SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION TABLE OF CONTENT 1 SNCF GROUP: - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION TABLE OF CONTENT 1 SNCF GROUP: - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION TABLE OF CONTENT 1 SNCF GROUP: AN OVERVIEW OF OUR BUSINESSES 2 SNCF GROUP: CREDIT PROFILE 3 SNCF RSEAU: CREDIT PROFILE 4 CSR: COMMITMENTS & GREEN BOND PROGRAMME 5 BUSINESS PROFILES APPENDICES: OTHER
2 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
TABLE OF CONTENT
1
SNCF GROUP: AN OVERVIEW OF OUR BUSINESSES
2 SNCF GROUP: CREDIT PROFILE 3 SNCF RÉSEAU: CREDIT PROFILE 4 CSR: COMMITMENTS & GREEN BOND PROGRAMME 5
APPENDICES: BUSINESS PROFILES OTHER CONTACTS
AN OVERVIEW OF OUR BUSINESSES
4 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
SNCF GROUP PRESENTATION
A LEADING PASSENGER AND FREIGHT LOGISTICS GROUP IN FRANCE & WORLDWIDE
€ 33.3 bn
Turnover in 2018 1/3 outside of France World leader in day to day mobility Revenues: € 5.9 bn EBITDA: € 350 m
3.3 bn passengers
annually
21 light rail networks
worldwide
21,500 buses and coaches 16 countries 10 modes of transport
Freight and logistics, both internal and international, including non rail activities Revenues: € 8.2 bn EBITDA: € 306 m Direct presence in 67 countries A network connecting more than 120 countries Rail freight transport solutions for industries (steel, chemicals, goods…) Revenues: € 1.6 bn EBITDA: € -188 m Total turnover: breakdown by branches (internal and external) Main activities: rankings & KPIs
€ 4.0 bn
Group EBITDA in 2018
€ 21.6 bn
Net debt pro forma
- f total debt relief*
SNCF Voyageurs
15 k trains / day,
- f which 7,000 in the Paris Greater area
15 m travelers / day in the world
KEOLIS
#1
SNCF Logistics
#4 operator in Europe #8 operator worldwide
OUI.SNCF
#1 online travel agency in France
SNCF Réseau
#2 largest network in Europe #3 largest ‘high speed’ network in the world
€ 5.1 bn
CAPEX financed on its own by SNCF Group
AA-
S&P Stable
Aa3
Moody’s Stable
A+
Fitch Stable
SNCF Réseau SNCF Voyageurs KEOLIS GEODIS Rail Freight Other*
Train operating company in France and internationally Revenues: € 16.4 bn EBITDA: € 1.3 bn
5 m passengers / day
for TER regional lines and Transilien
8.4 m passengers on
international markets in 2018
SNCF Voyageurs KEOLIS GEODIS Rail Freight
IN %
automatic subway and tramway operator worldwide
23 18 24 4
- 19
100 Infrastructure and train station manager in France Revenues: € 7.7 bn EBITDA: € 1.8 bn
30,000 km size of
the French network
20,000 train paths
delivered daily
440 m t.km train
paths sold in 2018
3,000 train stations under
management in France
SNCF Réseau
50
* Mainly intercompany sales elimination * Pro forma of the € 35 bn debt relief, post 2022
5 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
94% 6%
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
€ 39 m
75% 25%
NORTH AFRICA
€ 32 m
45% 55%
MIDDLE EAST
€ 78 m
12% 75% 13%
SOUTH ASIA
€ 88 m
95% 5%
CENTRAL ASIA
€ 463 m
96% 4%
SOUTHEAST ASIA
€ 176 m
67% 32% 0.9%
AUSTRALIA / OCEANIA
€ 840 m
99.7% 0.3%
CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPE
€ 220 m
60% 39% 0.7%
NORTHERN EUROPE
€ 1 053 m
26% 72% 1% 0.6%
NORTH AMERICA
99.7% 0.3%
CENTRAL AMERICA
€ 172 m € 2 299 m
23% 59% 18%
WESTERN EUROPE
€ 2 865 m
97% 3%
SOUTH AMERICA
€ 163 m
50% 6% 43% 0.7%
UNITED KINGDOM
€ 2 702 m
INTERNATIONAL FOOTPRINT
1/3 OF TOTAL GROUP BUSINESS
BUSINESSES 2018
- Logistics
- Mass Transit
- Passengers long distance services
- Consulting and rail engineering (of which Systra,
consolidated under the equity method) *
Total revenue volume generated by companies owned by SNCF Group (Controlling or not)
6 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
OVERVIEW OF THE REFORM
A NEW GOVERNANCE
– Creation of a vertically integrated Group gathering all rail activities – Train stations manager « Gares & Connexions » is transferred to SNCF Réseau – The 3 SNCF companies are all converted into SA (public limited company) with capital 100% (directly and indirectly) state-owned and non-transferable in order to ensure the independence of the corporate governance and new capitalistic links – Compliant with the European regulation ensuring the independence between the infrastructure manager and operating companies (4th railway package)
DEVELOPMENT OF THE RAIL OFFER
– Opening to competition of transport activities (4th railway package) – Foster the development of the rail offer via tariffs moderation on HSL and freight activities
A STRENGTHENED AND MORE SUSTAINABLE FINANCIAL STRUCTURE FOR THE INFRASTRUCTURE
– Higher productivity efforts at SNCF Group level – Debt relief (SNCF Réseau) by the State for € 35 bn – Increase in the modernization efforts by € 200 m per year from 2020 onwards on the railway infrastructure – Stronger Golden Rule for SNCF Réseau:
- Enlarged perimeter to include all capex
- Ratio shifted from x18 to x6 by State decree
- 2-year period to achieve financial ratio until 2026
A SOCIAL COMPONENT
– End of the specific employee status for new workers hired from 2020 onwards
OPENING TO COMPETITION SCHEDULE
DECEMBER 2019
For subsidised services (TER, TET), French regions able to organise call for tenders
DECEMBER 2020
“Open Access” allowed for High-Speed and conventional trains not subject to a public service contract
DECEMBER 2023
For subsidised services (TER, TET) regions
- r State will have to
- rganise mandatory
call for tenders at the termination date of
- perating contracts
DECEMBER 2039
Special provisions for Transilien: opening is scheduled between 2023 and 2039 depending on lines
7 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
KEY STEPS TOWARDS THE NEW ORGANISATION
Gares & Connexions transferred from SNCF Mobilités (B.U.) to SNCF Réseau as a subsidiary SNCF SA (holding) operating activities transferred to SNCF Voyageurs, to only retain strategic and controlling missions SNCF Mobilités takes over SNCF EPIC to become the holding SNCF SA SNCF Voyageurs takes over passenger activities and rolling stock of SNCF Mobilités including Thalys and Eurostar SNCF SA (directly) and SNCF Voyageurs & SNCF Réseau (indirectly) become 100% State-owned public limited companies (French equivalent).
SNCF BECOMES A FULL Y INTEGRATED GROUP FROM JANUARY 1ST , 2020
BIRTH OF AN INTEGRATED PLAYER
SNCF SA
(Holding)
Subsidiaries
100%
non transferable
100% 62% 55% 100%
non transferable
70% 100% 100% 100% State-Owned
shares non transferable
RÉSEAU SA
Infrastructure manager
VOYAGEURS SA
Operating company Rail Freight Multimodal freight & freight forwarding Paris - Brussels - Amsterdam Paris - London
GARES& CONNEXIONS SA
Train station manager
Other subsidiaries are not mentionned in this chart
World leader in day to day mobility
8 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
OUR AMBITIONS
BRINGING THE FREEDOM OF EFFORTLESS MOBILITY AND A GREENER PLANET TO ALL
GROW RAIL USE
Develop mass transit and prepare opening to competition Target: € 47 bn invested in the network between 2017 & 2026
INCREASE CUSTOMER SATISFACTION
Increase satisfaction among all categories of customers Target: 84% in passengers satisfaction in 2026
DELIVER ECONOMIC DISCIPLINE AND HIGH PERFORMANCE
Get the fjnancial means to match our ambitions Target: positive free cash flow by 2022
BE THE BEST ON THE FUNDAMENTALS
Punctuality, regularity, passenger information Modernization efforts for the core network Target: 90% in punctuality (< 5 mins) at departure by 2026
BOOST EMPLOYEE ENGAGEMENT AND SATISFACTION
Prepare employees to a new social pact Target: +1 pt / year in employee satisfaction / commitment by 2026
WORK WITH REGIONS TO ADVANCE THE ECOLOGICAL AND INCLUSIVE TRANSITION
By developing rail, carpooling and all kind of shared motilities Target: -30% of tons of CO2 per passenger.km by 2026
SNCF GROUP CREDIT PROFILE
10 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
SNCF GROUP: CREDIT FEATURES
A LEADING COMPETITIVE POSITION A REINFORCED FINANCIAL STRUCTURE
An integrated business model enabling the company to meet the challenges of “mass transit” with a multimodal offer aimed at reducing congestion in main conurbations (in France and abroad) and a strategy focused on sustainable development Well prepared and positioned to benefjt from the gradual opening to competition in the passenger transportation segment World leader in urban mass transit and logistics in more than 120 countries Targeting positive Free Cash Flow generation for SNCF Group from 2022 onwards Financial ratios restored owing to the € 35 bn debt relief by the French State and a more stringent golden rule aimed at ensuring a sustainable long-term fjnancial structure Renewed state support: a new performance contract with the State (up to 2030) and a more supportive dividends reinvestment mechanism
A VERY STRONG LINK WITH AND A CRITICAL ROLE FOR THE FRENCH STATE
Entirely owned by the French State, with shares neither transferable nor sellable. Chairman of the holding SNCF SA is appointed by the French State Strategic missions for the French State due to its role in the economy, regional planning, daily mobility, equal access to the territories, employment, Cop 21 trajectory compliance, energy transition, national defense A large share of revenues originating from local authorities through contracts with the Regions Shall be included in the “Government Related Entity” list by the European Commission and eligible to the ECP purchasing programme for denominated issues
11 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
INVOLVED ALL ALONG THE VALUE CHAIN
A VIEW BY ACTIVITY
Business / Brands Market Business Environnment Clients Competitors & peers KEOLIS Private operator
- f public transport,
including light train transport (subway, tramway), buses and coaches throughout more than 17 countries Competitive environment Passengers (travel) and companies (professional trips) Transdev, DB Regio, Arriva, RATP , First Group, MTR GEODIS Optimization of the supply chain, every step of the way, freight forwarding, contract logistics, distribution & express and road transport with a direct presence in 67 countries and a network covering 120 countries Competitive environment Shippers DB-Scheinker XPO KUEHNE + NAGEL Rail Freight Train transport & logistics solutions for industries (steel, chemicals, goods…) Competitive environment
KEOLIS GEODIS Rail Freight
SNCF Réseau Gares & Connexions Rail network management,
- peration,
maintenance and development Trains stations renovation & management Legal & Natural monopoly Train operating companies (incl. SNCF) Train operating companies (incl. SNCF) DB Netz ADIF INEO EUROVIA ADP Grandi Stazioni
SNCF Réseau SA
TER + Transilien + Intercités Voyages SNCF HSL Train France Opening to competition in 2020 Other activities Opened to competition TER + Intercités Opening to competition from 2023 onwards Transilien Opening to competition from 2023 to 2039 Passengers (travel) and companies (professional trips) Deutsche Bahn, Thello Air France, Ryanair, Easy Jet Flixbus, Blablacar Expedia (oui.sncf) Transdev, DB Regio, Arriva, RATP HSL Train France TGV InOui OuiGo HSL Train Europe Eurostar Thalys Lyria Elipsos Alleo SNCF Voyages Italia Other Mobilities West bahn IDVroom… Distribution Oui.sncf Rail Europe … TER + Intercités: regional and interregional train and coach service
- perated by SNCF and regional
governments across France Transilien: Train transport for Greater Paris area (Ile de France Mobilités)
SNCF Voyageurs SA
12 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
166 3% 112 2% 32 1% 5.936 18% 8.161 24% 1.578 5% 6.216 19% 1.486 4%
Net (€bn) investments Net investments (%)
884 17% 28 1%
- 43
NA 2.956 60% 246 5% 696 12% 5.077 100%
SNCF Voyageurs SA SNCF Réseau SA
Revenues (€bn) Revenues (%) EBITDA (€bn) EBITDA Margin (%) FCF 2018 (€bn) FCF 2017 (€bn) Employees KEOLIS GEODIS Rail Freight Other activities SNCF Group
KEOLIS GEODIS Rail Freight
7.837 24% 7.690 23% 833 3% 1.044 13% 251 3% 50 6%
- 68
256 171
- 7
331 185 1.560 25% 233 16%
- 2.502
- 2.057
- 59
- 31
350 6% 306 4%
- 188
NA 112
- 27
144 207
- 353
- 283
- 6.425*
- 19%
33.312 100% 415** 4.020 12%
- 336
- 120
- 2.560
- 1.876
KEY FINANCIAL METRICS FY 2018
A VIEW BY ACTIVITY
SNCF Réseau Gares & Connexions
** € 328 m Ermewa + € 125 m SNCF Immobilier + € 54 m SNCF Corporate * Including elimination of intercompany sales for € 10.4 bn
Voyages SNCF TER + Transilien SNCF Intercités
23.268 44.227 2.771 58.301 4.056 65.664 39.869 10.933 23.633 272.721
13 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
2016 2017 2018 2018 PF 2) H1 2019 Revenues (€bn) 32.3 33.5 33.3 33.3 17.9 EBITDA (€bn) 4.1 4.7 4.0 4.0 2.9 Financial Result (€bn)
- 1.5
- 1.5
- 1.4
- 0.6
NA Net Result (Rec.) (€bn) 0.6 1.5
- 0.2
0.8 0.0 Gross Investments (€bn)
- 8.6
- 8.8
- 8.9
- 8.7
- 4.3
Net investments excl. sub (€bn)
- 5.5
- 5.1
- 5.1
- 4.9
- 3.1
Free Cash Flow (€bn)
- 2.8
- 1.9
- 2.6
- 1.8
- 1.5 3)
Net fjnancial Debt (€bn) 52.8 54.6 56.6 21.6 59.7 3) Equity (€bn)
- 7.2
- 5.9
- 6.5
28.5 NA Net Debt / EBITDA (x) 12.7 11.4 14.2 5.4 NA Gearing 4) (€bn) NA NA NA 43% NA EBITDA / Financial expenses (x) 2.8 3.2 2.8 7.0 NA
1) In two steps, € 25 bn at 1st January and € 10 bn in 2022 2) Unaudited and notwhistanding 2018 debt repayment 3) SNCF Réseau + SNCF Mobilités 4) Defined as Net Debt / (Equity + Net Debt)
FINANCIAL PROFILE
SNCF GROUP: HISTORICAL FIGURES COMMENTS ON 2018 & H1 2019 FIGURES
SNCF Group, will benefit from SNCF Réseau’s debt relief that will shrink total net indebtedness by € 35 bn1) and improve equity position by the same amount. This relief will help the company maintain solvency and liquidity ratios aligned with top class credit ratings.
IN 2018
Group revenues increased +1.3% (at constant scope, standards and exchange rates) and +3.9% notwithstanding strikes impacts Impact of 39 days of strikes: – Revenues: - € 882 m – Operating Margin: - € 770 m (€ 20 m / day) EBITDA margin at 12.1% of turnover Recurring net income at Group level amounted to - € 214 m, as a direct result of the strikes
IN H1 2019
+10.5% Y-o-Y revenues growth at € 17.9 bn EBITDA grew up sharply at € 2.9 bn (16% of revenues) + € 400 m in competitiveness for H1 2019 Net income stood at 20 m, up + € 551 m vs H1 2018
2017 33.5 4.7 +3.9%
STRIKE* IMPACT STRIKE* IMPACT
REVENUES EBITDA 33.3 4.0
- 0.9
- 0.8
2018 2017 2018
* 2018 historically long strike impact due to the adoption of the railway reform and the termination of railway’s workers’ derogatory status
14 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Defend Group’s rating by ensuring ratios consistent with a plc status: – Net debt / EBITDA < 5x – FFO / Net debt > 10% – Positive FCF by 2022 Avoid structural subordination for the debt located at the level
- f the holding company
Maintain a suffjcient level
- f liquidity (cash + RCF) for the Group
to ensure, at any time a liquidity ratio >1.2x (sources / uses) Adopt a prudent hedging strategy
- n main fjnancial risks (currency,
interest rates, infmation, etc.)
2 3 1 4
Provide fjnancing capacity, at all times, at the best of market conditions and at the best cost
5
FINANCIAL STRATEGY
15 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
FUNDING STRATEGY: GENERAL PRINCIPLES
Between 1st January and 30th June 2020, at the latest, two issuers (SNCF SA & SNCF Réseau) will be kept on parallel for operational issues From 30th June 2020, SNCF SA will act as sole issuer Medium Term funding policy at 1st of January 2020 – External debts (and the associated hedging instruments) borne by the Group’s various subsidiaries (including SNCF Réseau) at 31st of December 2019 will continue to be borne by these subsidiaries and will not be transferred to the parent company – SNCF SA will be the sole issuer of debt in the bond market – SNCF SA will be the only entity in the Group to benefjt from bank credit lines, with the exception of some subsidiaries, including Keolis – For any new fjnancing at the level of the Group’s subsidiaries, SNCF will have to ensure that it does not have a negative impact on its own fjnancing Short term cash management at 1st of January 2020 – All Group companies will be required to invest their surplus cash and fjnance their short-term needs directly from SNCF SA – Taking into account the constraints related to the 4th railway package, it is planned the creation of 2 tight spheres of cash:
- SNCF Réseau and its subsidiaries, therefore Gares & Connexions
- SNCF SA and the other subsidiaries of the Group
– By way of exception, the following entities will constitute sealed cash pockets within the SNCF SA sphere: Rail Freight, Keolis, Eurostar
RÉSEAU SA SA SA RÉSEAU SA SA RAIL FREIGHT
16 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
FUNDING STRATEGY
A targeted long-term funding programme of circa € 4.0 billion in 2020, € 2.0 to € 4.0 billion in 2021 and € 1.0 to 3.0 billion thereafter. 3 main funding pillars in the bond market: – Building credit curves in €, $ and in green bond core financial markets, with liquid benchmark issues especially on long term maturities. – Being active when possible in public £ or CHF markets where SNCF Réseau has reference curves. – Issuing innovative products such as infmation linked bonds, NSV, etc., completed by tailor-made private placements. The funding strategy emphasizes public benchmarks and public reopening, leaving around 25% room for private placements in various formats and currencies. A dynamic investor relation policy in the key investor main geographical areas (America(s), Asia, Europe, Middle East) to diversify the investor base.
17 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Fitch believes that this change of status will help prepare SNCF Mobilites for the opening-up to competition of the domestic passenger railway transport market in 2020. In a competitive market, the European regulator has interpreted the EPIC status as conferring an unfair
advantage to the operator […] Fitch views that the 100% state ownership and the legal provision preventing the state from selling its shares as positive for SNCF Mobilites, which
illustrate the state’s ongoing involvement with the company. [5th Sept. 19] We expect the integra- tion of rail services and the efficiency measures
promoted by the reform to support the Group’s cash flow stability, partially
- ffsetting its high financial leverage
(€ 67 billion as of Dec. 31, 2018), which we expect to significantly decline following € 25 billion debt relief by the state in 2020 and € 10 billion in
- 2022. We are therefore assigning
preliminary ‘AA-/A-1+’ long- and short- term issuer credit ratings to SNCF S.A., and also assigning a preliminary ‘AA-’ issue rating to the holding company’s future debt. [11th Oct. 19] The Aa3 issuer rating,
- ne notch below
the France sovereign rating, reflects our expectation that the company’s credit quality will continue to benefit from a high level of support from the French Government despite a gradual erosion of the company’s quasi monopoly in France and the loss of its special legal status (EPIC) starting from the 1st of January
- 2020. [3rd July 19]
Bloomberg ticker: SNCF Reuters ticker: SNCF
FINANCIAL PROGRAMMES AND ISSUERS
A new EMTN programme will substitute to the previous ones (SNCF Mobilités & SNCF Réseau) and cover the Group future funding needs: – EMTN Programme Ceiling (€ 12 bn) – Placed under French Law – Compatible with the format Directive Prospectus 3 – Dedicated to professionals only Two money markets programmes, Neu.CP & ECP
5,500 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500
SNCF CREDIT CURVE
Public issues outstanding in € million equivalent
(as of 31st December 2019, SNCF Réseau & SNCF Mobilités’ aggregates)
EUR CURRENCY EUR Green Bonds
2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2039 2044 2048 2054 2062 SHORT-TERM LONG-TERM CEILINGS CEILINGS
Neu CP € 3 bn ECP € 5 bn EMTN € 12 bn
RATING AGENCY SHORT-TERM LONG-TERM
Standard & Poor’s A-1+ AA-
1)
Moody’s P-1 Aa3
2)
FitchRatings F1+ A+
3)
1) for SNCF SA, 2) for SNCF Mobilités to be renamed SNCF SA, 3) likely but to be confirmed
Share of gross debt relieved through financial flows received as part of the French State debt relief mechanism
2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2042 2047 2052 2060 2119 2115 2020 2022 2064
SNCF RÉSEAU CREDIT PROFILE
19 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
A MONOPOLISTIC ACTIVITY AND A STABLE FINANCIAL PROFILE A REAFFIRMED AND REINFORCED STATE SUPPORT
Public service mission with a natural and legal monopoly over the infrastructure bearing no risk of deregulation Unified and integrated infrastructure manager with long-term tangible assets and very stable and predictable revenues Wholly and indirectly owned by the French State; shares are neither transferable nor sellable. Chairman of SNCF Réseau will be appointed by the board, under proposal of the French State and approval from the ART 1) Strategic missions to the French State due to its weight in the economy, regional planning, daily mobility, equal access to the territories, employment, Cop 21 trajectory compliance, energy transition, national defense Strong support from the French State which actively participates in the determination of SNCF Réseau’s strategy and economic trajectory (multi-annual contract) Financial risk is mitigated by the liquidity support offered by the French State through the CDP’s (Public Debt Fund)
SNCF RÉSEAU: CREDIT FEATURES
A FRAMEWORK STENGTHENING THE ROLE OF SNCF RÉSEAU FOR THE FRENCH STATE
SNCF Réseau is now considered as a public administration (APU) and as such, its debt and defjcit are fully consolidated into the French public debt and deficit Independence and neutrality of SNCF Réseau is guaranteed by Law within the SNCF Group in accordance with the provisions of the 4th European railway package and under the supervision of the ART 1) Included in the “Government Related Entity” list by the European Commission in 2002 (under its former name RFF) & eligible to the ECB Public Sector Purchasing Programme (PSPP) for € denominated issues
1) ART is the French Transportation Independent Regulator
20 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
FINANCIAL & FUNDING STRATEGY
SNCF RESEAU, A TOP QUALITY ISSUER FINANCIAL POLICY AND TARGETS
Very strong credit profjle with alignment of the rating to the one of the French state (0 notch differential) A fjnancial structure sustainable and adequate with the transformation into a PLC: – Positive equity – Neutral Free Cash Flow – Solvency ratios in line with main peers by 2026 Conservative hedging strategy on main fjnancial risks assumed by SNCF Réseau and then by the holding from 1st of January 2020 onwards
2 1
Fitch Ratings classifies SNCF Reseau as a government-related entity (GRE) of the state of France (AA/Stable /F1+) and equalises its ratings with those
- f the sovereign. This reflects a ‘Very
Strong’ assessment of the following rating factors: status, ownership and control, support track record and expectations, and financial implications
- f the GRE’s default. It also reflects a
‘Strong’ assessment of socio-political implications of default. [13th Sept. 19] We revised our
- utlook to stable
because the French government’s recent clarification of the governance of SNCF Réseau and
the future unified rail Group from 2020 leads us to conclude that the
likelihood of government support to the company is not subject to transition risk.
We therefore expect our ratings and
- utlook on SNCF Réseau will move in
line with those on France. [27th June 19] Today’s rating affir- mation reflects that SNCF Réseau’s credit profile is expected to remain aligned with that of the government of France (Aa2 positive) despite the change in ownership structure and funding model of the
- company. This reflects the continued
strong links between SNCF Réseau and the Government and the credit support provided directly to the company by the Government, which is expected to survive into the foreseeable future. [2nd July 19]
Strategic allocation
90% Fixed rate 6% Floating rate 4% Inflation-linked rate
Bloomberg ticker: RESFER Reuters ticker: SNCFR
Until 30th of June 2020, SNCF Réseau will have the ability to raise its own fundings. After 1st of July 2020, all fundings will be carried out by SNCF SA and then allocated to SNCF’s subsidiaries including SNCF Réseau.
SHORT-TERM LONG-TERM CEILINGS CEILING
Neu CP € 3 bn ECP € 5 bn EMTN € 55 bn
Until 30/06/20 Run-off
RATING AGENCY SHORT-TERM LONG-TERM
Standard & Poor’s A-1+ AA Moody’s P-1 Aa2 FitchRatings F1+ AA
Issuance format: Reg S, Cat 1-2-3, EMTN programme 2013 2012 2014 2015 2016
AVERAGE MATURITY OF ANNUAL LONG-TERM ISSUANCES
2017 2018
3
5 years 25 years 20 years 15 years 10 years 0 year
21 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
DEBT PROFILE
4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500
SNCF RÉSEAU CREDIT CURVE
Public issues outstanding in € million equivalent (as of 31st December 2019)
EUR EUR Green Bonds CHF CAD GBP EUR€i USD
SELECTED BENCHMARK ISSUES
(as of 31st December 2019, in million per currency)
2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039 2041 2043 2045 2047 2052 2060 2062 2061 2119 2115 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040 2042 2044 2046 2048
GEOGRAPHICAL BREAKDOWN
Since 1997
38% France 24% Euro area 16% UK 7% Switzerland
7% Asia
5% Others 1% Scandinavia 2% USA/Canada 75% EUR 11% GBP 4% CHF 8% USD 2% Others (AUD, CAD, HKD, NOK, SEK, JPY) 59% Euro Public Issues 22% Other public Issues 19% Private placements
CURRENCY BREAKDOWN
Since 1997
ISSUING FORMAT
Since 1997
CHF 26/02/21 2.875 300 21/11/26 2 150 10/02/31 2.625 125 30/06/32 3.25 250 24/11/34 2 100 11/03/37 2.625 130 US $ 13/10/20 2 1,500 18/03/22 2.750 1,500 GBP 02/12/21 5.5 800 07/12/28 5.25 650 31/01/35 5.25 475 11/03/52 5 550 25/03/60 4.83 550 C $ 01/06/35 4.7 300 EUR ei 28/02/23 €i 2.45 2,000 EUR 12/10/20 6 2,000 27/05/21 0.1 1,000 02/06/22 4.375 3,000 30/01/24 4.5 3,850 29/12/25 2.625 1,500 07/10/26 4.25 3,600 19/05/27 1.125 650 25/10/28 3.125 2,075 22/01/29 0.875 850 25/05/30 1.125 1,800 09/11/31 1.00 900 10/10/33 5 3,650 30/03/34 1.875 1,000 25/05/36 0.750 1.500 29/05/37 1.5 1,450 18/12/42 3.3 1,825 20/12/47 2.25 1,350 05/02/48 2 1,225 22/03/62 4.125 1,250 29/07/2115 2.777 40 14/08/2119 1.425 100
CSR: COMMITMENTS & GREEN BOND PROGRAMME
SNCF has developed a unique and truly innovative approach to impact reporting that makes it possible to assess the carbon footprint
- f its entire green bond programme – green
investors have praised its exhaustive nature and transparency Compliance with high-level market standards Benefjting from the Climate Bond Initiative Certifjcation under the Low-Carbon Transportation Standard
04
Climate Bond Certified The Green Bond Principles SNCF-Réseau GREEN BOND
23 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
SNCF GROUP: CSR POLICY
BEST IN CLASS IN MOST CSR CRITERIA
In the context of the climate emergency, rail has grown up as a critical asset in favor of the ecological transition. It is one of the most environmentally-friendly means of transport accounting for > 10% of passenger and freight traffic with only (i) 0.6% of energy consumption ; (ii) 0.6% of transportation CO2 emissions and (iii) 2.6% of the particle emissions for the sector. Sustainable design and operations are essential to the success of any mobility system. That’s why SNCF pledged to meet four challenges: (i) deliver sustainable mobility for all ; (ii) reduce the environmental impact ; (iii) promote human development and (iv) contribute to regional economic growth. SNCF’s approach is comforted by extra financial ratings (SRI) provided by VIGÉO and ECOVADIS with respective ratings
- f 66/100 and 79/100.
SNCF’s approach is comforted by the sustainable KPIs of its € 3.5 bn Revolving Credit Facility (RCF): (i) GHG emissions reductions targets in passenger.km ; (ii) greater weighting of CSR criteria in Group purchases contracts and (iii) renewable energy supply contracts targets.
A SAFE AND SUSTAINABLE BUSINESS MODEL FOR THE FUTURE
AGENCIES VIGÉO EIRIS ECOVADIS VIGÉO EIRIS ISS-Oekom SCORES RANKINGS 2016 54/100 75/100 2017 53/100 75/100 2018 66/100 79/100 2019 72/100 – 49/100 C+ 66/100 B- 66/100 B- 70/100 B- #1 out of 15 companies Top 1% out of 40 companies #2 out of 49 companies #2 out of 51 companies
CO
0.6%
- f total CO2 emissions for the
transportation industry (Scope 1 & 2)
30 X
greener than the car
52 X
safer than the car
24 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
GREEN BOND PROGRAMME
Since 2016, SNCF has initiated an innovative Green Bond programme dedicated to SNCF Réseau’s major renovation investments.
GREEN BOND FRAMEWORK MAIN CHARACTERISTICS
Eligible Green Assets: Green Bond programme currently focused on maintenance, upgrade and energy effjciency
- f the rail system and investments related to new rail lines and rail lines extensions
Significant amounts: Eligible Green Assets represent € 1.5 to € 1.8 bn every year (at SNCF Réseau’s level) Recurrent programme: Targeting to issue Green Bonds Benchmarks at least once a year Additionality: New money for new Capex Second opinion: Provided by ISS-Corporate Services (ISS-ESG) High Standards: – In line with the Green Bond Principles (GBP) – Climate Bond Initiative (CBI) certifjcation
TRANSPARENCY
Annual reporting certified by external auditors which allows investors to verify the adequate allocation of the proceeds to eligible projects, and evaluate the environmental impact of their investments.
STANDARDISATION
Carbon impact calculation methodology developed in coordination and approved by “CARBON 4”. SNCF Réseau Green Bonds are included in the MSCI Barclays Green Bond index.
2019
Largest Green Bond for SNCF Réseau
€ 1,500,000,000
0.75% Climate Bond due May 2036 2019
First Green Century Bond ever issued
€ 100,000,000
1.425% Climate Bond due August 2119 2017 + 2019
(TAP)
Longest Green Bond in € with a double certifjcation from CBI and GBP
€ 1,350,000,000
2.25% Climate Bond due December 2047 2017
Longest Green Bond for a French company or agency
€ 1,000,000,000
1.875% Climate Bond due March 2034 2016
1st Green Bond for a Railway Infrastructure Manager
€ 900,000,000
1% Climate Bond due November 2031
MOST REMARKABLE GREEN BOND ISSUANCES
Green outstanding
(as of December 2019)
€5.7 bn
For the quality of its Green Bond Reporting
By the Climate Bonds Initiative (03/19)
GREEN PIONEER AWARD
% of SNCF Réseau’s total debt
11.1%
For € 1 bn invested in Green renewal projects
3.7 M of tCO2 eq.
avoided
25 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
SNCF-Réseau GREEN BOND
A PROCEEDS ALLOCATION SPLIT IN 3 CATEGORIES
SNCF RÉSEAU GREEN BOND’S CATEGORIES
Investments related to maintenance, upgrade and energy efficiency
- f the rail system on the HSL
and most circulated network Investments related to new rail lines and rail lines extensions Other investments linked to the global climate change challenges, the protection of biodiversity and natural resources
* Realised, as of December 2019
TYPOLOGY OF PROJECTS
Track, ballast sleepers & switches Catenary’s system renewal Signalling’s system renewal Bridges, Tunnels, Earthworks & others sub-Total LGV EE PHASE 2 (2016), LGV SEA (2017), LGV BPL (2017), LGV CNM (2017) Currently included in categories 1 and 2 but is expected to be disdinguished over time
ASSET POOLS ELIGIBLE IN €
2016 1,084 36 183 1,303 176 nd 1,479 2017 1,025 36 197 108 1,366 nd 1,366 2018 961 233 151 79 1,424 nd 1,424 2019 869 263 173 167 1,471 nd 1,471
IMPACT ASSESSMENT METHODOLOGY
Carbon amortization depends on two parameters 1 Emissions due to regeneration works, or new lines developments. For reference, steel used for the tracks stand for 2/3 of the overall emissions. 2 Emissions saved thanks to the regeneration works or new lines developments. It depends on the traffic volumes on the tracks throughout the life cycle of the infrastructure (30 years), with various modal shifts based on the line considered. – High Speed Lines, 53.7 bn.v.km/y, > modal shift: 50% airplane, 40% car, 10% buses – Regional Trains Lines, 13.6 bn.v.km/y, > modal shift: 90% car, 10% buses – Freight Lines, 32 bn.v.km/y, > modal shift: 90% trucks, 10% waterway
= =
€1 bn
Invested in Green Bonds renewal projects equivalent to the carbon footprint of
7.600
French people over 40 year
TANGIBLE ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS FOR EACH € INVESTED
3.7 M
- f tCO2 eq.
- f avoided emissions
- ver 40 years
CO2
* * * *
APPENDICES BUSINESS PROFILES
05
27 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
SNCF RÉSEAU
€ 6.2 bn
REVENUES
~58,000
EMPLOYEES
30,000
KM OF LINES (INCLUDING 2 600 KM OF HIGH SPEED LINES)
€ 5.1 bn
GROSS CAPEX SPENT ON THE NETWORK IN 2018 (68% FOR RENEWAL WORKS)
20,000
TRAIN PATHS DELIVERED EVERY DAY
Activities and environment Customers and markets Commercialisation of train paths to train operating companies and transport authorities Organisation of train services and development
- f rail traffic
Maintenance and enhancement of rail assets
Development of the network, through reopening
- f existing lines and construction of new lines
Clients and partners: 27 operators using the network,
and 15 businesses authorized to book train paths for their activities
28 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
GARES & CONNEXIONS
Activities and environment Customers and markets
Operate, develop and transform train stations
Create an offer including services and shops Manage station traffic and transport hubs Changing environment: stations are open to the cities they serve, and to the intersection of all modes
- f transport
Clients and partners:
– Rail companies – Transport organizing authorities, metropolitan areas
SNCF Retail & Connexions:
– Optimize revenues from in-station shops, – All revenues from in-station shops are reinvested in the rail system in the form of reduced track access fees for carriers and increased investment in stations development and renovation
AREP:
– Designs and builds spaces that can meet complex needs in multimodal stations worldwide
€ 1.5 bn
REVENUES
3,000
STATIONS UNDER MANAGEMENT
2 Million
SQUARE METERS UNDER MANAGEMENT INCLUDING 180 000 FOR STORES
~4,000
EMPLOYEES
10 Million
PASSENGERS VISITING G&C STATIONS IN FRANCE EVERY DAY
29 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
SNCF VOYAGEURS
€ 16.4 bn
REVENUES
~70,000
EMPLOYEES
110 Million
HIGH SPEED RAIL PASSENGERS IN FRANCE / YEAR
28.4 Million
PASSENGERS ON INTERNATIONAL HIGH-SPEED LINES IN 2018
N°.1
VOYAGES-SNCF.COM : FRANCE’S ONLINE TRAVEL AGENCY
Activities and environment Customers and markets
High-speed, long distance train – In France: TGV InOui, OuiGo –
In Europe: rail operators including Eurostar, Thalys, Alleo and Lyria
TER+ Intercités: medium and long distance trains in France Transilien: passenger transport in the Greater Paris area OUI.sncf: on-line travel agent New mobilities: OuiCar, iDAVIS Changing environment: fierce competition from
- ther modes, including low cost and other air transport
carriers, privately owned automobiles Customers: – Business travelers and individuals / travelling
for personal reasons
– Transport organizing authorities for TER and Transilien passengers in France Rail market: – Market opening to competition in 2020 for high-speed lines and from 2020 to 2039 for other activites
30 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
KEOLIS
Activities and environment Customers and markets
Mass transit: a major public transport player
in Europe and the rest of the world
Operation and maintenance of all transit modes
and related services
23 tramway networks in France and abroad, N°1 worldwide, World largest tramway network in Melbourne N°1 in urban mass transit in France and in transport
- f passengers with reduced mobility
N°2 in parking spaces facilities in France, managing 150 000 spaces (370 car parks in 170 cities in France) 2nd largest inter urban transit operator in France serving
the whole territory
2nd largest provider of bike-share services
€ 5.9 bn
REVENUES
~65,000
EMPLOYEES
50%
OF TOTAL BUSINESS ON INTERNATIONAL MARKETS (in 16 countries)
3.3 bn
PASSENGERS A YEAR
N°.1
FOR EXPLOITATION OF AUTOMATIC METRO AND TRAMWAY IN THE WORLD
21.650
BUSES AND COACHES IN THE WORLD
31 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
GEODIS
€ 8.2 bn
REVENUES
~40,000
EMPLOYEES
67 countries
DIRECT PRESENCE IN 67 COUNTRIES AND NETWORK CONNECTING 120 COUNTRIES
100 Million
PARCELS PER YEAR IN EXPRESS & PARCEL DELIVERY
Activities and environment Customers and markets
A full range of expert services across the supply chain with five lines of business: – Freight Forwarding: multi modal transport solutions (Sea, Air, Road and Rail) – Contract Logistics: one of the key players in the Contract Logistics market worldwide – Distribution & Express: N°4 Distribution & Express solution operator, and N°1 in France for 24 to 48 hour deliveries across the continent – Road Transport: road transport leader in Europe when it comes to full and partial truckloads – Supply Chain Optimization: consulting services such as logistics chain diagnostics and network design, supply management and flow management Changing environment: structurally favourable market trends, despite unstable economic conditions
300
LOGISTICS PLATFORMS WORLDWODE
APPENDICES OTHER
33 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
MECHANISM OF THE DEBT RELIEF
€ 35 bn loan € 35 bn loan € 35 bn Equity increase € 35 bn loan € 35 bn loan Existing Lenders Existing Lenders Existing Lenders
CDP CDP
$ $ $
CONSEQUENCES FOR SNCF RÉSEAU
This debt relief, in addition to SNCF Réseau’s performance plan, will allow SNCF Réseau, in 2022 or thereafter, to :
- signifjcantly reduce its net debt and
increase its equity;
- cut down its fjnancial expenses,
- n a pro-rata basis, by approximately
€ 1.1 bn per year;
- reach fjnancial equilibrium in terms
- f free cash fmow and, thereby,
stabilize its net debt;
- reach fjnancial ratios that are
compatible with a Public Limited Company status;
- ensure a fair treatment among
all creditors including bondholders.
A B D C C
French State
EXISTING STRUCTURE
1 2 3 4
CREATION OF A SYNTHETIC DEBT
SNCF Réseau lends and borrows the exact same amount to/from the CDP (Caisse de la dette Publique / Public Debt Fund). The characteristics (maturities, interest rate, etc.)
- f both loans fully replicate those
- f SNCF Réseau’s fjnancial debt
(including associated derivatives): CDP lends to SNCF Réseau the amount to be created synthetically (€ 35 bn in two stages: € 25 bn on January 1st, 2020 and € 10 bn by 2022). SNCF Réseau lends to CDP the exact same amount with similar conditions at the same time.
DEBT RELIEF MECHANISM
The French State replaces SNCF Réseau as debtor to the CDP by operation of law resulting in the direct increase in SNCF Réseau’s equity. SNCF Réseau still receives from CDP the interests and principal of the synthetic debt until maturity of it.
A B C D
34 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Lecce Waterford Tralee Westport Sligo Tilbourg Subotica Debrecen Prešov Žilina Bielsko-Biała Rzeszów Olsztyn Tuzla Zenica St-Gall Ringsted Bruges Mons Bochum Wuppertal Bielefeld Aix-la-C. Oldenburg Bradford Stoke Northampton Luton Preston Holyhead Swansea Tralee Westport Sligo St-Etienne Valentiennes Bayonne Annecy St-Nazaire Thionville Lorient Maubeuge Montbéliard Vierzon Alès Vienne Colmar Sète Boulogne Arras Belfort Roanne Fréjus Aix-en-P. Ravenne Rimini Forlì Latina Brescia Bergame Vicence Terni Plaisance Lecce Olbia Elche Jerez Marbella Jaén Braga Constantine Barcelona Tangiers Cadix Sevilla Huelva Faro Algéciras Setubal Porto Zaragosa Valencia Malaga Cartagena Palma De Majorque Pamplona San Sebastián Vigo Santiago de Compostela A Coruña Bilbao Oviedo Santander Lugo León Gijón Granada Badajoz Toledo Huesca Lérida Figueras Salamanque Viana Do Castelo Aveiro Orense Coimbra Guarda Évora Cáceres Burgos Palencia Zamora Valladolid Logroño Vitoria- Gasteiz Ciudad Real Cordoba Almería Murcia Alicante Albacete Castellón De La Plana Tarragona Gérona Béjaïa Skikda Annaba Bizerte Belfast Cork Edinburgh Liverpool Sheffield Manchester Norwich Cardiff Southampton Leeds Bristol Ipswich Newcastle Limerick Galway Londonderry Plymouth Brighton Folkestone Cambridge Leicester Birmingham Gloucester Shrewsbury Lincoln Chester Stoke Derby Carlisle Middlesbrough Rotterdam Tarbes Toulouse Pau Agen Dax Arcachon Marseille Montauban Nîmes Avignon Toulon Montpellier Narbonne Béziers Arles Limoges Clermont- Ferrand Angoulême Lyon Valence Bordeaux Brive- la-Gaillarde Nevers Le Mans Rouen Angers Rennes Saint-Brieuc Moulins Vannes Tours Amiens Caen Niort Nantes Brest La Rochelle Bourges Le Havre Cherbourg Chartres Poitiers Quimper Orléans Lens Lille Charleroi Dunkerque Calais Nancy Charleville- Mézières Strasbourg Reims Metz Troyes Grenoble Lausanne Mâcon Mulhouse Chambéry Dijon Besançon Genève Nice Cannes Bastia Calvi Ajaccio Saint-Malo Antwerpen Ghent Utrecht Groningen Zwolle Arnhem Liège NamurLUXEMBOURG
Dortmund Kaiserslautern Saarbrücken Karlsruhe Wilhelmshaven Bremerhaven Hamburg Lübeck Kiel RostockBERLIN
Bremen Hannover Osnabrück Münster Duisbourg Eindhoven Essen Düsseldorf Köln Bonn Koblenz Mainz Frankfurt- am-Main Darmstadt Mannheim Stuttgart Ulm Freiburg Magdeburg Braunschweig Halle Kassel Iéna Erfurt Leipzig Dresden Cottbus Görlitz Chemnitz Zwickau Wurzburg Bamberg Nuremberg Regensburg Ingolstadt München Esbjerg Odense Basel Olten Zurich Luzern Lugano Innsbruck Linz Graz Klagenfurt Milano Venezia Torino Genova Bologna Parma Novara Alexandria Savona Trento Bolzano Udine Trieste Verona Modena La Spezia Ferrara Firenze Livorno Ancona Arezzo Perugia Grosseto Pescara Palermo Bari Cagliari Foggia Napoli Caserta Salerno Tarento Sassari Agrigento Messina Syracusa Cataia Reggio Di Calabria Kaliningrad Gdynia Gdask Bydgoszcz Toru Pozna Łód Szczecin Wrocław Czstochowa Opole Katowice Ústí Nad Labem Plze Ostrava Brno eské Budjovice Košice MiskolcBRATISLAVA
Gyr Pécs Szeged Maribor Rijeka Osijek Karlovac Split Dubrovnik Zadar Novi Sad Banja Luka Mostar Bar Shkodër Durrës PerpignanALGERIA TUNISIA
Białystok Doncaster Kingston Nottingham Coventry Reading Portsmouth Augsburg Padova Radom Kielce LublinMAROCCO
The Hague Salzburg KrakowHUNGARY
BEOGRAD ALGER TUNIS LISBOA MADRID LONDON BRUSSELS PRAHA PARIS ROMA LJUBLJANA ZAGREB SARAJEVO PODGORICA TIRANË BERN BUDAPEST AMSTERDAM DUBLIN WIEN WARSZAWA
SWITZERLAND
MONACOPORTUGAL FRANCE UNITED KINGDOM IRERLAND
BELGIUM
LUXEMBOURGGERMANY ITALY BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA SLOVENIA CROATIA SE MONTENE AUSTRIA
LIECHTENSTEIN ANDORRE SAN MARINODENMARK REPUBLIC CZECH SPAIN
NETHERLANDS
POLAND SLOVAKIA
HIGH SPEED EUROPE IN 2019
French border
EUROPEAN NETWORK MAPS
35 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Ticker : RESFER/SNCFER
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- f, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. Accordingly, it
is not directed to the specifjc investment objectives, fjnancial situation or particular needs of any recipient. You should consult with your own legal, regulatory, tax, business, investment, financial and accounting advisers to the extent that you deem it necessary, and make your own investment, hedging and trading decisions (including decisions regarding the suitability of an investment in SNCF SA securities) based upon your own judgment and advice from such advisers as you deem necessary and not upon any view expressed in this document. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information
- r opinions contained herein. None of SNCF SA, or any of its affjliates, advisers or representatives
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DISCLAIMER
36 SNCF GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION
EMAIL: investors@sncf.fr WEB: www.sncf.com TICKER BLOOMBERG: SNCF TICKER REUTERS: SNCF NICOLAS MARCHESSAUX
Head of Capital Markets & Investor Relations Dpt. TEL . : +33 (0)1 45 19 28 54 MAIL : nicolas.marchessaux@sncf.fr
JULIEN JOACHIM
Deputy Head of Capital Markets & Investor Relations Dpt. TEL . : +33 (0)1 45 19 28 65 MAIL : julien.joachim@sncf.fr
FLORIAN MORINI
Credit Analyst, Investor Relations TEL . : +33 (0) 1 85 58 85 31 MAIL : florian.morini@sncf.fr