Sampo Group
Debt Investor Presentation
Prepared November 4, 2016 Figures September 30, 2016
Sampo Group Debt Investor Presentation Prepared November 4, 2016 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Sampo Group Debt Investor Presentation Prepared November 4, 2016 Figures September 30, 2016 DEBT INVESTOR CONTACTS FINANCIAL CALENDAR 2016 Markku Pehkonen, CRO 10/02/2016 Financial Statement Release for 2015 tel. +358 10 516 0014 Silent
Prepared November 4, 2016 Figures September 30, 2016
DEBT INVESTOR CONTACTS Markku Pehkonen, CRO
markku.pehkonen@sampo.fi Peter Johansson, CFO
peter.johansson@sampo.fi Jarmo Salonen, Head of IR Relations and Group Communications
jarmo.salonen@sampo.fi FINANCIAL CALENDAR 2016 10/02/2016 Financial Statement Release for 2015 Silent period 13/01/2016-10/02/2016 Week 11 Annual Report 2015 21/04/2016 AGM 11/05/2016 Interim Statement Q1/2016 Silent period 13/04/2016-11/05/2016 10/08/2016 Half-year report 2016 Silent period 11/07/2016-10/08/2016 03/11/2016 Interim Statement Q3/2016 Silent period 04/10/2016-03/11/2016 08/02/2017 Financial Statement Release for 2016 Rated Company Moody's Standard and Poor's Rating Outlook Rating Outlook Sampo plc Baa2 Positive A- Stable If P&C Insurance (Sweden) A2 Positive A+ Stable If P&C Insurance Co. (Finland) A2 Positive A+ Stable
Disclaimer
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements that reflect management’s current views with respect to certain future events and potential financial performance. Although Sampo believes that the expectations reflected in such forward looking statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Accordingly, results could differ materially from those set out in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. Important factors that may cause such a difference for Sampo include, but are not limited to: (i) the macroeconomic development, (ii) change in the competitive climate and (iii) developments in capital markets. This presentation does not imply that Sampo has undertaken to revise these forward-looking statements, beyond what is required by applicable law or applicable stock exchange regulations if and when circumstances arise that will lead to changes compared to the date when these statements were provided.
2
Mission Value Creation in the Nordic Financials 3-10 Sampo Group Current Issues 11-14 If P&C The Leading Nordic P&C Insurer 15-22 Mandatum Life A Finnish Financial Services Company 23-29 Sampo Group A Diversified Business Portfolio with Strong Capitalization 30-40 Sampo plc Parent Company with Capacity to Generate Funds 41-47 Appendix Separate Supplementary Information 48-59 3
Sampo Group ― Value creation in the Nordic financials
MARKET POSITION STRATEGY INVESTMENT ASSETS RETURN / PROFIT TARGET
21.2%
in the Nordic region
innovative people
~ EUR 12.3bn
>44% 100%
services group in the Northern Europe
~ B/S EUR 657bn ~ AuM EUR 317bn
peer average
P&C insurer in Denmark
~ EUR 2.5bn P&C
Reward Services
cover against health and life risks, well-respected manager of customer wealth ~ EUR 6.6bn ~ EUR 6.1bn U-L AuM
100%
4
merely as a Portfolio Manager
– Straightforward and transparent legal structure combined with limited intragroup exposures – Clear responsibilities – Simple and flat operational structures
– Targets for their capitalization and return on equity (RoE) – Group-wide principles for Risk Management, Remuneration, Compliance, Code of Conduct
– the specific characteristics of their operations – the above guidance from the parent company – the stakeholders’ expectations and external regulations
5
Sampo Group ― Value creation in the Nordic financials
– Risk ratio 62.0% (67.1) – Cost ratio 22.1% (17.6) – Expense ratio 16.6% (11.8)
If P&C ― Well-diversified and Profitable Pan-Nordic Non-life Insurer
insurer in Finland
with ca.20% of the market
pre-tax profit to the Group
Mandatum Life ― Respected Finnish Expert in Wealth Management, Investments, Rewards and Risk Insurance
6
solutions and services in the Nordic and Baltic regions as well as to Nordic customers with international operations
customer segments Private, Commercial and Industrial. The Baltic countries comprise a separate business area.
a comprehensive range of services in Finland and Baltics for private and corporate customers
reward services.
Sampo Group ― Value creation in the Nordic financials
17 24 38 47 77 146 Nordea Peer 4 Peer 3 Peer 1 Peer 5 Peer 2
Nordea and Peers 2006-2015, Quarterly net profit volatility,%
7
Sampo Group ― Value creation in the Nordic financials
Country Retail Customers Corporates & Institutions Relationships* Position Position Sweden 4,1 2-3 1-2 Norway 1 2 2 Finland 3,2 1-2 1 Denmark 1,8 2 1-2 Nordic Total 10,1 1 1 Baltics* 0,40 Russia* 0,07 * = in millions Total 10,5 ** = all clients
8
Sampo Group ― Value creation in the Nordic financials
LONG-TERM VALUE CREATION
OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE IN SUBSIDIARIES
CONSERVATIVE PARENT WITH PROFIT FOCUS
and Topdanmark by contributing to) strategies, guiding principles and ROE targets.
GROUP LEVEL PORTFOLIO BENEFITS
benefits at the Group level.
LONG-TERM VALUE FOR SHAREHOLDERS & BONDHOLDERS
CENTRALIZED INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT
a Group-wide investment philosophy. Common investment infrastructure facilitates effective monitoring and fast actions, also at the Group level.
9
Sampo Group ― Value creation in the Nordic financials
38.9 27.7 24.2 23.8 23.3 21.5 20.0 14.8 8.2 5.0 4.7 3.9 2.3 2.1 1.2 0.7 0.4 10 20 30 40 50 Nordea Danske Swedbank SHB Sampo DNB SEB Investor Gjensidige Tryg Industrivärden Jyske Topdanmark Storebrand Alm.Brand Protector Aktia
Source: Thomson Reuters
>44%
Sampo ownership structure
*100% owned by the Republic of Finland; 30.9.2016
Market cap October 31, 2016, EURbn
Strong relative performance
10Y Total Shareholder Return
A Mixed Financial Conglomerate
Bank Insurance Inv.company
Foreign and Nominee registered 60.67% Solidium 11.90%* Varma Mutual Pension 6.35% Björn Wahlroos 2.10% Kaleva Mutual Insurance 0.78% The State Pension Fund 0.68 Other domestic owners 17.52%
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>21% Sampo Group ― Value creation in the Nordic financials
Mission Value Creation in the Nordic Financials 3-10 Sampo Group Current Issues 11-14 If P&C The Leading Nordic P&C Insurer 15-22 Mandatum Life A Finnish Financial Services Company 23-29 Sampo Group A Diversified Business Portfolio with Strong Capitalization 30-40 Sampo plc Parent Company with Capacity to Generate Funds 41-47 Appendix Separate Supplementary Information 48-59 11
TOPDANMARK – USE AND SOURCES OF FUNDS in millions EFFECTS ON FIGURES EFFECTS ON IF P&C GROUP
it paid 289 m€ as dividends
SCR contributed positively to Solvency Ratio
to 197%
EFFECTS ON SAMPO PLC and SAMPO GROUP
44.1% of votes excluding treasury shares (31.10.2016)
method does not change. Net Stand-alone effect on Solvency ratio of new shares is slightly negative, but under 1%
consolidated BV in Sampo Group is 554 m€
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Sampo Group ― Current Issues
Value date # of Shares Price Price in DKK Price in EUR 39,051,226 183.00 7,146 961 TD Funding 961
=>
Current Total Debt 2,845 IF Dividends 289 Outstanding CP´s 702 Increase of CP´s 397 Bonds / EMTN 2,014 Liquidity used 275 Retail Issues 129 RATIONALE FOR NEW BENCHMARK ISSUE
=> Total Senior Debt post February 2017 repayment will be at current levels
Background
agreed that Sampo Life has the exclusive right to sell life and pension insurance products through Sampo Bank’s network in Finland
an option to sell the portfolio – sold by Danske Bank – to Danske Bank
Portfolio
to EUR 3,060 million, the amount of with-profit technical reserves being EUR 212 million
Valuation of the portfolio
the bank transaction agreement
13
Sampo Group ― Current Issues
Unit- linked, 3010, 28% Unit-linked to Danske, 2848, 26% With-profit to Danske, 212, 2% With-profit, 3606, 33% Segregated funds, 1196, 11% Unit-linked 5,858, 54% With-profit 3,818,35%
Total EUR 10,872 million
provisions represent
provisions
to mortgages has ~ 52,000 persons insured and the total sum at risk is EUR 2.3 billion
in all banking segments: private banking, retail banking and corporate banking
14
Sampo Group ― Current Issues
Mission Value Creation in the Nordic Financials 3-10 Sampo Group Current Issues 11-14 If P&C The Leading Nordic P&C Insurer 15-22 Mandatum Life A Finnish Financial Services Company 23-29 Sampo Group A Diversified Business Portfolio with Strong Capitalization 30-40 Sampo plc Parent Company with Capacity to Generate Funds 41-47 Appendix Separate Supplementary Information 48-59 15
Expense Ratios 2015, %
Norway 2015 Gjensidige 25% If 22% Tryg 14% Sparebank 1 10% Denmark Q3/2015 Tryg 18% Topdanmark 17% Codan (RSA) 11%
10% If 6% Finland 2015 Pohjola 32% LähiTapiola 25% If 24% Fennia 10% Sweden 2015 LF 30% If 18% RSA (T-H) 14% Folksam 16% Baltics 2015 PZU 24% If 14% BTA 12% Ergo 12% Gjensidige 7%
Market Shares by Country
If 17% Topdanmark 5% Tryg 9% Gjensidige 8% RSA 9% LF 10% Folksam 5% Pohjola 6% LähiTapiola 4% Other 27% 13 16.5 27.3 31.7 26.1 28.4 20.2 30.1 If P&C* Nordic peer group Generali Zürich AXA Allianz RSA Scandinavia Aviva
If P&C
Nordic Market Shares
16
Total GWP ~EUR 25bn
(*incl. one-off)
CONSOLIDATED MARKET LOW EXPENSE RATIOS
in importance both as a distribution and as a service channel.
is increasingly important. GOOD PROFITABILITY
The low interest rate environment and hence the low return on investments has made the industry to focus on profitability in the insurance operations.
LOYAL CLIENTS DISTRIBUTION
15-20%. European competitors' expense ratios are usually considerably higher.
in Norway, Finland and Sweden. In Denmark the market is less consolidated.
If P&C
17
By Business Area By Country
Private, 337, 65% Commercial, 121, 24% Industrial, 36, 7% Baltic, 10, 2% Other, 11, 2%
Technical Results, EUR 514m
Norway, 145 , 28% Sweden, 226 , 44% Finland , 106 , 21% Denmark, 16 , 3% Baltic, 10, 2% Other, 11 , 2%
Gross Written Premiums, EUR 3,565m By Business Area By Country
Private, 2000, 56% Commercial, 985, 28% Industrial, 479, 13% Baltic, 100, 3% Norway, 1,035 , 29% Sweden, 1,258 , 35% Finland , 847 , 24% Denmark, 325 , 9% Baltic, 100, 3%
If P&C
18
If-Total If Sweden If Norway If Finland If Denmark
Geographical Diversification in CR Combined Ratio ― If P&C and Nordic Peers Combined Ratio Development
Standard deviation 2008-2015 2.7% 4.4% 4.7% 3.7% 3.5%
66.2 65.9 66.9 68.1 68.0 69.1 68.4 65.9 65.4 65.1 66.6 62.0 24.3 24.0 23.7 23.7 24.1 23.7 23.5 23.0 22.8 22.5 18.8 22.1
90.5 89.9 90.6 91.8 92.1 92.8 92.0 88.9 88.1 87.7 85.4 84.0
20 40 60 80 100 % Risk ratio Cost ratio Target CR
If P&C
92.1 92.8 92 88.9 88.1 87.7 85.4 93 96.1 95.2 90.7 90.6 88.3 88.2
80 85 90 95 100 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
If P&C Nordic Market (incl.If)
19
%
Mark-to-Market Investment Return, % Investment Allocation
4.3% 5.8% 4.4% 2.6%
12.4% 7.4% 1.8% 6.1% 5.0% 4.1% 1.5%
1% 4% 6% 9% 11% 14%
Mark-to-Market Investment Return, EURm
821 113 689 558 459 190 200 400 600 800 1,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
20
Total EUR 12.3bn
If P&C
1-9/2016 EUR 272m 1-9/2016 2.4% Money market 11% Public sector 10% Other fixed income 66% Equities 12% Private equity 0.2 % Real Estate 0.2 % Other
800 730 534 549 644 707 636 864 929 931 960
1,127 943 308 978 689 526 624
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Profit before tax Comprehensive income EURm
If P&C
21
EURm 9M/16 9M/15 Profit before taxes 660 756 Comprehensive Income 508 434
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 Technical result Investment result Operating result
Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Average Quarterly CR%, 2006-2015 89.9 88.6 88.2 93.1 Year 2015 CR% 87.7 83.8 80.9 89.2 Year 2016 CR% 84.6 84.5 83.0*
If P&C
EURm
22
* incl. positive one-off
Mission Value Creation in the Nordic Financials 3-10 Sampo Group Current Issues 11-14 If P&C The Leading Nordic P&C Insurer 15-22 Mandatum Life A Finnish Financial Services Company 23-29 Sampo Group A Diversified Business Portfolio with Strong Capitalization 30-40 Sampo plc Parent Company with Capacity to Generate Funds 41-47 Appendix Separate Supplementary Information 48-59 23
Client Segment Underlying Market Critical Success Factors Sales & Client Services
Corporate Customers Employee Benefit
Pension & Risk Life Solutions and Asset Management Mandatum Life HNWI Wealth Management
Mandatum Life Private Customers Savings and Insurance Products
Danske Bank*
(Sales agreement terminated 1.1.2017)
Mandatum Life
Cross-selling
24
*Mandatum life has ended distribution agreement and decided to exercise option and sell its insurance portfolio, which has been sold through Danske Bank's branch network in Finland, to Danske Bank. The process is expected to be finalized during 2017.
Premiums Written, total EUR 672m Insurance Savings, total EUR 10,066m
269 87 215 11 56 33 2 Unit-linked life Unit-linked pension Unit-linked capital redemption Unit-linked Baltic Other life Other pension Other capital redemption Other Baltic 2,288 1,895 1,751 147 187 3,753 28 17
U-L EUR 6,082m With-Profit EUR 3,984 U-L EUR 582m With-Profit EUR 91m
4,652 4,626 4,738 4,695 4,621 4,487 4,431 4,410 4,249 4,071 3,927 5,065 5,014 4,793 607 884 1,262 1,752 2,071 1,637 2,359 3,124 3,054 3,833 4,616 5,312 5,858 6,086
2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 9/2016
Guaranteed interest rates Unit-linked
Technical Provisions, EUR 10,879m
EURm
Mandatum Life
25
PRINCIPLE OF FAIRNESS
reasonable expectations for total accrual, which is an average annual yield of Finnish government bonds over time. SMOOTHENED BONUSES AND DIVIDENDS OVER TIME
account (i) policyholdersʼ reasonable expectations, (ii) realized investment returns and current solvency and (iii) uncertainty about the future market environment => Bonuses and dividends can be smoothened over time. BETTER POSITION FOR RISK TAKING BENEFITS STAKEHOLDERS
investment strategies and risk taking.
shareholders over the years.
Mandatum Life
26
Mark-to-Market Investment Return, % Investment Allocation
8.3% 12.0% 9.7% 5.0%
16.8% 11.1%
9.4% 7.1% 4.6% 6.9%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
Mandatum Life
615
504 391 251 427
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
27
Total EUR 6.6bn
1-9/2016 EUR 321m 1-9/2016 4.9%
Money Market Securities and Cash 10 % Government Bonds 1 % Credit Bonds, Funds and Loans 48% Policy Loans 0 % Listed Equity 27% Real Estate 4 % Private Equity 4 % Unlisted Equity 0% Biometric 0 % Commodities 0 % Other Alternative 5 % Trading Derivatives 0 %
Mark-to-Market Investment Return, EURm
295 342 140 121 142 137 136 153 163 181 286 80
495 332
286 220 149 168
250 500 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 EURm
Profit before taxes Comprehensive income
Mandatum Life
28
EURm 9M/2016 9M/2015 Profit before taxes 157 132 Comprehensive Income 193 50
Total expense ratio, % 101.8 97.8
82.5 79.4 EURm 1-9/2016 1-9/2015 Net investment income 360.8 339.7
INVESTMENT RESULT 127.7 93.5 EXPENSE RESULT** 15.4 19.5 RISK RESULT 15.1 15.1 OTHERS
4.2 PROFIT BEFORE TAXES 156.9 132.5 Change in the market value of investments 86.3
PROFIT AT MARKET VALUES 243.2 60.4 Mandatum Life Group, expense ratio
Mandatum Life
* Includes guaranteed interest, bonuses and change in the reserves of the above items ** Result of Unit-linked business EUR 14.0 million
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Mission Value Creation in the Nordic Financials 3-10 Sampo Group Current Issues 11-14 If P&C The Leading Nordic P&C Insurer 15-22 Mandatum Life A Finnish Financial Services Company 23-29
Sampo Group A Diversified Business Portfolio with Strong Capitalization 30-40
Sampo plc Parent Company with Capacity to Generate Funds 41-47 Appendix Separate Supplementary Information 48-59 30
Conservative Investments
Management, Private Banking, Life & Pensions)
ROE over the cycle
Markets
* Correlations of quarterly Reported Profits Q1/2005–Q3/2016
PBT 2010-15 IF 45% ML 10% Nordea 45% P/L CONTRIBUTIONS
31
LOW VOLATILITY EARNINGS LOW VOLATILITY C/R FOCUS ON U-L & WM
0.29 0.15 1 0.85 1 1
Sampo Group
948 1,295 1,353 870 825 1,320 1,228 1,616 1,668 1,759 1,888
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 P&C Life Banking Nordea dividends Other
* One-off item – sale of Sampo Bank
EURm
*
Life
Investment
Sampo Group
3,833
32
EURm 9M/16 9M/15 P&C 660 756 Life 157 132 Nordea 546 577 Holding
12 Group 1,343 1,475
Sampo Group
33 Total Group (MEUR) 19,373 19,615 18,844 19,652 12/15 03/16 06/16 09/16 Money Market 12% 8% 56% 6% 5% 72% 7% 9% 48% 11% 10% 43% Long-Term Fixed Income 74% 52% 27% 80% 54% 17% 81% 51% 41% 76% 49% 45% Equity 13% 26% 15% 13% 26% 10% 12% 26% 8% 12% 27% 9% Private Equity 0% 4% 0% 0% 4% 0% 0% 4% 0% 0% 4% 0% Other 0% 11% 1% 0% 11% 1% 0% 10% 2% 0% 10% 2% 11,395 6,667 1,311 11,092 6,450 2,073 11,517 6,448 879 12,305 6,569 778
2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000
If P&C Mandatum Life Sampo Plc If P&C Mandatum Life Sampo Plc If P&C Mandatum Life Sampo Plc If P&C Mandatum Life Sampo Plc
* In Exposure tables the calculation rules may differ slightly from Allocation tables in some areas.
Sampo Group
34 30.9.2016 AAA AA+ - AA- A+ - A- BBB+ - BBB- BB+ - C D Non Rated Fixed Income Total Equities Other Derivatives (Counterparty Risk) Total Change from 30.6.2016 Basic Industry
40 111
250 199
+ 16 Capital Goods
146 55 15
328 661
+ 83 Consumer Products
274 272 101
905 629
+ 42 Energy
48
403 21
Financial Institutions
934 105
5,996 94 1 3 6,094 + 572 Governments 118
Government Guaranteed 77 79
Health Care 7
46 50
240 109
+ 16 Insurance
125 4
241 3 37
+ 17 Media
89
Packaging
74 1
+ 0 Public Sector, other 802 197 42
Real Estate
30 58
541
+ 28 Services
117
275 101
Technology and Electronics 4 42 35 11 15
164 157
+ 44 Telecommunications
42 40 58 226 78
Transportation
7 58 22
367 30
Utilities
463 27
577
+ 20 Others
31 61
+ 2 Asset-backed Securities
Covered Bonds 3,041 109
+ 93 Funds
102 1,305 635
+ 21 Total 4,050 3,308 3,252 2,206 741 1,730 15,287 3,388 982 3 19,659 + 813 Change from 30.6.2016
+ 612
+ 105
+ 606 + 220
+ 813 EURm
1. Sub-Groups are adequately capitalized to ensure normal business
2. At Group level the following issues are managed/monitored – direct risk concentrations – correlations of the sub-groupsʼ profits – sub-groups do not cross-capitalize each other, parent is the source of capital – the funds generating capacity of the parent company is maintained by having low leverage and adequate liquidity buffers in normal situations 1 +2 => Sampo Group is well-capitalized
35
Sampo Group
EURm
743 1,441 278 875 182 205 1,563 3,998 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 1,433 1,014 99 477 182 310 1,940 3,818 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000
Internally assessed Solvency ratio 256% Standard Formula Solvency Ratio 197%
LAC = Loss Absorbing Capacity, DT = Deferred Taxes, SCR= Solvency Capital Requirement
EURm
36
S&P TTC for A rating 2,961 S&P TTC for A rating 2,961
Sampo Group
1,260 49 418 289 40 53 285 1,141 285 1,743 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000
LAC = Loss Absorbing Capacity, TP = Technical Provision, DT = Deferred Taxes
*
* Own Funds without transitional measures EUR 1,283m
EURm
SF with Transitional Measures Solvency ratio 153%
37
Sampo Group
38
EURm 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 WP-liabilities (4.5% guarantee) WP-liabilities (3.5% guarantee) Segregated Group Pension Other WP-liabilities
Expected Changes in Insurance Liabilities
will decrease to EUR 1 bn and their portion of all WP-liabilities will decrease ⇒ Own Funds decrease slower than the SCR ⇒ Solvency stays at adequate level although the effect of Transitional Measures decreases
Sampo Group
Group Solvency Capital: – Under FICOD rules, capital is Group equity with some additional items added or deducted
(subordinated loans, deferred tax assets, planned dividends…)
– Under SII rules capital – referred to as Own funds (OF) – consists mainly of excess of assets
– Under normal circumstances Group OF by Solvency II and FICOD rules are close to each other. SCR by Financial Conglomerate Rules: – The Group’s SCR is the sum of the separate sub-group’s requirements (sectoral rules) – Banking rules are applied for parent company – No diversification effect between the companies SCR by Solvency II rules: – One capital requirement is calculated for the insurance group including the parent company Sampo plc, If P&C and Mandatum Life. This includes diversification effects and also capital requirement for the translation risk related to SEK denominated equity of If P&C – Nordea’s and Topdanmark’s capital requirements are added to the requirement – The SII SCR takes into account diversification only within the insurance group => Sampo Group Solvency Ratios are not comparable with most Insurance Groupsʼ solvency ratios
39
Sampo Group
1,940 1,141 184 3,706 28 6,999 10,433 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 If P&C (SF*) Mandatum Life (SCR**) Topdanmark Sampo plc's share of Nordea Sampo plc Total capital requirement Group Solvency Capital
EURmGroup solvency ratio 149% / SII Standard Formula applied for Insurance Subsidiaries
40
*) Standard formula, **) SCR with transition rules
Sampo Group
Mission Value Creation in the Nordic Financials 3-10 Sampo Group Current Issues 11-14 If P&C The Leading Nordic P&C Insurer 15-22 Mandatum Life A Finnish Financial Services Company 23-29 Sampo Group A Diversified Business Portfolio with Strong Capitalization 30-40 Sampo plc Parent Company with Capacity to Generate Funds 41-47 Appendix Separate Supplementary Information 48-59 41
Dividends
Shareholders
Income
investments
Sampo plc
Assets EURm
9,867 Liabilities EURm 9,867 Liquidity 345 CPs Issued 702 Investment assets 164 LT Senior Debt 2,142
2
128
24
2,014
Private Equity
137
Loans
Subordinated Loans 623 Subordinated Debt Equity Holdings 8,706 Capital 6,926
2,370
98
6,336
6,828 Other Assets 30 Other Liabilities 97
Flow of Funds Balance Sheet Key Credit Metrics well in Single A range
Sampo plc 30.9.2016 Gross Debt, EURm 2,845 Gross Debt to Equity 41% Financial Leverage 29% (= Debt/(Debt+Equity) Sampo Group, EURm Q3/2016 Q4/2015 Shareholders' Equity 11,445 11,411 Hybrid Bonds 12 10 Senior Debt 2,845 2,143 Financial leverage 24.8% 18.8%
42
Sampo plc
43
Sampo plc
Instrument & Principal Running Yield Call/ Maturity Mandatum Capital Loan 100m€ 4.57% Every year IF 30NC6.5 90m€ 4.71% 26.11.2018 IF 30NC10 99m€ 6.07% 08.12.2021 Nordea AT1 PerpNC5 171m$ 5.95% 23.9.2019 Nordea AT1 PerpNC5 98m$ 6.48% 13.9.2021 Topdanmark Tier1 33m€ 5.96% 15.9.2017 Topdanmark 10NC5 135mDKK 2.92% 11.12.2020 Topdanmark 10NC5.5 270mDKK 2.50% 11.6.2021 Hybrids (MV) 623m€ ≈ 5.30% Cash / Other FI 369m€ Other Investments 139m€ TOTAL * 1,131m€
* Before dividend payment
2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000
Q1/05 Q1/06 Q1/07 Q1/08 Q1/09 Q1/10 Q1/11 Q1/12 Q1/13 Q1/14 Q1/15 Q1/16 Q1/17
Sampo plc Net debt Group NAV Group Equity
EURm 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Q1/05 Q1/06 Q1/07 Q1/08 Q1/09 Q1/10 Q1/11 Q1/12 Q1/13 Q1/14 Q1/15 Q1/16 Q1/17
Net debt/NAV
44
=> Sampoʼs position to refinance its debt is strong
Sampo plc
EURm
249 1,031 519 181 488 540 406 544 490 597 587 293 100 300 200 200 100 100 100 100 125 141 75 35 130 80 204 250 224 293 370 533 551 490 1,406 754 511 568 744 756 768 883 1,067 1,220 969
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* If Mandatum Life Banking
Sampo plc
Sampo Bank 2005-2006, Nordea 2007->
45
*) If P&C normally pays its dividend towards the end of the calendar year. If P&C made a sales gain in connection to the mandatory offer on Topdanmark shares and paid an extra SEK 2.8 billion (EUR 293 million) dividend to Sampo plc
* Parent Company is not equal to Holding Segment; Dividend Income includes also dividends from Private Equity investments
747
702 762
683 773
737 879
832 1,069
1,050 1,226
17 1,229
100 300 500 700 900 1,100 1,300 Dividend income Operating expenses Net financial expenses Profit before taxes
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 *
EURm
Sampo plc
46
EURm Q3/2016 Q3/2015 Dividends 980.3 638.4 Operating expenses
Net financial expenses/income -23.3 18.0 Profit before taxes 948.7 645.7
Sampo plc
EURm
Instrument & Principal Coupon Swap Effective Rate Maturity
Senior Bond 500 EURm (EMTN) 4.2500% Euribor3M + 2.7910% 2.4930% 27.02.2017 Senior Bond 2,000 SEKm (EMTN) Stibor3M + 1.45%
29.05.2018 Senior Bond 500 EURm (EMTN) 1,1250%
24.05.2019 Senior Bond 2,000 SEKm (EMTN) Stibor3M + 0.77%
28.05.2020 Senior Bond 1,000 SEKm (EMTN) 1.2500% EUR 1.007% 1.0070% 28.05.2020 Senior Bond 500 EURm (EMTN) 1.5000%
16.09.2021 CPs issued 702 EURm Euribor + Margin 0.2400% Average 3M
Public debt 2,716 EURm 1.1490% Private placements 128 EURm 1.5819% Total 2,845 EURm 1.1686%
47
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 CP´s Senior under EMTN Senior Retail Private
48
Appendix Separate Supplementary Information 48-59
Appendix
49
results for 2016.
highly dependent on capital market developments. The continuing low interest rate level also creates a challenging environment for reinvestment in fixed income instruments.
Exposure tables vs. Allocation tables – small differences.
EURm Covered bonds Money market Long-term senior debt Long-term subordinated debt Total % Sweden 1,953 820 827 431 4,031 44% Finland 161 1,006 251 6 1,424 16% Norway 698 435 233 1,367 15% Denmark 196 310 43 549 6% United Kingdom 12 458 23 2 495 5% the United States 5 339 1 346 4% Canada 71 138 209 2% the Netherlands 199 199 2% Switzerland 176 11 187 2% France 22 62 14 98 1% Iceland 90 90 1% Other 48 12 75 135 1% Total 3,161 2,300 2,926 742 9,130 100%
50
Appendix
EURm Government Government guaranteed Public sector,
Total Sweden 118 696 814 Norway 253 253 Finland 79 75 153 Germany 66 66 Japan 18 18 Denmark 11 11 Total 118 156 1,042 1,316
Exposure tables vs. Allocation tables – small differences
51
Appendix
– Liabilities intensively analysed and modelled. – Regulatory requirements.
– Absolute Return targets taking into account the liabilities and general business targets. – Direct Investments into Nordic countries mainly, outside Nordics mainly Funds. – No diversification for the sake of diversification.
– Sampo plc Chief Investment Officer is responsible for all investments, all portfolio managers have a direct reporting line to him. – Common infrastructure for investment administration and reporting. – Investment strategies coordinated and streamlined, no overlapping activities to prevent Group-wide concentrations.
Appendix
52
– Sampo’s Board of Directors requires that all activities involving the exposure
risks, are arranged to comply with these general guidelines and related instructions as well as with applicable legislation and regulations. – The Board of Directors will supervise the risk taking and risk control activities. – The Principles apply to all Sampo Group companies.
– Balance between risks, capital and earnings – Cost efficiency and high quality processes – Strategic and operational flexibility
– Identification of risks – Assessment of required capital – Pricing of risks – Managing risk exposures, capital positions and operative processes – Measuring and reporting risks
Appendix
For more detailed description of Sampo Group´s Risk Management Principles, see http://www.sampo.com/governance/internal-control/risk-management/
53
Sampo’s P&C insurance
Following the transaction, Sampo
fully owned by Sampo (2004).
P&C insurance, Long-term savings, Banking Sampo Insurance Company and Leonia Bank merge into Sampo-Leonia Financial Group.
P&C insurance, Long-term savings (life insurance, asset management, mutual funds); Banking, Investment banking Mandatum Bank is merged into Sampo-Leonia, and the Group’s name is shortened to Sampo. Sampo divests Sampo Bank to Danske Bank.
P&C insurance, Life insurance & Wealth Management Sampo’s Nordea holding exceeds 20%.
associated company.
2007 2004 2002 2001 2000 2010 2011
Sampo Group’s(If P&Cʼs)
23%. Topdanmark becomes If´s associated company.
2012
Sampo Group (If P&C) acquires Tryg’s Finnish Business.
agreement with Nordea.
2013 2014
Sampo Group (Mandatum Life) acquires Suomi Mutualʼs With-Profit Group Pension portfolio.
Appendix
2016
54
Sampo commences the mandatory offer for Topdanmark after which Sampo plc´s holding is 41.1.%
Topdanmark becomes Sampo´s associated company
If P&C Insurance Ltd (Sweden), If P&C Insurance Company Ltd (Finland), Sampo plc
The Sampo Groupʼs P&C insurance companies became part of If in January 2002.
AA-/ A+/ A/ A-/ BBB+/ BBB/
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 -11 -12
Possible downgrade Jan 03 Stable Feb 02 Negative Aug 02 Stable Apr 03 Possible upgrade Feb 04 Stable May 04 Positive May 06 Stable Nov 08 Apr 04 First-time issuer rating Appendix
Aa3 A1 A2 A3 Baa1 Baa2
55
Positive Dec 15
Moodyʼs If P&C S&P If P&C Moodyʼs Sampo plc S&P Sampo plc
EURm Q3/16 Q2/16 Q1/16 Q4/15 Q3/15 Q2/15 Q1/15 Q4/14 Q3/14 Q2/14 Q1/14 Premiums earned
1,080 1,073 1,059
1,077 1,087 1,103 1,076 1,108 1,124 1,122 1,104 Claims incurred
Operating expenses
Other technical income and expenses
1 1 Allocated investment return transferred from the non-technical account
3 5
2 5 7 9 5 7 10 15 Technical result
162 168 184
135 180 217 124 147 155 162 124 Investment result
44 48 40
75 68 99 84 81 75 139 88 Allocated investment return transferred to the technical account
Other income and expenses
21 14 4
5 11 11 10 8 16 9 9 Operating result
224 220 216
204 245 310 200 219 228 289 194 Risk ratio, %
62.8 62.4 60.7
65.2 61.9 72.7 66.6 64.4 64.7 64.0 67.5 Combined ratio, %
84.6 84.5 83.0
87.7 83.8 80.9 89.2 87.1 86.9 86.5 90.3
Appendix
56
If is using reinsurance to:
If has the following Reinsurance Programmes in place
portfolio in the Nordics
reinsurance as core business
panel of reinsurers
broad terms
In Millions Catastrophe/ Event Property/ Risk Casualty Personal Accident Motor TPL Cargo Reporter Capacity SEK 6,300 SEK 2,000/3,500 SEK 500/€50/$50 SEK 1,100 Unlimited SEK 850 Retention SEK 250 SEK 250 SEK 100/€10/$15 SEK 100 SEK 100 SEK 100
57
In Millions Marine Hull Reporter Small Vessels Clash Cover Marine Hull I.V. Reporter Marine Hull War Risk Reporter US Terrorism Risk Capacity SEK 400 SEK 250 SEK 310 USD 60 USD 200 Retention SEK 100 SEK 100 SEK 100 USD 0.25 USD 25 Casualty/ Cyber Event SEK 400/€40/$50 SEK 200/€20/$25
Additional reinsurance purchased for risks with property value accumulations according to Solvency II requirements
Appendix
885 883 847 781 833 818 832 592 878 730 960 1,071 1,003 949 566 1,029 1,037 1,099 922 1,059 1,041 1,048 1,021 1,006 1,106 935 1,126 1,157 1,408 1,235 1,033 1,027 1,006 1,223 1,148 21 36 89 320 356 425 358 347 261 245 207 166 242 118 112 263 218 217 254 244 198 186 171 180 158 135 112 129 122 103 112 142 111 127 135
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 Q113 Q213 Q313 Q413 Q114 Q214 Q314 Q414 Q115 Q215 Q315 Q415 Q116 Q216 Q316 EURm Restructuring/impairment charges Loan losses Operating profit
Appendix
58
Nordea in Sampo Group’s B/S EURm Acquisition price 5,557.3 Retained earnings 1,804.2 Accumulated other changes in Nordea’s equity
Share of Nordea’s net profit 566.5 Amortisation
Deferred tax 5.8 Dividends
Share of Nordea’s other comprehensive income
Share of Nordea’s other changes in equity 6.7 Share of Nordea’s goodwill change
Total 7,278.4
Figures Per Share EUR Acquisition price 6.46 Book value 8.46 Market Value* 8.82
860,440,497
* As of 30/09/2016
Appendix
59