November 2017
PIRAEUS BANK GROUP
PRESENTATION
BASED ON Q3.18 FINANCIAL RESULTS
PRESENTATION BASED ON Q3.18 FINANCIAL RESULTS November 2017 TABLE - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
PIRAEUS BANK GROUP PRESENTATION BASED ON Q3.18 FINANCIAL RESULTS November 2017 TABLE OF CONTENTS 01 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 02 PLAN 2021 03 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE 04 ASSET QUALITY 05 LIQUIDITY 06 APPENDIX 01 . EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 01 1.1 GREEK ECONOMY
November 2017
BASED ON Q3.18 FINANCIAL RESULTS
01 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 02 PLAN 2021 03 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE 04 ASSET QUALITY 05 LIQUIDITY 06 APPENDIX
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
4
1.1 GREEK ECONOMY OUTLOOK
2.0 2.2
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16 Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 2018 2019 QoQ % change YoY % change
Real GDP Returns to Growth Trajectory (2017: +1.5%, 9Μ.18: +2.1%) Unemployment Rate Fallen Significantly (2017: 21.5%) Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) & Manufacturing PMI Point to Improving GDP Dynamics
19.0 16.9
5 10 15 20 25 30 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Unemployment Rate
2018-2019
2016 €56bn 2017 €60bn 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Exports of goods and services Long term average
Exports Improve Notably
2018-2019
30 35 40 45 50 55 60 Q2.04 Q4.04 Q2.05 Q4.05 Q2.06 Q4.06 Q2.07 Q4.07 Q2.08 Q4.08 Q2.09 Q4.09 Q2.10 Q4.10 Q2.11 Q4.11 Q2.12 Q4.12 Q2.13 Q4.13 Q2.14 Q4.14 Q2.15 Q4.15 Q2.16 Q4.16 Q2.17 Q4.17 Q2.18 Q4.18 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 Economic Sentiment Indicator (left axis) PMI Manufacturing (right axis) €48.2bn in 9M.18 (vs €44.5bn in 9M.17)
End of Restructuring Plan
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
5
1.2 PIRAEUS BANK RECENT DEVELOPMENTS
Significant Progress on Capital Enhancement Plan Actions
Enhancing NPE Sales New Loan Demand Deposits New NPE Plan
and €3.6bn yoy
controls, with no limit on cash withdrawals and facilitation of business transactions as of early Oct.18
a cumulative decrease of €14bn vs Sep.18
recently, intending to support the Greek NPEs de-risking at a systemic level
specific sectors geared to growth and exports
Oct.18 (€1.8bn GBV in total)
(€1.4bn GBV in total): Project Nemo (non-binding
Project Iris regarding consumer, small business loans
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
6
1.3 GROUP FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
SHs profit in Q3
in Greece
NPEs yoy
recurring net profit in 9M
7
1.4 GROUP BALANCE SHEET
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Group, €bn
Dec.17 Jun.18 Sep.18 Assets (1) 67.4 56.8 56.9 Gross Loans (2) 60.3 53.7 52.8 Net Loans (2) 44.7 39.4 38.9 Loan Loss Reserves (2) 15.5 14.4 13.9 Customer Deposits (2) 42.7 42.1 42.9 Eurosystem Funding 9.7 1.8 2.0
91% LDR
enhanced liquidity profile
ELA
eliminated in mid-July 2018
26%
LLRs over loans
€3.1bn
new loan generation budgeted for 2018 (achieved)
(1) Assets of Sep.18 & Jun.18 vs. Dec.17 exclude completed sales (Avis, Serbia, Romania), αs well as planned divestments (Albania, Bulgaria, agreed NPE sales) (2) Gross loans, net loans, loan loss reserves and customer deposits of Sep.18 & Jun.18 exclude operations in Bulgaria and Albania, which as of Q2.18 were classified as discontinued operations
8
1.5 SELECTED GROUP BALANCE SHEET ITEMS DEVELOPMENT
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Assets (€bn) Loan Loss Reserves (€bn) Gross Loans (€bn) Deposits (€bn)
60.3
52.8
Dec.17 Disc Operations Seasonal Agri Loan Sales Write-offs 9M Net delta Sep.18
15.5
+1.7
+0.5
13.9
Dec.17 IFRS9 FTA [loans] Sales Write-offs Cost
Other Sep.18
42.7
+0.8 +1.5 +0.2
42.9
Dec.17 Disc Operations Seasonal Agri Loan Related State Deposits Household Deposits Business Deposits Sep.18
67.4
56.9
Dec.17 Disc Ops Seasonal Agri Loan Sales EFSF Bonds IFRS9 FTA 9M Net delta Sep.18 Note: in assets movement, discontinued operations delta includes Avis, Serbia, Romania, Albania, Bulgaria, and the 2 NPE sales portfolios. In the other items, this element includes Bulgaria and Albania, which were classified as discontinued during Q2.18
+€1.8bn
9M.17: -€1.6bn
9
1.6 GROUP OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Group (1), €mn
Q1.18 Q2.18 Q3.18 qoq Net Revenues | recurring 450 484 453 -6% Operating Expenses | recurring (242) (259) (244) -6% Pre Provision Income | recurring 208 225 210 -7% Loan Impairment (163) (149) (149) 0% Other Items (2) (17) (31) 6
(142) 6 43
(115) 51 110
22 20 64
(79) 24 94
(3) (309) (27)
54% C:I
unchanged qoq
57bps NFI
153bps CoR
in Q3
Note: assets adjusted for discontinued and held for sale operations
(1) P&L figures illustrated exclude the Group’s discontinued operations (2) Other Items line includes associates’ income & other impairments (3) Non Recurring Items include: for Q1.18, €143mn VES and staff costs related to FTEs who left the Bank [reported in OpEx] for Q2.18, €24mn loss [reported in other income], €5mn staff costs [reported in OpEx], reversal of loan impairment of €67mn from the sale of 2 NPE portfolios [reported in loan impairment] and €32mn loss [reported in other impairment] for Q3.18, €48mn extraordinary quality commission for past performance in our cooperation for general insurance business with international partner [reported in net fee income], €5mn staff costs [reported in OpEx] (4) Discontinued operations loss incorporates a negative amount of €139mn of FX reserves from Romania and Serbia, with no effect in equity capital, as it had affected it in the past
13.5 39.2 6.6
Gross Loans (parent level)
10
1.7 ASSET QUALITY TRACK RECORD & PROVISIONS
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 13.9 13.4
collateral provisions
37.7 35.8 32.9
28.5
Sep.15 peak Dec.16 Dec.17 ytd disc.ops Sep.18
Group NPE Development | €bn
On track with 2018 NPE
reduction target
Q3.18 ΝPE quarterly reduction
€5.2bn NPE reduction
in the last 12 months
€9.2bn NPE reduction
from Sep.15 peak
Coverage
96% 59.3
Loan Portfolio Supervisory Assessment | €bn Provisions Over The Past 2 Years | €bn
Individually assessed Collectively assessed
€52.7bn of loan portfolio (as of 30.09.17) has already been assessed
2.0 +2.0 +0.5 4.5
FY.17 IFRS9 FTA 9M.18 Total
11
1.8 NPE SALES IN THE PIPELINE
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Project Amoeba: €1.4bn gross book value
2018 and concluded near end of Oct. 18
Project Arctos: €0.4bn gross book value
Investments Capital s.r.o. in Jun. 2018 and concluded at the end of Oct.18
Project Nemo:
Project Iris:
small business loans, leasing exposures
Η2.18 H1.19
12
1.9 IMPROVED LIQUIDITY
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 36.1 39.3 40.9 41.4 41.9
42.7
49.5 Dec.14 Dec.15 Dec.16 Dec.17 Mar.18 Jun.18 Sep.18
Domestic Deposits | €bn Wholesale Funding | €bn
14 16 9 4 4 2 2 17 12 6 2 8 2 2 2 3 2 Dec.14 Dec.15 Dec.16 Dec.17 Mar.18 Jun.18 Sep.18
Repos ELA ECB
Rating in late Aug, widening ECB eligible collateral
23 34 21 11 8 5 4
13
1.10 GROUP CAPITAL ADEQUACY RATIOS
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
€ bn | % Sep.18 Sep.18 Sep.18 Sep.18 CET-1 Capital 6.7 4.9 6.7 4.9 RWAs 48.5 46.7 47.0 45.1 CET-1 ratio 13.7% 10.4% 14.2% 10.8%
CET-1 Ratio SREP Capital Requirement
track: 85% of internal capital generating actions already concluded (as of late Nov.18)
and pro-forma level, improved in Q3 by c.20bps on the back of the ongoing execution of the internal capital plan
% 2018 Pillar 1 CET1 4.50% Pillar 2 Requirement (P2R) 3.75% AT1 1.50% T2 2.00% Total SREP Capital Requirement (TSCR) 11.75% Conservation buffer (CB) 1.875% Overall Capital Requirement (OCR) 13.625%
Note: ratios adjusted for RWA relief from the capital plan actions, i.e. the sale of the 2 NPE portfolios (Amoeba, Arctos), Albania, Bulgaria divestment and other stakes disposal (€1.6bn in total)
Phased-In Fully Loaded Phased-In Fully Loaded reported pro-forma 2018 CET-1 4.50% 3.75% 1.875% 10.125%
1.11 CAPITAL ENHANCEMENT PLAN UNDER WAY
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
14
its capital strengthening plan
clean-up & IFRS9 first time adoption), Piraeus is now focusing on accelerated balance sheet de- risking to facilitate the execution of its plan
regards to the issuance of a Tier2 Bond Action Time Status RWAs Relief
>> Avis [operating leasing company] Q1.18 ~€0.2bn >> Serbia [banking subsidiary] Q2.18 ~€0.3bn >> Romania [banking subsidiary] Q2.18 ~€0.6bn >> Amoeba [secured NPL portfolio] Q2.18 ~€0.4bn >> Arctos [unsecured NPL portfolio] Q2.18 ~€0.1bn RWAs Impact | Sub-total ~€1.6bn
>> Albania [banking subsidiary] Q3.18 ~€0.4bn >> Bulgaria [banking subsidiary] Q4.18 ~€0.7bn >> Other de-risking actions Q4.18 ~€0.3bn RWAs Impact | Sub-total ~€1.3bn
>> Other de-risking actions Q4.18 ~€0.7bn Total ~€3.6bn
PIRAEUS GROUP
1,045 278 1,412 (745) 667 (461) 35 (339) 2.45% 0.54% 54% 1.58% 0.3% 82%
PLU
213 10 233 (153) 80 (360) (226) (339) 1.48% 0.07% 66% 2.75% <0% 90%
PIRAEUS CORE BANK
832 268 1,179 (592) 586 (101) 261 2.95% 0.78% 52% 0.63% 1.2% 77%
15
1.12 PIRAEUS CORE BANK AND PIRAEUS LEGACY UNIT 9M.18
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY A. P&L (€mn)
1
NII
2
NFI
3
Net revenues
4
Operating costs (excl VES cost)
5
PPI (excl VES cost)
6
Impairments
7
Net Income - cont’d ops
8
Net Income - discont’d ops B. Ratios
9
NIM over assets
10
NF&CI over assets
11
Cost-to-income (excl VES cost)
12
Cost of risk (over net loans)
13
RoA (excl VES cost, cont. ops)
14
RWA density
*PLU includes RBU, international operations, REO, holdings, discontinued operations and non-core Greek subsidiaries Selected items appear on recurring basis, i.e. excl VES and related cost of €153mn, while ratios exclude bancassurance commission
74 75 130 100 200 300 400 Q1.18 Q2.18 Q3.18 FY.18e FY.19e 242 259 244 400 800 1,200 Q1.18 Q2.18 Q3.18 FY.18e FY.19e 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 Q1.18 Q2.18 Q3.18 FY.18e FY.19e 350 349 346 500 1,000 1,500 Q1.18 Q2.18 Q3.18 FY.18e FY.19e
16
1.13 GROUP PRE PROVISION INCOME DYNAMICS
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Loan Disbursements (€bn)
legacy book (Q3.18 5.2% vs. 3.4%), along with increasing loan generation
(Q3.18 0.42% vs. 0.44% in Q2)
back of bancassurance commission, cards business, farmers business, etc.
Greece >€200mn in 2018-2020 (actions of €96mn already taken). FY.18 c.-6% yoy est.
Operating Cost (€mn) Net Fee Income (€mn) Net Interest Income (€mn)
~€1.4bn ~€0.35bn ~€3.1bn ~€1.2bn >€3.5bn ~€0.35bn <€1.0bn €1.35-€1.4bn
bancassurance commission €48mn VES related cost €0.15bn
e: estimate
17
1.14 END OF RESTRUCTURING PLAN COMMITMENTS
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Status
# of branches in Greece # of employees in Greece
Target
max 650 max 13,200
Total costs in Greece
max €1.1 bn
Cost of deposits in Greece
Decrease according to Bank’s projections in the Restructuring Plan
Loans / deposits
max 115% for Greek banking activities
Annual growth rate of gross loans
Not higher than the market
Domestic cost rationalization Domestic operations
Support to foreign subsidiaries Deleverage of non-Greek assets
Equity or subordinated capital under specific limitations Total size of foreign assets
business >80% of 2012 Balance Sheet by year-end 2018
Sale of insurance activities
ATE Insurance & ATE Insurance Romania
Sale of securities
Listed │ Unlisted securities
International Divestments Status Target
(564 in Q3) (11.8k in Q3) (<€1.0bn)* (90% in Q3)
* estimate for the FY.18 excluding VES related costs and DGS costs
19
2.1 PIRAEUS BANK’S STRATEGIC FOCUS
| PLAN 2021
2019 - 2021 2017
Streamline of business to pave the way for continuing de-risking
Balance sheet optimisation and risk-adjusted returns
Significant strides forward in using our capital base to strengthen reserves
portfolio
2018
20
2.2 GROWTH & REAL ESTATE PRICES WILL SUPPORT COST OF RISK NORMALISATION
Source: BoG, Provisional data for H2.17 and H1.18
Macro Economic Outlook Piraeus Bank in Greece has c.€23bn of real estate assets as underlying collateral for loans, οf which half for its PLU portfolio Therefore, the real estate price recovery will gradually have a positive result in cost of risk for Piraeus Bank
+0.8 +7.4
Η1.09 Η2.09 Η1.10 Η2.10 Η1.11 Η2.11 Η1.12 Η2.12 Η1.13 Η2.13 Η1.14 Η2.14 Η1.15 Η2.15 Η1.16 Η2.16 Η1.17 Η2.17 H1.18
5 10
House Price Index yoy % Office Price index yoy %
Real Estate Prices Gradually Recover 2017a 2018e 2019f 2020f 2021f Real GDP 1.5% 2.0% 2.2% 2.4% 2.5% Unemployment rate 21.5% 19.5% 17.2% 15.3% 13.8% Inflation 1.1% 0.6% 0.9% 1.3% 1.7% Non-residential real estate 1.6% 5.5% 4.0% 3.6% 3.6% Residential real estate
1.7% 2.6% 3.2% 3.6%
a: actual; e: estimate; f: forecast Source: Piraeus Economic Research, baseline scenario
| PLAN 2021
House Prices +2.5 yoy in Q3.18
21
2.3 SEPARATE BUSINESS MODELS TO ENSURE VALUE CREATION
| PLAN 2021
€bn RWA ROA Dec.21 35.5 1.4% Sep.18 29.1 1.2% Jun.18 29.5 1.1% Mar.18 29.0 1.1% Dec.17 28.6 1.1% Sep.17 28.7 1.1% Jun.17 28.6 1.1% Mar.17 28.0 1.1%
€bn RWA ROA Dec.21 10.5 <0% Sep.18 19.4 <0% Jun.18 19.4 <0% Mar.18 21.2 <0% Dec.17 21.9 <0% Sep.17 23.7 <0% Jun.17 24.1 <0% Mar.17 25.2 <0% Efficiency & Risk-Adjusted Returns Decisive Actions on Legacy Issues
Business model Clean-up
23.2
19.8 16.5 14.2 10.3 8.0 Dec.16 Dec.17 Dec.18 Dec.19 Dec.20 Dec.21
3.4bn bn
3.3bn bn
33.8 31.4 26.3 22.1 16.6 13.3 Dec.16 Dec.17 Dec.18 Dec.19 Dec.20 Dec.21
4.2bn bn
5.5bn bn
3.2bn bn
22
2.4 NPE & NPL EVOLUTION AND TARGETS
2.4bn bn
NPEs | €bn NPLs | €bn
| PLAN 2021
5.1bn bn
2.2bn bn
3.9bn bn
2.3bn bn
€2.5bn mortgage securitisation €2.5bn mortgage securitisation *Bank data
23
| PLAN 2021
2.5 NPE DEFAULTS AND RE-DEFAULTS MATERIALLY REDUCED
(1.1) (0.7) (0.9) (0.9) (0.9) (0.9) (0.9) (0.9) (0.3) (0.7) (0.6) (0.5) (0.5) (0.2) (0.5) (0.2) (0.3) (0.5) (0.3) (0.2) (1.7) (0.1)
George Handjini colaou
(0.8) (0.4) (0.4) 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3
Re-defaults Defaults
Bank data, amounts in €bn
Curings, Collections, Liquidations Write-offs
NPEs €33.8 €33.3 €32.6 Q4.16 Q1.17 Q2.17
Required effort per quarter on average until Dec.2021
Q4.18 – Q4.21
Sales
Q3.17 €32.0 €31.4 Q4.17 Q1.18 €30.8 €28.3 Q2.18
clean-up Note: adjustment in Q2.18 related with the automated application of ‘Unlikely to Pay’ criteria as per ECB’s 2017 NPE Guidance (impact of one-off nature) 0.4 deep restructuring
Q3.18 €27.5
adjustment
0.2 0.2
€32.0
+€3.6
€27.5
NPE Sep.17 Inflows Curings, Collections Liquidations Write-offs Sales NPE Sep.18
24
2.6 CUMULATIVE NPE FLOW PER DRIVER | Q4.17 - Q4.21
Targeted 3.25 years |NPE Stock & Flows Sep.18 - Dec.21 | €bn
€27.5
+€5.7
€13.3
NPE Sep.18 Inflows Curings, Collections Liquidations Write-offs Sales NPE Dec.21
Outflows: €19.8
Actual for the past year |NPE Stock & Flows Sep.17 - Sep.18 | €bn
Outflows: €8.2
| PLAN 2021
*Bank data
deep restructuring
deep restructuring
25
| PLAN 2021
2.7 RESTRUCTURING VOLUMES & EXPECTED CURINGS
6.7 5.3 3.2 2.0 1.3
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Restructuring Volumes | €bn
12.0b 0bn
years is expected to bring results in terms of anticipated curings, while the associated provisions have been already reflected in the cost
back of the restructuring volumes executed in the past 2 years
reflected in curings going forward; yet cure rates improve significantly
Curings & Collections until 2021
(€bn)
Curings 5.1 Collections 3.1 Total 8.2
26
2.8 NPEs | HISTORICAL EVOLUTION, BREAKDOWN & TARGETS
| PLAN 2021
33.8 26.3 13.3
Dec.16 actual Dec.18 target Dec.21 target 24.0 17.4 9.4 6.2 6.1 2.0 3.6 2.8 1.9 Dec.16 actual Dec.18 target Dec.21 target (amounts in €bn)
Breakdown per: Product Bucket
Business Mortgages Consumer 14.5 13.3 6.9 8.7 3.1 1.1 10.6 9.9
5.3
Dec.16 actual Dec.18 target Dec.21 target Denounced NPL not denounced NPE 0-89 dpd
€4bn NPEs with 0dpd €8bn NPEs with 0dpd
Total Stock 6.2 7.0
collateral provisions
Coverage
99%
33.8 26.3 13.3 33.8 26.3 13.3
27
2.9 REAL ESTATE PORTFOLIO | EVOLUTION & TARGETS
| PLAN 2021 190 571 474 575 716 10 22 61 148 157
2014 2015 2016 2017 9M.18 Purchases Sales f: forecast, parent data €bn
2019f 2020f 2021f Total Opening Balance 1.2 1.3 1.4 Inflows +0.2 +0.3 +0.1 +0.7 Sales
End of period 1.3 1.4 1.3
REO Portfolio | Just €0.7bn Inflow For The 3-year Period
Piraeus REO holdings, concentrated in Attica & North Greece, jointly making up ~50% of the portfolio
Current Status
repossessions (2.2k residential, 1.6k commercial, 0.4k industrial, 1.4k plots)
Actions
brokerage agreements
6 auctions completed; last one in January 2019
Properties | Sales & Purchases (#)
PIRAEUS LEGACY UNIT Sep.18 Dec.2021f
22 12 19 10 1.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 66% 85% <0% <0% 90% 86% 28
2.10 PIRAEUS CORE BANK AND PIRAEUS LEGACY UNIT | 2021
| PLAN 2021
f: forecast
PIRAEUS CORE BANK Sep.18 Dec.2021f
38 57 29 35 2.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.8% 52% 40% 1.2% 1.4% 77% 63%
1 Assets 2 RWAs
3 NIM over assets 4 NF&CI over assets 5 Cost-to-income 6 RoA 7 RWA density
29
2.11 2021 HIGHLIGHTS
return on TBV
return on assets for Core Bank
| PLAN 2021
customer deposits
coverage 46%
coverage 77% from 60%
to >75% in 2021
30
2.12 FOCUS ON SUSTAINABILITY
| PLAN 2021
itself in the global investment community as a Bank that is aligned with the principles that focus on sustainability FTSE4Good Emerging Index CDP (former Carbon Disclosure Project) RobecoSAM Corporate Sustainability Assessment for the Dow Jones Sustainability Index ISS-oekom (former oekom Research) ISS Corporate Solutions Environmental & Social Quality Score MSCI ESG Research Other assessments Ethibel EXCELLENCE Investment Register EMAS
around the world launched the Principles for Responsible Banking for global public consultation, with Piraeus Bank being the only Greek Bank actively participating in developing the set of Principles
CRI (Corporate Responsibility Index)
*Environmental, social and governance
3.8 6.5 2.3 2.2 38.9 1.0 3.7 0.9 4.3 7.4 42.9 0.5 2.2 2.0 0.0
32
3.1 ASSETS & LIABILITIES OVERVIEW
| FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Other* Cash
Asset Mix
Total
Securities Net Loans Fixed Assets
59.3
amounts in €bn Total
ECB ELA Interbank Repos Deposits Total Equity Other
59.3
Funding Mix
Sep.18 Sep.18
Debt Securities
elimination, improved interbank market access and increasing customer deposits
back of covered bond pool ECB eligibility, partially transferred to Main Refinancing Operations, boosting NII
deposits
loans
(*) other includes “other assets” (€3.4bn), “goodwill & other intangible assets” (€0.3bn) and
“loans & advances to customers mandatorily at FV through P&L” (€0.1bn)
Interbank Loans DTA Disc’d Ops & Held for Sale
33
3.2 GROUP BALANCE SHEET: DE-RISKING AND LIQUIDITY IMPROVEMENT
| FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Group Balance Sheet (€mn) 3
Eurosystem funding at €2.0bn in Sep.18, down €10.0bn
1 2
Further customer deposit inflows of €0.8bn in Q3 drives loans-to-deposits ratio to 91% at the end of Sep.18 Q3.18 delta in gross loans reflects write-offs for clean- up and deep restructurings (€0.5bn) and NPE sales (€0.1bn), while net deleveraging stood at -€0.3bn
(€mn) Sep.17 Jun.18 Sep.18 qoq yoy Cash/Balances with Central Banks 3,215 864 854
143 1,019 1,009
61,035 53,749 52,788
(Loan Loss Reserves) (15,372) (14,368) (13,917)
Securities 7,179 2,968 3,661 23%
3,576 36 36
276 295 293
6% Fixed Assets 2,142 2,204 2,210 0% 3% Deferred Tax Assets 5,339 6,559 6,550 0% 23% Other Assets 3,231 3,472 3,484 0% 6% Assets of Disc. Ops. & Held for Sale 986 2,461 2,333
>100% Total Assets 68,174 59,222 59,264 0%
Due to Banks 14,374 5,559 4,720
41,822 42,102 42,886 2% 3% Debt Securities 65 531 530 0%
1,724 1,840 1,876 2% 9% Liabilities of Discontinued Ops 465 1,843 1,852 0%
58,450 51,875 51,864 0%
Total Equity 9,724 7,347 7,401 1%
Total Liabilities & Equity 68,174 59,222 59,264 0%
1 2 4 3
Quarterly increase in securities by €0.7bn, attributed to Greek T-Bills
4
34
3.3 GROUP P&L HIGHLIGHTS: STRONG PERFORMANCE IN COST CONTAINMENT ALONG WITH PROVISION NORMALISATION
| FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Group Profit & Loss (€mn)
9M.18 recurring OpEx decreased by 6% yoy, excluding the extraordinary cost associated with 2018 VES. Main driver for this trend has been the ‘cost reduction programme’ that started bearing fruits with the launch of VES in early 2018, as well as other actions aiming at administrative costs decline
1 2
NII performance for Q3.18 was flattish at €346mn compared to the previous quarter. NFI in Q3.18 includes €48mn extraordinary quality commission for past performance in our cooperation for general insurance business with our international partner 9M.18 loan impairment at €461mn against €832mn in 9M.17, following the increase in coverage levels post Q4.17 increased provisions and IFRS9 FTA
3 4
Q2.18 Q3.18 qoq 9M.17 9M.18 yoy Net Interest Income 349 346
1,244 1,045
Net Fee Income 75 130 74% 269 278 3% Core Banking Income 424 475 12% 1,513 1,324
Trading Income 17 15
74 44
Other Income 20 11
46 44
Total Net Revenues 460 501 9% 1,633 1,412
Total Net Revenues (recurring) 484 453
1,532 1,388
Employee Costs (125) (117)
(393) (502) 28% Employee Costs (recurring) (120) (112)
(393) (349)
Administrative Expenses (114) (106)
(326) (319)
Depreciation & Other (25) (26) 3% (71) (77) 9% Total Operating Costs (264) (249)
(789) (898) 14% Total Operating Costs (recurring) (259) (244)
(789) (745)
Pre Provision Income 196 253 29% 844 513
Pre Provision Income (recurring) 225 210
743 643
Result from Associates (16) 11
(13)
Impairment on Loans (149) (149) 0% (832) (461)
Impairment on Other Assets 20 (4)
7
51 110
46
(29) (17)
26 (10)
24 94
40
(2) (1)
(2) (4) 74% Discontinued Ops Result (310) (27)
(339)
2 4 3
9M.18 Group recurring PPI decreased -13% yoy, attributed mainly to the decline in net interest income as IFRS9 FTA had negative impact and partially offset by the progress in cost reduction and positive contribution of the increased net fee and commission income
Note: for Q1.17 €21mn were flagged as one-off, stemming from the sales of EFSF bonds to the Central Bank, for Q2.17 €45mn were flagged as one-off, stemming from the effect of the PICAR investment property/finance lease obligation remeasurement, for Q3.17 €35mn were flagged as one-off stemming from the persistency fee with NN, for Q2.18 €24mn loss and a reversal of loan impairment of €67mn from the sale of 2 NPE portfolios were flagged as one-off and for Q3.18 €48mn extraordinary quality commission for past performance in our cooperation for general insurance business with our international partner was flagged as one-off. In addition, VES and other extraordinary staff costs of €143mn, €5mn and €5mn were classified as one-off items in Q1.18, Q2.18 and Q3.18 respectively
35
3.4 NET INTEREST INCOME IMPACTED BY INCREASED PROVISIONS & DELEVERAGING
| FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
1 2
Interest income in Q3.18 remained flattish qoq NIM flattish qoq in Q3 at 2.43% ELA cost eliminated in mid July, while positive impact is accrued from covered bonds eligibility for ECB use post their investment grade rating assignment in late Aug.18 Q2.18 Q3.18 9M.17 9M.18 Fixed Income Securities 13 13 77 42 Net Loans 439 418 1,523 1,296 Other Assets 24 26 79 73 Interest Income 476 457 1,679 1,411 Customer Deposits 50 50 146 150 Due to Banks 18 12 122 44
4
18 Other Liabilities & Equity 59 50 168 172 Interest Expense 127 111 436 366
Net interest Income 349 346 1,244 1,045 NIM 1 2.46% 2.43% 2.76% 2.45%
Amoeba portfolios)
Net Interest Income Decomposition (€mn)
amounts in €mn
3
1,244
+70
9M.17 Impact from Higher Loan Provisions Loan Deleverage Bonds Funding Other 9M.18
1,045
36
3.5 DOMESTIC LOAN PORTFOLIO YIELDS: FRONT BOOK PRICING AT HIGHER LEVELS
| FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Q3.17 Q4.17 Q1.18 Q2.18 Q3.18
Deposits
0.45% 0.46% 0.46% 0.44% 0.42%
Sight
0.50% 0.55% 0.52% 0.51% 0.49%
Savings
0.08% 0.08% 0.07% 0.06% 0.05%
Time
0.78% 0.76% 0.75% 0.73% 0.70% avg 3m euribor
Loans
3.71% 3.64% 3.60% 3.52% 3.40%
Mortgages
2.18% 2.17% 2.15% 2.12% 2.03%
Consumer
7.30% 7.14% 6.84% 6.60% 6.46%
Business
4.01% 3.92% 3.90% 3.81% 3.69%
Actual rates shown above refer to total Greek banking operations, quarterly averages
Customer Rates: Time Deposit Rate Declines Further
Loan Rates
Q3.18 Total Stock Front Book Mortgages 2.0% 3.2% Consumer 6.5% 10.3% Business 3.7% 4.9% Total 3.4% 5.2%
Loan Rates: Front Book Rates Steadily Above Legacy Book
Q3.18 Business Loan Rates Total Stock Front Book
Corporate & SME 3.4% 4.7% SBL 5.7% 6.5% Total 3.7% 4.9%
37
3.6 UPGRADED OPERATING EFFICIENCY
1.6 1.3 1.1 ~0.9
re-invent the operational model of the Bank
Greece by >€200mn during period 2018-2020
Wholesale efficiency gains Retail efficiency gains
2016 2020
Effects of cost initiatives €bn, 2017-2020
2017
Cos
savings s of
more tha han €20 200m 0mn for
period 20 2018 18-202 020
2013
Reshape corporate functions Redesign core processes Procurement efficiency gains
| FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
€96mn actions taken & will kick off
€47mn admin costs relief €49mn staff costs relief
39
4.1 GROUP NPE & NPL RATIOS ON TRACK
| ASSET QUALITY
Note: NPE on balance sheet data
NPLs (€mn) Sep.18 Business 10,773 Mortgages 4,603 Consumer 2,283 TOTAL 17,659 NPLs (€mn) Sep.18 Greece 16,935 International 725 TOTAL 17,659
Group NPL Ratio per Product Category Group NPL Mix
33.1% 32.2% 30.9% 45.8% 33.5% 32.4% 31.5% 46.3%
Total Business Mortgages Consumer
Jun.18 Sep.18
NPEs (€mn) Sep.18 Business 19,361 Mortgages 6,322 Consumer 2,860 TOTAL 28,542 NPEs (€mn) Sep.18 Greece 27,646 International 897 TOTAL 28,542
Group NPE Ratio per Product Category Group NPE Mix
54.7% 59.4% 42.8% 57.7% 54.1% 58.3% 43.2% 58.0%
Total Business Mortgages Consumer
Jun.18 Sep.18
NPE mix 68% 22% 10% NPL mix 61% 26% 13%
40
4.2 SIZEABLE CURING POTENTIAL FROM FORBORNE LOANS UNDER PROBATION
| ASSET QUALITY
Note: NPE on-balance sheet data
(€bn) 0 dpd 1-89dpd NPLs NPEs Business 6.7 1.9 10.8 19.4 Mortgages 1.0 0.7 4.6 6.3 Consumer 0.3 0.3 2.3 2.9 TOTAL 8.0 2.9 17.7 28.5
NPEs per Bucket (Sep.18)
49% 51% 30% 71% 68% 79% 36% 79% 79% 92% 42% 90% Total Business Mortgages Consumer NPE NPE>0dpd NPL
Cash Coverage Ratio per Product and Status (Sep.18) Forborne Loans (Sep.18, €13.5bn)
NPEF 0dpd 46% NPEF 1-30dpd 9% NPEF 31-90dpd 8% NPEF >90dpd 11% PF 26%
€6.2bn forborne with 0dpd (€5.0bn business €1.2bn retail) Pace of NPE exits from curings to be accelerated as per 2021 NPE plan
NPΕ mix 28% 10% 62% 100%
[1] [2] [3] [1+2+3]
41
4.3 PRE WRITE-OFF FORMATION IN NEGATIVE TERRITORY IN Q3.18
| ASSET QUALITY
47
131 23 6
56 31 19
9
Q1.17 Q2.17 Q3.17 Q4.17 Q1.18 Q2.18 Q3.18 Q1.17 Q2.17 Q3.17 Q4.17 Q1.18 Q2.18 Q3.18 Q1.17 Q2.17 Q3.17 Q4.17 Q1.18 Q2.18 Q3.18
Greek NPE Formation by Segment |€mn
Business Mortgages Consumer NPE formation was negative in business and consumer loans in Q3.18, with business having a significant movement, while mortgages had slightly positive formation
NPE Greece | €mn
31,026
+398 28,508
27,646
Mar.18 NPE formation W/O clean-up Sales (NPE portion) Adjustment Jun.18 NPE formation W/O clean-up Sales (NPE portion) Sep.18 Note: total NPΕ write-offs €1,033mn in Q2 and €494 in Q3 incl deep restructurings
42 | ASSET QUALITY
4.4 SOLID COVERAGE IN ALL SEGMENTS
NPE Coverage Ratio per Product NPL Coverage Ratio per Product
Note: NPE on balance sheet data
LLRs (€mn) Sep.18 LLR/ Loans Business 9,954 30.0% Mortgages 1,919 13.1% Consumer 2,044 41.5% TOTAL 13,917 26.4% LLRs (€mn) Sep.18 LLR/ Loans Greece 13,443 26.0% International 474 43.1% TOTAL 13,917 26.4%
81% 95% 42% 91%
79% 92% 42% 90%
Total Business Mortgages Consumer Jun.18 Sep.18
Group LLRs at 26% Over Loans
NPL mix 61% 26% 13%
Cumulative provisions at 26% over Group gross loans Total NPE coverage ratio at 94% for business portfolio including collateral | Business NPEs are approximately 70% of total
49% 51% 31% 73%
49% 51% 30% 71%
Total Business Mortgages Consumer Jun.18 Sep.18 NPE mix 68% 22% 10%
71%
22%
Cash coverage Collateral coverage
43
4.5 CASH COVERAGE AUGMENTED BY COLLATERAL
| ASSET QUALITY
* pre-haircut tangible collateral (guarantees not included) capped at loan amount
90%
21%
Cash coverage Collateral coverage
Mortgages Business Consumer
51%
43%
Cash coverage Collateral coverage
Mortgages Business Total 133% Total 110% Total 110% Total 94% Total 101% Total 93%
Total NPE coverage at 96% Total NPL coverage at 124%
30%
70%
Cash coverage Collateral coverage
42%
68%
Cash coverage Collateral coverage
92%
40%
Cash coverage Collateral coverage
Consumer
44
4.6 LOAN PORTFOLIO DIVERSIFICATION
| ASSET QUALITY
2.8% 1.8% 2.5% 3.4% 4.3% 3.6% 3.6% 6.0% 7.0% 6.1% 10.5% 11.0% 9.3% 28.2% Other service activities Agriculture Transportation & Storage Electricity, Gas, Steam Shipping Real Estate Financial & Insurance Accommodation & Food Construction Other Wholesale & Retail Trade Manufacturing Consumer Mortgages
Loans: KPIs per Segment (Sep.18) Domestic Loan Composition (Sep.18, %)
in €mn | % TOTAL Business Mortgages Consumer GROUP Loans 52,788 33,233 14,627 4,928 NPL Ratio 33.5% 32.4% 31.5% 46.3% NPL Coverage 78.8% 92.4% 41.7% 89.5% NPE Ratio 54.1% 58.3% 43.2% 58.0% NPE Coverage 48.8% 51.4% 30.4% 71.5% in €mn | % TOTAL Business Mortgages Consumer GREECE Loans 51,687 32,310 14,574 4,803 NPL Ratio 32.8% 31.3% 31.5% 46.4% NPL Coverage 79.4% 94.3% 41.5% 89.6% NPE Ratio 53.5% 57.5% 43.2% 57.9% NPE Coverage 48.6% 51.4% 30.2% 71.8%
Retail 37.5%
45
4.7 AUCTIONS’ PROGRESS
| ASSET QUALITY
36% 56% 8%
completed non completed cancelled due to debtor request for restructuring
28 Feb.18 - 8 Feb.19
Property auctions 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
9 Jan - 8 Feb
# auctions carried
124 124 219 396 3,269
226
28 Feb.18. The measure affects all auctions, regardless of when a foreclosure notice was imposed
from auctions’ proceeds, provided that the following cumulative conditions are satisfied: i) new financing post 17.01.18, ii) with new underwriting/mortgage/or pledged collateral
46
4.8 PIRAEUS REO ONLINE PLATFORM PROGRESS
Piraeus Bank was the 1st Bank to launch the innovative site www.Properties4sale.gr, achieving the sale of REO assets through online & publicly accessible auctions
| ASSET QUALITY 1st Auction | 29 properties sold at 15% discount over market values 2nd Auction | 29 properties sold at 9% discount over market values 3rd Auction | 26 properties sold at 15% discount over market values
2017
4th Auction | 33 properties sold at 5% discount over market values Type Market Price (€mn) Bid Price (€mn) Delta 1st Auction 3.6 3.0
2nd Auction 7.2 6.6
3rd Auction 4.5 3.8
4th Auction 4.0 3.8
5th Auction 2.8 2.5
6th Auction 1.9 1.8
Total 24,1 21.4
>> Residential 16.85 15.07
>> Commercial 6.31 5.50
>> Land plots 0.90 0.86
Online Auctions | Results to Date 2017 2018 2019
1st Auction 2nd Auction 3rd Auction 4th Auction 5th Auction 6th Auction 27-28 Jun.17 24-25 Oct.17 13-14 Dec.17 20-21 Mar.18 20-21 Jun.18 9-10 Jan.19 # of properties 58 57 48 49 37 26 # of registered users ~2,900 ~5,000 >6,000 >8,500 >10,000 >12,000 # of properties that received bids 39 (67%) 41 (72%) 35 (73%) 37 (76%) 24 (65%) 13 (50%) # of bids from total bidders 196 (80 bidders) 230 (86 bidders) 196 (74 bidders) 206 (73 bidders) 136 (71 bidders) 99 (47 bidders) % of the assets with approved bids 50% (29 properties) 51% (29 properties) 54% (26 properties) 67% (33 properties) 59% (22 properties) 62% (16 properties) # of properties @“Buy Now” 9/39 13/41 6/35 13/37 4/24 6/26
2018
5th Auction | 22 properties sold at 13% discount over market values 6th Auction | 16 properties sold at 7% discount over market values
2019
47
4.9 MORE THAN 45% OF PERSONAL BANKRUPTCY CASES ARE REJECTED IN COURT
| ASSET QUALITY
Retail Loan Balances Under the Protection of L.3869/2010 (bankruptcy law for individuals) - all classified as NPEs
Secured Loans Unsecured Total Secured & Unsecured in €mn | September 2018 Total Mortgages Consumer Total Total 2,514 2,354 160 854 3,368
872 832 40 297 1,169
464 443 21 152 616
408 389 19 145 553 % of court decisions in favor of Bank 47% 47% 48% 49% 47%
47% of €1,169mn of cases that had been filed and were dealt by the courts, have been rejected [data up to Sep.2018] Rejected cases of €553mn [data up to Sep.2018] will be repaid at par from the customer, as the court decided that they have the “ability” to repay the debt in full Filings that are deemed by the court as eligible for protection can regulate their debts in line with their income and a combination of 3 debt settlement plans are usually foreseen:
such exists; these are calculated based on 80% of such property’s Objective value according to Greek General Secretariat for Public Property (Commercial Value can be used also if requested by the Bank or the Client)
48
4.10 AMENDMENTS IN LEGAL FRAMEWORK WILL DRIVE FURTHER ACCELERATION OF NPE/NPL DELEVERAGE
Changes Introduced in 2014 - 2016
the commercial value). Significant reduction of relevant cost for the banks (c.20%)
participate in the consolidation process which has a maximum duration of 12 months
should comply with the “no creditor worse off” principle
Pool B (family with 2 kids): property taxable value <€260k and income <€35k. In order to ensure a residence protection, the debtor must submit a payment plan for all his/her creditors
with an objective value of the property up to €140k, for which the liberalization will enter in force on 01.01.18
Changes Introduced in 2017
all participants as necessary for the sustainability of the debtor’s business. The OCW aims to accelerate the NPL deleverage effort and tackle the category of strategic defaulters
(a) provisions to ensure that there is no civil or criminal liability of credit or financial institutions and public sector officials, when involved in debt restructuring, provided that such restructuring is in compliance with a set of objective criteria (indemnity) (b) amendments to the legal framework for the licensing and operating of banking receivables’ servicing platforms with the purpose to simplify the process and documentation required and (c) an amendment to the Greek Code of Civil Procedure will enable the electronic auctions for foreclosed properties so as to avoid disruptions in the auction procedures by activists
Changes Introduced in 2018
financing post 17.01.2018, ii) with new underwriting/mortgage/or pledged collateral of 1st class and iii) this collateral is auctioned
already made ii) automatic exemption from the provisions of the law in case of no compliance of the payments set by the courts (through temporary and final rulings)
| ASSET QUALITY
5.1 GREEK MARKET LIQUIDITY GRADUALLY RESTORED
| LIQUIDITY
50
100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Deposits Loans
40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140%
2009 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2018
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
2009 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2018
ELA ECB Eurosystem at €12bn in Nov.18 (ELA €3bn, ECB €9bn), -€114bn vs. Jun.15 peak
Eurosystem Funding (€bn) Deposits & Βanknotes in Circulation (€bn)
Banknotes at €32bn in Nov.18,
€3 €9 €130 €42
10 20 30 40 50 60
2009 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2018
100 150 200 250 300
Deposits Currency in Circulation
€32 €152
Net Loans to Deposits Ratio (%) Loans & Deposit Balances (private sector,€bn)
LDR at 95% in Dec.18,
Deposits up €8bn in Dec.18 yoy Loans down €14bn yoy in Dec.18, o/w €11bn write-offs
€170 €135 95%
Source: Bank of Greece; on top of write-offs, the loan market has been impacted by c.€1.5bn FX fluctuations and other adjustments yoy
51
5.2 DOMESTIC DEPOSITS PICKING UP
| LIQUIDITY
36.1
+0.4 +0.9 +2.9 39.3
+0.2 +0.9 +1.8 40.9 +0.5 +0.5 +0.8 42.7
Dec.15 Δ Q1.16 Δ Q2.16 Δ Q3.16 Δ Q4.16 Dec.16 Δ Q1.17 Δ Q2.17 Δ Q3.17 Δ Q4.17 Dec.17 Δ Q1.18 Δ Q2.18 Δ Q3.18 Sep.18 27% 23%
73% 77%
Sep.18 Sep.18 Business Retail
39% 40% 61% 60%
Sep.18 Sep.18 Time deposits Savings-Sight deposits
Domestic Deposit Mix (%) Deposit Movement by Segment (€bn)
Greek market Piraeus - Greece Greek market Piraeus - Greece
Customer Deposit Movement in Greece (€bn)
Piraeus FY.17 delta Q1.18 delta Q2.18 delta Q3.18 delta Sep.18 balance Mass|Farmers +0.5
15.5 Affluent|Private Banking +0.7 +0.3 +0.2 +0.1 14.4 SB +0.4
+0.2 3.8 SME +0.1
+0.1 1.1 Corporate +0.1
+0.1 +0.1 2.4 Govt & Other
+0.8
+0.2 5.6 Total +1.6 +0.5 +0.5 +0.8 42.7
52
5.3 EUROSYSTEM FUNDING UTILISATION DROPS FURTHER
| LIQUIDITY
Dec.14 Dec.15 Dec.16 Dec.17 Mar.18 Jun.18 Sep.18 ECB 14.1 16.0 9.0 4.0 4.0 1.5 2.0 EFSF|ESM Bonds 5.7 15.3 7.3 1.5
1.0
1.0 1.0 0.9
6.8
Other 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.5 3.0 0.6 0.5 ELA
11.9 5.7 2.1 0.3
11.9 5.7 2.1 0.3
14.1 32.7 20.9 9.7 6.1 1.8 2.0
Eurosystem Funding (€bn)
14.9 15.1 14.6 16.0 14.4 12.4 11.1 9.0 4.5 5.5 4.2 4.0 4.0
1.5
2.0 15.4 22.2 21.2 16.7 16.1 14.4 12.7 11.9 11.0 10.3 7.8 5.7 2.1 0.3
10.0 14.1 30.3 37.3 35.8 32.7 30.4 26.8 23.8 20.9 15.5 15.8 12.0 9.7 6.1 1.8 2.0
Sep.14 Dec.14Mar.15 Jun.15 Sep.15 Dec.15Mar.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Dec.16Mar.17 Jun.17 Sep.17 Dec.17Mar.18 Jun.18 Sep.18
ELA ECB
Collateral Used for Eurosystem Funding - Cash Values (€bn) ELA Utilisation & Buffer
1 2 ELA eliminated in 12 July 2018 ELA collateral buffer estimated at €13bn, based on existing collateral valuation and haircuts
54 | APPENDIX
6.1 OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE KPIs 9M.18
Progress in all fronts of operational performance; negative impact on NII due to IFRS9, yet stabilization post that
FY.16 91%
LDR ELA NPE
Recurring
RoA NIM NFI CoR Staff
(GR)
€28.5bn 564 12,262 245bps 54bps €1.0bn* 158bps 0.3% 117% €11.9bn €35.8bn 660 14,492 275bps 49bps €1.2bn 222bps losses
*annualised excluding voluntary exit scheme costs
OPEX
(GR)
Branches
(GR)
55 | APPENDIX
6.2 GROUP RESULTS | QUARTERLY EVOLUTION
(€mn) Q3.17 Q4.17 Q1.18 Q2.18 Q3.18 Net Interest Income 411 388 350 349 346 Net Fee Income 120 82 74 75 130 Trading & Other Income 24
26 36 26 Total Net Revenues 555 468 450 460 501 Total Net Revenues (recurring) 520 468 450 484 453 Employee Costs (128) (153) (259) (125) (117) Employee Costs (recurring) (128) (137) (116) (120) (112) Administrative Expenses (111) (149) (100) (114) (106) Depreciation & Other (24) (28) (27) (25) (26) Total Operating Costs (263) (329) (386) (264) (249) Total Operating Costs (recurring) (263) (313) (242) (259) (244) Pre Provision Income 291 139 64 196 253 Pre Provision Income (recurring) 256 155 208 225 210 Result from Associates 4 (8) (8) (16) 11 Impairment on Loans (310) (1,189) (163) (149) (149) Impairment on Other Assets (7) (118) (8) 20 (4) Pre Tax Result (21) (1,176) (115) 51 110 Tax 2 1,181 35 (29) (17) Net Result Attrib. to SHs (18) 6 (79) 24 94 Minorities Attrib. to SHs (1) (2) (1) (2) (1) Discontinued Operations Result 5 (119) (3) (310) (27)
56 | APPENDIX
6.3 LOAN & DEPOSIT PORTFOLIOS
Gross Loans Evolution (€mn)
Dec.16 Sep.17 Dec.17 Jun.18 Sep.18 qoq yoy Group 64,947 61,035 58,627 53,749 52,788
Business 42,511 39,645 37,962 34,057 33,233
Mortgages 16,162 15,507 15,183 14,757 14,627
Consumer 6,274 5,883 5,482 4,934 4,928 0%
Greece 61,296 57,936 56,597 52,623 51,687
Business 39,792 37,312 36,317 33,113 32,310
Mortgages 15,707 15,143 14,973 14,700 14,574
Consumer 5,797 5,480 5,307 4,809 4,803 0%
Int’l 3,650 3,099 2,030 1,126 1,101
Business 2,719 2,333 1,645 944 922
Mortgages 455 364 210 57 53
Consumer 476 402 175 125 125 0%
Deposits Evolution (€mn)
Dec.16 Sep.17 Dec.17 Jun.18 Sep.18 qoq yoy Group 42,365 41,822 42,715 42,102 42,886 2% 3% Savings 14,995 14,285 15,134 14,430 14,496 0% 1% Sight 11,190 11,372 11,682 10,851 11,245 4%
Time 16,179 16,165 15,900 16,821 17,146 2% 6% Greece 39,322 39,075 40,889 41,903 42,687 2% 9% Savings 14,613 13,697 14,825 14,415 14,481 0% 4% Sight 10,536 10,592 11,125 10,765 11,157 4% 5% Time 14,172 14,516 14,938 16,723 17,048 2% 17% Int’l 3,043 2,746 1,826 199 200 0%
Savings 382 318 309 15 15
Sight 654 780 556 86 87 2%
Time 2,007 1,649 961 98 98
Notes: loan balances exclude seasonal agri-loan of €1.7bn and €1.6bn for Dec.16 and Dec.17 respectively; Serbian operations excluded from Jun.17 onwards, Piraeus Bank Romania from Dec.17 onwards, Piraeus Bank Bulgaria and Tirana Bank from Jun.18 onwards
57 | APPENDIX
6.4 IFRS9 SEGMENT & STAGE ANALYSIS | GROUP
impact
Loans (€bn) Dec.171 Mar.18 Jun.18 Sep.18 Δ Stage 1 19.2 18.9 18.6 18.4
Stage 2 6.9 7.0 5.9 5.9 0.0 Stage 3 32.3 31.8 29.3 28.5
Total 58.4 57.7 53.7 52.8
Coverage (%) Sep.18 Mortgages Consumer Business Total Stage 1 0% 2% 1% 1% Stage 2 6% 17% 8% 8% Stage 3 28% 66% 50% 47% Total 13% 41% 30% 26%
47% 47% 49%
49%
Jun.17 Dec.17 Jun.18 IFRS 9 Sep.18 IFRS 9
NPE Coverage Evolution (%)
(1) excluding seasonal loan to farmers (€1.6bn). Loans for all periods exclude balances accounted for at fair value through P&L
IAS 39
58
6.5 CAPITAL CONTROLS UPDATE: FURTHER RELAXATION AS OF OCT.18
Cash Withdrawal Limit
(applicable from 01.10.2018)
performed abroad Purchase of Greek Mutual Funds
New Account Opening
Greek Capital Market Instruments
Additional Account Beneficiary
Foreign Investments Liquidation
Transfers from abroad
Change of Custodian Bank
Outgoing Wire Transfers abroad
(applicable from 01.07.2018) Trade Related Payments
(applicable from 18.10.18)
Approval Committee (applicable from 18.10.18) Time Deposit Break
Early Loan Repayment
27 ministerial decisions since imposition of Capital Controls, indicating a gradual relaxation of the relative framework
| APPENDIX
59
6.6 CONTINGENT CONVERTIBLE BONDS
| APPENDIX
Term & Ranking Payment of interest Perpetual Pari passu with common equity, junior to all claims of all creditors (including subordinated) at special liquidation of issuer Annual Fully discretionary & Paid in cash or shares Coupon is tax deductible, impacting directly equity position as dividend No dividend shall be paid on the issuer’s common stock if issuer has decided not to pay the previous coupon payment in full Coupon Initial 7 years 8% per annum (initial interest rate). Post 7 years, interest rate calculated as prevailing 7y Mid-swap rate + (8% less 7y Mid-swap rate at issuance: 7.543 per cent, p.a.) Conversion events The securities shall automatically convert into ordinary shares if:
Optional to the holder at 7th anniversary of issuance Conversion consideration The number of common shares issued on conversion is determined as 116% of the nominal amount of the outstanding securities divided by the conversion price which shall be equal to the offer price subject to market standard adjustments in the event of certain corporate actions Option to repay The issuer may, in its sole discretion, repay all or some only of the bonds at any time subject to approval by the ECB acting within the framework of SSM, at their initial nominal amount plus any interest accrued but unpaid, unless cancelled Applicable law Greek law Basel III Classification Classified as Common Equity Tier 1 Transferability Transferable by HFSF to another holder with the consent of the issuer and the regulator, per Art. 7(5)(b) of the HFSF Law Issue Size €2,040,000,000
8,208 9,076 9,479
12,262
21% 21% 26%
30%
18% 22% 28%
29%
60 | APPENDIX
6.7 PIRAEUS BANK LEADING POSITION IN GREECE | Q3.18
Gross Loans – Greece (%) Customer Deposits – Greece (%) Greek Branch Network (#)
Source: Bank of Greece for Greek market data and financial information for banks, as of Sep.18
Headcount – Greece (#)
350 457 483
564
61 | APPENDIX
6.8 PIRAEUS BANK HIGH CUSTOMER SCORE
24% 45% 25% 4%1% Excellent Very Good Good Moderate Poor
Overall Experience
Q.: Having in mind your banking experience with Piraeus Bank, how would you rate it overall?
Preference Score
Q.: How strongly do you prefer Piraeus Bank to any other bank?
Sample size n=15.3k customers TRI*M Index 93 75
84
18% 27% 43% 8% 3% 2% Extremely Very Strongly Strongly Moderately At all N/A
TRI*M Index Benchmarks - Banking Top-10% Index 94 Top-33% Index 81 TRI*M Index Mean 74 Bottom-33% Index 68 Bottom-10% Index 56
Source: TNS normative database, Europe, 536k interviews among retail bank customers (Y2013-Y2016)
2016: 92 2016: 72 2016: 82
The customer retention index TRI*M (Measuring, Managing and Monitoring) shows the strength of relationship between the customer and the Bank, taking into account their overall experience with and their preference to the Bank.
Customer Satisfaction Survey
62 | APPENDIX
6.9 ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE
Note: BoD committees, apart from those illustrated, are Strategy Committee, Remuneration Committee, Board Members’ Nominations Committee Last Update: 31 Jan. 2019
63 | APPENDIX
6.10 BOARD OF DIRECTORS
Chairperson
Chair of the Audit Committee, Member of the: Risk Management Committee, Board Members’ Nominations Committee, Remuneration Committee, Strategy Committee, Ethics Committee
Zachodny Bank) Chair of the Remuneration Committee, Chair of the Nominations Committee, Member of the Strategy Committee, of the Risk Management Committee and of the Ethics Committee
Arne Berggren David Hexter
Non Executive Chairman Chair of the Strategy Committee, Chair of the Ethics Committee
Kleinwort Benson, Bank of America Merrill Lynch and UBS in London and New York
George Handjinicolaou
Member of the: Audit Committee, Board Members’ Nominations Committee, Remuneration Committee, Strategy Committee, Ethics Committee
EnricoTommasoCucchiani
Managing Director (CEO) Chair of the Executive Committee, Member of the Ethics Committee Former CEO of Eurobank Ergasias SA, Vice-Chairman of Southern Europe of Credit Suisse Investment Banking, Distinguished Fellow (Global Federation of Competitiveness Councils)
Christos Megalou Executive Members
Executive General Manager, Piraeus Legacy Unit Member of the Executive Committee, Member of the Ethics Committee Former CEO of Eurobank Romania (BancPost), former CEO of 4Finance
George Georgakopoulos Independent Non Executive Members
Vice Chairman Chair of the Risk Management Committee, Vice-Chairman of the Ethics Committee, Member of the Audit Committee, Strategy Committee Former CEO at Dexia and Fortis Group, Former Vice Chair of ABN AMRO Holdings (UK) Ltd
Karel De Boeck
Member of the Ethics Committee
Venetia Kontogouris Non Executive Members
Member of the: Risk Management Committee, Audit Committee, Board Members’ Nomination Committee, Remuneration Committee, Ethics Committee CEO of Tiresias SA, Group Risk Director at Eurobank
Solomon Berahas
Member of the: Risk Management Committee, Remuneration Committee, Board Members’ Nomination Committee, Strategy Committee, Ethics Committee Partner at Paulson & Co. Inc
Alexander Blades
HFSF Representative, Member of the: Risk Management Committee, Audit Committee, Board Members’ Nomination Committee, Remuneration Committee, Strategy Committee, Ethics Committee
Per Anders Fasth
64 | GLOSSARY
GLOSSARY | DEFINITIONS OF ALTERNATIVE PERFORMANCE MEASURES
1 NII Net Interest Income 2 DTAs Deferred Tax Assets 3 PPA adjustment Purchase price allocation (PPA) adjustments relating to the acquisition of the seven banks [i.e. former ATEbank, the Greek banking operations of Cypriot Banks in Greece (Bank of Cyprus, Cyprus Popular Bank, Hellenic Bank), Millennium Bank S.A., Geniki Bank S.A. and Panellinia Bank S.A.] amounting to €4.0bn at the end of Q3.2018, €4.6bn at the end of Q2.2018 and to €5.8bn at the end of 2017 4 Gross Loans before Impairments & Adjustments Loans and advances to customers before allowances for impairments on loan losses gross of PPA adjustments 5 Net Loans Loans and advances to customers 6 Net Loans to Deposits Ratio (LDR) Net loans over deposits due to customers 7 Core Banking Income or NII+NFI Net interest income plus net fee and commission income 8 Non Recurring (One-off) Items
Voluntary Exit Scheme and other extraordinary staff costs were classified as one-off, (“VES One-Off”).
finance lease obligation of Picar S.A off-set by the loss on the remeasurement of the City Link investment property at fair value was classified as one-off, “(Picar One-Off”). 9 Pre Provision Income (PPI) Total net income less total operating expenses excluding one-off items. The relevant amount corresponds to “Profit before provisions, impairments and income tax” excluding the one-off items as per item # 8 10 Cost to Income Ratio (C:I) Total operating expenses before provisions over total net income excluding one-off items 11 RWA density Risk Weighted Assets over Adjusted Total Assets
65 | GLOSSARY
GLOSSARY | DEFINITIONS OF ALTERNATIVE PERFORMANCE MEASURES (cont’d)
12 CET1 Capital Ratio on Pro-forma Basis CET1 capital ratio taking into account RWA relief for the divestments of Piraeus Bank Bulgaria and Albania and
13 IFRS 9, First Time Adoption (FTA) The final impact on regulatory capital (fully loaded) from first time adoption of IFRS 9 on 1 January 2018, of approximately €2.0 billion 14 Adjusted total assets Total assets excluding assets amounting to: 1) €2.3bn in September 2018 of discontinued operations in Albania and Bulgaria and two NPE sales (Amoeba and Arctos) 2) €2.5bn in June 2018 consisting of the same items 3) €3.8bn in March 2018 consisting of the same assets plus discontinued operations in Romania. 15 Net Interest Margin (NIM) Net interest income over adjusted total assets. 16 Net Fee Income over Assets Net fee and commission income over adjusted total assets 17 Net Revenues Total Net Income 18 NPLs - Non Performing Loans Loans and advances to customers in arrears over 90 days past due gross of PPA adjustments 19 NPEs - Non Performing Exposures On balance sheet credit exposures before allowances for impairments on loan losses gross of PPA adjustments that are: (a) past due over 90 days; (b) impaired or those which the debtor is deemed as unlikely to repay its obligations in full without liquidating collateral, regardless of the existence of any past due amount or the number of past due days; (c) forborne and still within the probation period under EBA rules; (d) subject to contagion from (a) under EBA rules and other unlikely to pay (UTP) criteria 20 NPL Ratio Non-performing loans over gross loans before impairments & adjustments 21 NPE Ratio Non-performing exposure over gross loans before impairments & adjustments
66 | GLOSSARY
GLOSSARY | DEFINITIONS OF ALTERNATIVE PERFORMANCE MEASURES (cont’d)
22 NPL (Cash) Coverage Ratio Allowances for impairment on loan losses gross of PPA adjustments over Non-Performing Loans 23 NPE (Cash) Coverage Ratio Allowances for impairment on loan losses gross of PPA adjustments over Non-Performing Exposures 24 NPE Formation Change of the stock of adjusted NPEs adding back write-downs or other adjustments i.e. loan sales or debt to equity transactions over loans and advances to customers before allowances for impairment on loan losses 25 NPL Formation Change of the stock of adjusted NPLs adding back write-downs or other adjustments i.e. loan sales or debt to equity transactions over loans and advances to customers before allowances for impairment on loan losses 26 Net Fee Income (NFI or NF+CI) Net fee and commission income 27 Cost of Risk (CoR) Allowances for impairment on loans and advances to customers over net loans 28 Return on Assets (RoA) Profit / (loss) for the period over adjusted total assets 29 Net Results or Net Profit Profit / (loss) for the period attributable to equity holders of the parent 30 Cumulative provisions (Loan loss reserves – LLR) Allowance for impairment on loans and advances to customers gross of PPA adjustment 31 Cumulative provisions (LLRs) over gross loans Cumulative provisions for loans and advances to customers over gross loans before impairments and adjustments 32 Operating Expenses (OpEx) Total operating expenses before provisions 33 Deposits or Customer Deposits Due to customers
67 | GLOSSARY
GLOSSARY | DEFINITIONS OF ALTERNATIVE PERFORMANCE MEASURES (cont’d)
34 Loan impairment charges (Provision Expenses) Impairment losses on loans and advances to customers 35 Pre Tax Results Profit / (loss) before income tax 36 New Loan Generation New loan disbursements that were realized after previous end period 37 Customers Number of customers both individuals and legal entities with a banking relationship (account) with Piraeus Bank 38 Cross Selling Ratio Total product groups over total number of customers 39 G&A Costs Administrative expenses 40 DTC Deferred tax credit 41 PPE Property and equipment plus investment property 42 Tangible Book Value Equity minus value of cocos (€ 2,040 mn) minus goodwill and intangibles (€ 293 mn) 43 FTEs Full time employees
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us, and if any one or more of these assumptions turn out to be incorrect, actual market results may differ significantly. While we do not know what impact any such differences may have on our business, if there are such differences, our future results of operations and financial condition, could be materially adversely affected. You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. Forward- looking statements speak only as of the date on which such statements are made. The Bank expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to disseminate any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which such statement is made, or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
DISCLAIMER
Investor Relations Contacts
Chryssanthi Berbati Antonis Sagris Xenofon Damalas, CFA Αmalia Missailidi George Doukas
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COMMUNICATION
4 Amerikis St., 105 64 Athens
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Latest update: 11 February 2019
PIRAEUS BANK GROUP HEADQUARTERS
4, Amerikis Str., 105 64 Athens, Greece, T. +30 210 333 5026 www.piraeusbankgroup.com
PIRAEUS BANK GROUP HEADQUARTERS
4, Amerikis Str., 105 64 Athens, Greece, T. +30 210 333 5026 www.piraeusbankgroup.com