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Outline Outline Consumer Expenditure Survey p y Why redesign the - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Outline Outline Consumer Expenditure Survey p y Why redesign the CE? Why redesign the CE? Data Users Need Forum The CE Redesign Process h d Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissioner Associate Commissione The philosophy of


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Consumer Expenditure Survey p y Data Users’ Need Forum

Michael W. Horrigan Associate Commissione Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living Conditions

J 21 2010 June 21, 2010

Outline Outline

Why redesign the CE?

 Why redesign the CE?

h d

 The CE Redesign Process  The philosophy of CE redesign  What is the goal of the CE Data Users’

Forum? Forum?

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Why redesign the CE? Why redesign the CE?

Original design of the surveys 1980s

 Original design of the surveys - 1980s  Improvements in data collection such as

d d f CAPI, improved diary forms

 Response rates a concern  Surveys are burdensome  Nature of how members of consuming  Nature of how members of consuming

units spend money has changed

 Concerns over underreporting of  Concerns over underreporting of

expenditures

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The CE redesign process The CE redesign process

Management Structure

 Management Structure

Executive Team Steering Committee Working Groups

 Planned series of

workshops/forums/panels that will provide input to the redesign process

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The CE redesign process The CE redesign process

Survey Redesign Panel

 Survey Redesign Panel

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 Data capture forum  AAPOR panel on record use  Data users’ forum  Household survey producers workshop

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The CE redesign process The CE redesign process

Methodology workshop

 Methodology workshop

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 Two independent contracts to outside

survey houses to provide redesign

  • ptions

 CNSTAT consensus panel

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The CE redesign philosophy philosophy

FY 2011 CE budget initiative

 FY 2011 CE budget initiative

l h d h k d

 Marginal changes and thinking outside

the box

 Needs of the CPI

Cost weights Item selection TPOPS

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The CE redesign philosophy philosophy

Interview of the future

 Interview of the future

l f h l d ll

 Role of technology in data collection  Role of administrative data

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The CE redesign philosophy philosophy

Cognitive methods to reduce burden

 Cognitive methods to reduce burden

and improve the quality of the estimates estimates

Role of incentives Proxy reporting Use of global questions and matrix

th d methods

Questionnaire order effects

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Structured vs conversational interviewing Recall period

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What are the goals of the CE Data Users’ Forum? CE Data Users Forum?

Variety of stakeholders

 Variety of stakeholders

CPI CE program Other government agencies Policy makers Academic researchers Private business

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What are the goals of the CE Data Users’ Forum? CE Data Users Forum?

Variety of data analysis needs

 Variety of data analysis needs

CPI cost weights and item selection

l f d d d d

CE analysis of expenditure trends and data

quality

N ti

l A t

National Accounts Sales tax analysis Supplemental poverty thresholds Consumption profiles by income group Middle class thresholds

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What are the goals of the CE Data Users’ Forum? CE Data Users Forum?

Variety of data analysis needs

 Variety of data analysis needs

Micro foundations - analysis of consumer

behavior behavior

Macro statistics

 Goals: Listen, document, decide

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What are the goals of the CE Data Users’ Forum? CE Data Users Forum?

Goals:

 Goals:

Document and understand the data needs

  • f users of CE data
  • f users of CE data

Clearly state the use of CE data by the CPI T

h t t t th d i

To what extent can the redesign process

meet the data needs of various user groups? groups?

– Tradeoffs – Pareto shifts

Pareto shifts

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What are the goals of the CE Data Users’ Forum? CE Data Users Forum?

Influencing the tradeoff:

 Influencing the tradeoff:

Interview of the future

l f h l

Role of technology Role of administrative data Cognitive methods

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Contact I nform ation

Michael W . Horrigan

Associate Commissioner Associate Commissioner Office of Prices and Living Conditions www.bls.gov g 202-691-6960 horrigan.michael@bls.gov