Scorpio Tankers Inc. Q4 2017 Earnings Presentation February 14, 2018 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

scorpio tankers inc q4 2017 earnings presentation
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

Scorpio Tankers Inc. Q4 2017 Earnings Presentation February 14, 2018 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Scorpio Tankers Inc. Q4 2017 Earnings Presentation February 14, 2018 1 1 Safe Harbor Statement This document may contain forward- looking statements that reflects managements expectations for the future. The Private Securities Litigation


slide-1
SLIDE 1

1

1

Scorpio Tankers Inc. Q4 2017 Earnings Presentation

February 14, 2018

slide-2
SLIDE 2

2

2

This document may contain forward-looking statements that reflects management’s expectations for the future. The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides safe harbor protections for forward-looking statements in order to encourage companies to provide prospective information about their business. Forward-looking statements include statements concerning plans, objectives, goals, strategies, future events or performance, and underlying assumptions and other statements, which are other than statements of historical facts. The Company desires to take advantage of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and is including this cautionary statement in connection with this safe harbor legislation. The words "believe," "anticipate," "intend," "estimate," "forecast," "project," "plan," "potential," "may," "should," "expect," "pending" and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements in this document are based upon various assumptions, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions, including without limitation, our management's examination of historical operating trends, data contained in our records and other data available from third parties. Although we believe that these assumptions were reasonable when made, because these assumptions are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond our control, we cannot assure you that we will achieve or accomplish these expectations, beliefs or projections. In addition to these important factors, other important factors that, in our view, could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed in the forward-looking statements include the failure of counterparties to fully perform their contracts with us, the strength of world economies and currencies, general market conditions, including fluctuations in charter rates and vessel values, changes in demand for dry bulk vessel capacity, changes in our operating expenses, including bunker prices, drydocking and insurance costs, the market for our vessels, availability of financing and refinancing, charter counterparty performance, ability to obtain financing and comply with covenants in such financing arrangements, changes in governmental rules and regulations or actions taken by regulatory authorities, potential liability from pending or future litigation, general domestic and international political conditions, potential disruption of shipping routes due to accidents or political events, vessels breakdowns and instances of off-hires and other factors. Please see our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission for a more complete discussion of these and other risks and uncertainties.

Safe Harbor Statement

slide-3
SLIDE 3

3

3

59 60 34 34 41 42 12 7 11 11 4 38 8 11 11 14 6 109 75 56 56 55 52 2.5 11.7 9.5 7.9 9.5 4.0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Scorpio Tankers TORM China COSCO Shipping SCF Group A.P. Moller Sinokor Merchant

HM & MR LR1 LR2

Scorpio has the Largest & Youngest Product Tanker Fleet

Scorpio Average Age vs. Worldwide Fleet Largest & Youngest Product Tanker Fleet

Figures do not include newbuilding vessels on order. Source: Clarksons Research Services, February 2018

  • Avg. Age of Vessels

(Owned Fleet Only) 3.4 3.1 1.8 2.3 13.0 9.4 9.6 8.1 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Handymax MR LR1 LR2 Scorpio Tankers Active Fleet

slide-4
SLIDE 4

4

4

MR’s Turning 15 vs Newbuild Deliveries

Assumes newbuildings are delivered as scheduled and does not estimate slippage. Source: Clarksons Research Services, February 2018

For the first time more MR’s will turn 15 years old than are delivered

  • 29
  • 19
  • 16
  • 35
  • 56
  • 87
  • 79

78 100 93 57 53 61 10 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 MR's Turning 15 Years Old MR NB Deliveries

  • Certain key customers will only employ product tankers 15 years and younger
  • This limits trading opportunities for older tonnage and creates a two tiered market where;
  • Owners consider continuing to carry refined products, switching from products to crude, vessel conversion,

storage, and scrapping

  • The switch from products to crude is relatively easy, but becomes difficult to switch from crude to products as the

age of the vessel increases

slide-5
SLIDE 5

5

5

Scorpio Pools Have Consistently Outperformed Market

Performance ($/day) Pool

Scorpio Handymax Tanker Pool (SHTP) Scorpio MR Tanker Pool (SMRP) Scorpio LR2 Tanker Pool (SLR2P)

$5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 2H-15 1H-16 2H-16 1H-17 2H-17

Scropio HM Handymax Benchmark (TD16 - TD18 - TC6 - BALTIC/CONT)

$5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 2H-15 1H-16 2H-16 1H-17 2H-17

Scorpio MR Clarksons MR

5,000 15,000 25,000 35,000 2H-15 1H-16 2H-16 1H-17 2H-17

Scorpio LR2 LR2 Benchmark (AG/EAST - AG/WEST - UKC/EAST) Source: Clarksons Research Services, February 2018

slide-6
SLIDE 6

6

6

Highlights

Year over Year:

  • ARA and Singapore inventories of gasoline and diesel declined 14.4% and 17.7%,

respectively(1)

  • Asset values increased y-o-y by $2 & $2.5 million for handymax and MR vessels and $1

& $1.5 million for LR1 and LR2 vessels(2)

  • MR Atlantic triangular spot earnings are up 91% y-o-y from $8,000/day to $17,000(3)

Going forward:

  • 2018 refining capacity additions are double additions in 2017
  • More MR’s will turn 15 years old than newbuildings delivered in 2018
  • Scorpio has significant operating leverage to a market recovery

1) Bloomberg, comparison from Jan 2017 to Jan 2018. “ARA” refers to “Amsterdam, Rotterdam, Antwerp” 2) Clarksons Research Services, resale values for HM,MR,LR1, and LR2 as of February 2017 3) Clarksons Daily Market Snapshot February 13, 2013

slide-7
SLIDE 7

7

7

$11,600 $8,900 $17,700 $31,450 $11,500 $17,000 $9,900 $7,750 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 $30,000 $35,000 MR Far East MR Atlantic Triangle Suezmax VLCC 13-Feb-2017 13-Feb-2018

Clarksons Spot Market Average Earnings

MR Products Tankers Crude Tankers

Suezmax rates: average of WAF/Europe and Cross Med routes VLCC rates: average of AG/East and WAF/China routes Source: Clarksons Research Services, February 13, 2018

$/day

slide-8
SLIDE 8

8

8

Country Company Plant New Supply (MBPD) 1) Iran NIORDC Persian Gulf Star (3Q 17+) 155 2) China CNOOC Huizhou, GD (3Q 17) 150 3) China Petrochina Kunming, YN (3Q 17) 120 4) India BPCL Kochi, KL (4Q 17) 85 5) Turkey SOCAR Izmir- STAR (2Q 18) 80 6) Saudi Arabia Saudi Aramco Jizan (3Q 18) 80 7) Egypt ERC Cairo (1Q 18) 60 8) FSU New Stream Antipinsky (4Q 17) 45 9) Kazakhstan Kazmunaigas Mangistau (1Q 18) 45 820

Global Oil Products Supply: Driven by 9 New Refineries in 2018

Country Company Plant New Supply (MBPD) 1) Qatar QatarGas Laffan (1Q 17) 65 2) Oman Orpic Sohar (2Q 17) 55 3) China CNOOC Huizhou, GD (3Q 17) 50 4) China Hyundai Daesan (3Q 17) 45 5) Iran NIORDC Persian Gulf Star (3Q 17+) 40 6) China Petrochina Kunming, YN (3Q 17) 40 7) FSU Rosneft Komsomolsk (3Q 16) 40 8) FSU LUKOil Volograd (3Q 17) 30 9) FSU Rosneft Syzran (1Q 17) 25 10) FSU NefteGaz Afipsky (4Q 17) 25 415

Global Oil Products Supply: Driven by 10 New Refineries in 2017

Refining Capacity Additions: 2017 & 2018

Source: Evercore ISI Energy Research

Increases in refinery capacity additions in 2018 are double 2017

slide-9
SLIDE 9

9

9

Significant Operating Leverage to a Market Recovery

A $1,000/day change in rates equates to $39.7 million in annualized cash flow or $0.12/share(1)

1) Calculations only taking into consideration the Company’s 109 owned vessels

2015A Rates Annualized Revenue Class # of Vessels Days/Yr Total Days ($/day) (Millions $USD) HM 14 365 5,110 $19,686 $101 MR 45 365 16,425 $21,803 $358 LR1 12 365 4,380 $21,804 $96 LR2 38 365 13,870 $30,544 $424 109 39,785 Total Revenue $978

  • Applying the actual TCE rates earned by the Company in 2015 to its larger fleet today, the

company would generate $978 million in revenue or $3.10/share