CORPORATE PRESENTATION
OCTOBER 2015
PRESENTATION OCTOBER 2015 DELPHI: FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
CORPORATE PRESENTATION OCTOBER 2015 DELPHI: FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS The presentation contains forward-looking statements and forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws. These statements relate to
OCTOBER 2015
The presentation contains forward-looking statements and forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws. These statements relate to future events
forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are often, but not always, identified by the use of any of the words “expect”, “anticipate”, “continue”, “estimate”, “may”, “will”, “should”, “believe”, "intends”, “forecast”, “plans”, “guidance”, “budget” and similar expressions. More particularly and without limitation, this presentation contains forward-looking statements and information relating to petroleum and natural gas production estimates and weighting, projected crude oil and natural gas prices, future exchange rates, expectations as to royalty rates, expectations as to transportation and operating costs, expectations as to general and administrative costs and interest expense, expectations as to capital expenditures and net debt, planned capital spending, future liquidity and Delphi’s ability to fund ongoing capital requirements through operating cash flows and its credit facilities, supply and demand fundamentals for
treatment under governmental regulatory regimes and tax laws and future environmental regulations. Furthermore, statements relating to “reserves” are deemed to be forward-looking statements as they involve the implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions that the reserves described can be profitable in the future. The forward-looking statements and information contained in this presentation are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by Delphi. The following are certain material assumptions on which the forward-looking statements and information contained in this presentation are based: the stability of the global and national economic environment, the stability of and commercial acceptability of tax, royalty and regulatory regimes applicable to Delphi, exploitation and development activities being consistent with management’s expectations, production levels of Delphi being consistent with management’s expectations, the absence of significant project delays, the stability of oil and gas prices, the absence of significant fluctuations in foreign exchange rates and interest rates, the stability of costs of oil and gas development and production in Western Canada, including operating costs, the timing and size of development plans and capital expenditures, availability of third party infrastructure for transportation, processing or marketing of oil and natural gas volumes, prices and availability of oilfield services and equipment being consistent with management’s expectations, the availability of, and competition for, among other things, pipeline capacity, skilled personnel and drilling and related services and equipment, results of development and exploitation activities that are consistent with management’s expectations, weather affecting Delphi’s ability to develop and produce as expected, contracted parties providing goods and services on the agreed timeframes, Delphi’s ability to manage environmental risks and hazards and the cost of complying with environmental regulations, the accuracy of operating cost estimates, the accurate estimation of oil and gas reserves, future exploitation, development and production results and Delphi’s ability to market oil and natural gas successfully to current and new customers. Additionally, estimates as to expected average annual production rates assume that no unexpected outages occur in the infrastructure that the Company relies on to produce its wells, that existing wells continue to meet production expectations and any future wells scheduled to come on in the coming year meet timing and production expectations. Commodity prices used in the determination of forecast revenues are based upon general economic conditions, commodity supply and demand forecasts and publicly available price forecasts. The Company continually monitors its forecast assumptions to ensure the stakeholders are informed of material variances from previously communicated
events, including economic conditions and proposed courses of action, based on management’s assessment of the relevant information currently available. Readers are cautioned that such financial outlook information contained in this presentation should not be used for purposes other than for which it is disclosed. Although the Company believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements and information are reasonable, it can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct and such forward-looking statements should not be unduly relied upon. Since forward-looking statements and information address future events and conditions, by their very nature they involve inherent known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Delphi’s actual results, performance or achievements could differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, these forward-looking statements and, accordingly, no assurance can be given that any of the events anticipated by the forward-looking statements will transpire or occur, or if any of them do so, what benefits Delphi will derive
from those currently anticipated due to a number of factors and risks. These include, but are not limited to, the risks associated with the oil and gas industry in general such as operational risks in development, exploration and production, delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures, the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to production rates, costs and expenses, commodity price and exchange rate fluctuations, marketing and transportation, environmental risks, competition from others for scarce resources, the ability to access sufficient capital from internal and external sources, changes in governmental regulation of the oil and gas industry and changes in tax, royalty and environmental legislation. Additional information on these and other factors that could affect the Company’s operations or financial results are included in the Company’s most recent Annual Information Form and other reports on file with the applicable securities regulatory authorities and may be accessed through the SEDAR website (www.sedar.com). Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Furthermore, the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are made as of the date of this presentation for the purpose of providing the readers with the Company’s expectations for the coming year. The forward-looking statements and information may not be appropriate for other purposes. Delphi undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements or information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless so required by applicable securities laws. The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement. 2 October 2015
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Montney liquids-rich resource development
Tower Creek
Bigstone-Montney Hythe
Dawson Creek
Cashflow
Grande Prairie
CORPORATE INFO DEEP BASIN – NORHWEST ALBERTA Trading Symbol TSX:DEE Basic Shares Outstanding 155.5 million Market Capitalization $121 million Q2 2015 Production 10,210 boe/d
Undeveloped Land (net) 141,000 acres Net Debt June 30, 2015 $124 million Total Credit Capacity $189 million
October 2015
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October 2015
5 October 2015
Elmworth Wapiti Kakwa Delphi Bigstone
Source of Data: geoSCOUT
Large data set 488 Montney wells on production
6 October 2015
Drilling remains active with 106 Montney wells rig released YTD 2015
production as of the date of this analysis
This analysis is based upon wells which have Montney production reported and available to the public. Data has been sourced from geoSCOUT.
50 100 150 200 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Producing Wells by Rig Release Date Total Wells: 488
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Producing Wells by Operator
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
IP180 (mcf/d) by Year
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Average Horizontal Length (m)
7 October 2015
Horizontal Length (m)
Delphi Ave
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 0-1,000 1,001-1,500 1,501-2,000 2,001-2,500 2,501-3,000 3,000+
Number of Wells
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000
Average Horizontal Length (m)
5 10 15 20 25 30 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Average Number of Frac Stages/Well
8 October 2015 Frac Stages per Well
Delphi Ave
Evolution of frac design/recipe has also had a significant positive impact to productivity
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 0 - 10 11 - 15 16 - 20 21 - 25 26 - 30 31 - 35 36 - 40
Number of Wells
5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Average Number of Frac Stages/Well
15 18 19 60 36 59 33 38 66 18 60 23 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500
IP90 (mcf/d) 441 wells
9 October 2015
IP’s based on publicly reported gas rates only
17 14 46 18 30 48 25 36 55 15 16 47 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500
IP180 (mcf/d) 362 wells
15 9 29 28 13 25 22 31 32 15 39 11 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000
IP365 (mcf/d) 260 wells
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
IP180 (mcf/d)
Delphi Ave
10 October 2015 Number IP30 IP30 IP30 IP90 IP180 IP270 IP365 HZ Length
Total Sales FCond Rate Total NGL Total Sales Total Sales Total Sales Total Sales Yield (metres) (boe/d) (bbls/d) (bbl/mmcf) (boe/d) (boe/d) (boe/d) (boe/d) 16-30 #1 2,760 20 1,099 273 104 798 558 454 395 05-02 #2 3,005 20 969 170 80 683 479 407 352 14-23 #3 2,238 20 1,570 223 70 939 635 532 445 15-10 #4 1,424 20 991 194 86 842 660 559 482 12-17 S.BS Expl(3) 1,848 26 865 199 102 719 554 470 415 2,400 – 3,000 30 - 40 1,629 449 119 1,306 1,083 943 843 10-27 #5 2,407 30 1,815 582 133 1,667 1,364 1,173 1,019 16-23 #6 2,809 30 1,781 465 108 1,502 1,235 1,068 964 15-24 #7 2,328 30 1,387 454 136 1,221 1,059 944 853 15-30 #8 3,014 30 2,076 566 113 1,837 1,517 1,324 1,164 15-21 #9 2,886 30 1,293 499 170 1,053 875 769 689 13-30 #10 2,593 30 2,075 655 136 1,750 1,457 1,268 1,119 02-01 #11 2,807 30 634 209 142 498 422 367 329 02-07 #12 2,702 30 1,116 327 126 940 750 647 570 08-21 #13 2,692 30 978 280 123 870 712 607 529 16-15 #14 2,949 30 1,503 298 91 1,217 1,017 861 749 03-26 #15 2,601 30 1,053 330 134 755 592 506 13-23 #16 2,161 30 1,556 400 111 1,282 966 820 16-27 #17 2,883 40 1,659 413 108 1,296 1,045 890 12-27 #18 2,662 30 1,670 593 154 1,337 1,102 16-24 #19 2,802 40 1,182 410 150 13-24 #20 2,716 40 1,526 469 132 14-30 #21 2,729 37 Average Wells #5 through #21 1,456 434 129 1,230 1,008 865 798 Well(2) Initial Production (IP) Rate Well Performance (1) Type Well
(1) Average production calculated on operating days, excludes non-producing days. Includes estimated NGL gas plant recoveries. (2) Wells numbered chronologically. (3) Initial Exploration Well on Delphi's South Bigstone Lands.
Conventional Fracs (original completion technique) Slickwater Hybrid Fracs (new completion technique)
11 October 2015
13 of 15 Delphi Horizontal Montney wells from 2013-2015 on the Top 100 Montney Alberta Gas/Condensate Wells Batting average 0.867 Innovation and Evolution
Company # of wells in Top 100 Total # of wells % in Top 100 Sinopec Daylight 1 3 33% Delphi 13 15 87% Seven Generations 33 55 60% XTO Energy 2 10 20% NuVista 13 31 42% Tourmaline 1 2 50% Cequence 9 20 45% Paramount 20 47 43% Rife Resources 1 1 100% Encana 3 43 7% CIOC 1 1 100% Conoco Phillips 1 7 14% Athabasca 1 4 25% Shell Canada 1 7 14%
12 October 2015
Over a 5 year period, industry improved overall drilling penetration rates by over 50%. Fewer days = lower costs
50 100 150 200 250 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Average Penetration Rate (m/d)
Only 2 wells in 2008 dataset (both with horizontal lateral lengths less than 800m)
Delphi Ave
10 20 30 40 50 60
Average Spud to TD (days)
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200
Average Penetration Rate (m/d)
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5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 Plan 2015 Current 2015 Target
($/boe/d)
IP90 Day Capital Efficiencies
90 Day D&C $ Efficiency ($/boe/d) 90 Day Comp $ Efficiency ($/boe/d)
IP 90 production data taken from public sources for 2012 to 2014
Montney Capital Efficiencies
well have trended down by 26 percent from $11.0 million in 2012
compared to $10.2 in 2014
capital costs are $5.5 to $6.0 million per well
in 2016 over 2015
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 2012 2013 2014 Old Target 2015 Current 2015 Target
Cost per Frac Stage ($000) D&C Costs ($ 000) DEE Well Costs
Well costs down 26 percent
October 2015
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0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 2012 2013 2014 1H 15
Montney Costs ($/boe)
Op Costs Transportation Op Costs down 40 percent
Montney Operating Costs
economies of scale, processing arrangements and reduction in cost of services
October 2015
32 56 55 53 10 13 11 10 11 13 12 13 14 14 17 18
40 60 80 100 120 2012 2013 2014 1H 15
Field Condensate Plant Condensate Butane Propane
Montney Liquids Yield (bbls/mmcf) Liquids Yield Improved with Slickwater Fracs
utilizing slickwater hybrid fracs beginning in 2013
three years ~95 bbls/mmcf (70% field and plant condensate)
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Montney Production Still Growing in 2015
800 boe/d in Feb 2013 to over 8,000 boe/d in Nov 2014
average 6,344 boe/d
grow by 5 to 10% over 2014
2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 2012 2013 2014 1H 15
Montney Production (boe/d)
124% Growth in 2014 vs 2013
October 2015
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 2012 2013 2014 1H 15
Field Condensate Production (boe/d)
More than doubled
volumes
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Montney Development
reserves
Montney reserves to 50.7 million boe
company reserves after the Wapiti disposition in July 2015
3,375 18,706 27,999 7,631 14,394 22,729 2011 2012 2013 2014
Montney Reserves (P+P)
Probable (mboe) Proved (mboe) 50,728 3,269 33,100 11,006 2011 2012 2013 2014 Legacy Assets Montney 74% 68% 46% 92% 54% 26% 8% 32%
19% 1% 31% 45%
Montney Reserves by Category
PDP PDNP PUD PA
October 2015
17 Rge19 Rge18 Twp 61 Twp 60 Twp 58
Future DEE Amine Plant (2017?) SemCAMS KA Delphi Montney production switched to SemCAMS K3 September/14
TCPL Alliance
SemCAMS K3
Alliance TCPL
Rge25W5 Rge24 Rge23 Rge22
Delphi 7-11 Saturn Deep Cut TCPL TCPL Alliance TLM BWGP CFGGS Tie-in option to TLM Edson Plant for acid gas Delphi 5-8 New 100% DEE Water Disposal Well
Bigstone
compression facility
processing plant
Montney boe
Delphi’s growth plans
2015
and project economics
October 2015
18
Delphi 100% owned Water Disposal Facility
injection in excess of 3,000 bbl/d
required
October 2015
19
10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Dec-15 Feb-16 Apr-16 Jun-16 Aug-16 Oct-16 Dec-16 Feb-17 Apr-17 Jun-17 Aug-17 Oct-17 Dec-17 Feb-18 Apr-18 Jun-18 Aug-18 Oct-18 Dec-18 Feb-19 Apr-19 Jun-19 Aug-19 Oct-19 Dec-19 Feb-20 Apr-20 Jun-20 Aug-20 Oct-20
Alliance Capacity (mmcf/d)
Staged firm service capacity to deliver natural gas to the Chicago gas market. Priority interruptible service allocation of an additional 25% capacity. Renewal rights on firm service included in agreement. Q2 2015 Average Natural Gas Production
increase in area volume deliverability has constrained market access for companies that do not hold Firm service
have magnified the deliverability constraint in the local area
volumes to an end-user market via Alliance transportation and physical delivery to the Chicago gas market
October 2015
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Natural Gas (Cdn) Dec 2015 2016 2017 Volume (mmcf/d) 4.7 2.8 2.4 % Hedged (1) 15% 9% 8% Fixed Price (Cdn $/mcf) $3.95 $3.64 $3.96 Strip Price (Cdn $/mcf) $2.58 $2.65 $2.98 Natural Gas (US) Dec 2015 2016 2017 2018 Volume (mmcf/d) 22.5 23.5 15.0 10.0 % Hedged (1) 70% 73% 47% 31% Fixed Price (US $/mcf) $3.34 $3.50 $3.66 $3.56 Strip Price (US $/mcf) $2.49 $2.67 $2.94 $3.02 % US Revenue Hedged 59% 83% 68% 23% US/Cdn Hedge FX Rate $1.242 $1.263 $1.284 $1.257 Crude Oil Dec 2015 2016 Volume (bbls/d) 1,220 800 % Hedged (1) 81% 53% Floor Price (WTI Cdn $/bbl) $80.00 $78.50 Ceiling Price (WTI Cdn $/bbl) (2)
Strip Price (WTI Cdn $/bbl) $59.96 $64.71
(1) Percent hedged is based on average natural gas production of 32 mmcf/d and 1,500 bbls/d of condensate and C5+. (2) 400 bbls/d have upside to a ceiling price of $85.00 per barrel at a deferred cost of $4.02 per barrel.
September 30, 2015 Mark-to-Market value of $22.4 million
October 2015
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$0.00 $1.50 $3.00 $4.50 $6.00 $7.50 $9.00
$0.0 $5.0 $10.0 $15.0 $20.0 $25.0 $30.0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 1H 2015 Hedge Gain(Loss) ($ millions) AECO ($/mcf)
Cumulative hedge gains of $74.9 million. Well hedged through 2018 to protect cash flow and well economics.
October 2015
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Resthaven East Bigstone Fir South Bigstone West Bigstone
Exxon Chevron ATH DEE Exxon ECA Exxon Exxon Conoco
sections since 2010
the liquids-rich play
East Bigstone
East Bigstone
rights with production, plant and pipeline infrastructure
sections
Continue to pursue additional Montney acquisition/farm-in
Bigstone
October 2015
10-27 16-30 5-2 CLT 10 wells NAL 2 wells 15-10 15-21 2-1 2-7 8-21 3-26 12-17 16-15 ATH 4 wells DEI 3 wells
To KA Sour Plant
12-27 16-24
23
m to 3,000 m
frac designs
3,000 m
design
to initial 3 gelled oil frac wells
Bigstone area
frac design testing sand concentration, frac water volumes and number of frac stages in the lateral
productivity infill drilling
DEE 7-11 Sour Montney Facility Expanding to 55 mmcf/d in Q1 2016
October 2015
Conoco Completed in 2013 Conoco Completed in 1H 2014 Exxon License Conoco Drilled in 2H 2014 Delphi 9-4 Well Conventional Gelled Oil Frac in 2012 New Athabasca well producing 120 bbl/mmcf condensate 4 new Athabasca well licenses Athabasca well drilled and completed
24 October 2015
West Bigstone Montney:
than East Bigstone
with industry active in the area
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2015 Guidance Post Wapiti Disposition Average Annual Production (boe/d) 9,800 – 10,200 Exit Production Rate (boe/d) 10,000 – 11,000 AECO Natural Gas Price (Cdn $ per mcf) $2.75 WTI Oil Price (US $ per bbl) $54.00 Natural Gas Liquids Price (Cdn $ per bbl) 22.30 Foreign Exchange Rate (US/Cdn) 1.26 Well Count 4.0 – 5.0 gross Net Capital Program ($ million) ($4.0) - $4.0 Funds from Operations ($ million) $40.0 – $43.0 Net Debt at December 31 ($ million) $127.0 - $132.0 Net Debt / Q4 FFO (annualized) 2.7 – 2.9
October 2015
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October 2015
27
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West Bigstone: 27 sections
East Bigstone: 79 sections
below existing DEE production
acquisition and farm-in in 2011/12
(75% WI)
sections
added Sept/14
South Bigstone: 33 sections
Farm-in added an additional 32.5 sections (75% WI) Includes Nordegg/Montney rights
October 2015
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East Bigstone
22 producing wells
Fir
10 producing wells
West Bigstone
Upper Montney +100 Locations
South Bigstone
Lower Montney Exploration West Bigstone
1 DEE producing well 3 Industry wells completed
East Bigstone
Development/Manufacturing Mode +100 Locations
Area of Focus
22 DEE Producing Montney Horizontals
October 2015
30
Montney Production still growing in 2015
in Feb 2013 to over 8,000 boe/d in Nov 2014
in Dec 2014
to 10% over 2014
Hythe Bigstone Cretaceous Bigstone Montney Wapiti Tower Creek Other
2015 YTD Production 10,604 boe/d
4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Gas(boe/d) Oil(bbls/d) NGLs(bbls/d) 10,549 8,870 8,086 8,241 8,276
4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000
Q412 Q113 Q213 Q313 Q413 Q114 Q214 Q314 Q414 14Exit
Bigstone Montney Other
Montney Production Growth from 800 to 8,000 boe/d
28% Growth
October 2015
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Growth in Montney Reserves
25% 2% 31% 42% PDP PDNP PUD PA
Montney Development
to 50.7 mmboe Delphi Capital Efficiencies (proved plus probable)
Delphi YE 2014 Net Asset Value
15,108 19,267 25,520 31,434 307 281 402 478 2011 2012 2013 2014 Probable (mboe) Proved (mboe) Reserves /1,000 shares 74,368 40,182 25,074 36,142 61,662 23,796 43,063
2014 vs 2013
42,934
October 2015
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33 October 15, 2015
300, 500 – 4th Avenue SW Calgary, Alberta T2P 2V6 P (403) 265-6171 F (403) 265-6207 info@delphienergy.ca www.delphienergy.ca
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