and took effect from 1 July 2011 2011 Update of Code for Construction Quality Acceptance of Concrete Structures (GB 50204 – 2002) – issued in December 2010 and took effect from 1 August 2011 2015-2017 Quenching and tempering techniques used by rebar producers to minimise use of alloying elements, thus blunting impact of codes
2018 China’s new high-strength rebar standard introduced in January 2018, effective November 2018
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Note: Utility segment includes thermal storage technology Source: Navigant Research
demand is growing rapidly at a rate of 58% p.a. and will exceed 100GWh by 2027
successful due to unique technical and cost advantages
capture 18% of the market, according to Navigant
demand and nearly $10 billion in revenue by 2027 Annual Installed Stationary Energy Storage Capacity and Deployment Revenue by Market Segment
10 20 30 40 50 60 20 000 40 000 60 000 80 000 100 000 120 000 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 US billion MWh Utility-Scale Commercial & Industrial Residential Total Revenue
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Vanadium Redox Flow Battery
separated storage tanks, not in the power cell of the battery
electrochemical reaction takes place and electricity is produced
The unique features of VRFBs make them ideal for utility scale, stationary energy storage applications “Vanadium has soared more than 130% in the past, outperforming better-known battery components like cobalt, lithium and nickel. Analysts are expecting a shift in uses of vanadium. The metal can be used in industrial-scale batteries, which help to even out daily peaks and troughs from renewables…”
Bloomberg, January 2018
Large VRFB systems currently in deployment globally
Year Announced Company Location Size 2016 Rongke Power Dalina, China 800 MWh 2017 VRB Energy Hubei, China 400 MWh 2018 RedT Austria, Germany 60 MWh
Applications of VRFBs VRFBs are ideally suited for large scale, long duration storage applications
Bloomberg, January 2018
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Source: IRENA
lifespan of over 20 years
than Li-ion batteries
applications
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Vanadium 101 - scenario
Scenario
Baseline – Navigant forecast
Assumption
Minerals May “Vanadium 101” presentation
Bloomberg New Energy ESS forecast
VRFB demand in 2027, MWh
27 500 18 700 9 250 96 250 82 280 50 875
Upside – BMI forecast
assuming 18% market share
technology
(BMI)
Source: BMI, BNEF, Bushveld Minerals “Vanadium 101”, Navigant Research
Vanadium use in VRFBs in 2027, mtV
increased VRFB demand is a larger energy storage market forecast from Navigant than the BNEF forecast used in Vanadium 101 presentation assumptions
than doubled its forecast for energy storage
researching ways to use more of the electrolyte to reduce costs and improve energy density. Bushveld’s scenarios assume these improvements are achieved to support market penetration
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Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF), BMI, Bushveld Energy analysis, Bushveld Minerals analysis, Navigant, Roskill, TTP Squared
8 000 CAGR 13.2% 2 826 50 875 CAGR 33.9% 82 280 CAGR 39.9% 96 250 CAGR 41.9%
20 000 30 000 40 000 50 000 60 000 70 000 80 000 90 000 100 000
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
mtV Baseline (Roskill) Vanadium 101 scenario Navigant assumptions BMI assumptions
2017 vanadium production of 92,392 mtV
technologies is a key assumption, the ultimate size and growth rate of the stationary energy storage market has even greater impact
energy storage forecasts upward imply that vanadium demand from VRFBs may be greater than expected even under “aggressive forecasts”
for vanadium by energy storage could equate to 50-100% of today’s global market
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Global challenge Bushveld Minerals opportunity Stability of vanadium input cost Security of supply
the cost of the VRFB systems
past 3 years
with a lower first-quartile cash cost to mitigate security of cost risk
reduce upfront costs and allocate them over long life-span of VRFB and reduce vanadium price risk
requires ~6% of global vanadium supply
consumption by 2027
440 Mt
complex allow for low cost, primary vanadium production
production platform
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Source: Bushveld Minerals analysis
Ore Hot metal (Fe, V) Steel
Smelting
Magnetite concentrate Salt roasting of concentrate with sodium salts at ~1200oC to form water soluble sodium vanadate material TiO2 slag Vanadium slag Leaching, filtration, desilication, precipitation followed by reaction to form vanadium pentoxide Vanadium pentoxide/modified vanadium oxide is converted into FeV or NV Hot metal (Fe) Calcine tailings (Fe, Ti)
DRI + EAF/ Blast furnace V recovery - Ladle furnace BOF + Steel Casters Salt Roast Processing Salt Roasting Leaching & purification FeV/NV production
V2O5 / MVO
STEEL PLANT CO-PRODUCTION FLOWSHEET (74% of Global Vanadium Feedstock Production) SALT ROAST FLOWSHEET (14% of Global Vanadium Feedstock Production)
There are several greenfield vanadium projects exploring hydrometallurgical processing methods to produce iron, vanadium and titanium. None of these are yet in commercial production
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Source: Bushveld Minerals analysis, Roskill, TTP Squared
upgrade magnetite feed (e.g. Chengde)
production (e.g. Panzhihua)
(e.g. Highveld)
High input costs
to ~60% Fe
haematite ores
1
production – too small to influence steel prices
not available
No leverage
3
High operating costs
2
environmental footprint is negative
crackdown on pollution
Environmental constraints
4
74% 14% 12%
Vanadium Production 2017 by type (total 92,392 mtV)
Co-product Steel Slag Primary V ore Secondary
Three response options
Significant reduction in V supply and limited scope for new production from co-producers
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Fortune Mojapelo Chief Executive Officer
Geoff Sproule Financial Director
Zambia and South Africa Prince Nyati Chief Executive Officer
vanadium company
Mikhail Nikomarov Chief Executive Officer
Lyndon Williams Vametco Chief Operations Officer
Vanchem Manager Steelmaking, Manager Ironmaking, Works Manager Steel and Vanadium, and global Vanadium sales and marketing
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Jeremy Friedlander
Non Executive Director
Ian Watson
Non Executive Chairman
Anthony Viljoen
Non Executive Director
Fortune Mojapelo
Chief Executive Officer
Geoff Sproule
Financial Director
Michael Kirkwood
Non Executive Director
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product.
soluble sodium vanadates. Solids exiting the rotary kiln are discharged directly into a rotary cooler that cools the solids sufficient for conveying to the leaching circuit.
solution is pumped to thickeners where desilication and concentration of the vanadium-bearing leach liquor takes place. Calcine tailings are conveyed to the tailings disposal facility.
metavanadate (AMV).
nitrogen atmosphere to produce NitrovanTM .
(MVO).
running west to east and dipping at about 20 degrees in a northerly direction. Vametco employs the standard salt roast and leach process to produce a trademark vanadium carbon nitride (VCN) product called NitrovanTM .
Mining Concentration Salt Roasting Leach Milling & Purification AMV precipitation Modified Vanadium Oxide Production NitrovanTM shaft furnace
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
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Stationary energy storage usage parallels that of transmission lines, which move electricity from
Similarly, energy storage moves electricity from one time to another. Different types of storage and storage technologies are relevant for different applications, often determined by the amount of time stored energy that is required. While storage is needed to stabilise and make variable generation from solar and wind dispatchable (or “base load”), the value of storage goes far beyond supporting renewable energy Types of power sector applications of stationary energy storage
Source: International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)
Boxes in grey: Storage services directly supporting the integration of renewable energy Electric energy time-shift (arbitrage) Electric supply capacity Frequency regulation Spinning, non spinning and supplemental reserves Voltage Support Black start Transmission upgrade deferral Transmission congestion relief Distribution upgrade deferral Voltage support Power quality Power reliability Retail electric energy time- shift Demand charge management Increased self- consumption
Solar home systems Mini-grids: System stability services Mini grids: Facilitating high share of VRE Bulk energy services Ancillary services Transmission infrastructure services Distribution infrastructure services Customer energy management services Off-grid
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Benefits of the product to VRFB customers or manufacturers include:
Source: Bushveld Energy
Advances a credit facility to Intermediary
Financial Institution Intermediary Special Purpose Lease Co. Miner Vametco VRFB customer (Off-Taker)
Delivers required vanadium units to the Intermediary Pays cash for the supplied vanadium units at market rates
interest payments and a price risk premium)
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1970s and unlike conventional batteries, the liquid electrolytes are stored in separated storage tanks, not in the power cell of the battery
through a stack of power cells, or membrane, where a reversable oxidation (“redox”) electrochemical reaction takes place, charging or discharging the battery
a single element to be used to store energy. Vanadium was first used in flow batteries in the mid-1980’s
primarily of water and chemical additive acids such as sulphuric acid or hydrochloric acid
V2+/V3+ V4+/V5+
Source: IEEE Spectrum: “It’s Big and Long-Lived, and It Won’t Catch Fire: The Vanadium Redox-Flow Battery”, 26 October 2017
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degradation
performance
In summary, there is no clear superiority, with use cases and site requirements often determining the optimal solution
Source: Bushveld Energy
Four key categories to consider
VRFBs Lithium-ion
dominated by start-up companies
and deep discharges
must be managed
and capacity growth
control markets
helps
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Metric VRFB Lithium-ion
Sub-chemistries H2SO4-based, HCl-based LFP, LMO, NCA, NMC, LTO Energy Density 20-40 Wh / kg 80-200 Wh/kg Discharge Time 3-10 hours 0.5-5 hours DC Efficiency 75-90% 92%-99% Cycle Life 20,000-30,000 cycles 600-12,000 cycles Calendar Life 20-25 years 3-10 years Depth of Discharge 100% 80-95% Ambient temperature
0-30o C Self-discharge (24h) 2.5% 5% Safety Notes Corrosive electrolyte Susceptible to thermal runaway Applications Suited for energy applications Suited for power and energy applications
Source: Bushveld Energy, Navigant
41 0,20 0,26 0,11 0,26 0,29 0,13 0,17 0,20 0,05 0,1 0,15 0,2 0,25 0,3 Wholesale T&D PV+storage Lithium-Ion VRFB VRFB 1.5 cycles USD / kWh, 2018, levelised costs Limitations to Lazard’s approach
more than one 100% discharge cycle per day. For a VRFB, achieving two cycles per day would cut the LCOES by 50%
placed within a power system can be used for multiple uses, decreasing its LCOES further
creates a wide range of pricing in the analysis of both technologies, which will fall over time
Investment bank Lazard analysis shows that VRFBs have the potential to achieve the lowest costs in the industry
Source: Lazard’s Levelised Cost of Energy Storage Analysis – Version 4.0 (November 2018); Bushveld Energy analysis
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demand has for decades been underwritten by the steel market, which accounts for
vanadium demand, growing by 2.2% CAGR from 2017 to 2027 through. With expected increase of vanadium intensity of steel, vanadium demand CAGR from steel is expect to be 2.5% through 2027
➢ Stationary energy storage is forecast to grow at
CAGR of 58% over the next 10 years, becoming a $50 billion industry by 2027
➢ While forecasts for VRFBs vary, they could add
between 8,000 and 96,000 tons of vanadium demand by 2027
➢ This
energy storage “upside” may increase vanadium demand CAGR from 2.5% up to 8.4% for the next 10 years
50 100 150 200 250
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
mtV
Vanadium demand forecast by application and scenario
Steel Non-ferrous & chemicals VRFB - Baseline (Roskill) VRFB - Vanadium 101 scenario VRFB - Navigant assumptions VRFB - BMI assumptions x%
Implied 10 year vanadium demand CAGR
2.5% 2.5% 2.9% 5.9% 7.7% 8.4%
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, Bushveld Minerals analysis, Roskill
43 Strategic Minerals Corporation
US
Vametco Holdings (Pty) Ltd
ZA
Vametco Alloys (Pty) Ltd
ZA 74% 100% 100%
Bushveld Resources
Guernsey 100%
Local Partners
ZA 26%
Bushveld Minerals Limited
Guernsey 100%
Caber Trade & Invest (Pty) Ltd Gemsbok Magnetite (Pty) Ltd Great 1 Line Invest (Pty) Ltd
74% 65%
Pamish Investments
Amaraka Investments
100% 68.5% 64% Brits Project Mokopane Project
The 74% underlying interest in Vametco Alloys (Pty) Ltd was achieved with a total cash outlay of approximately US$48 million, which is the equivalent of ~1x H1 2018 EBITDA
Bushveld Vametco Limited
Guernsey
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Registered Office 18 - 20 Le Pollet St Peter Port Guernsey Independent Auditor RSM UK Audit LLP 25 Farringdon Street London, EC4A 4AB Nominated Adviser & Broker SP Angel Prince Frederick House, 35-39 Maddox Street, London W1S 2PP Legal Counsel - UK 4 More London Riverside London, SE1 2AU Financial PR Tavistock 1 Cornhill, London EC3V 3ND Broker Alternative Resource Capital 8-10 Hill Street, London, W1J 5NQ Financial PR 32 Fricker Road, Illovo Boulevard, Sandton 2196 Principal Operating Address 2nd Floor, Building 2 Illovo Edge Office Park 9 Harries Road, Illovo Johannesburg, 2116 South Africa Tel: +27 11 268 6555 Joint Broker BMO Capital Markets Limited 95 Queen Victoria St, London EC4V 4HG
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Bushveld Minerals Corporate Video: https://www.brrmedia.co.uk/broadcasts/5a5626af9ed50c2f9b04679c/bushveld-minerals-an-emerging- integrated-vanadium-producer Vanadium 101 Webinar: https://edge.media-server.com/m6/p/i2wo6bk9 Vanadium 101 Slides: http://www.bushveldminerals.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/Bushveld-Minerals-Vanadium-101_Final.pdf Energy Storage 101 Webinar: http://webcasting.brrmedia.co.uk/broadcast/5bd2eae5b01efb6b20c2f9eb/5bd348eba21632633b00003d Energy Storage 101 Slides: http://www.bushveldminerals.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Energy-Storage-Vanadium-Redox-Flow- Batteries-101.pdf