SLIDE 6 2/13/2015 6
Key Findings: Qualitative Interview
Surrogates Reasons for Optimistic Estimates Disbelief in physicians’ ability to
prognosticate
“…I don’t think doctors can really know the % chance of survival...”
Interpretation of prognosis as a “gist”
estimate rather than a precise estimate
“I tend not to trust the number as much as the feeling the doctor is conveying.”
A week passes and Mrs. Smith gradually improves but
has developed a stage 2 decubitus ulcer during the hospitalization
She is extubated safely and transferred to the acute
floor for further care
She is seen by speech therapy who note dysphagia of
liquids and solids
They recommend Mrs. Smith remain NPO
Liz asks you to order a PEG tube. What is your response?
- A. Yes, artificial nutrition will help Mrs. Smith’s new
ulcer heal
- B. Yes, otherwise she will starve to death
- C. No, I cannot recommend a futile procedure
- D. You withhold judgment until having a further
conversation explaining the risks of the procedure and unclear benefits
Y e s , a r t i f i c i a l n u t r i t i
w i l . . . Y e s ,
h e r w i s e s h e w i l l s t . . . N
I c a n n
r e c
m e n d . . . Y
w i t h h
d j u d g m e n t u . . .
9% 86% 4% 1%
Key Findings: Survival
Median survival following
development of eating problems for those with PEG was 177 days
No significant difference was
found for those without PEG after adjusting for relevant covariates
Teno et al, Oct 2012 JAGS