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Presentation of 2009 Actuarial Valuation Results Systems - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Presentation of 2009 Actuarial Valuation Results Systems Administered by Public Employees Retirement Board Presented By Stephen McElhaney, FSA October 29, 2009 Discussion Topics Covered Systems Historical Trends 2009


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Presentation of 2009 Actuarial Valuation Results

Systems Administered by Public Employees’ Retirement Board

Presented By Stephen McElhaney, FSA October 29, 2009

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Discussion Topics

  • Covered Systems
  • Historical Trends
  • 2009 Actuarial Valuation Results
  • Projections

Montana Public Employees Retirement Board

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PERB Systems

20 Volunteer Firefighters’ Compensation Act 159 Firefighters’ United Retirement System 162 Municipal Police Officers’ Retirement System 62 Game Warden’s and Peace Officers’ Retirement System 151 Sheriffs’ Retirement System 75 Highway Patrol Retirement System 47 Judges’ Retirement System $2,999 Public Employees’ Retirement System

June 2009 Assets ($ Millions) System Name

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PERS Historical Trends Assets and Liabilities

Montana Public Employees Retirement Board

84% 90% 95% 88% 85% 87% 125% 100%

$0 $0 $1, $1,000 000 $2, $2,000 000 $3, $3,000 000 $4, $4,000 000 $5, $5,000 000 $6, $6,000 000 $7, $7,000 000

2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 4 4 2 2 5 5 2 2 6 6 2 2 7 7 2 2 8 8 2 2 9 9

Millions

AAL AAL PV PVFB AV AVA MVA MVA

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PERS Historical Trends Contributions

Montana Public Employees Retirement Board $0 $0 $20 $20 $40 $40 $60 $60 $80 $80 $100 $100 $120 $120 $140 $140 $160 $160 $180 $180

2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 4 4 2 2 5 5 2 2 6 6 2 2 7 7 2 2 8 8 2 2 9 9 2 2 1 1 Millio llions 6. 6.70% 70% 6. 6.75% 75% 6. 6.80% 80% 6. 6.85% 85% 6. 6.90% 90% 6. 6.95% 95% 7. 7.00% 00% 7. 7.05% 05% 7. 7.10% 10% 7. 7.15% 15% 7. 7.20% 20%

EE Cont Contri ribu bution

  • n

ER Cont Contri ribu bution

  • n

St State Cont e Contri ribu bution

  • n

ER Ra ER Rate

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PERS Historical Trends Participation

Montana Public Employees Retirement Board

10, 10,000 000 20, 20,000 000 30, 30,000 000 40, 40,000 000 50, 50,000 000 60, 60,000 000

2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 4 4 2 2 5 5 2 2 6 6 2 2 7 7 2 2 8 8 2 2 9 9

$0 $0 $200 $200 $400 $400 $600 $600 $800 $800 $1, $1,000 000 $1, $1,200 200

Millions

Ac Actives Te Term Ve Vested Retirees rees Pay Payroll

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PERS Summary of Valuation Results

Montana Public Employees Retirement Board

Montana Public Employees’ Retirement System Summary of Principal System Results Valuation as of: June 30, 2008*** June 30, 2009 % Change Participant Counts Active Members 28,293 28,983 2.4% Disabled Members* 290 279

  • 3.8%

Retirees and Beneficiaries* 16,337 16,796 2.8% Terminated Vested Members 2,579 2,476

  • 4.0%

Terminated Non-Vested Members 6,268 5,670

  • 9.5%

Total** 53,767 54,204 0.8% Annual Salaries of Active Members $ 994,314,000 $ 1,053,173,964 5.9% Average Annual Salary $ 35,143 $ 36,338 3.4% Annual Retirement Allowances for Retired Members and Beneficiaries $ 185,155,000 $ 201,412,083 8.8% Assets and Liabilities Actuarial Accrued Liability (AAL) $ 4,504,743,000 $ 4,792,819,291 6.4% Actuarial Value of Assets (AVA) 4,065,307,000 4,002,212,253

  • 1.6%

Unfunded AAL (AVA/AAL) $ 439,436,000 $ 790,607,038 79.9% Less: PCR-UAL 17,500,000 16,188,870

  • 7.5%

Net Unfunded AAL $ 421,936,000 $ 774,418,168 83.5% Funded Ratio 90.25% 83.50% Present Value of Accrued Benefits (PVAB) N/A $ 4,060,778,783 Market Value of Assets $ 3,852,532,000 2,998,626,255

  • 22.2%

Unfunded PVAB N/A $ 1,062,152,528 Accrued Benefit Funding Ratio N/A 73.84% Ratio of Actuarial Value to Market Value 105.52% 133.47%

(See following page for footnotes)

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PERS Summary of Valuation Results

Montana Public Employees Retirement Board

Montana Public Employees’ Retirement System Summary of Principal System Results Valuation as of: June 30, 2008*** June 30, 2009 % Change Contributions as a Percentage of Payroll Statutory Funding Rate 13.935% 14.070% Less: Transfer to DB Ed Fund 0.040% 0.040% Net Statutory Funding Rate 13.895% 14.030% Normal Cost Rate 12.130% 12.160% Available for Amortization of UAL 1.765% 1.870% Period to Amortize 24.8 years Does not amortize Projected 30-year Level Funding Rate 13.750% 16.420% Projected Shortfall (Surplus) (0.185%) 2.350%

* Based on PERA categorization for the annual report. For actuarial valuation purposes, 793 members in 2008 and 784 members in 2009 were valued as disabled members with offsetting reductions to the number of retired members. ** The total number of members processed in the 2009 valuation was 54,130 compared to 54,204 above being used for the annual report. A reconciliation of this difference will appear in the full actuarial valuation report. *** All results reported under heading June 30, 2008 were produced by the prior actuary.

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PERS Projections - Contributions

Assuming Statutory Contributions Asset Returns at 8%

Montana Public Employees Retirement Board

6.90 90% 6.90% 0% 6. 6.90% 90% 6.90 90% 6.90% 90% 6.90 90% 6.90% 0% 6. 6.90% 90% 6.90 90% 6.90% 0% 6. 6.90% 90% 6.90 90% 6.90% 90% 6.90 90% 6.90% 0% 6. 6.90% 90% 7. 7.13% 13% 7. 7.13% 13% 7. 7.13% 13% 7. 7.13% 13% 7. 7.13% 13% 7. 7.13% 13% 7. 7.13% 13% 7. 7.13% 13% 7. 7.13% 13% 7. 7.13% 13% 7. 7.13% 13% 7. 7.13% 13% 7. 7.13% 13% 7. 7.13% 13% 7. 7.13% 13% 7. 7.13% 13%

0% 0% 5% 5% 10 10% 15 15% 20 20% 25 25% 30 30%

Me Member R Rate Employer er C Cont ntribu bution R Rate GASB SB M Mini nimum 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029

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PERS Projections - Contributions

Assuming Statutory Contributions Asset Returns at 9.5%

Montana Public Employees Retirement Board

6. 6.90% 90% 6. 6.90% 90% 6. 6.90% 90% 6. 6.90% 90% 6. 6.90% 90% 6. 6.90% 90% 6. 6.90% 90% 6. 6.90% 6.90% 90% 6. 6.90% 90% 6. 6.90% 90% 6. 6.90% 90% 6. 6.90% 90% 6. 6.90% 90% 6. 6.90% 90% 6. 6.90% 90% 7. 7.13% 7.13% 3% 7. 7.13% 13% 7. 7.13 13% 7.13% 7. 7.13% 7.13% 3% 7. 7.13 13% 7.13% 7.13% 7.13% 13% 7. 7.13 13% 7.13% 7. 7.13 13% 7.13% 3% 7.13% 13%

0% 0% 5% 5% 10% 10% 15% 15% 20% 20% 25% 25% 30% 30%

Me Member R Rate Employer C Cont ntribu bution R Rate GASB SB M Mini nimum 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029

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PERS Projections - Contributions

Assuming Statutory Contributions Asset Returns at 6.5%

Montana Public Employees Retirement Board

6.90% 90% 6.90% 90% 6.90% 6.90% 0% 6. 6.90 90% 6.90% 6.90 90% 6.90% 90% 6.90% 90% 6.90% 6.90% 0% 6. 6.90% 6.90% 6.90% 90% 6.90% 90% 6.90% 7.13 13% 7.13% 7.13% 7.13% 3% 7. 7.13% 13% 7. 7.13% 13% 7. 7.13 13% 7.13% 7.13 13% 7.13% 3% 7. 7.13% 7.13% 3% 7. 7.13% 13% 7. 7.13 13% 7.13% 7.13 13%

0% 0% 5% 5% 10% 10% 15% 15% 20% 20% 25% 25% 30% 30%

Me Member R Rate Employer C Cont ntribu bution R Rate GA GASB M Minimum 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029

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PERS Projections - Assets and Liabilities

Assuming Statutory Contributions Asset Returns at 8%

Montana Public Employees Retirement Board

25 25% $0 $0 $2 $2 $4 $4 $6 $6 $8 $8 $1 $10 $1 $12 $1 $14

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029

84% 76% 67% 62% 61% 61% 60% 60% 59% 58% 57% 56% 55% 54% 53% 52% 51% 50% 49% 47% 46%

Ac tu tua ria l Lia l Lia bil ility ity AV AVA MV MVA

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PERS Projections - Assets and Liabilities

Assuming Statutory Contributions Asset Returns at 9.5%

Montana Public Employees Retirement Board

25% 25% $0 $0 $2 $2 $4 $4 $6 $6 $8 $8 $10 $10 $12 $12 $14 $14

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029

84% 76% 68% 63% 64% 64% 65% 65% 66% 66% 66% 67% 67% 67% 68% 68% 69% 69% 70% 70% 71%

Ac tu tua ria ia l Lia l Lia bility ility AV AVA MV MVA

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PERS Projections - Assets and Liabilities

Assuming Statutory Contributions Asset Returns at 6.5%

Montana Public Employees Retirement Board

30 30% $0 $0 $2 $2 $4 $4 $6 $6 $8 $8 $1 $10 $1 $12 $1 $14

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029

84% 76% 66% 60% 59% 58% 56% 55% 53% 51% 49% 47% 45% 43% 41% 39% 37% 34% 32% 30% 27%

Ac tua ria ia l Li l Lia bility AV AVA MV MVA

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Valuation Results – Other Plans

84% 72% 65% 93% 98% 75% 157%

2008 Funded Ratio

6.8 5.0 81% VFCA 12.7 11.3 69% FURS 22.1 18.6 62% MPORS Does not amortize 13.0 88% GWPORS Does not amortize 16.3 90% SRS 21.5 17.4 72% HPORS 0.0 0.0 148% JRS

2009 Amortization Period 2008 Amortization Period 2009 Funded Ratio

Montana Public Employees Retirement Board

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JRS Projections - Assets and Liabilities

Assuming Statutory Contributions Asset Returns at 8%

Montana Public Employees Retirement Board

$0. $0.00 00 $0. $0.02 02 $0. $0.04 04 $0. $0.06 06 $0. $0.08 08 $0. $0.10 10 $0. $0.12 12 $0. $0.14 14 $0. $0.16 16 $0. $0.18 18

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029

148% 136% 123% 115% 117% 118% 120% 121% 123% 125% 127% 129% 131% 133% 135% 137% 139% 141% 143% 145% 147%

Ac tu tu a ria ia l Lia l Lia bility ility AV AVA MV MVA

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HPORS Projections - Assets and Liabilities

Assuming Statutory Contributions Asset Returns at 8%

Montana Public Employees Retirement Board

60% 60% $0. $0.0 $0. $0.1 $0. $0.1 $0. $0.2 $0. $0.2 $0. $0.3 $0. $0.3 $0. $0.4

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029

72% 67% 60% 56% 56% 57% 58% 58% 59% 59% 60% 61% 61% 62% 63% 63% 64% 64% 65% 66% 67%

Ac tua ria ia l Li l Lia bili ility ty AV AVA MV MVA

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SRS Projections - Assets and Liabilities

Assuming Statutory Contributions Asset Returns at 8%

Montana Public Employees Retirement Board

35 35% $0 $0.0 $0 $0.1 $0 $0.2 $0 $0.3 $0 $0.4 $0 $0.5 $0 $0.6 $0 $0.7 $0 $0.8 $0 $0.9 $1 $1.0

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029

90% 82% 73% 68% 68% 68% 68% 68% 68% 68% 68% 68% 68% 68% 67% 67% 67% 66% 66% 66% 65%

Ac tu tua ria ia l Li l Lia bility ility AV AVA MV MVA

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GWPORS Projections - Assets and Liabilities

Assuming Statutory Contributions Asset Returns at 8%

Montana Public Employees Retirement Board

25% 25% $0. $0.0 $0. $0.1 $0. $0.2 $0. $0.3 $0. $0.4 $0. $0.5 $0. $0.6

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029

88% 81% 75% 72% 73% 74% 75% 76% 77% 78% 78% 79% 79% 80% 80% 81% 81% 82% 82% 82% 83%

Ac tua ria ia l Li l Lia bili ility ty AV AVA MV MVA

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MPORS Projections - Assets and Liabilities

Assuming Statutory Contributions Asset Returns at 8%

Montana Public Employees Retirement Board

60 60% $0 $0.0 $0 $0.2 $0 $0.4 $0 $0.6 $0 $0.8 $1 $1.0 $1 $1.2

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029

62% 58% 54% 52% 54% 55% 57% 58% 60% 62% 63% 65% 66% 68% 69% 71% 72% 74% 76% 77% 79%

Ac tu tua ria ia l Li l Lia bility ility AV AVA MV MVA

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FURS Projections - Assets and Liabilities

Assuming Statutory Contributions Asset Returns at 8%

Montana Public Employees Retirement Board

$0. $0.0 $0. $0.2 $0. $0.4 $0. $0.6 $0. $0.8 $1. $1.0 $1. $1.2

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029

69% 65% 61% 59% 62% 64% 66% 68% 71% 73% 75% 78% 80% 82% 85% 87% 90% 92% 95% 97% 100%

Ac tu tua ria ia l Li l Lia bil ility AV AVA MV MVA

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VFCA Projections - Assets and Liabilities

Assuming Contributions Same as FY2009 Asset Returns at 8%

Montana Public Employees Retirement Board

$0 $0.000 00 $0 $0.005 05 $0 $0.010 10 $0 $0.015 15 $0 $0.020 20 $0 $0.025 25 $0 $0.030 30 $0 $0.035 35 $0 $0.040 40 $0 $0.045 45 $0 $0.050 50

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029

81% 76% 69% 64% 65% 66% 67% 69% 70% 71% 72% 73% 74% 75% 77% 78% 80% 82% 84% 86% 88%

Ac tu tu a ria l Li Lia bility ility AV AVA MV MVA