SKY NETWORK TELEVISION ANNUAL RESULTS 2005 Jun-05 Jun-04 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
SKY NETWORK TELEVISION ANNUAL RESULTS 2005 Jun-05 Jun-04 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
SKY NETWORK TELEVISION ANNUAL RESULTS 2005 Jun-05 Jun-04 Wholesale Jun-03 Jun-02 Jun-01 Jun-00 Jun-99 Jun-98 Satellite Jun-97 Jun-96 Jun-95 Jun-94 Jun-93 Subscribers UHF Jun-92 Jun-91 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000
Subscribers
100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000
Jun-91 Jun-92 Jun-93 Jun-94 Jun-95 Jun-96 Jun-97 Jun-98 Jun-99 Jun-00 Jun-01 Jun-02 Jun-03 Jun-04 Jun-05
UHF Satellite Wholesale
Subscriber Growth
576.6
7.2 83.9 394.2 91.3
2004
(14.8%) 77.8 UHF Residential
Total Subscribers
Commercial/Other DBS Wholesale DBS (Satellite) Residential
‘000
7.4% 619.2
29.2% 9.3 6.9% 89.7 12.2% 442.4
% Change 2005
10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 30% 32% Jun-98 Dec-98 Jun-99 Dec-99 Jun-00 Dec-00 Jun-01 Dec-01 Jun-02 Dec-02 Jun-03 Dec-03 Jun-04 Dec-04 Jun-05
Moving Annual Churn
1.00% 1.25% 1.50% 1.75% 2.00% Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 2003 2004 2005
Monthly Churn
0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun DBS (Satellite) UHF
2005 Monthly Churn Split
$262 $300 $345 $391 $441 $489
$0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 $400 $450 $500
$NZ millions
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Year End 30 June
Total Revenue
$50.14 $51.83 $54.55 $56.86
$47.00 $48.00 $49.00 $50.00 $51.00 $52.00 $53.00 $54.00 $55.00 $56.00 $57.00 $58.00
$NZ
2002 2003 2004 2005
Total ARPU
$59.35 $61.33 $62.49 $40.36 $40.68 $39.42 $36.94 $41.86 $46.27
$20.00 $30.00 $40.00 $50.00 $60.00
$NZ
Satellite UHF Wholesale
2003 2004 2005 ARPU
8 16 24 32
BIG MAC's
Foxtel (Australia) Sky TV (NZ) DIRECTV (US) BSkyB (UK)
2003 2004 2005
Big Mac Index
$11.6 $12.6 $16.5 $19.6 $26.6 $35.6
$0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40
$NZ millions
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Year End 30 June
Advertising Revenue
SKY Share of Television Advertising Spend
4.41 3.19 4.22 6.93 5.85 4.48 5.54 4.92 3.84 4.65 3.79 2.86 2.97
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Jun-02 Sep-02 Dec-02 Mar-03 Jun-03 Sep-03 Dec-03 Mar-04 Jun-04 Sep-04 Dec-04 Mar-05 Jun-05
Month % Percentage
Source: PricewaterhouseCooper/Television industry survey
Sky’s Share of All Television Viewing is Growing.
5 10 15 20 25 J u l
- 9
9 J a n
- J
u l
- J
a n
- 1
J u l
- 1
J a n
- 2
J u l
- 2
J a n
- 3
J u l
- 3
J a n
- 4
J u l
- 4
J a n
- 5
Month % Share of All NZ TV Viewing All Sky TV 12 Month Moving Average
% Share of viewing in all NZ Homes
Source: Nielsen TV Ratings, All New Zealanders 5+
Programming Costs % Revenue
47% 50% 48% 43% 40% 36%
30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 52%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Year End 30 June
$74.1 $75.7 $108.2 $150.8 $187.2 $230.5
$0.0 $50.0 $100.0 $150.0 $200.0 $250.0
$NZ millions
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Year End 30 June
EBITDA
- $27.0
- $42.3
- $30.2
$0.7 $35.3 $103.4
- $60.0
- $40.0
- $20.0
$0.0 $20.0 $40.0 $60.0 $80.0 $100.0 $120.0
$NZ millions
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Year End 30 June
Net Profit/(Loss)
$103.3 $153.3 $105.9 $86.1 $57.4 $73.6 $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 $160 $NZ millions 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Year End 30 June
Capital Expenditure
(excluding transponders)
Capital Expenditure Analysis
39.1% 3.2 2.3 Other
32.4% 76.0 57.4 Total Capital Expenditure
100% 5.4 0.0 Leasehold Improvements 100% 6.0 0.0 Studio Upgrade (100%) 0.0 0.2 Interactive Applications (63.6%) 0.8 2.2 Digital Expansion 10.4% 58.2 52.7 Subscriber Equipment 100% 2.4 0.0 Transponder
%Change 2005 2004
$ NZ million
DBS (Satellite) Decoder Stock
(including 11,604 broken) (including 13,161 broken)
32,861 Closing decoders 4,830 Net movement for the year (64,970) Less installed at customer (4,217) Less written off 74,017 Add purchases 28,031 Opening decoders
$0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 $900 $NZ
2002 2003 2004 2005 Forecast 2006
Decoder Material/Labour
DBS (Satellite) Install Costs
$512 $719 $803 $487 $442
Results Summary
(37.5%) 2.2 1.6 Other 35.3 0.0 22.2 59.1 128.1 187.2 253.4 440.6 2004 193.0% 103.4 Net Profit after Tax 100% (9.6) Tax (31.5%) 15.2 Interest 88.2% 111.2 EBIT (6.9%) 119.3 Depn & Amort 23.1% 230.5 EBITDA 2.2% 258.9 Operating Expenses 11.1% 489.4 Revenue % Change 2005
$NZ Million
Free Cash Flow
117.8 (52.9) 170.7 2004 40.6% (74.4)
Net Investing Cash Flows
29.1% 220.3
Net Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow
$NZ million
23.9% 145.9 % Change 2005
Revenue Analysis
440.6
33.8 26.6 8.1 25.4 346.7
2004
11.6% 387.0 Residential
Total Revenue
Installation, programming sales & other Advertising SkyWatch Commercial
$NZ million
11.1% 489.4
(11.5%) 29.9 33.8% 35.6 11.1% 9.0 9.8% 27.9
% Change 2005
Expense Analysis
383.2
128.1 54.7 7.0 17.6 175.8
2004
1.0% 177.6
Programming
Total Operating Expenses
Depreciation & Amortisation Selling, General & Administration Transmission Subscriber Management
$ NZ million
(0.8%) 380.3
(6.9%) 119.3 6.4% 58.2 1.4% 7.1 2.8% 18.1
% Change 2005
Programming Expense Analysis
1.0% 177.6 175.8 Total
(3.4%) 16.9 17.5 Other 6.2% 22.2 20.9 Production 0.8% 138.5 137.4 Rights
%Change 2005 2004
$ NZ millions
Programming Expense Analysis
56.6 138.5 Total Rights Cost 51.9% 29.4 49.5% 68.5 Second Half 48.1% 27.2 50.5% 70.0 First Half % US$ % NZ$ 2005 56.0 137.4 Total Rights Cost 50.2% 28.1 50.7% 69.7 Second Half 49.8% 27.9 49.3% 67.7 First Half % US$ % NZ$ 2004
Foreign Currency Hedging
Sky’s hedging positions at 30 June 2005
- 91% hedged for 0 -12 months $US exposures @ .613
- 49% hedged for 13-24 months $US exposures @ .623
- 40% hedged for 25-36 months $US exposures @ .659
- 94% hedged for 0 -12 months $A exposures @ .895
- 67% hedged for 13-24 months $A exposures @ .872
- 29% hedged for 25-36 months $A exposures @ .905
- average $US payment rate for opex for year to June 05 = 58.0c
- In 2005, 1c movement in USD/NZD rate impacts operating costs
by NZ$ 1.7 million.
- SKY’s tax note comprises
2005 $m Net Profit before Tax 93.9 Tax expense @ .33 31.0 Timing difference recognised (6.8) Group tax offset received (22.1) Tax loss utilised (2.1) Group offset accrual (9.7) Other 0.1 Tax Credit P&L ($9.6)
- Deferred tax asset of $9.7m now recognised
- SKY received the balance of $11.4m due from INL on 1 July 2005
Tax
- Net profit of $103.4m, a $68.1m improvement
- Operating cash flow up 29.1% to $220m
- Free cash flow improved by $28m to $146m
- Subscriber numbers up 7.4% to 618,168
- ARPU up 4.2% to $56.86, DBS ARPU up 1.9% to $62.49
- Churn down 7.6% to 15.8%
2005 Key Messages
- Our August 2005 survey of brokers forecasts indicates:
NZ$m EBITDA 239 - 264 NPAT 58 – 82 Capex 71– 102 Subscribers 643 – 653
- Capex high-end of analysts range due to:
Studio upgrade & PVR $34m PVR decoders $10m Leonard Road ($5m )
2005 Guidance
- SKY TV with its content is in a great position to leverage itself into new
- pportunities
- These opportunities include “Traditional Media” as well as “New Media”
(IPTV, 3G Mobile phone content, Terrestrial Digital, Video on Demand)
- Hence impossible to lock into a fixed payout ratio
- In the short term cash generated by the business will be used to
strengthen balance sheet to take advantage of future opportunities
- The company expects to declare a fully imputed dividend in February