@Grupa_Azoty #GrupaAzoty1Q18
Q12018 RESULTS PRESENTATION May 10th 2018
@Grupa_Azoty #GrupaAzoty1Q18
Q12018 RESULTS PRESENTATION May 10th 2018 @Grupa_Azoty - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Q12018 RESULTS PRESENTATION May 10th 2018 @Grupa_Azoty #GrupaAzoty1Q18 @Grupa_Azoty #GrupaAzoty1Q18 2 GRUPA AZOTY GROUP Financial highlights PLN 2.497m Consolidated revenue PLN 403m Consolidated EBITDA Consolidated net profit PLN 188m
@Grupa_Azoty #GrupaAzoty1Q18
@Grupa_Azoty #GrupaAzoty1Q18
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GRUPA AZOTY GROUP
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GRUPA AZOTY GROUP
2023 Estimated revenues
Agro Fertilizers 30% Plastics, 52% Agro Fertilizers < 50% Agro Fertilizers 52% Chemicals, 29% Plastics 15%
0,0 3000,0 6000,0 2007 2017 Plastics, Chemicals, Agro Fertilizers
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GRUPA AZOTY GROUP
2,687 2,183 2,196 2,551 2,497 Q12017 Q22017 Q32017 Q42017 Q12018
INCOME
453 261 255 218 403 462 276 269
16.9% 12.0% 11.6% 8.5% 16.1%
Q12017 Q22017 Q32017 Q42017 Q12018 EBITDA EBITDA (Corrected) * EBITDA margin 255 123 75 36 188 262 135 77 Q12017 Q22017 Q32017 Q42017 Q12018 Net profit Net profit* (Corrected)
* In 2017 adjusted for impairment losses on the fat processing unit, AIG, sulfur deposits and Elektrownia Puławy Power Plant.
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GRUPA AZOTY GROUP
positive effect on EBITDA negative effect on EBITDA (PLNm) 453 403 23 20 3 6 84
Energy
Chemicals
Plastics
adverse market factors (as discussed above) Agro-Fertilizers
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GRUPA AZOTY GROUP
(PLNm)
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GRUPA AZOTY GROUP
PRICES OF NATURAL GAS DAILY QUOTATIONS
EUR/MWh USD/MWh 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
2018-01-01 2018-01-08 2018-01-15 2018-01-22 2018-01-29 2018-02-05 2018-02-12 2018-02-19 2018-02-26 2018-03-05 2018-03-12 2018-03-19 2018-03-26
5 10 15 20 5 10 15 20 25
Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 PPX* TTF DA* GPL DA * Russia Federal Tariff Service USD / MWh * bez przesyłu
PRICES OF HARD COAL PRICES OF ELECTRICITY
PLN/MWh USD/t
140 150 160 170 180 190
Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q42017 Q1 2018
IRDN FX
40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q42017 Q1 2018
ARA
BUSINESS
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GRUPA AZOTY GROUP
Market spreads
CAN/ammonia spread
expressed as CAN (27%N) equivalent
50 100 150 200 250 300
Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18
EUR/t Urea (27%N) Ammonia (27%N) Expressed as CAN (27%N) equivalent
average annualised
129 136 113 112 124 119
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1 2017Q1 2018
EUR/t
Market spreads
Pricing trends (cumulative)
136 164 290 241 135 162 284 226
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 AS RSM Amonium Urea USD/t Q1 2017 Q1 2018
209 290 192 277
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 CAN AN
EUR/t
Q1 2017 Q1 2018
OUTLOOK:
additional factor weakening demand.
demand.
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GRUPA AZOTY GROUP
NPK 3x16/raw materials* spread
Market spreads
expressed as NPK 16-16-16 equivale nt
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18
USD/t Potassium chloride Phosphate rock Urea Ammonium sulfate NPK 16-16-16
average annualised
86 76 69 49 33 46
20 40 60 80 100 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1 2017Q1 2018
USD/t
Market spreads
* Potassium chloride, phosphate rock, urea, ammonium sulfate
Pricing trends (cumulative)
339 235 290 218 96 95 388 254 284 248 112 96
100 200 300 400 500 DAP 18-46 NPK 16-16-16 Ammonia Potassium chloride Sulfur Phosphate rock USD/t Q1 2017 Q1 2018
+14% +8%
+14% +17% +1% OUTLOOK:
producer.
difficult financial condition of Europe’s agricultural sector.
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GRUPA AZOTY GROUP
(PLNm) Q1 2017 Q1 2018 Q/Q change Segment revenue, including: 1,483 1,212
Nitrogen fertilizers and ammonia 904 796
Compound fertilizers 432 327
EBITDA 252 168
EBITDA margin 17.0% 13.9%
300 600
Saltpeter Phosphorus and NPK Urea Ammonium sulfate RSM Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2018
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Market overview
GRUPA AZOTY GROUP Market spreads
DEHT/propylene spread 500 1 000 1 500 2 000
1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18
EUR/t 2-EH Propylene DEHT (DOTP)
average annualised
438 567 617 488 419 376
200 400 600 800
EUR/t
Market spreads
Pricing trends (cumulative)
991 1,275 1,442 2,230 856 1,071 1,288 1,617 2,915 911
1 000 2 000 3 000
2-EH DEHT Melamine Titanium white Propylene
EUR/t 1Q2017 1Q2018
+8% +1% +12% +31% +7%
OUTLOOK:
price, which largely reflects global oil price movements and demand factors.
continue into coming years.
weaker) of 2018.
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GRUPA AZOTY GROUP
(PLNm) Q1 2017 Q1 2018 Q/Q change Segment revenue, including: 687 769 12% OXO alcohols 136 158 16% Plasticizers 61 66 8% Urea (technical grade) 152 147
Melamine 119 132 11% Titanium white 85 106 25% EBITDA 107 127 19% EBITDA margin 15.6% 16.5% 0.9 pp
+7%
50 100 150 200
OXO alcohols Plasticizers Urea (technical grade) Melamine Titanium white
Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2018
+4% +5% 0% 0%
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Market overview
GRUPA AZOTY GROUP Market spreads
500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500
1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18
EUR/t Caprolactam Benzene Polyamide 6
Pricing trends (cumulative)
1,9 88 2,0 64
500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 Solid caprolactam USD/t 1Q2017 1Q2018
+4%
896 1,501 2,001 2,033 752 1,368 2,148 2,205
1 000 2 000 3 000 Benzene Phenol Liquid caprolactam Polyamide 6 EUR/t 1Q2017 1Q2018
+7% +8%
OUTLOOK:
commodity market, have been a solid basis for stabilising the market’s key segments.
sector gaining prominence.
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GRUPA AZOTY GROUP
(PLNm) Q1 2017 Q1 2018 Q/Q change Segment revenue, including: 411 411 Polyamide* 239 339 42% Caprolactam 149 50
EBITDA 66 60
EBITDA margin 16.1% 14.6%
37%
10 20 30 40 50
Polyamide Caprolactam Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2018
* Including modified
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GRUPA AZOTY GROUP
2015 2016 2017 Plan 2018
Rozwój biznesu Utrzymania biznesu Mandatowe Zakup Gotowych Dóbr Pozostałe Komponenty
(PLNbn) Grupa Azoty S.A. 0.4 Grupa Azoty PUŁAWY 0.6 Grupa Azoty POLICE 0.2 Grupa Azoty ZAK 0.2 Other 0.2 Plan 2018 1.06 1.24 1.07 1.6 By type By company
* as per the “Acquisition of property, plant and equipment, intangible assets and investment property” item of the consolidated statement of cash flows
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GRUPA AZOTY GROUP
Plan 2018
Komponenty Pozostałe Zakup Gotowych Dóbr Mandatowe Utrzymania biznesu Rozwój biznesu
(PLN ‘000)
Project name Company Project budget in 2018 Upgrade of steam generator to reduce NOx emissions ZAP 44,000 Exhaust gas treatment unit and upgrade of EC II CHP plant ZCH 21,000 Upgrade of synthesis gas compression unit supplying ammonia plant ZAK 50,807 Raw gas compressor (GHH) ZAK 17,678 Upgrade of partial combustion unit at Ammonia Department ZAK 14,000 Facility for production of ammonium nitrate-based granulated fertilizers ZAP 131,280 Chemical Technology and Development Centre ZAT 68,270 Expansion of production capacity of technical-grade nitric acid unit ZAT 58,090 Upgrade of existing and construction of new nitric acid units, and facilities for neutralisation and production of new nitric acid-based fertilizers ZAP 51,290 Special Esters I ZAK 37,505 Change of phosphoric acid production method (DA-HF technology) ZCH 33,295 Utilisation of purge gases from ammonia synthesis unit ZAT 22,350 Increasing the volumes of and optimising liquid CO2 production ZAP 19,200 Expansion of water demineralisation station ZAP 13,112 Pilot humic acid unit ZAT 11,830 Purchase and installation of synthesis compressor ZAP 10,392
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GRUPA AZOTY GROUP
FINANCIAL RATIOS
Q1 2017 Q1 2018 Profitability ratios EBIT margin (%) 11.9 9.5 EBITDA margin (%) 16.9 16.1 ROCE (%) 3.3 2.4 ROE (%) 3.5 2.5 Liquidity ratios Current ratio 2.0 1.9 Debt ratios Total debt ratio (%) 35.2 36.2 Net debt (PLNm) 439 604 Net debt/12M EBITDA 0.50 0.53 368 1393
purpose credit facilities corporate loans
(mln PLN)
corporate loans
credit facilities
* Following entry into a new EUR 145m loan agreement with EIB on January 25th 2018, the available funds (undrawn corporate facility limits) rose by approximately PLN 600m.
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GRUPA AZOTY PUŁAWY GROUP
1,003 788 798 902 910 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018
INCOME
204 78 83 133 159 212 93 83 132 159
20.3% 9.9% 10.4% 14.8% 17.4%
Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 EBITDA EBITDA (Corrected) * EBITDA margin 138 26 30 65 92 146 41 30 64 92 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Net profit Net profit* (adjusted)
* Adjusted for impairment losses related mainly to the fat processing unit at ZA Chorzów and Elektrownia Puławy Power Plant
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GRUPA AZOTY PUŁAWY GROUP
(PLNm)
positive effect on EBITDA negative effect on EBITDA
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GRUPA AZOTY PUŁAWY GROUP
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GRUPA AZOTY PUŁAWY GROUP
Poland 82% Abroad 18%
(PLNm) Q1 2017 Q1 2018 Q/Q change Segment revenue, including: 599 506
Nitrogen fertilizers 472 409
Phosphate and compound fertilizers 54 39
EBITDA 145 108
EBITDA margin 24.2% 21.3%
‘000 tonnes
100 200 300
Saltpeter Phosphorus and NPK Urea Ammonium sulfate RSM Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2018
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GRUPA AZOTY PUŁAWY GROUP
Poland 41% Abroad 59%
(PLNm) Q1 2017 Q1 2018 Q/Q change Segment revenue, including: 365 353
Melamine 119 132 10.9% ↗ Caprolactam 141 120
Urea 69 66
EBITDA 91 68
EBITDA margin 24.9% 19.3%
‘000 tonnes
+8%
20 40 60 80
Melamine Caprolactam Urea Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2018
+3% +2%
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GRUPA AZOTY PUŁAWY GROUP
FINANCIAL RATIOS*
Q1 2017 Q1 2018 Profitability ratios EBIT margin (%) 15.5 11.8 EBITDA margin (%) 20.3 17.4 ROCE (%) 4.5 3.0 ROE (%) 4.3 2.8 Liquidity ratios Current ratio 2.8 2.3 Debt ratios Total debt ratio (%) 21.8 23.9 Net debt (PLNm)
Net debt/12M EBITDA
31 500
assets
multi-purpose credit facilities bank borrowings corporate logo
(mln PLN)
* Relates to the Grupa Azoty PUŁAWY Group ** Relates to Grupa Azoty Puławy S.A.
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GRUPA AZOTY POLICE GROUP
725 632 746 687 699 615 Q1 2013 Q1 2014 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2018 INCOME 61 48 94 107 84 68
8.5% 7.6% 12.6% 15.6% 12.0% 11.1%
Q1 2013 Q1 2014 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2018 EBITDA EBITDA margin 32 17 51 68 47 33 Q1 2013 Q1 2014 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2018 Net profit
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GRUPA AZOTY POLICE GROUP
(PLNm)
positive effect on EBITDA negative effect on EBITDA
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GRUPA AZOTY POLICE GROUP
CHANGE IN REVENUE Q1 2018 vs Q1 2017
GRUPA AZOTY GROUP
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GRUPA AZOTY POLICE GROUP
Key performance drivers:
production input (resulting in increased variable costs of ammonia production), coupled with falling ammonia prices,
stocks accumulated in previous spring seasons affecting sales
(PLNm) Q1 2017 Q1 2018 Q/Q change Segment revenue, including: 598 492
m Compound fertilizers 394 298
m Urea 107 92
m Ammonia 77 67
m EBITDA 64 37
m EBITDA margin 11% 8% m
Natural gas and ammonia price trends Volumes
5 10 15 20 25 100 200 300 400 EUR/MWh USD/t Ammonia Gas Natural gas +15% Ammonia
200 400 Compound fertilizers Urea Ammonia Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2018
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GRUPA AZOTY POLICE GROUP
Key performance drivers:
average prices
titanium white relative to Q1 2017,
pigments market,
cent below that achieved in the record-high Q1 2017, but above the first quarter average for the last 10 years.
(PLNm) Q1 2017 Q1 2018 Q/Q change Segment revenue, including: 89 110 23% ↗ Titanium white 85 106 24% ↗ Other 4 4 0% g EBITDA 20 34 73% ↗ EBITDA margin 22% 31% ↗
Volumes
1 3 5 7 9 11
Titanium white Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2018
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GRUPA AZOTY POLICE GROUP
186 454
multi-purpose credit facilities corporate loans AVAILABLE FUNDS/UNDRAWN FACILITIES (mln PLN)
corporate loans
facilities
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GRUPA AZOTY ZAKŁADY AZOTOWE KĘDZIERZYN S.A.
483 394 442 502 495 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018
REVENUES *
81 20 61 49 75 81 20 61 52 76
16.7% 5.1% 13.8% 9.8% 15.2%
Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 EBITDA EBITDA (adjusted) ** EBITDA margin 48
24 12 36 48
24 14 37 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Net profit Net profit** (adjusted)
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GRUPA AZOTY ZAKŁADY AZOTOWE KĘDZIERZYN S.A.
CHANGE IN REVENUE Q1 2018 vs Q1 2017
GRUPA AZOTY GROUP
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GRUPA AZOTY ZAKŁADY AZOTOWE KĘDZIERZYN S.A.
(PLNm) Q1 2017 Q1 2018 Q/Q change Fertilizers Revenue 243 224
EBITDA 53 40
EBITDA margin 22% 18%
OXO Revenue 211 241 +30 ↗ EBITDA 13 21 +8 ↗ EBITDA margin 6% 9% +3 ↗
Poland 81% EU 19%
Poland 17% EU 69% Other Europe 12% Other 2%
150 170 190 210 230 250 270 290 310
Fertilizers Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2018
10 20 30 40 50 60 70
OXO Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2018
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GRUPA AZOTY ZAKŁADY AZOTOWE KĘDZIERZYN S.A.
FINANCIAL RATIOS
Q1 2017 Q1 2018 Profitability ratios EBIT margin (%) 11.9% 9.4% EBITDA margin (%) 16.6% 15.2% ROCE (%) 3.8% 3.0% ROE (%) 3.9% 3.0% Liquidity ratios Current ratio 1.5 1.6 Debt ratios Total debt ratio (%) 35.4% 36.0% Net debt (PLNm) 126 195 Net debt/12M EBITDA 0.65 0.93 58 239
purpose credit facilities corporate loans
(mln PLN)
corporate loans 94.7%
and multi- purpose credit facilities …
financial assets 0.0%
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GRUPA AZOTY GROUP
The information presented below has been prepared by the Grupa Azoty Group (the “Group”) solely for the purpose of its presentation to investors and market analysts on April 19th 2018 (the “Presentation”). By participating in the meeting at which the Presentation is presented or by referring to this Presentation, you agree to the following specific restrictions and disclaimers. This Presentation does not constitute or form any part of, and should not be considered as, an offer to sell or as an offer to subscribe for, or as a guarantee to purchase or acquire in other way, any securities of any company of the Group. Neither this Presentation nor any part hereof may form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any subscription for any securities of the Group, or their
Group companies. This Presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding any securities of the Group companies. No statement or assurance, expressed or implied, has been made by or on behalf of the Group or any of its shareholders, members of its bodies, officers, employees, agents or advisers or any other person, as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of information or
This Presentation may contain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are different from statements of historical facts. Statements containing such words as "expects", "intends", "plans", "believes", "anticipates", "will", "aims", "can", "would", "could", "continues" or similar words are examples of such forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include statements about the financial performance, business strategy, plans and objectives of the Group (including development plans relating to the Group). All forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation relate to matters involving known and unknown risks, issues that are impossible to predict, and other factors. Actual results and achievements of the Group may be materially different from those described in statements concerning the past, and from the results and achievements of the Group in the past. Forward-looking statements are made based on various assumptions of future events, including numerous assumptions regarding present and future business strategies of the Group and its future business environment. Although the Group believes that its estimates and assumptions are reasonable, they may prove to be incorrect. The information, opinions and forward-looking statements contained herein are valid only on the date of this Presentation and are subject to change without
intentions of the Group, or of facts or circumstances that will have an impact on the strategy or intentions of the Group, unless such an obligation arises under law. Please note that the only reliable source of data on the Group's financial results, forecasts, events and indicators of the Group are the current and periodic reports released by the Group as part of its disclosure obligations under Polish
Presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this Presentation. Neither the Group nor any of its shareholders, members of its bodies, officers, employees, agents or advisers nor any other person shall be required to provide the recipients of this Presentation with any additional information or to update this Presentation. This Presentation contains information on the chemical industry in Poland and globally, including information on market shares of the Company and some of its competitors. The source of such information is always provided in this Presentation and the Group or any other entity acting on behalf of the Group has independently verified the information referred to above. This Presentation is not intended for distribution to or use by any person or any entity in any jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or oblige the Group or any of its affiliates to obtain an authorization or licence, or to comply with the registration requirements under applicable laws. Neither this Presentation nor any part hereof may be copied or transmitted into the United States of America, and cannot be disseminated, directly or indirectly, in the United States of America. Failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of U.S. securities laws. Whoever comes into possession of this Presentation is required to inform themselves of, and to observe, all of the above restrictions. The securities referred to in this document have not been and will not be registered in accordance with the US Securities Act of 1933 and may not be offered or sold in the United States of America, except pursuant to an exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Act.
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GRUPA AZOTY S.A.
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GRUPA AZOTY S.A.
479 377 408 418 476 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018
INCOME
86 59 60 40 86
18.0% 15.6% 14.7% 9.6% 18.1%
Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 EBITDA EBITDA (adjusted) * EBITDA margin 45 283 27 46 51 18 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Net profit Net profit* (adjusted)
* Net profit adjusted for dividends in Q2 2017 and impairment losses on Grupa Azoty Siarkopol shares in Q4 2017.
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GRUPA AZOTY S.A.
Poland 74% EU 18% Other 8%
(PLNm) Q1 2017 Q1 2018 Q/Q change Segment revenue, including: 212 185
Nitrogen fertilizers 194 165
EBITDA 41 27
EBITDA margin 19.3% 14.6%
300
Nitrogen fertilizers Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2018
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GRUPA AZOTY S.A.
Poland 17% EU 79% Other 4%
(PLNm) Q1 2017 Q1 2018 Q/Q change Segment revenue, including: 255 272 7% Polyamide* 153 238 56% Caprolactam 78 8
EBITDA 37 49 32% EBITDA margin 14.5% 18.0% 3.5 pp
53%
10 20 30 40
Polyamide Caprolactam Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2018
* Including modified
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Part or section title
100 200 300 400 500
500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500
Income Net profit
(mln PLN)
100 200 300 400 500 600 700
Net debt (PLNm)
45
Part or section title
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 3 000 Jun-08 Dec-08 Jun-09 Dec-09 Jun-10 Dec-10 Jun-11 Dec-11 Jun-12 Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16 Dec-16 Jun-17 Dec-17
Wolumen Cena
Growth since June 30th 2008: Change since January 3rd 2018: 221%
PLN 113.00 PLN 6.00 Max (December 8th 2015) Min (February 3rd 2009)