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Oil Search Roadshow
Septem ber 2 0 0 8
Oil Search Roadshow Septem ber 2 0 0 8 1 Sum m ary Oil Search - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
O I L S E A R C H L I M I T E D Oil Search Roadshow Septem ber 2 0 0 8 1 Sum m ary Oil Search has delivered sustained top quartile grow th over past five years ( 5 3 % annualised return) Delivery of PNG LNG Project over next four
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Septem ber 2 0 0 8
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Oil Search has delivered sustained top quartile grow th
Delivery of PNG LNG Project over next four years,
together w ith progressive developm ent of 2 nd and 3 rd tier gas, has potential to m ultiply Com pany value over this period
PNG LNG – The Prem ier AsiaPac LNG Project:
On track to deliver FI D tow ards end 2 0 0 9 , w ith first LNG in
late 2 0 1 3 / early 2 0 1 4
Thirty+ year legacy project, w ith capacity to triple OSH
reserves
Current share price discounts assessed PNG LNG value
and reflects no value for further gas developm ents or exploration
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Established in Papua New Guinea ( PNG) in 1 9 2 9 Operates all of PNG’s producing oil and gas fields. Current
gross production ~ 4 4 ,0 0 0 boepd, net share ~ 2 3 ,0 0 0 boepd
As operator, responsible for generating 2 2 % of PNG’s export
revenue and 1 6 % of its GDP in 2 0 0 7
PNG Governm ent is largest shareholder at 1 7 .6 % PNG’s largest investor and taxpayer At 1 .1 .0 8 , 7 3 .5 m m boe 2 P reserves plus 9 5 0 m m boe
undeveloped 2 C gas and liquids resource. ~ 6 0 % of gas resource is dedicated to PNG LNG, a w orld scale LNG developm ent operated by ExxonMobil. Significant resources still to be com m ercialised
Range of m aterial exploration interests in PNG and Middle
East/ North Africa
Market capitalisation ~ US$ 5 .5 billion. Listed on ASX ( Share
Code OSH) and POMSOX, plus ADR program m e ( Share Code OI SHY)
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5
Jul 0 3 Jan 0 4 Jul 0 4 Jan 0 5 Jul 0 5 Jan 0 6 Jul 0 6 Jan 0 7 Jul 0 7 Jan 0 8 Jul 0 8
Share price ( rebased to OSH)
Oil Search Santos W oodside ASX 2 0 0 W TI oil
0 .0 0 1 .0 0 2 .0 0 3 .0 0 4 .0 0 5 .0 0 6 .0 0 7 .0 0
0 .8 4 1 .0 2 1 .3 3 1 .8 1 3 .0 0 3 .6 9 4 .2 2 3 .3 5 4 .1 6 4 .8 5 6 .6 7 3 0 .3 3 3 2 .5 1 3 8 .6 7 4 2 .1 7 5 9 .2 5 6 1 .0 6 7 3 .8 5 6 0 .8 5 7 1 .1 0 9 5 .9 5 1 4 0 .9 7 OSH
( A$ / share)
W TI
( US$ / bbl)
( Actual values of the 1 st of the m onth)
Ranked No.5 TSR Perform er am ongst current ASX 1 0 0 for 5 year period to Dec 2 0 0 7 ( 5 3 % annualised return)
1 Aug 0 8
5 .5 6 1 2 3 .2 6
6
Total Recordable I ncidents ( TRI s) 1 9 9 8 – 2 0 0 7
APPEA OSH OGP
TRI / 1 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 Hours
1 9 9 8 1 9 9 9 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 4 2 0 0 5 2 4 6 8 1 0 1 2 1 4 2 0 0 7
Oil Search Australian Com panies
8. 8.5 10.6 10.6 9. 9.8 10.7 10.7 5. 5.8 1. 1.7 4. 4.7 2 .4 2 .3 2. 2.05 05 12.7 12.7 9 .1 9. 9.3 7. 7.8 7. 7.0 7. 7.3 5. 5.2 6. 6.8 4. 4.0 3. 3.1 2. 2.9 9. 9.4 8. 8.2 8. 8.3
2 0 0 6
I nternational Com panies
6. 6.3 2. 2.7
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2 0 0 7 / 0 8 Strategy Review defined initiatives to drive
continued top quartile returns, by unlocking value w ithin existing asset base
Major strategy objectives
Transform s Oil Search into significant LNG producer, 3 0 + year legacy project
Position Com pany to drive 2 nd phase gas developm ents
using existing 2 C, 3 C gas resources and through gas exploration
Optim ise PNG oil field operating perform ance to sustain
production and cashflow s up to and beyond first gas
Pursue m aterial exploration opportunities in PNG and
MENA
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PNG LNG Project represents PNG’s cornerstone gas
developm ent, w ill m ore than double country's GDP
“Affects econom y of PNG and its balance of trade situation
profoundly” ( ACI L Tasm an report, Feb 2 0 0 8 )
W ill underpin Oil Search’s production and profits for 3 0 +
years
W ill com m ercialise ~ 5 5 0 m m boe of Oil Search’s 2 C gas
resources and add ~ 2 0 m m boe to annual net production, tripling current production
W ill unlock value for OSH and shareholders
New gas developm ents at prem ium prices ( BG & Origin,
Petronas/ Santos, Shell/ Arrow , QGC/ Sunshine Gas)
AGL sale w ill provide m arket a w indow to project value
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Notes
NLNG VII, Brass LNG, OK LNG, Iran LNG
major issues are preventing the project from making substantial progress
Regional m arket
fundam entals rem ain robust Steady expansion from
existing m arkets ( Japan, Korea, Taiw an)
Grow th from em erging
m arkets of I ndia & China and new m arkets
Decline in existing
contracts and concern w ith new project tim ing
Supply and Dem and
im balance after 2 0 1 2 Projects under construction
do not m atch capacity
Extensive set of projects in
queue from 2 0 1 3 onw ards Pacific Basin LNG Supply and Dem and to 2 0 2 0 m m pta
Onstream Under Construction Possible Speculative Pacific LNG Demand
50 100 150 200 250 300 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
“LNG supply unlikely to keep up with demand with high prices set to continue in the medium term” “Some of these possible projects are tenuous e.g., LNG from Iran, and actual supply will be lower than shown”
Source Wood MacKenzie Global LNG, April 20081 1
Large num ber of possible
projects under consideration
Not m any possible
projects w ill be able to cover the dem and gap in 2 0 1 3
W estern Australia: strong
cost pressures and com petition for resources
Potential first
production post 2 0 1 4 / 1 5
Australian CSG projects: 4 + projects com peting
for 2 0 1 4 w indow , new technology w ith several hurdles to be overcom e
I ncreasing foreign
focus
PNG LNG is an attractive option relative to others
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Strong pricing drivers:
Supply/ dem and fundam entals Pull from Europe Delays in other projects Environm ental advantages Pricing and challenges w ith
com peting energy sources
Recent contract pricing around
Recent contracts:
Sept 0 7 : Petrochina, 2 -3 m tpa, 1 5
Sept 0 7 : Petrochina, 1 m tpa, 2 0
years ex Gorgon
Nov 0 7 : CPC, 2 -3 m tpa, 1 5 - 2 0
years ex Brow se
April 0 8 : Petrochina, 3 m tpa, 2 5
years from 2 0 1 1 ex QatarGas
April 0 8 : CNOOC, 2 m tpa, 2 5 years
from 2 0 0 9 ex QatarGas I I
5 1 0 1 5 2 0
LNG ( US$ / m m btu) 2 0 4 0 6 0 JCC ( $ / bbl) 8 0 1 0 0
Traditional Contracting Crude Oil Parity NW S 2 0 0 7 Contracting
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W orld Class and W orld Scale LNG Project
2 C resources of 9 .3 tcf 6 .3 m m tpa, 2 train LNG project Clean, liquids-rich gas No technology issues or concerns W ell positioned for the Asia m arket Rapidly advancing in optim al tim efram e to satisfy regional
dem and in 2 0 1 3 / 2 0 1 4 period
Joint Venture is strongly aligned w ith supportive Governm ent Strong Operator
ExxonMobil is the Project operator – excellent record of project delivery
Oil Search providing PNG experience Strong Project team
Real Expansion Capacity
New infrastructure w ill stim ulate additional gas developm ent Substantial existing 2 C and 3 C resources
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I ntegrated developm ent of Hides,
Angore and Juha gas fields plus associated gas from the Kutubu, Agogo, Gobe and Moran oil fields
Upstream infrastructure including
production w ells, processing facilities and pipeline netw ork linking to the export pipeline
Gas export pipeline from PNG
Highlands to LNG plant near Port Moresby
Liquefaction plant, export loading
and support facilities located in Portion 1 5 2 , 2 0 km from Port Moresby
See schem atic above for detail
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Kutubu Juha Main Angore Gobe Main Hides Moran Agogo
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Com m ercial alignm ent achieved, w ith Joint Operating
Agreem ent ( JOA) executed in March 2 0 0 8 am ongst the Project Ow ners
I nitial funding interests pre-Governm ent back-in agreed ( OSH
3 4 % )
Unitisation and redeterm ination procedures agreed Actionable finance plan agreed
Marketing Representative Agreem ent signed for joint m arketing
GasTech in Bangkok in March 2 0 0 8
Gas Agreem ent signed May 2 0 0 8
Outlines fiscal term s and legal obligations under w hich Project w ill
The term s include 3 0 % tax rate and Additional Profits Tax ( APT)
w hich applies once a certain threshold level of return has been achieved
Sets term s and m echanism for State equity participation in the
Project
Front End Engineering and Design ( FEED) com m enced in May
2 0 0 8
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High quality project team assem bled – ExxonMobil
personnel plus secondees from partners including OSH
FEED activities proceeding on schedule. Target
com pletion in 3 Q0 9 ( 1 3 m onths) :
EOS ( KBR/ W orleyParsons JV) conducting upstream FEED
com prising:
− Prelim inary engineering design for gas field developm ents − Gas conditioning and com pression facilities − Pipeline and infrastructure
Dow nstream FEED ( LNG plant, storage, m arine facilities)
being conducted in tw o phases:
− Non-com petitive phase - support from KBR − Second, com petitive EPC bid phase involving APCI ( Air Products
and Chem icals, I nc) and COP ( ConocoPhillips) process licensed contractors
Oil Search-m anaged associated gas FEED study
com m enced w ith W orleyParsons
Many Project enhancem ents, optim isations being
considered
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Marketing:
Negotiations com m enced betw een Project and selected
Project is strongly positioned, com petitive advantages
recognised by custom ers
Targeting end 0 8 / early 0 9 for HOAs, SPAs prior to FI D
Governm ent com m itted and supportive
Leadership and co-ordination defined Discussions betw een Governm ent and Landow ners
com m enced on Benefits Sharing Agreem ent
Environm ental, licensing and perm itting activities underw ay State Nom inee agreed
JV considering proposal for early w orks program m e
subject to m arketing, Benefits Sharing Agreem ent and perm itting progress
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First phase capex ( 2 0 0 8 – 2 0 1 4 )
expected to be betw een US$ 1 0 – 1 1 bn ( real m id-2 0 0 7 $ s)
Historically, ExxonMobil has
delivered projects on tim e and on budget
Subsequent capex is several
years out ( additional Hides drilling, Angore and Juha developm ent and potential LPG extraction if required) . Juha tim ing depends on Hides and Angore outcom es and perform ance
Further updates to capex
estim ates from EPC bids ( 3 Q 0 9 )
Further optim isation w ill occur
during dual FEED
Source: ExxonMobil Analyst Briefing 5 th March, 2 0 0 8 .
EM Project Execution Perform ance
Actual vs. Funded ( % )
2 5 Average 2 0 0 3 -0 7 2 0 0 7 5 0 7 5 1 0 0 1 2 5
Cost Schedule
2 0
Methodology agreed for Project I nterest determ ination I nitial Project I nterests w ill be established at FI D, taking into account
FEED cost estim ates and LNG sales contract outcom es
Periodic re-determ ination and equalisation processes established Governm ent has the right to back-in ( 2 2 .5 % ) to Hides, Angore and Juha
licences
Resulting State participation in PNG LNG Project post back of ~ 1 9 %
1 .4 % 1 .8 % 3 .6 % 1 7 .7 % 3 4 .0 % 4 1 .5 % Share of FEED costs MRDC / State Nippon AGL Santos Oil Search ExxonMobil JV Partners Oil Search PNG LNG I nterest
2 6 % 2 8 % 3 0 % 3 2 % 3 4 % 3 6 %
FEED I nterest
PNG LNG I nterest OSH expected post Governm ent back-in final project interest
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Debt:
Joint debt financing approach, led by a Finance Com m ittee co-
financial advisor
Recent road show s elicited strong interest from Export Credit
Agencies, com m ercial banks and rating agencies. Banks’ positive attitude to PNG dem onstrated by OSH’s recent corporate facility
I ncluding capitalised interest through construction, financing fees
and funding of the debt service reserve, seeking project finance for ~ US$ 1 1 .5 billion ( nom inal)
OSH share of project finance ~ US$ 3 .2 billion ( nom inal)
Equity:
OSH’s equity contribution ( nom inal) expected to be ~ US$ 1 .3 billion Funded from existing cash ( ~ US$ 6 0 0 m ) , corporate borrow ing from
refinancing ( US$ 4 5 0 m ) and oil cash flow s betw een 2 0 0 9 – 2 0 1 3 ( operating cash flow in 1 H0 8 w as US$ 3 4 8 m )
W ill utilise hedging, if required, to protect cash flow and optim ise
borrow ings
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FEED PNG Government Approvals Benefits Sharing Agreement Project Financing Detailed Engineering Design & Procurement Construction / Commissioning 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 2 2 0 1 3 2 0 1 4
First Cargo LNG *Schedule is Indicative only FID PIM Close Gas Agreement Entry Environmental, Licences etc EPC bids HOA’s
Marketing
SPA’s Possible early works
2 3
ACI L Tasm an Report 6 February 2 0 0 8
“Affects econom y of PNG and its balance of trade situation profoundly” GDP w ill m ore than double Oil & Gas exports w ill increase 4 fold Up to 7 ,5 0 0 jobs in initial phase, 2 0 % by nationals; 8 5 0 full tim e positions,
developing national w orkforce over tim e
Huge cash flow s to Governm ent – national and provincial - and landow ners
through tax, royalties, levies and equity participation over 3 0 years
Multiplier effects additional
Governm ent recognises im portance. Leadership and Co-
Political leadership through Ministerial Econom ic Com m ittee Co-ordination branch approved and being im plem ented
Retention Licence renew al:
Governm ent has announced PRL 1 1 and PRL 1 2 renew al
Com m itm ent to pursue Benefits Sharing Agreem ent:
Targeting 4 Q0 8 / 1 Q0 9
Strong support for the Project at local com m unity level
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For Oil Search, the Project w ill provide:
Annual increm ental net production of ~ 2 0 m m boe Booking of ~ 5 5 0 m m boe of Oil Search’s 2 C gas resources
providing positive im pact on depreciation
Past costs pay back by Governm ent on back-in at Final
I nvestm ent Decision
Value additions to the oilfields by:
− I ncrem ental reserves due to extension of oil field life ( Gobe to
2 0 2 4 , Kutubu to 2 0 4 8 ) and revised reservoir opportunities
− Abandonm ent deferral − Additional pipeline tariffs − Cost sharing benefits in oil fields and pipeline export system − Reduction of oil field taxation rate on conversion
Detailed field review has com m enced to analyse field
m anagem ent of gas and oil, optim al developm ent and value synergies
− New Moran developm ent plan
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PNG LNG FI D w ill allow booking of ~ 5 5 0 m m boe of 2 P reserves
Notes
US$ / boe T u l l
L u n d i n W
s i d e R O C O i l A W E M a u r e l e t P r
A d d a x D a n a S a n t
J K X C a i r n V e n t u r e S
e a c h P e t r
e u m P A R e s
r c e s Q G C D N O P r e m i e r O i l S e a r c h ( + 5 5 m m b
) N e x u s E n e r g y Median = US$ 1 3 .8 boe
15.0 14.1 14.1 13.8 13.4 12.7 12.2 11.8 10.9 10.5 9.4 8.9 7.9 6.1 54.7 20.4 20.0 18.1 15.1 15.0
5 1 0 1 5 2 0 2 5 6 0
I nternational Australian
2 6
2 7
PNG LNG Project sets the stage for additional gas-based
grow th opportunities, beyond PNG LNG Project debottlenecking ( 1 0 + 1 5 % above nam eplate capacity)
Additional LNG developm ents com m and the highest
value:
Sufficient 2 C resources for additional train already exist in PNG
fields
Other gas developm ent options also available w ith robust
econom ics
Oil Search seeking to:
I ncrease contractible gas ( exploration, appraisal, acquisition) Aggregate gas for highest value developm ent option
Key partnerships w ith State – MOU signed in July New opportunities need to be considered in a fram ew ork
2 8
~ 1 / 3 rd of PNG gas resources are held in the Hides field PNG LNG Project accounts for approxim ately half of PNG’s discovered gas
resource
OSH has ~ 1 .6 tcf net of discovered gas plus associated liquids not dedicated to
PNG LNG
Technical Gas ~ 17,000 bcf Technical Gas ~ 17,000 bcf
Stanley 0.1% Barikewa 4% Pasca 1% Angore 7% Juha 6% P`nyang 10% Pandora A 7% Kutubu Area 8.3% Hides (Technical Reserve) Kimu 4.8% Elevala 3% Douglas 3% Elk 3% Ketu 2.3% Uramu 2% Gobe Area 2% Moran 1% Kuru 1% Koko 0.1% Bwata 0.3% SE Mananda 0.1% Iehi 1% Pandora B 2%
PNG LNG Project
30%
PNG discovered gas reserves by field (Source: Wood Mackenzie Path Finder)
2 9
volum es required to underpin construction of additional train
Hides, Juha Main, Angore, Kutubu, Agogo, Moran and Gobe Main
resources ( OSH best estim ates) include P’nyang and Juha North
resources include Barikew a, SE Gobe, Pandora & Uram u
targeting > 1 3 tcf gross resource
Exploration
3rd Train Threshold
5 1 0 1 5 2 0 2 5 tcf PNG LNG Base Volum e PNG LNG 3 C Upside 2 C 3 C 2 C 3 C
Other Highlands JV Partner Resources 4th Train Threshold Forelands & Offshore Resources
3 0
Sufficient 3 C upside in
existing PNG LNG Project fields to underw rite a third 3 .1 5 m m tpa train
Appraisal drilling
planned for 2 0 1 0 / 1 1
Angore Juha Hides Moran Agogo Kutubu Gobe Main
1 5 .0 9 .3 Total 5 .1 4 .0 Juha, Angore, Kutubu, Moran, Gobe Main 9 .9 5 .3 Hides
3 C 2 C Field
3 1
8 .5 4 .8 Total 4 .7 3 .7 2 .3 2 .4 Juha North Forelands and Offshore: Kim u, Barikew a, SE Gobe, Uram u, Pandora Highlands: P’nyang
3 C 2 C Field
Barikew a Uram u Pandora P’nyang Kim u
Based on OSH best estim ates Appraisal drilling at
Barikew a in 2 0 0 9 and Pandora in 2 0 1 0
Juha North SE Gobe Angore Juha Hides Moran Agogo Kutubu Gobe Main
3 2
Barikew a Uram u Pandora P’nyang Kim u Juha North SE Gobe Angore Juha Hides Moran Agogo Kutubu Gobe Main
2 0 0 9 – 2 0 1 1 exploration
program m e w ill test over 1 3 tcf m ean resource ( gross) , w ith average POS
Testing off-shore
prospectivity ( Flinders, Bigpela, PPL 2 3 4 , APPL 2 9 3 ) to com m ence in 2 0 0 9 / 1 0
Huria w ell expected to be
drilled prior to the Hides developm ent w ells
Considering a range of
farm -ins/ judicious farm - dow ns w ith strategic partners
Flinders Barikew a Deep Huria Hedinia Deep Cecilia I w a Bigpela W ell 1 Lead 7
3 3
Other gas com m ercialisation opportunities can also offer
attractive returns, diversification and tim ely delivery. These range from export oriented projects to dom estic m icro projects including:
Methanol and other derivatives Gas to liquids ( GtL) Com pressed Natural Gas ( CNG) Gas for use in m ine operations eg extending m ine life at
Porgera
Pow er generation and other sm aller projects catering to the
needs of local com m unities & industry
Size of dedicated resource im portant in defining
com m ercial option
Range of study groups are being established w ith
Governm ent and other entities to form non-PNG LNG gas developm ent ‘m aster plan’
3 4
Optionality in fields
such as P’nyang ( W estern Corridor) and Barikew a ( Eastern Hub) to be feedstock for either LNG or alternative developm ent
Barikew a Uram u Pandora P’nyang Kim u Juha North SE Gobe
Elk Douglas Stanley Ketu Elevala
3 5
AGL Asset Sale Outcom e a W in:W in for OSH shareholders
AGL is selling its interest in PDL 2 ( 1 1 .9 % ) and PDL 4 ( 6 6 .7 % ) Highest bidder expected to be know n by m id Septem ber
OSH and other licence partners ( ExxonMobil, JPP, MRDC) have pre-em ptive
Can pre-em pt on either or both licences
Strong investm ent discipline w ill be applied w hen review ing pre-em ption
Price Funding efficiency Pre-em ption intentions of partners
AGL sale outcom e a likely W in:W in for OSH shareholders:
I f a high sale price, dem onstrates strong m arket value and confidence w ith
‘look through’ im plications
Could represent a potential buying opportunity of w ell know n quality assets
subject to m eeting investm ent criteria
2 5 .6 % 1 0 .0 % 7 2 .3 % 4 9 .4 % 6 0 .0 % OSH % interest 2 7 .3 % SE Gobe Unit ( PDL 4 ) 6 6 .7 % Gobe Main ( PDL 4 ) 1 1 .9 % SE Mananda ( PDL 2 ) 5 .2 % Moran Unit ( PDL 2 ) 1 1 .9 % Kutubu ( PDL 2 ) AGL % interest Asset
3 6
OSH Core Asset Value I m plications
Project equity, Other Gas and exploration increm ental to AGL assets, plus existing cash balances
OSH interest provides full exposure to Hides, Juha & Angore 3 C and 3 rd train upside 3 .1 – 3 .5 % 2 8 .5 % - 3 1 .5 % PNG LNG ( Project I nterest) As at 3 0 / 6 / 0 8 . Represents NSAI reserves less H1 actuals 1 0 .4 m m bbl 5 3 .8 m m bbl Producing Oil
Com m ents AGL OSH
5 ,0 0 0 5 ,5 0 0 6 ,0 0 0 6 ,5 0 0 7 ,0 0 0 7 ,5 0 0 8 ,0 0 0 8 ,5 0 0 8 0 0 8 5 0 9 0 0 9 5 0 1 0 0 0 Price paid for AGL's PNG Assets ( US$m )
I m plied OSH Core Asset "See-Through"
Value ( US$ m )
Core Assets
OSH: 3 year drilling program m e w ill test over one bnbbl unrisked oil and
AGL: m inor exploration value in licence package Exploration OSH = ~ $ 6 0 0 m illion Cash & Receivables OSH has ~ 1 .6 tcf net of 2 C gas resources ( plus associated liquids) and ~ 3 .0 tcf of 3 C resources in other w ell positioned gas fields including P’nyang, Juha North, SE Gobe, Kim u, Barikew a, Pandora & Uram u Other Gas
Com m ents
Other OSH Assets
Excludes Other Gas, Exploration, Cash & working capital balances
3 7
3 8
Since Oil Search took over operatorship of PNG oil fields
in 2 0 0 3 , fields have produced ~ 4 5 m m bbl in excess of previous operator’s expectations and field life extended
Aim is to optim ise PNG oil cash generation over the next 5
years to support PNG LNG Project funding requirem ents
Existing oilfields are m ature ( decline rate of 1 5 -2 0 % ) but
w ith appropriate investm ent, expect to m itigate decline curve for 2 -3 m ore years
PNG production is highly profitable – in 1 H0 8 , cash opex
Need to balance w ork program m es and hence production
drilling
3 9
Usano Kutubu SE Mananda Moran SE Gobe Gobe Main
4 0
Net Production ( m m boe)
MENA Hides GTE SE Mananda SE Gobe Gobe Main Moran Kutubu
1 .0 2 .0 3 .0 4 .0 5 .0 6 .0 1 H 0 6 2 H 0 6 1 H 0 7 2 H 0 7 1 H 0 8
4 1
Usano:
2 0 0 8 : 4 w ells 2 0 0 9 : 1 w ells
SE Gobe:
2 0 1 0 : 1 -2 w ells
Kutubu:
2 0 0 9 : 3 w ells
Agogo:
2 0 0 9 : 2 w ells
Moran:
2 0 0 8 : 1 -2 w ells 2 0 0 9 : 1 -2 w ells
4 2
Tw o ‘state of the art’ new rigs, ow ned by Oil Search:
Rig 1 0 3 – becam e operational late 2 0 0 7 . Had a num ber of
com m issioning and teething problem s, now resolved ( significant perform ance im provem ent on last developm ent w ell, UDT 9 ) . Leapfrog unit com m issioned
Rig 1 0 4 - delivery delayed prim arily due to late delivery of specialist
drilling equipm ent. Due to com m ence drilling activities in late Dec 0 8
Likely to use full tim e on developm ent activity in 2 0 0 9
Decisions to be m ade regarding Parker Rig 2 2 6 and Rig 1 0 1
( ex Rig 2 ) : Contract w ith Parker Rig 2 2 6 expires at end of Moran 1 4 w ell Contract expires w ith HAES on Rig 1 0 1 at end of Cobra 1 A w ell. Future
program m e under review
Rig choice for exploration/ gas drilling cam paign W orking w ith other operators in PNG
Hydraulic W orkover Unit operating w ell:
Mobilised low cost w orkover unit and com pleted first w orkover
4 3
4 4
Portfolio optim isation
Data room prepared for farm dow n of som e exploration exposures
in PNG
Seeking to build on gas portfolio ( already outlined) Oil exploration
High grade rem aining prospects in close proxim ity to infrastructure Follow up Footw all plays based on encouragem ent from Cobra w ell Consider deeper Jurassic plays
Frontier “paradigm changers”
I n the past, PNG exploration focused on few plays Potential to open up new areas w ith selective, albeit high risk,
drilling
− Large hinterland structures w ith possible proven and also
younger untested reservoirs
− I nnovative seism ic acquisition ongoing in this play − Offshore fans and toe thrusts
Current w ells: Cobra ( testing) , W asum a, I w a and Cecilia ( 2 0 0 9 )
4 5
Iwa Wasuma Cobra Cecilia
4 6
Seism ically defined footw all anticline
( ‘Sub-thrust Play’) adjacent to SE Gobe
Prim ary I agifu objective w as w ater w et,
but Hedinia Sand w as thicker than predicted pre-drill
Recovered oil, currently testing,
updip potential
Potential play-opener w ith
significant follow -up
De-risks m any along strike - large
structural features already identified in portfolio 10.9 Cue PNG Ltd 26.5 Murray Petroleum 6 2 .6 Oil Search W I % PPL 1 9 0
COBRA
PPL2 1 9 PPL1 9 0 PDL4 PDL4 PDL3 1 0 km Gobe Main SE Gobe W asum a
4 7
adjacent to the SE Gobe oil field
proven reservoir at Gobe
Hangingw all anticlines w ithin the m ain Foldbelt trend
Footw all
m m bbl w ith upside potential to 1 0 0 m m bbl
W ASUMA
PPL2 1 9 PPL1 9 0 PDL4 PDL4 PDL3 1 0 km Gobe Main SE Gobe W asum a SE Gobe W asum a
NE SW
8.75 Merlin Petroleum 9 1 .2 5 Oil Search W I % PPL 2 1 9
4 8
Near field exploration opportunity located
along trend of Usano oil field and adjacent to SE Hedinia gas field
Toro sandstone prim ary objective Additional upside in Hedinia sandstone
( flow ed oil w hen DST’d in SE Hedinia 1 x) & I agifu sandstone
Tw o alternative m odels
Oil exploration prospect separated by fault
from SE Hedinia gas field: − Mean recoverable reserves ( Toro) 3 0 m m bbl
w ith upside potential to 6 0 m m bbl
− Chance of success 1 in 6
Gas appraisal along trend of SE Hedinia
( no fault com partm entalisation) : − Mean recoverable reserves ( Toro) 1 5 0 bcf
w ith upside potential to 2 5 0 bcf
− Chance of success 1 in 2 I W A
1 0 km
NE SW
SE Mananda Moran Paua Kutubu
Lake Kutubu
Agogo PDL2 PPL2 3 3 PPL2 1 9 PDL5 PDL6 Extension of SE Hedinia Anticline
Darai I eru Upper I eru Toro Hedinia Koi-I ange I agifu I m buru D11.90 AGL (PNG) 6.75 PRK 6.78 Merlin Petroleum 14.52 ExxonMobil 6 0 .0 5 Oil Search
W I % PDL 2
4 9
Sale of som e of MENA assets to Kuw ait Energy recently
com pleted for US$ 2 0 0 m illion & W C
Re-focus on MENA assets that have potential to m ake a
m aterial contribution
Retained assets provide significant upside potential –
seeking to m ature and de-risk through seism ic/ drilling
Pre-drill POS can be reduced to > 2 0 % through
technology or quality of acreage
Continue to seek m aterial opportunities in w orld class
petroleum system s
Maintain and build on core regional relationships
Key strategic advantage of OSH is ability to operate at a
local level
Manageable budget yet m aterial opportunities
5 0
Sana’a Office Dubai Office
Block 3 Block 7 Tajerouine Le Kef Area 1 8 Bina Baw i Shakal
5 1
Shakal 1 w ill target a large sub-thrust anticline Three Tertiary carbonate units are prim ary target w ith up
to 1 ,3 5 0 m etres of closure
Each target has potential of > 8 0 m m bbl recoverable Key risk is fault separation from adjacent Pulkhana field W ell planned to spud early Septem ber
20 Govt. 20 Govt (unassigned) 9 Petoil 36 Shakal Prod. Ltd (op) 1 5 Oil Search
W I % Shakal PSC
Near Top Euphrates depth map
1 0 km
Pulkhana Field Shakal com partm ent
5 2
Area 1 8 located in under-explored Pelagian Basin, offshore Libya.
Pelagian Basin contains ~ 7 bn boe reserves
Area 1 8 is located on trend to productive Pelagian Basin fields Exploration targets:
Eocene carbonate ( ~ 2 0 0 m m bbl m ean reserves) , proven play Cretaceous carbonate ( ~ 7 0 m m bbl) , proven play Jurassic clastic gas play ( ~ 1 tcf) new play Triassic clastic play ( ~ 2 .2 tcf) new play
Caliph Prospect w ill target all three plays Other prospects and leads in the perm it are defined on 2 D seism ic
70 Petrobras (Operator) 3 0 Oil Search
W I % Area 1 8
5 3
Proven com m ercial fairw ay On trend w ith OMV basem ent discovery
( 2 P reserves ~ 1 0 0 m m bbl)
> 8 0 0 km 2 3 D seism ic recently
com pleted in Blocks 3 and 7
Main focus is basem ent play but
shallow er plays also present
Currently processing and interpreting
seism ic
Drilling planned to begin m id-2 0 0 9
Yemen Oil Company MND PetOil Oil Search
Block 3
Yemen Oil Company ARC/Voyager Kufpec Oil Search
Block 7
Adelphi 6.00 20.00 34.00 4 0 .0 0
W I %
8.50 21.25 21.25 3 4 .0 0
W I %
15.00
Example of large, basement-involved structures Block 7 Block 3
5 4
5 5
1 0 0 2 0 0 3 0 0 4 0 0 5 0 0 6 0 0 7 0 0 8 0 0
4 6 6 .7 4 1 0 .7 1 3 3 .3
2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 1 H 0 8
Revenue EBI TDAX Core Net Profit Half Year Full Year US$ m
5 6
~ US$ 6 0 0 m illion in cash follow ing receipt of MENA
asset sale funds. No debt
Refinancing of 5 year US$ oil facility in final stages:
Very positive response from bank m arket w ith com petitive
Facility size increased by US$ 5 0 m illion to US$ 4 5 0 m illion Pricing and facility term s m ore favourable than those on
the facility it is replacing
Alm ost half the facility provided w ithout political risk
insurance – strong endorsem ent for PNG
W ith cash and finance facility, liquidity is > US$ 1 bn No oil hedging undertaken during first half of year
5 7
Exploration expenditure for full year 2 0 0 8 expected
to be US$ 1 5 0 - 1 6 0 m illion, inclusive of acquisition
Gas com m ercialisation and new business
expenditure of US$ 8 0 m illion, including grow ing FEED spend on PNG LNG as activities ram p up
Developm ent expenditure of US$ 1 5 0 m illion, plus
US$ 2 0 m illion on rig acquisition paym ents
5 8
5 9
Substantial unrealised value
exists w ithin Oil Search’s existing asset portfolio ( particularly PNG gas)
Current share price discounts
assessed PNG LNG value and reflects no value for further gas developm ents or oil exploration success
Value calibration anticipated
from :
PNG LNG: Key m ilestones
reached ( LNG HOA’s, early w orks)
Progress on dem onstrating
value grow th options ( exploration and appraisal program m e, agreem ents etc.)
2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 2 2 0 1 3 2 0 1 4 2 0 1 5 2 0 1 6 Cash Fourth Train Third Train PNG LNG Oil
Value
NPV Over Tim e ( Unrisked)
6 0
Production outlook for 2 0 0 8 of 8 .5 – 9 .0 m m boe Cash flow s from operations continue to strengthen
already healthy balance sheet. Liquidity of > US$ 1 bn provides excellent financing flexibility for PNG LNG as w ell as an active exploration, appraisal and developm ent program m e
PNG LNG Project on track to m ake Final I nvestm ent
Decision in late 2 0 0 9 , first production expected late 2 0 1 3 / 2 0 1 4 . W ill deliver key infrastructure to PNG. 3 0 year+ legacy project
Debottlenecking opportunities in PNG LNG and resource
upside in Hides are likely to provide next tranche of value creation
Significant existing 2 C resources outside PNG LNG
rem ain to be com m ercialised. Value enhanced by PNG LNG Project infrastructure. Oil Search w orking w ith PNG Governm ent on non-Project gas developm ent
6 1
3 Q 2 0 0 8
AGL Asset sale Spud Shakal w ell in Kurdistan
4 Q 2 0 0 8
PNG LNG Offtake HOAs late 0 8 / early 0 9 Spud Caliph w ell in Libya
1 Q 2 0 0 9
Benefits Sharing Agreem ent
2 Q 2 0 0 9
Decision to com m ence early w orks Finalise EPC bids
2 H 2 0 0 9
FI D on PNG LNG Financial Close
6 2
PNG LNG Project and com m ercialising rem aining gas w ill
drive Com pany value. Rising NPV over tim e, as cash flow s get closer and Project de-risks
Core PNG oil business rem ains robust, w ith stable
production and cost outlook, provides cash flow s to support LNG and other developm ent options
Exploration activities w ound back from 2 0 0 7 high levels,
but m aterial prospects still to be drilled in both PNG and MENA
AGL asset sale provides industry value benchm ark, w ith
partial value see-through. May provide opportunity to increase PNG LNG interest, but only in the right circum stances – series of gates for decision-m aking
Considerable upside value in existing asset base still to
be recognised by m arket
6 3