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Q4 and FY 2018 Financial Results March 8, 2019 1 Safe Harbor Some of - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Q4 and FY 2018 Financial Results March 8, 2019 1 Safe Harbor Some of the statements contained in this presentation and the Companys March 8, 2019 earnings conference call may constitute forward looking statements within the meaning of


  1. Q4 and FY 2018 Financial Results March 8, 2019 1

  2. Safe Harbor Some of the statements contained in this presentation and the Company’s March 8, 2019 earnings conference call may constitute “forward ‐ looking statements” within the meaning of the Federal Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements reflect the current views of our senior management team with respect to future events, including our financial performance, business and industry in general. Statements that include the words “expect,” “intend,” “plan,” “believe,” “project,” “forecast,” “estimate,” “may,” “should,” “anticipate,” and variations of such words and similar statements of a future or forward ‐ looking nature are intended to identify such forward ‐ looking statements. We intend for our forward ‐ looking statements to be covered by the safe harbor provisions for forward ‐ looking statements contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, and we set forth this statement in order to comply with such safe harbor provisions. Forward ‐ looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties and are not assurances of future performance. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those indicated in these statements, including, among others, the risks and uncertainties disclosed in our annual reports on Form 10 ‐ K, quarterly reports on Form 10 ‐ Q and other filings made with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Any forward ‐ looking statements you read in this news release reflect our views as of the date of this news release with respect to future events and are subject to these and other risks, uncertainties, and assumptions relating to our operations, results of operations, growth strategy, and liquidity. You should carefully consider all of the factors identified in this news release that could cause actual results to differ. 2

  3. Q4 2018 Key Information Sales of $39.1M, up $0.7M before week 53 impact 53 rd week in 2017 added $3.5M to Q4 2017 sales Sales Same Store Sales up 2.2% S ‐ S ‐ S Traffic up 4.0% Adjusted EBITDA of $3.8M, 9.7% of sales EBITDA EBITDA up 8.6% before impact of 53 rd week in 2017 Restaurant ‐ level EBITDA of $5.6M, 14.3% of sales Margin down 2.8 pts. as a result of higher average wages, higher delivery expenses and impact of 53 rd week in 2017 Margins Strong unlevered free cash flow of $14.2M for the year Cashflow 3

  4. FY 2018 Key Information Sales of $153.1M, down 7.4% 53 rd Week in 2017 and reduced traffic; sales down 5.4% excluding week 53 in 2017 Sales Same Store Sales off 4.6% S ‐ S ‐ S Traffic down 7.2% and average check up 2.6% Adjusted EBITDA of $15.8M, 10.3% of sales EBITDA Margin down 1.7 pts. as a result of higher average wages and sales deleverage, partially offset by improved commodity cost environment Restaurant ‐ level EBITDA of $23.3M, 15.2% of sales Margins Margin down 1.9 pts. as a result of higher average wages, higher delivery expenses and sales deleverage Completed underwritten registered public offering of 6M shares Gross proceeds of $5.3 million – supplemental liquidity and favorable impact on debt covenant compliance Cashflow 4

  5. DRH Average Check and Traffic Trends Sharp declines in traffic began in Q3 2017 and persisted through Q3 2018 – but traffic turned positive in Q4 2018 as new media and promotions have had a strong impact, particularly on weekends 7.7% 7.1% 6.6% 6.1% 5.7% 5.5% 4.4% 4.0% 3.3% 3.6% 3.2% 3.1% 2.8% 7.7% 2.6% 1.9% 1.7% 1.7% 5.5% 5.9% 1.4% 1.1% 4.3% 3.0% 4.1% ‐ 0.2% 0.2% 2.6% 2.9% 0.1% 2.2% 2.1% 2.2% 1.3% 0.8% ‐ 0.3% 2.0% ‐ 1.1% 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% ‐ 2.3% ‐ 1.8% 0.2% 0.6% ‐ 2.2% ‐ 2.7% ‐ 1.8% ‐ 0.3% ‐ 3.1% ‐ 3.7% ‐ 4.6% ‐ 3.7% ‐ 4.4% ‐ 6.4% ‐ 5.2% ‐ 1.8% ‐ 1.5% ‐ 5.4% ‐ 1.8% ‐ 2.0% ‐ 2.0% ‐ 1.9% ‐ 6.8% ‐ 2.5% ‐ 3.0% ‐ 3.3% ‐ 8.5% ‐ 3.0% ‐ 3.2% ‐ 4.3% ‐ 4.8% ‐ 4.9% ‐ 6.3% ‐ 7.2% Check count and average check ‐ 10.9% impacted by Tuesday wing promo shift from ‐ 12.3% half price to BOGO ‐ 16.2% SSS% Traffic % Avg Check % Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 1 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2 FY FY FY FY FY 2014 2014 2014 2014 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 NOTE: Average check is predominantly driven by price, but is also influenced by product mix and, to a lesser extent, average guests per check. 1 – Ramping up of Tuesday Promotion and the Bogo Blitz offering in 2016 drove 170 bp of the 12.3% traffic decline in Q4 2017. 5 2 – Q1 2019 results through 3/3 (includes weather impacted days)

  6. Q4 Sales Bridge ($M) Excluding the 53 rd week in 2017, fourth quarter sales increased on improved traffic $3.5 $0.1 $0.4 $1.0 $41.9 $39.1 $39.1 $38.4 Q4 2017 53rd Week Q4 2017 Normalized Traffic/Avg Ticket Deferred Revenue Closures Q4 2018 Revenue Revenue Revenue 6

  7. FY 2018 Sales Bridge ($M) Reduced traffic was the story for much of 2018, as system ‐ wide promotional and media strategies were a drag similar to latter ‐ 2017 $0.8 $0.8 $2.9 $1.1 $1.5 $1.3 $3.5 $7.9 $165.5 $162.0 $161.0 $153.1 FY 2017 53rd Week FY 2017 Delivery NRO 2017 Fight/ Sarasota Promotion Calendar Traffic/Avg Ticket FY 2018 Revenue Normalized Revenue Sporting Events Closure Changes Revenue 7

  8. Q4 Adjusted EBITDA Bridge ($M) Excluding the 53 rd week in 2017, EBITDA increased due to improved traffic and delivery sales as well as lower G&A expense, partially offset by higher labor costs $1.4 $0.4 $0.2 $0.5 $0.4 $4.9 $3.8 $3.5 $3.4 $3.4 $3.1 Q4 2017 53rd Week Q4 2017 Compensation Traffic/Avg Ticket Delivery Fees G&A Q4 2018 Adj. EBITDA Adj. EBITDA Cost Adj. EBITDA w/o 53rd Wk 8

  9. FY 2018 Adjusted EBITDA Bridge ($M) Favorable traditional wing costs and lower G&A expenses helped to offset the impact of traffic, an unfavorable calendar shift and higher labor costs $1.4 $3.0 $1.3 $1.5 $0.9 $0.7 $0.6 $0.5 $19.9 $18.5 $12.9 $15.8 $14.5 $14.0 $13.4 $12.9 FY 2017 53rd Week 2017 Adj EBITDA Traffic Labor Cost Calendar Promo Changes/ Delivery G&A Reductions COS FY 2018 Adj. EBITDA W/O 53rd Week Impact Shift Other Adj. EBITDA 9

  10. Quarterly Restaurant EBITDA Trend AUV Trend Line AUV ($M) $3.1 $2.8 $2.7 $2.7 $2.7 $2.6 $2.6 $2.6 $2.8 $2.5 $2.4 $2.4 $2.4 $2.3 $2.3 $2.5 $2.8 $2.8 $2.6 $2.5 $2.4 3.50 100.0% 90.0% COS 28.8% 28.1% 28.1% 27.6% 28.0% 27.9% 27.4% 29.2% 29.4% 29.9% 29.2% 29.3% 28.2% 28.5% 28.5% 29.2% 28.5% 28.1% 28.1% 29.4% 28.6% 3.00 80.0% 2.50 70.0% LABOR 23.3% 23.9% 25.1% 24.8% 24.4% 25.2% 24.7% 25.0% 24.7% 25.5% 25.4% 25.3% 25.7% 27.5% 27.4% 26.9% 23.8% 24.4% 24.8% 25.2% 26.8% 60.0% 2.00 50.0% OPEX 1.50 12.6% 13.4% 13.0% 12.7% 11.5% 12.1% 13.3% 13.2% 12.9% 12.7% 12.9% 13.6% 14.0% 12.3% 12.9% 13.8% 13.1% 13.0% 13.4% 14.0% 14.1% 40.0% 8.2% FF 2 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.1% 8.1% 8.0% 8.0% 8.1% 8.0% 8.0% 30.0% 8.2% 1.00 8.1% 8.1% 8.1% 8.1% 8.2% 8.1% 8.1% 8.1% 8.1% 5.5% 6.5% 5.2% 5.9% 6.6% 6.2% OCC 6.8% 7.0% 6.4% 6.8% 6.5% 7.4% 7.2% 7.1% 7.2% 7.1% 7.6% 20.0% 7.6% 7.6% 7.8% 7.6% REST EBITDA 0.50 21.8% 20.6% 19.4% 20.3% 21.5% 20.0% 19.6% 16.5% 19.0% 16.6% 15.9% 17.1% 17.4% 15.0% 14.2% 14.2% 21.2% 20.4% 19.4% 17.1% 15.2% 10.0% ‐ 0.0% 1 3 1 3 KEY Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY FY FY FY YTD 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1 – On June 29, 2015, we acquired 18 locations in the St. Louis market to add to our existing 44 units, which had a dilutive AUV of $2.3 million 2 – FF = Franchise ‐ related fees which includes 5.0% royalty and 3.0 – 3.15% NAF (national advertising fund) 10 3 – Q4 2017 included a 14 th week; 2017 included a 53 rd week

  11. Q4 Cost of Sales Bridge (% of Net Sales) Improved traditional wing costs and other efficiency initiatives more than offset the 110 bp impact of the $5 Football promotion 0.9% 1.1% 0.3% 29.3% 29.2% 29.2% Q4 2017 Promotional Activity Traditional Wings *Other Q4 2018 COS % COS % * Other includes Boneless and Paper cost 11

  12. FY 2018 Cost of Sales Bridge (% of Net Sales) Improved traditional and boneless wing costs led to 90 bp improvement in total cost of sales, partially offset by increased promotional activity in Q4 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 29.5% 28.6% 27.8% FY 2017 Traditional Wings Boneless Wings Q4 Promotional Activity FY 2018 COS % COS % 12

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