SECOND QUARTER 2019 CONFERENCE CALL 1 phillips66.com | NYSE: - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

second quarter 2019 conference call
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

SECOND QUARTER 2019 CONFERENCE CALL 1 phillips66.com | NYSE: - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Freeport Terminal LPG Facility Freeport, Texas July 26, 2019 SECOND QUARTER 2019 CONFERENCE CALL 1 phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX CAUTIONARY STATEMENT This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of


slide-1
SLIDE 1

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

1

July 26, 2019

SECOND QUARTER 2019 CONFERENCE CALL

Freeport Terminal LPG Facility Freeport, Texas

slide-2
SLIDE 2

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

2

CAUTIONARY STATEMENT

This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, which are intended to be covered by the safe harbors created thereby. Words and phrases such as “is anticipated,” “is estimated,” “is expected,” “is planned,” “is scheduled,” “is targeted,” “believes,” “continues,” “intends,” “will,” “would,” “objectives,” “goals,” “projects,” “efforts,” “strategies” and similar expressions are used to identify such forward-looking statements. However, the absence of these words does not mean that a statement is not forward-

  • looking. Forward-looking statements relating to Phillips 66’s operations (including joint venture operations) are based on management’s

expectations, estimates and projections about the company, its interests and the energy industry in general on the date this presentation was prepared. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict. Therefore, actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or forecast in such forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements include fluctuations in NGL, crude oil, and natural gas prices, and petrochemical and refining margins; unexpected changes in costs for constructing, modifying or operating our facilities; unexpected difficulties in manufacturing, refining or transporting our products; lack of, or disruptions in, adequate and reliable transportation for our NGL, crude oil, natural gas, and refined products; potential liability from litigation or for remedial actions, including removal and reclamation obligations under environmental regulations; limited access to capital or significantly higher cost of capital related to illiquidity or uncertainty in the domestic or international financial markets; the impact of adverse market conditions or other similar risks to those identified herein affecting PSXP, as well as the ability of PSXP to successfully execute its growth plans; and other economic, business, competitive and/or regulatory factors affecting Phillips 66’s businesses generally as set forth in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Phillips 66 is under no obligation (and expressly disclaims any such obligation) to update or alter its forward-looking statements, whether as a result

  • f new information, future events or otherwise.

This presentation includes non-GAAP financial measures. You can find the reconciliations to comparable GAAP financial measures at the end of the presentation materials or in the “Investors” section of our website.

slide-3
SLIDE 3

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

3

EXECUTING THE STRATEGY

Deethanizer tower construction at new fractionation site, Old Ocean, Texas

slide-4
SLIDE 4

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

4

2Q 2019

Adjusted earnings $ 1,379 Adjusted EPS1 3.02 Operating cash flow 1,930 Capital expenditures and investments 631 Shareholder distributions2 861 Common shares outstanding at June 30

2Q 2019 OVERVIEW

1) Dollars per share 2) Shareholder distributions include dividends and share repurchases

$MM (Unless Otherwise Noted)

Wood River Refinery Roxana, Illinois

449 MM

slide-5
SLIDE 5

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

5

187 107 48 1,202 148 5 (304) (14) 1,379 Noncontrolling 2Q 2019 Adjusted Earnings Income Taxes

2Q 2019 ADJUSTED EARNINGS

1Q 2019 Adjusted Earnings Midstream Chemicals Refining Marketing & Specialties Corporate & Other 2Q 2019 Adjusted Pre-Tax Income (Loss) 423 275 983 353 (205) (370) (80) $MM Interests

slide-6
SLIDE 6

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

6

MIDSTREAM

316 42 53 12 423 1Q 2019 Adjusted Pre-Tax Income Transportation NGL & Other DCP Midstream 2Q 2019 Adjusted Pre-Tax Income 2Q 2019

Higher volumes on wholly

  • wned and JV pipelines

245 143 35

DCP Midstream started up gas plant in DJ Basin

$MM

Record Sweeny Hub performance Record Midstream results

slide-7
SLIDE 7

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

7

227 41 8 (1) 275

95% O&P capacity utilization CHEMICALS

1Q 2019 Adjusted Pre-Tax Income Olefins & Polyolefins Specialties, Aromatics & Styrenics Other 2Q 2019 Adjusted Pre-Tax Income $MM 2Q 2019 260 34 (19)

Higher SA&S results following 1Q turnarounds Benefited from lower-cost feedstocks

slide-8
SLIDE 8

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

8

(219) 265 340 464 133 983 258 222 520 (17) 1Q 2019 Adjusted Pre-Tax Loss Atlantic Basin / Europe Gulf Coast Central Corridor West Coast 2Q 2019 Adjusted Pre-Tax Income

97% crude utilization 84% clean product yield $11.37/BBL realized margin $67 MM pre-tax turnaround costs REFINING

$MM 2Q 2019

slide-9
SLIDE 9

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

9

WORLDWIDE REFINING $/BBL 15.24 (2.32) (1.35) 0.01 (0.21) 11.37

REFINING MARGINS – MARKET VS. REALIZED

2Q 2019 Market 3:2:1 Configuration Secondary Products Feedstock Other 2Q 2019 Realized Margin Avg Market Crude: $65.92/BBL 75% Market Capture

slide-10
SLIDE 10

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

10

205 156 (8) 353 1Q 2019 Adjusted Pre-Tax Income Marketing & Other Specialties 2Q 2019 Adjusted Pre-Tax Income 294 59

MARKETING AND SPECIALTIES Strong global marketing margins Refined products exports of 187 MBPD Re-imaged approximately 400 branded sites

$MM 2Q 2019

slide-11
SLIDE 11

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

11

1.3 1.7 0.2 0.1 (0.6) (0.9) 1.8 March 31, 2019 Cash Balance1 CFO (excluding Working Capital) Working Capital Shareholder Distributions June 30, 2019 Cash Balance1

2Q 2019 CASH FLOW

$B Debt Capital Expenditures & Investments

1) Includes cash and cash equivalents

slide-12
SLIDE 12

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

12

3Q 2019 OUTLOOK

Global Olefins and Polyolefins utilization Mid-90% Refining crude utilization Mid-90% Refining turnaround expenses (pre-tax) $150 MM – $180 MM Corporate and Other costs (pre-tax) $210 MM – $240 MM

Beaumont Terminal Nederland, TX

slide-13
SLIDE 13

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS

Beaumont Terminal Beaumont, Texas

slide-14
SLIDE 14

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

APPENDIX

Beaumont Terminal Beaumont, Texas

slide-15
SLIDE 15

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

15

2019 ESTIMATED SENSITIVITIES

Annual EBITDA $MM Midstream - DCP (net to Phillips 66) 10¢ /Gal Increase in NGL price 6 10¢ /MMBtu Increase in Natural Gas price 1 $1/BBL Increase in WTI price 1 Chemicals - CPChem (net to Phillips 66) 1¢ /Lb Increase in Chain Margin (Ethylene, Polyethylene, NAO) 65 Worldwide Refining $1/BBL Increase in Gasoline Margin 350 $1/BBL Increase in Distillate Margin 300 Impacts due to Actual Crude Feedstock Differing from Feedstock Assumed in Market Indicators: $1/BBL Widening WTI / WCS Differential (WTI less WCS) 100 $1/BBL Widening LLS / WTI Differential (LLS less WTI) 70 $1/BBL Widening LLS / Maya Differential (LLS less Maya) 60 $1/BBL Widening WTI / WTS Differential (WTI less WTS) 30 $1/BBL Widening ANS / WTI Differential (ANS less WTI) 25 10¢ /MMBtu Increase in Natural Gas price (15)

Sensitivities shown above are independent and are only valid within a limited price range

slide-16
SLIDE 16

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

16

2016 2017 2018 1Q 2019 2Q 2019

23.7 27.4 27.2 26.7 27.3 10.1 10.1 11.2 11.3 11.4 2.7 3.1 3.0 1.3 1.8 30% 27% 29% 30% 30% 24% 20% 23% 27% 26%

Debt-to-Capital Cash & Cash Equivalents $B 2016 2017 2018 1Q 2019 2Q 2019

22.4 25.1 24.7 24.3 24.8 7.7 7.2 8.1 8.1 8.1 2.7 2.9 3.0 1.3 1.7 26% 22% 25% 25% 25% 18% 14% 17% 22% 21%

CAPITAL STRUCTURE

EXCLUDING PSXP CONSOLIDATED PSX

Equity $B Debt $B Net Debt-to-Capital

slide-17
SLIDE 17

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

17

12.79 (1.54) 2.51 (3.00) 0.09 10.85

REFINING MARGINS – MARKET VS. REALIZED

ATLANTIC BASIN / EUROPE

$/BBL

2Q 2019 Market 3:2:1 Configuration Secondary Products Feedstock Other 2Q 2019 Realized Margin Market 3:2:1 - Dated Brent / Gasoline 83.7 RBOB NYH / Diesel 15ppm NYH

Brent: $68.82/BBL 85% market capture 97% crude capacity utilization

slide-18
SLIDE 18

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

18

10.22 (1.64) (1.42) 1.08 (0.04) 8.20

REFINING MARGINS – MARKET VS. REALIZED

GULF COAST

$/BBL

2Q 2019 Market 3:2:1 Configuration Secondary Products Feedstock Other 2Q 2019 Realized Margin Market 3:2:1 - LLS / Gasoline 85 CBOB / Diesel 62 10ppm

LLS: $66.92/BBL 80% market capture 99% crude capacity utilization

slide-19
SLIDE 19

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

19

19.97 (1.99) (3.73) 1.61 1.98 17.84

REFINING MARGINS – MARKET VS. REALIZED

CENTRAL CORRIDOR

$/BBL

2Q 2019 Market 3:2:1 Configuration Secondary Products Feedstock Other 2Q 2019 Realized Margin Market 3:2:1 - WTI / Gasoline Unl Sub Octane Group 3 / ULSD Group 3

WTI: $59.80/BBL 89% market capture 101% crude capacity utilization

slide-20
SLIDE 20

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

20

22.70 (4.51) (4.02) (0.16) (4.07) 9.94

REFINING MARGINS – MARKET VS. REALIZED

WEST COAST

$/BBL

2Q 2019 Market 3:2:1 Configuration Secondary Products Feedstock Other 2Q 2019 Realized Margin Market 3:2:1 - ANS / Los Angeles CARBOB / Los Angeles No. 2 CARB

ANS: $68.18/BBL 44% market capture 87% crude capacity utilization

slide-21
SLIDE 21

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

21

1,322 185 (49) (208) 99 22 23 (15) 1,379

2Q 2019 VS. 2Q 2018 ADJUSTED EARNINGS

423 275 983 353 (205) (370) (80) Noncontrolling Interests 2Q 2019 Adjusted Earnings Income Taxes 2Q 2018 Adjusted Earnings Midstream Chemicals Refining Marketing & Specialties Corporate & Other 2Q 2019 Adjusted Pre-Tax Income (Loss) $MM

slide-22
SLIDE 22

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

22

238 81 90 14 423 2Q 2018 Adjusted Pre-Tax Income Transportation NGL & Other DCP Midstream 2Q 2019 Adjusted Pre-Tax Income 2Q 2019 245 143 35

2Q 2019 VS. 2Q 2018 MIDSTREAM ADJUSTED PRE-TAX INCOME

$MM

slide-23
SLIDE 23

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

23

324 (46) (5) 2 275

2Q 2019 VS. 2Q 2018 CHEMICALS ADJUSTED PRE-TAX INCOME

2Q 2018 Adjusted Pre-Tax Income Olefins & Polyolefins Specialties, Aromatics & Styrenics Other 2Q 2019 Adjusted Pre-Tax Income 260 34 (19) $MM 2Q 2019

slide-24
SLIDE 24

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

24

1,191 94 (144) (1) (157) 983 2Q 2018 Adjusted Pre-Tax Income Atlantic Basin / Europe Gulf Coast Central Corridor West Coast 2Q 2019 Adjusted Pre-Tax Income 258 222 520 (17)

2Q 2019 VS. 2Q 2018 REFINING ADJUSTED PRE-TAX INCOME

$MM 2Q 2019

slide-25
SLIDE 25

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

25

2Q 2019 VS. 2Q 2018 MARKETING AND SPECIALTIES ADJUSTED PRE-TAX INCOME

254 106 (7) 353 2Q 2019 Adjusted Pre-Tax Income 2Q 2018 Adjusted Pre-Tax Income 294 59 Marketing & Other Specialties $MM 2Q 2019

slide-26
SLIDE 26

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

26

NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS

1) We generally tax effect taxable U.S.-based special items using a combined federal and state statutory income tax rate of approximately 25 percent. Taxable special items attributable to foreign locations likewise use a local statutory income tax rate. Nontaxable events reflect zero income tax. These events include, but are not limited to, most goodwill impairments, transactions legislatively exempt from income tax, transactions related to entities for which we have made an assertion that the undistributed earnings are permanently reinvested, or transactions occurring in jurisdictions with a valuation allowance. 2) Weighted-average diluted shares outstanding and income allocated to participating securities, if applicable, in the adjusted earnings per share calculation are the same as those used in the GAAP diluted earnings per share calculation.

Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 2019 2018 Jun YTD 2Q 1Q Jun YTD 2Q Phillips 66 Consolidated Earnings $ 1,628 1,424 204 1,863 1,339 Pre-Tax Adjustments: Pending claims and settlements (21) — (21) — — Certain tax impacts — — — (70) (55) Tax impact of adjustments1 4 — 4 17 14 U.S. tax reform — — — 17 24 Other tax impacts (45) (45) — — — Noncontrolling interests — — — 7 — Adjusted Earnings $ 1,566 1,379 187 1,834 1,322 Earnings Per Share of Common Stock (dollars) $ 3.55 3.12 0.44 3.87 2.84 Adjusted Earnings Per Share of Common Stock (dollars)2 $ 3.42 3.02 0.40 3.81 2.80

slide-27
SLIDE 27

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

27

NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS

Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 2019 2018 Jun YTD 2Q 1Q Jun YTD 2Q Midstream Pre-Tax Income $ 739 423 316 518 238 Pre-Tax Adjustments: None — — — — — Adjusted Pre-Tax Income $ 739 423 316 518 238 Chemicals Pre-Tax Income $ 502 275 227 610 324 Pre-Tax Adjustments: None — — — — — Adjusted Pre-Tax Income $ 502 275 227 610 324

slide-28
SLIDE 28

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

28

NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS

Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 2019 2018 Jun YTD 2Q 1Q Jun YTD 2Q Refining Pre-Tax Income (Loss) $ 785 983 (198) 1,302 1,190 Pre-Tax Adjustments: Pending claims and settlements (21) — (21) — — Certain tax impacts — — — (1) 1 Adjusted Pre-Tax Income (Loss) $ 764 983 (219) 1,301 1,191 Marketing and Specialties Pre-Tax Income $ 558 353 205 545 310 Pre-Tax Adjustments: Certain tax impacts — — — (69) (56) Adjusted Pre-Tax Income $ 558 353 205 476 254 Corporate and Other Pre-Tax Loss $ (415) (205) (210) (423) (227) Pre-Tax Adjustments: U.S. tax reform — — — (16) — Adjusted Pre-Tax Loss $ (415) (205) (210) (439) (227)

slide-29
SLIDE 29

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

29

NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS

Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 2019 2018 Jun YTD 2Q 1Q Jun YTD 2Q Midstream - Transportation Pre-Tax Income $ 448 245 203 327 164 Pre-Tax Adjustments: None — — — — — Adjusted Pre-Tax Income $ 448 245 203 327 164 Midstream - NGL and Other Pre-Tax Income $ 233 143 90 139 53 Pre-Tax Adjustments: None — — — — — Adjusted Pre-Tax Income $ 233 143 90 139 53 Midstream - DCP Midstream Pre-Tax Income $ 58 35 23 52 21 Pre-Tax Adjustments: None — — — — — Adjusted Pre-Tax Income $ 58 35 23 52 21

slide-30
SLIDE 30

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

30

NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS

Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 2019 2018 Jun YTD 2Q 1Q Jun YTD 2Q Refining - Atlantic Basin / Europe Pre-Tax Income (Loss) $ 251 258 (7) 56 164 Pre-Tax Adjustments: None — — — — — Adjusted Pre-Tax Income (Loss) $ 251 258 (7) 56 164 Refining - Gulf Coast Pre-Tax Income (Loss) $ 104 222 (118) 366 366 Pre-Tax Adjustments: None — — — — — Adjusted Pre-Tax Income (Loss) $ 104 222 (118) 366 366

slide-31
SLIDE 31

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

31

NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS

Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 2019 2018 Jun YTD 2Q 1Q Jun YTD 2Q Refining - Central Corridor Pre-Tax Income $ 597 520 77 793 521 Pre-Tax Adjustments: Pending claims and settlements (21) — (21) — — Adjusted Pre-Tax Income $ 576 520 56 793 521 Refining - West Coast Pre-Tax Income (Loss) $ (167) (17) (150) 87 139 Pre-Tax Adjustments: Certain tax impacts — — — (1) 1 Adjusted Pre-Tax Income (Loss) $ (167) (17) (150) 86 140

slide-32
SLIDE 32

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

32

NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS

Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 2019 2018 Jun YTD 2Q 1Q Jun YTD 2Q Marketing and Specialties - Marketing and Other Pre-Tax Income $ 432 294 138 420 244 Pre-Tax Adjustments: Certain tax impacts — — — (69) (56) Adjusted Pre-Tax Income $ 432 294 138 351 188 Marketing and Specialties - Specialties Pre-Tax Income $ 126 59 67 125 66 Pre-Tax Adjustments: None — — — — — Adjusted Pre-Tax Income $ 126 59 67 125 66

slide-33
SLIDE 33

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

33

NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS

Millions of Dollars (Except as Indicated) 2Q 2019 Atlantic Basin/ Europe Gulf Coast Central Corridor West Coast Worldwide Realized Refining Margins Income (loss) before income taxes $ 258 222 520 (17) 983 Plus: Taxes other than income taxes 11 16 10 21 58 Depreciation, amortization and impairments 49 68 34 63 214 Selling, general and administrative expenses 10 8 7 8 33 Operating expenses 201 322 134 249 906 Equity in (earnings) losses of affiliates 3 2 (133) — (128) Other segment (income) expense, net 4 (5) 4 1 4 Proportional share of refining gross margins contributed by equity affiliates 19 — 298 — 317 Special items: None — — — — — Realized refining margins $ 555 633 874 325 2,387 Total processed inputs (thousands of barrels) 51,172 77,186 26,244 32,697 187,299 Adjusted total processed inputs (thousands of barrels)1 51,172 77,186 48,932 32,697 209,987 Income (loss) before income taxes (dollars per barrel)2 $ 5.04 2.88 19.81 (0.52) 5.25 Realized refining margins (dollars per barrel)3 $ 10.85 8.20 17.84 9.94 11.37

1) Adjusted total processed inputs include our proportional share of processed inputs of an equity affiliate. 2) Income (loss) before income taxes divided by total processed inputs. 3) Realized refining margins per barrel, as presented, are calculated using the underlying realized refining margin amounts, in dollars, divided by adjusted total processed inputs, in barrels. As such, recalculated per barrel amounts using the rounded margins and barrels presented may differ from the presented per barrel amounts due to rounding.

slide-34
SLIDE 34

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

34

NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS

1) Capital employed is total equity plus total debt

2019 June YTD Numerator ($MM) Net Income $ 1,774 After-tax interest expense 185 GAAP ROCE earnings $ 1,959 After-tax special items (62) Adjusted ROCE earnings $ 1,897 Denominator ($MM) GAAP average capital employed1 $ 38,529 2019 Annualized GAAP ROCE 10% 2019 Annualized Adjusted ROCE 10%

slide-35
SLIDE 35

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

35

NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS

1) Phillips 66 Partners’ third-party debt and Phillips 66's noncontrolling interest attributable to Phillips 66 Partners

Millions of Dollars June 30, 2019 Phillips 66 Consolidated Phillips 66 Partners1 Adjusted Phillips 66 Total Debt $ 11,439 3,324 8,115 Total Equity 27,306 2,521 24,785 Debt-to-Capital Ratio 30% 25% Total Cash & Cash Equivalents $ 1,819 130 1,689 Net Debt-to-Capital Ratio 26% 21%

slide-36
SLIDE 36

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

36

NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS

Millions of Dollars Millions of Dollars 2Q 2019 2019 June YTD Growth Sustaining Total Growth Sustaining Total Capital Expenditures and Investments Midstream $ 311 48 359 $ 691 87 778 Refining 87 110 197 157 234 391 Marketing and Specialties 8 15 23 20 22 42 Corporate and Other 2 50 52 3 92 95 Adjusted Capital Spending 408 223 631 871 435 1,306 Capital Spending Funded By Gray Oak Joint Venture Partners — — — 422 — 422 Total $ 408 223 631 $ 1,293 435 1,728

slide-37
SLIDE 37

phillips66.com | NYSE: PSX

37

NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS

Millions of Dollars 2Q 2019 Effective Tax Rates Income before income taxes $ 1,829 Special items — Adjusted income before income taxes $ 1,829 Income tax expense $ 325 Special items 45 Adjusted income tax expense $ 370 GAAP effective tax rate 17.8% Adjusted effective tax rate 20.2%