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Nash equilibrium in games with continuous action spaces Felix Munoz-Garcia School of Economic Sciences Washington State University EconS 424 - Strategy and Game Theory Games with Continuous Actions Spaces So far, we considered that players


  1. Bertrand Game of Price Competition Competition in prices. The …rm with the lowest price attracts all consumers. If both …rms charge the same price, they share consumers equally. Any p i < c is strictly dominated by p i � c . No asymmetric Nash equilibrium: (See Figures) If p 1 > p 2 > c , then …rm 1 obtains no pro…t, and it can 1 undercut …rm 2’s price to p 2 > p 1 > c . Hence, there exists a pro…table deviation, which shows that p 1 > p 2 > c cannot be a psNE. If p 2 > p 1 > c . Similarly, …rm 2 obtains no pro…t, but can 2 undercut …rm 1’s price to p 1 > p 2 > c . Hence, there exists a pro…table deviation, showing that p 2 > p 1 > c cannot be a psNE. If p 1 > p 2 = c , then …rm 2 would want to raise its price 3 (keeping it below p 1 ). Hence, there is a pro…table deviation for …rm 2, and p 1 > p 2 = c cannot be a psNE. Similarly for p 2 > p 1 = c . 4

  2. Bertrand Game of Price Competition p 1 > p 2 > c 1 p 2 c p 1 Profitable deviation of firm 1. p 2 > p 1 > c 2 c p 1 p 2 Profitable deviation of firm 2.

  3. Bertrand Game of Price Competition p 1 > p 2 = c 1 c = p 2 p 1 p 2 > p 1 = c 2 c = p 1 p 2

  4. Bertrand Game of Price Competition Therefore, it must be that the psNE is symmetric. If p 1 = p 2 > c , then both …rms have incentives to deviate, undercutting each other’s price (keeping it above c , e.g., p 2 > ˜ p 1 > c . ~ p 1 c p 1 = p 2 And similarly for firm 2 Hence, p 1 = p 2 = c is the unique psNE.

  5. Bertrand Game of Price Competition The Bertrand model of price competition predicts intense competitive pressures until both …rms set prices p 1 = p 2 = c . How can the "super-competitive" outcome where p 1 = p 2 = c be ameliorated? Two ways: O¤ering price-matching guarantees. Product di¤erentiaion

  6. Price-matching Guarantees in Bertrand These guarantees are relatively common in some industries Walmart, Best Buy, Orbitz, etc. Under this guarantee, …rm 1 gets a price p 1 for its products when p 1 � p 2 , and... a price p 2 for its products when p 1 > p 2 (the low-price guarantee kicks in) Hence, …rm 1 sells its products at the lowest of the two prices, i.e., min f p 1 , p 2 g .

  7. Price-matching Guarantees in Bertrand Before analyzing the set of NEs under low-price guarantees, let’s …nd the price that …rm 1 would set under monopoly. If both …rms’ marginal costs are c = 10, and the demand function is q = 100 � p , …rm 1’s pro…ts are π = pq � cq = p ( 100 � p ) � 10 ( 100 � p ) = ( p � 10 )( 100 � p ) Taking FOCs with respect to p , we obtain 100 � 2 p + 10 = 0 which implies p = $ 55. At this price, monopoly pro…ts become 2,025.

  8. Price-matching Guarantees in Bertrand Taking SOCs with respect to p , we obtain � 2 < 0. Hence, the pro…t function is concave and is represented below.

  9. Price-matching Guarantees in Bertrand Let us now examine the case where instead …rm 1 competes with …rm 2 and both …rms o¤er low-price guarantees. Firm 1’s pro…ts are � 10 ] 1 [ min f p 1 , p 2 g 2 [ 100 � min f p 1 , p 2 g ] | {z } | {z } lowest price …rm 1’s sales where the "1/2" is due to the fact that, under the low-price guarantee, both …rms end up selling their products at the same price, namely, the lowest price in the market, and each …rm gets 50% of the sales. Consider a symmetric strategy pair where both …rms set p 1 = p 2 = p 0 such that p 0 2 [ 10 , 55 ] , i.e., above marginal costs and below monopoly price.

  10. Price-matching Guarantees in Bertrand Firm 1’s pro…ts become When p 1 � p 0 , …rm 1 sells at p 1 . This implies that its pro…ts become � 10 ] 1 = [ p 1 � 10 ] 1 min f p 1 , p 2 g 2 [ 100 � min f p 1 , p 2 g ] 2 [ 100 � p 1 ] | {z } | {z } lowest price …rm 1’s sales which …rm 1 gets half of the total pro…t under monopoly.

  11. Price-matching Guarantees in Bertrand What if p 1 > p 0 In that case, …rm 1 sells at p 0 (because of the price-matching guarantee). This implies that its pro…ts become � 10 ] 1 = [ p 0 � 10 ] 1 2 [ 100 � p 0 ] min f p 1 , p 2 g 2 [ 100 � min f p 1 , p 2 g ] | {z } | {z } lowest price …rm 1’s sales which is constant (independent) in p 1 , i.e., a ‡at line in the …gure for all p 1 > p 0 .

  12. Price-matching Guarantees in Bertrand In order to …nd the NE of this game, consider any symmetric pricing pro…le p 1 = p 2 = p 0 such that p 0 2 [ 10 , 55 ] . Can this be an equilibrium? Let’s check if …rms have incentives to deviate from this equilibrium. No! If you are …rm 1, by undercutting …rm 2’s price (i.e., charging p 1 = p 2 � ε ), you are not "stealing" customers. Instead, you only sell your product at a lower price. Firm 2’s customers are still with …rm 2, since the low-price guarantee would imply that …rm 2 charges …rm 1’s (lowest) price. A similar argument is applicable if you put yourself in the shoes of …rm 2: You don’t want to undercut you rival’s price, since by doing so you sell the same number of units but at a lower price.

  13. Price-matching Guarantees in Bertrand Importantly, we were able to show that for any pricing pro…le p 1 = p 2 = p 0 such that p 0 2 [ 10 . 55 ] . Hence, there is a continuum of symmetric NEs, one for each price level from p 0 = 10 to p 0 = 55. Wow! Low-price guarantees destroy the incentive to undercut a rival’s price and allows …rms to sustain higher prices. What appears to enhance competition actually destroys it!

  14. Price-matching Guarantees in Bertrand Empirical evidence: We …rst need to set a testable hypothesis from our model According to our theoretical results, products that are suddenly subject to price-matching guarantees should experience a larger increase in prices than products which were not subject to the price-matching guarantee. That is, ∆ P PM > ∆ P NPM Lets go to the data now.

  15. This has been empirically shown for a group of supermarkets in North Carolina. In 1985, Big Star announced price-matching guarantees for a weekly list of products. These products experienced a larger price increase than the products that were not included in the list.

  16. Price-matching Guarantees in Bertrand Example: Before introducing price-matching guarantees, Maxwell House Co¤ee sold for $2.19 at Food Lion, $2.29 at Winn-Dixie (two other groceries), and $2.33 at Big Star. After announcing the price-matching guarantee, it sold for exactly the same (higher) price, $2.89 in all three supermarkets. Price-matching guarantees hence allowed these groceries to ameliorate price competition, and to coordinate on higher prices.

  17. Price Competition with Di¤erentiated Products Another variation of the standard Bertrand model of price competition is to allow for product di¤erentiation: In the standard Bertrand model, …rms sell a homogeneous (undi¤erentiated) product, e.g., wheat. We will now see what happens if …rms sell heterogeneous (di¤erentiated) products, e.g., Coke and Pepsi. Let’s consider the following example from Harrington (pp. 160-164) analyzing the competition between Dell and HP.

  18. Price Competition with Di¤erentiated Products Demand for Dell computers q Dell ( p Dell , p HP ) = 100 � 2 p Dell + p HP so that an increase in p Dell reduces the demand for Dell computers (own-price e¤ect), but an increase in p HP actually increases the demand for Dell computers (cross-price e¤ect). Similarly for HP, q HP ( p HP , p Dell ) = 100 � 2 p HP + p Dell Hence, pro…ts for Dell are π Dell ( p Dell , p HP ) = [ p Dell � 10 ] ( 100 � 2 p Dell + p HP ) | {z } | {z } q Dell Pro…ts per unit or, expanding it, 100 p Dell � 2 p 2 Dell + p HP p Dell � 100 + 20 p Dell � 10 p HP

  19. Price Competition with Di¤erentiated Products Taking FOCs with respect to p Dell (the only choice variable for Dell), we obtain ∂π Dell ( p Dell , p HP ) = 100 � 4 p Dell + p HP + 20 = 0 ∂ p Dell and solving for p Dell we …nd p Dell = 120 + p HP = 30 + 0 . 25 p HP ( BRF Dell ) 4 (See …gure).

  20. Price Competition with Di¤erentiated Products p Dell p Dell = 30 + 0 . 25 p HP BRF Dell 0 . 25 30 p HP

  21. Note the di¤erence with the Cournot model of price competition: BRF is positively (not negatively) sloped. Intuition : strategic complementarity vs. strategic substitutability.

  22. Price Competition with Di¤erentiated Products Similarly operating with HP (where marginal costs are c = 30), we have π HP ( p HP , p Dell ) = [ p HP � 30 ] ( 100 � 2 p HP + p Dell ) | {z } | {z } Pro…ts per unit q HP Taking FOCs with respect to p HP (the only choice variable for HP), we obtain ∂π HP ( p HP , p Dell ) = 100 � 4 p HP + p Dell + 60 = 0 ∂ p HP and solving for p HP we …nd p HP = 160 + p Dell = 40 + 0 . 25 p Dell ( BRF HP ) 4 (See …gure).

  23. Price Competition with Di¤erentiated Products p Dell p HP = 40 + 0 .25 p Dell BRF HP Same axis 0. 25 p HP 40

  24. Price Competition with Di¤erentiated Products As a side, note that the SOCs for a max are also satis…ed since: ∂ 2 π Dell ( p Dell , p HP ) = � 4 < 0 (Dell’s pro…t function is concave), ∂ p 2 Dell ∂ 2 π HP ( p HP , p Dell ) = � 4 < 0 (HP’s pro…t function is concave) ∂ p 2 HP

  25. Price Competition with Di¤erentiated Products Indeed, if we graphically represent Dell’s pro…t function for p HP = $ 60, that is ( p Dell � 10 )( 100 � 2 p Dell + 60 ) = 180 p � 2 p 2 � 1600 we obtain the following concave pro…t function:

  26. Price Competition with Di¤erentiated Products Hence, both …rms’ BRF s cross at p Dell = 30 + 0 . 25 ( 40 + 0 . 25 p Dell ) = 30 + 10 + 0 . 625 p Dell | {z } p HP and solving for p Dell (the only unknown), we obtain p Dell = $ 42 . 67. We can now …nd p HP by just plugging p Dell = $ 42 . 67 into BRF HP , as follows p HP = 40 + 0 . 25 p Dell = 40 . 25 + 0 . 25 � 42 . 67 = $ 50 . 67

  27. Price Competition with Di¤erentiated Products Putting BRF Dell and BRF HP together p Dell $42 .67 BRF Dell 0.25 30 BRF HP 0 .25 p HP 40 $50 .67

  28. More Problems that Include Continuum Strategy Spaces Let’s move outside the realm of industrial organization. There are still several games where players select an action among a continuum of possible actions. What’s ahead... Tragedy of the commons: how much e¤ort to exert in …shing, exploiting a forest, etc, incentives to overexploit the resource. Tari¤ setting by two countries: what precise tari¤ to set. Charitable giving: how many dollars to give to charity. Electoral competition: political candidates locate their platforms along the line (left-right, more or less spending, more or less security, etc.) Accident law: how much care a victim and an injurer exert, given di¤erent legal rules.

  29. Tragedy of the Commons Reading : Harrington pp. 164-169.

  30. n hunters, each deciding how much e¤ort e i to exert, where e 1 + e 2 + . . . + e n = E Every hunter i ’s payo¤ is a function of the total pounds of mammoth killed Pounds = E ( 1000 � E ) Underexploitation Overexploitation

  31. Tragedy of the Commons From the total pounds of mammoth killed, hunter i obtains a share that depends on how much e¤ort he contributed relative to the entire group, i.e., e i E . E¤ort, however, is costly for hunter i , at a rate of 100 per unit (opportunity cost of one hour of e¤ort = gathering fruit?). Hence, every hunter i ’s payo¤ is given by e i u i ( e i , e � i ) = E ( 1000 � E ) � 100 e i | {z } | {z } E |{z} cost total pounds share cancelling E and rearranging, we obtain 2 3 4 1000 � ( e 1 + e 2 + . . . + e n ) 5 � 100 e i e i | {z } E

  32. Tragedy of the Commons Taking FOCs with respect to e i , ∂ u i ( e i , e � i ) = 1000 � ( e 1 + e 2 + . . . + e n ) � e i � 100 = 0 ∂ e i and noting that e 1 + e 2 + . . . + e n = ( e 1 + e 2 + e i � 1 + e i + 1 + . . . + e n ) + e i , we can rewrite the above FOC as 900 � ( e 1 + e 2 + e i � 1 + e i + 1 + . . . + e n ) � 2 e i = 0 (SOCs are also satis…ed and equal to -2)

  33. Solving for e i , e i = 450 � e 1 + e 2 + e i � 1 + e i + 1 + . . . + e n ( BRF i ) 2 Intuitively, there exists a strategic substitutability between e¤orts: the more you hunt, the less prey is left for me.

  34. Tragedy of the Commons Note that for the case of only two hunters, e 1 = 450 � e 2 2 e 1 450 BRF 1 900 e 2

  35. Tragedy of the Commons A similar maximization problem (and resulting BRF ) can be found for all hunters, since they are all symmetric. n = e � (symmetric equilibrium) Hence, e � 1 = e � 2 = . . . = e � implying that e � 1 + e � 2 + e � i � 1 + e � i + 1 + . . . + e � n = ( n � 1 ) e � . Putting this information into the BRF yeilds e � = 450 � e � 1 + e � 2 + e � i � 1 + e � i + 1 + . . . + e � = 450 � ( n � 1 ) e � n 2 2 and solving for e � , we obtain e � = 900 n + 1

  36. Tragedy of the Commons Comparative statics on the above result: First, note that individual equilibrium e¤ort, e � , is decreasing in n since ∂ e � 900 ∂ n = � ( n + 1 ) 2 < 0 Intuitively, this implies that an increase in the number of potential hunters reduces every hunter’s individual e¤ort, since more hunters are chasing the same set of mammoths. (Why not gather some fruit instead?)

  37. Tragedy of the Commons Individual e¤ort in equilibrium e � = 900 n + 1 Effort n

  38. Tragedy of the Commons Comparative statics on the above result: Second, note that aggregate equilibrium e¤ort, ne � , is increasing in n since ∂ ( ne � ) = 900 ( n + 1 ) � 900 n 900 = ( n + 1 ) 2 > 0 ( n + 1 ) 2 ∂ n Although each hunter hunts less when there are more hunters, the addition of another hunter o¤sets that e¤ect, so the total e¤ort put into hunting goes up.

  39. Tragedy of the Commons Finally, what about overexploitation? We know that overexploitation occurs if E > 500 (the point at which aggregate meat production is maximized). Total e¤ort exceeds 500 if n 900 n + 1 > 500, or n > 1 . 2. That is, as long as there are 2 or more hunters, the resource will be overexploited.

  40. Tragedy of the Commons The exploitation of a common pool resource (…shing grounds, forests, acquifers, etc.) to a level beyond the level that is socially optimal is referred to as the " tragedy of the commons ." Why does this "tragedy" occur? Because when an agent exploits the resource he does not take into account the negative e¤ect that his action has on the well-being of other agents exploiting the resource (who now …nd a more depleted resource). Or more compactly, because every agent does not take into account the negative externality that his actions impose on other agents.

  41. Tari¤ Setting by Two Countries Reading : Watson pp. 111-112 Players: two countries i = f 1 , 2 g , e.g., US and EU. Each country i simultaneously selects a tari¤ x i 2 [ 0 , 100 ] . Country i ’s payo¤ is V i ( x i , x j ) = 2000 + 60 x i + x i x j � x 2 i � 90 x j

  42. Tari¤ Setting by Two Countries Let’s put ourselves in the shoes of country i . Taking FOCs with respect to x i we obtain 60 + x j � 2 x i = 0 and solving for x i , we have x i = 30 + 1 2 x j We can check that SOCs are satis…ed, by di¤erentiating with respect to x i again ∂ 2 V i ( x i , x j ) = � 2 < 0 ∂ x 2 i showing that country i ’s payo¤ function is concave in x i .

  43. Tari¤ Setting by Two Countries We can depict country i ’s BRF , x i = 30 + 1 2 x j (see next page) The …gure indicates that country i ’s and j ’s tari¤s are strategic complements: an increase in tari¤s by the EU is responded by an increase in tari¤s in the US.

  44. Tari¤ Setting by Two Countries Country i ’s BRF : x i = 30 + 1 2 x j x i Tariff for country i BRF i ½ 30 Tariff for x j country j

  45. By symmetry, country j ’s BRF is x j = 30 + 1 2 x i See …gure in the next slide

  46. Tari¤ Setting by Two Countries Country j ’s BRF : x j = 30 + 1 2 x i x i BRF j Tariff for country i ½ 30 Tariff for x j country j

  47. Tari¤ Setting by Two Countries Putting both countries’ BRF together (see …gure on the next page), we obtain � � x i = 30 + 1 30 + 1 2 x i 2 | {z } x j simplifying x i = 30 + 15 + 1 4 x i and solving for x i we obtain x � i = 60. Therefore, the psNE of this tari¤ setting game is � � x � i , x � = ( 60 , 60 ) . j

  48. Tari¤ Setting by Two Countries Both countries’ BRF together: x i BRF j BRF i 60 ½ 30 ½ 30 60 x j

  49. Charitable Giving Reading : Harrington pp. 169-174. Consider a set of N donors to a charity. Each donor i contributes an amount of s i dollars. Donor i bene…ts from the donations from all contributors ∑ N i = 1 s i (which includes his own contribution), obtaining a q p ∑ N S where S = ∑ N bene…t of i = 1 s i , i.e., i = i s i . Finally, the marginal cost of giving one more dollar to the charity for player i is k i (alternative uses of that dollar)

  50. Charitable Giving Therefore, donor i ’s utility is v u u N t ∑ u i ( s i , s � i ) = s i � k i s i |{z} i = 1 Private cost of | {z } my donation Public bene…t from all donations Taking FOCs with respect to s i we obtain ! � 1 N 2 1 ∑ s i � k i � 0 2 i = 1 which in the case on N = 2 players reduce to 1 2 ( s 1 + s 2 ) � 1 2 � k i � 0 � � � 3 2 < 0 thus guaranteeing concavity. SOCs are � 1 ∑ N i = 1 s i 4

  51. Charitable Giving In the case of N = 2, we obtain the following FOC: 1 2 ( s i + s j ) � 1 2 = k i or alternatively 1 = 4 k 2 ( ) i s i + s j Hence, we can solve for s i , obtaining donor i ’s BRF 1 s i ( s j ) = � s j 4 k 2 i Graphical representation of players’ BRF : when k j = k i (continuum of solutions), and when k j < k i , where s i = 0 and s j > 0.

  52. Charitable Giving Donor i ’s BRF : 1 s i ( s j ) = � s j 4 k 2 i s i 1 4 k 2 i - 1 BRF i 1 s j 4 k 2 i But how can we depict BRF j using the same axes?

  53. Charitable Giving Case 1: k i = k j = k s i 1 4 k 2 - 1 BRF i BRF j - 1 s j 1 4 k 2 "Total overlap" of BRF s: any combination of ( s i , s j ) on the overlap is a NE.

  54. Charitable Giving 1 1 Case 2: k i > k j = ) i < 4 k 2 4 k 2 j s i 1 4 k 2 j BRF j 1 Unique NE: 1 4 k 2 s i = 0 , s j = i * * 4 k 2 j - 1 BRF i - 1 1 1 s j 4 k 2 4 k 2 i j Intuition : Donor i ’s private cost from donating money to the charity, k i , is higher than that of donor j , k j , leading the former to donate zero and the latter to bear the burden of all contributions.

  55. Charitable Giving 1 1 Case 3: k i < k j = ) i > 4 k 2 4 k 2 j s i Unique NE: 1 1 4 k 2 s i = , s j = 0 * * i 4 k 2 i - 1 1 4 k 2 j BRF i BRF j - 1 1 1 s j 4 k 2 4 k 2 j i Intuition : Donor j ’s private cost from donating money to the charity, k j , is higher than that of donor i , k i , leading the former to donate zero and the latter to bear the burden of all contributions.

  56. Charitable Giving Another example: In Harrington, you have another example of charitable giving where u i ( s i , s j ) = 1 , where s � i = ∑ 5 ( s i + s � i ) � s i s j |{z} j 6 = i k i = 1 clearly, from FOCs, ∂ u i ( s i , s � i ) = 1 5 � 1 = � 4 5 for all s i and s j ∂ s i which implies that s � i = 0 for all players.

  57. Charitable Giving How can we represent that result using BRF s? s i BRF j : s 2 = 0 Regardless of s 1 Unique NE : s i = 0 , s j = 0 * * BRF i : s 1 = 0 Regardless of s 2 s j

  58. Charitable Giving What if we add a matching grant, ¯ s ? This is indeed commonly observed (NPR, Warren Bu¤et, CAHNRS, etc). In this setting, every donor i ’s utility function remains being 1 5 ( s i + s � i ) � s i if total contributions do not exceed the matching grant from the philanthropist (i.e., if s i + s � i < ¯ s ), but... increases to 1 5 ( s i + s � i + ¯ s ) � s i if total contributions exceed the matching grant from the philanthropist (i.e., if s i + s � i � ¯ s ). � 1 5 ( s i + s � i ) � s i if s i + s j < ¯ s u i ( s i , s � i ) = 1 5 ( s i + s � i + ¯ s ) � s i if s i + s j � ¯ s Note that this implies that donor i ’s utility function is not continuous at ¯ s , so you cannot start taking derivatives right away. Practice this exercise (all answers are in Harrington, pages 169-174). Good news: equilibrium donations increase!

  59. Electoral Competition Candidates running for elected o¢ce compete in di¤erent dimensions advertising, endorsements, looks, etc. Nonetheless, the most important dimension of competition lies on their positions on certain policies Gov’t spending on social programs, on defense, etc. Let’s represent the position of candidates along a line [ 0 , 1 ] . Candidates only care about winning the election: payo¤ of 2 if winning, 1 if tying and 0 if losing. Candidates cannot renege from their promises. Each voter has an ideal position on the line [ 0 , 1 ] . Voters are uniformly distributed along the line [ 0 , 1 ] . Non-strategic voters: they simply vote for the candidate whose policy is closest to their ideal.

  60. Electoral Competition Candidate D and R positions (Political promises ) x D x R 0 1 Ideal voter policies are uniformly distributed along [0,1]

  61. Electoral Competition Let us consider two candidates for election: Democrat (D) and Republican (R). In order to better understand under which cases each candidate wins (accumulates the majority of votes), let us consider: First, the case in which x D > x R . (See …gures in next slide) Second, the case where x D < x R . (See …gures two slides ahead)

  62. Electoral Competition If x D > x R , then: Swing voters x D + x R x R x D 0 1 2 These voters vote Midpoint between These voters vote Democrat Republican x D and x R Which party wins? It depends: we have two cases � !

  63. Electoral Competition If x D > x R , then: x D + x R < 1 1 2 2 x D could also be here , as long as x D + x R < ½ ½ 2 x D + x R x R x D 0 1 2 Votes for D Votes for R ( D wins!) x D + x R > 1 2 2 2 x R could also be here , as long as x D + x R > ½ ½ 2 x D + x R x R x D 0 1 2 Votes for R Votes for D ( D Loses)

  64. Electoral Competition If x D < x R , then: x D + x R < 1 1 2 2 x R could also be here , as long as x D + x R < ½ ½ 2 x D + x R x D x R 0 1 2 Votes for D Votes for R ( D Loses ) x D + x R > 1 2 2 2 x D could also be here , as long as x D + x R > ½ ½ 2 x D + x R x D x R 0 1 2 Votes for R Votes for D ( D Wins!)

  65. Electoral Competition Hence, if x D < x R , candidate D wins if he selects a x D that satis…es x D + x R > 1 2 ( ) x D + x R > 1 ( ) x D > 1 � x R 2 And if x D > x R , candidate D wins if he selects a x D that satis…es x D + x R < 1 2 ( ) x D + x R < 1 ( ) x D < 1 � x R 2

  66. Electoral Competition Candidate D’s best response "set" x D 45 o ( x D = x R ) 1 In this region , In this region , x D > x R and x D < x R and x D < 1 - x R x D > 1 - x R x D = 1 - x R 0 x R 1

  67. Electoral Competition Similarly for candidate R, If x D < x R , candidate R selects x R that satis…es x D + x R < 1 2 ( ) x D + x R < 1 ( ) x D < 1 � x R 2 If x D > x R , candidate R selects x R that satis…es x D + x R > 1 2 ( ) x D + x R > 1 ( ) x D > 1 � x R 2

  68. Electoral Competition Candidate R’s best response "set" x D 45 o ( x D = x R ) 1 In this region , x D > x R and x D > 1 - x R In this region, x D < x R and x D < 1 - x R x D = 1 - x R 0 x R 1

  69. Electoral Competition Superimposing both candidate’s best response "sets"... We can see that the only point where they cross (or overlap) each other is... in the policy pair ( x D , x R ) = ( 1 2 , 1 2 ) . This is the NE of this electoral competition game: Both candidates select the same polict ( 1 2 ) , which coincides with the ideal policy for the median voter. Political convergence among candidates.

  70. Electoral Competition We can alternatively show that this must be an equlibrium by R ) di¤erent from 1 starting from any other strategy pair ( x 0 D , x 0 2 . Where the black lettering represents the votes before D’s deviation and the pink represents the votes after D’s deviation. Candidate R would win. However, candidate D can instead take a position x 0 D between x 0 R and 1 2 , which leads him to win. Thus, ( x 0 D , x 0 R ) cannot be an equilibrium.

  71. Electoral Competition We can extend the same argument to any other strategy pair where one candidate takes a position di¤erent from 1 2 . Indeed, the other candidate can take a position between 1 2 and his rival’s position, which guarantees him winning the election. Therefore, no candidate can be located away from 1 2 , Hence, the only psNE is ( x D , x R ) = ( 1 2 , 1 2 ) . Finally, note that a unilateral deviation from this strategy pair cannot be pro…table (see …gure where D deviates)

  72. Electoral Competition We considered some simplifying assumptions: Candidates: Only two candidates (ok in the US, not for EU). Candidates could not renege from their promises. Candidate did not have political preferences (they only cared about winning!) Voters: Voters’ preferences were uniformly distributed over the policy space [ 0 , 1 ] . (If they are not, results are not so much a¤ected; see Osborne) Voters were not strategic: they simply voted for the candidate whose policy was closest to their ideal. Voters might be asymmetric about how much they care about the distance between a policy and his ideal.

  73. Accident Law Reading: Osborne pp. 91-96. Injurer (player 1) and Victim (player 2) The loss that the victim su¤ers is represented by L ( a 1 , a 2 ) . which decreases in the amount of care taken by the injurer a 1 and the victim a 2 . It can be understood as the expected loss over many occurrences. Example : L ( a 1 , a 2 ) = 2 � α ( a 1 ) 2 � β ( a 2 ) 2 Legal rule: it determines the fraction of the loss su¤ered by the victim that must be borne by the injurer. ρ ( a 1 , a 2 ) 2 [ 0 , 1 ] (Think about what it means if it is zero or one). = 0 � The victim bears the entire loss = 1 � The injurer bears the entire loss

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