THE HOPE OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC MOBILITY And The Urgency of Getting - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
THE HOPE OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC MOBILITY And The Urgency of Getting Front Door Entry Right Texas Pathways Institute White Male Income Front Door Academic Success Wednesday, April 18, 2018 Black Male Income Presented by Garrett C. Groves Vice
Garrett C. Groves | Austin Community College | Vice President for Business and Industry Partnerships | garrett.groves@austincc.edu | 512.223.7921
Texas Pathways Institute Front Door Academic Success
Wednesday, April 18, 2018
Presented by Garrett C. Groves
Vice President, Austin Community College District Scholar in Residence, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
White Male Income Black Male Income
And The Urgency of Getting Front Door Entry Right
50 60 70 80 90 100 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980
Child's Birth Cohort
50 60 70 80 90 100 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980
Child's Birth Cohort
50 60 70 80 90 100 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980
Child's Birth Cohort
1940 20 40 60 80 100 20 40 60 80 100 Parent Income Percentile Percent of Children Earning More than their Parents By Parent Income Percentile
1940 1950 20 40 60 80 100 20 40 60 80 100 Parent Income Percentile Percent of Children Earning More than their Parents By Parent Income Percentile
1940 1950 1960 20 40 60 80 100 20 40 60 80 100 Parent Income Percentile Percent of Children Earning More than their Parents By Parent Income Percentile
1940 1950 1960 1970 20 40 60 80 100 20 40 60 80 100 Parent Income Percentile Percent of Children Earning More than their Parents By Parent Income Percentile
1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 20 40 60 80 100 20 40 60 80 100 Parent Income Percentile Percent of Children Earning More than their Parents By Parent Income Percentile
Building Talent Pipelines to Meet Demand for a Highly Skilled Workforce
Source: The Vanishing Middle: Job Polarization and Workers’ Response to the Decline in Middle-Skill Jobs, Didem Tüzemen and Jonathan Willis, Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank, 2013.
Job Polarization in the United States
Workers with analytical ability, problem solving, and creativity.
Source: The Vanishing Middle: Job Polarization and Workers’ Response to the Decline in Middle-Skill Jobs, Didem Tüzemen and Jonathan Willis, Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank, 2013.
Job Polarization in the United States
Workers with analytical ability, problem solving, and creativity. Workers who perform service oriented and manually intensive labor
Source: The Vanishing Middle: Job Polarization and Workers’ Response to the Decline in Middle-Skill Jobs, Didem Tüzemen and Jonathan Willis, Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank, 2013.
Job Polarization in the United States
Workers with analytical ability, problem solving, and creativity. Workers who perform routine tasks that are procedural and repetitive
Source: The Vanishing Middle: Job Polarization and Workers’ Response to the Decline in Middle-Skill Jobs, Didem Tüzemen and Jonathan Willis, Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank, 2013.
Job Polarization in the United States Workers who perform service oriented and manually intensive labor
Workers with analytical ability, problem solving, and creativity. Workers who perform routine tasks that are procedural and repetitive
Source: The Vanishing Middle: Job Polarization and Workers’ Response to the Decline in Middle-Skill Jobs, Didem Tüzemen and Jonathan Willis, Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank, 2013.
Job Polarization in the United States Workers who perform service oriented and manually intensive labor
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015
Employment Shares by Occupation Skill Level
January 1979 - September 2016
Low-Skill Occupations Middle-Skill Occupations High-Skill Occupations
61% 43% 13% 25% 18%
Percent of U.S. Workforce by Occupation Skill Level
SOURCE: The original chart is from “The Vanishing Middle: Job Polarization and Workers’ Response to the Decline in Middle-Skill Jobs,” by Didem Tuzemen and Jonathan Willis, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, 2013. The original chart has been updated to begin in 1979 and end in September 2016. Data were provided by Didem Tuzeman.
Job Polarization in the United States
39%
2
NOTES: Calculations include workers over age 15 with positive wages and exclude the self-employed. Quartiles based on the Texas and US wage distributions from the 1980 decennial census, which refers to 1979 wages. Wage ranges provided are for Texas only. SOURCES: 1980 Census; 2014 ACS; “Employment Growth and Labor Market Polarization,” Chapter 7, Ten-Gallon Economy: Sizing Up Economic Growth in Texas by Pia M. Orrenius Jesús Cañas and Michael Weiss, 2015.
13.4%
6.7%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Lowest Wage Lower-Middle Wage Upper-Middle Wage Highest Wage
Percent Change in Share of Jobs by Wage Quartile, 1979-2014 U.S. Minus Texas Texas 3
NOTES: Calculations include workers over age 15 with positive wages and exclude the self-employed. Quartiles based on the Texas and US wage distributions from the 1980 decennial census, which refers to 1979 wages. Wage ranges provided are for Texas only. SOURCES: 1980 Census; 2014 ACS; “Employment Growth and Labor Market Polarization,” Chapter 7, Ten-Gallon Economy: Sizing Up Economic Growth in Texas by Pia M. Orrenius Jesús Cañas and Michael Weiss, 2015.
13.4%
6.7% 15.5%
6.2%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Lowest Wage Lower-Middle Wage Upper-Middle Wage Highest Wage
Percent Change in Share of Jobs by Wage Quartile, 1979-2014 U.S. Minus Texas Texas 3
Highest Wage
Over $27.60
Workers who perform routine tasks that are procedural and repetitive
Workers with analytical ability, problem solving, and creativity.
Job Polarization in the United States
Workers who perform service oriented and manually intensive labor
Bachelors Degree and Above
High School Diploma or Less
Associate Degree or Certificate with Labor Market Value
Workers with no formal education beyond high school.
Job Polarization in the United States
77% 36% 10% 28% 13% 35%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Texas Educational Attainment of Civilian Workforce Age 25 and Older
NOTE: These data refer to the civilian workforce aged 25 and older. SOURCE: Center for Public Policy Priorities’ analysis of Current Population Survey iPUMS data, IPUMS-CPS, University of Minnesota, www.ipums.org.
Bachelor Degree and Above Some College and Associate Degree High School Diploma or Below
Building Talent Pipelines to Meet Demand for a Highly Skilled Workforce
Building Talent Pipelines to Meet Demand for a Highly Skilled Workforce
Source: Dallas Economic Assessment, Communities Foundation of Texas and Center for Public Policy Priorities based on 2011-2015 ACS, 5-year estimates
Source: University of Texas Professor Michael Marder, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics, Student Flows in Texas
Number of Students Assessed in Reading
0.0% Minority Students 100% Minority Students
Source: University of Texas Professor Michael Marder, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics, Student Flows in Texas
Number of Students Assessed in Reading
Number of Students Assessed in Reading Number of Students Assessed in Reading
0.0% Minority Students 100% Minority Students
Source: University of Texas Professor Michael Marder, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics, Student Flows in Texas
0.0% Minority Students 100% Minority Students
Source: Author’s calculations based on data from the Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board Almanac 2017
Full-Time 3-Year Graduation Rates
0.0% Minority Students 100% Minority Students
Source: Author’s calculations based on data from the Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board Almanac 2017
Part-Time 6-Year Graduation Rates
Jobs That Pay Median Wage and Do Not Require a Bachelor’s Degree Are in Every Local Economy
NOTE: Opportunity occupations are those that pay at least a median wage for that region and require less than a bachelor’s degree. SOURCE: Center for Public Policy Priorities’ analysis of data from “Identifying Opportunity Occupations in the Nation’s Largest Metropolitan Economies,” by Keith Wardrip, Kyle Fee, Lisa Nelson and Stuart Andreason, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Sept. 9, 2015.
49.8 52.5 64.9 47.6 68.3 53.8 25.6 25.7 17.6 30.1 15.5 26.1 25.6 25.7 17.6 30.1 15.5 26.1
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington El Paso Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown McAllen-Edingburg-Mission San Antonio-New Braunfels
PERCENT
Lower wage, Bachelor's not Required Opportunity Occupations Higher wage, bachelor's required
Jobs That Pay Median Wage and Do Not Require a Bachelor’s Degree Are in Every Local Economy
Cal State University – LA
Pace University – New York
SUNY – Stony Brook
Technical Career Institutes
University of Texas – Pan American
City Univ. of New York System
Glendale Community College
South Texas College
Cal State Polytechnic - Pomona
University of Texas – El Paso
Cal State University – LA
Pace University – New York
SUNY – Stony Brook
Technical Career Institutes
University of Texas – Pan American
City Univ. of New York System
Glendale Community College
South Texas College
Cal State Polytechnic - Pomona
University of Texas – El Paso
South Texas College
Laredo Community College
Southwest Texas Junior College
Midland College
El Paso Community College
Odessa College
Brazosport College
Houston Community College
Central Texas College District
Del Mar College
Brazosport College
Midland College
Odessa College
Wharton County Junior College
San Jacinto Community College District
Alvin Community College
Central Texas College District
Lee College
Victoria College
Houston Community College
Garrett C. Groves | Austin Community College | Vice President for Business and Industry Partnerships | garrett.groves@austincc.edu | 512.223.7921
Presented by Garrett C. Groves
Vice President, Austin Community College Scholar in Residence, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
White Male Income Black Male Income
And The Urgency of Getting Front Door Entry Right
0.0% Minority Students 100% Minority Students
Source: Author’s calculations based on data from the Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board Almanac 2017
College Graduation Rates
0.0% Minority Students 100% Minority Students
Source: University of Texas Professor Michael Marder, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics, Student Flows in Texas
The Percentage Change in Income from Growing Up in Each City (MSA) for Children in Low-Income Families (25th percentile)
Fort Worth, #15 Brownsville, #31 El Paso, #45 Dallas, #55 Houston, #57 Austin, #63 San Antonio, #86 Salt Lake City, #3 Seattle, #1 New Orleans, #99 Denver, #29 Fayetteville, #100 Minneapolis, #2
0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
0% 5% 10% 15%
Percent Change in Income
Percent Change in Income
Average Credit Hours for Associates Degree (2016)
60 Credits for a 2 Year Associates Degree 64 106
Key Findings from the OECD Survey of Adult Skills & Competencies
In literacy, numeracy and problem solving in technology-rich environments.
Representing 724 million 16-65 year-olds in 24 countries/economies, including 5,010 Americans
Key Findings from the OECD Survey of Adult Skills & Competencies
Measures the ability to use digital technology communication tools and networks to acquire and evaluate information, communicate with others and perform practical tasks.
Measures the ability to understand, evaluate, use and engage with written texts
Measures the ability to access, use, interpret and communicate mathematical information and ideas
Key Findings from the OECD Survey of Adult Skills & Competencies
Score
SKILLS OF ADULTS
SKILLS OF ADULTS
Score
Korea
Germany Norway
Average 55-65 year-olds
Spain
Finland France
US UK
Average 16-24 year-olds
Korea
Germany Norway
Average 55-65 year-olds
Spain
Finland France
US UK
36% 42% 45% 33% 33% 32% 14% 13%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Texas United States Canada Australia United Kingdom Japan South Korea Mexico
Ages 55 to 64 Ages 25 to 34
Percent of Adults with an Associate Degree or Higher
Source: American Communities Survey
36% 42% 45% 33% 33% 32% 14% 13% 44% 57% 47% 48% 59% 66% 24%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Texas United States Canada Australia United Kingdom Japan South Korea Mexico
Ages 55 to 64 Ages 25 to 34
Percent of Adults with an Associate Degree or Higher
Source: American Communities Survey
36% 42% 45% 33% 33% 32% 14% 13% 44% 57% 47% 48% 59% 66% 24%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Texas United States Canada Australia United Kingdom Japan South Korea Mexico
Ages 55 to 64 Ages 25 to 34
Percent of Adults with an Associate Degree or Higher
Source: American Communities Survey
36% 42% 45% 33% 33% 32% 14% 13% 35% 44% 57% 47% 48% 59% 66% 24%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Texas United States Canada Australia United Kingdom Japan South Korea Mexico
Ages 55 to 64 Ages 25 to 34
Percent of Adults with an Associate Degree or Higher
Source: American Communities Survey