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The Next NCAR Strategic Plan 2020-2024 Working in Partnership with the Research Community Scott W. McIntosh Interim NCAR Director Members of the NCAR Executive Committee 8 January 2019 Discussion with AMS Community NCAR Strategic Plan 2020-2024


  1. The Next NCAR Strategic Plan 2020-2024 Working in Partnership with the Research Community Scott W. McIntosh Interim NCAR Director Members of the NCAR Executive Committee 8 January 2019 Discussion with AMS Community

  2. NCAR Strategic Plan 2020-2024 Overarching Theme: “Delivering Science with Impact” Overarching Vision: Predictive Earth-System Science and Delivery of Information Responsive to Societal Needs Collaborative in Nature: Community Partnerships to Advance Science NCAR Strategic Plan NCAR Strategic Plan

  3. NCAR Strategic Plan 2020-2024 “I have a very strong feeling that science exists to serve human welfare. It’s wonderful to have the opportunity given to us by society to do basic research but in return, we have a very important moral responsibility to apply that research to benefiting humanity.” Walter Orr Roberts NCAR Strategic Plan NCAR Strategic Plan

  4. NCAR2024: What Do We Need From You? • Are the scientific priorities and grand challenges in the following slides the right ones? • What aspects of “convergent science” should NCAR pursue? • How should that be implemented? • How can NCAR and the community partner with enhanced mutual benefit? • How to effectively cultivate the community-NCAR partnership? • Joint Positions, Visitor Program, Post-Docs, Students, Workshops? NCAR Strategic Plan

  5. NCAR2024: A Focus on Earth-System Prediction NCAR Strategic Plan NCAR Strategic Plan

  6. NCAR2024: The Scientific Grand Challenges 1. Understand the sources of error and uncertainty in the prediction of societally-relevant atmospheric and space weather conditions towards improved prediction capability. 2. Predictability of the Earth-system from sub-seasonal to-decadal time scales and application of new insights to improved predictions of extreme events from a unified weather-climate perspective. 3. Assess long-term Earth-system risks and tipping points. NCAR Strategic Plan

  7. NCAR2024: “Delivering Science with Impact” Drivers of Change • Shaping our science around societal needs – contributing to a nation more resilient to weather and climate risk • Major advancements in science, modeling and prediction systems, observational and computing technologies Role of NCAR • NCAR as a catalyst – a driver of change itself (intellectual leadership, transformative technologies, etc.). • Improving science infrastructure. • Innovative approaches to collaborative science and service. • Broader impacts – co-development of knowledge, community nexus, E&O, active engagement with policymakers, etc. NCAR Strategic Plan NCAR Strategic Plan

  8. Next-Generation Unified Modeling System for Integrated Modeling-Atmosphere (SIMA) ¡ SIMA Frontier Applications SIMA is composed of common atmospheric model components Coupled Weather ● & infrastructure Climate Extremes ● Geospace Space Weather ● Weather Air Pollution ● Coupled Polar ● Dynamical cores ● ● Physics ● Initialization Existing ● Diagnostics Applications ● Coupled System Climate Chemistry NCAR Strategic Plan

  9. Next-Generation Data & HPC ¡ NCAR Strategic Plan NCAR Strategic Plan

  10. Planning for “Science At Scale” ¡ External NCAR NCAR is working User Scientist on plan to better enable science on big data by providing ability for both internal and external users to analyze large datasets without downloading. NCAR Strategic Plan NCAR Strategic Plan

  11. Next-Generation Observing Systems ¡ Coronal Solar Magnetism Observatory (COSMO) Airborne Phased Array Radar (APAR) NCAR Strategic Plan

  12. Engaging the Social Science and Human Dimensions Research Communities: Early-Career Faculty Innovator Program ¡ Complementing NCAR’s expertise by partnering with faculty in the social sciences and STEM not represented at NCAR to address complex research problems. Research opportunities, tuition support and professional development for early-career faculty and their graduate students to co-develop interdisciplinary research projects with NCAR scientists. ¡ First Cohort 2019-2020 NCAR Strategic Plan

  13. NCAR2024: A Convergence Hub? 1. Research driven by a specific and compelling problem. 2. Deep integration across disciplines. NCAR Strategic Plan NCAR Strategic Plan

  14. NCAR2024: What Do We Need From You? • Are the scientific priorities and grand challenges in the following slides the right ones? • What aspects of “convergent science” should NCAR pursue? • How should that be implemented? • How can NCAR and the community partner with enhanced mutual benefit? • How to effectively cultivate the community-NCAR partnership? • Joint Positions, Visitor Program, Post-Docs, Students, Workshops? NCAR Strategic Plan NCAR Strategic Plan

  15. NCAR2024: Next Steps • Internal Meetings at NCAR to develop the detail behind the top-level strategy. • Onboarding of NCAR Director, Dr. Everette Joseph • Everette will have a major say in the final form of the Strategic Plan • Strategic Plan is due to NSF December 2019 Grab PDF of Slides Thank you for your time and participation. Additional Questions, Comments? Contact: NCAR2024@ucar.edu NCAR Strategic Plan

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