NYSE: DVN devonenergy.com
Q1 2019 Management Commentary
May 1, 2019
Q1 2019 Management Commentary May 1, 2019 NYSE: DVN devonenergy.com - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Q1 2019 Management Commentary May 1, 2019 NYSE: DVN devonenergy.com Defining the New Devon World-class U.S. oil company New Devon Overview Unrivaled acreage position in top basins Production: 308 MBOED (Q1 2019) Multi-decade
NYSE: DVN devonenergy.com
May 1, 2019
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Q1 2019 Management Commentary
— Unrivaled acreage position in top basins — Multi-decade inventory to drive sustainable growth — Resource depth allows for high-grading of portfolio
(exiting Canada & Barnett positions)
— Aggressively reducing costs — Shifting to higher-margin production — Positioned for mid-teens oil growth and free cash flow generation above $46 WTI
— Committed to return of capital — Capital-efficient per-share growth
21 MBOED (76% OIL)
STACK
123 MBOED (55% LIQUIDS)
POWDER RIVER EAGLE FORD
50 MBOED (50% OIL) 107 MBOED (56% OIL)
DELAWARE
Production: 308 MBOED (Q1 2019) Revenue: 84% oil & liquids Oil growth rate: 17% in 2019 Multi-decade growth platform
New Devon Overview
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Q1 2019 Management Commentary
— 8,000 barrels per day above top end of range — 24% increase in oil production vs. Q1 2018
— Results headlined by CAT SCRATCH FEVER wells — High-rate Wolfcamp wells at Rattlesnake
— Operating costs decline 12% vs. Q1 ‘18 — G&A cost reductions ahead of plan
— Capital spend 9% BELOW MIDPOINT guidance — Q1 spending represents 24% of full-year budget — Generating free cash flow above $46 WTI
Q1 2018 Q1 2019
Light-oil production exceeds guidance
New Devon (MBOD)
138
(Q1 Guide: 125-130)
111
$6 $11 $16 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019
G&A LOE & GP&T Interest
Improving cost structure expands margins
Per-unit cost ($/BOE)
YEAR OVER YEAR
$13.63 $15.50
ABOVE GUIDANCE U.S. OIL PRODUCTION
BARRELS PER DAY
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Q1 2019 Management Commentary
HIGH-RATE WELLS DRIVE Q2 OIL BEAT
>25%
(2019 exit rate
Raising “New Devon” 2019 oil production outlook
New Devon U.S oil production (MBOD)
(VS ORIGINAL GUIDANCE)
121
FY 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019e 2H 2019e 2019e Exit Rate
E&P CAPITAL
50%
DELAWARE
20%
STACK
15%
POWDER RIVER
15%
EAGLE FORD
BILLION
Q1 2019 CAPITAL SPENDING
REPRESENTS 24% OF 2019 CAPITAL BUDGET
BELOW GUIDANCE
No change to 2019 capital investment plans
New Devon 2019e E&P capital
OIL GROWTH
2018 vs 2019 midpoint
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Q1 2019 Management Commentary
$- $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 G&A Drilling & Completions Interest LOE 70%
BY YEAR-END 2019
100%
BY YEAR-END 2019
Cost savings initiatives trending ahead of plan
Estimated cost savings by area as of 4/30/19 ($MM)
Aggressively pursuing improved cost structure
New Devon expected cost savings by area vs. 2018 results ($MM)
ANNUAL COST SAVINGS BY 2021
G&A $300 MM Interest $130 MM Per-Unit Recurring LOE $50 MM D&C Efficiencies $300 MM
(2) (1)
65%
BY YEAR-END 2019
50%
BY YEAR-END 2019 (1) ~$100 MM associated with the exit of Canada and Barnett. (2) Assumes $3 billion of debt repayments with the exit of Canada and Barnett. (3) Run-rate saving achieved as of 4/30/19 (Run-rate as of 4/30/19)
CURRENTLY ACHIEVED
(Based on decisions made)
UPCOMING 2019 SAVINGS
(Expected during 2020 & 2021)
FUTURE COST INITIATIVES
— >70% of savings achieved by year-end 2019 — G&A run-rate savings YTD: ~$110 million(3) — D&C efficiencies reflected in 2019 outlook
(1) (2)
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Q1 2019 Management Commentary
Canadian assets
— Outright sale or spin-off — Data rooms: open Q2 2019 — Expect to complete by year end
— Targeted debt-to-EBITDA ratio: 1.0x-1.5x — Expect up to $3 billion of debt repayments
NEW DEVON ASSETS DIVESTITURE ASSETS POWDER RIVER STACK DELAWARE BASIN EAGLE FORD
CANADA
Production: 113 MBOED Data room: Open in Q2
ROCKIES CO2 BARNETT SHALE
Production: 103 MBOED Data room: Open in Q2 Production: 3 MBOED Sales process: Ongoing
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Q1 2019 Management Commentary
Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 3/31/19 YE 2019e
Repurchase program accelerates per-share growth
Outstanding shares (MM)
SHARE COUNT REDUCTION
527 ~390(1) 521 491 459 417
Delivering sustainable dividend growth
Annual divided per share
2017 2018 Current
$0.36 $0.24
(2)
(2) Annualized run-rate based on dividend increase effective in Q2 2019.
INCREASE
(OVER P AST 2 YEARS)
RET RETURN RNED > >$4 BILLION ON O OF F CAPITAL T TO SHAREH REHOL OLDERS RS O OVER L R LAST 12 MONTHS
(1) Assumes an incremental $1 billion of shares are repurchased at current share price. .
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Q1 2019 Management Commentary 50 100 150 200 250 300 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
2018 Wolfcamp program
Well productivity reaching record highs
Average cumulative oil production per well (MBO)
Months Online
2018 average 2015-2017 average
BONE SPRING & WOLFCAMP
FOCUS IN 2019
2018 Boundary Raider wells (>90% improvement
(targeting Bone Spring)
Positioned for flow assurance & premium pricing
Firm m oil t il tra ransport: : ~20 MB 20 MBOD D Firm m oil s il sale les: 100 MB 100 MBOD i D in ba basin Swaps ps protect ct >90 90% % of g gas v volu lumes Gas so s sold und under L LT co cont ntracts to s to West st Coast st
FLOW ASSURANCE & PRICING STRONG OIL PRICE REALIZATIONS
97%
OF WTI
BASIS SWAPS
(~25 MBOD)
FIELD-LEVEL PRICING
FIRM OIL SALES
GULF COAST
FIRM TRANSPORT (~20 MBOD)
Q1 RESULTS
$17.20 $9.54 $9.03 $7.64 $6.81 2015 Peak 2016 2017 2018 Q1 2019
Operating scale drives per-unit costs lower
Delaware Basin LOE & GP&T expense ($/BOE)
IMPROVEMENT
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Q1 2019 Management Commentary
2019 Program High Return Inventory
Bone Spring Wolfcamp Leonard
High return inventory at $50 WTI
Gross operated inventory locations generating IRR >20%(1)
2,000 locations
(Avg. lateral length: 7,500’)
16 YEA YEAR INVENTORY
(AT CURRENT ACTIVITY PACE) Weighted Avg. IRR: >50%
(1) IRR on E&P capital investment (includes drilling, completion and well-site facilities and flow back).
Delaware Leonard Bone Spring Wolfcamp
Thistle Cotton Draw Todd Potato Basin Rattlesnake
~5,000 feet of pay Massive stacked-pay resource opportunity
Potential landing zones by core operating region
125 wells drilled
(Avg. lateral length: 8,000’)
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Q1 2019 Management Commentary
Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019
Outstanding well productivity drives Q1 outperformance
Production (MBOED)
YEAR OVER YEAR
Gas NGL Oil
107
61
Key Delaware Basin Highlights
(1) Peak 24-hour production rates achieved to understand well deliverability. Current production rates constrained due to facility capacity.
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Q1 2019 Management Commentary 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 2019 - 2021 2019 - 2021 2019 - 2021 $- $0.5 $1.0 $1.5 $2.0 $2.5 $3.0 ($65 WTI)
($55 WTI) ($60 WTI)
Cumulative Free Cash Flow
$3.0B
Cumulative Free Cash Flow ($B)
Cumulative Free Cash Flow
$2.3B
Free Cash Yield (Annual Avg.)
Cumulative Free Cash Flow
$1.6B
Note: Free cash flow yield assumes market capitalization based on current share price multiplied by expected shares outstanding at year-end 2019 (~390 mm shares). Cumulative free cash flow represents the aggregate operating cash flow less total capital requirements before dividend. Assumes $3 HH price.
Cumulative Free Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Yield (Annual Avg.)
(1) Assumes cost savings are fully realized at the beginning of 2019.
OIL CAGR: 12%-17% BREAKEVEN: $46 WTI
(CALCULATION INCLUSIVE OF ALL CAPEX)
3-YEAR CAPITAL PLAN
(1) (1) (1)