Philip Lowe Deputy Governor Central Bank Balance Sheets Assets, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

philip lowe deputy governor central bank balance sheets
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

Philip Lowe Deputy Governor Central Bank Balance Sheets Assets, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

12 July 2012 Presentation to The Economist Bellwether Series 2012 (Sydney) The Euro Crisis and the Financial System Philip Lowe Deputy Governor Central Bank Balance Sheets Assets, per cent of GDP % % 30 30 Bank of Japan 25 25 20 20


slide-1
SLIDE 1

12 July 2012 Presentation to The Economist Bellwether Series 2012 (Sydney)

The Euro Crisis and the Financial System

Philip Lowe

Deputy Governor

slide-2
SLIDE 2

5 10 15 20 25 30 5 10 15 20 25 30

Central Bank Balance Sheets

Assets, per cent of GDP

Sources: central banks; RBA; Thomson Reuters

% Bank of England 2000 2004 US Federal Reserve European Central Bank Bank of Japan 2008 1996 % 2012

slide-3
SLIDE 3

3 6 9 12 15 3 6 9 12 15

10-year Government Bond Yields

Sources: Bloomberg; Global Financial Data

US % % 2012 Germany Japan 2002 1992 1982 1972 1962

slide-4
SLIDE 4

100 200 300 400 100 200 300 400

AAA-rated Securities Issuance

Based on Standard & Poor's ratings, 12-month rolling average

Source: Dealogic

2012 Public sector US$b US$b 2008 2004 2000 Private sector

slide-5
SLIDE 5

0.3 1.0 0.3 1.0

Banks’ Price-to-book-value Ratios

Ratio Australia Euro area Non-Japan Asia

Source: Bloomberg

2012 2010 2008 2006 2004 Ratio 2.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 Log scale

slide-6
SLIDE 6

Private Sector Credit Growth

Year-ended % Japan

  • 15

15

  • 15

15 15 15

Sources: CEIC; ECB; IMF; RBA; Thomson Reuters

2012 United States Rest of east Asia % % % Euro area 2012 2007 2002 2007 2002

slide-7
SLIDE 7
  • 150
  • 100
  • 50

50 100 150

  • 150
  • 100
  • 50

50 100 150

Non-Japan Asia – Net Private Capital Flows

Rolling 4-quarter sum

Source: CEIC

2012 US$b US$b 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006

slide-8
SLIDE 8
slide-9
SLIDE 9

5 10 15 5 10 15

Share of Business Credit

Foreign-owned banks 2012 European % 2010 2008 2006 2004 2002 Asian North American %

Sources: APRA; RBA

slide-10
SLIDE 10

1 2 3 1 2 3

Australian-owned Banks’ Claims on Asia

Share of consolidated assets, immediate risk basis 2011 % % 2009 2007 2005 2003

Sources: APRA; RBA

slide-11
SLIDE 11
  • 100

100 200 300

  • 100

100 200 300

  • 100

100 200 300

  • 100

100 200 300 2012 Lending rate 2010 2008 2006 Funding cost

Average Rates on Major Banks’ Outstanding Lending and Funding

Bps Bps Spreads to cash rate, monthly 2004

Sources: APRA; Bloomberg; Financial reports; RBA; UBS Australia AG