Path Dependency and Climate Change - A New Action Model A Path - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

▶

Mar 14, 2023 11 likes •173 views

Path Dependency and Climate Change - A New Action Model A Path Dependency Approach - On Climate Change, Social Stress, and Violent Conflict By Jasmin Kominek KlimaCampus Conference Hamburg, 2009 On Climate Change, Social Stress, and

SLIDE 1

By Jasmin Kominek KlimaCampus Conference Hamburg, 2009

Path Dependency and Climate Change - A New Action Model

A Path Dependency Approach - On Climate Change, Social Stress, and Violent Conflict

SLIDE 2

By Jasmin Kominek KlimaCampus Conference Hamburg, 2009

On Climate Change, Social Stress, and Violent Conflict (1)

How does climate change influence

society?

Do actors or groups of actors react in

social stress or even violent conflict?

And how can it be predicted, prevented or

what intervention strategies can be used during occurrence?

SLIDE 3

By Jasmin Kominek KlimaCampus Conference Hamburg, 2009

On Climate Change, Social Stress, and Violent Conflict (2): On Agents

How does climate change

influence society?

Do actors or groups of

actors react in social stress or even violent conflict?

And how can it be

predicted, prevented or what intervention strategies can be used during occurrence?

How are agents affected

by climate change?

How do agents make

their action decisions when affected by climate change?

How can a problem-

solving process look like for successfully addressing problems of climate change?

SLIDE 4

By Jasmin Kominek KlimaCampus Conference Hamburg, 2009

Problem-Solving Process:

A Problem-Solving Process

Situational Analysis and Interpretation Modelling and Evolving Strategies Situational Intervention Executing Strategies

SLIDE 5

By Jasmin Kominek KlimaCampus Conference Hamburg, 2009

Problem-Solving Process:

A Problem-Solving Process

Situational Analysis and Interpretation Modelling and Evolving Strategies Situational Intervention Executing Strategies A g e n t s a r e p r e s e n t A g e n t s a r e p r e s e n t A g e n t s a r e p r e s e n t A g e n t s a r e p r e s e n t

SLIDE 6

By Jasmin Kominek KlimaCampus Conference Hamburg, 2009

Problem-Solving Process:

A Problem-Solving Process

Situational Analysis and Interpretation Modelling and Evolving Strategies Situational Intervention Executing Strategies A g e n t s m a t t e r A g e n t s m a t t e r A g e n t s m a t t e r A g e n t s m a t t e r

SLIDE 7

By Jasmin Kominek KlimaCampus Conference Hamburg, 2009

How Do Agents Act?

Either

Automatic-Spontaneous
r
Rational-Calculative
r
Path-Dependent ?

SLIDE 8

By Jasmin Kominek KlimaCampus Conference Hamburg, 2009

What is path dependency?

SLIDE 9

By Jasmin Kominek KlimaCampus Conference Hamburg, 2009

Paul A. David: On Path Dependent Acting Agents

“[..] while they are, as we now say, perfectly "free to choose," their behavior, nevertheless, is held fast in the grip of events long forgotten and shaped by circumstances in which neither they nor their interests figured.” (David 1985: 333)

SLIDE 10

By Jasmin Kominek KlimaCampus Conference Hamburg, 2009

The QWERTY-Keyboard

Q W R T Y U I A P O E S D F Q

SLIDE 11

By Jasmin Kominek KlimaCampus Conference Hamburg, 2009

T-Y-P-E-W-R-I-T-E-R

Q W R T Y U I P O E W R T Y I P E T E R T Y P W R E I T R E Q

SLIDE 12

By Jasmin Kominek KlimaCampus Conference Hamburg, 2009

What happens during following a path?

Substantial rationality Some constancy Or routine

SLIDE 13

By Jasmin Kominek KlimaCampus Conference Hamburg, 2009

What happens during following a path?

Substantial rationality Just, follow the routine

SLIDE 14

By Jasmin Kominek KlimaCampus Conference Hamburg, 2009

What happens during following a path?

Substantial rationality Just, follow the routine New Situation! Use some

ld routine

Create a new routine Adapt a new routine Execute action drafts

f other decision

instances

SLIDE 15

By Jasmin Kominek KlimaCampus Conference Hamburg, 2009

Ideal Type Path Dependent

Level 3: shaping the

decision process

Level 2: containing

decision criteria (e.g. Values, norms)

Level 1: containing

action drafts as preversion for later action meta-patterns: Recognize

decision instances / drafts, execute drafts

patterns: external

instances are good; routines are good; institutions / standards are right

drafts action

SLIDE 16

By Jasmin Kominek KlimaCampus Conference Hamburg, 2009

Problem-Solving Process:

A Problem-Solving Process

Situational Analysis and Interpretation Modelling and Evolving Strategies Situational Intervention Executing Strategies P a t h d e p e n d e n c y m a t t e r s P a t h d e p e n d e n c y m a t t e r s P a t h d e p e n d e n c y m a t t e r s P a t h d e p e n d e n c y m a t t e r s