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Re-building and Recovery 7 th May 2010 Q1 2010 Results Important - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Re-building and Recovery 7 th May 2010 Q1 2010 Results Important Information Certain sections in this presentation contain forward-looking statements as that term is defined in the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of


  1. Re-building and Recovery 7 th May 2010 Q1 2010 Results

  2. Important Information Certain sections in this presentation contain ‘forward-looking statements’ as that term is defined in the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, such as statements that include the words ‘expect’, ‘estimate’, ‘project’, ‘anticipate’, ‘believes’, ‘should’, ‘intend’, ‘plan’, ‘probability’, ‘risk’, ‘Value-at-Risk (VaR)’, ‘target’, ‘goal’, ‘objective’, ‘will’, ‘endeavour’, ‘outlook’, ‘optimistic’, ‘prospects’ and similar expressions or variations on such expressions. In particular, this document includes forward-looking statements relating, but not limited, to: the Group’s restructuring plans, capitalisation, portfolios, capital ratios, liquidity, risk weighted assets, return on equity, cost-to-income ratios, leverage and loan-to-deposit ratios, funding and risk profile; the Group’s future financial performance; the level and extent of future impairments and write-downs; the protection provided by the APS; and the Group’s potential exposures to various types of market risks, such as interest rate risk, foreign exchange rate risk and commodity and equity price risk. Such statements are subject to risks and uncertainties. For example, certain of the market risk disclosures are dependent on choices about key model characteristics and assumptions and are subject to various limitations. By their nature, certain of the market risk disclosures are only estimates and, as a result, actual future gains and losses could differ materially from those that have been estimated. Other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those estimated by the forward-looking statements contained in this document include, but are not limited to: general economic conditions in the UK and in other countries in which the Group has significant business activities or investments, including the United States; developments in the global financial markets, and their impact on the financial industry in general and on the Group in particular; the full nationalisation of the Group or other resolution procedures under the Banking Act 2009; the monetary and interest rate policies of the Bank of England, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and other G7 central banks; inflation; deflation; unanticipated turbulence in interest rates, foreign currency exchange rates, commodity prices and equity prices; changes in UK and foreign laws, regulations and taxes, including changes in regulatory capital regulations; a change of UK Government or changes to UK Government policy; changes in the Group’s credit ratings; the Group’s participation in the APS and the effect of such scheme on the Group’s financial and capital position; the conversion of the B Shares in accordance with their terms; the ability to access the contingent capital arrangements with Her Majesty’s Treasury (“HM Treasury”); limitations on, or additional requirements imposed on, the Group’s activities as a result of HM Treasury’s investment in the Group; changes in competition and pricing environments; the financial stability of other financial institutions, and the Group’s counterparties and borrowers; the value and effectiveness of any credit protection purchased by the Group; the extent of future write-downs and impairment charges caused by depressed asset valuations; the ability to achieve revenue benefits and cost savings from the integration of certain of the businesses and assets of RBS Holdings, N.V. (formerly ABN AMRO); natural and other disasters; the inability to hedge certain risks economically; the ability to access sufficient funding to meet liquidity needs; the ability to complete restructurings on a timely basis, or at all, including the disposal of certain non-core assets and assets and businesses required as part of the EC State aid approval; the adequacy of loss reserves; acquisitions or restructurings; technological changes; changes in consumer spending and saving habits; and the success of the Group in managing the risks involved in the foregoing. The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation speak only as of the date of this presentation, and the Group does not undertake to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. The information, statements and opinions contained in this presentation do not constitute a public offer under any applicable legislation or an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy any securities or financial instruments or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities or other financial instruments. 2

  3. Contents � Q1 2010 Business review, financial highlights & corporate actions � Finance review � Credit quality & outlook � Balance sheet, funding & capital � Outlook 3

  4. Key Business Highlights Ongoing business performance improvements - Group operating profit of £713m vs loss of £1.4bn Q409 - Net attributable loss of £248m vs loss of £765m Q409 Core Bank operating profit up 92% to £2.3bn vs Q409 - Driven by seasonally strong results in GBM and improving Retail & Commercial trends Customer franchises remain strong - UK Retail now serves >12.8m current account customers Progress on Strategic Plan – Good progress made against our published key metrics Non-Core run off progressing to plan - 4% reduction in TPAs 4

  5. Key Financial Highlights Core Business - Operating profit: £2.3bn, +92% vs Q409 - ROE: 15%, in line with long run targets - NIM: 2.11%, +5bps vs Q409 driven by GBM - Costs: flat q-o-q, -5% y-o-y - C:I ratio improved 400bps to 47% - Credit profile: ongoing improvement, impairment losses reduced 25% q-o-q to £971m - LDR: further improvements made; 102% vs 104% in Q409 - RWAs: £421bn, +7%, driven by ABN AMRO migration Group Risk Profile - Impairments: £2.7bn, -14% q-o-q driven by improvements in Core and Non-Core - LDR: 131%, 400bps improvement q-o-q - Non-Core run off: tracking to plan, a further 4% (£8bn) reduction in TPAs in Q1, (7% at CFX) - Core Tier 1 ratio 10.6%, RBS remains a highly capitalised bank - Tangible NAV 51.5p/share 1 , a small increase q-o-q 1 Fully diluted for 51bn B Shares 5

  6. Corporate actions - Disposals & LME 1 EU Disposals: Sempra (£14.2bn assets, £52m RBS 2009 operating profit) Announced partial sale 2 , balance work in progress UK SME / Branches (£23.5bn assets, £18.2bn RWAs, operating loss of £146m, 2009) Sale process progressing, working through separation issues. Target agreement 2010, completion 2011 Merchant Acquiring (£527m income, £249m operating profit 2009) Sale process progressing. Target agreement and close H2 2010 Insurance (£4,460m income, £58m operating profit 2009) Set timing to maximise value. H2 2012 current target for IPO. May dual track IPO / trade sale Liability Management Exercise: Successful completion of Liability Management Exercise - Strengthened Core Tier One ratio by c30bps, enhancing the quality of our capital structure - Generated gain to equity of c£1.25bn - Reduced the cost of funding by replacing Tier 1 and Tier 2 securities with lower cost senior debt 1 Liability Management Exercise 6 2 Sale of Metals, Oil and European Energy business lines agreed on 16 th February 2010; operating profit stated post MI

  7. Group financial highlights Q110 Q409 Q110 vs Q409 Q109 Q110 vs Q109 £m £m % £m % Income 8,954 7,540 19% 8,670 3% Operating Expenses (4,430) (4,473) (1%) (4,667) (5%) Claims (1,136) (1,321) (14%) (966) 18% Profit before Impairment Losses 3,388 1,746 94% 3,037 12% Impairment Losses (2,675) (3,099) (14%) (2,858) (6%) Operating Profit/(Loss) 713 (1,353) n.m. 179 298% Other 1 (734) 1,487 (149%) (223) n.m. Profit/(Loss) Before Tax (21) 134 (116%) (44) (52%) Attributable Loss (248) (765) (68%) (902) (73%) Net interest margin 1.92% 1.83% 9bps 1.78% 14bps Cost:income ratio 49% 59% (1,000bps) 54% (500bps) 31 Mar 10 31 Dec 09 Change Capital & Balance Sheet Funded balance sheet £1,120.6bn £1,084.3bn 3.3% Risk-weighted assets (pre APS) £585.5bn £565.8bn 3.5% Risk-weighted assets (post APS) £460.7bn £438.2bn 5.2% Core tier 1 ratio (post APS) 10.6% 11.0% (40bps) Net tangible equity per share 51.5p 51.3p 0.2p 7 1 Includes restructuring & integration costs, amortisation, bonus tax, APS CDS fair value changes and strategic disposals

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