Noble Conference Presentation
January 30, 2018
Noble Conference Presentation January 30, 2018 Company Overview - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Noble Conference Presentation January 30, 2018 Company Overview Fleet Profile Key Facts Scorpio Bulkers Inc. (Scorpio or the Company) owns Owned TC/BB Chartered-In Newbuilding 56 (1) mid- size dry bulk Eco vessels with an
January 30, 2018
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Scorpio Bulkers Inc. (“Scorpio” or the “Company”) owns 56(1) mid-size dry bulk ‘Eco’ vessels with an average age
✓ Capture rising freight rates by employing vessels in the spot market through the Scorpio Ultramax and Scorpio Kamsarmax pools ✓ Operate vessels efficiently and minimize costs ✓ Maintain a strong balance sheet through conservative leverage ✓ Take advantage of market dislocation to
incorporated in the Marshall Islands, exempt from U.S. income tax, has NYSE-compliant governance and transparency for foreign private issuers and is listed under the ticker “SALT” Key Facts Fleet Profile Scorpio Average Age vs. Worldwide Fleet
2.1 1.8 8.2 8.6 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 Handymax/Ultramax Panamax/Kamsarmax Scorpio Bulkers Active Fleet (1) Includes one kamsarmax newbuilding. 37 18 1 1 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Ultramax Kamsarmax Owned TC/BB Chartered-In Newbuilding
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Market Cap ($m) (2) Trading Liquidity ($m/day) (2) Stock Price Performance (3)
Current Shareholders (1)
(1) BD Corporate (2) Fearnley Securities January 22nd, 2018 (3) Yahoo Finance
Shareholders Ownership Top 10 59.1% 11-20 9.7% 21-30 3.9% 31+ 27.3% Total 100.0%
# Holder Ownership 1 Scorpio Services Holding Limited 18.7% 2 Grm Investments 17.1% 3 Evermore Global Advisors 8.4% 4 Raging Capital Management 4.3% 5 BlackRock Fund Advisors 3.3% 6 Anchorage Capital Group 1.7% 7 Royce & Associates 1.5% 8 Warlander Asset Management 1.5% 9 Hourglass Capital 1.3% 10 Horseman Capital Management 1.3%
$4 $5 $6 $7 $8 $9 $10 $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 Golden Ocean Star Bulk Scorpio Bulkers Genco Diana Eagle Bulk Navios Partners Songa Bulk $0 $2 $4 $6 Star Bulk Scorpio Bulkers Diana Golden Ocean Navios Partners Eagle Bulk Genco Songa Bulk
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Metals & Minerals, 27.4% Coal, 19.2% Steel Products, 13.7% Grain, 13.7% Forest Products, 12.3% Iron Ore, 8.2% Argribulks, 4.1% Others, 1.4%
Kamsarmax Cargo Breakdown Ultramax Cargo Breakdown
Coal, 55.8% Grain, 18.2% Steel Products, 13.0% Metals & Minerals, 7.8% Iron Ore, 5.2%
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$3,462 $5,335 $7,083 $7,238 $8,230 $8,360 $8,949 $10,495 $3,331 $5,263 $6,349 $7,401 $9,164 $9,273 $9,211 $11,180 $0 $2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 $10,000 $12,000 $14,000 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16 Q1-17 Q2-17 Q3-17 Q4-17* Ultramax Kamsarmax
supports continued market recovery
February 10, 2016 BDI hits 40 year low
* Projections based on 53% and 52% of the days for the Ultramax fleet and Kamsarmax fleet, respectively as of October 20, 2017.
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in annualized cash flow or $0.27/share
revenue or $4.23/share
The one year time charter rate “TC rate” is the rate paid per day to contract a vessel out for one year, and the time charter equivalent rate (“TCE”) which is the earnings per day for a vessel operating in the spot market. Source: Clarksons Research Services
Historical One Year TC Rates ($/day): 2003-2017 Implied Revenue from Historical TC Rates
Company Owned Fleet Avg TC Rates Annualized Revenue Class # of Vessels Days/Yr Total Days ($/day) (Millions $USD) Ultramax 37 365 13,505 14,930 $202 Kamsarmax 19 365 6,935 16,561 $115 56 20,440 Total Revenue $316.5 Class Min Avg Max Ultramax $6,495 $14,930 $29,448 Kamsarmax $6,740 $16,561 $34,323
$134 $316 $636 $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 Min Avg Max
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Operating Cash Flow EBIT Revenue EBITDA
Figures in $USD millions.
$10.2 $17.4 $23.9 $26.8 $34.7 $37.7 $38.6 $0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40 $45 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16 Q1-17 Q2-17 Q3-17
$0 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16 Q1-17 Q2-17 Q3-17
$0.9 $7.0 $10.9 $12.5
$0 $5 $10 $15 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16 Q1-17 Q2-17 Q3-17
$2.5 $6.1
$0 $5 $10 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16 Q1-17 Q2-17 Q3-17
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Figures in $USD millions.
P&L FY 2016 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16 Q1-17 Q2-17 Q3-17 Revenues 78.4 10.2 17.4 23.9 26.8 34.7 37.7 38.6 EBITDA (23.1) (17.0) (5.8) (1.3) 0.9 7.0 10.9 12.5 EBIT (78.3) (28.8) (19.2) (16.2) (14.1) (8.5) (4.7) (2.6) Net Loss (99.9) (33.4) (24.7) (21.3) (20.6) (16.4) (13.4) (10.7) Balance Sheet FY 2016 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16 Q1-17 Q2-17 Q3-17 Total Assets 1,547.2 1,466.9 1,522.2 1,553.1 1,547.2 1,563.1 1,532.2 1,434.2 PP&E 1,414.1 1,183.3 1,244.8 1,318.3 1,414.1 1,363.5 1,352.5 1,340.3 Cash 101.7 230.2 241.7 200.9 101.7 126.6 149.3 62.4 Equity 956.6 941.5 989.0 972.7 956.6 926.0 916.2 908.5 Debt 579.5 510.0 523.4 570.8 579.5 628.2 606.3 529.6 Cash Flow FY 2016 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16 Q1-17 Q2-17 Q3-17 Cash from operations (52.2) (27.5) (18.1) (4.5) (2.1) (1.7) 2.5 6.1 Cash from investing (235.4) 22.6 (23.0) (128.5) (106.4) (22.4) (1.5) 21.1 Cash in financing 189.0 34.8 97.8 47.0 9.3 49.0 (23.1) (66.5)
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Asset Values Recover
Ultramax and Kamsarmax resale values have increased 14.6% and 16.3% yoy and 37.5% and 23.9% since January 2016, respectively. TCE Rates Continue to Improve
Seven sequential increases in reported TCE earnings for our Ultramax and Kamsarmax vessels and are still below historical average Favorable Supply/Demand Dynamics
For the first time since 2014, dry bulk ton mile demand growth (5.3%)
Low Orderbook & Limited Newbuild Orders
Orderbook as % of the fleet is 9.30% and NB orders in 2017 were 40% below the 20 year avg Regulatory requirements
SALT is fully compliant with upcoming regulatory requirements which also are likely to increase scrapping Positive Demand Outlook
Dry bulk seaborne exports have increased at CAGR of 4.9% since 2009
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Figures in million US$, Source: Clarksons Research Services, January 2018
Historical Asset Values Newbuild & Resale Asset Values Five Year Old Asset Values
– Increased 14.6% and 16.3% for ultramax and kamsarmax resales, respectively. – Increased 36.8% and 23.3% for ultramax and panamax 5 year old vessels, respectively. – Increased 7.9% and 4.1% for ultramax and kamsarmax newbuildings, respectively.
supporting expectations for continued market recovery
$18 $20 $22 $24 $26 $28 $30 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Ultramax NB Kamsarmax NB Ultramax Resale Kamsarmax Resale $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 Ultramax NB Kamsarmax NB Panamax NB $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 Ultramax NB Kamsarmax NB Panamax NB
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1 yr TC Rates (Last 12 months) Historical 1 Yr TC Rates
Source: Clarksons Research Services, January 2018
Historical Data 2009-2018 Class Current Avg Max Min Ultramax $11,375 $11,775 $24,375 $4,875 Kamsarmax $13,563 $12,889 $29,625 $5,363 BDI 1,304 1,410 3,941 307
$0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000 $90,000 $100,000 Kamsarmax (LHS) Ultramax (LHS) 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 $10,000 $12,000 $14,000 Kamsarmax (LHS) Ultramax (LHS) BDI (RHS)
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Net fleet growth for 2018/2019 assumes scrapping amount as 2017 (14.5 million DWT) and newbuilding vessels deliver as scheduled. Source: Clarkson Research Services
supply/demand dynamics
10.8% 5.8% 4.4% 2.4% 2.3% 3.0% 2.6% 1.9% 6.4% 4.9% 6.1% 0.9% 2.1% 5.4% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018P 2019P Net Fleet Growth Ton Mile Demand
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Source: Clarksons Research Services, January 2018
Historically Low Orderbook as % of Fleet Newbuilding Orders (DWT)
9.30% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 12.2 15.3 9.6 22.4 15.1 8.9 22.3 36.6 33.1 29.5 76.4 159.3 101.5 37.0 102.2 41.7 24.4 103.2 63.9 24.8 14.0 32.7 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
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25.2 25.4 44.5 81.4 99.9 100.4 63.0 48.4 49.2 47.2 38.4 33.4 29.7 14.9
40 60 80 100 120 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018* 2019* 2020* Capesize Panamax Handymax Handysize
(1)Does not assume slippage or scrapping (2) Assumes newbuildings deliver as scheduled, Source: Clarksons Research Services, January 2018
Fleet Development Before Scrapping (1)
DWT (Millions)
Newbuilding Deliveries Per Year (2)
324.9 340.4 356.0 363.9 365.9 203.0 210.6 217.0 220.3 220.7 195.2 201.6 204.4 205.3 205.3 96.1 100.0 101.2 101.8 101.8 819.2 852.6 878.7 891.3 893.8
200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 Current 2018 2019 2020 2021 DWT (Millions) Capesize Panamax Handymax Handysize
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consumption – ‘ECO Ships’ make a difference.
Historical FO & MGO Prices ($/MT) (1)
Source: Clarksons Research Services/Ocean Connect January 2018
$0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18
Rotterdam Singapore Houston
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BWTS Piping in Engine Room
without the space in the engine room to fit BWTS (see photos below that show how large BWTS are)
All of SALT’s vessels are fitted with BWTS
BWTS Filtering Unit
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Source: Clarksons Research Services, January 2018
Fleet Scrapping (Million DWT) Scrapping Avg Age Fleet Age Profile Scrap Price ($/ldt)
8.2 6.1 4.2 0.4 1.0 1.8 0.5 5.6 10.6 6.6 23.3 33.4 23.2 16.4 30.7 29.3 14.5 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Handymax Panamax 27% 30% 32% 23% 49% 36% 40% 43% 14% 15% 12% 11% 5% 12% 8% 9% 5% 6% 8% 15% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Capesize Panamax Handymax Handysize 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20+
$230 $445 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 ($/ldt)
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Source: Clarksons Research Services, January 2018
2009-2018 Iron Ore Coal Grains Minor Bulks Total Dry Bulk CAGR 6.2% 4.7% 5.6% 3.8% 4.9%
Million Tonnes 3,428 3,843 4,077 4,341 4,586 4,834 4,835 4,903 5,109 5,251
2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 (e) 2018 (f) Iron Ore Coal Grain Minor Bulk
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Chinese Coal Inventory at Lowest Since 2012 Indian Coal Inventory at Lowest Level since 2014
50.0 127.5 65.0
40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 Jan-10 Jun-10 Nov-10 Apr-11 Sep-11 Feb-12 Jul-12 Dec-12 May-13 Oct-13 Mar-14 Aug-14 Jan-15 Jun-15 Nov-15 Apr-16 Sep-16 Feb-17 Jul-17 Dec-17
8.0 38.9 13.2
10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Jan-10 Jun-10 Nov-10 Apr-11 Sep-11 Feb-12 Jul-12 Dec-12 May-13 Oct-13 Mar-14 Aug-14 Jan-15 Jun-15 Nov-15 Apr-16 Sep-16 Feb-17 Jul-17 Dec-17
Figures in Million Tonnes Source: Bloomberg
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Total Dry Bulk Grain Minor Bulk Coal
Figures in Ton Miles (Billions), Source: Clarksons Research Services, January 2018 18,613 21,071 22,347 23,769 24,934 26,456 26,687 27,253 28,716 29,773
10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 (e) 2018 (f) 3,446 4,052 4,322 4,844 5,048 5,240 4,977 4,968 5,229 5,315
2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 (e) 2018 (f) 2,221 2,460 2,398 2,600 2,793 3,001 3,301 3,400 3,705 3,836
1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 (e) 2018 (f) 7,586 8,705 9,312 9,624 10,172 10,617 10,761 10,958 11,441 11,938
4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 (e) 2018 (f)
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Youngest ECO dry bulk fleet
High specification best-in-class fleet built at top tier yards with an average age of 2.0 years Industry leading balance sheet
Low financial leverage secured by most modern assets Leading the recovery….first dry bulk company to reinstate full amortization
Restriction on payments of dividends lifted, no unattractive legacy terms and conditions on financing, and full amortization restored Compliant with future regulatory requirements
Fuel efficient vessels suitable for new low sulfur fuel regulation and all fitted with BWTS Favorable supply dynamics
Historically low orderbook as a % of fleet combined with limited newbuilding orders & continued scrapping of older tonnage Positive demand outlook
Dry bulk seaborne demand expected to grow 2.8% in 2018
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Coal/iron ore Iron ore/coal Iron ore/coal Handysize 10,000 – 40,000 40,000 – 60,000 60,000 – 80,000 Steel/fertilizers/forest/grains/soybeans/ alumina/coal/other minor bulks Steel/fertilizers/forest/grains/soybeans/ alumina/coal/other minor bulks Coal/grains/soybeans/bauxite
Vessel type DWT Cargo carried
Handymax/Supramax Panamax/Kamsarmax Post-Panamax Capesize VLOC 80,000 – 110,000 110,000 – 200,000 Over 200,000
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Owned Vessels # Name Year Yard Type # Name Year Yard Type 1 SBI Athena 2015 Chengxi Ultramax 29 SBI Aries 2015 Chengxi Ultramax 2 SBI Bravo 2015 Nacks Ultramax 30 SBI Gemini 2015 Chengxi Ultramax 3 SBI Antares 2015 Nacks Ultramax 31 SBI Taurus 2015 Chengxi Ultramax 4 SBI Leo 2015 Dacks Ultramax 32 SBI Pisces 2016 Chengxi Ultramax 5 SBI Echo 2015 Imabari Ultramax 33 SBI Virgo 2017 Chengxi Ultramax 6 SBI Lyra 2015 Dacks Ultramax 34 SBI Libra 2017 Chengxi Ultramax 7 SBI Subaru 2015 Dacks Ultramax 35 SBI Puma 2014 Chengxi Ultramax 8 SBI Tango 2015 Imabari Ultramax 36 SBI Jaguar 2014 Chengxi Ultramax 9 SBI Maia 2015 Nacks Ultramax 37 SBI Cougar 2015 Chengxi Ultramax 10 SBI Hydra 2015 Nacks Ultramax 38 SBI Samba 2015 Imabari Kamsarmax 11 SBI Pegasus 2015 Chengxi Ultramax 39 SBI Rumba 2015 Imabari Kamsarmax 12 SBI Ursa 2015 Dacks Ultramax 40 SBI Capoeira 2015 Hudong Kamsarmax 13 SBI Thalia 2015 Chengxi Ultramax 41 SBI Electra 2015 Yangzijiang Kamsarmax 14 SBI Cronos 2015 Imabari Ultramax 42 SBI Carioca 2015 Hudong Kamsarmax 15 SBI Orion 2015 Chengxi Ultramax 43 SBI Conga 2015 Hudong Kamsarmax 16 SBI Achilles 2016 Imabari Ultramax 44 SBI Flamenco 2015 Hudong Kamsarmax 17 SBI Hercules 2016 Chengxi Ultramax 45 SBI Bolero 2015 Hudong Kamsarmax 18 SBI Perseus 2016 Chengxi Ultramax 46 SBI Sousta 2016 Yangzijiang Kamsarmax 19 SBI Hermes 2016 Imabari Ultramax 47 SBI Rock 2016 Yangzijiang Kamsarmax 20 SBI Zeus 2016 Mitsui Ultramax 48 SBI Lambada 2016 Hudong Kamsarmax 21 SBI Hera 2016 Mitsui Ultramax 49 SBI Reggae 2016 Hudong Kamsarmax 22 SBI Hyperion 2016 Nacks Ultramax 50 SBI Zumba 2016 Hudong Kamsarmax 23 SBI Tethys 2016 Nacks Ultramax 51 SBI Macarena 2016 Hudong Kamsarmax 24 SBI Phoebe 2016 Chengxi Ultramax 52 SBI Parapara 2017 Hudong Kamsarmax 25 SBI Poseidon 2016 Mitsui Ultramax 53 SBI Mazurka 2017 Hudong Kamsarmax 26 SBI Apollo 2016 Mitsui Ultramax 54 SBI Swing 2017 Hudong Kamsarmax 27 SBI Samson 2017 Chengxi Ultramax 55 SBI Jive 2017 Hudong Kamsarmax 28 SBI Phoenix 2017 Chengxi Ultramax 56 TBN SBI Lynx 2018 Yangzijiang Kamsarmax