Q2 2020 earnings presentation August 6, 2020 1 Forward-looking - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

q2 2020 earnings presentation
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Q2 2020 earnings presentation August 6, 2020 1 Forward-looking - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Q2 2020 earnings presentation August 6, 2020 1 Forward-looking statements From time to time Home Capital Group Inc. makes written and verbal forward-looking statements. These are included in the Annual Report, periodic reports to shareholders,


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Q2 2020 earnings presentation

August 6, 2020

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From time to time Home Capital Group Inc. makes written and verbal forward-looking statements. These are included in the Annual Report, periodic reports to shareholders, regulatory filings, press releases, Company presentations and other Company communications. Forward-looking statements are made in connection with business objectives and targets, Company strategies, operations, anticipated financial results and the outlook for the Company, its industry, and the Canadian

  • economy. These statements regarding expected future performance are “financial outlooks” within the meaning of National Instrument 51-102. Please see the risk

factors, which are set forth in detail in the Risk Management section of the 2020 Second Quarter Report, as well as the Company’s other publicly filed information, which is available on the System for Electronic Document Analysis and Retrieval (SEDAR) at www.sedar.com, for the material factors that could cause the Company’s actual results to differ materially from these statements. These risk factors are material risk factors a reader should consider, and include credit risk, liquidity and funding risk, structural interest rate risk, operational risk, investment risk, strategic risk, reputational risk, compliance risk and capital adequacy risk along with additional risk factors that may affect future results. Forward-looking statements can be found in the Report to the Shareholders and the Outlook section in the 2020 Second Quarter Report. Forward-looking statements are typically identified by words such as “will,” “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “should,” “estimate,” “plan,” “forecast,” “may,” and “could” or other similar expressions. By their very nature, these statements require the Company to make assumptions and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainty, general and specific, which may cause actual results to differ materially from the expectations expressed in the forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the impacts of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic and government responses to it, global capital market activity, changes in government monetary and economic policies, changes in interest rates, inflation levels and general economic conditions, legislative and regulatory developments, climate change, competition and technological change. The preceding list is not exhaustive of possible factors. These and other factors should be considered carefully and readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. The Company presents forward-looking statements to assist shareholders in understanding the Company’s assumptions and expectations about the future that are relevant in management’s setting of performance goals, strategic priorities and outlook. The Company presents its outlook to assist shareholders in understanding management’s expectations on how the future will impact the financial performance of the Company. These forward-looking statements may not be appropriate for

  • ther purposes. The Company does not undertake to update any forward-looking statements, whether written or verbal, that may be made from time to time by it or
  • n its behalf, except as required by securities laws.

Forward-looking statements

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Overview

Yousry Bissada, CEO

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Highlights of Q2 2020

Worked with borrowers to find optimal solutions beyond initial deferral period Launched new projects in digital banking and loan

  • rigination

Growth in residential and commercial loan

  • riginations

from Q2 2019 All Ignite teams transitioned to working remotely – projects moving forward Industry activity shows evidence of healthy and resilient real estate market

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Supporting our borrowers beyond payment deferrals

First request

  • Up to two months’ payment deferral to borrowers

in good standing (Stage 1 or Stage 2)

Later requests

  • Full review of financial situation with borrower
  • Understanding the impact of different solutions

Additional payment deferral

Return to scheduled payments

Other forms of accommodation

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Financial results

Brad Kotush, CFO

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Q2 highlights

$27.80 $30.11 $20.00 $22.00 $24.00 $26.00 $28.00 $30.00 $32.00 Q2 2019 Q2 2020 Book value per share

1 See definition of Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted Diluted Earnings per Share and

Adjusted Return on Shareholders’ Equity in the Company’s 2020 Second Quarter Report.

$31.9 $34.7 $34.1 $36.6 $20.0 $24.0 $28.0 $32.0 $36.0 $40.0

Q2 2019 Q2 2019 Adjusted¹ Q2 2020 Q2 2020 Adjusted¹

Net income - millions 7.7% 8.4% 8.9% 9.5% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0%

Q2 2019 Q2 2019 Adjusted¹ Q2 2020 Q2 2020 Adjusted¹

Return on equity $0.53 $0.58 $0.65 $0.70 $- $0.20 $0.40 $0.60 $0.80

Q2 2019 Q2 2019 Adjusted¹ Q2 2020 Q2 2020 Adjusted¹

Earnings per share

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Impact of higher revenue offset by higher provisions expense

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$106.9 $257.2

$119.3 $110.1

$- $50.0 $100.0 $150.0 $200.0 $250.0 $300.0 $350.0 $400.0 Q2 2019 Q2 2020

Millions

Residential commercial Non-residential commercial

Origination growth in Accelerator and Commercial offsets slowdown in Classic

$1,012.7 $854.9 $37.7 $272.9 $0.0 $200.0 $400.0 $600.0 $800.0 $1,000.0 $1,200.0 Q2 2019 Q2 2020

Millions

Classic single-family Accelerator single-family

+7.4% +62.3%

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On-balance sheet loan portfolio

$16.7 $17.0 $17.2 $17.1 $17.2 $14.0 $14.5 $15.0 $15.5 $16.0 $16.5 $17.0 $17.5 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020

Total loan portfolio (billions)

+3.3% y/y

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Upward trend in credit quality during Q2 in line with sustainable risk culture

Loans are of high quality and secured by assets at a low LTV

682 711 705 710 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800

Classic originations during Q1 Classic originations during Q2 Total Classic portfolio at end of Q1 Total Classic portfolio at end of Q2

Weighted-average FICO score

69.6% 60.3% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% New uninsured single-family residential mortgages originated in Q2 2020 All uninsured single-family residential mortgages at end of Q2

Weighted-average loan to value

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Net interest margin 31 bps higher compared with Q2 2019

2.03% 1.99% 2.01% 2.09% 2.22% 2.31% 2.38% 2.40% 1.85% 1.95% 2.05% 2.15% 2.25% 2.35% 2.45% Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020

Net interest margin (TEB1)

1 Net interest margin is a measure of profitability of assets. Net interest margin (TEB) is calculated by taking net interest income, on a taxable equivalent

basis, divided by the average total assets.

Higher average yields

  • n non-securitized

products Lower rates on deposit liabilities Higher balance of low- yielding liquid assets

Increased due to: Partially offset by:

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Growing deposits through our Oaken channel

Oaken now accounts for 26.2% of deposits with majority in the form of term deposits

$3.1 $0.6 $3.7

$0.0 $0.5 $1.0 $1.5 $2.0 $2.5 $3.0 $3.5 $4.0 Q2 2020

Oaken deposits by product in $billions

GICs Savings accounts Total 16.4% 83.6%

$10.4 $10.2 $10.2 $10.4 $10.3 $3.1 $3.3 $3.4 $3.5 $3.7 $13.5 $13.5 $13.6 $13.9 $14.0

$- $2.0 $4.0 $6.0 $8.0 $10.0 $12.0 $14.0 $16.0 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020

Broker and Oaken deposits in $billions

Broker Oaken Total

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Substantial decline in loans in payment deferral program

Accelerator Classic Commercial Other Total deferrals

Loans: April 30 1,879 6,859 358 807 9,903 Loans: July 31 684 1,987 23 4 2,698 Change in number

  • f loans

(64%) (71%) (94%) (100%) (73%) Principal: April 30 (millions) $526.5 $3,154.5 $185.1 $67.5 $3,933.6 Principal: July 31 (millions) $205.1 $1,078.4 $15.0 $0.5 $1,299.0 Change in principal balance (61%) (66%) (92%) (99%) (67%)

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  • Provisions for credit

losses of 0.43% of gross loans on an annualized basis

  • Net write-offs of

0.02% of gross loans

  • n an annualized

basis

  • Net write-offs of

single-family residential mortgages were less than one basis point

Provisions and write-offs as a percentage of gross loans

Results in 2018, 2019 and 2020 are reported under IFRS 9 and results in 2016 and 2017 are reported under IAS 39 which may limit comparability to prior periods.

0.43% 0.02%

  • 0.20%
  • 0.10%

0.00% 0.10% 0.20% 0.30% 0.40% 0.50% 0.60% 0.70% 0.80%

Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020

Provisions (annualized) as a % of gross loans Net write-offs (annualized) as a % of gross loans

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Net non-performing loans and credit allowance

Results in 2018, 2019 and 2020 are reported under IFRS 9 and results in 2016 and 2017 are reported under IAS 39 which may limit comparability to prior periods.

24.3% 23.6% 25.2% 34.3% 31.0%

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% $- $20.0 $40.0 $60.0 $80.0 $100.0 $120.0 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020

Millions

Total Stage 3 Loans (Gross) NPL Allowance as % of Gross NPL

0.42% 0.37% 0.00% 0.10% 0.20% 0.30% 0.40% 0.50% 0.60% Net Non-Performing Loans as % of Gross Loans Net Non-Performing Single-Family Residential Loans as % of Gross Single-Family Residential Loans

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Allowance for credit losses in Q2 2020

$29.5 $35.4 $24.0 $32.1 $3.9 $3.8 $33.8 $37.6 $91.3 $108.9 $- $20.0 $40.0 $60.0 $80.0 $100.0 $120.0 Q1 2020 Q2 2020

Millions

Other consumer retail Credit cards and lines of credit Commercial mortgages Single family residential mortgages Total $59.5 $76.1 $31.8 $32.8 $91.3 $108.9 $- $20.0 $40.0 $60.0 $80.0 $100.0 $120.0 Q1 2020 Q2 2020

Millions

Stage 3 Stages 1 and 2 Total

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Change in components of allowance for credit losses

Sequential change in components of allowance (in 000s)

Stages 1 and 2 Stage 3 Total

Single-family residential mortgages

$ 3,337 $ 2,506

$ 5,843

Commercial mortgages

$ 10,391 $ (2,275)

$ 8,116

Credit card loans and lines of credit

$ (41) $ (68)

$ (109)

Other consumer retail loans

$ 2,914 $ 886

$ 3,800

Total

$ 16,601 $ 1,049 $ 17,650

94% of increase attributable to Stages 1 and 2 loans

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High volume of liquid assets and near-term asset maturities

Aggregate available liquidity of $1.81 billion at the end of Q2 including $500 million undrawn credit facility

79% of loans mature within 12 months

$1,323 $1,341 $1,366 $1,429 $1,309 0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00% 6.00% 7.00% 8.00% 9.00% $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 $1,600 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020

Millions Liquid assets at carrying value As % of Total assets

$3.0 $8.3 $2.2 $0.8 $14.3 $1.8 $5.1 $4.5 $1.7 $13.1 $0.0 $2.0 $4.0 $6.0 $8.0 $10.0 $12.0 $14.0 $16.0 0-3 months 3-12 months 1-3 years Over 3 years Total

Billions

Non-Securitized Contractual Loan Maturities Contractual Fixed Term Deposit Maturities

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Additional sources of funding and liquidity

➢ $500 million committed secured standby facility renewed in Q2 ➢ $300 million committed secured warehouse facility with a syndicate of Canadian banks ➢ $100 million uncommitted repo facility with a Canadian institutional investor ➢ Q3 2019 RMBS transaction continues to perform in line with initial estimates ➢ Will return to RMBS issuance when market conditions are favourable ➢ Access to the Bank of Canada’s Standing Term Liquidity Facility

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Capital and leverage metrics1

Generous capital buffer to support borrowers and protect depositors Leverage is within internal risk limits and well above regulatory requirements

7.00% 18.48% REGULATORY MINIMUM ACTUAL

1 Ratios are based on Home Trust Company’s consolidated financial

position.

Basel III Common Equity Tier 1 at Q2 2020 Leverage ratio at Q2 2020

3.00% 7.38% REGULATORY MINIMUM ACTUAL

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Questions?

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Q2 Financial highlights

Q2 2020 Q1 2020 Q2 2019 Sequential change Year-over-year change

Originations (millions)

$1,495.2 $1,617.2 $1,276.7 (7.5%) 17.1%

Revenue (millions)

$132.3 $127.2 $111.3 4.1% 18.9%

Net interest margin (TEB)

2.40% 2.38% 2.09% 2 bps 31 bps

Provisions as % of Gross Loans (annualized)

0.43% 0.70% 0.15% (27) bps 28 bps

Efficiency ratio (TEB) – reported

50.5% 46.7% 55.4% 380 bps (490) bps

Efficiency ratio (TEB) – adjusted1

47.9% 44.4% 51.9% 350 bps (400) bps

Net income (millions) – reported

$34.1 $27.7 $31.9 23.1% 7.0%

Net income (millions) – adjusted1

$36.6 $29.9 $34.7 22.7% 5.5%

Earnings per share – reported

$0.65 $0.52 $0.53 25.0% 22.6%

Earnings per share – adjusted1

$0.70 $0.56 $0.58 25.0% 20.7%

Return on equity (annualized) – reported

8.9% 6.9% 7.7% 200 bps 120 bps

Return on equity (annualized) – adjusted1

9.5% 7.5% 8.4% 200 bps 110 bps

1 See definition of Adjusted Efficiency Ratio, Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted Earnings per Share and Adjusted Return on Shareholders’ Equity under Non-GAAP Measures in the Company’s 2020 Second Quarter Report.

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Q2 Financial highlights

Q2 2020 Q1 2020 Q2 2019 Sequential change Year-over-year change Total loan portfolio (billions) $17.21 $17.12 $16.67 0.5% 3.3% Loans under administration (billions) $22.88 $23.04 $22.90 (0.7%) (0.1%) Assets under administration (billions) $24.67 $25.07 $24.58 (1.6%) 0.3% Net non-performing loans as %

  • f gross loans

0.42% 0.36% 0.47% 6 bps (5) bps CET1 ratio1 18.48% 17.73% 19.49% 75 bps (101) bps Book value per share $30.11 $29.44 $27.80 2.3% 8.3% Shares outstanding (millions) 51.8 51.8 59.3

  • (7.5)

1CET1 ratio relates to the Company’s operating subsidiary, Home Trust Company

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Summary of adjustments related to Home Trust’s Ignite Program

Resulting from changes in estimated useful life of legacy IT investment and implementation expenses

1 See definition of Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted Earnings per Share, Adjusted Efficiency Ratio and Adjusted

Return on Shareholders’ Equity under Non-GAAP Measures in the Company’s 2020 Second Quarter Report.

Q2 2020 Q1 2020

Reported Adjustment for Ignite Program Adjusted1 Reported Adjustment for Ignite Program Adjusted1

Net income (millions) $34.13 $2.52 $36.65 $27.72 $2.16 $29.88

Reported Adjustment for Ignite Program Adjusted1 Reported Adjustment for Ignite Program Adjusted1

Earnings per share $0.65 $0.05 $0.70 $0.52 $0.04 $0.56 Efficiency ratio (TEB) 50.5% (2.6%) 47.9% 46.7% (2.3%) 44.4% Return on equity (annualized) 8.9% 0.6% 9.5% 6.9% 0.6% 7.5%