Investor Presentation
March 2017
Presentation March 2017 Cautionary Note Certain statements - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Presentation March 2017 Cautionary Note Certain statements contained in this presentation may be forward-looking within the meaning of applicable securities laws. Such forward-looking statements reflect the intentions, plans,
March 2017
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Certain statements contained in this presentation may be forward-looking within the meaning of applicable securities laws. Such forward-looking statements reflect the intentions, plans, expectations and opinions of the management of Gaz Métro inc., acting in its capacity as General Partner of Gaz Métro Limited Partnership (“Gaz Métro”), acting as manager of Valener Inc. (“Valener”) (the “Management”) and are based on information currently available to Management and assumptions about future events. Forward- looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors beyond Management’s control. A number of factors could cause actual results of Gaz Métro and Valener to differ materially from the current expectations as expressed in the forward-looking statements. Although these forward-looking statements are based upon what Management believes to be reasonable assumptions, Management cannot assure investors that actual results will be consistent with these forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this presentation, and Management assumes no obligation to update or revise them to reflect new events or circumstances, except as required pursuant to applicable securities laws. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. The complete version of the cautionary note regarding forward-looking statements as well as a description
Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) of Valener for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2016 and is available on SEDAR under Valener’s profile at www.sedar.com Non-GAAP Financial Measures In the opinion of Management, certain financial measures provide readers with information considered useful for analyzing Valener's and Gaz Métro’s financial performance. However, certain financial measures are not defined by GAAP and should not be considered in isolation or as substitutes for other financial measures that are in accordance with GAAP. The results obtained might not be comparable with similar measures used by other issuers and should therefore be considered only as complementary information.
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TSX: VNR TSX: VNR.PR.A
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Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec (“CDPQ”)
Enbridge Inc.
Valener (TSX: VNR)
Publicly-traded company whose main assets consist of a:
providing Gaz Métro with potential access to public equity markets as required
Beaupré Wind Farms (340 MW contracted)
* CDPQ is Trencap’s GP and majority unitholder (59.64%)
100% 100% 61.11% 100% 38.89% 71% 29% 25.5% 24.5%
TRENCAP NOVERCO GAZ MÉTRO INC. (THE ISSUER) PUBLIC SEIGNEURIE DE BEAUPRÉ WIND FARMS (ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION) ENERGY DISTRIBUTION TRANSPORTATION OF NATURAL GAS ENERGY SERVICES, STORAGE & OTHER * (THE GUARANTOR)
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Data as of December 31, 2016
MORE THAN JUST A NATURAL GAS COMPANY
Energy Distribution Natural Gas Transportation Energy Services, Storage and Other Electricity Production
(1) Since December 21, 2016. Previously 50% ownership.
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 58% and 100% 100% (1) 40% to 60% 50% 38.3% 25.5%
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Natural gas distribution in Québec Natural gas distribution in Vermont Natural gas transportation Energy services, storage and Other Natural gas distribution in Québec Natural gas and electricity distribution in Vermont Natural gas transportation Electricity production Energy services, storage and Other
Data for fiscal years ended September 30, 2006 and 2016
$7.4 billion in assets Over 520,000 customers $2.8 billion in assets Over 200,000 customers INCREASING EXPOSURE TO U.S. ENERGY DISTRIBUTION
Fiscal year
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(2)
(1) Non GAAP financial measure. Refer to Appendix D for additional information and a reconciliation with GAAP financial measures. (2) Data presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP. As of October 1, 2015, Valener and Gaz Métro retrospectively adopted U.S. GAAP. Data for fiscal 2014 and prior years are presented in Canadian GAAP. Refer to the 2016 annual report for additional information on the impacts of the conversion to U.S. GAAP.
(2)
NEW 2016 RECORD
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UPSTREAM: electricity generation CORE: energy distribution DOWNSTREAM: customer-focused
Limited Partnership
(pending)
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Sustaining the core business and strengthening business development Increasing complementarity between businesses, beyond simple financial logic Partner of integrated energy solutions to U.S. and Canadian communities and a more sustainable economy
Logic of value creation through complementary businesses and integrated
Multi-energy: gas and electricity Two regions and regulators: Québec and Vermont Multiple businesses: generation, transportation, distribution and services
Financial logic of rate of return and risk diversification
Distribution network Storage Gas pipeline Logic of regulated return
QC VT
Our 4 businesses Generator Distributor Transporter Services provider
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Expands Gaz Métro’s presence and expertise in the rapidly growing U.S. solar energy industry
* Closing is subject to a regulatory approval and is expected by the end of April.
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(1) Energy Distribution – Vermont Gas Systems (“VGS”) (2) Energy Distribution – natural gas distribution in Québec (“Gaz Métro-QDA ”) (3) Energy Services, Storage and Other (4) Energy Distribution – Green Mountain Power (“GMP”) (5) Energy Distribution – Gaz Métro-QDA (renewable natural gas to be injected into Gaz Métro-QDA’s network) Note: all dates presented on a calendar basis
St-Hyacinthe biomethanation project on track to begin this spring
GASSED UP GASSED UP COMPLETED AUTOMATIC STAY LIFTED
both issuances are secured and rated A and A+ by DBRS and S&P, respectively proceeds were used to pay down part of Gaz Métro’s debt and for general corporate purposes
Gaz Métro to issue $100M of equity through a private placement Valener to subscribe to 29%
(1) Includes interests in entities subject to significant influence and other investments (2) Excludes interests in entities subject to significant influence and other investments (3) Includes 50% of the capital expenditures expected for TQM, reflecting Gaz Métro’s interest in the natural gas transportation company. (4) Represents Gaz Métro’s 58% interest in the project.
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(in millions of CAN$)
activities
$480M expected, as a result of: an additional $39M U.S. dollar investment by GMP in Transco a stronger U.S. dollar GMP’s investment in 5 solar parks
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GAZ MÉTRO VALENER Adjusted EBITDA1 $754.2 M n/a Adjusted funds from operations1 n/a $61.2 M Net income attributable to Partners $ 224.3 M n/a Net income attributable to common shareholders n/a $ 50.4 M Adjusted net income1 $228.3 M $53.7 M Adjusted EPS1 n/a $1.39 Cash flows related to operating activities $ 549.8 M $58.5 M Normalized operating cash flows1 n/a $54.2 M Normalized operating cash flows per common share1 n/a $1.40 Payout ratio1,2,3 85.1% 77.3% Long-term debt interest coverage ratio/interest coverage ratio1 5.8x 34.0x Total debt $3,707.6 M $90.3 M Debt/total capitalization1 66.0% 10.5% Unused portion of credit facilities $415.1 M $108.7 M S&P corporate credit rating A n/a DBRS corporate credit rating A n/a
1) Non-GAAP financial measures. Refer to Appendix D for additional information and reconciliation with GAAP financial measures. 2) Based on distributions and dividends paid over adjusted net income. 3) Includes value of shares issued under Valener’s dividend reinvestment plan. Note: data presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP
For the twelve months ended December 31, 2016 STRONG CREDIT RATING AMPLE LIQUIDITY
1 Projected rate base in the 2017 rate case filed with the Régie de l’énergie. 2 Approved ROE for fiscal 2017.
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1 Fiscal year 2016
RESIDENTIAL COMMERCIAL INDUSTRIAL
Customers 140,245 70.0% Customers 52,141 26.1% Customers 7,871 3.9% Volume 19.72 Bcf 9.9% Volume 60.37 Bcf 30.1% Volume 120.06 Bcf 60.0% % of distribution revenues ≈ 19,0% % of distribution revenues ≈ 43,5% % of distribution revenues ≈ 37,5% 17
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(1)
For the natural gas distribution activity in Québec. Based on prices as at January 1, 2017.
(2)
Using high-efficiency equipment.
MARKET COMPETING ENERGY SAVINGS (1) Industrial
e.g. large companies in petrochemical and metallurgical industries
#6 fuel oil up to 19%
Commercial and institutional
e.g. hospitals, schools, restaurants
Electricity 36% (small business) 52% (large business) #2 fuel oil 37% (small business) 53% (large business)
Residential heating (2)
Electricity 13% to 23% #2 fuel oil 18% to 27%
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(1) Based on 2017 rate case as approved by Vermont Public Service Board (VPSB)
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1 Based on the MOU entered into with the Vermont Department of Public Service. VGS’s 2017 rate
case is currently under review by the Vermont Public Service Board.
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1 National Energy Board (Canada) 2 Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (United States) 3 With respect to revenue determination, tolls, construction and the operation of its network
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(1) Including financing costs. Non-recourse financing in place for both wind farms.
A QUÉBEC CONSORTIUM
Gaz Métro (25.5%) / Valener (24.5%) and Boralex Inc. (50%)
property
Long-term cash flows supported by 20-year PPAs with Hydro-Québec
$35M (100%) May 2016 Refinancing of Wind Farms 2 and 3
INSTALLED CAPACITY NUMBER OF TURBINES INVESTMENT START-UP
Wind Farms 2 & 3 272 MW 126 ≈ $750M(1)
Wind Farm 4 68 MW 28 ≈ $190M(1)
TOTAL 340 MW 154 ≈ $940M
clients and with respect to its deployment of refueling stations
refueling network for heavy transportation vehicles in Québec and Ontario
and liquefied) as a fuel in the heavy transport market and as a cleaner alternative to diesel fuel
Québec (IQ)
plant located in Eastern Montreal
(1) Gaz Métro’s natural gas liquefaction, storage and re-gasification plant
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meet the peak energy needs of the TransCanada Energy power plant in Bécancour and similar projects
Supplying LNG to a Stornoway diamond mine over 1,000km from Montreal
to heat and cool commercial buildings
commercial space in downtown Montréal
equipment
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* Source: 2017 rate case, approved by the Régie de l’énergie on Oct. 14, 2016 (D-2016-156)
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Source: 2017 rate case, approved by the Régie de l’énergie on Oct. 14, 2016 (D-2016-156) Note: some differences due to rounding
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Based on 2017 rate case as approved by the Régie de l’énergie on Oct. 14, 2016 (D-2016-156).
(1) Gaz Métro-QDA’s authorized ROE includes 0.79% in productivity gain (2) VGS’s 2017 rate case is currently under review by the Vermont Public Service Board (VPSB). GMP’s ROE for fiscal 2017 as approved by VPSB in September 2016.
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9.69% 8.90% 8.90% 8.90% 8.90% 8.90% 9.93% 8.84% 9.58% 9.60% 9.44% 9.02% 10.25% 9.75% 10.26% 10.20% 10.09% 8.50%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Gaz Métro-QDA GMP VGS
FISCAL YEAR
(2) (1)
(2)
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New Previous New Previous
Nov 27 2015: increase in Gaz Métro’s distribution announced Nov 24 2016: 3rd increase in Valener’s dividend announced
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Dividend per share Record date Payable DRIP Discount
Common shares $0.28 March 31, 2017 April 17, 2017 2% on newly issued shares Series A preferred shares $0.271875 April 7, 2017 April 17, 2017 Not applicable
New annualized dividend of $1.12 per common share Target of $1.16 per common share per year for 2018
37 Target annualized level: $1.16 Current annualized level: $1.12
Fiscal year
(1)
Based on dividends paid.
100% (in millions of CAN$, unless otherwise indicated)
2016 2015 2016 2015 Production (MWh) 809,283 903,431 206,768 180,214 Utilization factor (1) (%) 33.9 37.9 34.6 36.3 Cash flows relating to operating activities 50.1 60.0 23.3 5.4 Total distributions paid 103.0 40.6 5.3 17.6 2016 2015 Revenues from power sales 109.4 116.7 EBITDA (4) 93.7 101.9 EBITDA (4) margin (%) 85,6 87.3
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(1) Utilization factor is calculated as electricity produced divided by installed capacity (in MWh) (2) Includes a $12.9 million payment received from Hydro-Québec related to a note receivable for the reimbursement of certain construction costs. (3) Includes the $80 million return of capital from Beaupré Éole received on May 4, 2016 as a result of the refinancing of Wind Farms 2 and 3. (4) EBITDA is a non-U.S. GAAP financial measure. Valener defines it as income (loss) before interest on long-term debt, income taxes, depreciation and amortization. Management considers EBITDA to be useful for measuring the financial performance of the wind farms, as this measure is commonly used in the industry and focuses on operational performance. (2) (3)
VALENER : 24.5% GAZ MÉTRO : 25.5%
100% (in millions of CAN$, unless otherwise indicated)
Q1 2017 Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2016 Production (MWh) 213,312 208,915 55,232 52,141 Utilization factor (1) (%) 35.5 34.8 36.8 34.8 Cash flows relating to operating activities 13.5 15.2 2.3 15.8 Total distributions paid
Q1 2016 Revenues from power sales 28.9 28.0 EBITDA (3) 25.8 24.2 EBITDA (3) margin (%) 89.3 86.4
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(1) Utilization factor is calculated as electricity produced divided by installed capacity (in MWh) (2) Includes a $12.9 million payment received from Hydro-Québec related to a note receivable for the reimbursement of certain construction costs. (3) EBITDA is a non-U.S. GAAP financial measure. Valener defines it as income (loss) before interest on long-term debt, income taxes, depreciation and amortization. Management considers EBITDA to be useful for measuring the financial performance of the wind farms, as this measure is commonly used in the industry and focuses on operational performance.
VALENER : 24.5% GAZ MÉTRO : 25.5%
(2)
42 For the fiscal years ended September 30, (in millions of CAN$)
LTM 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 Net income attributable to Partners 224.3 277.5 181.0 174.7 180.4 143.8 164.0 Impact of recognizing regulatory assets related to employee future benefits
Addison project 16.5 16.5 8.0
(12.5)
1.8 Gain on the sale of MTO
Loss on the sale of Aqua Data
Corporate reorganization expenses
Gain realized by Gaz Métro Éole on the sale of 49% of its interest in the Seigneurie projects
Adjusted net income attributable to Partners 228.3 214.7 189.0 174.7 165.7 151.6 147.5
Adjusted net income attributable to Partners: is the net income attributable to Partners, net of specific items identified by management as being outside Gaz Métro’s ongoing
performance. (1) LTM refers to last twelve months ended December 31, 2016 (2) Data presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP. As of October 1, 2015, Valener and Gaz Métro retrospectively adopted U.S. GAAP. Data for fiscal 2014 and prior years are presented in Canadian GAAP. * Differences due to rounding
(2) (2)
(1,2)
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Adjusted EBITDA: is income (loss) before amortization, interest on long-term debt, financial and other expenses, and income taxes, and excludes specific items identified by management as being outside of Gaz Métro’s ongoing operations. (1) LTM refers to last twelve months ended December 31, 2016 (2) Data presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP. As of October 1, 2015, Valener and Gaz Métro retrospectively adopted U.S. GAAP. Data for fiscal 2014 and prior years are presented in Canadian GAAP. * Differences due to rounding
For the fiscal years ended September 30, (in millions of CAN$)
LTM 2016 2015 2014 Net income 226.9 279.8 185.9 173.8 Income taxes 44.0 41.6 45.2 47.9 Interest on long-term debt 130.4 129.6 132.9 155.7 Amortization (includes amortization in direct costs) 340.2 334.7 282.0 247.8 Financial and other expenses (1.3) (0.9) 2.9 (5.6) Impact of recognizing regulatory assets related to employee future benefits
26.5 26.5 13.5
(12.5)
754.2 732.0 662.4 619.6
(2) (2)
(1,2)
44 As at September 30, (in millions of CAN$, unless otherwise indicated)
LTM 2016 2015 Adjusted EBITDA 754.2 732.0 662.4 Interest on long-term debt 130.4 129.6 132.9 Long-term debt interest coverage ratio 5.8x 5.6x 5.0x
Long-term debt interest coverage ratio: is obtained by dividing total interest on long-term debt by adjusted EBITDA, as previously defined. (1) LTM refers to last twelve months ended December 31, 2016 Data presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP. As of October 1, 2015, Valener and Gaz Métro retrospectively adopted U.S. GAAP. * Differences due to rounding
(1)
45 As at September 30, (in millions of CAN$, unless otherwise indicated)
Q1 2016 2015 2014 Bank loans 66.1 15.8 29.0
10.4 10.1 9.8 27.0 Long-term debt 3,631.1 3,464.4 3,101.4 3,140.8 Total debt 3,707.6 3,490.3 3,140.2 3,167.8 Total equity 1,911.6 1,810.3 1,728.2 1,482.4 Total capitalization 5,619.2 5,300.6 4,868.4 4,650.2 Debt / total capitalization ratio 66.0% 65.8% 64.5% 68.1%
Total debt to capitalization ratio: This ratio consists of total debt divided by total capitalization. Total debt is the sum of bank loans, long-term debt and the current portion of long-term debt. Total capitalization is the sum of total debt and total equity. The Partnership uses this ratio to measure its accessibility to debt financing that enables it to seize future growth opportunities. (1) Q1 refers to data as at December 31, 2016 (2) Data presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP. As of October 1, 2015, Valener and Gaz Métro retrospectively adopted U.S. GAAP. Data for fiscal 2014 and prior years are presented in Canadian GAAP. * Differences due to rounding
(2) (2)
(1,2)
46 For the fiscal years ended September 30, (in millions of CAN$)
LTM 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 Distributions received from equity-accounted interests 63.3 62.1 64.2 49.1 54.6 47.7 General and administrative expenses (2.1) (2.1) (2.1) (2.5) (2.1) (2.0) Adjusted funds from operations 61.2 60.0 62.1 46.6 52.5 45.7
Adjusted funds from operations: is actual distributions received from equity-accounted interests, net of general and administrative expenses and excluding any distribution received on the preferred shares. (1) LTM refers to last twelve months ended December 31, 2016 (2) Data presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP. As of October 1, 2015, Valener and Gaz Métro retrospectively adopted U.S. GAAP. Data for fiscal 2014 and prior years presented in Canadian GAAP.
(1,2) (2)
(2)
Adjusted net income attributable to common shareholders: The net income (loss) attributable to common shareholders, net of the specific items identified by the management of the manager as not being part of the ongoing operations of Valener and of Gaz Métro. These adjustments consist of (i) the gains or losses on derivative financial instruments (net of the related income taxes), (ii) the share in the adjustments to the net income of Gaz Métro (net of the related income taxes), and (iii) the deferred income tax expense (benefit) related to the outside-basis temporary difference on the interest in Gaz Métro which is the difference between the carrying value of the interest in Gaz Métro and the tax basis assuming a disposal of the investment on the balance sheet date. The management of the manager believes this assumption is not reflective of Valener’s mission given the permanency of its investment in Gaz Métro. This measure is used by the management of the manager to measure Valenerʼs profitability from ongoing operations and to exclude items that could alter analyses of its business performance. Adjusted net income attributable to common shareholders, per common share: The adjusted net income attributable to common shareholders, divided by the basic and diluted weighted average number of common shares outstanding of Valener. This measure is used by the management of the manager to measure Valenerʼs profitability from ongoing operations and to exclude items that could alter analyses of business performance. (1) LTM refers to last twelve months ended December 31, 2016 (2) Data presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP. As of October 1, 2015, Valener and Gaz Métro retrospectively adopted U.S. GAAP. Data for fiscal 2014 and prior years presented in Canadian GAAP.
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For the fiscal years ended September 30, (in millions of CAN$, except per share amounts)
LTM 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 Net income 50.4 66.5 49.1 41.0 41.5 29.6 Loss on derivative financial instrument 3.9 4.6 4.0
(1.0) (1.2) (1.1)
1.2 (18.2) 2.3
2.3 Deferred income taxes related to the outside-basis temporary difference on the interest in Gaz Métro 2.8 2.5 (4.8)
0.7
(0.1) Cumulative dividends on Series A preferred shared (4.3) (4.3) (4.3) (4.3) (4.3) (1.6) Adjusted net income attributable to common shareholders 53.7 49.9 45.2 36.7 34.0 30.2 Basic and diluted weighted average number of common shares outstanding (in millions) 38.6 38.5 38.2 37.9 37.7 37.5 Adjusted net income attributable to common shareholders, per common share $1.39 $1.30 $1.18 $0.97 $0.90 $0.81
(2) (2)
(1,2)
Normalized operating cash flows: Normalized operating cash flows corresponds to cash flows related to operating activities less cumulative dividends paid to preferred
shareholders. Normalized operating cash flows per common share: Normalized operating cash flows per common share corresponds to normalized operating cash flows divided by the weighted average number of common shares outstanding of Valener. This measure is used by the management of the manager to evaluate the Company’s financial performance and ability to pay dividends to common shareholders. (1) LTM refers to last twelve months ended December 31, 2016 (2) Data presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP. As of October 1, 2015, Valener and Gaz Métro retrospectively adopted U.S. GAAP. Data for fiscal 2014 and prior years presented in Canadian GAAP.
For the fiscal years ended September 30, (in millions of CAN$, except per share amounts)
LTM 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 Cash flows related to operating activities 58.5 56.7 62.9 43.1 45.2 23.8 Dividends to preferred shareholders (4.3) (4.3) (4.3) (4.3) (4.8)
54.2 52.4 58.6 38.8 40.4 23.8 Weighted average number of common shares outstanding (in millions) 38.6 38.5 38.2 37.9 37.7 37.5 Normalized operating cash flows per common share $1.40 $1.36 $1.53 $1.02 $1.07 $0.63
(2) (2)
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(1,2)
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Interest coverage ratio: is obtained by dividing total interest on long-term debt by adjusted funds from operations. (1) LTM refers to last twelve months ended December 31, 2016 Data presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP. As of October 1, 2015, Valener and Gaz Métro retrospectively adopted U.S. GAAP.
As at September 30, (in millions of CAN$, unless otherwise indicated)
LTM 2016 2015 Distributions received from equity-accounted interests 63.3 62.1 64.2 General and administrative expenses (2.1) (2.1) (2.1) Adjusted funds from operations 61.2 60.0 62.1 Interest on long-term debt 1.8 1.9 1.6 Interest coverage ratio 34.0x 31.6x 38.8x
(1)
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Debt / total capitalization ratio: is the total amount of long-term debt, divided by total capitalization. Total capitalization is equal to the total amount of long-term debt and total equity. The management of the manager uses this ratio to measure Valener’s accessibility to debt financing that enables it to participate in Gaz Métro’s development and seize future growth opportunities. (1) Q1 refers to data as at December 31, 2016 (2) Data presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP. As of October 1, 2015, Valener and Gaz Métro retrospectively adopted U.S. GAAP. Data for fiscal 2014 and prior years presented in Canadian GAAP.
As at September 30, (in millions of CAN$, unless otherwise indicated)
Q1 2016 2015 2014 Long-term debt 90.3 85.2 121.0 66.8 Total equity 770.5 744.2 718.5 713.5 Total capitalization 860.8 829.4 839.5 780.3 Debt / total capitalization ratio 10.5% 10.3% 14.4% 8.6%
(2) (2)
(1,2)