Nurse Practitioners and The Future of Health Reform Micah Weinberg, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Nurse Practitioners and The Future of Health Reform Micah Weinberg, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Nurse Practitioners and The Future of Health Reform Micah Weinberg, PhD President, Bay Area Council Economic Institute CANP Annual Conference 2016 1 The revolution is happening, right, folks? Folks? 2 COVERAGE DELIVERY COST 3 The


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Nurse Practitioners and The Future of Health Reform

Micah Weinberg, PhD President, Bay Area Council Economic Institute CANP Annual Conference 2016

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The revolution is happening, right, folks? … Folks?

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COVERAGE COST DELIVERY

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The Reform (Almost) Everyone is Talking About

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Medi-Cal Powering CA Coverage Expansion

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Source: California Budget Project

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Medi-Cal Now a Major Source of Coverage for Working Californians

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Covered California Covering California?

  • Enrollment hovering around 1.3 million since 2013

– But waystation more than destination

  • 90% of enrollment in big four health plans

– Blue Shield, Anthem, Kaiser Permanente and HealthNet – Minor plan enrollment did increase in 2015 – Two “lanes” (PPO + Kaiser, others)

  • Attempting aggressive move into quality measurement and

delivery system reform

– Along with other payers – Working through plans

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State-based Reform, State-based Results

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The Reform (Almost) No One is Talking About

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Few Employer Cite ACA as Major Cost Driver

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Source: PwC Health Research Institute, Touchstone Survey 2015

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“Socialized Medicine” … Not Very Socialized

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Are we living in the Republican healthcare fantasy future?

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Paying for value?

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But falling share of US Doctor Visits Capitated

14 Source: Zuvekas and Cohen, Health Affairs, 2016

And only 3% of providers say they are “highly prepared” to make transition to value! (HIMSS Cost Accounting Survey, 2016)

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Higher cost sharing, generally less care

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Source: PwC Health Research Institute, Consumer Survey 2015

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Medical Home or “Medical Homewrecking?”

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Plenty of room for real delivery reform

  • Alta Bates Medical

Center: 50% of ER for non-urgent care

  • 70% of those patients

live within one mile of an FQHC

  • Need better regional

coordination/data exchange for “hotspotting”

Source: Sutter Health/Better Health East Bay

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Full Practice Authority!

  • Better Access
  • Better or Same Quality
  • Lower or Same Costs

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This is the good news! (?)

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Source: PwC Health Research Institute, 2016

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Many New Expensive Drugs & Tech …

Source: “An Evaluation of Specialty Drug Pricing Under the Pharmacy and Medical Benefit,” March 2014. Source: Congressional Budget Office, 2009

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But far less health …

  • 1 more year life

expectancy by 2030 for Medicare beneficiaries

  • However, vs 2010

Hypertension 18% Heart disease 19% Diabetes 62% 3 or more 54%

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Source: Schaeffer Center, USC, 2015 Source: CA Center for Public Health Advocacy, 2106

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Precision Medicine … More Promise than Practical Reality

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Will the robots save us?

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Will it matter if we become “single payer” … … on purpose or accidentally?

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Thanks a lot, Micah. Way to start our conference out on such a positive note.

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Choosing Our Future: Step 1 - Humility

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Choosing Our Future: Step 2 – Start with Public Health

  • Comprehensive Community Redesign

– Smart growth – Food system – Criminal justice system – Economic opportunity = health

  • But again humility particularly about economic policy

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Choosing Our Future: Step 3 – Pick a System … Any System

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Choosing Our Future: Step 3 – Reward the Production of Health

  • But … incentives are

not enough

  • Have to have

– Aligned incentives (single system) – Consumer protections – Technical capability – Correct personnel – Health system not healthcare system

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[Placeholder for blatant pandering.]

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Thank you!!

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