Second Quarter 2019 Earnings
August 22, 2019
Second Quarter 2019 Earnings August 22, 2019 Forward-Looking - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Second Quarter 2019 Earnings August 22, 2019 Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains certain forward -looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward- looking statements
August 22, 2019
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This presentation contains certain “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward- looking statements may be identified by words such as “expects,” “intends,” “anticipates,” “plans,” “believes,” “seeks,” “estimates,” “will,” or words of similar meaning and include, but are not limited to, statements regarding the outlook for FLY’s future business, operations and financial performance. Forward-looking statements are based on management’s current expectations and assumptions, which are subject to inherent uncertainties, risks and changes in circumstances that are difficult to predict. Actual outcomes and results may differ materially due to global political, economic, business, competitive, market, regulatory and other factors and risks, and the risk that FLY may be unable to achieve its portfolio growth expectations, or to reap the benefits of such growth. Further information on the factors and risks that may affect FLY’s business is included in filings FLY makes with the Securities and Exchange Commission from time to time, including its Annual Report on Form 20-F and its reports on Form 6-K. FLY expressly disclaims any obligation to update or revise any of these forward-looking statements, whether because of future events, new information, a change in its views or expectations, or
Notes:
sale, including maintenance rights and investment in finance lease, at period end.
financial measures are in addition to, not a substitute for or superior to, measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. We have provided a reconciliation of those measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures in the Appendix. For further information, please refer to FLY’s earnings press release dated August 22, 2019.
ROBUST GLOBAL AIR TRAFFIC GROWTH
2019 Growth Forecast(1)
CONTINUED AIRLINE PROFITABILITY
2019 Global Airline Profit Forecast(1)
(1) Source: IATA, as of June 2019.
STRONG DEMAND FOR LEASED AIRCRAFT
Passenger Growth + Manufacturer Backlogs
ROBUST SECONDARY MARKET
95 Aircraft Sold Jan 2015 to June 2019 at 8% Premium to NBV
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Buying & Selling Power Advantage
Provides FLY access to larger deals & stronger returns
Purely an Aircraft Manager
BBAM does not own any aircraft
Global Leader
FLY benefits from BBAM’s full-service global platform
Strong Alignment of Interests
BBAM shareholders own 17% of FLY stock
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ADJUSTED NET INCOME
BOOK VALUE PER SHARE
ADJUSTED EPS
ADJUSTED ROE
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$25.2 $61.9
Q2 2018 Q2 2019
+146%
$21.50 $24.28
Q4 2018 Q2 2019
$0.90 $1.92
Q2 2018 Q2 2019
+$1.02
GAAP Q2 2018 Q2 2019 Net Income $24.3 $54.1 GAAP Q2 2018 Q2 2019 EPS $0.87 $1.68
Book Value Per Share Adjusted Net Income Adjusted Earnings Per Share
Note: Dollars in millions, except per share amounts.
+13%
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$102.7 $147.0
Q2 2018 Q2 2019
$89.2 $101.1
Q2 2018 Q2 2019
7.0% 7.5%
Q2 2018 Q2 2019
Operating Lease Rental Revenue Total Revenues Net Spread (1)
Note: Dollars in millions. (1) Net Spread is operating lease revenue plus finance lease revenue, less end of lease income and interest expense, annualized, divided by average net book value.
+13% +43% +7.1%
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$20.89 $21.50 $22.74 $24.28
Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019
Share Repurchases
at 26% discount to book value
➢ History of profitably selling aircraft above book value
average price of $16.53 per share
to date at avg price of $16.83 per share
$3.0B $3.4B
Q2 2018 Q2 2019
BOEING 757-SF BOEING 737 MAX AIRBUS A340 BOEING 737NG BOEING 777-LRF BOEING 787 AIRBUS A330
AIRBUS A320 FAMILY
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YEARS AVG. LEASE TERM
YEARS AVG. AGE
85 98
Q2 2018 Q2 2019
Total Aircraft
Note: Percentages represent weighted average net book value.
33%
NBV
14% 9% 0%
3% 5% 35%
NBV
1%
Net Book Value
CFM ENGINES
Owned & Leased Separately
Actively Targeting Acquisitions
Strong Liquidity, Long-Dated Financing
GROWTH CAPACITY 1 9 9 2 Q4 2019 2020 2021 2022
NEO Delivery Schedule
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NET DEBT-TO-EQUITY RATIO AT JUNE 30
PREMIUM ON Q2 AIRCRAFT SALES TO NET BOOK VALUE
(1) Economic gain includes gain on sale and retained end of lease income.
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✓ Limited Refinancing Risk ✓ Strong Outlook ✓ Modern Portfolio ✓ Identified Growth
17.0% 29.0%
+71%
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Double-Digit ROE for 5th Consecutive Quarter
Q2 2018 Q2 2019
$24.3 $54.1
Q2 2018 Q2 2019
+$30M
Net Income ROE
Q2 2018 Q2 2019
Adjusted Q2 2018 Q2 2019 Net Income $25.2 $61.9 Adjusted Q2 2018 Q2 2019 ROE 17.6% 33.2%
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(In millions)
Q2 2019 Q2 2018 Operating Lease Rental Revenue $101.1 $89.2 End of Lease Income 28.8 12.6 Amortization of Lease Incentives and Other (1.3) (2.5) Operating Lease Revenue $128.6 $99.3 Finance Lease Income 0.2 0.2 Gain on Sale of Aircraft 16.1 2.9 Other Income 2.2 0.2 Total Revenues $147.0 $102.7
Note: Sums may not foot due torounding.
INCREASE IN Q2 OPERATING LEASE RENTAL REVENUE
INCREASE IN Q2 TOTAL REVENUES
(In millions)
Q2 2019 Q2 2018 Depreciation $37.3 $33.9 Interest Expense 35.4 33.6 Selling, General and Administrative 9.4 6.4 Loss (Gain) on Derivatives 0.3 (1.3) Loss on Extinguishment of Debt 1.5 0.9 Maintenance and Other Costs 1.6 0.9 Total Expenses $85.6 $74.4
Note: Sums may not foot due torounding.
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19% Decrease in Total Expenses as a Percent of Total Revenues
(1) Forecasted SG&A does not consider foreign exchange gains or losses due to the unpredictability of such items.
PRE-TAX INCOME FOR Q3
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(In millions)
Q3 2019 Operating Lease Rental Revenue $94–96 Lease Incentives and Other ($1–2) Gain on Sale of Aircraft $50+ End of Lease Income – Depreciation $33–34 Interest Expense $33–34 Debt Extinguishment Costs $3 Maintenance and Other Costs < $1 SG&A(1) $8–9
GAIN ON SALE FOR Q3
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FIRST OF 21 A320NEO FAMILY DELIVERIES IN Q4 2019
$2B+ OF CAPACITY
40 Airlines in 21 Countries Geographic Diversity
In India 20% 20% Mala alaysia 17% 17% Eth thiopia 10% 10% Phili ilippines 9% 9% In Indonesia 8% 8% Chin ina 6% 6% Sp Spai ain 5% 5% UK UK 5% 5% USA SA 4% 4% Fr Fran ance 3% 3% Oth Other 12% 12%
(1) Percentages by net book value, excludes aircraft held for sale. (2) Air India leases are guaranteed by the Indian government. (3) Sums may not foot due to rounding. 22
Top 10 Lessees
AirA irAsia Ber erhad 12% 12% Air ir In India 11% 11% Eth thiopian Airl irlines 10% 10% Phili ilippine Airl irlines 8% 8% Mala alaysia Airl irlines 5% 5% Air ir Euro ropa 4% 4% Tra ransavia 3% 3% Lio Lion Air ir 3% 3% Sp Spic icejet 3% 3% Ameri rican Airl irlines 2% 2%
(1) Represents the contractual interest rates and effect of derivative instruments and excludes the amortization of debt discounts and debt issuance costs. (2) Represents the ratio of total debt, less unrestricted cash and cash equivalents, divided by shareholders’ equity.
(in millions) June 30, 2019 December 31, 2018 Unrestricted cash and cash equivalents $352 $180 Unencumbered assets $288 $332 O /S Rate(1) O /S Rate(1) Maturity Securitization — — $86 3.08% — 2012 Term Loan $396 4.62% 408 5.17% 2023 Nord LB Facility 101 4.25% 109 4.29% 2020 Other Bank Debt Facilities 746 4.44% 808 4.44% 2020-2028 Aircraft Acquisition Facility 160 4.53% 190 4.10% 2022 Magellan Acquisition Facility 292 4.17% 305 4.18% 2025 Fly Aladdin Acquisition Facility 353 4.75% 467 4.59% 2023 Fly Aladdin Engine Funding Facility 43 4.95% 44 4.95% 2021-2022 Unamortized Discounts and Loan Costs (29) (37) Total Secured Debt $2,062 4.50% $2,380 4.49% 2021 Notes 325 6.38% 325 6.38% 2021 2024 Notes 300 5.25% 300 5.25% 2024 Unamortized Discounts and Loan Costs (6) (7) Total Unsecured Debt $619 5.84% $618 5.84% Total Debt 2,681 4.80% 2,998 4.76% Shareholders' Equity 754 702 Total Capitalization $3,435 $3,700 Debt to Equity Net Debt to Equity(2) Secured Debt to Total Debt 3.6x 3.1x 77% 4.3x 4.0x 79% Total Debt to TotalCapitalization 78% 81%
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(1) Percentages have been annualized.
(In thousands)
Q2 2019 Q2 2018 H1 2019 H1 2018 Net Income $ 54,050 $24,344 $99,015 $33,974 Plus: Unrealized foreign exchange loss (gain) 68 (864) (104) (456) Deferred income taxes 7,519 3,974 9,991 6,327 Fair value changes on undesignatedderivatives 255 (2,238) 143 (2,240) Adjusted Net Income $ 61,892 $25,216 $109,045 $37,605 Average Shareholders' Equity $ 745,783 $ 571,881 $731,225 $562,490 Adjusted ROE(1) 33.2% 17.6% 29.8% 13.4%
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(In thousands)
Q2 2019 Q2 2018 H1 2019 H1 2018 Selling, General & Administrative $ 9,438 $ 6,369 $18,160 $14,979 Less: Unrealized foreign exchange loss (gain) 68 (864) (104) (456) Adjusted Selling, General & Administrative $ 9,370 $ 7,233 $ 18,264 $ 15,435 Total Revenues $ 147,033 $ 102,673 $ 281,736 $ 191,428 Adjusted SG&A as a % of Total Revenues 6.4% 7.0% 6.5% 8.1%
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(In thousands)
Q2 2019 Q2 2018 Operating lease revenue $ 128,623 $ 99,324 Finance lease revenue 156 171 $ 128,779 $ 99,495 Less: End of lease income 28,823 12,612 Interest expense 35,439 33,644 Net interest margin $ 64,517 $ 53,239 Average fleet net book value (NBV) $ 3,454,855 $ 3,061,064 Net Spread(1) 7.5% 7.0%
(1) Percentages have been annualized.