www.seplatpetroleum.com
2020
H1 RESULTS
29 JULY 2020
RESILIENCE AND STRENGTH 2020 H1 RESULTS 29 JULY 2020 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
RESILIENCE AND STRENGTH 2020 H1 RESULTS 29 JULY 2020 www.seplatpetroleum.com 2 SEPLAT PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT COMPANY PLC INTRODUCTION Austin Avuru Chief Executive Officer www.seplatpetroleum.com H1 2020 KEY MACROECONOMIC EVENTS An
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29 JULY 2020
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SEPLAT PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT COMPANY PLC
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Chief Executive Officer
SEPLAT PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT COMPANY PLC | H1 2020 RESULTS
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› Oil price recovering after twin shocks of COVID-19
demand drop and KSA-Russia price war
› OPEC+ cuts will reduce Seplat’s W.I. quotas in
July/August but little impact expected on full-year result
› Nigeria is relatively lightly affected by COVID-19 with
<39,000 cases reported and <900 deaths as at 25/7/20
› Lockdown enforced in key centres, but oil operations
allowed to continue owing to strategic and economic importance
› Very little direct impact of COVID-19 on Seplat and its
developments
An unprecedented period of volatility as twin shocks hit the oil market
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
1/1/2020 2/1/2020 3/1/2020 4/1/2020 5/1/2020 6/1/2020 7/1/2020
BRENT FUTURES IN H1 2020 ($) EVOLUTION OF BRENT FORWARD CURVE ($)
20 30 40 50 60 M a r
S e p
M a r
1 S e p
1 M a r
2 S e p
2 M a r
3 S e p
3 M a r
4 S e p
4 M a r
5 S e p
5 M a r
6 S e p
6 M a r
7 S e p
7 M a r
8 S e p
8 M a r
9 Live 26/06/2020 27/04/2020 27/01/2020
SEPLAT PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT COMPANY PLC | H1 2020 RESULTS
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› 51,177 boepd total › Liquids 34,117 bopd › Gas 99 MMscfd
(17,060 boepd)
Seplat delivered production well within guidance and maintained a healthy cash balance despite low oil prices
VOLUMES WITHIN GUIDANCE KEY FIGURES
(Q1 2020: 48,491 boepd)
LOW COST PRODUCER
STRONG CASH BALANCE
A STRONG PERFORMANCE DESPITE CHALLENGING MARKET › $34.94/bbl realised
across H1 2020
› Hedged put options at
$45/bbl for Q2/Q3 and $30/bbl in Q4
Production well within guidance Oil price recovering
› Negotiating at least 30%
savings from suppliers, per Government request
› Reducing barging costs
at OML40, plus Group central costs
Focus on cost reduction and efficiency
› $86m invested H1 to
underpin future revenues
› H2 focus on gas projects › Non-essential capex
under review
Capex increased
› ANOH remains on schedule
for Q4 2021 first gas
› Amukpe-Escravos Pipeline
expected in H2, subject to COVID-19 delayed works being completed
Update on major projects
› Balance sheet strong
even after capex and dividend payments
› All debt lines well
within headroom
Balance sheet
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SEPLAT PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT COMPANY PLC
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Operations Director
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› Average W.I. production in H1 2020:
51,177 boepd (Q1 2020: 48,491)
› Eland achieved 10,861 bopd, c32% of
Group oil volumes
› Pipeline issues affected exports from
OML 4, 38, 41
› Gas production recovering after Q1
maintenance and 3rd party downtime
Volumes are well within guidance for 2020 despite severe market challenges in second quarter
14,794 23,474 24,252 29,003 10,091 17,853 25,669 23,935 33,388 34,117 5,226 4,867 6,571 14,369 15,786 19,070 24,198 22,563 15,103 17,060
20,020 28,341 30,823 43,372 25,877 36,924 49,867 46,498 48,491 51,177 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 Q1 2020 H1 2020
boepd
Oil production Gas production
SEPLAT PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT COMPANY PLC | H1 2020 RESULTS
PERFORMANCE
› No impact in H1 2020 › Seplat July production within revised
quota, August quota similar to H1 average
› No change to previous FY guidance
IMPACT OF OPEC+ CUTS
FY 2020 guidance unchanged at 47-57kboepd
SEPLAT PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT COMPANY PLC | H1 2020 RESULTS
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Focus on well development and reducing costs
OIL BUSINESS
› OML40 and Ubima production now included, contributing
nearly a third of oil production
› 76% uptime as infrastructure outages affected OML 4,38, 41
exports; 8.6% reconciliation losses
› Six oil wells completed across Sapele, Ovhor, Ohaji South
and Gbetiokun
› Cost saving initiatives underway include negotiating savings
from suppliers per Government request, larger barges at Gbetiokun to reduce shipping costs, savings already driving costs down from $14 to $9 per bbl
› Amukpe-Escravos Pipeline expected H2 2020 due to delays
in accessing the terminal; expected to significantly reduce reconciliation and other losses, thereby enhancing revenue assurance
GAS BUSINESS
› 99 Mscfd achieved across six-month period was
significant increase on 88Mscfd achieved Jan-March
› Oben scheduled maintenance and 3rd party
infrastructure problems restricted Q1 gas sales
› Oben-48 gas well completed and onstream › ANOH project still on target to produce first gas in
late 2021, despite COVID-19 impact
› ANOH equity and debt financing expected to
complete in H2 2020
› Sapele Gas Plant decommissioning in advanced
stage but timetable affected by COVID-19
› Two gas wells on track to be drilled in H2
SEPLAT PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT COMPANY PLC | H1 2020 RESULTS
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Investigation has commenced into explosion on maintenance barge
SUMMARY
› Seven fatalities amongst third-party contractors; our thoughts
and prayers are with the families and friends of all those who lost their lives
› No other casualties reported, no environmental damage › Investigation is underway, combined NPDC / Elcrest team, led
by NPDC as the operator
› Accident occurred on mooring dolphin at Benin River Valve
Station, which is Gbetiokun crude injection point into TEP for export to Forcados Terminal
› The mooring dolphin was being modified to receive a larger
self-propelled barge
› The BRVS is 30km away from the Gbetiokun upstream
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SEPLAT PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT COMPANY PLC
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Chief Financial Officer & CEO Designate
US$145 million
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Cash balance increases, NPDC receivables fall, capex increased and 2019 final dividend paid.
REVENUES
H1 2019: $355 million
US$234 million
H1 2019: $120 million profit
221%
CASH AT BANK
FY 2019: $333 million
US$343 million
3%
OPERATING COSTS
H1 2019: $5.41 / boe
US$7.60 / boe
40%
EBITDA
H1 2019: $223 million
US$115 million
NET DEBT
FY 2019: $456 million
US$457 million
GAS SALES REVENUE
H1 2019: $72 million
US$54 million
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
H1 2019: $28 million
US$86 million
206%
NPDC RECEIVABLES
FY 2019: $222 million
US$174 million
Impact of COVID-19 and oil price fall Loss results from IAS36 impairment Includes OML40/Ubima export cost Includes $799m gross debt 23% of Group revenues Increased despite market uncertainty Good management of receivables
SEPLAT PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT COMPANY PLC | H1 2020 RESULTS
LOSS BEFORE DEFERRED TAX
34% 26% 22% 48%
Cash balance strong and increasing After adjusting for impairment
› In cost of sales, royalties, crude handling and DDA now includes consolidated amounts
from Eland, including US$10.7m barging costs, but reduction in barging costs will be felt in H2
› Operating expenses include impact of Eland consolidation, IAS36 impairment on assets to reflect
the impact of oil price decline $146m in Q1 2020, and $14.8m impairment of financial assets
› H1 2020 finance cost is made up of interest repayments impacted by interest on additional
$350m RCF in December and consolidation of Eland finance cost compared to H1 2019
› Hedging: FV gain on hedge due to significantly low oil prices › Tax expense: H1 2020 contains a deferred tax credit of $39m and a tax charge of $3.9m › Capex for H1 2020 includes mainly costs for ramped up activities on Ovhor wells, Sapele and
Gbetiokun oil wells, Oben-48 gas well, Sapele gas plant project and other projects
› Good relationship with NPDC drives fall in receivables › H1 2020 results reflect contribution of Eland, acquired at the end of Q4 2019 › Lower
revenues reflect price falls in Q2; average price
$34.94 achieved across H1 with a low of $17.50
› H1 2020 gas sales did not include tolling (H1 2019: $67m); $2.88/Mscf achieved
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A profitable business with strong cash flow generation and a robust balance sheet
$ million H1 2020 H1 2019 Change Total revenue 233.6 355.1 (34.2%) Cost of sales (195.9) (148.0) 32.9% Gross profit 37.7 207.0 (81.8%) G&A (47.6) (42.1) 13.2% Other income 51.4 8.6 496% Impairments (160.9) (40.1) 301% Operating profit / (loss) (112.9) 139.1 (181.2%) Net finance costs (34.8) (18.9) 84.2% (Loss)/Profit before tax (145.3) 120.4 (220.7%) Tax credit / (expense) 35.1 (1.4) (2565%) (Loss)/Profit after tax (110.2) 119.0 (193%) Capital investment 86.0 28.1 206% Cash flow from operations 176.2 255.2 (31%) NPDC receivables (vs. 31/12/19) 174.4 222.3 21.6%
SEPLAT PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT COMPANY PLC | H1 2020 RESULTS
326.3 176.2 10.0 4.7 2.0 1.8
329.8 100 200 300 400 500 600 12
Strong cash generation and diligent management of Group liquidity
Cash at 31/12/19 (excl. restricted cash) Cash from
Proceeds from loans OML55 receipts FX gains Interest received Capex AGPC investment Interest, finance charges Dividend paid Income tax Cash at 30/6/20 (excl. restricted cash)
Hedging strategy of put options to provide cash flow assurance
SEPLAT PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT COMPANY PLC | H1 2020 RESULTS
Hedge Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021 Amount 1.5 MMbbl 1.5 MMbbl 1.0 MMbbl Price
$45 $30 $30
350 350 100
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Senior notes Revolving credit facility Reserve-based loan 13
› Capital structure amended following acquisition of Eland Oil & Gas PLC › $100m Eland reserve-based loan now part of structure. › $300m Seplat revolving credit facility upsized to $350m
and extended to 2022/23
Seplat is in a position of financial strength to capitalise on profitable opportunities
NET DEBT POSITION REFLECTS STRONG CASH BALANCE CURRENT DEBT MATURITY PROFILE (US$ MILLION)
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 2020 2021 2022 2023 Senior notes RCF RBL
KEY TERMS
Pricing Tenor
Notes
9.25%
2023
RCF
LIBOR+6% falling to LIBOR+5% after Amukpe-Escravos opens
2022/23
RBL
LIBOR+8% / LIBOR+7.5% if <50% drawn down
2023
DIVERSE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
Debt facilities US$ million
SEPLAT PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT COMPANY PLC | H1 2020 RESULTS
285 326 160 437 585 333 343
200 400 600 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 H1 2020 Gross debt US$ million Cash balance US$ million Net position $m
GAS BUSINESS
› Invest in growing the gas business
to fuel Nigeria’s increasing demand
› Develop ANOH for long-term growth › Drill gas wells to serve demand
OIL BUSINESS
› Offset expected decline by
developing low-risk wells / prospects
› Sustain and optimise production › Maintain core dividend
› Top up when considered
appropriate
› Commitment to dividend payments
evidenced by protection of FY2019 payment in May 2020 despite COVID-19 crisis
› Pay down $350m
Revolving Credit Facility
› Refinance Eland’s
Reserve-Based Loan
› Maintain optimal balance
› $400m+ cash flows expected from
Westport loan repayments
› Seek low-risk opportunities for
growth that enhance NAV and FCF
› Opportunity to consolidate
Nigerian market though OMLs, divested assets from IOCs and distressed small-scale operators
› Other value-enhancing M&A LOW-RISK CAPITAL INVESTMENT PROGRAM REDUCTION OF NET DEBT DIVIDEND PAYMENTS M&A POTENTIAL
We are focused on low-risk strategies to generate and deploying cash to grow the business and improve stakeholder returns
SEPLAT PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT COMPANY PLC | H1 2020 RESULTS
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SEPLAT PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT COMPANY PLC
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Chief Executive Officer
SEPLAT PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT COMPANY PLC | H1 2020 RESULTS
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Brings substantial financial and board-level experience
CAREER HIGHLIGHTS
› Joins Seplat’s Board as CFO and Executive Director on
3 August 2020
› More than 30 years’ experience in financial services in Africa › Most recently Partner & Head, Private Clients & Family
Wealth, Andersen Tax, Nigeria
› Serves on Boards of Ecobank Nigeria, Bharti Airtel Nigeria › Previously on Boards of First Atlantic Bank Ghana, FMDQ
OTC Plc
› Former Group Managing Director of Diamond Bank Plc,
Chairman of Enterprise Bank
› Officer of the Order of the Niger (OON)
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Short term focus on efficiency, cash generation, longer term significant growth prospects
VOLUME GUIDANCE UNCHANGED GUIDANCE FOR 2020
47 – 57 kboepd
(Includes impact of OPEC+ quota cuts in July/August)
HEDGING (PUT OPTIONS) CAPEX SHORT TERM VALUE DRIVERS (0-2 YEARS)
Seplat’s existing export routes
pipeline assures more secure flow, reduces losses through shut-ins and vandalism
costs and reconciliation losses
development
Eland expertise
$86 million spent in H1 2020
LONGER TERM VALUE DRIVERS (2+ YEARS)
prioritises gas-fired electricity
from oil price volatility; expansion potential beyond 300MMscfd to serve increasing demand
Nigerian assets
SEPLAT PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT COMPANY PLC | H1 2020 RESULTS
Hedge Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021 Amount 1.5 MMbbl 1.5 MMbbl 1.0 MMbbl Price
$45 $30 $30
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SEPLAT PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT COMPANY PLC
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OML 4 OPL 283 OML 53 OML 55 OML 41 OML 38 Ubima OML 40
Eight oil and gas blocks in the prolific Niger Delta, ideally located for export or internal demand centres
SEPLAT PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT COMPANY PLC | H1 2020 RESULTS
19 W.I. 2P reserves * MMboe W.I. production H1 2020 boepd Block Share Partner Oil Gas Total Oil Gas Total
OML 4, 38, 41 45% NPDC 164 118 282 19,592 17,060 36,652 OML 40 ** 45% NPDC Starcrest 29
9,814
OML 53 40% NNPC 45 127 172 2,801
OML 55 Revenue interest AMT 2
40% Pillar Oil 5 12 17 863
Ubima *** 88% All Grace Energy 7
1,047
TOTAL 252 257 509 34,117 17,060 51,177
* Reserve volumes stated at 1/1/20 are based on independent estimates from Ryder Scott (Seplat) and NSIA (Eland) ** Reverts to 20.25% after Westport loan is fully repaid, see slide 43 *** Reverts to 40% after Carry has been reached
$310 $588 $900 $664 $570 $446 $789 $169 $285 $326 $160 $437 $585 $333 $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 $900
2013 ($108.6) 2014 ($99.0) 2015 ($53.0) 2016 ($45.1) 2017 ($54.7) 2018 ($71.3) 2019 ($64.0)
Gross debt ($m) Cash ($m)
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Financial discipline and a robust business model have protected Seplat through difficult times
INCREASING GAS VOLUMES FOR GROWING MARKET NEEDS FOCUSED CASH MANAGEMENT STRATEGY GAS DIVERSIFICATION REDUCES EXPOSURE TO OIL PRICE FLEXIBILITY WITH CAPITAL INVESTMENT
23,474 24,252 29,003 10,091 17,853 25,669 23,935 4,867 6,571 14,369 15,786 19,070 24,198 22,563 28,341 30,823 43,372 25,877 36,923 49,867 46,498
20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Oil Gas
$862.1 $747.6 $493.5 $148.8 $318.2 $590.5 $495.1 $18.1 $27.4 $77.0 $105.5 $124.0 $155.6 $202.4
$0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Oil Gas $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
$451m Eland acquisition $259m OML 53 acquisition Higher level than 2014-16 $120m capex planned for 2020 ($86m spent in H1) 2% 4% 13% 41% 28% 21% 29%
Oil price crisis (Jul 14 – Jan 16) Trans Forcados force majeure (Feb 16 – Jun 17)
SEPLAT PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT COMPANY PLC | H1 2020 RESULTS
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When Seplat paid EV $450m for Eland it acquired:
› Eland’s 20.25% share of OML40 › The right to be repaid $410m by Westport › The right to consolidate 100% of Elcrest’s share until loan is repaid › The loan will be repaid between 2022-24 Seplat has acquired the right to be repaid more than $414m between 2021-24
Loan agreement guarantees cash flows from Elcrest to Westport
$416.8 $475.0 $325.0 $175.0 $0.0 $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500
30/11/2019 31/12/2020 31/12/2021 31/12/2022 31/12/2023 31/12/2024
Moratorium $500m limit Amount outstanding as at 30/11/2019 ($m) Maximum permissible amounts outstanding as per revised loan agreement of 23/12/19 ($m)
OML40
Westport Starcrest
Owns 55% of Elcrest Owns 100%
$90m reserve- based loan
Owns 100%
Owns 45%
Owns 45% of OML40
Westport repays $90m RBL Westport repays $414M to Seplat via Eland Elcrest repays $504m loan to Westport Westport loan to Elcrest ($504m) SEPLAT PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT COMPANY PLC | H1 2020 RESULTS
NPDC
Owns 55% of OML 40
London Office
Seplat UK Ltd. 4th Floor, 50 Pall Mall, London SW1Y 5JH +44 (0)20 3725 6500
Head Office
Seplat Plc 16A, Temple Road, Ikoyi, Lagos, Nigeria. +234 (0)1 277 0400 info@seplatpetroleum.com www.seplatpetroleum.com
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