NPC National Planning Commission Post Disaster Needs Assessment - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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National Planning Commission National Planning Commission

Post Disaster Needs Assessment

Process and Key Findings

Prof Dr Govind Raj Pokharel Vice Chairman

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National Planning Commission

What is a PDNA?

A methodology and a framework to assist governments

to estimate the extent of disaster’s effects and impact across all sectors and social groups;

A tool to support country-led assessments to initiate

recovery planning processes through a coordinated inter- institutional platform integrating the concerted efforts of national and international partners.

An instrument to produce an actionable and sustainable

recovery strategy for mobilizing financial and technical resources.

A process to estimate of recovery costs and recommend

strategies for the way forward

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National Planning Commission

Assumptions & Limitations

• The data set for damages and losses fully not complete due to
• Scale of disaster;
• Time constraint;
• Remoteness of the areas;
• Competing priorities.
• Extrapolation of data in many sectors based on

 CBS assessment of impact on GDP  Survey of damages  Unit costs  Specifications for improved reconstruction

• Costing based on

 Current market prices  Improved standards  Logistical challenges

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National Planning Commission

Initiatives and milestones achieved by NPC

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Activity Date

Coordination meetings to draw up sectors for assessments May 15, 2015 Organized PDNA training workshop for over 250 persons from line ministries, donor agencies, and civil society May 20, 2015 Formed Sector Groups with focal points, sector team leads and members during the workshop May 20, 2015 Sector groups discussions and finalization of assessment methodology and presentation to other sectors for comments, ad finalization of delivery schedules May 21, 2015 Sector leads coordination meetings with PDNA Secretariat – – led by NPC for updating collection of data, facilitation of field visits and meetings with data sources Every third day from May 22 to June 8 , 2015

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National Planning Commission

Initiatives and milestones achieved by NPC

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Activity Date

Debriefing of Members of CCG and combined review of progress with line Ministries and Sector Leads of 23 sectors June 4, 2015 Receipt, review and revision of data by Core Coordination Group (CCG) members June 2 to 10 , 2015 Submission of zero draft sector reports to PDNA CCG by sector teams June 4, 2015 Consultations with elected members of the Constituent Assembly representing worst affected 14 districts Jun19e 6 , 2015 Review of sector reports and data by CCG and providing comments to sector team focal point in line ministries and team leads + discussion & updation of data flow with NPC members June 4 to 9, 2015

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National Planning Commission

Initiatives and milestones achieved by NPC

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Activity Date

Review of Data sheets by NPC members June 8, 2015 First consolidated draft report forwarded to NPC for review by CCG June 10, 2015 Review, reconciliation & validation of data with sector teams by NPC members and CCG June 11 & 12 , 2015 Consultations with heads & representatives of CCG members &

• ther selected donor agencies

June 11 & 12 , 2015 Preliminary Findings already considered in full meeting of NPC, chaired by Rt. Hon’ble Prime Minister June 12 , 2015 Stakeholders consultation (Pvt Sector, Civil Society, Political party, Experts, others) June 13, 2015 Correction of data in reports & preparation of Executive Summary June 17 & 18,

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National Planning Commission

Recovery strategy is a multi-dimensional solution that aligns needs with resources and delivery model

• Identify

major areas for reconstructi

• n, i.e., what

needs to be done in each sector to recover from the disaster

Identify areas/ sectors that needs to be rebuilt

Prioritize fimpact and implemen- tation

Funding strategy and resources

Identify delivery model, policy for sector

Identify resource requirement s

Objectives

• Identify all

aspects of resources required for each sector recovery – HR, materials, monetary etc

• Identify

critical areas for reconstructi

• n using a

rigorous and agreed upon framework to prioritize

• Identify and

match funding resources for each area

• Identify the

execution model for sector, i.e., how to get things done, including governance structure , & Monitoring and Evaluation criteria

Stakeholder alignment

B C D E F A

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National Planning Commission

Nepal employed globally accepted PDNA methodology to assess the impact of earthquake

GoN's published PDNA is the only authoritative, all-inclusive statistics on the impact

PDNA assessed damages, losses and needs...

• Damage to infrastructure

and physical assets in public and private sectors

• Losses of production of

goods and services and access to goods and services;

• Effects on governance

and decision making processes

• Increased risk and

vulnerabilities

...in consultation with all stakeholders...

• All line ministries
• 30 Development partners
• Private sector
• Civil Society
• Academia
• Technical agencies
• Briefing to Parliamentary

...via categorization in 4 major sectors and 23 themes

Social Housing Health Education Nutrition Cultural Heritage Productive Agriculture Irrigation Commerce Industry Tourism Finance Infrastructure Electricity Communications Community Transport Water Cross-Cutting Governance Disaster Environment Gender Social Protection Employment & Livelihood B

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National Planning Commission

PDNA outcome has been agreed upon across

High level oversight Vice Chairman & Members, National Planning Commission (NPC) Core Coordination Group/ PDNA Secretariat NPC, European Union, Japan, United Nation, Asian Development Bank & World Bank Sector teams Sector Lead from NPC (Member NPC) Sector Focal Point at NPC (Joint Secretary) Focal Point in Line Ministry

• Govt. Of Nepal

(Joint Secretary) Cluster Groups incl. (Development Partners) Team Members (Sector experts from Development Partners)

Members of Parliament from impacted districts have been consulted and briefed

B

Consultation group Private sectors, Academics, Civil societies, Technical agencies

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National Planning Commission

...with strong negative impact on the economy and expected needs of $6.7B...

• GDP lowered by 1.6 % in FY 15 at 3.04%
• 1/3rd of the total GDP impacted

USD 5 B Damages USD 2 B Losses USD 7 B USD 6.7 B Needs

Over 700,000 people expected to go below poverty line if immediate help not extended

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National Planning Commission

...led by housing, education and tourism as top three sectors

$5M $11M $45M $49M $50M $64M $74M $82M $125M $147M $156M $181M $184M $186M $201M $252M $282M $335M $387M $206M 100 3,300 200 300 Transport Heritage Finance Irrigation DRR

• Com. Infra

Gender & Soc. Inclu. Health

• Emp. & Liv.

Tourism Commerce Education Industry

• Soc. Prot.

Nutrition Housing

Total Needs

$3,278M $397M Governance Comms. Electricity WASH Agriculture

• Env. and Forestry

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National Planning Commission

Planned Year wise Allocation of Reconstruction Budget (NPR in Million)

SECTOR

2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 Total

Social Sectors 84,935 83,914 109,210 69,559 53,852 6,278 407,747 Productive Sectors 78,250 31,797 5,152 256 164

• 115,618

Infrastr. Sectors 29,658 21,965 12,799 4,935 4,910

• 74,266

Cross- Cutting Issues 24,087 19,765 18,617 3,496 2,859 3,048 71,873 Total 216,931 157,440 145,778 78,245 61,785 9,326 669,504

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National Planning Commission

Pledges at ICNR 2015 in Million US $

COUNTRY GRANT (A) SOFT LOAN (B) TOTAL (A+B)

INDIA 650 750 1400 CHINA 767 767 JAPAN 52 208 260 NORWAY 16 16 USA 130 130 ADB 600 600 WB 500 500 EU 112 112 EU (TA) 6 6 UK (DFID) 110 110 AUSTRIA 1 1 AUSTRALIA 5 5 CANADA 11 11

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National Planning Commission

Contd. BANGLADESH 1 1 ROK 10 10 PAK 1 1 SWITZERLAND 25 25 SRI LANKA 3 3 SAUDI ARABIA 30 30 NETHERLANDS 26 26 SWEDEN 10 10 FINLAND 2 2 GERMANY 34 34 TURKEY 2 2 IMF 50 50 Grand Total 1972 2138 4110

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National Planning Commission

Post Earthquake Recovery and Reconstruction Policy/strategy

• Central policy/plan decentralised implementation
• Apply the build back better principle
• Owner driven reconstruction approach in private

housing and Minimize resettlement but focus on integrated settlement

• Maximum utilisation of local resources, skills, labour
• Inclusiveness –core of reconstruction programme
• An effective institutional set up -NAR
• Strong government leadership in aid coordination
• Capacity building and good governance

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National Planning Commission

Factors Affecting Reconstruction

• Initial momentum for reconstruction lost as NPC

concentrated on budget preparation and government in constitution making

• Protracted political conflicts and its ramifications affecting

reconstruction

• Delay in bringing out Reconstruction Policies and

reactivate National Authority for Reconstruction

• Low level of government guidance at the time of project

development by development partners

• Low Economic Growth

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National Planning Commission

Challenges

• Political conflict deteriorating working environment
• Forge political consensus on NAR and bring out its Act
• Finalize the list of affected households by impact category
• Create effective support and delivery mechanism mobilizing

government and market channels amidst the intensification of supply disruptions

• Identify safer settlement and encourage integrated settlement
• Prepare adequate technical human resources for different

types of jobs

• Implement reconstruction policy/strategy
• Coordinate and monitor multi-tasking

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National Planning Commission

Thank You!

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