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2014/15 Half Year London | Friday 7 November 2014 Results Cautionary statement This presentation contains certain statements that are neither reported financial results nor other historical information. These statements are forward-looking


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SLIDE 1

2014/15

Half Year Results

London | Friday 7 November 2014

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Cautionary statement

This presentation contains certain statements that are neither reported financial results nor other historical information. These statements are forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. These statements include information with respect to National Grid’s financial condition, its results of

  • perations and businesses, strategy, plans and objectives. Words such as ‘aims’, ‘anticipates’, ‘expects’, ‘should’, ‘intends’, ‘plans’, ‘believes’,

‘outlook’, ‘seeks’, ‘estimates’, ‘targets’, ‘may’, ‘will’, ‘continue’, ‘project’ and similar expressions, as well as statements in the future tense, identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of National Grid’s future performance and are subject to assumptions, risks and uncertainties that could cause actual future results to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by such forward-looking statements. Many of these assumptions, risks and uncertainties relate to factors that are beyond National Grid’s ability to control

  • r estimate precisely, such as changes in laws or regulations, announcements from and decisions by governmental bodies or regulators

(including the timeliness of consents for construction projects); the timing of construction and delivery by third parties of new generation projects requiring connection; breaches of, or changes in, environmental, climate change and health and safety laws or regulations, including breaches

  • r other incidents arising from the potentially harmful nature of its activities; network failure or interruption, the inability to carry out critical non

network operations and damage to infrastructure, due to adverse seasonal and weather conditions including the impact of major storms as well as the results of climate change or due to unauthorised access to or deliberate breaches of National Grid’s IT systems and supporting technology; changes in public safety concerns, including due to network failure or interruption involving National Grid or other utility providers, and related increases in repair and emergency response activities; performance against regulatory targets and standards and against National Grid’s peers with the aim of delivering stakeholder expectations regarding costs and efficiency savings, including those related to investment programmes and internal transformation projects; and customers and counterparties (including financial institutions) failing to perform their

  • bligations to the Company. Other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in this announcement include

fluctuations in exchange rates, interest rates and commodity price indices; restrictions and conditions (including filing requirements) in National Grid’s borrowing and debt arrangements, funding costs and access to financing; regulatory requirements for the Company to maintain financial resources in certain parts of its business and restrictions on some subsidiaries’ transactions such as paying dividends, lending or levying charges; inflation; the delayed timing of recoveries and payments in National Grid’s regulated businesses and whether aspects of its activities are contestable; the funding requirements and performance of National Grid’s pension schemes and other post-retirement benefit schemes; the failure to attract, train or retain employees with the necessary competencies, including leadership skills, and any significant disputes arising with National Grid’s employees or the breach of laws or regulations by its employees; and the failure to respond to market developments and grow the Company’s business to deliver its strategy, as well as incorrect or unforeseen assumptions or conclusions (including unanticipated costs and liabilities) relating to business development activity, including assumptions in connection with joint ventures. For further details regarding these and other assumptions, risks and uncertainties that may impact National Grid, please read the Strategic Report section and the ‘Risk factors’ on pages 167 to 169 of National Grid’s most recent Annual Report and Accounts. In addition, new factors emerge from time to time and National Grid cannot assess the potential impact of any such factor on its activities or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause actual future results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. Except as may be required by law or regulation, the Company undertakes no obligation to update any of its forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation.

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Highlights

2014/15

Half Year Results

Steve Holliday | Chief Executive

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On track for another good year

 Consistent delivery of growth &

continued execution against our plans

 UK performing well  US systems implementation completed  US business growing  Delivering the fundamentals

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Safety, reliability & customer service

 UK employee safety remains world class;

US making excellent progress

 Network reliability remains strong  Delivering another year of substantial

investment

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SLIDE 6

Financial headlines

6

£1.6bn

  • perating profit

£1.1bn

profit before tax

£883m

earnings

23.4p

earnings per share

14.71p

dividend per share

Note: Adjusted performance, excluding exceptional items and remeasurements for continuing operations All numbers include impacts of timing

Capital investment £1.6bn

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Electricity Transmission

Significant investment programme

UK Priorities

7

Several important upgrades required Challenge to improve customer service

Gas Transmission Gas Distribution

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London power tunnels

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Significant investment programme

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Gas Transmission compressors

9

Several important upgrades

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Gas Distribution customer service

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Challenge to improve customer service

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Complete installation of new financial systems

US Priorities

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Sustain asset growth and returns

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Complete installation of new financial systems

US Priorities

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Sustain asset growth and returns

 Completed  Upgrade successfully installed in July  New financial systems fully integrated

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Complete installation of new financial systems

US Priorities

13

Sustain asset growth and returns

 Operations performing well  Strong growth in regulated assets  Headwinds to expected returns

 Unplanned gas mains repair costs  End of bonus depreciation dilutes returns

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Unplanned gas mains repair costs

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15

Property JV with Berkeley Group

 Property deal up to 24 sites into JV  First 10 sites identified  Berkeley Group invest cash, we provide

sites

 Realise greater value for our London

portfolio

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Responsible business

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 ‘Responsible business of the year’

award from Business in the Community

 Recognised UK & US businesses:

  • focus on sustainability
  • work in the community
  • developing skills and talent
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Business Review

2014/15

Half Year Results

Andrew Bonfield | Finance Director

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In line with expectations

Operating profit

UK Electricity Transmission

£687m

UK Gas Transmission

£110m

UK Gas Distribution

£434m

US Regulated

£307m

Other Activities

£73m

 Full Year focus on…

  • value added
  • returns
  • regulatory financial

performance & position

 Half Year update…

  • key drivers
  • utlook on full year

returns

Note: Adjusted performance, excluding exceptional items and remeasurements for continuing operations All numbers include impacts of timing

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Electricity Transmission

Totex

Add’l

UK Electricity Transmission

UK Transmission

£687m +

+ = =

Other Totex Overall Incentives

 Legal settlements of £53m not included in 14/15 returns  Totex improvements driven by capital efficiencies  Other incentives to maintain into the full year  Additional (legacy) price control benefits continue  On track for improved performance

Note: Adjusted performance, excluding exceptional items and remeasurements for continuing operations All numbers include impacts of timing

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Gas Transmission

Totex

Add’l

UK Gas Transmission

UK Transmission

£110m +

+ + =

Other Totex Overall Incentives

 Lower totex spend - in line with allowances  Permit income to boost traditional (other) incentives  Additional (legacy) allowances to remain in line with

13/14 but will ramp down from 2015/16

Note: Adjusted performance, excluding exceptional items and remeasurements for continuing operations All numbers include impacts of timing

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Gas Distribution

Totex

Add’l

UK Gas Distribution

UK Transmission

£434m =

= + =

Other Totex Overall Incentives

 Another good year for mains replacement activities  Customer service improvements should benefit other

incentives

 Small amount of additional benefits set to continue

Note: Adjusted performance, excluding exceptional items and remeasurements for continuing operations All numbers include impacts of timing

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US bonus depreciation

 Stimulus measure to encourage investment  Lowered cash tax by accelerating tax deductions  Creates deferred tax liability, offset against rate base

growth

 No impact on revenues, potential upside when rate

base growth trued up

 For calendar year, likely to add around $350m to rate

base growth – a 20 basis point headwind to returns

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US Regulated US Regulated

UK Transmission

£307m

 Operations performing well  Strong growth in regulated assets  Returns expect to reflect

  • bonus depreciation impact
  • costs associated with winter weather of 2013/14

 Fundamentals of US business remain attractive

8.5 % - 8.9%

projected 2014 returns

Note: Adjusted performance, excluding exceptional items and remeasurements for continuing operations All numbers include impacts of timing

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Other

 Operating activities continue to provide steady

performance

 Positive outlook for the full year  Joint venture with Berkeley Group should unlock

value of London property portfolio over time

 Corporate costs associated with business

development and regulatory filings Other operating activities

£51m £26m

Property IFA Grain LNG Metering

£87m £38m

Note: Adjusted performance, excluding exceptional items and remeasurements for continuing operations All numbers include impacts of timing

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Interest, tax and earnings

Finance costs

19% lower than 2013

Adjusted performance, excluding exceptional items and remeasurements

 Effective interest rate 4.5%  Lower cost of carry from

holding cash & refinancing debt at attractive rates

£492m

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Debt financing

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 $900m NiMo bond raising

  • 10 years at 3.5%
  • 20 years at 4.3%

 £1.5bn bank loan facility

arranged with European Investment Bank

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Interest, tax and earnings

Finance costs

19% lower than 2013

 Effective interest rate 4.5%  Lower cost of carry from

holding cash & refinancing debt at attractive rates

£492m

 Tax rate 30bp lower than

2013

 Reflects lower UK

corporation tax rate

Effective tax rate

22.7%

at £(258)m Earnings per share

23.4p

 £883m earnings  3,771m weighted avg.

shares

Adjusted performance, excluding exceptional items and remeasurements

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Cash flows and net debt

Operating cash flows from continuing operations before exceptional items, remeasurements and taxation

Period ended 30 September 2014 £m

Operating profit 1,611 Depreciation & amortisation 721 Provisions, incl. pensions (197) Working capital & other 432 Net operating cash flow 2,567 Net debt 21,744

Net operating cash flow

£2.6bn

Operating cash flow after capex

£85m

Net debt

£21.7bn

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H1 2014 H1 2013

UK Transmission 514 701 UK Gas Transmission 85 92 UK Gas Distribution 226 248 US Regulated 649 571 Other Activities 105 76 Total 1,579 1,688

£m

Capital investment

c.5% group growth rate expected

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Technical guidance 2014/15

 US 18a timing refund

$120-$140m

 Impacts of US weather  Interest costs lower  Full year tax rate of 25%

2015/16

 Two-year lag in UK

regulation

  • return revenues
  • share savings
  • collect incentives

 No impact on returns

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Summary

 Solid first half  Good progress to year

end objectives

 Continue to grow group

whilst supporting dividend

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Priorities & outlook

2014/15

Steve Holliday | Chief Executive

Half Year Results

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Electricity Market Reform

 Managed capacity market

qualification process

  • 63GW capacity

qualified

  • target of 51GW

 First capacity auctions in

December 2014

 First contract for difference

awards in early 2015

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Loss of load expectation (LOLE) Worsening reliability

Winter outlook

Supplemental & Demand-side Balancing Reserve EMR Capacity Market in place

Improving reliability

Source: Ofgem June Electricity Capacity Assessment Report

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Electricity Transmission

Significant investment programme

UK Priorities

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Several important upgrades required Challenge to improve customer service

Gas Transmission Gas Distribution

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Complete installation of new financial systems

US Priorities

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Sustain asset growth and returns

 Drive performance and efficiency  Smaller targeted applications for cost allowances

  • Massachusetts & KEDLI

 Major filings in New York and Massachusetts

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Tom King

 Tom King to step down in March 2015  Seven years of important change  Leaves behind an organisation with

strong jurisdictional & regulatory focus

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Dean Seavers

 Dean Seavers will join in

December 2014 as US CEO

 Brings wealth of experience in

performance management

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Peggy Smyth

 Peggy Smyth joined in October

as US CFO

 Brings strong utility experience

after time at Consolidated Edison

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Complete installation of new financial systems

US Priorities

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Sustain asset growth and returns

 Drive performance and efficiency  Smaller targeted applications for cost allowances

  • Massachusetts & KEDLI

 Major filings in New York and Massachusetts

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Growth pipeline

£16bn - £20bn

  • ver 2013 - 2021

£2bn - £3bn pa

UK

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Growth pipeline

£16bn - £20bn

  • ver 2013 - 2021

£2bn - £3bn pa $2bn - $2.5bn+ pa

Network modernisation Gas mains replacement Customer connections

US

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Growth pipeline

£16bn - £20bn

  • ver 2013 - 2021

£2bn - £3bn pa $2bn - $2.5bn+ pa

+

Interconnectors

Nemo Link

 £500m, 1GW Belgian

interconnector NSN Link

 £2bn, 1.4GW Norwegian

interconnector

UK US

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Growth pipeline

£16bn - £20bn

  • ver 2013 - 2021

£2bn - £3bn pa $2bn - $2.5bn+ pa

+

Interconnectors New York Transco

+

FERC1000 & Other

+

New York State Transco JV

 JV between four

transmission operators

 Reinforce north-south

transfer of power

 Expect overall $2bn

investment FERC 1000

 Wide range of opportunities

UK US

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Growth pipeline

£16bn - £20bn

  • ver 2013 - 2021

£2bn - £3bn pa $2bn - $2.5bn+ pa

+

Interconnectors New York Transco

+

FERC1000 & Other

+

Attractive Combination of Growth & Yield

=

UK US

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In summary

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 Safety, reliability and

  • perational execution

 Well positioned &

confident in our future

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Appendices

2014/15

Half Year Results

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Appendix 1: Pensions & other post-retirement benefit obligations (IAS19 data)

UK US At 30 September 2014 (£m) ESPS NGUK PS Pensions OPEBs NG total Market value of assets 2,102 16,029 4,506 1,696 24,333 Present value of liabilities (2,612) (16,194) (5,056) (2,847) (26,709) Net liability (510) (165) (550) (1,151) (2,376) Deferred taxation 102 33 222 463 820 Liability net of taxation (408) (132) (328) (688) (1,556) Discount rates 4.0% 4.0% 4.6% 4.6%

OPEBs = other post employment benefits

UK US At 31 March 2014 (£m) ESPS NGUK PS Pensions OPEBs NG total Market value of assets 1,957 15,452 4,229 1,620 23,258 Present value of liabilities (2,467) (15,695) (4,752) (2,755) (25,669) Net liability (510) (243) (523) (1,135) (2,411) Deferred taxation 102 49 210 456 817 Liability net of taxation (408) (194) (313) (679) (1,594) Discount rates 4.3% 4.3% 4.8% 4.8%

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Appendix 2: Timing Impacts

£m UK Electricity Transmission UK Gas Transmission UK Gas Distribution US Regulated Total 2014/15 Opening balance (67) (11) 21 113 56 2014/15 over/(under) recovery (6) 10 3 (35) (28) 2014/15 Closing balance to return / (recover) (73) (1) 24 78 28 2013/14 Opening balance (7) 10 (8) 103 98 2013/14 over/(under) recovery 10 (12) 8 (52) (46) 2013/14 Closing balance to return / (recover) 3 (2)

  • 51

52 Year on year timing variance (16) 22 (5) 17 18

All USD balances stated using the average 2014 rate ($1.68 to £1.00)

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Appendix 3: Weighted average number of shares

Period ended 30 September 2014 2013 Number of shares (millions): Prior period as reported (weighted average)

  • 3,729

Current period opening shares 3,730

  • August 2014 dividend scrip shares

35 35 Other share issuances (weighted from issuance) 6

  • Weighted average number of shares (2013 restated)

3,771 3,764 Business performance earnings (£m) 883 761 Business performance EPS (2013 restated) 23.4p 20.2p