SOCIETE GENERALE SFH HOME LOAN COVERED BOND PROGRAMME
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
NOVEMBER 2012
SOCIETE GENERALE SFH HOME LOAN COVERED BOND PROGRAMME INVESTOR - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
SOCIETE GENERALE SFH HOME LOAN COVERED BOND PROGRAMME INVESTOR PRESENTATION NOVEMBER 2012 DISCLAIMER This document may contain a number of forecasts and comments relating to the targets and strategies of the Societe Generale Group. These
NOVEMBER 2012
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This document may contain a number of forecasts and comments relating to the targets and strategies of the Societe Generale Group. These forecasts are based on a series of assumptions, both general and specific, notably - unless specified otherwise - the application of accounting principles and methods in accordance with IFRS (International Financial Reporting Standards) as adopted in the European Union, as well as the application of existing prudential regulations. This information was developed from scenarios based on a number of economic assumptions for a given competitive and regulatory
from those provided in this presentation. There is a risk that these projections will not be met. Investors are advised to take into account factors of uncertainty and risk likely to impact the operations of the Group when basing their investment decisions on information provided in this document. Unless otherwise specified, the sources for the rankings are internal. The Group’s condensed consolidated accounts at 30 September 2012 thus prepared were examined by the Board of Directors on 7 November 2012. The Statutory Auditors’ limited review of the condensed consolidated financial statements is currently underway. The financial information presented for the six-month period ending 30 September 2012 has been prepared in accordance with IFRS as adopted in the European Union and applicable at this date. In particular, the condensed consolidated half-yearly accounts were prepared and presented in accordance with IAS 34 “Interim Financial Reporting”.
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“Sociétés de Crédit Foncier” and establishing Sociétés de Financement de l’Habitat (Home Financing Companies).
Prudentiel).
bankruptcy law.
such event, no acceleration of the covered bonds would take place.
being sufficient to serve all the covered bonds).
to the “Autorité de Contrôle Prudentiel” and in charge of protecting the interest of OFH holders.
lines granted by eligible counterparties.
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Société Générale (Borrower)
Cover Pool (French Home Loans)
Société Générale
(Servicer)
Investors Société Générale SFH
(Covered Bonds Issuer)
OFH
Public = 4.25Bn Retained = 16.25Bn
Asset Swaps
(upon breach of rating trigger for SG)
Société Générale
(Hedge Provider and Pre-Maturity Test)
Covered Bonds Proceeds Covered Bonds Collateral Security Collateralized Loans
Principal and Interest
SFH to SG.
Code Monétaire et Financier “remise en pleine propriété à titre de garantie”).
rating, the Group is committed to post a cash collateral amount
AAA/Aaa ratings on the Covered Bonds, with a minimum of 2% legally enforced at all time.
(i) Interest rate swap including unilateral collateral agreement (CSA), in case of mismatch between assets and liabilities (OFH) rate types (ii) Interest rate swap including unilateral collateral agreement, to hedge discrepancies between the home loans fixed rates portion of the cover pool and the collateralized loans in order to provide the required level of hedging coverage to the SFH All swaps being consistent with the latest rating agencies methodologies
Current structure rationale
developing private placements capacity
SFH) to make easier structure analysis from investors and rating agencies Cover-Pool unchanged therefore no change in terms of credit risk for investors
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* Figures as of end of October 2012, cf Asset Report available on the investor website (http://www.investisseur.socgen.com)
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5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 25 000 30 000 Cover Pool (Home Loans Portfolio) OFH
200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200 1 400 1 600 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2019 2020 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Private Issuances Public Issuances
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Isin Issue Date Série Currency Principal Amount Maturity Date Remaining Maturity Interest Rate Type Index FR0011056126 06/06/2011 1 EUR 1 500 000 000 06/06/2016 3,7 Fixed Rate 3,25% FR0011180017 18/01/2012 12 EUR 1 250 000 000 18/01/2022 9,3 Fixed Rate 4,00% FR0011215516 14/03/2012 13 EUR 1 500 000 000 14/03/2019 6,5 Fixed Rate 2,88% FR0011291277 13/07/2012 15 EUR 1 500 000 000 15/04/2013 0,5 Floating Rate EURIBOR 3M FR0011291285 13/07/2012 16 EUR 1 500 000 000 28/04/2014 1,6 Floating Rate EURIBOR 3M FR0011291293 13/07/2012 17 EUR 1 500 000 000 27/05/2015 2,7 Floating Rate EURIBOR 3M FR0011291319 13/07/2012 18 EUR 1 500 000 000 24/10/2017 5,1 Floating Rate EURIBOR 3M FR0011291327 13/07/2012 19 EUR 1 500 000 000 10/08/2020 7,9 Floating Rate EURIBOR 3M FR0011291335 13/07/2012 20 EUR 1 500 000 000 26/04/2023 10,6 Floating Rate EURIBOR 3M FR0011291343 13/07/2012 21 EUR 1 500 000 000 27/05/2024 11,7 Floating Rate EURIBOR 3M FR0011291350 13/07/2012 22 EUR 1 500 000 000 28/07/2025 12,8 Floating Rate EURIBOR 3M FR0011291368 13/07/2012 23 EUR 1 500 000 000 26/08/2026 13,9 Floating Rate EURIBOR 3M FR0011291376 13/07/2012 24 EUR 1 250 000 000 27/09/2027 15,0 Floating Rate EURIBOR 3M FR0011291384 13/07/2012 25 EUR 1 500 000 000 26/10/2028 16,1 Floating Rate EURIBOR 3M
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French home loan market European home ownership %
Source: ACP - SG
Maturity of home loans at origination
0,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0 100,0 120,0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
2000Q1 2000Q2 2000Q3 2000Q4 2001Q1 2001Q2 2001Q3 2001Q4 2002Q1 2002Q2 2002Q3 2002Q4 2003Q1 2003Q2 2003Q3 2003Q4 2004Q1 2004Q2 2004Q3 2004Q4 2005Q1 2005Q2 2005Q3 2005Q4 2006Q1 2006Q2 2006Q3 2006Q4 2007Q1 2007Q2 2007Q3 2007Q4 2008Q1 2008Q2 2008Q3 2008Q4 2009Q1 2009Q2 2009Q3 2009Q4 2010Q1 2010Q2 2010Q3 2010Q4 2011Q1 2011Q2 Source : Banque de France / Insee-Notaries
Quarterly French Home Loans origination (in EUR Bn) French Home Price Index (in base 100 in 2010)
15y 16y 17y 18y 19y 20y 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
SG Total French market
78% 78% 71% 69% 68%
55%
49% 42% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Spain Italy Belgium United Kingdom USA France Netherlands Germany Source : European Mortgage Federation, UK Office for national statistics, November 2010
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Source: ACP - SG
70,0% 75,0% 80,0% 85,0% 90,0% 95,0% 100,0% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Portion of fixed rate loans in home loans origination SG Total French market
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Type of security of French home loans outstanding Guarantee Mortgage Other
Sources : CL/CSA
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Mainly on existing properties (+/- 60 %)
At national level At Société Générale level Especially when guaranteed by Crédit Logement
(Crédit Logement classification)
1,08% 0,93% 0,93% 0,88% 0,92% 1,15% 1,31% 1,26%
0,26% 0,29% 0,28% 0,31% 0,30% 0,45% 0,56% 0,62%
0,15% 0,14% 0,14% 0,17% 0,23% 0,38% 0,44% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 French Market Société Générale Credit Logement
Source Banque de France, Société Générale, Crédit Logement
65% 63% 64% 61% 66% 66% 24% 27% 25% 28% 23% 22% 10% 10% 11% 11% 11% 12% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2001 2005 2008 2009 2010 2011
Old property New property Works
Source : Observatoire de la Production des Crédits Immobiliers (OPCI)
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New 21% Existing 79%
SOCIETE GENERALE FRENCH HOME LOAN BUSINESS
Crédit Logement guarantee Owner occupied home
Société Générale French Home Loan Business
Performing outstanding breakdown as of end of 2011
Société Générale production’s structure
Type of acquisition channel Type of loan purpose Type of clients Annual SG Habitat Retail origination – Breakdown by type of security
Owner occupied home 68% Second home 5% Buy to let 25% Other 2%
SG Networks 70% Brokers 18% Other 12%
65,3% 69,6% 77,2% 81,5% 74,6% 34,7% 30,4% 22,8% 18,5% 25,4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Crédit Logement Other type of security
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(**) Source: OFL - CSA
in EUR Bn 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 French home loan production 157,7 126,3 109,0 165,5 156,5 French guaranteed home loan production 86,7 63,9 55,0 94,2 94,8 French guaranteed home loan market share 55% 51% 51% 57% 61% CL Guarantee production 39,5 34,5 32,5 56,3 51,1 CL guaranteed home loan market share 46% 54% 59% 60% 54% French home loan outstanding 647,0 700,0 731,0 795,0 849,0 CL Guarantees outstanding 139,5 155,4 167,6 201,9 224,0
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Competitive cost, with repayment of a high portion
(MGF), Allow avoidance of mortgage registration, Flexible: efficient process allowing quick obtaining and cancellation (once loan is fully repaid), with no extra deregistration cost in case of early repayment.
No cost involved, and automatic process to obtain the guarantee approval based on precise criteria No administrative burden to follow on the mortgage, Full and rapid compensation when a guaranteed loan is defaulting, Recovery process fully managed by Crédit Logement, in particular Crédit Logement developed an expertise on this activity
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AA- by S&P (with negative outlook) Aa2 by Moody’s (under negative watch)
necessary.
16,5% 16,5% 16,5% 16,5% 7,0% 8,5% 9,5% 6,0% 3,0% Crédit Agricole LCL BNP Paribas SG Group Crédit Foncier BPCE Group (excluding CFF) Crédit Mutuel - CIC La Banque Postale HSBC France
in EUR Mn 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 CL Guarantees outstanding 139 510 155 350 167 608 201 927 223 976 CL MGF outstanding 2 508 2 688 2 867 3 231 3 518 Balance Sheet - Doubtful debt outstanding 119,8 171,1 274,7 379,6 482,0 Off Balance Sheet - Doubtful debt outstanding 117,3 193,9 366,1 513,4 661,4 Total Doubtful debt outstanding 237,1 365,0 640,8 893,0 1 143,4 Doubtful debt % of the guarantees outstanding 0,17% 0,23% 0,38% 0,44% 0,51% CL MGF outstanding / Total Doubtful debt outstan 10,6 7,4 4,5 3,6 3,1 Writen off amounts 3,2 2,4 6,0 5,0 2,9 Write-offs (N) / Doubtful debt outstanding (N-1) 1,85% 1,01% 1,64% 0,78% 0,32%
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Société Générale (Borrower)
Cover Pool (French Home Loans)
Société Générale
(Servicer)
Investors Société Générale SFH
(Covered Bonds Issuer)
OFH ABS = 20.5Bn Public = 4.25Bn Retained = 16.25Bn
FCT Red & Black Guaranteed Home Loans
(Notes Issuer)
Asset Swap
(upon breach of rating trigger for SG)
Société Générale
(Hedge Provider and Pre-Maturity Tests)
Covered Bonds Proceeds Covered Bonds Notes’ Proceeds Notes Collateral Security Loans Principal and Interest
Notes issued by an existing French securitisation vehicle (FCT). Notes were backed by a direct security over the Cover Pool (L.211-38 from French Code Monétaire et Financier “remise en pleine propriété à titre de garantie”).
alone basis, without the support of its mother company. In addition, SG SFH has set up a Pre-Maturity Test, where, in case of SG rating downgrade, the Group was committed to post a cash collateral amount
levels to support AAA/Aaa ratings on the Covered Bonds, with a minimum of 2% legally enforced at all time.
(i) SG SFH: Interest rate swap including unilateral collateral agreement (CSA), in case of mismatch between assets (FCT Notes) and liabilities (OFH) rate types (ii) FCT: Interest rate swap including unilateral collateral agreement, to hedge discrepancies between the home loans fixed rates portion of the cover pool and the variable FCT notes in order to provide the required level of hedging coverage to the FCT Both swaps being consistent with the latest rating agencies methodologies
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Executive summary French Home Loan Business Credit Logement SG SFH Covered Bond Programme
Source : Crédit Logement
0,00% 0,20% 0,40% 0,60% 0,80% 1,00% 1,20% 1,40% 1,60% 1Y 2Y 3Y 4Y 5Y 6Y 7Y 8Y 9Y 10Y 11Y 12Y 13Y 14Y 15Y 16Y 17Y 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
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Executive summary French Home Loan Business Credit Logement SG SFH Covered Bond Programme
Source : Crédit Logement
0,00% 20,00% 40,00% 60,00% 80,00% 100,00% 120,00% 1Y 2Y 3Y 4Y 5Y 6Y 7Y 8Y 9Y 10Y 11Y 12Y 13Y 14Y 15Y 16Y 17Y 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
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+33 1 42 13 33 08 stephane.landon@socgen.com
+33 1 42 14 29 22 didier.harnois@socgen.com
+33 1 57 29 53 35 vincent.robillard@socgen.com
+33 1 42 14 26 06 zdravka.iankova@socgen.com
+33 1 42 13 63 00 pierre.menet@sgcib.com
+33 1 56 37 31 27 sylvie.mahouche@sgcib.com
16 March 2011