SA Corporate June 2017 Interim Results Presentation
August 2017
SA Corporate June 2017 Interim Results Presentation August 2017 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
SA Corporate June 2017 Interim Results Presentation August 2017 Agenda Highlights Rory Mackey Financial Performance Antoinette Basson South African Portfolio Review Rory Mackey Unlocking Value in the Retail Portfolio Rory
August 2017
Rory Mackey
Antoinette Basson
Rory Mackey
Rory Mackey
Rory Mackey
Rory Mackey
Rory Mackey
Rory Mackey
Rory Mackey
Rory Mackey
Team
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4.0%
positive reversions of 6.6% and escalations of 7.6%
residential portfolio to position for future sustainable growth; Afhco LFL NPI growth of 4.2%
February 17
and residential redevelopments
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10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 15.17 16.28 17.68 19.66 21.44 22.38 14.98 16.47 18.02 19.91 21.58 Interim Final 30.15 32.75 35.70 39.57 43.02
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0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 5.7% 7.3% 8.6% 11.2% 9.1% 4.4% 3.5% 9.9% 9.4% 10.5% 8.4% Interim Final
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Jun 2017 Jun 2016 % Rm Rm Variance Net Property Income - Like for Like 439.07 421.59 4.1 Net Property Income - Developments 164.24 124.19 32.2 Net Property Income - Acquisitions 58.45 9.14 539.5 Net Property Income - Buildings sold/held for sale 12.19 37.13 (67.2) Net Property Income 673.95 592.05 13.8 Investment in Joint Venture 30.73 31.77 (3.3) Distribution related income 10.67
Net finance costs (153.25) (109.72) 39.7 Dividends from fixed property companies 0.37
Distribution related expenses (21.45) (23.61) (9.1) Distributable earnings 541.02 490.49 10.3 Distribution per share (cents) 22.38 21.44 4.4
PY lease cancellation set-off against transactional income
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Portfolio growth underpinned by acquisitions, development expenditure and upward revaluation 15,022 15,625 113 371 237 (450) 332 14,400 14,600 14,800 15,000 15,200 15,400 15,600 15,800 16,000 16,200 16,400 Investment Properties December 2016 Acquisitions and improvements through business combination Acquisitions Improvements / development costs Disposals Fair value adjustment Investment Properties June 2017 9
100 200 300 400 500 600 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 Jun 2013 Jun 2014 Jun 2015 Jun 2016 Jun 2017
Total Assets (Rbn) Market Cap (Rbn) NAV per share (cents) Share Price (cents)
R’bn cents 10
499.28 22.38 11.45 0.19 (0.08) (0.74) (21.58) 510.90 300 325 350 375 400 425 450 475 500 525 550
Opening NAV 1 January 2017 Distributable earnings for the period Revaluation of Investment Properties, Shares and Interest Rate Swaps Net exposure to Zambian JV Net repurchase of treasury shares Other Non- distributable income statement items Distributions paid to shareholders Closing NAV 30 June 2017 11
Sources of Capital
Debt finance sources are diversified between banks and institutional borrowings.
3.3% 3.2% 9.4% 1.1% 3.1%
Absa Nedbank Standard Bank State Bank of India Investec
Equity 70.6% Bank Term Debts 4.8% Institutional and DFI Debts 3.6% Bank Revolvers 0.9% Syndicated Loans 20.1% Equity Bank Term Debts Institutional and DFI Debts Bank Revolvers Syndicated Loans 12
Maturity and interest rate profile of interest-bearing debt WAR of 8.5%, weighted average tenor of 2.2 years, and WAM of 1.7%.
Loan type: 6.88% Amortising 9.17% Term Loan (Syndication) 2.97% Term Loan (US$) 9.10% Term Loan (Syndication) 9.12% Term Loan (Syndication) 8.79% Revolving credit 8.78% Term Loan 8.72% Revolving credit 8.99% Term Loan 8.99% Term Loan 9.04% Term Loan 8.82% Term Loan (Syndication)
1,152 200 270 30
159 848 950 353 550 121
400 600 800 1,000 1,200 Dec 2017 Aug 2018 Sep 2018 Sep 2018 Nov 2018 Jan 2019 Mar 2019 Dec 2019 Jun 2020 Nov 2020 Dec 2021 Apr 2024
Amount Drawn Available
* - AFD Fixed Rate Debt # - Maturing Q4 2017 # *
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Maturity and interest rate profile of interest-bearing debt – WAR inclusive of fixes of 8.5%. Current LTV 31.1%
Loan type: 6.88% Amortising 9.15% Term Loan (Syndication) 3.59% Term Loan (US$) 9.08% Term Loan (Syndication) 9.10% Term Loan (Syndication) 8.77% Revolving credit 8.76% Term Loan 8.70% Revolving credit 8.97% Term Loan 8.97% Term Loan 9.02% Term Loan 8.80% Term Loan (Syndication) 1,152 200 270 30
159 848 950 353 550 121
400 600 800 1,000 1,200 Dec 2017 Aug 2018 Sep 2018 Sep 2018 Nov 2018 Jan 2019 Mar 2019 Dec 2019 Jun 2020 Nov 2020 Dec 2021 Apr 2024
Amount Drawn Available
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Tenor and interest rate swaps profile – weighted average tenor – 3.3 years and rate
* Includes $27m swap at 1.79% (based on US LIBOR)
8.45% 7.45% 7.60% 4.72% * 6.35% 7.27% 5.89%
240 705 240 753 650 1,234 240
1,000 1,500 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Swap amount
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191 643 (178) (3) (721) (16) (225) (11) 452 (522) (2) (9) 559 158 (1,000) (500)
1,000 Balance 31 December 2016 Cash generated from operations Net finance costs Net Acquisition of Property, Plant and Equipment Acquisitions and Improvements to Investment Property Investment in Joint Venture Prepayments/Advances to developers and movements in other financial assets Letting commissions and tenant installations Disposal of investment properties Distributions paid Repurchase/Vesting of treasury shares Interest bearing borrowings - foreign Interest bearing borrowings - local Balance 30 June 2017
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40,000,000 60,000,000 80,000,000 100,000,000 120,000,000 490 500 510 520 530 540 550 560 570 580 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Volume Traded Closing Price ( c )
SAC: closing price v monthly volume traded
FFB EMI GRT RES VKE FFA HYP SAC IPF RDF 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000
Value traded as % of market capital
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51% 25% 4% 20% 55% 27% 5% 13% Industrial Retail Commercial AFHCO June 2017 June 2016
Sectoral Profile (% of GLA) Sectoral Profile (% of Market Value)
34% 43% 8% 15% Industrial Retail Commercial AFHCO June 2016
SA Corporate excluding Zambian JV
(Dec-16: R15.0bn) Zambian JV
(Dec-16: R860.8m) Traditional standing Portfolio:
discount rate 15.0%
capitalisation rate 9.0%
30% 44% 7% 19% June 2017
20,000 Industrial Retail Commercial AFHCO Average 5,989 15,294 14,890 11,554 9,690 6,231 18,047 15,798 10,559 10,511 6,379 18,699 16,803 9,260 10,260
Market Value per m²
June 2016 December 2016 June 2017
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Acquisitions, Disposals and Developments
2,147 507 2,711 459 287 9.5% 10.4% 10.7% 9.1% 8.1% 8.8% 0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 12.00%
1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 Committed Developments Acquisitions Contracted Acquisitions Disposals Contracted and unconditional disposals Group WACC Cost / Carrying Value (Rm) Selling Price (Rm) Yield forecast 1st 12 months Exit yield on sales price 20
# Land/Bulk acquired for development ^ Yield in USD Property Sector Forward Yield % Purchase price (R000) Transfer date Steelport Residential, Steelport Residential 10.3 79,781 Jan-17 Friendship Town, Midrand Residential 11.0 72,047 Feb-17 Long Street Precinct Bulk, Jeppestown Residential # 29,658 Feb-17 - Apr-17 Reef Acres, Springs Residential 10.0 43,456 Feb-17 Andrea Close & Dennehof and Bloekomhof, Vereeniging Residential 11.0 40,580 Mar-17 51 Pritchard Street, Johannesburg CBD Retail 10.3 178,026 Mar-17 Erf 286, Erand (storage land) Land # 12,247 Apr-17 Indirect investment in Phase 3A, Zambia Retail 9.0^ 23,152 Apr-17 Cnr of Rockey and Davies Streets, Doornfontein Retail # 5,500 May-17 Erf 8383, Milnerton (retail and storage development land) Land # 22,515 Jun-17 Total 10.4 506,962 21
1 Represents 60% ownership
* Listed property investment # Land/Bulk acquired for development
Contracted and unconditional Property Sector Forward Yield % Purchase price (R000) Expected transfer Storage Genie leasehold properties Storage 18.3 65,580 Jul-17 African City Mall Phase 1, Johannesburg CBD Retail 10.3 41,136 Jul-17 Reef Acres - Real right of extension, Springs Residential # 1,280 Jul-17 Safari Investments RSA Ltd - 20 000 000 shares * 152,000 Jul-17 Northgate Heights Phase 1A & 1B, Northgate Residential 10.0 57,476 Jul-17 - Nov-17 M&T Development - Burgundy, Centurion Residential 10.0 75,778 Aug-17 M&T Development - Minuet Phases 1 & 2, Midrand Residential 10.0 48,709 Aug-17 Golf Park, Phillip Nel Park, Pretoria Residential 10.3 98,000 Aug-17 Panama House Phase 1, Johannesburg CBD Residential 10.5 70,211 Aug-17 Panama House Phase 2, Johannesburg CBD Residential 10.5 30,919 Nov-17 African City Mall Phase 2, Johannesburg CBD Retail 11.0 40,564 Oct-17 Calgro Developments Phases 1 - 5 Residential 10.8 811,720 Sept-17 - Oct-18 M&T Development - Etude Phases 1 - 6, Midrand Residential 10.0 252,347 Oct-17 - May-18 Long Street Precinct Bulk (Parcels 5 - 7), Jeppestown Residential # 12,235 Dec-17 Northgate Heights Phases 2 & 3, Northgate Residential 11.0 58,582 Feb-18 - May-18 Total 10.8 1,816,538 Contracted and conditional Property Sector Forward Yield % Purchase price (R000) Expected transfer Storage Genie Freehold properties Storage 11.1 266,701 Dec-17 - Dec-18 Total 11.1 266,701 Acquisitions contracted after 30 Jun 2017: Property Sector Forward Yield % Purchase price (R000) Expected transfer The Oaks, Ermelo Retail 10.6 105,000 Nov-17 Calderwood, Boksburg Residential 10.0 165,000 Mar-18 M&T Development - Founders Hill 1 Residential 10.0 289,759 May-18 - Dec-19 Joburg Rising, Johannesburg CBD Residential 10.0 68,413 Jan-19 Total 10.1 628,172
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1 Sale of 50% undivided share; Exit yield calculated on sales price plus
defensive capex Executed Property Sector Exit Yield % Gross price (R000) Transfer date 35 Circuit Road, Westmead Industrial 7.6 15,000 Jan-17 Pine Crest Shopping Centre, Pinetown 1 Retail 8.2 406,959 Mar-17 36 Wankel Street, Jet Park Industrial 7.1 37,000 May-17 Total 8.1 458,959 Contracted and Unconditional Property Sector Exit Yield % Gross price (R000) Expected transfer Lebombo Road, Garsfontein (Portion) Commercial 6.2 12,000 Sep-17 African Diamond, Johannesburg CBD Residential 6.8 25,000 Oct-17 Textile House, Johannesburg CBD Residential 9.5 55,000 Nov-17 The Mall, Vanderbijl Park Afhco Retail 10.0 13,580 Dec-18 Total 7.8 105,580 Contracted and Conditional Property Sector Exit Yield % Gross price (R000) Expected transfer Hotel at Cullinan Jewel Shopping Centre, Pretoria Retail 9.0 2,700 Sep-17 96 15th Road, Randjespark Industrial 7.9 92,000 Oct-17 Nukerk, Johannesburg CBD Residential 10.0 87,000 Dec-17 Total 8.9 181,700
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0.4% 6.6%
2.7%
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% Industrial Retail Commercial Total (excl. AFHCO) AFHCO Retail / Commercial 6 months to June 2017
space and negotiating a lower rental. If this tenant is removed from the calculation, the rental reversion will be 10%.
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* Including loyalty program inflationary increases are anticipated.
8.0% 7.6% 8.0% 7.8% 9.0% 7.5% 6.5% 7.0% 7.5% 8.0% 8.5% 9.0% 9.5% Industrial Retail Commercial Total (excl AFHCO) AFHCO Retail / Commercial AFHCO Residential
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Vacancies Monthly 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021+ % of GLA 2.6% 5.5% 9.0% 21.6% 16.0% 11.4% 33.9% Cumulative 2.6% 8.1% 17.1% 38.7% 54.7% 66.1% 100.0% 2.6% 5.5% 9.0% 21.6% 16.0% 11.4% 33.9% 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% 120.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0%
% of GLA
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Vacancies Monthly 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021+ % of GLA 1.4% 13.9% 7.0% 15.8% 10.1% 22.4% 29.4% Cumulative 1.4% 15.3% 22.3% 38.1% 48.2% 70.6% 100.0% 1.4% 13.9% 7.0% 15.8% 10.1% 22.4% 29.4% 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% 120.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0%
% of GLA
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(% of GLA)
2.6% 4.5% 8.6% 3.6% 1.1% 4.5% 8.8% 2.7% 1.6% 3.9% 6.7% 2.6% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0% Industrial Retail Commercial Total June 2016 December 2016 June 2017
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(% of gross rental)
1.6% 2.8% 5.9% 2.7% 0.9% 3.3% 5.4% 2.5% 1.1% 3.2% 5.5% 2.5% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% Industrial Retail Commercial Total June 2016 December 2016 June 2017
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(Residential % of Units / Retail & Commercial % of GLA)
3.3% 5.2% 4.6% 3.4% 10.4% 8.7% 1.4% 8.9% 5.8% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% Retail / Commercial Residential Total June 2016 December 2016 June 2017
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Source of article – Citizen.co.za south africa 14.8.2017 07:27 am
Areas of Worsening Crime Unemployment in Potential Tenant Base Increased Competition
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Percentage Residential Units Vacancies as at 25 August 2017 excluding sold buildings = 6.4%
100 200 300 400 500 600 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 Jan 2017 Feb 2017 Mar 2017 Apr 2017 May 2017 Jun 2017 July 2017 Aug-17
Notices New leases
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Tenant receivables as a % of rolling 12 months income
2.2% 3.0% 2.4% 2.8% 3.6% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16 Dec-16 Jun-17
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Source: SAPOA: April 2017
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GLA = 8,548 m2 Acquisition Cost = R105 Million Acquisition Yield = 10.6% Guarantee = 24 month NPI guarantee National Tenants = 92% of GLA Anchors = Checkers & Woolworths 2016 Trading Density = R3,165 / m2 National Trading Density Growth = 6.1%
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* Represents SA Corporate ownership portion of development costs @ Includes capitalised interest
Property Estimated Cost (Rm) @ Yield %
East Point 499.0 9.0 Umlazi Mega City (Phase 1 & 2) 220.0* 9.5 Completed Subtotal 719.0 9.2 Hayfields Mall 37.3 9.1 Umlazi Mega City (Phase 3) 58.0* 9.5 Midway Mews 32.7 8.8 (ex Def capex – 11.8) Cambridge Crossing 59.9 9.1 (ex Def capex – 11.5) Kempton Park 70.9 10.0 North Park Mall 141.7 10.0 Current Redevelopments Subtotal 400.5 9.6
Total Redevelopments
1,119.5 9.3 38
* Driven by an improved trading performance of 10.9% for value branded
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57 Sarel Baard Crescent, Centurion (Imperial Health Sciences DC)
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252 Montrose Avenue, Randburg Cnr Old Pretoria & Alexandra Roads, Midrand Cnr Old Pretoria & Alexandra Roads, Midrand
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Physical address Cnr Thabo Mbeki and Great East Road, Lusaka Category Retail % of total portfolio GLA 53.1% GLA (m2) 30 622 Tenancy Multi-tenanted Major tenants Builders Warehouse, Pick 'n Pay, Edgars, Food Lovers, Jet, Amic Toy & Baby Shop, Jinlintong, Multichoice, Carnival- ZMK and Pep Stores National tenants by GLA (%) 59.1% Vacancy by GLA (%) 0.6% Weighted average gross rental / m² (USD) 23.8 Weighted average escalation (%) 2.5% Cnr Thabo Mbeki and Great East Road, Lusaka Office 21.7% 12 488 Multi-tenanted Eco Bank, First National Bank Zambia, AON Zambia Ltd, United Bank for Africa, Huawei Technologies Co. Z Ltd 76.3% 4.7% 22.1 2.9% Cnr Kabwe and Mushili Road, Ndola Retail 25.2% 14 539 Multi-tenanted Pick n pay, Cash Build, Pep Stores, Zamjoy (Ex Furnmart), Kobil Filling Station, Carnival Furniture 42.7% 15.9% 11.9 2.9%
East Park Mall Acacia Office Park Jacaranda Mall * The vacancy at Jacaranda Mall has since reduced to 11.8% as at 25 August 2017 *
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Zambia (25 + 25 yr lease)
adjusted for any movement in the 5 yr USD Swap Rate
subsequent right of first refusal should development partner wish to sell to a 3rd party 47
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Additional development bulk – represents R1bn development pipeline in the next 4 years with a targeted yield of 11% primarily at Jeppe Street Post Office & Long Street Precinct
Property Sector Yield forecast 1st 12 months (%) Cost (R000) Forecast Completion date End Park, Mantoll Court, Tollman Mixed use 11.0 77,720 Jul-18 Station View Mixed use 11.0 32,059 Jun-18 Sidelsky Residential 10.6 215,346 Mar-19 Jeppe Street Post Office Phase 1 Residential 11.0 100,555 Jul-19 Total 10.8 425,680 50
residential property.
amenities specifically for the rental market & subsequently sold to the JVCo.
does not achieve investment hurdle.
absent in older properties.
mobile than homeowners, popularity of areas for rental properties change more quickly.
income generating properties.
with accretive acquisitions.
IP in respect of product & location, (3) have land holdings to provide an extensive strategic development pipeline, (4) have funding capacity and (5) preferably have the appetite to hold portfolios in partnership to ensure alignment & commitment to adapt product design, specification and amenity provision focused on the rental market.
extensive Modderfontein property) and commitment to building an investment portfolio in partnership makes it a perfect partner to Afhco & SA Corporate. 51
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Marketing
Product Enhancements
children's play areas, indoor soccer fields & braai areas
Resourcing The following appointments are being progressed:
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Investment Rationale
living spaces
administration software and pipeline Transaction Structure The transaction has four parts being:
and Erand, Gauteng
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Leasehold Properties
14 Storage Genie leasehold properties on 1 July 2017. The investment will generate an initial yield
18.3% which translates to an internal rate of return of at least 20%
the leasehold periods, assuming no renewal of the leasehold leases
the second anniversary of the effective date
Property Location Storage Units Hillfox Gauteng 62 Princess Crossing Gauteng 179 PTA East Gauteng 174 Sandton Gauteng 46 Wanderers Gauteng 74 Pomona Gauteng 350 Zambezi Gauteng 93 Rosebank Gauteng 86 Stoneridge Gauteng 306 Randburg Gauteng 62 Rivonia Gauteng 228 Bryanston Gauteng 142 Fourways Gauteng 214 Blue Valley Gauteng 93 Total 2109
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Freehold Properties
the 12 month period from December 2017.
transfer of the respective property, forecast operating expenses based on quotations received and an occupancy level of 85%.
8% (“Yield Guarantee”).
shall be a price adjustment on the anniversary of the third year from the effective date.
depending on the occupancy on transfer. 61
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The challenges of lethargic South African economic conditions has required the Company to take the following decisive actions to ensure defensive rental revenue streams to generate sustainable distribution growth:
well considered redevelopment and rejuvenation programme.
retaining tenants with strong covenants.
its Johannesburg inner-city business through
and asset management interventions.
2017 full year distribution growth of approximately 6% is anticipated, which is at the lower end of guidance given at the beginning of the year.
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61% 28% 1% 5% 5%
June 2017
Geographical Profile (% of GLA) Geographical Profile (% of Market Value)
58% 32% 0% 5% 5% Gauteng KwaZulu Natal Limpopo Western Cape South Africa: Other June 2016 61% 31% 1% 5% 2% June 2017 58% 34% 5% 3% Gauteng KwaZulu Natal Limpopo Western Cape South Africa: Other June 2016
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59 Properties GLA 288,043m2 Market Value R3.0bn Weighted average capitalisation rate 9.8% Afhco also owns residential bulk of 106,635m2 to be redeveloped
Retail / Commercial 30% (June 2016: 34%) Residential 70% (June 2016: 66%)
By GLA
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66% 58% 59% 63% 28% 27% 22% 28% 6% 15% 19% 9%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Industrial Retail Commercial TOTAL
Per Sector
A B C A 63% B 28% C 9%
Total Portfolio
"A": large national tenants, large listed tenants, government and major franchisees "B": national tenants, listed tenants, franchisees, large regional tenants, medium to large professional firms "C": other
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