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Q2 2018 Financial Results August 7, 2018 Safe Harbor Some of the - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Q2 2018 Financial Results August 7, 2018 Safe Harbor Some of the statements contained in this presentation and the Companys August 8, 2018 earnings conference call may constitute forward - looking statements within the meaning of the


  1. Q2 2018 Financial Results August 7, 2018

  2. Safe Harbor Some of the statements contained in this presentation and the Company’s August 8, 2018 earnings conference call may constitute “forward - looking statements” within the meaning of the Federal Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements reflect the current views of our senior management team with respect to future events, including our financial performance, business and industry in general. Statements that include the words “expect,” “intend,” “plan,” “believe,” “project,” “forecast,” “estimate,” “may,” “should,” “anticipate,” and variations of such words and similar statements of a future or forward-looking nature are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. We intend for our forward-looking statements to be covered by the safe harbor provisions for forward-looking statements contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, and we set forth this statement in order to comply with such safe harbor provisions. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties and are not assurances of future performance. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those indicated in these statements, including, among others, the risks and uncertainties disclosed in our annual reports on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q and other filings made with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Any forward-looking statements you read in this news release reflect our views as of the date of this news release with respect to future events and are subject to these and other risks, uncertainties, and assumptions relating to our operations, results of operations, growth strategy, and liquidity. You should carefully consider all of the factors identified in this news release that could cause actual results to differ. 2

  3. Second Quarter Key Information Sales of $37.0M, down 7.3% Reduced traffic due to corporate promotional, marketing and media strategies carried over from the latter half Sales of 2017, as well as revenue deferral related to new loyalty program Same Store Sales off 6.4% S-S-S Average check up 4.4% offset by 10.8% decline in traffic Adjusted EBITDA of $3.7M, 9.9% of sales EBITDA Margin down 1.7 pts. as a result of sales deleverage, partially offset by improved commodity cost environment Restaurant-level EBITDA of $5.5M, 15.0% of sales Margins Margin down 1.6 pts. as a result of sales deleverage Completed underwritten registered public offering of 6M shares Cashflow Gross proceeds of $5.3 million – supplemental liquidity and favorable impact on debt covenant compliance 3

  4. Sales Variance vs. Industry BWW’s vast departure from historical marketing and media strategies beginning in the fall of 2017, as well as a shift in promotional offerings, led to significant departure from casual dining industry trends over the last 3 quarters; system-wide same-store sales fell dramatically in response to these changes. Same-Store-Sales - DRH vs. Casual Dining (CDR) Percentages represent DRH reported quarterly SSS -0.3% -1.8% -4.4% -2.2% -2.7% -3.7% -6.4% -6.8% -5.4% -8.5% Major divergence from CDR * Per internal company data trend began Fall 2017 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 DRH vs CDR Variance Casual Dining SSS DRH SSS However, we have great optimism in the changes made to embrace the fall football campaign, driving traffic at the end of Q3 and through Q4 2018. 4

  5. DRH Average Check and Traffic Trends Sharp declines in traffic began in late-Q3 2017 and have persisted through Q2 2018 as the shift in BWW promotional and media strategies has negatively impacted the system 7.7% 7.1% 6.6% 6.1% 6.1% 5.7% 5.5% 4.4% 3.3% 3.2% 3.1% 2.8% 7.7% 1.9% 1.7% 1.7% 5.9% 1.4% 5.5% 1.1% 4.3% 4.1% -0.2% 0.2% 3.0% 0.1% 2.9% 2.6% 1.3% 0.8% 2.2% 2.0% -1.1% 1.1% -2.3% -1.8% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6% -2.2% -2.7% -1.8% -0.3% -3.7% -4.4% 0.2% -3.1% -3.7% -5.4% -2.5% -1.8% -2.0% -2.0% -6.4% -1.9% -6.8% -7.5% -8.5% -3.0% -3.3% -3.0% -3.2% -4.3% -4.8% -6.3% -10.9% -12.3% -13.6% -16.2% SSS% Traffic % Avg Check % Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 1 Q1 Q2 FY FY FY FY YTD 2014 2014 2014 2014 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 NOTE: Average check is predominantly driven by price, but is also influenced by product mix and, to a lesser extent, average guests per check. 1 – Ramping up of Tuesday Promotion and the Bogo Blitz offering in 2016 drove 170 bp of the 12.3% traffic decline in Q4 2017. 5

  6. Q2 Sales Bridge ($M) Reduced traffic in the quarter was the primary driver of lower sales levels, as system-wide promotional and media strategies were a drag similar to latter-2017 $0.2 $0.1 $0.1 $2.6 $0.4 $0.3 $0.2 $39.9 $37.0 Q2 2017 Easter/Calendar NRO Sporting Events Deferred Promotion Closures Traffic/Avg Ticket Q2 2018 Revenue Shift Revenue Changes Revenue 6

  7. YTD Sales Bridge ($M) Reduced traffic has been the story all year, as system-wide promotional and media strategies were a drag similar to latter-2017 $0.1 $0.3 $0.4 $1.2 $1.6 $0.9 $5.0 $84.3 $76.6 Q2 2017 YTD NRO Sporting Events Deferred Closures Promotion Calendar Shift Traffic/Avg Ticket Q2 2018 YTD Revenue Revenue Changes Revenue 7

  8. Q2 Adjusted EBITDA Bridge ($M) More favorable traditional wing costs and lower G&A expenses helped to offset the impact of traffic and labor costs for the quarter $1.0 $0.5 $0.4 $0.2 $0.1 $0.1 $0.1 $0.1 $4.6 $3.1 $3.7 $3.0 $2.9 $2.9 Q2 2017 Traffic Comp BWW-Warren Promotion Easter/Calendar G&A Occ/Other Opex COS Q2 2018 Adj. EBITDA Impact Cost Changes Shift Reductions Adj. EBITDA 8

  9. YTD Adjusted EBITDA Bridge ($M) More favorable traditional wing costs and lower G&A expenses helped to offset the impact of traffic, calendar shift and labor costs for the year-to-date period $1.8 $0.5 $1.0 $0.2 $0.5 $0.7 $0.6 $0.1 $10.8 $7.2 $8.8 $7.8 $7.1 $7.1 Q2 2017 YTD Traffic Comp BWW-Warren Promotion Calendar Shift *Other G&A Reductions COS Q2 2018 YTD Adj. EBITDA Impact Cost Changes Adj. EBITDA 9

  10. Quarterly Restaurant EBITDA Trend AUV Trend Line AUV ($M) $3.1 $2.8 $2.7 $2.7 $2.7 $2.6 $2.6 $2.6 $2.8 $2.5 $2.4 $2.4 $2.4 $2.3 $2.8 $2.8 $2.6 $2.5 $2.4 3.50 100.0% 90.0% COS 27.6% 27.4% 28.1% 28.1% 28.0% 27.9% 28.2% 28.5% 28.1% 28.1% 28.3% 3.00 28.8% 28.5% 29.2% 29.4% 29.2% 29.3% 29.4% 29.9% 80.0% 2.50 70.0% LABOR 24.7% 23.9% 24.8% 24.4% 25.2% 23.8% 24.4% 23.3% 25.1% 24.8% 60.0% 25.7% 25.0% 26.6% 24.7% 25.4% 25.3% 27.5% 25.2% 25.5% 2.00 50.0% OPEX 1.50 11.5% 12.6% 13.4% 12.7% 13.3% 12.1% 13.2% 12.9% 12.7% 13.0% 12.3% 13.0% 40.0% 14.0% 13.1% 12.9% 13.8% 13.2% 12.9% 13.4% 8.2% FF 2 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.1% 8.1% 8.0% 8.0% 8.1% 8.0% 8.0% 30.0% 8.2% 1.00 8.1% 8.1% 8.1% 8.1% 8.1% 8.2% 8.1% 6.5% 5.5% 6.6% 5.2% OCC 5.9% 6.8% 6.2% 7.0% 6.8% 6.4% 6.5% 7.4% 7.2% 7.1% 7.2% 7.1% 7.5% 7.6% 20.0% 7.6% REST. EBITDA 0.50 21.8% 21.5% 21.2% 20.6% 20.3% 20.0% 20.4% 19.4% 19.6% 19.4% 19.0% 10.0% 17.4% 17.1% 17.1% 16.5% 16.6% 16.2% 15.9% 15.0% - 0.0% KEY Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 FY FY FY FY YTD 1 1 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1 – On June 29, 2015, we acquired 18 locations in the St. Louis market to add to our existing 44 units, which had a dilutive AUV of $2.3 million 2 – FF = Franchise-related fees which includes 5.0% royalty and 3.0 – 3.15% NAF (national advertising fund) 10

  11. Q2 Cost of Sales Bridge (% of Net Sales) Improved traditional wing costs have led to a significant improvement in cost of sales in 2018 1.9% 0.5% 29.9% 28.5% Q2 2017 Traditional Wings Promotional Activity Q2 2018 COS % COS % 11

  12. YTD Cost of Sales Bridge (% of Net Sales) For the year-to-date period, improved traditional wing costs have led to 142 bp improvement in total cost of sales, while most other cost buckets have been held in check 1.4% 0.1% 29.6% 28.3% Q2 2017 YTD Traditional Wings Promotional Activity Q2 2018 YTD COS % COS % 12

  13. COS Trends and Wing Impact Traditional wing costs were escalated throughout 2017 and hit record highs in Q4, but have recently declined from these highs; wings as % of total COS spiked to 24.7% in 2017 $2.14 $2.13 29.9% 29.5% 29.3% 29.4% 29.2% 29.4% $2.03 28.8% $2.02 28.2% 28.5% 28.5% 28.1% 28.1% 28.3% 28.1% 28.1% 27.6% 28.0% 27.9% $2.07 27.4% $1.95 $1.92 $1.92 $1.89 $1.89 $1.87 24.9%25.3% $1.81 $1.77 $1.80 $1.79 $1.78 24.7% $1.70 24.0% 24.7% 23.5% $1.66 21.7% 21.5% 21.1% 20.9% 20.5% 20.1% 20.4% 20.3% 20.4% $1.53 19.5% 19.5% 19.5% 18.4% 1 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 FY FY FY FY YTD 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Total COS % Wing Cost % of Total COS Wing Cost/Lb NOTE: Wing prices shown are the average price paid per pound of fresh, jumbo chicken wings – including distribution costs of approximately $0.29 per pound 1 – Q3 actual reported COS was 29.2% which included $323K in cover charges for a UFC fight that had no cost associated with it 13

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