Study Team: Richard W. Moore, Management c a d oo e, a age e - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Study Team: Richard W. Moore, Management c a d

• o e,

a age e Kenneth Chapman, Economics Bettina Huber, IR Elina Almechenko M k Sh Mark Shors The College of Business and Economics

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Objective

 To measure the labor market outcomes for all CSUN

Students 1995‐2000 G d d U d d

 Graduate and Undergraduates  Dropouts and Graduates

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 The cherished view of some academics that higher education started

• ut on the Acropolis of scholarship and was desecrated by descent
• ut on the Acropolis of scholarship and was desecrated by descent

into the Agora of materialistic pursuits led by ungodly commercial interests and scheming public officials and venal academic leaders is just not true for the university systems that have developed at least since 1200 A D If anything higher education started in the Agora since 1200 A.D. If anything, higher education started in the Agora, the market place, at the bottom of the hill and ascended to the Acropolis on top of the hill…Mostly it has lived in tension, at one and the same time at the bottom of the hill, at the top of the hill, and h i b

• n many paths in between.

 Kerr, Clark. (1988) Higher Education in Service to the Labor

M k t C t ib ti d Di t ti Phil d l hi I tit t f Market: Contributions and Distortions. Philadelphia: Institute for research in Higher Education, University of Pennsylvania.

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The Approach

CSUN Student Records California EDD Base Wage file Records Wage file Analysis Data Base Data Base

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CSUN Student Records

 All Entering Students 1995‐2000

 First time freshman  Transfers  PostBac  Total 44 437  Total 44,437

 Allows us to trace graduates and exiters  Allows us to trace graduates and exiters

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California Base‐Wage File

 All California Workers with earnings covered by

Unemployment Insurance. Q l i d b l lf

 Quarterly earnings reported by employers, not self

reported.

 Individuals may have multiple employers in a quarter.

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Creating a Match

 Matched student SSN to Base Wage file.  To be match must have no more than two consecutive

f i quarters of no earnings.

 Included  E

l d d

$ $ $ $ $ $ $ Year 1 Found Quarters

 Excluded

$ $ $ $ $ Quarters Year 1 Not Found

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Key Assumption

 Records with three or more consecutive quarters are

not found. Y

 You may:

 Move out of state  Out of labor market (raising children deceased )  Out of labor market (raising children, deceased,)  Other possible explanations: in military, federal

employee, self employed. p y , p y

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Other Measurement Stuff

 Earning are adjusted for inflation to 2010 $$$

t i t d t t i t iti

 1995‐2000 entering students are put in to exiting

annual cohorts 2000‐2005

 Dropouts are student who stopped attending 1995‐

2010 without completing a degree.

 Identified students who graduated else where with

National Clearing House National Clearing House

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Number of Exiters and Study Number of Exiters and Study Population

6000 7000 8000 4000 5000 6000 2000 3000

Study Population

1000

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We created six paths through CSUN

Enrolled as : First time Freshman or

Success Stories:

Graduated Bach (only)CSUN Problem Children:

Freshman or Enrolled as UG Transfer

Problem Children: Did not Gradate Other People’s Children: B h l G d Oth I tit ti Bachelor Grad Other Institution Stars: Graduate Degree Other Institution

Enrolled as PostBac

Graduate Completers Graduate Drops

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$32,203

Success Stories

Average Earnings: All Years, All Colleges

$37,180 $48,930 $24,659

Problem Children Success Stories

$53,221 $49,091 $35,811

St Other People's Children

Year 1 Year 5

$68,294 $62,650 $56,635 49, 9

Graduate Completers Stars

Year 5

$57,981 $48,113 $0 $10 000 $20 000 $30 000 $40 000 $50 000 $60 000 $70 000 $80 000

Graduate Drops

$0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000

* All earnings adjusted for inflation to 2010 dollars

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72.1 76.2

Success Stories

Percent Found: All Years, All Colleges

64.2 72.1 69.5

Problem Children

6 61.8 72.1 66.6

Stars Other People's Children

Year 1 Year 5

75.0 67.2 80.8

Graduate Completers

72.6 80.5 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0

Graduate Drops

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Average Earnings: All Years, All Colleges with National Benchmark

$36,370 $32,203

Success Stories

$56 635 $51,456 $56,635

Graduate Completers

*S f R C ll G d f h // f / i i / / $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000

CSUN Base Wage Average Earnings (Year 1) Benchmark (Year 2) *

*Survey of Recent College Graduates, from http://www.nsf.gov/statistics/sestat/ ** All earnings adjusted for inflation to 2010 dollars

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The Larger Economy Matters

CSUN: Bachelors in Computer Science: Year 5

The Larger Economy Matters

75000 80000 85000 60000 65000 70000 45000 50000 55000 40000 45000 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 * All earnings adjusted for inflation to 2010 dollars

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