Nestl I ndia Limited Financial Analysts Meet Nov 16, 2007 Agenda - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Nestl I ndia Limited Financial Analysts Meet Nov 16, 2007 Agenda - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Nestl I ndia Limited Financial Analysts Meet Nov 16, 2007 Agenda Opening Remarks Martial Rolland Key Financials S hobinder Duggal Questions & Answers All Disclaimer This presentation may
Agenda
Opening Remarks Martial Rolland Key Financials S hobinder Duggal Questions & Answers All
This presentation may contain statements which reflect Management’s current views and estimates and could be construed as forward looking statements. The future involves certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from the current views being expressed. Potential risks and uncertainties include factors such as general economic conditions, availability and prices of commodities, competitive products and pricing pressures and regulatory developments etc. Responses can only be given to questions, which are not price sensitive.
Disclaimer
Opening Remarks
Over to SHD
Jan-Sep 07
RIG OG Gross Sales INR 27.1 Bio
INR 21.7 Bio
+ 24.7% +110bp
17.7% 16.6%
Volumes & Prices
20.1% 24.0%
11.7%
9.5% EBIT
+ 32.7%
INR 4.8 Bio INR 3.6 Bio
Snap shot
All calculations are based on non-rounded figures
Jan-Sep 06
Economic Profit
+ 30.7%
INR 2.8 Bio INR 2.1 Bio
Includes Figures from Nestle Internal Reporting Standards
What is delivering the results? Innovation & Renovation Organization Structure GLOBe Nutrition, Health & Wellness Consumer Insight Indian Economy Operational Efficiency People Engagement
SALES GROWTH (Value Driver -1)
20.6 22.9 23.9 26.7 29.7 22.0 27.4
24.0 20.1
- 4. 4
9.5 9.7
- 7. 9
10.4 11.3
- 12. 1
11.7 11.4 12.1 11.5
- 6. 3
10.0 14.0 18.0 22.0 26.0 30.0 34.0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Jan-Sep 06 Jan-Sep 07
G ros s S ales in IN R B io
7 14 21 28
(% ) R IG & O G
Gross Sales INR Bio Real Internal Growth (% ) Organic Growth (% )
Sales Evolution
Basis Nestle Internal Reporting Standards
Growth over the quarters
- 1. 26
- 1. 23
- 1. 12
- 1. 03
- 1. 18
- 1. 20
- 1. 23
- 1. 03
- 1. 61
- 1. 46
- 1. 73
- 0.5
1.0 1.5 2.0
Q1-05 Q2-05 Q3-05 Q4-05 Q1-06 Q2-06 Q3-06 Q4-06 Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07
INR Bio Gross Sales including excise duty
6.6 6.5 6.7 6.7 7.2 7.0 7.5 7.7 9.0 8.7 9.4
- 4. 5
- 5. 5
- 6. 5
- 7. 5
- 8. 5
- 9. 5
Q1-05 Q2-05 Q3-05 Q4-05 Q1-06 Q2-06 Q3-06 Q4-06 Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07
EBIT
Volume (000’ Tons) Value@ (INR Bio) Jan-Sep 07 Jan-Sep 06 Var% Jan-Sep 07 Jan-Sep 06 Var% Domestic 187.4 162.3 15.5 24.8 19.7 25.6# Exports 12.6 12.3 2.4 2.4 2.0 16.3 Total 200.0 174.6 14.6 27.1 21.8 24.7 Domestic
- Contr. %
93.7 92.9 0.8 91.3 90.6 0.7 Exports
- Contr. %
6.3 7.1 (0.8) 8.7 9.4 (0.7)
Channel-wise Sales
@ Gross Sales including excise duty
# Net Domestic Sales up 26.4%
All calculations are based on non-rounded figures
Export sales Jan-Sep 2007 % Contribution
12.2 33.3 5.6 8.2 9.4 31.3 Russia South Asia Europe Asia-Others Africa America
Total Export sales 2,368 Mio
6.7 2.3 64.5 26.5 Beverages Milk Products & Nutrition Prepared Dishes & Cooking Aids Choc & Conf.
11.8 9.7 4.3 5.8 4.4 5.2 3.4 4.3
Jan-Sep 07 Jan-Sep 06
Milk Products and Nutrition Beverages Prepared Dishes and Cooking Aids Chocolate and Confectionery 21.8 27.1 INR Bio. 43.5 21.4 19.3 15.8 44.8 19.7 20.0 15.5
Gross Sales including excise duty
Product Portfolio
Contribution % Contribution %
21.1 33.2 22.3 27.4
%
Product Categories: Jan - Sep 2007
4.3 11.8 5.8 5.2 18 24 30 2 12 22
Volume Growth (% ) Organic Growth (% )
Chocolate & Confectionery Milk Products & Nutrition Beverages Prepared Dishes & Cooking Aids Bubble size represents Gross Sales (INR Bio) X = 24.7 X = 14.6
19.3 21.4 15.8 43.5
78.2 82.0 73 75 77 79 81 83 Jan-Sep 06 Jan-Sep 07 9.7 11.8 9 10 11 12 Jan-Sep 06 Jan-Sep 07
Milk Products & Nutrition
Sales Volume (000’ tons)
4.9%
Sales (INR Bio)
21.1%
- Market Leader in Baby Foods and
Sweetened Condensed Milk
- Very close to market leader in
Infant Formula
- No. 2 in Dairy Whitener
- Growing presence in Fresh Dairy
% Contribution to Total Sales Jan-Sep 07 Innovation & Renovation
21.4 15.8 19.3 43.5
% Contribution to Total Sales
16.5 17.9 16 17 18 Jan-Sep 06 Jan-Sep 07
Sales (INR Bio)
4.3 5.2 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 Jan-Sep 06 Jan-Sep 07
22.3% 8.9%
Beverages
Sales Volume (000’ tons)
- Market Leader in Instant Coffee
Jan-Sep 07
Innovation & Renovation
43.5 19.3 15.8 21.4
% Contribution to Total Sales
4.4 5.8 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 Jan-Sep 06 Jan-Sep 07
33.2%
57.0 72.9 50.0 58.0 66.0 74.0 Jan-Sep 06 Jan-Sep 07
Sales Volume (000’ tons)
Prepared Dishes & Cooking Aids
27.8%
Sales (INR Bio)
- Market Leader in instant
Noodles and Ket chups
- No. 2 in Healthy Soups
Jan-Sep 07
Innovation & Renovation
43.5 19.3 21.4 15.8
% Contribution to Total Sales
3.4 4.3 3.0 3.4 3.8 4.2 4.6 5.0
Jan-Sep 06 Jan-Sep 07
22.9 27.2 20 23 26 29
Jan-Sep 06 Jan-Sep 07
Chocolate & Confectionery
Sales Volumes (000’ tons)
18.6%
Sales (INR Bio)
27.4%
- Market Leader in Wafers and
white chocolat es
- No. 2 in Chocolates
- Market Leader in Eclairs
volumes with 32.4% share. Jan-Sep 07
Innovation & Renovation
PROFIT MARGINS (Value Driver -2)
4.0 4.5 5.3 4.7 3.6 4.8 4.4 5.4 5.2 4.1 3.5 4.6 4.0 3.9 19.7 18.9 18.3 19.7 19.0 19.5 19.5 17.7
17.1 17.5 16.9 17.6
16.6
16.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Jan-Sep 06 Jan-Sep 07
6 12 18 24
EBITD-INR.Bio EBIT-INR.Bio EBITD %
- f Gross Sales
EBIT %
- f Gross Sales
Evolution of Operating Margins
INR Bio.
INR Mio. Description Jan-Sep 07 % Net Sales Jan-Sep 06 % Net Sales Var. % Total Expenditure
- of which
21,291 81.6 17,183 82.6 23.9 Materials 12,594 48.3 9,782 47.0 28.7 Staff Cost 2,036 7.8 1,674 8.0 21.6 Advt + Sales Promotion 1,197 4.6 1,002 4.8 19.4 Distribution 1165 4.5 961 4.6 21.2 Power & Fuel 895 3.4 853 4.1 4.8 Depreciation 542 2.1 486 2.3 11.6
Total Expenditure
Figures have been regrouped / reclassified to make them comparable.
3.2 2.0 2.6 2.5 3.1 3.2 2.5 9.8 11.5 10.6 11.7 10.7 11.6 11.8
1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Jan-Sep 06 Jan-Sep 07
4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
Amount % of Gross Sales
Evolution of Net Profit Margins
INR Bio.
WORKING CAPITAL INTENSITY ( Value Driver -3)
Trade Net Working Capital (TNWC)
INR Mio
30th Sep 2007 30th Sep 2006 Receivables from Customers 588 750 Inventories 3,354 2,288 Less: Trade Payables * 2,171 1,946 TNWC 1,771 1,092 As %
- f Gross Sales (12 rolling months )
4.8 3.7
Basis Nestle Internal Reporting Standards and including affiliated customers and vendors * Excludes payables for taxes, Staff Costs, Capex, provisions for contingencies etc.
Operating Cash Flows
INR Mio
Jan-Sep 2007 Jan-Sep 2006 Operating Cash Flows 3,641 3,095 As %
- f Gross Sales
13.3 14.1
Basis Nestle Internal Reporting Standards
Rotation of Average TNWC
Times
24.6 25.4 34.8 36.2 32.7 25.5 21.8 10 20 30 40
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Jan-Sep 06 Jan-Sep 07
Adjusted
28.0 29.5 27.0
Nestle Internal Reporting Standards. Including affiliated customers and vendors
Average of TNWC at period ends
FIXED CAPITAL INTENSITY ( Value Driver -4)
681 742 781 1,522 849 596 1,054 3.0 3.1 3.0 5.2 2.9 3.1 4.8 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 J-S 06 J-S 07 1.0 3.0 5.0 7.0 Amount %
- f Gross sales
INR mio. %
- f Gross sales
- Dep. 494 463 491 498 555 404
463
Investment in Fixed Assets
6.2 6.3 6.5 6.6 6.6 7.0 5.4 4.4 4.8 5.2 5.6 6.0 6.4 6.8 7.2
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Jan-Sep 06 Jan-Sep 07
Rotation of Average Tangible Fixed Assets
Times
Basis Nestle Internal Reporting Standards
INCOME TAX RATE ( Value Driver -5)
36.8 36.6 33.9 34.7 34.4 35.0 33.3 34.5 33.7 35.9 33.7 34.1 33.6 33.6 30 32 34 36 38 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Jan-Sep 06 Jan-Sep 07
Marginal Rate % Effective Rate %
Evolution of Tax Rate
(rates are a %
- f pre-tax profit excluding FBT)
%
COST OF CAPITAL ( Value Driver -6)
9.4 9.7 10.8 10.8 11.3 7.2 5.3 6.6 7.2 7.2 7.7 10.5 14.2 9.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 9.0 12.0 15.0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Jan-Sep 06 Jan-Sep 07
WACC Risk Free Rate
Evolution – Cost of Capital
Basis Nestle Internal Reporting Standards
VALUE GROWTH DURATION (Value Driver 7)
1.8 2.3 2.2 2.7 2.7 2.1 2.8 67.0 69.7 78.5 87.4 81.0 62.3 78.9 71.6 54.0 49.0 60.0 61.1 62.1 59.4 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Jan-Sep 06 Jan-Sep 07
EP (Economic Profitability) in INR Bio
40 80 120
(% ) Economic Profit INR Bio Return on Equity (% ) Economic Profitability (% )
EP Basis Nestle Internal Reporting Standards Invested Capital basis average at quarterly rests
Creating Shareholder Wealth
18.0 20.0 20.0 25.0 25.5 20.9 27.3 26.1 32.1 32.7 26.2 33.2 200 200 255 180 250 10 15 20 25 30 35
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Jan-Sep 06 Jan-Sep 07
100 200 300
DPS EPS %
Returning cash to Shareholders
INR / Share
2004 - Excludes special dividend of INR 4.5 / Share 1.7 1.9 1.9 2.4 2.5 Dividend (INR Bio)
Dividend as a %
- f Share Capital
2006 1st interim 60% May 06 2007 1st interim 65% Mar 07
QUESTIONS
Thank You
25.4 35.9
- 23.4
15.6 11.7
- 40
- 30
- 20
- 10
10 20 30 40
Indexed price increase %
Commodity Prices - Ongoing Challenge
Jan-Sep 06
Reference point - Jan-Sep 2006 prices