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Phase Transitions in Evolution When do quasispecies form error thresholds? Peter Schuster Institut fr Theoretische Chemie, Universitt Wien, Austria and The Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe, New Mexico, USA Complex Systems Seminar Universitt


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Phase Transitions in Evolution

When do quasispecies form error thresholds?

Peter Schuster

Institut für Theoretische Chemie, Universität Wien, Austria and The Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe, New Mexico, USA

Complex Systems Seminar Universität Wien, 21.03.2014

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Web-Page for further information: http://www.tbi.univie.ac.at/~pks

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1. What is a „quasispecies“? 2. Detection of the „error threshold“ 3. Error thresholds on „simple landscapes“ 4. Error thresholds and phase transitions 5. „Realistic“ landscapes 6. Neutrality in evolution

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  • 1. What is a „quasispecies“?

2. Detection of the „error threshold“ 3. Error thresholds on „simple landscapes“ 4. Error thresholds and phase transitions 5. „Realistic“ landscapes 6. Neutrality in evolution

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The three

  • dimensional

structure

  • f a

short double helical stack

  • f B
  • DNA

James D. Watson, 1928

  • , and Francis

Crick , 1916

  • 2004,

Nobel Prize 1962

G  C and A = U

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accuracy of replication:

Q = q1  q2  q3  q4  …

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Manfred Eigen 1927 -

∑ ∑ ∑

= = =

= = − =

n i i n i i i j i n i ji j

x x f Φ n j Φ x x W x

1 1 1

, , 2 , 1 ; dt d 

Mutation and (correct) replication as parallel chemical reactions

  • M. Eigen. 1971. Naturwissenschaften 58:465,
  • M. Eigen & P. Schuster.1977. Naturwissenschaften 64:541, 65:7 und 65:341

j ij ij

f Q W ⋅ =

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W … nonnegative, primitive: Wm … strictly positive Perron-Frobenius theorem applies

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quasispecies

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error rate: p = 1-q = 0

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error rate: p = 1-q ~ 0.3 pcr

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error rate: p = 1-q ~ 0.7pcr

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error rate: p = 1-q > pcr

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1. What is a „quasispecies“?

  • 2. Detection of the „error threshold“

3. Error thresholds on „simple landscapes“ 4. Error thresholds and phase transitions 5. „Realistic“ landscapes 6. Neutrality in evolution

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no mutational backflow

( )

∑ ∑

= =

= Φ Φ − = Φ − =

n i i i n i i m m mm m m m mm m

x x f x f Q x x f Q dt dx

1 1

,

m n m i i i i m m m m m m mm m

x x f f f f Q x − = = − − =

≠ = − − − −

1 , , 1

, 1 1 1

σ σ σ

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sequence space of dimension m = 5

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single peak fitness landscape

single peak landscape single peak landscape

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stationary population or quasispecies as a function

  • f the mutation or error

rate p

Error rate p = 1-q

0.00 0.05 0.10

Quasispecies Uniform distribution

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1. What is a „quasispecies“? 2. Detection of the „error threshold“

  • 3. Error thresholds on „simple landscapes“

4. Error thresholds and phase transitions 5. „Realistic“ landscapes 6. Neutrality in evolution

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model fitness landscapes I

single peak landscape step linear landscape

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error threshold on the single peak landscape

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error threshold on the step linear landscape

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hyperbolic model fitness landscapes II linear and multiplicative

Thomas Wiehe. 1997. Model dependency of error thresholds: The role of fitness functions and contrasts between the finite and infinite sites

  • models. Genet. Res. Camb. 69:127-136
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the linear fitness landscape shows no error threshold

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error threshold on the hyperbolic landscape

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The error threshold can be separated into three phenomena:

  • 1. Steep decrease in the concentration of the

master sequence to very small values.

  • 2. Sharp change in the stationary concentration of

the quasispecies distribuiton. 3. Transition to the uniform distribution at small mutation rates. All three phenomena coincide for the quasispecies

  • n the single peak fitness lanscape.
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1. What is a „quasispecies“? 2. Detection of the „error threshold“ 3. Error thresholds on „simple landscapes“

  • 4. Error thresholds and phase transitions

5. „Realistic“ landscapes 6. Neutrality in evolution

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Ira Leuthäusser. Statistical mechanics of Eigen’s evolution model.

  • J. Statist. Phys. 48:343-360, 1987

Ricard V. Solé, Susanna C. Manrubia, Bartolo Luque, Jordi Delgado, Jordi Bascompte. Phase transitions and complex systems. Simple nonlinear models capture complex systems at the edge of chaos. Complexity 1(1):13-26, 1996

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∑ ∑ ∑

= = =

= = − =

n i i n i i i j i n i ji j

x x f Φ n j Φ x x W x

1 1 1

, , 2 , 1 ; dt d 

( ) ( )

t 2 1 1 1

, , , ; ; W dt d

n n i i n i i i

x x x x x f Φ Φ  = = ⋅ − =

∑ ∑

= =

X X 1 X

( )

[ ]

( ) { }

1 ; ; , , , ; W

2 1 t ) ( ) ( 2 ) ( 1

± =

  • =

= = ⋅ =

i k k k i n i i i n n

s s s s S S x x x x

  X X X

replication-mutation dynamics and spin lattices

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      − = − = = = = =

= −  

1 ) ( ) ( H ) , ( B ) , (

2 1 ) , ( ; 1 ; 1 with

H

k i k j k i j i S S d i ji ji S S h ji

s s S S d p p f q f Q W T k e W

i j i j

ε ε β

β

( )

) 1 ( ln 2 ln

1 1 ) 1 ( ) (

p p n f s s H

n i k i i k i k

− +       + = −

∑ ∑

− = = +

β β

max : 2 1 and

  • T

: 1 , ) 1 ( ln T : e temperatur

B

  • 1

→ = ∞ → = = − = T p p p p p k

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  • nly the surface layer is relevant

for evolutionary dynamics

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Pedro Tarazona. Phys. Rev. A 45:6038-6050, 1992

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k k m k

s s

=

=

1 ) (

1 m parameter

  • rder
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1. What is a „quasispecies“? 2. Detection of the „error threshold“ 3. Error thresholds on „simple landscapes“ 4. Error thresholds and phase transitions

  • 5. „Realistic“ landscapes

6. Neutrality in evolution

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complexity in molecular evolution

W = Q  F 0 , 0  largest eigenvalue and eigenvector

diagonalization of matrix W „ complicated but not complex “ fitness landscape mutation matrix „ complex “ ( complex )

sequence  structure

„ complex “

mutation selection

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rugged fitness landscapes

  • ver individual binary sequences

with n = 10

single peak landscape „realistic“ landscape

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random distribution of fitness values: d = 0.5 and s = 919

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random distribution of fitness values: d = 1.0 and s = 637

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error threshold on ‚realistic‘ landscapes n = 10, f0 = 1.1, fn = 1.0, d = 0.5

s = 541 s = 637 s = 919

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s = 541 s = 919 s = 637

error threshold on ‚realistic‘ landscapes n = 10, f0 = 1.1, fn = 1.0, d = 0.995

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s = 919 s = 541 s = 637

error threshold on ‚realistic‘ landscapes n = 10, f0 = 1.1, fn = 1.0, d = 1.0

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determination of the dominant mutation flow: d = 1 , s = 613

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determination of the dominant mutation flow: d = 1 , s = 919

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1. What is a „quasispecies“? 2. Detection of the „error threshold“ 3. Error thresholds on „simple landscapes“ 4. Error thresholds and phase transitions 5. „Realistic“ landscapes

  • 6. Neutrality in evolution
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Motoo Kimura’s population genetics of neutral evolution. Evolutionary rate at the molecular level. Nature 217: 624-626, 1955. The Neutral Theory of Molecular Evolution. Cambridge University Press. Cambridge, UK, 1983. Motoo Kimura, 1924 - 1994

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Motoo Kimura

Is the Kimura scenario correct for frequent mutations?

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pairs of neutral sequences in replication networks

  • P. Schuster, J. Swetina. 1988. Bull. Math. Biol. 50:635-650

5 . ) ( ) ( lim

2 1

= =

p x p x

p

dH = 1

) 1 ( 1 ) ( lim ) 1 ( ) ( lim

2 1

α α α + = + =

→ →

p x p x

p p

dH = 2

random fixation in the sense of Motoo Kimura

dH  3

1 ) ( lim , ) ( lim

  • r

) ( lim , 1 ) ( lim

2 1 2 1

= = = =

→ → → →

p x p x p x p x

p p p p

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a fitness landscape including neutrality

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neutral network: individual sequences n = 10,  = 1.1, d = 1.0

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neutral network: individual sequences n = 10,  = 1.1, d = 1.0

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consensus sequences of a quasispecies of two strongly coupled sequences of Hamming distance dH(Xi,,Xj) = 1 and 2.

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neutral networks with increasing :  = 0.10, s = 229

Adjacency matrix

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Coworkers

Peter Stadler, Bärbel M. Stadler, Bioinformatik, Universität Leipzig, GE Walter Fontana, Harvard Medical School, MA Martin Nowak, Harvard University, MA Sebastian Bonhoeffer, Theoretical Biology, ETH Zürich, CH Christian Reidys, Mathematics, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, DK Christian Forst, Southwestern Medical Center, University of Texas, Dallas, TX Thomas Wiehe, Institut für Genetik, Universität Köln, GE Ivo L.Hofacker, Theoretische Chemie, Universität Wien, AT Kurt Grünberger, Ulrike Mückstein, Jörg Swetina, Manfred Tacker, Andreas Wernitznig, Theoretische Chemie, Universität Wien, AT

Universität Wien

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Universität Wien

Acknowledgement of support

Fonds zur Förderung der wissenschaftlichen Forschung (FWF) Projects No. 09942, 10578, 11065, 13093 13887, and 14898 Wiener Wissenschafts-, Forschungs- und Technologiefonds (WWTF) Project No. Mat05 Jubiläumsfonds der Österreichischen Nationalbank Project No. Nat-7813 European Commission: Contracts No. 98-0189, 12835 (NEST) Austrian Genome Research Program – GEN-AU: Bioinformatics Network (BIN) Österreichische Akademie der Wissenschaften Siemens AG, Austria Universität Wien and the Santa Fe Institute

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Thank you for your attention!

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Web-Page for further information: http://www.tbi.univie.ac.at/~pks

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