MTN Group Limited Reviewed interim results
for the six months ended 30 June 2006 Investcom LLC unaudited results for the six months ended 30 June 2006
MTN Group Limited Reviewed interim results for the six months - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
MTN Group Limited Reviewed interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2006 Investcom LLC unaudited results for the six months ended 30 June 2006 Agenda MTN Strategic & operational overview Phuthuma Nhleko President and Group
for the six months ended 30 June 2006 Investcom LLC unaudited results for the six months ended 30 June 2006
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Rebranding
to Johannesburg, full transfer by Jan 2007
Processes
established Middle East Risk Mitigation Personnel
already under way
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31.5 6.1 25.4 Subscribers (m) 488 147 341 Population (m) 21 10 11 Countries Total Inv MTN MTN Investcom West and Central Africa Special Projects & Middle East North and East Africa Southern Africa
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2 May 2006
23 May 2006
4 July 2006
12 July 2006
17 July 2006
24 July 2006
15 August 2006
31 August 2006
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** Excludes application providers: 141 000 (Dec 05 – 130 000) *** Includes subscribers in SuperCell: 71 000 (Dec 05 – 56 000)
11% 213 236 Swaziland 11% 479 531 Botswana 13% 275 311 Rwanda*** 3% 1,080 1,108 Côte d'Ivore 10% 21,323 23,384 Total excluding acquisitions 9% 210 229 Congo 9% 23,189 25,371 Total 23% 97 119 Zambia 26% 982 1,236 Uganda 22% 1,248 1,528 Cameroon 15% 8,370 9,636 Nigeria 2% 10,235 10,437 South Africa** % change (6 months) Dec 05 Jun 06 000’s
Subscriber definition based on 90 day activity window
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$25 $18 $15 $19 $12 $16 $22 $20 $20 $16 South Africa Nigeria Cameroon Côte d'Ivoire Uganda Rwanda Swaziland Zambia Congo Botswana
ARPU South Africa: ZAR159 (Dec 05 – ZAR169)
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33% 56% 54% 33% 54% 60% 56% 27% 37% 50% South Africa Nigeria Cameroon Côte d'Ivoire Uganda Rwanda Swaziland Zambia Congo Botswana 42.9% GROUP
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11349 144 59 87
PAT ZAR2.5bn (50% Group) EBITDA ZAR4.1bn (47% Group) Revenue ZAR11.6bn (58% Group) 11.3m Subs (45% Group) Population : 60.8m (18% Group)
Revenue EBITDA Subscribers
3783 23 37 72
RSA Zambia Botswana Swaziland
10437 531 236 119
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10.4 10.2 7.1 6.1 4.9 6.0 8.6 8.6 1.2 1.9 1.6 1.1 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Jun-06 Total Postpaid Prepaid
Sep 2005 Jun 2006 9.6% 33.5% ZAR11.3b Capex/ Revenue EBITDA margin Revenue 17% 33.1% ZAR9.8b
Market share 33-37% Launched Jun 1994 Shareholding 100% Penetration ~63% Market sizing 41m (2009) Population 47.2m
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164 155 129
per Sub
140 121 541 494 93 90 159 576 597 607 561 105 101 104 97 169 184 203 206 208 2002 2003 2004 2005 38691 38873 Postpaid Prepaid Blended
Mar-05 Mar-03 Mar-04 Dec-05 Mar-02 Jun-06
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18
19
20
151 172 286 403 679 779 135 234 384 502 403
Mar-02 Mar-03 Mar-04 Mar-05 Dec-05 Jun-06 Interim Full year
406 670 905
3,2% 3,8% 5,0% 8,2% As % of MTN SA revenue*
286
5,9%
1 082
7,8%
* Includes data revenue from subscriptions from Dec 05
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175 834 765 6395
PAT ZAR2.5bn (53% Group) EBITDA ZAR4.4bn (50% Group) Revenue ZAR8.2bn (40% Group) 12.5m Subs (49% Group) Population : 178.9m (52%Group)
Revenue EBITDA Subscribers
3590 64 446 252
Nigeria Cameroon Cote d'Ivoire Congo
9636 1108 1528 229
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Sep 2005 Jun 2006 24% 56.1% USD1.0bn Capex/ Revenue EBITDA margin Revenue 37% 52.2% USD0.9bn
Market share 45% Launched Aug 2001 Shareholding 75% Penetration 15% Market sizing 25-30m (2009) Population 139m
4,392 8,370 1,966 1,037 18 22 40 51 57
Mar-03 Mar-04 Mar-05 Dec-05 Jun-06
MTN Subscribers ('000) ARPU (USD)
Pre Dec 05, subscribers and ARPU based on 30 day activity window
9,636
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31% 58% 38% 64% 48% 73% 43% 18% Geographic coverage Population coverage Mar-04 Mar-05 Dec-05 Jun-06
24
25
323 75
PAT ZAR22m (0.4% Group) EBITDA ZAR0.2bn (3% Group) Revenue ZAR0.4bn (2% Group) 1.5m Subs (6% Group) Population : 113m (30% Group)
Revenue EBITDA Subscribers
174 44
Uganda Rwanda
1236 311
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27
28
29
31
8.7 11.3 13.7 17.2 20.2
10.7 12.6 15.3 9.8 2003 2004 2005 Dec-05 Jun-06
CAGR 03H1 – 06H1 23% CAGR
34%
8.6 7.2 5.6 4.3 2.7 3.8 6.4 4.7 3.5 2003 2004 2005 Dec-05 Jun-06 278.5 218.4 170.1 123.4 60.9 82.4 129.7 193 119.8 2003 2004 2005 Dec-05 Jun-06
* Basic headline earnings Jun 2006 – 289.1 cents (December 2005 – 359.8 cents) Adjustment made to eliminate deferred tax asset raised by MTN Nigeria and put option impact ** Restated **
CAGR
46%
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33
34
35
20.32 17.91 20.23 20.4 19.89 20.42 20.38 20.72
Jun-05 Sep-05 Dec-05 Jun-06
Average rates Closing rates
If Sep 2005 and Dec 2005 FX rates are applied to Jun 2006 PAT there is an impact of less than 3%
6.34 7.16 6.47 6.38 6.41 6.32 6.36 6.68
Jun-05 Sep-05 Dec-05 Jun-06
Average rates Closing rates
36 27 3 776 4 804 Net profit 69 (137) (232) Amortisation 28 (1 569) (2 009) Depreciation (4) (617) (592) Minority interest 23 4 393 5 396 Profit after taxation 42 (977) (1 383) Income tax expense 26 5 370 6 779 Profit before taxation 6 21 Share of profits of associates (92) 338 Net finance costs 18 5 456 6 420 Profit from operations 21 7 162 8 661 EBITDA 18 17 180 20 209 Revenue
* Restated
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Impact of put option 27 218,4 278,5 Adjusted headline earnings per share Segmental contribution 26 229,9 289,1 Basic headline earnings per share 27 218,4 278,5 Adjusted headline earnings per share 41 108,7 153,1 International 14 109,7 125,4 South Africa 48 (11,5) (17,0) Reversal of deferred tax credit
* Restated
38 17 9 918 11 643
71 1 035 1 774 Other operations 11 357 397
9 18 112 16
ZAR
9 5 870 6 395 Nigeria 6 905 8 169
165 350 Other operations 16 9 753 11 293 South Africa
LC Sep 2005* Jun 2006 6 months ended ZAR million
* Restated
39
23 9 447 11 643
30 15 545 20 209
658 1 774 Other operations 18 335 397
25 42 21
ZAR
18 5 105 6 395 Nigeria 5 763 8 169
124 350 Other operations 21 9 323 11 293 South Africa
LC Jun 2005* Jun 2006 6 months ended ZAR million
* Unaudited
40
41
1,365 808 1,254 1,025 596 118 222 349 2.46% 5.45% 2.01% 6.40%
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600
Mar-05 Sep-05 Dec-05 Jun-06
0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00% 6.00% 7.00%
4,427 2,456 3,784 2,637 1,852 1,063 1,572 970 8.59% 10.19% 10.51% 10.90%
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000
Mar-05 Sep-05 Dec-05 Jun-06
0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 12.00%
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42,9 48,1 43.0 56,1 53,3 95,7 33,5 35,4 Jun 2006 41,7 20,9 7 162 8 661 TOTAL 50,7 5,5 181 191
47,4 491 762 Other operations 52,2 17,2 3 063 3 590 Nigeria 51,5 22,5 3 554 4 352
123,0 203 335 Other operations 33,1 17,3 3 224 3 783 South Africa 34,6 20,2 3 427 4 118
Sep 2005 %change ZAR Sep 2005* Jun 2006 6 months ended ZAR million
* Restated
EBITDA margin %
43
* Restated ** Excluded deferred tax asset: 2006 – R366 million (Sep 2005 – R256 million)
36 1 854 2 517
22 4 137 5 030 TOTAL 176 174 Other operations (72) 79 22
14 13 13 ZAR 17 2 028 2 317 Nigeria** 2 204 2 491
10 433 Other operations 13 1 844 2 084 South Africa LC Sep 2005* Jun 2006 6 months ended ZAR million
44
0% 25% 50% 75% 1 2 3 4
Accounting tax rate Cash tax rate
Illustrative
Dec-10 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-07
45
338 290 Restricted cash 44 812 55 751 Total assets 6 116 6 846 Other current assets
Financial market instrument 7 222 9 666 Bank balances 13 676 19 413 Current assets 1 386 1 834 Deferred taxation 2 367 3 220 Investment, loans and other non-current assets 4 057 4 333 Intangible assets 2 650 3 054 Goodwill 20 676 23 897 Property, plant and equipment 31 136 36 338 Non-current assets
46 853 1 733 Deferred taxation 44 812 55 751 Total equity and liabilities 1 100 1 253 Interest bearing liabilities 10 851 11 507 Non-interest bearing liabilities 11 951 12 760 Current liabilities 1 407 1 694 Non-current liabilities 7 505 7 991 Long-term liabilities 9 765 11 418 Non-current liabilities 3 380 3 819 Minority interest 19 716 27 754 Ordinary shareholders’ interest 23 096 31 573 Capital and reserves
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22 33 11 Zambia 87 3 (84) Botswana 12 6 (6) Swaziland 50 300 250 Côte d’Ivoire 122 4 (118) Congo 286 439 153 Cameroon 6 276 3 513 (2 763) Nigeria 446 802 356 Head Office Companies 9 956 9 244 (712) Total 39 6 (33) Rwanda 461 41 2 114
Cash and cash equivalent
1 628 1 167 Iran 104 63 Uganda 2 406 292 South Africa**
Interest bearing liabilities* Net (cash) debt As at 30 Jun 2006 ZAR million
* Including long-term borrowings, short-term borrowings and overdrafts ** Including MTN Network Solutions
48
48% 52% Cross surety structure Ring-fenced to local operation
4 393 4 851
47% 29% 9% 15% USD ZAR Naira Other
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14% 86% Cross surety structure Ring-fenced to local operation
4 851 29 172
8% 2% 80% 10% USD ZAR* Naira Other
*Hedged debt is presented in the currency in which it has been hedged
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(6 763) (3 812) Cash outflows from investing activities (4 125) (3 290) Acquisitions of PP&E (including software) (2 638) (522) Other investing activities (35) (204) Net interest paid (1 602) 1 472 Net movement in cash and cash equivalents 647 (146) Cash (out) inflows from financing activities (2 249) 1 618 4 514 5 430 Cash inflows from operating activities (1 081) (1 083) Dividends paid (714) (2 528) Taxation paid 6 344 9 245 Net cash generated by operations Sep 2005* Jun 2006 6 months ended ZAR million
* Restated
52
(100) 42 (146) (204) Net finance cost 2 175 76 2 099 16 (1 579) 3 662 – – 3 620 Nigeria (1 005) 783 (146) Cash inflows from financing activities (659) 121 (522) Other investing activities (484) (1 227) (3 290) Acquisitions of PP&E (including software) (304) 701 1 844 644 (539) 1 839 Other Operations** (399) 1 472 Net movement in cash and cash equivalents (1 182) 1 618 (76) 5 430 Cash inflows from operating activities (1 727) (1 083) Dividend paid (1 989) (2 528) Taxation paid 3 786 9 245 Net cash generated by operations South Africa* Total For period ended Jun 2006 ZAR million
** Includes head office companies
53 3 027 98 Iran 248 168 Zambia 49 2 Botswana 430 32 Côte d’Ivoire 11 235 3 290 Total 18 2 Swaziland 17 15 Rwanda 15 2 Congo 109 53 Uganda 154 160 Cameroon 4 633 1 553 Nigeria 2 535 1 205 South Africa* Capex approved
at 30 Jun 2006 6 months ended Jun 2006 ZAR million
* Including MTN Network Solutions
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56
73% 44 76 Guinea Bissau 20% 65 78 Cyprus 18% 1 465 1 743 Syria 24% 825 1 023 Yemen 120% 269 591 Sudan 26% New operation 41% 29% 11% % change (6 months) 4 865
268 1 820 Dec 05 6 144 TOTAL 115 Guinea 154 Liberia 346 Benin 2 018 Ghana Jun 06 000’s
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$16 $24 $10 $16 $18 $24 $28 $18 $16 Ghana Syria Yemen Sudan Benin Liberia Cyprus Guinea Bissau Guinea
25% reduction in Yemen ARPU due to pricing competition
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53% 28% 55% 21% 47% 46%
56% 9% Ghana Syria Yemen Sudan Benin Liberia Cyprus Guinea Bissau Guinea 42.4% Investcom
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79 233 45 60 187 1743 591 1023 2018 769
99 68 19 33 21.96
Ghana Syria Yemen Sudan Other
Ghana, Syria, Yemen, Sudan, Benin, Liberia, Cyprus, Guinea Bissau, Guinea
Revenue EBITDA Subscribers
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11% 56.9% USD141m Jun 2005 Jun 2006 23.8% 53.7% USD188m Capex/ Revenue EBITDA margin Revenue
Market share 59% Launched Nov 1996 Shareholding 98% Penetration 16% Market sizing 5.9m (2009) Population 21.4m
1,820 1,258 955 531 2,018
Dec-03 Dec-04 Jun-05 Dec-05 Jun-06
MTN Subscribers ('000) ARPU (USD)
61
46.2% 40% USD186m Jun 2005 Jun 2006 7.5% 28% USD228m Capex/ Revenue EBITDA margin Revenue
Market share 45% Launched Feb 2001 Shareholding 75% Penetration 21% Market sizing 6.8m (2009) Population 18.2m
1 466 1 060 871 500 1 743
Dec-03 Dec-04 Jun-05 Dec-05 Jun-06
MTN Subscribers ('000) ARPU (USD)
62
219% 57% USD49m Jun 2005 Jun 2006 191% 55% USD60m Capex/ Revenue EBITDA margin Revenue
Market share 44% Launched Feb 2001 Shareholding 83% Penetration 11% Market sizing 4.0m (2009) Population 20.7m
825 629 441 299 1 023
Dec-03 Dec-04 Jun-05 Dec-05 Jun-06
MTN Subscribers ('000) ARPU (USD)
63
Market share 21% Launched Sep 2005 Shareholding 85% Penetration 8% Market sizing 6.8m 2009 Population 34.4m
USD16 ARPU 591 000 Subscribers Jun 2006 65% 21% USD46m Capex/ Revenue EBITDA margin Revenue
65
275
395.5 600 357 544
2004 2005 Jun-06
CAGR 04H1 to 06H1 47% CAGR
41%
254 186 119 209 160
2004 2005 Jun-06
6.1 4.8 2.5 1.4
2003 2004 2005 Jun-06
66
67
68 8 5 Share of profits of associates 25 90 122 Net profit 56 (48) (75) Depreciation and Amortisation (18) (11) (9) Minority interest 100 130 Profit after taxation (5) (36) (34) Income tax expense 136 164 Profit before taxation (16) Abnormal expenses (11) (4) Net finance costs 139 179 Profit from operations 37 186 254 EBITDA 52 396 600 Revenue
69
* - Syria revenue has not been adjusted for 40% revenue share ¹ - Yemen accounted for as an associate in the previous year ² - Sudan launched in July 2005
70
¹ - Yemen accounted for as an associate in the previous year ² -Sudan launched in July 2005
71
¹ - Yemen accounted for as an associate in the previous year ² -Sudan launched in July 2005
72
73
74
75 16 Afghanistan 6 Guinea Conakry 30 Sudan 129 Total 12 Others 3 Yemen 17 Syria 45 Ghana
76 205 74 (131) Head 6 4 (2) Benin 1 (1) Afghanistan Liberia 12 40 28 Sudan 43 2 (41) Yemen 101 21 (80) Syria 8 (8) Monaco 443 231 (213) Total 1 15 14 Guinea Conakry 2 1 64 Cash and Cash Equivalents 38 36 Cyprus 1 Guinea Bissau 36 (28) Ghana Interest Bearing Liabilities Net (cash) debt USD millions
78
79
80
82
Shareholding 100% 75% 70% 68% 52% 40%
Population (m) 47.1 138.9 16.9 19.9 27.6 9.0 259.4 Mobile penetration 63% 15% 16% 9% 7% 4%
2 1 1 2 2 2
3 4 2 3 3 2
Subscribers (000s) 10 437 9 636 1 528 1 108 1 236 311 24 256 ARPU (USD) 25 18 15 19 12 16
33% 45% 56% 47% 65% 100%
Revenue 11 293 6 395 834 765 323 74 19 684 EBITDA 3 783 3 590 446 252 174 44 8 289 EBITDA margin 33% 56% 53% 33% 54% 59% PAT 2 084 2 317 77 35 73 25 4 611
RSA Nigeria Cameroon Côte d’Ivoire Uganda Rwanda Sub-Total
83
Shareholding 30% 100% 100% 44% 49%
Population (m) 259.4 1.1 11.0 3.2 1.6 64.6
Mobile penetration
4% 20% 53%
3 2 1
3 3 2 2 Operational Data Subscribers (000s) 24 256 236 119 229 531
ARPU (USD)
20 20 16 Market share 100% 16% 35% 67% Key Financials (Rm) Revenue 19 684 59 87 175 144 (60) 20 209 EBITDA 8 289 33 23 64 72 (27) 207 8 661 EBITDA margin
26% 37% 50% 0% 48% 43% PAT* 4 611 20 3 38 49 (76) 385 5 030
Sub-Total Swaziland Zambia Congo Botswana Iran Other Total *excluding deferred tax asset
84
Shareholding 98% 75% 83% 85% 75% 60% 100% 100% 75%
Population (m) 21.4 18.2 20.7 34.3 6.9 3.5 0.7 1.5 9.4 30 146.6 Mobile penetration 16% 21% 11% 8% 12% 10% 10% 10%
1 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 na
4 2 3 2 4 4 2 2 4
Subscribers (000s) 2 018 1 743 1 023 591 346 154 78 76 115
ARPU USD 16 24 10 16 18 24 28 18 16
59% 45% 44% 21% 43% 45% 11% 52%
Revenue 187 718 227 605 31 318 45 695 31 038 14 438 12 992 6 871 5 418 37 012 600 105 EBITDA 100 757 63 497 17 239 9 535 14 491 6 684 (2 217) 3 837 500 40 179 232 321 EBITDA margin 53.7% 27.9% 55% 20.9% 46.7% 46.3% (17.1%) 55.8% 9.2% 108.6% 42.4% PAT 66 934 24 069 14 576 (3 491) 7 748 2 790 (5 566) 2 346 (10 287) 31 945 131 064
Guinea Ghana Syria Yemen Sudan Benin Liberia Cyprus Bissau Guinea Other Total
85
(a) Assuming acquisition of all outstanding shares
MTN Group MTN Holdings MTN South Africa MTN International MTN Mauritius Mednet 100% Zambia 100% Cameroon 70% Syria 75% Liberia 60% Botswana 44% Rwanda 40% Ghana 98% Guinea Bissau 100% Congo-B 100% Uganda 97% Yemen 83% Cyprus 100% MTN Swaziland 30% Investcom LLC 100% 100% 100% Iran 49% Sudan 85% Afghanistan 100% Côte d’Ivoire 68% Nigeria 75% Guinea Republic 75% Benin 75% 100% (a) Service Providers 100% Network Solutions 100% Leaf 400% i-Talk 41% Network Operations 100%
87
790 1 838 2 426 5 054 Other non-current assets 23 540 827 6 276 7 103 1 313 13 286 16 437 Nigeria 17 155 4 841 2 114 6 955 478 7 296 10 200 South Africa* 15 056 55 751 Total assets 3 789 9 457 Other current assets 1 566 9 956 Bank balances (incl securitised deposits) 5 355 19 413 Current assets 5 596 7 387 Intangible assets (incl goodwill) 3 315 23 897 Tangible assets 9 701 36 338 Non-current assets Other**
Total As at 30 Jun 2006 ZAR million
** Includes head office companies
88
23 540 218 5 162 5 380
3 296 14 864 Nigeria 17 155 143 5 441 5 584 717 4 630 5 347 6224 South Africa* 15 056 55 751 Total equity and liabilities 892 1 253 Interest bearing liabilities 904 11 507 Non-interest bearing liabilities 1 796 12 760 Current liabilities 1 016 1 733 Deferred taxation 1 759 9 685 Long-term liabilities 2 775 11 418 Non-current liabilities 10 485 31 573 Capital and reserves Other
Total As at 30 June 2006 ZAR million
** Includes head office companies
89 367 3 14 Zambia
Botswana
3 Swaziland 227 18 59 Côte d’Ivoire 2 95 97 Cameroon 36 878 1 196 Nigeria (50) 4 2 Head Office Companies 28 1 569 2 009 Total 40 5 7 Rwanda
7 % change
Congo 47 51 Uganda 516 552 South Africa* Sep 2005 Jun 2006 6 months ended ZAR million
* Including MTN Network Solutions
90
300 1 4 Zambia
Botswana
3 Swaziland 104 26 53 Côte d’Ivoire
25 Cameroon 19 75 89 Nigeria 69 137 232 Total
1 Rwanda
% change
Congo 2 2 Uganda 6 35 South Africa Sep 2005 Jun 2006 6 months ended ZAR million
Amortisation on PPA’s included above R63m (Sep 05 – R16m)
91
Congo 2
1 3 Zambia
Botswana
(1)
(1) Swaziland 1 (10) 17 8 Côte d’Ivoire (534) (60)
(3) (239) (216) Finance income 662 76 36
16 14 230 272 Finance cost (480) (464) Head Office Companies (466) (338) Total
Rwanda 13 49 Iran
16 Uganda 2 13 Cameroon (4) (13) Nigeria
South Africa Net forex losses/(gains) Net finance cost For period ended 30 June 2006 ZAR million
* less than R1 mil
92
Congo
64 Zambia
Botswana
25 Swaziland 160 197¹ 513 Côte d’Ivoire 11 348 388 Cameroon
2 805 Nigeria
(189) Head Office Companies 15 10 018 11 547 Total
30 Rwanda
% change
Iran 148 149 Uganda 6 567 7 552 South Africa Sep 2005* Jun 2006 6 months ended ZAR million
¹ Opex for 3 month from acquisition date ²Opex for 2 months from acquisition date