@BritishLandPLC www.britishland.com $BLND
Investor Presentation
February 2017
All figures as at last valuation date of 30 September 2016 unless noted otherwise
Presentation February 2017 www.britishland.com @BritishLandPLC - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Presentation February 2017 www.britishland.com @BritishLandPLC $BLND All figures as at last valuation date of 30 September 2016 unless noted otherwise British Land is proud to have been awarded The 2016 Queens Award for
@BritishLandPLC www.britishland.com $BLND
Investor Presentation
February 2017
All figures as at last valuation date of 30 September 2016 unless noted otherwise
British Land is proud to have been awarded
Acknowledging our economic, social and environmental contribution
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– Reflected in our activity and results
– Secure income and robust finances
– Endures through uncertainty
changing environment
– Tactical decisions in light of Brexit
Resilient in uncertainty, well positioned to capture upside in the future
Overview
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Activity in quarter to December 16
– 314,000 sq ft of Retail lettings and renewals, 8.7% ahead of ERV; a further 189,000 sq ft under offer – Retailer sales +0.6% (+200 bps vs benchmark); footfall -0.6% year on year (+220bps vs benchmark) – 51,000 sq ft of Office lettings and renewals, in-line with ERV. 7 Clarges Street
ERVs – Leasing discussions with a wide range of occupiers are progressing across our London campuses; ten major discussions are under way totalling 1.4 million sq ft.
– £119m of disposals exchanged including £85m of non-core Retail and Office disposals at 2% ahead of September 2016 valuations. – Includes £34m of Residential disposals at 10% ahead of valuation including sales at Aldgate Place and one further apartment at Clarges Mayfair
3.3% (September 16: 3.2%)
Portfolio & Strategy
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Portfolio evenly split between London Offices and high quality Retail
Total portfolio valuation £13.9bn at September 16 including £0.3bn at Canada Water and £0.2bn of Residential assets
Offices Retail & Leisure
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Resilience built into the portfolio
Occupier split by sector by rent
average lease length
General Retail 16% Fashion & Beauty 16% Banks & Financial Services 17% Supermarket 11% F&B and Leisure 10% DIY 7% TMT 7% Other 7%
Upcoming expiries1 5% UBS – 5 Broadgate 3% Other banks 4% Total banks 12% Asset Management & Other Financial 5%
Professional & Corporate 9%
1 Includes lease expiries on committed, near term and medium term developments8
Our strategy is aligned to long term trends
Key long term trends Implications for British Land Globalisation Strength of London Transforming impact
Rise of omnichannel Population growth and urbanisation Sharpened focus
Importance of infrastructure Blurring of work and leisure Sustainability Focus on health and wellbeing
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Customer Orientation
We understand our customers’ needs and identify major long-term trends to create environments in tune with changing lifestyles
Right Places
We connect with customers to design engaging, sustainable places enhanced with the right mix of occupiers and services and enlivened by events and activities to create places at the heart of the community
Capital Efficiency
We allocate our capital, manage our finances and partner with like-minded organisations to deliver sustainable long-term value
Expert People
We employ expert people and work with partners to provide specialist knowledge and insight and develop skills and expertise
Our Strategy
British Land is a leading UK commercial property company focused on high quality retail and London offices
Places People Prefer
By managing our business to be resilient, sustainable and responsive to long-term trends, we create enduring demand for our properties and value for our stakeholders
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Placemaking Framework applied across the business
We Connect We Design We Enhance We Enliven
Accessibility
Convenience & access
Communication
Branding, marketing & digital, messaging
Authenticity
How our users feel and interact with the space
Function
Facilities & safety
Events
Events to create a buzz and drive footfall
Memorable experience
Creating lasting impressions
Segment mix
Balance of different segments and uses
Occupier service
Clustering of occupiers & value added
Occupier mix
Occupiers & campus community
Community
Support & involvement
Form
Efficient and effective buildings & spaces
Customer service
On-site hospitality & customer service
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Placemaking Framework applied across the business Offices Retail
Lifestyle orientated mixed use offices Multi-let lifestyle centres
Regional Attracting visitors from a wide catchment for a planned trip Local Fitting into the daily life of local communities Campuses Large, office-led mixed use lifestyle campuses Campus-lite Smaller clusters
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Our strategy informs our capital activity
£5.9bn
Multi-let 63% Other 37%
Mar 2011
Multi-let 76% Other 24%
Sep 2016
£6.8bn £3.1bn
West End 39% City 61%
Mar 2011
West End 58% City 42%
Sep 2016
£6.6bn
£4.4bn gross investment activity
£1.5bn single-let disposals £1.3bn multi-let acquisitions
Retail £2.3bn gross investment activity
£0.7bn development spend £0.5bn acquisition of Paddington
Central campus
Office
3.6% ahead of valuation Non-core Retail disposals in H1 2017
All figures since March 2011
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Gross investment activity in H1 2017
400 800 1200
Investment activity
£52m £648m (£267m)
2013 2014 2015 2016
£31m
£484m
2012 Disposals H1 2017
(£469m)
Net Spend £m
Capital Investment Net Spend Acquisitions
Net Acquisitions & Disposals £m
(£326m) £386m (£524m) (£277m) £244m (£620m)
Net Acquisitions/ Disposals £m Year to 31 March
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Significant Retail sales – on strategy
6 months to September 2016
Non-core multi-let assets Superstores Department stores
March 16 Multi-let share of Retail portfolio
Sept 16
Westgate, Wakefield Debenhams, Oxford Street
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Major property holdings
At 30 September 2016 (excl. developments under construction) BL Share % Sq ft 000’s Rent £m pa1 Occupancy Rate %2,4 Lease Length yrs3,4 1 Broadgate 50 4,721 225 98.7 8.0 2 Regent's Place 100 1,590 80 99.1 7.1 3 Paddington Central 100 806 34 99.9 7.3 4 Meadowhall, Sheffield 50 1,500 82 98.3 6.6 5 The Leadenhall Building 50 603 40 99.9 10.8 6 Sainsbury's Superstores5 52 2,259 49 100.0 10.8 7 Drake Circus, Plymouth6 100 1,132 21 98.0 5.1 8 Teesside, Stockton 100 523 17 98.5 6.1 9 Glasgow Fort 77 510 20 97.4 6.4 10 Ealing Broadway 100 423 13 93.1 6.1
1 Annualised EPRA contracted rent including 100% of Joint Ventures & Funds 2 Includes accommodation under offer or subject to asset management at 30 September 2016 3 Weighted average to first break 4 Excludes committed developments (100 Liverpool Street) 5 Comprises stand-alone stores 6 Includes New George Street Estate, Plymouth acquired during the periodFinancial Results
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Results highlights
6 months to September 2016
(+£28m)
– Strong leasing activity – Reducing finance and admin costs
– Valuation fall of 2.8%
– £690m of Retail sales, 3.6% ahead of March values
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Income statement
2016 H1 20161 H1 2017 H1 Change % Net Rental Income (£m) 620 309 312 1.0 Fees & Other Income1 (£m) 17 7 8 14.3 Administrative Expenses1 (£m) (94) (49) (43) 12.2 Net Finance Costs (£m) (180) (96) (78) 18.8 Underlying Profit (£m) 363 171 199 16.4 Underlying Earnings per Share (p) 34.1 16.0 19.3 20.6 Dividend per Share (p) 28.4 14.18 14.60 3.0 EPRA Cost Ratio (%) 16.6 17.8 15.0 (2.8%)
1 Fees & other income and administrative expenses have been restated to reflect the change in presentation of the results of Broadgate Estates, a wholly owned subsidiary of the19
EPRA balance sheet (proportional consolidation)
£m 31 March 16 Group JVs & Funds 30 September 16 Total properties 14,648 9,321 4,598 13,919 Adjusted net debt (4,765) (3,110) (1,353) (4,463) Other net liabilities (209) (97) (105) (202) EPRA Net Assets (undiluted) 9,674 6,114 3,140 9,254 Dilution impact of 2012 convertible bond 400 – – – EPRA Net Assets (diluted) 10,074 6,114 3,140 9,254 Loan to Value (LTV)1 32.1% 24.6% 31.6% Average interest rate 3.3% 2.5% 3.2% Interest cover 3.0x 4.4x 3.5x Average maturity of drawn debt (years) 8.1 7.2 8.0
1 Group LTV based on Group Properties and net investment in JV & Funds, and Group net debt20
Future income profile
Annualised Gross Rents Cash Flow Basis £m Accounting Basis £m Current Passing Rent 624 636 Contracted Uplifts 61 Total Contracted Rent 685 Letting of Completed and Under Construction Developments 17 14 Lease Expiries – Committed Developments (100 Liverpool Street) (9) (9) Lease Expiries – Near Term Developments (1 Finsbury Avenue) (7) (7) Letting of Committed and Near Term Developments 30 25 Lease Expiries – Medium Term Office Developments (21) (20) RPI Linked Leases1 9 9 Reversion2 19 17 Sales exchanged but not completed (12) (13) Potential Rent in 5 Years excl. Medium Term developments 711 652 Letting of Medium Term Developments (excl. Canada Water) 113 88
Valuation rent, includes assumptions on outstanding rent review settlements
1 Assumed at 2.6% per annum and uplift at rent review based on ERVs determined by the Group’s valuers 2 Includes letting of vacant space and reversion on expiries and open market rent reviews within 5 years21
Rent subject to lease break or expiry – Office expiries detail
For period to 31 March 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2017–19 At 30 September 2016 £m £m £m £m £m £m 100 Liverpool Street 9 – – – – 9 Committed developments 9 – – – – 9 1 Finsbury Avenue 7 – – – – 7 Near Term developments 7 – – – – 7 1 Triton Square 4 5 – – – 9 2-3 Finsbury Avenue 3 – 2 – – 5 135 Bishopsgate – – 7 – – 7 Medium Term developments 7 5 9 – – 21 Other West End expiries 2 6 10 4 18 18 Other City expiries – – 9 11 8 9 Office expiries (excl. committed developments) 16 11 28 15 26 55
Retail
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How Britain shops today
c.90%
the physical store
Source: Verdict
average customer drive time to BL assets
Source: Kantar Source: British Land surveys
Convenience ranked
importance for a shopping trip
more click and collect at Local centres than national average
use F&B/leisure
Source: ONS/British Land surveys
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Data informs our strategy and benefits our occupiers
Our superior insight into consumer behaviour helps make decisions
Placemaking lies at the heart of what we do
We create Places People Prefer via our placemaking framework
We listen to our consumers and occupiers and respond to their needs
Our core regional and local products can both succeed
We meet a range of consumer lifestyle missions
Outstanding places for modern consumer lifestyles Places to shop, eat and be entertained
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Retail Multi-let Portfolio Our two core products each fulfil specific shopper missions
Regional
Missions include Leisure-dominated Trips, Family Day Out and The Big Ticket Shop Typically 30-60 occupiers Footfall 10-25m p.a., catchment potential spend >£100m p.a. Drive-time >20 mins Dwell >60 mins Retail offer covers multiple categories with depth of choice in each Significant leisure and F&B e.g. restaurants, cinema Missions include Local Neighbourhood Shopper, Convenient Leisure and Single Item Pick-Up Typically 15–30 occupiers Footfall often <5m p.a., catchment potential spend <£100m p.a. Drive-time <15 mins Dwell <60 mins Retail offer covers multiple categories & includes local amenities Convenient leisure and F&B e.g. gym and coffee shops
Local
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Meadowhall Glasgow Fort Ealing Broadway Swindon Orbital Role Super-regional shopping centre Regional Shopping & leisure park Regional In-town shopping centre Local Out-of-town shopping park Local Size (k ft2) 1,500k 510k 470k 212k Dwell time 97 min 115 min 77 min 71 min Frequency of visit 30 pa 37 pa 68 pa 75 pa Retail spend £154 £88 £50 £52 Retail conversion 83% 84% 81% 81% Catering spend £12 £17 £8 £8 Catering conversion 58% 39% 25% 29% Annualised spend £4,030 £3,028 £2,906 £3,271 Rent : sales 14% 9% 10% 11%
Our data shows both regional and local can succeed
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Retailers are creating hub and spoke networks
To support fulfilment and maintain brand awareness
Source: CACI
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Our portfolio is well positioned to meet both consumer and retailer demands
Source: CACI Retail Footprint 2016
BL regional centres BL local centres BL asset catchments
Average rent to sales ratio
Annual footfall of
spaces are free Potential to reach
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Retail Multi-let assets
Regional – attracting visitors from a wide catchment for a planned trip Local – fitting into the daily life of local communities Southgate, Bath Mayflower, Basildon
Broughton, Chester1 Weston Lock, Bath Kingston Centre, Milton Keynes Fort Kinnaird, Edinburgh1 Cornerhouse, Barrow Studlands, Newmarket Glasgow Fort1 Hindpool, Barrow Newport, Harlech
Forster Square, Bradford Elk Mill, Oldham Eden Walk, Kingston Woodfields, Bury Nugent, Orpington Giltbrook, Nottingham Gallagher, Cheltenham1 Botley Road, Oxford Serpentine Green, Peterborough Tollgate, Colchester Deepdale, Preston1 Drake Circus, Plymouth Prospect Place, Dartford1 Queens, Stafford1 Meadowhall, Sheffield Crown Point, Denton Orbital, Swindon New Mersey, Speke1 Wheatley, Doncaster Westgate, Wakefield2 Teesside, Stockton Ealing Broadway Crown Wharf, Walsall1 Whiteley, Fareham Lion, Woking Old Market, Hereford Clifton Moor, York2 Inverness1 Westside, Leeds Beaumont, Leicester Valentine, Lincoln1 Mostyn Champneys, Llandudno1 Lisnagelvin, Londonderry3
1 Assets held within Hercules Unit Trust or its subsidiaries 2 Properties where sale exchanged in six months to September 2016, completed in January 2017, post period end 3 Property sold in December 2016, post period end30
We are expanding our addressable market
Source: Oxford Economics, CACI
Historical focus Recent additional focus Not relevant to BL
Consumer spend (2016)
centres also spend on Retail
By expanding into new segments to enhance the retail experience F&B and Leisure are often interlinked with Retail
Housing 26% Education 2% Other 11% Grocery 12% Fashion 6% Home & Leisure 10% Health & Beauty 4% Food & Beverage 7% Leisure 6% Transport & Comms 16%
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Continued momentum in the 6 months to September 2016:
– 12.9% ahead of March ERVs
– 50% since referendum – 373,000 sq ft, 12.2% ahead of ERV
Multi-let portfolio – lettings and renewals
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
+7%
vs ERV H1 2016 H1 2017
‘000 sq ft
+12%
vs ERV
We are expanding our addressable market
By attracting a broader range of occupiers
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80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 Mar-10 Sep-10 Mar-11 Sep-11 Mar-12 Sep-12 Mar-13 Sep-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Mar-15 Sep-15 Mar-16 Sep-16
Outperformance in H1 2017
BL footfall performance vs benchmark
UK Market (ShopperTrak) British Land
Mar-10 = 100
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Retail – Operational outperformance across the portfolio
+0.1%
Footfall Retailer in-store Sales
Regional
+2.0%
Total multi-let portfolio Local
+0.1%
Ahead of market by
240 bps
Ahead of market by
190 bps
+1.3% +1.3% +1.3%
Ahead of market by
80 bps
ERV Growth
6 months to September 2016
Source: Footfall benchmark – ShopperTrak; Sales benchmark – BRC-KPMG; ERV benchmark – IPD
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Continued polarisation in Retail
ERV growth vs IPD and Retail sales, including online
Source: Oxford Economics, IPD
Rental growth on multi-let assets in H1 2017
Index Mar-13 = 100
95.0 97.5 100.0 102.5 105.0 107.5 110.0 112.5 115.0 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Retail sales inc. online BL Multi-let IPD All Retail IPD Prime IPD Secondary
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Physical store sales £266 bn True Value of Stores £278 bn Total retail sales £313 bn £5 bn £8 bn £18 bn £13 bn £4 bn
Online sales increasingly integrated with physical stores 89% of retail sales touch the store
Source: Verdict / British Land
Boost +5% 89% of total retail sales in 2015
Click & Collect sales Online sales browsed in store Online sales not browsed in store Online pureplay sales Mail order & TV shopping
Online sales of store operators Total online sales Online that touched the store
Retail sales by channel (UK, all sectors, 2015)
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Physical store openings significantly boost retailers’ online presence
Postal area share of retailer website visits
Indexed vs. store opening date
+55%
50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 +20 weeks 15 10 5 Store Opening
weeks
Note: Based on a sample of 18 retailers opening at British Land centres between April 2014 and December 2015 Source: Hitwise
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Meadowhall, Sheffield
refurbishment
extension planned
Recent additions
Proposed Meadowhall leisure extension
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Eden Walk, Kingston
redevelopment to include public spaces, leisure, retail and residential.
scheme
Office
40
London Assets
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Focused on London campuses which we plan to enhance and grow
Office-led, mixed-use environments in tune with modern lifestyles Our 3 campuses as a % of office assets
Paddington Central Broadgate Regent’s Place
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Campus-lite assets
The Leadenhall Building Marble Arch House 10 Portman Square Yalding House Clarges Mayfair
Small clusters alongside more opportunistic single site assets
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Offices – Sustained leasing activity
6 months to September 2016
– 4.9% ahead of March ERVs
– Let final floors at Leadenhall – 33,000 sq ft under offer – Clarges Mayfair and Yalding House 37% let or under offer
Yalding House Clarges Mayfair The Leadenhall Building
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Offices – Range of pre-let discussions
4 Kingdom Street 1 Triton Square 100 Liverpool Street
45
Creating a world class, mixed-use destination at Broadgate
– Further enhanced by Crossrail in 2018
range of occupiers
5 Broadgate & Broadgate Circle 100 Liverpool Street redevelopment Broadgate Circle Exchange Square
46
Broadgate sits at the heart of one of the most exciting parts of London with excellent transport links
Old Street ‘Tech City’ 20,000 workers Shoreditch Creative sector 20,000 workers Barbican Cultural hub 40,000 workers The City Financial centre 120,000 workers Spitalfields Contemporary market 35,000 workers
BROADGATE 30,000 workers Liverpool St Station 150m annual footfall
Broadgate’s location and connectivity are fundamental aspects in ensuring strong ongoing occupier demand for the campus Crossrail
people per year, Crossrail will further improve Broadgate’s connectivity
connection from Liverpool Street to Heathrow and City airport
sit directly outside 100 Liverpool Street
47
Broadgate – our lease expiries give us the opportunity to add a wider range of uses and attract a broader range of occupiers
100 Liverpool Street
1 Finsbury Avenue
135 Bishopsgate
2–3 Finsbury Avenue
expired in Dec 2016
expected lease break in late 2018
Broadgate Overview Current contracted rent £m (BL Share) % Rent Ave lease term – yrs Core income, including recent developments 84 75% 9.5 Committed (100 Liverpool Street) 9 8% n/a Near term pipeline (1 Finsbury Avenue) 7 6% 0.2 Medium term pipeline (2–3 Finsbury Avenue, 135 Bishopsgate) 12 11% 1.8 Total 112 8.0
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100 Liverpool Street
redevelopment
additional space, including
retail and F&B
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0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
City development pipeline
Completed Pipeline Pre-let Potential Speculative U/C Pre-let U/C – Speculative 10 year rolling average new and under-construction take-up 10 year rolling average dev completions
Note: Forecast reflects agent’s estimate of earliest completions Source: CBRE
Q4 2016
m sq ft
50
Regent’s Place Campus
51
Paddington Central Campus
Canada Water
53
Canada Water
application in 2017
Triumph motorcycle launch Mulberry: London Fashion Week
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Canada Water
Photo credit: John Sturrock
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Canada Water
Developments
57
Development pipeline – Committed and Near Term
£660m including 100 Liverpool Street, 5% of the portfolio
£230m to sell
Avenue and leisure extensions at Speke and Plymouth
Speculative development commitment
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 £m – Current Value & Costs to Come Committed – Under Construction Committed – 100 Liverpool Street Near Term Speculative development commitment Pre-sold / pre-let Residential pre-sold 4 Kingdom Street Residential & Retail
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Optionality in our development pipeline
Near term Medium term
Income producing
(Plymouth, Speke)
1 Finsbury Avenue Eden Walk 1 Triton Square Blossom Street
Income producing – upcoming breaks/expiries
Non-income producing sites
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Development programme – Medium Term
yielding 2.8%
– Canada Water – Eden Walk
lease expiries
– 2-3 Finsbury Avenue – 135 Bishopsgate – 1 Triton Square
sites, including 5 Kingdom Street
Value of medium term pipeline
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 Income producing Upcoming expiries Non-income producing sites £m – Current Value
60
Residential sales
5% ahead of March values
£16m (BL share)
Phase 2 December 2016
8% below March values
late 2017
The Hempel Collection Clarges Mayfair Aldgate Place
Appendices – H1 2017 Results
62
Highlights
Period to H1 2016 H1 2017 Change % Underlying Profit (£m) 171 199 16.4 Underlying Earnings per Share (p) 16.0 19.3 20.6 Dividend per Share (p) 14.18 14.60 3.0 As at H2 2016 H1 2017 Change % Valuation Performance 2.0% (2.8%) EPRA Net Asset Value per Share (p) 919 891 (3.0) LTV 32.1% 31.6% H1 Total Accounting Return 9.1% (1.5%)
63
Underlying Profit up £28 million
£m 171 (9) 8 5 17 7
H1 2016 Capital activity Like for like rental growth Developments Financing activities Administrative expenses and Fee income H1 2017
199
64
Gross rental income1,2
Accounting Basis £m 6 months to 30 September 2016 Annualised as at 30 September 2016 Group JVs & Funds3 Total Group JVs & Funds3 Total Regional 29 43 72 58 84 142 Local 49 13 62 97 26 123 Multi-let 78 56 134 155 110 265 Department Stores & Leisure 26 – 26 43 – 43 Superstores 5 16 21 10 31 41 Solus & Other 10 – 10 20 – 20 Retail and Leisure 119 72 191 228 141 369 West End 66 – 66 127 – 127 City 2 60 62 4 120 124 Offices 68 60 128 131 120 251 Residential4 2 – 2 3 – 3 Offices and Residential 70 60 130 134 120 254 Canada Water 5 – 5 8 – 8 Total 194 132 326 370 261 631
1 Excluding developments under construction and assets held for development 2 Gross rental income will differ from annualised rents due to accounting adjustments for fixed & minimum contracted rental uplifts and lease incentives 3 Group’s share of properties in joint ventures and funds including HUT at share 4 Stand-alone residential65
Operating costs metric
HY to 30 September (£m) H1 2016 H1 2017 Property operating expenses 17 15 Administrative expenses1 49 43 Net fees and other income1 (7) (8) Ground rent costs (1) (1) EPRA Costs (including direct vacancy costs) 58 49 Gross rental income 326 327 Ground rent costs (1) (1) Gross Rental Income (EPRA basis) 325 326 EPRA Cost Ratio (including direct vacancy costs) 17.8% 15.0%
Table shows figures on a proportionately consolidated basis which includes the Group's share of joint ventures and funds and excludes non-controlling interests in the Group's subsidiaries.
1 Net fees & other income and administrative expenses have been restated by £2m to reflect the change in presentation of the results of Broadgate Estates, a wholly owned subsidiary of the66
Administrative Expenses
HY to 30 September (£m) H1 2016 H1 2017 Personnel Costs 26 26 Share Scheme Costs 8 3 Other Administrative Expenses 15 14 Total – British Land 49 43 Broadgate Estates 2 2 Total – Group 51 45 Capitalised Costs (2) (2) Total Administrative Expenses 49 43
Table includes the Group's share of joint ventures and funds and excludes non-controlling interests in the Group's subsidiaries.
67
Reduction in diluted EPRA net asset value
919p 891p (22p) (17p) 18p (13p) (4p) 10p
Mar 16 Offices & Residential Retail & Leisure Underlying Profit Dividends Debt transaction costs & other Reversal of 2012 convertible bond dilution Sep 16
68
Strength of debt metrics
Proportionally Consolidated 31 Mar 2016 30 Sep 2016 Loan to Value (LTV) 32.1% 31.6% Weighted Average Interest Rate 3.3% 3.2% Interest Cover 3.0x 3.5x Average Maturity of Drawn Debt (years) 8.1 8.0 Group 31 Mar 2016 30 Sep 2016 Loan to Value (LTV) 25.2% 24.6% Available undrawn facilities £1.2bn £1.0bn Weighted Average Interest Rate 2.6% 2.5% Interest Cover 3.3x 4.4x Fitch Senior Unsecured rating A- A-
69
Adjusted net debt – proportionally consolidated (£bn)
4.8 4.5 0.1 0.1 (0.5) Mar 16 Net Debt Acquisitions Development & Capex Disposals Sep 16 Net Debt
LTV 32.1% LTV 31.6%
70
Debt maturity (£m)
Convertible Bond (Unsecured) Bank RCF Drawn (Unsecured)
Year to March
Debenture & loan notes (Secured) US Private Placements (Unsecured) Bank RCF Undrawn (Unsecured) 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 JVs – Securitisations JVs & Funds – Bank drawn Funds – Bank undrawn
71
Debt Financing – Diverse profile
reduced by 10 bps to 3.2%
available within British Land
52% average over the next 5 years
refinance until 2020
£0.6bn £0.8bn £0.8bn £0.7bn £1.4bn £0.5bn
Diverse Debt Profile1 (30 September 2016)
Debentures & loan notes (Secured) Bank RCFs Drawn (Unsecured) US Private Placements (Unsecured)
1 Proportionally Consolidated 2 HUT’s debt shown at our share (£0.4 billion) within JV & FundsJV & Funds Term Loans (Secured)2 Convertible Bonds (Unsecured) JVs Securitisations
72
Number of shares
Number of shares (m) 31 Mar 16 30 Sep 16 IFRS Basic Weighted Average1 1,025 1,029 IFRS Diluted Weighted Average2 1,089 1,091 Underlying/EPRA Diluted Weighted Average3 1,089 1,033 Period End4 1,096 1,039
1 For use in IFRS basic earnings per share 2 For use in IFRS diluted earnings per share, includes dilution for 2012 1.5% convertible bond 3 For use in Underlying/EPRA diluted earnings per share. Movement since March 2016 reflects 2012 1.5% convertible no longer being treated as dilutive 4 For use in EPRA net asset value per share and EPRA triple net asset value per share. Movement since March 2016 reflects 2012 1.5% convertible no longer being treated as dilutive73
Valuation performance
6 months to September 2016 Valuation £bn Movement £m Movement % Yield Expansion bps ERV Growth % NEY % Weighting % Retail & Leisure 6.8 (178) (2.4) 18 0.9 5.3 49 Offices & Residential 6.8 (238) (3.3) 21 0.1 4.6 49 Canada Water 0.3 (6) (2.1) 4 0.9 3.3 2 Total 13.9 (422) (2.8) 19 0.5 4.9 100 – Of which Standing Investments 13.1 (395) (2.8) – Of which Development 0.8 (27) (3.0)
74
Valuation growth drivers – Retail & Leisure
6 months to September 2016 Valuation £bn Movement £m Movement % Yield Expansion bps ERV Growth % H1 H1 H1 Regional 2.9 (83) (2.8) 16 1.3 Local 2.2 (116) (4.8) 29 1.3 Multi-let 5.1 (199) (3.7) 22 1.3 Dept St + Leisure 0.6 32 3.2 4 0.4 Superstores 0.7 (24) (3.0) 8 (3.0) Solus/Other 0.3 13 3.7 9 4.8 Retail & Leisure 6.8 (178) (2.4) 18 0.9
75
Valuation growth drivers – Offices & Residential
6 months to September 2016 Valuation £bn Movement £m Movement % Yield Expansion bps ERV Growth % H1 H1 H1 West End 3.9 (95) (2.4) 16 0.3 City 2.7 (143) (4.9) 27 (0.2) Offices 6.6 (238) (3.5) 21 0.1 Residential 0.2 – – Offices & Residential 6.8 (238) (3.3)
76
Investment Activity
6 months to 30 September 2016 Retail £m Offices £m Residential £m Canada Water £m Total £m Purchases 82 – – 8 90 Sales1 (690) – (20) – (710) Net Purchases/Sales (608) – (20) 8 (620) Development Spend 12 70 13 5 100 Capital Spend 47 4 – – 51 Net Investment (549) 74 (7) 13 (469) Gross Investment 831 74 33 13 951
1 Of which £191m Retail sales and £9m Residential sales completed in January 2017, post period end77
Acquisitions
6 months to 30 September 2016 Sector Region Price (Gross) £m Price (BL Share) £m Annual Passing Rent £m2 Completed New George Street Estate, Plymouth Retail South 64 64 5 Hercules Unit Trust unit purchase1 Retail Various 18 18 1 Dock Offices Canada Water London 8 8 – Total 90 90 6
1 Units purchased over the course of the period. £18m represents purchased GAV 2 BL share of annualised rent topped up for rent frees78
Disposals
6 months to 30 September 2016 Sector Region Price (Gross) £m Price (BL Share) £m Annual Passing Rent £m1 Completed Debenhams, Oxford Street Retail London 400 400 13 Superstores Retail Various 147 79 3 Dumfries Cuckoo Bridge Retail Scotland 20 20 1 The Hempel Collection Residential London 5 5 – Aldgate Place Residential London 13 6 – Exchanged2 Portfolio of retail assets (Debenhams Manchester, York Clifton Moor, Wakefield Westgate) Retail North 191 191 12 The Hempel Collection Residential London 8 8 – Aldgate Place Residential London 1 1 – Total 785 710 29
1 BL share of annualised rent topped up for rent frees 2 Sales completed in January 2017. post period end79
Total Property Return (as calculated by IPD)
6 months to 30 September 2016 Retail Offices Total % British Land IPD British Land IPD British Land IPD Capital Return (2.4) (3.0) (3.4) (2.9) (2.8) (2.1)
0.9 0.5 0.1 1.0 0.5 0.8
18 bps 20 bps 21 bps 21 bps 19 bps 15 bps Income Return 2.6 2.5 1.7 1.8 2.1 2.3 Total Property Return 0.1 (0.5) (1.8) (1.1) (0.8) 0.2
1 Net equivalent yield movement80
BL property outperformance vs IPD – 5 years
100 310 160 120 200 90
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 Retail Offices Total
5 years ended 30 September 2016
Capital Returns Total Returns
Outperformance bps pa
81
BL property outperformance vs IPD – 3 years
50 170 60 70 80 10
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 Retail Offices Total
3 years ended 30 September 2016
Capital Returns Total Returns
Outperformance bps pa
Appendices – Portfolio
83
High quality, diverse occupier base
As at 30 September 2016 % of Contracted Rent
UBS AG1 5.8% Tesco plc 5.7% J Sainsbury plc 4.7% Debenhams 3.8% Kingfisher (B&Q) 2.6% Next plc 2.3% HM Government 2.2% Virgin Active 2.0% Facebook 1.7% Wesfarmers (Homebase/Bunnings) 1.6% Spirit Group 1.6% M&S Plc 1.5% Alliance Boots 1.5% Visa Inc 1.4% Dixons Carphone 1.4% Dentsu Aegis 1.4% Arcadia Group 1.3% Herbert Smith 1.2% RBS 1.1% TJX Cos Inc (TK Maxx) 1.0% General Retail 16% Fashion & Beauty 16% Supermarket 11% Professional & Corporate 9% Food/Leisure 10% DIY 7% TMT 7% Other 7%
1 Rent contracted on 5 Broadgate, 1-3 Finsbury Avenue and 100 Liverpool Street.3.0% pro-forma for run off of rent at 1-3 Finsbury Avenue and 100 Liverpool Street.
2 Includes lease expiries on committed, near term and medium term developmentsOccupier split by sector by rent
Banks & Financial Services 17% Upcoming expiries2 5% UBS – 5 Broadgate 3% Other banks 4% Total banks 12% Asset Management & Other Financial 5%
84
At 30 September 2016 Group JVs & Funds1 Total H1 Change2 £m £m £m % £m Regional 1,087 1,791 2,878 (2.8) (83) Local 1,796 471 2,267 (4.8) (116) Multi-let 2,883 2,262 5,145 (3.7) (199) Department Stores and Leisure 638 1 639 3.2 32 Superstores 139 542 681 (3.0) (24) Solus and Other 346 – 346 3.7 13 Retail and Leisure 4,006 2,805 6,811 (2.4) (178) West End 3,868 – 3,868 (2.4) (95) City 103 2,653 2,756 (4.9) (143) Offices 3,971 2,653 6,624 (3.5) (238) Residential3 173 22 195 – – Offices and Residential 4,144 2,675 6,819 (3.3) (238) Canada Water 289 – 289 (2.1) (6) Total 8,439 5,480 13,919 (2.8) (422) Standing Investments 7,810 5,287 13,097 (2.8) (395) Developments 629 193 822 (3.0) (27)
1 Group’s share of properties in joint ventures and funds including HUT at ownership share 2 Valuation movement during the period (after taking account of capital expenditure) of properties held at the balance sheet date, including developments(classified by end use), purchases and sales
3 Stand-alone residentialPortfolio valuation by sector
85
At 30 September 2016 EPRA net initial yield % EPRA topped up net initial yield %
3
Overall topped up net initial yield %
4
Net equivalent yield % Net equivalent yield expansion bps
5
Net reversionary yield % ERV Growth %
5,6
Regional 4.5 4.7 4.7 5.0 16 5.0 1.3% Local 5.1 5.3 5.4 5.5 29 5.5 1.3% Multi-let 4.8 4.9 5.0 5.2 22 5.2 1.3% Department Stores and Leisure 6.0 6.0 7.5 6.1 4 4.5 0.4% Superstores 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.4 8 5.3 (3.0%) Solus & Other 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.3 9 4.9 4.8% Retail and Leisure 5.0 5.1 5.3 5.3 18 5.1 0.9% West End 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.5 16 4.8 0.3% City 3.3 4.6 4.6 4.6 27 5.3 (0.2%) Offices 3.6 4.2 4.3 4.6 21 5.0 0.1% Canada Water 2.7 2.7 2.8 3.3 4 3.4 0.9% Total 4.3 4.7 4.8 4.9 19 5.0 0.5%
1 Including notional purchaser's costs 2 On a proportionately consolidated basis. Excluding developments under construction, committed developments, assets held for development and residential assets 3 Including rent contracted from expiry of rent-free periods and fixed uplifts not in lieu of rental growth 4 Including fixed/minimum uplifts (excluded from EPRA definition) 5 6 months to 30 September 2016 6 As calculated by IPDPortfolio yields & ERV movements1,2
86
At 30 September 2016 Average Lease Length (yrs) Occupancy Rate (%) To Expiry To Break Occupancy Occupancy (underlying)2 Regional 8.0 6.9 96.6 98.1 Local 8.4 7.4 97.6 98.0 Multi-let 8.2 7.2 97.1 98.1 Department Stores and Leisure 18.3 18.2 99.9 99.9 Superstores 12.0 11.6 100.0 100.0 Solus & Other 13.0 12.8 100.0 100.0 Retail and Leisure 10.0 9.2 97.8 98.5 West End 9.1 7.2 95.5 96.7 City 10.1 8.5 98.2 98.5 Offices 9.6 7.8 96.8 97.5 Canada Water 7.1 6.9 96.9 98.1 Total 9.8 8.5 97.3 98.1
1 On a proportionately consolidated basis. Excluding developments under construction, committed developments, assets held for development and residential assets 2 Including accommodation under offer or subject to asset management and owner-occupied spaceLease length and occupancy1
87
At 30 September 2016 Annualised Rents (Valuation Basis) £m2 ERV £m Average Rent (£psf) Group JVs & Funds3 Total Total Contracted4 ERV Regional 60 85 145 158 31.2 33.3 Local 98 28 126 135 24.3 25.2 Multi-let 158 113 271 293 27.6 29.0 Department Stores and Leisure 41 – 41 32 13.8 10.6 Superstores 8 32 40 38 20.7 19.7 Solus & Other 20 – 20 17 19.8 17.0 Retail and Leisure 227 145 372 380 23.7 23.7 West End 137 – 137 171 53.0 61.7 City 4 88 92 149 51.0 60.2 Offices 141 88 229 320 52.4 60.9 Residential5 4 – 4 4 Offices and Residential 145 88 233 324 Canada Water 8 – 8 10 18.5 21.7 Total 380 233 613 714 29.7 31.9
1 Excluding developments under construction, committed developments (100 Liverpool Street with annualised rents £9m and ERV £13m) and assets held for development 2 Gross rents plus, where rent reviews are outstanding, any increases to ERV (as determined by the Group’s external valuers), less any ground rents payable under head leases,excludes contracted rent subject to rent free and future uplift
3 Group’s share of properties in joint ventures and funds including HUT at share 4 Annualised rent, plus rent subject to rent free 5 Stand-alone residentialAnnualised rent & estimated rental value (ERV)1
88
Rent subject to open market rent review1
For period to 31 March 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2017–19 2017–21 At 30 September 2016 £m £m £m £m £m £m £m Regional 6 11 17 10 18 34 62 Local 4 25 21 12 10 50 72 Multi-let 10 36 38 22 28 84 134 Department Stores and Leisure – – – – – – – Superstores 1 4 8 11 13 13 37 Solus & Other – – – – – – – Retail and Leisure 11 40 46 33 41 97 171 West End 4 22 20 15 9 46 70 City – 4 14 14 16 18 48 Offices 4 26 34 29 25 64 118 Canada Water – 2 – – – 2 2 Total 15 68 80 62 66 163 291 Potential uplift at current ERV2 – 2 4 3 1 6 10
1 On a proportionately consolidated basis. Excluding developments under construction, committed developments and assets held for development 2 As determined by the Group’s valuers, excluding near term developments89
Rent subject to lease break or expiry1
For period to 31 March 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2017–19 2017–21 At 30 September 2016 £m £m £m £m £m £m £m Regional 6 15 9 13 10 30 53 Local 6 5 8 11 9 19 39 Multi-let 12 20 17 24 19 49 92 Department Stores and Leisure – 1 – – – 1 1 Superstores – – – – – – – Solus and Other – – 2 – – 2 2 Retail and Leisure 12 21 19 24 19 52 95 West End 6 11 10 4 18 27 49 City 10 – 18 11 8 28 47 Offices2 16 11 28 15 26 55 96 Canada Water 1 – – – 1 1 2 Total 29 32 47 39 46 108 193 % of contracted rent 4.3% 4.7% 6.9% 6.0% 6.7% 15.9% 28.6% Potential uplift at current ERV (excl. Near and Medium Term developments) 2 2 6 1 2 10 13
1 On a proportionately consolidated basis. Excluding developments under construction, committed developments and assets held for development 2 For further detail, see following slide90
Rent resetting to market
For period to 31 March 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2017–19 2017–21 At 30 September 2016 £m £m £m £m £m £m £m Rent expiring – existing portfolio (per slide 76) 29 32 47 39 46 108 193 Developments – committed & under Construction – 10 – 19 – 10 29 Total Rent Resetting to Market excluding Near Term Developments 29 42 47 58 46 118 222 Near term developments – expiries (7) – – – – (7) (7) Near term developments – completions – – 8 3 – 8 11 Total Rent Resetting to Market including Near Term Developments 22 42 55 61 46 119 226 ERV of current vacancies1,2 19 – – – – 19 19 Vacant & Income Expiring 41 42 55 61 46 138 245
1 Including space under offer of £4m and space subject to asset management of £1m 2 Including £7m of vacant space at recently completed developments91
Contracted rental increases (cash flow basis)
For period to 31 March 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2017–19 2017–21 At 30 September 2016 £m £m £m £m £m £m £m Expiry of rent free periods 29 14 3 1 – 46 47 Fixed uplifts (EPRA basis) – 1 1 – – 2 2 Fixed & minimum uplifts in lieu
3 1 1 1 1 5 7 Total 32 16 5 2 1 53 56
92
Stand-alone Superstores1 In Multi-let assets2 Total Exposure1,2,3
Store Size ‘000 sq ft Number
stores Valuation (BL share) £m Capital Value psf WALL to FB yrs Number
stores Valuation (BL share) £m Capital Value psf WALL to FB yrs Number
stores Valuation (BL share) £m Capital Value psf WALL to FB yrs >100 8 171 256 11.9 5 339 423 12.5 13 510 347 12.3 75–100 11 197 398 12.1 3 61 276 15.8 14 258 361 13.0 50–75 16 248 353 12.1 1 12 189 10.6 17 260 339 12.0 25–50 8 50 220 7.8 2 27 502 13.0 10 77 274 9.4 0–25 2 6 145 8.6 18 79 426 10.6 20 85 373 10.4 September 2016 45 672 315 11.6 29 518 391 12.6 74 1,190 344 12.1 March 2016 47 763 383 13.9 28 536 482 12.7 75 1,299 419 13.5
Geographical Spread Gross Rent (BL Share) Lease Structure
London & South 54% Tesco £38m RPI and Fixed 9% Rest of UK 46% Sainsbury’s £26m OMRR 91% Other £5m
1 Excludes £9m non-foodstore occupiers in superstore led assets 2 Excludes non food-format stores e.g. Asda Living 3 Excludes £93m of investments held for trading comprising freehold reversions in a pool of Sainsbury’s SuperstoresSuperstores
Appendices – Developments
94
At 30 September 2016 Sector BL Share Sq ft PC Calendar Year Current Value Cost to Complete ERV Let & Under Offer Resi Sales Exchanged & not Completed % '000 £m1 £m2 £m3 £m £m4 Aldgate Place, Phase 1 Residential 50 221 Completed 7 9 – n/a – Clarges Mayfair – Offices Offices 100 51 Completed 120 9 5.5 2.0 n/a Glasgow Fort Leisure Quarter Retail 75 12 Completed 8 – 0.4 0.3 n/a Total Completed in Period 284 135 18 5.9 2.3 – 4 Kingdom Street Offices 100 147 Q2 2017 111 39 9.4 – n/a Clarges Mayfair – Retail and Residential Residential 100 114 Q4 2017 322 74 0.8 – 259 The Hempel Phase 1 Residential 100 25 Q4 2016 16 1 n/a n/a 13 The Hempel Phase 2 Residential 100 32 Q4 2016 55 6 n/a n/a 14 100 Liverpool Street Offices 50 520 Q4 2019 115 157 18.5 – – Total Under Construction & Committed 838 619 277 28.7 – 286 Retail Capital Expenditure5 117
Data includes Group's share of properties in Joint Ventures & Funds (except area which is shown at 100%)
1 Excludes completed sales of £93m 2 From 1 October 2016. Cost to complete excludes notional interest as interest is capitalised individually on each development at our capitalisation rate 3 Estimated headline rental value net of rent payable under head leases (excluding tenant incentives) 4 At agreed sales price 5 Capex committed and underway within our investment portfolio relating to leasing and asset managementRecently completed & committed developments
95
At 30 September 2016 Sector BL Share % Sq ft '000 Start On Site Total Cost
1
£m Status Near term Pipeline 1 Finsbury Avenue Offices 50 281 2017 102 Consented Speke (Leisure) Retail 67 66 2017 18 Consented Plymouth (Leisure) Retail 100 102 2018 35 Consented Total Near Term 449 155 Retail Capital Expenditure 2 100 Medium term Pipeline 2-3 Finsbury Avenue Offices 50 560 Resolution to grant 135 Bishopsgate Offices 50 340 Pre-submission Blossom Street Offices 100 340 Consented 1 Triton Square Offices 100 338 Submitted 5 Kingdom Street Offices 100 240 Consented Gateway Building Offices 100 104 Pre-submission Aldgate Phase 2 Residential 50 145 Consented Canada Water Phase 13 Mixed Use 100 5,500 Pre-submission Bradford (Retail & Leisure) Retail 100 43 Consented Meadowhall Leisure Retail 50 330 Submitted Eden Walk Retail & Residential Mixed Use 50 562 Resolution to grant Total Medium Term 8,502
95 Data includes Group's share of properties in Joint Ventures & Funds (except area which is shown at 100%)
1 Total cost including site value. Excludes notional interest as interest is capitalised individually on each development at our capitalisation rate 2 Forecast capital commitments within our investment portfolio over the next 12 months relating to leasing & asset enhancement 3 Assumed net area based on gross area of up to 7m sq ftDevelopment pipeline
96
Residential development programme
At 30 September 2016 Sq Ft No. Market Units PC Date/ Status BL Share Current Value1 Cost to come2 Sales Exchanged & not Completed1,3 '000 % £m £m £m
Clarges Mayfair4 103 34 Q4 2017 100 308 72 259 Mixed use 103 34 308 72 259 The Hempel Phase 1 25 15 Q4 2016 100 16 1 13 The Hempel Phase 2 32 19 Q4 2016 100 55 6 14 Aldgate Place Phase 1 221 154 Completed 50 7 9
278 188 78 16 27 Total Committed Residential 381 222 386 88 286
Data includes Group's share of properties in Joint Ventures & Funds (except area which is shown at 100%)
1 Excludes completed sales of £93m 2 From 1 October 2016. Cost to complete excludes notional interest as interest is capitalised individually on each development at our capitalisation rate 3 At agreed sales price 4 Includes 9,500 sq ft of affordable housing (11 units)97
At 30 September 2016 PC Calendar Year Cost to complete £m (excluding notional interest) – 6 mths Mar-17 Sep-17 Mar-18 Sep-18 Mar-19 Sep-19 Total 4 Kingdom Street 2017 30 4 4 1 – – 39 Clarges Mayfair 2017 53 13 3 3 1 – 74 The Hempel Phase 1 2016 1 – – – – – 1 The Hempel Phase 2 2016 4 1 1 – – – 6 100 Liverpool Street 2019 12 18 29 32 26 19 157 Total Committed & Under Construction 100 36 37 36 27 19 277 Total Near Term 2 9 19 16 15 12 76 Indicative Interest Capitalised on above at attributable rates1 4 1 2 2 1 2 Contracted Residential receipts 28 – 184 – – –
Estimated future development spend and capitalised interest
1 Financing costs are capitalised at 4% on qualifying expenditure for developments98
Estimated future development rental income (accounting basis)
At 30 September 2016 PC Calendar Year Gross Rental Income (Accounting basis) £m Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Under Construction & Committed developments Clarges Retail Q4 2017 Non-contracted – – 1 1 1 4 Kingdom Street Q2 2017 Non-contracted – 3 8 8 8 100 Liverpool Street Q4 2019 Non-contracted – – – 3 15 Non-contracted – 3 9 12 24
Appendices – Market
100
5 10 15 20 2015 2016 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Long term average 5 10 15 20 2015 2016 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Investment market
Investment volumes £bn £bn
Central London Office Retail
Source: Shopping centres and OOT – CBRE; Supermarkets – Morgan Williams; Central London offices – Knight Frank. Retail data includes: Shopping centres, out of town (£15m+ parks, 3+ tenants) and supermarkets
Long term average
101
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 All Retail Central London Offices
Retail and London Office Yields
Property Yields and interest rate yield gap
Source: IPD Source: IPD/Bloomberg
Property Yield vs 10 Year Gilt Yields
% NIY %
2016 (2.00)
4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 1994 1997 2000 2002 2005 2007 2010 2012 2015 Yield Gap UK 10 Year Gilt Yield IPD All Property Net Initial Yield
102
Central London take up
Q4 2016
Completed Pipeline Pre-let 10 year rolling average new and under-construction take-up
Source: CBRE
m sq ft
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
103
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Central London development pipeline
Q4 2016
Completed Pipeline Pre-let Potential Speculative U/C Pre-let U/C – Speculative 10 year rolling average new and under-construction take-up 10 year rolling average dev completions
Note: Forecast reflects agent’s estimate of earliest completions. Source: CBRE, British Land
m sq ft
104
West End development pipeline
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Completed Pipeline Pre-let Potential Speculative U/C Pre-let U/C – Speculative 10 year rolling average new and under-construction take-up 10 year rolling average dev completions
Note: Forecast reflects agent’s estimate of earliest completions Source: CBRE
Q4 2016
m sq ft
105
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
City development pipeline
Completed Pipeline Pre-let Potential Speculative U/C Pre-let U/C – Speculative 10 year rolling average new and under-construction take-up 10 year rolling average dev completions
Note: Forecast reflects agent’s estimate of earliest completions Source: CBRE
Q4 2016
m sq ft
106
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Q4 2016
Vacancy Central London
West End & City Vacancy Rates
Source: CBRE (historic)
City Void Rate (Period end) West End Void Rate (Period end) 10 year rolling average - City 10 year rolling average – West End
107
20 40 60 80 100 120 140
London office market rental outlook
Prime London Office Rents
2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2020 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Actual Forecast
West End City
Source: CBRE (historic) and Average Agents' Consensus (including PMA, November 16) for forecasts
£ psf
108
Disclaimer
The information contained in this presentation has been extracted largely from the Half Year Results Announcement for the period ended 30 September 2016 and is provided solely for information purposes. It does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to subscribe for or buy any security, nor a solicitation of any vote or approval in any jurisdiction, nor shall there be any sale, issuance or transfer of the securities referred to in this presentation in any jurisdiction in contravention of applicable law. The distribution of this presentation in jurisdictions other than the UK may be restricted by applicable law and regulation, and therefore any persons who are subject to the laws of any jurisdiction other than the UK should inform themselves of, and observe, any applicable requirements. Information contained in this presentation relating to British Land or its share price or the yield on its shares are not guarantees of, and should not be relied upon as an indicator of, future performance. Nothing in this presentation should be construed as a profit forecast or profit estimate. This presentation may contain certain ‘forward-looking’ statements. Such statements reflect current views on, among other things, our markets, activities, projections,
‘forward-looking’ terminology, including terms such as ‘believes’, ‘estimates’, ‘anticipates’, ‘expects’, ‘forecasts’, ‘intends’, ‘due’, ‘plans’, ‘projects’, ‘goal’, ‘outlook’, ‘schedule’, ‘target’, ‘aim’, ‘may’, ‘likely to’, ‘will’, ‘would’, ‘could’, ‘should’ or similar expressions or in each case their negative or other variations or comparable
circumstances which may or may not occur and may be beyond our ability to control or predict. Forward-looking statements should be regarded with caution as actual results may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by such statements. Important factors that could cause actual results, performance or achievements of British Land to differ materially from any outcomes or results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements are set out in the section headed “forward-looking statements” in the Half-Year Results Announcement. Forward-looking statements in this presentation which are attributable to British Land or persons acting on its behalf should therefore be construed in light of all such factors. Any forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of British Land speak only as of the date they are made. Such forward-looking statements are expressly qualified in their entirety by the factors referred to above and no representation, assurance, guarantee or warranty is given in relation to them (whether by British Land or any of its associates, directors, officers, employees or advisers), including as to their completeness, accuracy or the basis on which they were prepared. Other than in accordance with our legal and regulatory obligations (including under the UK Financial Conduct Authority’s Listing Rules, the Disclosure Rules and Transparency Rules and the Market Abuse Regulation), British Land does not intend or undertake to update or revise forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in British Land’s expectations with regard thereto or any changes in information, events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. This presentation shall not, under any circumstances, create any implication that there has been no change in the business or affairs of British Land since the date of this document or that the information contained herein is correct as at any time subsequent to this date.