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North Georgia Water Resources Partnership Nutrient Trading in Virginia: Lessons from a Mature (and Maturing) Program May 1 | 2019 Brown and Caldwell 3 Why Look at the Virginia Trading Program? Maturity: The Chesapeake Bay forced early


  1. North Georgia Water Resources Partnership Nutrient Trading in Virginia: Lessons from a Mature (and Maturing) Program May 1 | 2019

  2. Brown and Caldwell 3

  3. Why Look at the Virginia Trading Program? • Maturity: The Chesapeake Bay forced early adoption of trading. • Success: The program has been a keystone of TMDL progress. • Sophistication: A lot of science and accountability behind the trades. • Flexibility: Trades can go a lot of directions. • Lessons learned: Why are some types of trades not happening?. Brown and Caldwell 4

  4. Chesapeake Bay Watershed

  5. Chesapeake Bay Fast Facts • Nation’s largest estuary • 200 miles long • Drains parts of 6 states + DC • Relatively shallow (average depth 21 feet) • Depth of up to 174 feet in deep channel Brown and Caldwell 6

  6. Chesapeake Bay – Historical Issues • Water quality • Oxygen • Water clarity • Algal blooms • Loss of SAV • Overfishing • Disease Brown and Caldwell 7

  7. Dissolved Oxygen Impairment Brown and Caldwell 8

  8. Brown and Caldwell 9

  9. Chesapeake Bay TMDL • Adopted in 2010 • Actually 92 TMDLs (!) • Driven primarily by DO criteria • Reductions • Nitrogen (25%) • Phosphorus (24%) • Sediment (20%) • Goal of complete implementation by 2025 Brown and Caldwell 10

  10. Modeling Framework Used to Model Management Scenarios Brown and Caldwell 11

  11. Required reductions high in more “effective” parts of watershed Brown and Caldwell 12

  12. Elements of Implementation Clean Air rules (CAIR) NPDES permits MS4 Permits State regs. on new development CAFO permits Agricultural cost share programs Etc. Brown and Caldwell 13

  13. Point Source Nutrient Controls in Virginia • Water r Quality ty Impr mproveme ment nt Fund d Esta tablish shed ed to fund d 1997 nutrient trient reducti uction on stra trateg egies es in the Chesa sape peak ake Bay watershe wat hed • Tribut utar ary y Strat ategies gies establish sh loading ng goals 2005 • Legisl slation ation requ quirin ring g wat water ersh shed d general al permit • Authori orize zed d the Nu Nutrien ent t Credi dit t Exchan ange ge 2007 • VPDES Water ersh shed d General al Permit t becomes s effecti tive on January y 1, 1, 2 2007 2010 • Bay TMDL issue ued d by EPA on December r 29, 20 1 0 2011 • Effluent ent limits ts in 2007 VPDES Watersh shed ed General al Permit t become e effecti ctive 14

  14. Perceived Benefits of Trading in ~2005 • Timing • Let the big guys go first…or those already planning an upgrade • Don’t all compete for the same consultants and contractors at one time • Operational flexibility in living under a cap • Cost savings ($0.8 billion on a $2.2 billion program) • Accommodate economic & population growth • Market-based incentives • Go beyond compliance (regulated sources) • Achieve reductions from non-regulated sources Brown and Caldwell 15

  15. Virginia’s Trading Program at a Glance Source: Baxter, 2015 Brown and Caldwell 16

  16. Watershed Nutrient General Permit Highlights • Cap & trade program • General permit overlays individual NPDES permits and addresses nutrient loads only • >150 facilities covered • Calendar year annual TN and TP load limits • “Bubbling” or aggregate permits allowed • Sets conditions for nutrient credit transactions • Other permit components • Compliance schedules and plans • Monitoring and reporting 17

  17. WLAs based on stringent treatment at design capacity (3-8 mg/L TN, 0.3 – 0.5 mg/L TP) Brown and Caldwell 18

  18. Trading Only Allowed within Major Basins Potomac Rappahannock Eastern York James Shore Brown and Caldwell 19

  19. Trades based on loads delivered to tidal waters Brown and Caldwell 20

  20. Three Pathways of Point Source Compliance 1. Meet your individual WLA 2. Acquire point source credits through the Exchange or independently 3. Acquire credits through the Nutrient Offset Fund if no other option is available 21

  21. Virginia Nutrient Credit Exchange • Voluntary association • 73 owners of 105 treatment facilities, municipal and industrial • Consultant members (to pay for the beer) • What they do: • Facilitate trades • Sets credit prices among its members • Acts as clearinghouse – buys all generated credits and offers cost-sharing from sales • Annual accounting and compliance planning • Virginia DEQ certifies annual compliance plans Brown and Caldwell 22

  22. Nutrient Credit Exchange Association 23

  23. Nutrient Credit Exchange Association 24

  24. Brown and Caldwell 25

  25. Different Prices for Class A and Class B Credits Provide Incentive for Up-Front Commitments Class A Buyer Exchange Buyer $4 P / $2 N $6 P / $3 N Outside Buyer $8 P / $4 N $ Disbursement of Funds 10% 90% Class A Supply Pool Class B Supply Pool A Pool / Total A Credits B Pool / Total B Credits Brown and Caldwell 26

  26. Point Source Compliance Trades • 2017 • 21 buyers 306,174 lbs of TN 1.9 % of WLA • 28,073 lbs of TP 2.4 % of WLA 27

  27. Poin int Source ce Nutri rien ent t Red educti ctions ons 28

  28. Primary Factors in Success of the Point Source Trading Program • Watershed general permit • Expedient – one negotiation • Common schedule of compliance • Consistent requirements • Formation of the Virginia Nutrient Credit Exchange Association with voluntary membership • Permittees given ownership of the market and have embraced the program 29

  29. Nonpoint Source Trading in VA Reserved for accommodating new and expanding point sources only Guidance adopted in January 2008 First bank approved in July 2008

  30. To generate NPS credits, farms must first meet baseline requirements Soil conservation Nutrient Cover crops plan management plan Livestock exclusion 35’ riparian buffer w/ 35’ buffer Brown and Caldwell 31

  31. Credits are generated from enhanced versions of the baseline practice Continuous 15% N reduction Early no-till on corn planting date Soil conservation Nutrient Cover crops plan management plan Land Increase size Increase size conversion Livestock exclusion 35’ riparian buffer w/ 35’ buffer Brown and Caldwell 32

  32. Credits can also be generated by stormwater retrofits (enhancements) Brown and Caldwell 33

  33. Other aspects of nonpoint source credits • 2:1 trading ratio for NPS:PS trades • 5% of credits are permanently retired • Requires public or private broker; e.g. • Nutrient bank • Land conservation trust • Agricultural cooperative • Credits certified/authenticated on an annual basis Brown and Caldwell 34

  34. ~125 banks in operation across state Brown and Caldwell 35

  35. 2:1 nonpoint : point trading ratio has been controversial • Intended to address greater uncertainty in NPS practices. • Reduces incentive for trading • Nationally, trading ratios range from 1.1 to >3 • “The use of appropriate models and verification practices may reduce or eliminate the need for trading ratios…” EPA Memo on Trading Policy (2019) Brown and Caldwell 36

  36. How has NPS:PS trading actually worked? Trad ades es Type of Trade de Occurring rring or Plann nned ed? WWTP ➔ WWTP Yes WWTP ➔ MS4 Yes Agriculture ➔ new development Yes Agriculture ➔ WWTP No Brown and Caldwell 37

  37. Why no NPS-to-PS trades? • Lack of demand • Not a lot of new WWTPs • Adequate capacity in existing WWTPs • Credits available from other point sources • Lack of (cheap) supply • It takes a lot of land – a problem of scale • 2:1 trading ratio • NPS credit pricing driven by new development market (e.g., $20,000/lb P) Brown and Caldwell 38

  38. 2017 Nutrient Trades Point Source to Point Source under Watershed General Permit • 25 facilities acquired approximately 28,000 lbs of TP and ~$6+/lb P 306,000 lbs of TN credits • Several minor WLA trades • Approximately $1,800,000 market value Non-Point Source Credits Sold (Permanent Offsets) • Approximately 900 lbs of TP with 5,400 lbs of TN retired • Approximately $18,000,000 market value ~$10,000 – 24,000/lb P 39

  39. Brown and Caldwell 40

  40. Cost per pound escalates as treatment level increases $180 $156.72 $160 $148.66 $140 $120 Incremen menta tal $100 Cost t per Lb Nitrogen $80 Removed Phos. $60 $31.34 $40 $24.78 $14.45 $20 $7.22 $0 8 N/ 1 P 5 N/ 0.5 P 3 N/ 0.1 P Data Source: RTI International, 2012, Nutrient Credit Trading for the Chesapeake Bay: An Economic Study . Report prepared for the Chesapeake Bay Commission 41

  41. If you want agriculture ➔ WWTP trades… • Look for highly economical ag practices • Lots of land opportunity • Avoid high trading ratios • Streamlined trading mechanism • Consider other market forces • Buyers might have to make it happen Brown and Caldwell 42

  42. Extra Slides

  43. 45

  44. Commonwealth of Virginia’s Chesapeake Bay ay Wat ater ershed hed Gen eneral eral Pe Permi mit Puge get t So Sound nd Nutrient ent So Source rce Reduct duction ion Project ject Ma March ch 6, 2019 19 Forum um Me Meet eting ing Lacey, ey, WA Allan an Brocke ckenb nbro roug ugh, h, VA DEQ EQ

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