Pure-Play Molybdenum Opportunity Bruce D. Hansen Meetings during - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Pure-Play Molybdenum Opportunity Bruce D. Hansen Meetings during - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
GMO: NYSE AMER & TSX Pure-Play Molybdenum Opportunity Bruce D. Hansen Meetings during Prospectors & Developers Association of Canada (PDAC) Conference Chief Executive Officer Toronto Robert Pennington March 4-7, 2018 Chief Operating
GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
Cautionary Statements
Statements herein that are not historical facts are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act, as amended and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended and are intended to be covered by the safe harbor created by such sections. Such forward-looking statements involve a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected, anticipated, expected, or implied by the Company. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to metals price and production volatility, global economic conditions, currency fluctuations, increased production costs and variances in ore grade or recovery rates from those assumed in mining plans, exploration risks and results, political, operational and project development risks, including the Company's ability to obtain a re-grant of its water permits and Record of Decision, ability to maintain required federal and state permits to continue construction, and commence production of molybdenum, copper, silver, lead or zinc, ability to identify any economic mineral reserves of copper, silver, lead or zinc; ability of the Company to obtain approval of its joint venture partner at the Mt. Hope Project in
- rder to mine for copper, silver, lead or zinc, ability to raise required project financing or funding to pursue an exploration program related to
potential copper, silver lead or zinc deposits at Mt. Hope, ability to respond to adverse governmental regulation and judicial outcomes, and ability to maintain and /or adjust estimates related to cost of production, capital, operating and exploration expenditures. For a detailed discussion of risks and other factors that may impact these forward looking statements, please refer to the Risk Factors and other discussion contained in the Company's quarterly and annual periodic reports on Forms 10-Q and 10-K, on file with the SEC. The Company undertakes no
- bligation to update forward-looking statements.
Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors Concerning Estimates of Reserves and Resources Calculations with respect to "proven reserves" and "probable reserves" referred to herein have been made in accordance with, and using the definitions of National Instrument 43-101, as required by Canadian securities regulatory authorities. For United States reporting purposes, the U.S. SEC applies a different standard in order to classify mineralization as a "reserve". Under SEC standards, mineralization may not be classified as a "reserve" unless the determination has been made that the mineralization could be economically and legally extracted or produced at the time the reserve determination is made. No such determinations have been made with respect to any mineralization at the Liberty project, and it cannot be assured that such a determination will be made. This presentation also uses the terms “measured”, “indicated” and “inferred” resources. We caution U.S. investors that while such terms are recognized and required by Canadian Securities Administrators pursuant to the National Instrument 43-101, the SEC does not recognize them. U.S. investors are cautioned not to assume that any part or all of mineral deposits in these categories will ever be converted into reserves. “Inferred Resources”, in particular, have a great amount of uncertainty as to their existence, and great uncertainty as to their economic and legal feasibility. It cannot be assumed that all or any part of an Inferred Mineral Resource will ever be upgraded to a higher category. Under Canadian Securities Administration rules, estimates of Inferred Mineral Resources may not form the basis of feasibility or pre-feasibility studies. U.S. investors are cautioned not to assume that part or all of an inferred resource exists, or is economically or legally minable. Please refer to End Notes in the Appendix. The Qualified Person’s statement related to exploration is in End Note 5 in the Appendix.
2
3 GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
Investment Highlights – only pure-play, western exchange traded moly stock
- Mt. Hope Project,
- ne of world’s
largest & highest grade moly deposits, and previously mined Liberty Project
- Exploration of
high-grade Cu-Ag Target and zinc potential i
World-Class
Moly with Cu- Ag-Zn Potential
World-Class
Moly with Cu- Ag-Zn Potential
Medium-Term
Producer
Medium-Term
Producer Strategic
Partnerships
Strategic
Partnerships
Tangible
Value
Tangible
Value
Financial
Stability
Financial
Stability
- Mt. Hope Project
bankable feasibility complete; 65% engineered
- Completed new air
quality analysis to advance Supplemental EIS
- Water rights
hearing set
- Develop upon
sustained market improvement & financing
- Strategic
relationship with largest share- holder, Chinese multinational AMER
- Mt. Hope partner-
ship with Korean POSCO unit
- Off-take sales
agreements with international companies – ArcelorMittal, SeAH Besteel and Sojitz
- 80% interest in
$87.9M of plant & mine equipment at
- Mt. Hope Project
- $21.1M in other
tangible Company assets
- 3Q 2017 cash
$3.4M, & subsequent $6M Tranche 2 financing with AMER i
- Mt. Hope Project
restricted cash of $11.0M sufficient to sustain project into 2022 ii
- i. Please refer to Company news release of March 1, 2018. Please also see End Note 5 in the Appendix.
ii.Please see the Company’s news releases regarding 3Q 2017 results on November 6, 2017 and closing of financing with AMER on October 16, 2017 .
4 GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
Capital Structure
- Major institutional
shareholders:
- 1. AMER
22.1%
- 2. Hanlong
9.3%
- 3. APERAM AMO Holding i
6.5%
- 4. Vanguard Group
1.7%
- 5. Blackrock Fund Advisors
1.2%
- Insider ownership total ii 26.9%
- Bruce Hansen, CEO
2.5%
- Other senior management
1.5%
- Research coverage
- Heiko Ihle, H.C. Wainwright
- John Tumazos, John Tumazos Very
Independent Research
Exchanges: Ticker NYSE AMER; TSX: GMO Recent stock price $0.41 Stock 52-week high/low $0.58/$0.28 Shares outstanding (M) 126.8 Recent moly price iii $12.98 Moly 52-week high/low iii $12.98/ $6.85 Financial Highlights iv (M) 9/30/2017 Cash and cash equivalents v $3.4 Working capital $1.5 Restricted cash at Mt. Hope $11.0 Long-term debt & sr. convert. $7.0 Total shareholders’ equity $103.7
- i. APERAM, the former stainless steel division of ArcelorMittal, was spun off as a separate public company in 2011.
- ii. Insider ownership includes AMER shareholdings on basic shares outstanding.
- iii. Source: Platts
- iv. Please refer to the Company’s 3Q 2017 news release of Nov. 6, 2017.
- v. Subsequent to quarter end, GMO closed on $6M Tranche 2 financing with AMER, per news release of Oct. 16, 2017.
5 GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
Moly Price Rising; Best Among Metals YTD
i Chart Source: Bloomberg, BMO Capital Markets, 3/2/18.
Current moly price/ lbS Up 89% from 52-week low of $6.85
= $12.98 =
Growth catalysts for moly
- Synchronized global economic expansion
- January 2018 J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing
Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) at 7-year high
- Global economic growth projected at 3.1% in 2018ii
- Further growth in China and India
- China to grow 6.4% in 2018, coming off 6.8%
growth in 2017ii
- India to grow 7.3% in 2018 versus 6.7% in 2017ii
- Late business cycle positive for commodities
- Moly is a late-stage industrial metal
- Looming inflation
- Inverse relationship of greenback and metals
- Weaker dollar-priced metals like moly allow China
and foreign buyers greater purchasing power
- Strengthening metals demand amidst supply
constriction
Moly, 2nd best metal price appreciation after cobalt
6
Molybdenum Price Projections
Historical Prices 2006-To Date i CPM Price Projections ii
i. Source: Platts ii. CPM Group’s October 2017 Molybdenum Market Outlook Update Report projected real prices based on 2017 real dollars. 2018 price projection updated in February 2018. 10.35
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019p 2020p 2021p 2022p 2023p
$12.80 $12.60 $14.15
(Base: 2017)
$14.00
Current moly price
$12.98
$10.00 $13.51 $15.09 $10.73 $15.60 $14.25
Tripled from Nov 2015
7 GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
Industrial Metals versus Equities
S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index (SPGSINTR)/ S&P 500 Index (SPX) (From inception of SPGSINTR January 1977-February 2018)
Source: Bloomberg
GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
Demand:
Diverse End Uses of Moly
8
Source: SMR Research
5% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 13% 15% 15% 15%
Other Applications Electronics & Medical Aerospace & Defense Building & Construction Power Generation Other Transportation Process Industry Mechanical Engineering Automotive Chemical / Petrochemical Oil & Gas
Oil & Gas - Refinery catalysts, LNG development, shale gas installations, off-shore /deep ocean oil production Chemical / Petrochemical - Corrosion inhibitors, chemical catalysts, fertilizers, waste water treatment Automotive - Engines, pistons, crankshafts, axle shafts, steering components Mechanical Engineering - Heavy machinery, mining equipment, cutting tools Process Industry - Food processing equipment and storage, metal / steel processing, desalination Other Transportation - Locomotive shafts, train wheels, brake pads, shipbuilding (bulkheads and hulls) Power Generation - Coal, oil, gas and nuclear power plants, wind turbines, hydro and solar energy Building & Construction - Major infrastructure: bridges & tunnels, anchors, rebars, heating / ventilation systems Aerospace & Defense - Turbine parts, jet engines, landing gear, piping systems, armored vehicles Electronics & Medical - Semiconductors, pharmaceutical and biotechnology processing equipment, x-ray tubes Other Applications - Pigments, coatings, lubricants
Energy & Transportation
45%
GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
Supply: Molybdenum Costs Curve
9 World Molybdenum Cash Operating Costs, 2016 ii
US cents/lb pro-rata; no credits
- i. At 2016 average molybdenum price of $6.48/lb. March 1, 2018 spot price =$12.98. Source: Platts.
ii.Chart represents approximately 93% of total molybdenum production. Source: CPM Group, SNL and company documents. iii.First five years of Optional Plan.
- Mt. Hope’s
Optional Plan cash operating costs $6.28/lb iii
10 GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
Ownership 80% General Moly; 20% POSCO Status Pre-construction work suspended Estimated life * 30 years Remaining capex, 100% $1.03B First 5 years*:
40M lbs/year
$6.28 cash op. costs/lb General Moly’s 80% interest LOM*: NPV = $734M IRR = 18% After-tax, undiscounted cash flow= $3.8B
Flagship Mt. Hope – A World-Class Moly Project
- Among the largest and lowest-cost
primary development projects
- Invested $286M in permitting &
long-lead equipment
- Obtain reinstatement of the BLM’s
Record of Decision and Nevada water permits i
- Mining friendly location in Nevada
- Outlook: Improved financing ability
with AMER upon market improvement
i See Slides 30 and 31 in the Appendix. * End Note 1 in the Appendix.
Reno Battle Mountain Winnemucca Carlin Elko Wells Austin Eureka Ely Tonopah
11 GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
General Moly’s Partnerships for Mt. Hope
- POS-Minerals, unit of Korean POSCO, owns 20%
interest in the Mt. Hope Project
- Entitled to 8M lbs of annual production
- Contributed $210M to development
- World’s largest steel producer & Luxembourg based
- General Moly’s largest customer
- Off-take agreements with Korean and Japanese
companies
- Combined with ArcelorMittal sales contract,
approximately 50% of General Moly production (15.5M lbs) committed for first 5 years Sales contracts’ floor prices of
$13.75 - $14.40
Covers 37% of General Moly production (11.5M lbs/yr) over first 5 years
Sales contracts’ floor prices of
$13.75 - $14.40
Covers 37% of General Moly production (11.5M lbs/yr) over first 5 years
Sales contracts’ upside participation
80% of price
Above floor price Sales contracts’ upside participation
80% of price
Above floor price
GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
Strategic Partner & Largest Shareholder: AMER
12
- i. Source for AMER background: Fortune, Forbes & AMER’s website.
* See End Note 2 in the Appendix.
AMER International Group Snapshot i Largest GMO shareholder 22% stake from Tranche 1& 2 27.9M shares + warrants Three-tranche investment in General Moly * Invested $4M in 2015 and $6M in 2017. Potential Tranche 3 for additional $10M. Fortune Global 500 ranking Privately owned; 183rd on annual revenues of $49.7B Major businesses
Non-ferrous metals (copper mining, downstream wire/cable fabrication & trading); value- added manufacturing of semi- conductors & polymers
Employees Over 17,000 Headquarters Shenzhen, China Chairman
- Mr. Wang Wenyin, ranked
11th richest billionaire in China in 2017 by Forbes Chairman Wang, August 2017: “We are confident about a rewarding future from a quality management team, the development of the Mt. Hope Project as the best, low-cost primary molybdenum asset in the world and continued increases in the molybdenum price.”
GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
Key Terms of Investment Agreement*
13
* See End Note 2 in the Appendix.
Bank Loan
To develop
- Mt. Hope
Bank Loan
To develop
- Mt. Hope
Tranche 3
$10M
Tranche 3
$10M
Closed Tranche 2
$6M
Closed Tranche 2
$6M
Closed Tranche 1
$4M
Closed Tranche 1
$4M
- November 2015:
$4M private placement by AMER at $0.30/share
- October 2017:
Closed $6M private placement by AMER at $0.41/share
- $10M private
placement by AMER to be priced at $0.50/share upon meeting certain conditions
- AMER will help
procure and support a $700M Bank Loan from major Chinese banks for development of the Mt. Hope Project upon molybdenum market improvement
14 GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
Joint Business Development Evaluating Opportunities for Mutual Benefit
- Examining potential outright acquisitions,
privatizations or significant minority investments with financing support
- Focus on base or ferroalloy opportunities
- GMO may participate in value creation by
- Retaining a minority interest,
- Generating management fees, or
- Acquiring non-core assets
- Presentations to AMER’s Overseas Investment
Committee
Photos from AMER’s website.
15 GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
Copper, Silver & Zinc Exploration Potential at Mt. Hope Project
- Company staff analyzed historical drill results and data, revealing
copper, silver and zinc potential
- Identified high-grade Cu-Ag Target and significant zinc mineralized area,
southeast of Mt. Hope molybdenum depositi
- Ground-based IP survey indicates fairly continuous group of high
chargeability anomalies appear aligned with the Cu-Ag Targeti
- Historic drill intercept highlights at the Cu-Ag Target
- MHMI Jensen DDH-3:
- 2.24% Cu and 4.9 opt Ag over 9’
- 6.34% Cu over 21’,
including 6.18% Cu and 13.7 opt Ag over 2’, and 7.0% Cu over 17’
- MHMI Jensen DDH-5:
- 4.88% Cu and 9.6 opt Ag over 14’,
including 13.91% Cu and 29.62 opt Ag over 2’ and 3.58% Cu and 7.0 opt Ag over 8’
- Phillips UPMH-2:
- 3.08% Cu over 13.5’
- 1.98% Cu and 4.55 opt Ag over 23’
- i. Please refer to Company news release of March 1, 2018. Please also see End Note 5 in the Appendix.
16 GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
Cu-Ag-Zn Exploration Plan Mapi, Mt. Hope
- i. Please refer to Company news release of March 1, 2018. Please also see End Note 5 in the Appendix.
Reno Battle Mountain Winnemucca Carlin Elko Wells Austin Eureka Ely Tonopah
17 GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
Titan IP Survey Line 3, Cross-Section of Cu-Ag Targeti, Looking NE, at Mt. Hope
- i. Please refer to Company news release of March 1, 2018. Please also see End Note 5 in the Appendix.
18 GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
Copper, Silver & Zinc Exploration in 2018i
- Potential of anomalous zinc mineralized area of interest
- Halo of 2% zinc historic drill intercepts covers ~17 acres, below previously
mined horizons of zinc, open at depth and to northeast
- Located at less than 400’ deep and potentially surface mineable
- Cu-Ag Target appears to be 600’-700’ from surface, potentially
accessible by decline ramp
- IP results indicate high chargeability zone with thicknesses of 200’- 800’,
up to 1,000’ wide and extending over 1,000’ north-northeast trend
- IP results indicate that anomalous zone is open at depth
- Outlook:
- Exploration goal over time is to define sufficient tonnage to economically
justify underground operation with either toll milling or development of small mill (1,000-2,000 tpd)
- 2018 exploration will entail review of historic logs and core, further review
- f IP results and geologic and lithological interpretation to define a new
drilling program
- Company may require financing to fund a full 2018 exploration program.
Any exploitation of minerals will require POSCO approval.
- i. Please refer to Company news release of March 1, 2018. Please also see End Note 5 in the Appendix.
19 GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
First 5 years*:
14M Mo lbs
& 7.5M Cu lbs /year $7.79 cash op. costs/lb Mo LOM NPV* = $325M IRR* = 17% LOM after-tax, undisc. cash flow*= $1.7B
Next Up – Liberty Moly-Copper Project
- Another world-class moly asset
- Previously mined for
molybdenum and copper
- Significant infrastructure remains
(electrical, roads, truck shops)
- Mining friendly location in
Nevada
- Outlook: Advancement to
Feasibility Study contingent on market improvement
Ownership 100% Status Completed PFS Estimated life* 32 years Capex* $366M
Reno Battle Mountain Winnemucca Carlin Elko Wells Austin Eureka Ely Tonopah
* See End Note 3 in the Appendix.
GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
NPV Shows Significant Leverage to Rising Moly Prices
- Mt. Hope, Liberty and Combined NPV* ($M)
20
$289 $734 $1,194 $85 $325 $559 $12.50 $15.00 $17.50
- Mt. Hope
Liberty
Molybdenum price/lb
$374 $1,059 $1,753
* See End Notes 1, 3 and 4 in the Appendix.
Current moly price level
21 GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
General Moly has Significant Leverage to the Molybdenum Price
Every $1/lb change in moly price between $10-$20/lb* NPV
- Mt. Hope Project
+/- $180M Liberty Project +/- $95M General Moly Total NPV +/- $275M Projects’ Breakeven Prices
- Mt. Hope NPV breakeven price
/lb $10.82
- Mt. Hope cash flow breakeven price
/lb $9.35 Liberty NPV breakeven price /lb $11.64 Liberty cash flow breakeven price /lb $9.58
* See End Note 4 in the Appendix.
GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
Significant Tangible Asset Value
22 (M, except per share) Current Cash and cash equivalents (Corporate) i, ii $ 3.4 Restricted cash to be used for loan procurement fund or business opportunities i 0.5 Share of Mt. Hope Project cash (Restricted cash) i 8.8 Share of Mt. Hope’s property, plant & equipment iii 70.3 Cost basis in land, water rights & Liberty Project i 21.0 Long-term debt and convertible debt i (7.0)
Net Tangible Assets $97.0 Net Tangible Assets/GMO share $0.77
i. Please refer to the Company’s Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2017 as filed on Aug. 14, 2017. ii. Excludes the executed Tranche 2 $6M private placement with AMER, closed in October 2017, and pending Tranche 3 $10M private placement.
- iii. Represents Company’s 80% ownership of $87.9M in PP&E in the Consolidated Balance Sheets.
23 GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
2018 Priorities
- Leverage internal skills working with AMER to identify value-accretive
- pportunities with a focus on base metal prospects
- Advance exploration of copper, silver and zinc at Mt. Hope with geologic and
lithological analysis to define new drilling program; scope of exploration work may be subject to financing and any exploitation of minerals will require POSCO approval
- Effect reinstatement of the ROD, and reissuance of permits for water rights at
the Mt. Hope Project i
- Maintain existing state permits for the Mt. Hope and Liberty Projects
- Prudently manage financial liquidity and flexibility to sustain the Company over
the medium term
i See Slides 30 and 31 in the Appendix.
GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
Appendix
24
25 GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
Molybdenum Market Signals:
Emerging Secular Upward Moly Market Trend
- Market signals include
- Stable oil prices
- Renewed global industrial expansion; highly correlated to moly
- Continued economic growth in China, India, Russia, Indonesia and Brazil
- Continued growth in steel and higher quality steel production
- Molybdenum prices settling into higher ranges
- Growth in moly metal, alloy and chemical uses start to exceed projections
- 20
40 60 80 100 120 140 160
Full alloy Stainless HSLA Tool Carbon Cast iron Mo Metal/Alloys Superalloys Catalysts Other Chemicals
2016 2025p
Note: Other Chemicals includes lubricants, pigments, and other chemical demand; Source: CPM Group
Molybdenum Demand Projections, by End-Use Million Pounds
3.2% 3.5% 3.8% 3.8% 1.3% 1.9% 3.5% 3.8% 4.0% 5.2% Percentage = CAGR 2016-2025p
GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
Experienced Management Team
26
- CEO and a Director since 2007.
- Previously served in multiple executive roles at Newmont, including Chief Financial
Officer and Senior VP, Operations Services & Development, and was Senior VP, Corporate Development for Santa Fe Pacific Gold. Executed numerous financings and M&A transactions.
- COO since 2012; joined in 2007 as VP Engineering & Construction.
- Over 35 years in mine operations, project engineering and construction. Previously
served as general manager of Phelps Dodge’s Morenci Mine, one of the largest open- pit/concentrator operations in the world.
- Chief Legal Officer since 2015; joined in 2010 as VP HR and Corporate Counsel.
- Formerly served as General Counsel and Executive Vice President of Law and Human
Resources at Flatiron Financial Services and as in-house counsel for Qwest and US
- West. Financing and corporate deal experience, including cross-border transactions.
- Manager of Engineering and Development since 2008.
- Over 38 years of industry experience. Previously worked for Rio Tinto, Phelps Dodge
and Freeport-McMoRan in operations, technical services, research and development, project management and M&A.
Mike Iannacchione
VP & GM Mt. Hope
Chuck Maxwell
Manager Engineering & Development
Scott Roswell
Chief Legal Officer & VP HR
Bob Pennington
Chief Operating Officer
Bruce Hansen
Chief Executive Officer & Chief Financial Officer
- Vice President of Permitting and Environmental Compliance since joining in 2006.
- More than 25 years industry experience, including extensive work in Nevada
Previously served as Operations Environmental Permitting Manager with Newmont
Pat Rogers
VP Permit. & Envir. Comp.
- Recently appointed Principal Accounting Officer; Controller since 2016. Joined 2008.
- Previously served in audit at KPMG. CPA since 2009 and has a Chartered Global Mgt.
Accountant certificate from the American Inst. of Certified Public Accountants.
Amanda Corrion
Controller
Amanda Corrion
Principal Accnt. Officer & Controller
- Admin. Services Manager since 2012.
- CPA and former long-time Controller and Supply Chain Director of Nevada operations
for Newmont. Prior finance and accounting roles at Lockheed Aircraft and Red Lion Inn and Casino.
Alan London
- Admin. Services Manager
27 GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
$- $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40 $45 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40
General Moly has Significant Leverage to the Molybdenum Price with Downside Protection
Moly Spot Price Realized Price
Downside price protection Discount to spot above floor price
Price Protection from Off-Take Arrangements
GMO Share Price (RHS)
Moly Price/lb
(LHS)
$0 $2 $4 $6 $8 $10 $12 $14
- $40
- $30
- $20
- $10
$0 $10 $20 $30 $40
J-07 J-08 J-09 J-10 J-11 J-12 J-13 J-14 J-15 J-16 J-17 J-18
2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2018
GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
Structural Change:
Continued Moly Demand in China
28
The Jiaozhou Bay Bridge is the world's longest cross-sea bridge, stretching nearly 26 miles, which would span the English Channel.
- CPM projects China’s molybdenum
demand at 4.7% CAGR for 2016-2025.
- China leads the world in mega
infrastructure construction.
- Megacity in the Pearl River Delta,
enveloping Shenzhen and Guangdong
- The Xiongan new area outside of
Beijing
- President Xi’s One Belt One Road
mission to link China to the world
By 2030, China will have integrated nine cities in the Pearl River Delta into the world’s largest megacity, twice the size of So. Korea.
Chinese Infrastructure Investment YOY Growth Rates (Through 2016)
GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
Structural Change:
Rising Chinese Demand for Higher Quality Steel
- China consumes a third of global
moly and produces half of world’s crude steel and stainless steel
- 2017 to date, Chinese demand
for molybdenum grew 9% YOY.
- CPM projects China’s
molybdenum demand at 4.7% CAGR for 2016-2025
- China’s average intensity of use
rose 5% from 2007 to 2016, but still well below the global average
29
Source: CPM Group, Molybdenum News Service. Chart – CPM Group, World Steel and IMOA.
Chinese Moly Demand by End Use Moly Use/ 100 tonnes of Steel - 2016
- 5
10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 USA Europe Japan China CIS
World Intensity of Use = 14.3 kg Mo/ 100 Mt of Steel
Kg Mo per 100 Mt of Crude Steel Source: CPM Group, World Steel, IMOA, Antaike
If China’s intensity of use reached the global average, it would need an additional 100.6M lbs moly/year
(from base 2016)
8.6 kg
30 GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
- Mt. Hope Equipment Procurement Status
(100% basis)
- Paid $87.9M on commitments for $174M in
equipment orders
- Own or secured with order in place for major
milling equipment:
- Crusher
- SAG mill and ball mill
- Mill drives
- Roaster equipment
- Made $75M order with Caterpillar for haul fleet
and support equipment, including 18 240-ton haul trucks i
- Secured letter of intent for 4 large P&H electric
mining shovels i
- Ordered 4 Atlas Copco mine drills i
- Outlook: Upon an improvement in the markets
and obtaining financing, the Company expects to place orders for remainder of equipment.
i. All orders are cancellable with no further liability. There were non-refundable deposits made of $3.4 million to P&H, $1.2 million to Caterpillar and $0.4 million to Atlas Copco.
GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
- Mt. Hope Supplemental EIS
- The Record of Decision (“ROD”) for the Mt. Hope Project was initially granted in
November, 2012, and subsequently challenged in the U.S. District Court for the District of Nevada by two western U.S. based NGOs ("non-governmental
- rganization"). The U.S. District Court upheld the ROD in August, 2014. The
NGOs appealed the U.S. District Court's Order to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit in September, 2014.
- On December 28, 2016, the Ninth Circuit issued its Opinion rejecting many of the
arguments raised by the NGOs challenging the Environmental Impact Statement ("EIS") issued by the BLM. The Ninth Circuit reversed on technical grounds a narrow issue related to a baseline air quality analysis and related cumulative impact examination, and as a result vacated the ROD.
- The Company is advancing completion of a Supplemental EIS, including
incorporation of completed additional air quality analysis of direct and cumulative impacts to air quality to address the Ninth Circuit’s concerns with the zero baseline assumption previously used and questions concerning the potential existence of public water reserves.
- The Company looks forward to completing the public review requirements in
compliance with the National Environmental Policy Act ("NEPA"), and to receive a new ROD for the eventual construction and operation of the Mt. Hope Project by early 2019.
31
GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
- Mt. Hope Water Rights and
Permitting Background
- In the fall of 2015, the Nevada Supreme Court reversed the prior decisions of the Nevada
District Court upholding the Nevada State Engineer’s grant of the project’s water permits and Monitoring, Management and Mitigation (3M) Plan, and remanded the Company’s applications back to the District Court.
- In March 2016, the District Court denied the applications previously approved by the
Nevada State Engineer, vacating the permits approved on the applications and vacating the 3M Plan.
- The State Engineer and the Company appealed the District Court’s Order to the Nevada
Supreme Court and in September 2017, the Supreme Court affirmed the District Court Order.
- In 2015 and 2016 the Company filed additional applications to change existing water rights
to mining rights for the Mt. Hope Project. With the September 2017 decision of the Nevada Supreme Court, the Nevada State Engineer has scheduled a new hearing beginning Sept 11, 2018 to address the Company’s new change applications for water permits at the Mt. Hope Project.
- At the hearing, the Company will provide additional evidence of its ability to successfully
avoid any potential impacts to senior water right holders.
- The Company will seek to have a decision from the Nevada State Engineer granting new
water permits for the Mt. Hope Project by early 2019. 32
33 GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
End Notes to Slides 9, 11, 12 and 19
1.
- Mt. Hope Project - Slide 9 and NPV Slide 19:
The mine life and economic indicators are based on the updated optional mine plan announced in a February 25, 2014 news release, which reported on an internal study that examined an optimized pit using lower molybdenum prices. The internal study used a $10/lb moly mine plan and the geologic block model from the Canada National Instrument 43-101 Technical Report Feasibility Study, filed in January 2014 and available on the Company’s website. Operating data represent the averages over the first five years of production under the optional mine plan. Net Present Value and the Internal Rate of Return use the optional mine plan with a $15.00/lb molybdenum price over 24 years of mining and 30 years of mill processing at an 8% discount rate, after tax. Cash flow is based on the same optional mine plan, except it is undiscounted. The optional mine plan relied on the 2014 Feasibility Study’s proven and probable reserves representing 984.6M tons at an average grade of 0.070% containing 1.4B lbs of molybdenum. While the above reserves are in accordance with NI 43-101, they are not recognized as reserves by the U.S. SEC. Please refer to the cautionary note to U.S. investors on Slide 2. As reported in the Company’s last Form 10-K for 2016, based on an $8.00/lb molybdenum pit design, Mt. Hope Project has proven and probable reserves of 367.4 million tons of ore at an average grade of 0.080% molybdenum. There is also additional mineralized material
- f 682.5 million tons at an average grade of 0.061% molybdenum. The $8.00/lb pit design used to determine reserves and mineralized
material were based on three-year backward average price of molybdenum at $8.40/lb. 2. AMER - Slides 11 and 12: Under the Amended Investment Agreement with AMER, which was effected in August 2017, the Company and AMER accelerated and closed the Tranche 2 private placement of $6.0 million for 14.6 million common shares of General Moly priced at $0.41 per share in October 2017. A sum of $5.5 million of the Tranche 2 proceeds is allocated to general corporate purposes and $0.5 million are directed to the existing expense reimbursement account to cover costs related to Mt. Hope Project financing and other jointly sourced business development opportunities. Also in the August 2017 amendment, the Company and AMER modified the Tranche 3 $10.0 million private placement which call for the purchase of 20.0 million common shares amending certain conditions related to completion of Tranche 3, under the Amended Investment Agreement. The Tranche 3 private placement for $10.0 million of General Moly common shares, priced at $0.50, is conditioned on the receipt of water permits from the Nevada State Engineer or the earlier close of a joint business opportunity involving use of 10.0 million shares of General Moly common stock. A sum of $9.5 million will be directed to general corporate purposes and $0.5 million will be allocated to the expense reimbursement account described above. The Company received $4M under the Tranche 1 equity investment closed in November 2015 ($2M restricted to fund the expense reimbursement account to fund joint business opportunities and Bank Loan expenses, and $2M for general corporate use). In addition to 13 million GMO shares priced at $0.30 per share, AMER also received warrants to purchase 80M shares at an exercise price of $0.50 per share ($40M if fully exercised). These warrants have since been extended to the earlier of the 60-month anniversary of Loan drawdown
- r third anniversary of the reissuance of the Record of Decision for the Mt. Hope Project. The number of warrants and exercise price
were unchanged.
34 GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
End Notes to Slides 14-17, 19 & 20
3. Liberty Project - Slide 18 and NPV Slide 19: Data are based on the updated Pre-Feasibility Study Technical Report, compliant under Canada National Instrument 43-101, filed in July 2014 and available on the Company’s website. Operating data represent the averages over the first five years of production. Cash operating costs per pound of molybdenum are estimated using $3.25/lb copper byproduct credits. Net Present Value and Internal Rate of Return use $15/lb molybdenum, $3.25/lb copper over 31 years of mining, 32 years of milling and an 8% discount rate, after tax. Cash flow is based on the aforementioned, except it is undiscounted. Measured and indicated resources of 309.2M tons at average grades of 0.078% molybdenum and 0.098% copper contain 482M lbs of molybdenum and 606M lbs of copper. Liberty reserves, based on $15/lb molybdenum and $3.00/lb copper, are effective as of July 30,
- 2014. Proven reserves are within 92.5M tons at average grades of 0.101% molybdenum and 0.056% copper while probable reserves are
within 216.7M tons at average grades of 0.068% molybdenum and 0.116% copper. While the above reserves are in accordance with NI 43-101, they are not recognized as reserves by the U.S. SEC. Please refer to the cautionary note to U.S. investors on Slide 2. 4. NPV Leverage - Slide 20: (Also see Notes 1 and 2.)
- Mt. Hope Project NPV breakeven and cash flow breakeven reflect General Moly’s 80% ownership in the project under the optional mine
plan, using a $15.00/lb molybdenum price over 24 years of mining and 30 years of mill processing at an 8% discount rate, after tax. Liberty Project NPV breakeven and cash flow breakeven use $15/lb molybdenum, $3.25/lb copper over 31 years of mining, 32 years of milling and a discount rate of 8%, after tax. There is the potential to increase Liberty’s NPV and IRR by toll roasting Liberty molybdenum concentrates at the Mt. Hope Project once constructed, thereby decreasing total cash costs to $7.41/lb for the first 5 full years of production. 5. Cu-Ag-Zn Exploration – Slides 14-17: To date, given this represents an early-stage copper-silver-zinc exploration program at the Mt. Hope Project, most of the historic data discussed here comes from historic reports and cannot be independently confirmed and lacks the modern standards of quality assurance and controls for samples and assays. Such data may not be relied upon for any evidence or likelihood of a mineral resource, mineral reserve or mineral deposit. The Skarn Area does not contain any mineral resource estimate as defined by Canada National Instrument 43- 101 (“NI 43-101”) or any proved or probable reserves as defined by the United States Securities and Exchange Industry Guide 7, nor is there any certainty that further exploration will result in any targets becoming part of a mineral resource or mineral reserve. Qualified Person’s Statement: The scientific and technical information as related specifically to the copper-silver-zinc exploration program was reviewed by John M. Marek, President of Independent Mining Consultants, Tucson, Arizona. Mr. Marek is a “qualified person” as defined by NI 43-101. He is a Licensed Professional Engineer, and a Registered Member of the Society of Mining, Metallurgy & Exploration. Mr. Marek has more than 40 years of minerals industry experience that is relevant to the evaluation of the style and nature of mineralization described herein.
GMO
NYSE AMER & TSX
General Moly Contacts
Headquarters Lakewood, Colorado (303) 928-8599 www.generalmoly.com 34
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Bruce D. Hansen Chief Executive Officer bhansen@generalmoly.com Robert Pennington Chief Operating Officer rpennington@ generalmoly.com