Second Quarter 2017 Results & Outlook July 28, 2017
CMS Energy: World Class Performance Delivering Hometown Service
PEOPLE PLANET PROFIT
Second Quarter 2017 Results & Outlook July 28, 2017 PLANET - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Second Quarter 2017 Results & Outlook July 28, 2017 PLANET PEOPLE PROFIT CMS Energy: World Class Performance Delivering Hometown Service This presentation is made as of the date hereof and contains forward - looking statements as
Second Quarter 2017 Results & Outlook July 28, 2017
CMS Energy: World Class Performance Delivering Hometown Service
PEOPLE PLANET PROFIT
This presentation is made as of the date hereof and contains “forward-looking statements” as defined in Rule 3b-6 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, Rule 175 of the Securities Act of 1933, and relevant legal decisions. The forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties. All forward-looking statements should be considered in the context of the risk and other factors detailed from time to time in CMS Energy’s and Consumers Energy’s Securities and Exchange Commission filings. Forward-looking statements should be read in conjunction with “FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS AND INFORMATION” and “RISK FACTORS” sections of CMS Energy’s and Consumers Energy’s Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2016 and as updated in subsequent 10-Qs. CMS Energy’s and Consumers Energy’s “FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS AND INFORMATION” and “RISK FACTORS” sections are incorporated herein by reference and discuss important factors that could cause CMS Energy’s and Consumers Energy’s results to differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. CMS Energy and Consumers Energy undertake no obligation to update any of the information presented herein to reflect facts, events or circumstances after the date hereof. The presentation also includes non-GAAP measures when describing CMS Energy’s results of operations and financial performance. A reconciliation of each of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure is included in the appendix and posted on our website at www.cmsenergy.com. CMS Energy provides historical financial results on both a reported (GAAP) and adjusted (non-GAAP) basis and provides forward-looking guidance on an adjusted basis. During an oral presentation, references to “earnings” are on an adjusted basis. Adjustments could include items such as discontinued
key measure of the company’s present operating financial performance and uses adjusted earnings for external communications with analysts and
impact of specific line items, which have the potential to significantly impact, favorably or unfavorably, the company's reported earnings in future periods, the company is not providing reported earnings guidance nor is it providing a reconciliation for the comparable future period earnings. The adjusted earnings should be considered supplemental information to assist in understanding our business results, rather than as a substitute for the reported
performance and its financial position, and uses the ratio for external communications with analysts and investors. Because the company does not establish its target FFO/Average Debt ratio based on a specific target numerator and target denominator, the company is unable to provide a reconciliation to a comparable GAAP financial measure. Adjusted weather-normalized earnings are provided to show the impact of deviations from normal weather. Investors and others should note that CMS Energy routinely posts important information on its website and considers the Investor Relations section, www.cmsenergy.com/investor-relations, a channel of distribution. 1
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Agenda
First Half Results People, Planet, Profit Performance -- Consumers Energy Way Financial Results and Outlook Patti Poppe President & CEO Rejji Hayes Executive VP & CFO
PEOPLE PLANET PROFIT
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First Half Results . . .
EPS at $1.04 Reaffirm Full Year EPS guidance: Long-term Growth: 6% to 8%
. . . on track for 6% to 8% EPS growth.
a a_ _ _ _ _
a Adjusted EPS (non-GAAP)Same as 2016; up 7% weather-normalized 4¢ ahead of Plan $2.14 to $2.18 +6% to +8%
aPROFIT
aConsumers Among Top Employers
PEOPLE
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2/10: Filed securitization; $172 MM
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Regulatory Update . . .
. . . robust agenda providing customer value.
Gas Rate Case Electric Rate Case
3/31: File; $173 MM; 10.5% ROE 10/1: Self- implement
Energy Law Palisades
12/1: SRM capacity charge determined June: Capacity charge implemented 4/20: Energy Law effective 1/29: Self-impl.; $20 MM PEOPLE Monday 7/31: Final order By 3/30: Final order By 9/28: Final order May: Terminate PPA contract 2/28: Final order; $113 MM; 10.1% ROE
Customer Benefits
No subsidies Safety Reliability $45 MM/yr rate reduction
2017 2018
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Reducing Coal Intensity . . .
PLANET
2005 2016 Future 2005 2016 2021 Future
. . . AND adding more clean renewables. Coal Energy Renewable Energy
22% 15% 10%
15%
c d_ _ _ _ _
c Excludes Classic 7, includes PPA contracts_ _ _
d Based on ten-year plan with opportunities49%
_ _ _ _ _
a CMS Energy bShut down coal Demand from customers Meets RPS
a_ _ _ _ _
b Includes Classic 7, includes PPA contracts a_ _ _ _ _
a Consumers Energy3%
b b Includes Classic 7, includes PPA contracts7
. . . matching supply with demand reduces costs.
Clean and Lean . . .
Old Utility Model Clean And Lean
Big Build
Big Build
O&M Fuel Big Bets
Modular
Fully utilize assets
O&M Fuel Modular Investments Results in excess capacity, higher cost Matches supply with demand
Excess supply Excess supply
Retirement
Supply Actual Demand Demand
EE & DR
Excess supply
Modular Modular
Expected Demand Supply
PLANET PEOPLE PROFIT
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Renewables . . .
PLANET
. . . building a clean future for our state. Wind Proposed New Tariff Solar
solar program
metering
energy use
with competitive fixed prices
9
Performance . . .
2015 2017 YE Forecast 2015 2017 YE Forecast
Meter Reading Invoice Reversals
(MM)
Live Calls
(MM) Savings $(MM) (since 2015)
$5 $1½ $2½
. . . improving quality of service.
1.1 0.4 5.5 3.5
36% Improvement 64% Improvement
86%
2015 2017 YE Forecast
99%
13 pts Improvement
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Story of the Month . . .
. . . improving quality of service.
Flint Fueling Pilot
peak hours (15 - 30 min)
multiple workers per crew Potential statewide savings:
PEOPLE
Consistent Growth Through . . .
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Recession
Governor (R) Governor (D) Commission (D) Commission (R)
Recession
7% CAGR
Polar vortex Cold Feb. Mild summer Warm winter Hot summer Hot summer Cold winter Cold winter Summer- “less” Mild summer Mild summer
Commission (D)
Hurt Help
EPS
_ _ _ _ _
a Adjusted EPS (non-GAAP) aWarm winter Hot summer
Dividend
Weather
. . . recessions, adverse weather, and leadership changes.
Whipple
Joos Russell
Commission (I)
Poppe
Cold Feb.
Warm Dec.Warm Winter
11
+6% to +8%
Warm Winter
12
First Half 2017 EPS . . .
. . . ahead of plan.
By Business Segment Results
Utility Enterprises Interest & other CMS Energy
$1.12 0.07 (0.15) $1.04 First Half EPS
a_ _ _ _ _
a Adjusted EPS (non-GAAP)$0.45 2016 2017 0.41 0.35 $0.33 +8¢ +7% $1.04 First Half Weather-normalized 1.12 1.20 vs Plan $0.01 0.03
Weather-normalized EPS EPS Second Quarter Actual $1.04
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2017 EPS . . .
3¢ (11)¢ 4¢
2016 Weather & Storms Cost Savings Rates & Investment Economy, Enterprises, & Other Absence of 2016 Weather Rates & Investment Cost Savings & Other 2017
First Half Six Months To Go
Flat 12¢ - 16¢ $2.02
. . . guidance reaffirmed.
First Half $1.04
$2.14 - $2.18
First Half $1.04
6% - 8% 7¢
a_ _ _ _ _
a Adjusted EPS (non-GAAP)4¢ (7)¢ 12¢ - 16¢
Managing Work Our Model Customer base rates <2%
Second Half 2016 Discretionary Activities: Debt Pre-funding Foundation & Low Income Other SubTotal 2017 Cost Savings & Other Total 4¢ 5 5 14¢ (2)¢ - 2¢ 12¢ - 16¢
2017 Outlook . . .
. . . includes 6% to 8% growth despite early challenges.
Adjusted EPS (non-GAAP) January March 31 June 30 September 30 December 31 Recovery
Guidance
+6% to +8%
Benefits Property taxes Total 4¢ 4 8¢ 14
Reinvestment last year
2016
Accelerated Financing Enterprises EE incentives O&M Choices Sales Mix & Other Total 3¢ 1 2 4 3 13¢
Recovery
Weather & Storms
_ _ _ _ _
a Adjusted EPS (non-GAAP) aSecond Half 2016 Reinvestment: Debt Pre-funding Foundation & Low Income Other Total 4¢ 5 5 14¢
$1.00 $1.20 $1.40 $1.60 $1.80 $2.00 $2.20
Managing Work Every Year . . .
. . . maximizes benefits for customers AND investors.
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2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
+7% +7% +7% +7% +7% +7% +7%
Offsets
RECORD WARM
+17¢ +18¢
+13¢
Mild Summer Cost productivity above plan
+7¢
Reinvestment Hot Summer Mild Winter Hot Summer Storms Hot Summer “Summerless” Summer Cost Productivity Cost productivity above plan
2013 – 2016 Customer O&M Reinvestment =
$340 million
(Source: ½ cost; ½ weather)
Cost productivity Cost productivity Reinvestment Reinvestment Mild Summer Cost productivity
EPS
_ _ _ _ _
a Adjusted EPS (non-GAAP) a2016
+7% +7%
Storms Cost productivity above plan
Simple, Perhaps Unique Model . . .
Customer investment (reliability, costs, enviro mandates)
INVESTMENT SELF-FUNDED Rate increase “at or below inflation” 2017+ Plan 6% - 8%
. . . continues to drive sustainable growth, with upside opportunities.
2 - 3 pts 1 2 5 - 6 pts < 2%
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Self Funding:
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Electric Distribution Gas Infrastructure & Maintenance Supply
$18 billion
Ten-year Customer Investment Plan . . .
. . . with opportunities to expand to $21 - $25 billion.
Modular Customer Investment Plan . . .
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Last 10 Years Next 10 Years $13 Bn $18 Bn
% of projects <$200 MM
~75% >90%
Gas Supply Electric Distribution Electric Distribution Gas Supply
Up 40% 41% 29% . . . is robust and highly achievable.
a_ _ _ _ _
a Plan assumes a modular renewable build-out with individual projects less than $200 million.O&M Cost Performance Helps to Fund . . .
Actual Cost Reduction
Consumers
Source: SNL, Form 1, Electric Non-fuel O&M, Consumers Internal
Peer Average ~4½%
(Peers 2016 over 2006)
New Annual Cost Savings
$ - 16 $ - 16
Eliminate Waste
Other +20
+10 + 30 Net savings $ - 35 $ - 20 Percent savings
2014
2017
(MM) (MM)
. . . needed customer investments.
2% a year!
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Good Business Decisions “Consumers Energy Way” Increases a year! > 3%
Three-Year Avg
Operating Cash Flow Funds . . .
. . . investments with no block equity.
(0.6) (0.1) 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.4 2.9 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Amount (Bn) $
Investment
Cash flow before dividend
_ _ _ _ _
a Non-GAAPNOLs & Credits $0.7 $0.9 $0.9 $0.8 $0.6 $0.5 $0.2 $2.6
Interest, working capital and taxes
$1.9 $2.9 $1.63 $2.3 $2.7
Up $0.8 billion
Operating cash flow Gross operating cash flowa up > $0.1 billion per year
20
Up $1.8 billion since 2004!
NOLs avoid need for block equity
$2.2 $1.65 $2.1
Economic Development Growth . . .
Examples of New Business
Electric Gas Combination
Enbridge Brembo Denso Post Magna-Cosma Dicastal Continental Dairy Arauco Betz Knauf
. . . is strong and diversified.
GM Assembly _ _ _ _ _
a Grand Rapids b Annualized numbers May 2010May 2017Our Service Territory Outperforms
aSwitch
Royal Technologies Ottawa
injection components for multiple industries
Durolast Roofing MACI MSU FRIB Dart
Zeeland Farm Services Ithaca
the agriculture and transportation industries
Announcement Announcement
GM Assembly
Grand Rapids ranked #1 in the U.S. for job growth by Headlight Data
Inteva C3 Ventures
b21
c c As of May 2017Grand Rapids Michigan U.S. Building Permits +319% +225% +103% GDP 2010 2015 23 14 12 Population 2010 2016 6 ½ 4 Unemployment (6/17) 2.7 3.8 4.4
17-year Low
“DIG” (750 MW) & Peakers (200 MW) . . .
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. . . capacity contracted for 2017.
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 2015 2016 2017
Pre-Tax Income
(MM)
$12 $30 $35
Outage pull-aheadBetter Performance
Future Opportunities
Capacity ($/kw-mth) ≈ $1.00 ≈ $2.00 ≈ $3.00 $4.50 $7.50 Available:
0% 0% 25%
$ +$20 +$40 Contracts (layering in over time) $75 $55
50% - 90% 0%
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2017 Sensitivities . . .
Full Year Impact Sensitivity EPS OCF Sales a
+ 1% + 5 + 5¢ + 7 + $ 20 + 30 Gas prices (NYMEX) + 50¢
55
ROE (planned)
+ 10 bps + 10 + 1½ + ½ + 7 + 3 Interest Rates Energy Waste Reduction b +100 bps + ½% < 1 + 2 7 + 8 – +
. . . reflect strong risk mitigation.
– +
(MM)
_ _ _ _ _
a Reflect 2017 sales forecast; weather adjusted b Full-year impact at $16 mil– + – +
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2017 Financial Targets . . .
Adjusted EPS (non-GAAP) Operating cash flow (MM) Dividend payout ratio Customer price (excl. fuel) Electric Gas FFO/Average debt (non-GAAP) Customer investment (Bn)
. . . 15th year of transparent, consistent, strong performance.
2017
$2.14 - $2.18 +6% to +8% $1,650 ~2% 18½% ~ 62% $1.8 ~2%
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Appendix
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cash flow
investment
environment
Ratings Drivers
Present Prior 2002
Consumers Secured CMS Unsecured
. . . upgraded by Moody’s.
Credit Ratings . . .
Scale S&P / Fitch Moody’s S&P (Dec. ‘15) Moody’s (Apr. ‘17) Fitch (Jul. ‘17) AA- Aa3 A+ A1 A A2 A- A3 BBB+ Baa1 BBB Baa2 BBB- Baa3 BB+ Ba1 BBB+ Baa1 BBB Baa2 BBB- Baa3 BB+ Ba1 BB Ba2 BB- Ba3 B+ B1 B B2 B- B3 Outlook Stable Stable Stable
GAAP Reconciliation
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2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Reported earnings (loss) per share - GAAP ($0.30) $0.64 ($0.44) ($0.41) ($1.02) $1.20 $0.91 $1.28 $1.58 $1.42 $1.66 $1.74 $1.89 $1.98 Pretax items: Electric and gas utility 0.32 (0.60)30
(In Millions, Except Per Share Amounts) 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q YTD Dec Reported net income - GAAP $164 $124 $186 $77 $551 Pretax items: Electric and gas utility31 06/30/17 12/31/16 06/30/16 Reported earnings - GAAP 554 $ 551 $ 542 $ Interest on long-term debt 411 411 396 Other interest expense 31 29 15 Allowance for borrowed funds used during construction (4) (5) (5) Income tax expense 284 273 267 Income attributable to noncontrolling interests 2 2 2 Voluntary separation program (pretax) 11 11
10 8
1,299 1,280 1,217 Depreciation and amortization 856 811 773 EBITDA - Adjusted (1) 2,155 $ 2,091 $ 1,990 $
(1) Adjusted (Non-GAAP)In Millions Twelve Months Ended
(Unaudited)
CMS ENERGY CORPORATION EBITDA GAAP Reconciliation
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06/30/17 12/31/16 06/30/16 Reported earnings - GAAP 625 $ 614 $ 597 $ Interest on long-term debt 263 261 256 Other interest expense 13 12 1 Allowance for borrowed funds used during construction (4) (5) (5) Income tax expense 323 320 299 Preferred stock dividends 2 2 2 Voluntary separation program (pretax) 11 11
1,233 1,215 1,150 Depreciation and amortization 848 803 766 EBITDA - Adjusted (1) 2,081 $ 2,018 $ 1,916 $
(1) Adjusted (Non-GAAP)In Millions Twelve Months Ended
(Unaudited)
CONSUMERS ENERGY COMPANY EBITDA GAAP Reconciliation
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2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Consumers Operating Income + Depreciation & Amortization 1,866 $ 2,037 $ 2,134 $ 2,246 $ 2,547 $ 2,678 $ 2,816 $ Enterprises Project Cash Flows 20 46 58 58 53 53 54 Gross Operating Cash Flow 1,886 $ 2,083 $ 2,192 $ 2,304 $ 2,600 $ 2,731 $ 2,870 $ (246) (454) (542) (554) (750) (781) (820) Net cash provided by operating activities 1,640 $ 1,629 $ 1,650 $ 1,750 $ 1,850 $ 1,950 $ 2,050 $ CMS Energy Reconciliation of Gross Operating Cash Flow to GAAP Operating Activities (unaudited) (mils) Other operating activities including taxes, interest payments and working capital34
Interest/ Capital Tax Other Financing Other Working Accts/Rec Lease Pymts Securitization Common non-GAAP Sharing Payments Capital Financing and Other Debt Pymts Dividends GAAP Amount Operating as Operating as Investing as Operating as Financing as Financing as Financing Amount Description Cash at year end 2016 152 $35
Non Equity non-GAAP Uses GAAP Amount as Operating Other Amount Description Cash at year end 2016 43 $CMS Energy Parent 2017 Cash Flow Forecast GAAP Reconciliation (in millions) (unaudited)
Reclassifications From Sources and Uses to Statement of Cash Flows Presentation Sources and Uses Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows36
Other Consumers Equity Consumers CMS Parent Consolidated Common Dividend Infusions to Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows Description Amount Amount Entities as Financing Consumers Amount Description Cash at year end 2016 152 $Consolidated CMS Energy 2017 Forecasted Consolidation of Consumers Energy and CMS Energy Parent Statements of Cash Flow (in millions) (unaudited)
Eliminations/Reclassifications/Consolidation to Arrive at the Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows Statements of Cash Flows37
June 30 2017 2016 2017 2016 Net Income Available to Common Stockholders 92 $ 124 $ 291 $ 288 $ Reconciling Items: Discontinued Operations Loss * * * * Restructuring Costs and Other 1 * 2 * Tax Impact (1) (*) (1) (*) Adjusted Net Income - Non-GAAP Basis 92 $ 124 $ 292 $ 288 $ Non-Normal Weather Impacts 10 (15) 72 39 Tax Impact (4) 6 (28) (15) Adjusted Weather-Normalized Net Income - Non-GAAP Basis 98 $ 115 $ 336 $ 312 $ Average Number of Common Shares Outstanding Basic 280 278 279 277 Diluted 280 279 280 279 Basic Earnings Per Average Common Share Net Income Per Share as Reported 0.33 $ 0.45 $ 1.04 $ 1.04 $ Reconciling Items: Discontinued Operations Loss * * * * Restructuring Costs and Other * * * * Tax Impact (*) (*) (*) (*) Adjusted Net Income - Non-GAAP Basis 0.33 $ 0.45 $ 1.04 $ 1.04 $ Non-Normal Weather Impacts 0.03 (0.06) 0.26 0.14 Tax Impact (0.01) 0.02 (0.10) (0.06) Adjusted Weather-Normalized Net Income - Non-GAAP Basis 0.35 $ 0.41 $ 1.20 $ 1.12 $ Diluted Earnings Per Average Common Share Net Income Per Share as Reported 0.33 $ 0.45 $ 1.04 $ 1.04 $ Reconciling Items: Discontinued Operations Loss * * * * Restructuring Costs and Other * * * * Tax Impact (*) (*) (*) (*) Adjusted Net Income - Non-GAAP Basis 0.33 $ 0.45 $ 1.04 $ 1.04 $ Non-Normal Weather Impacts 0.03 (0.06) 0.26 0.14 Tax Impact (0.01) 0.02 (0.10) (0.06) Adjusted Weather-Normalized Net Income - Non-GAAP Basis 0.35 $ 0.41 $ 1.20 $ 1.12 $ * Less than $500 thousand or $0.01 per share. Three Months Ended Six Months Ended CMS Energy Corporation Reconciliations of GAAP Net Income to Non-GAAP Adjusted Net Income (Unaudited) In Millions, Except Per Share Amounts