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MMI submission on the funding of National Health Insurance Presented to Davis Tax Committee 1 November 2016 Boshoff Steenekamp Industry Relations Team MMI Health Centre of Excellence 1 Content What NHI and Universal Health Coverage are


  1. MMI submission on the funding of National Health Insurance Presented to Davis Tax Committee 1 November 2016 Boshoff Steenekamp Industry Relations Team MMI Health Centre of Excellence 1

  2. Content  What NHI and Universal Health Coverage are  Whether the health system is underfunded or underperforming  What should be funded ─ Health system reform proposals  How to increase revenue to fund the health system 2

  3. Universal health coverage is an old concept that was popularised by the 2010 World Health Report, and now enjoys world-wide attention UHC can never be fully achieved – the box keeps on growing. Does not imply a specific delivery system or financing mechanism. 3

  4. Equity in healthcare financing High income Young Sick and and old healthy Achievable through Achievable through Low compulsion and cross compulsion and cross income subsidisation subsidisation Kutzin, Joseph, Yip, Winnie and Cashin, Cheryl. Alternative Financing Strategies for Universal Health Coverage. [ed.] Richard M Scheffle. World 4 Scientific Handbook of Global Health Economics and Public Policy. s.l. : World Scientific Publishing Company Pty Ltd, 2016, pp. 267-309.

  5. National Health Insurance (NHI)  White Paper describes a National Health Service, similar to NHS in the UK.  Presents a purchaser-provider split, publicly funded, public and private provision, with supplementary private insurance. 5

  6. Social Development Index Quintiles by country, 2015 Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). Rethinking Development and Health: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease 6 Study. Seattle, Washington : Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, 2016. ISBN 978-0-9910735-7-3.

  7. Health related SDG index Measuring the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: a baseline analysis 7 from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 The Lancet DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)31467-2

  8. Difference between observed and expected Health related SDG index Measuring the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: a baseline analysis 8 from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 The Lancet DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)31467-2

  9. Where additional funds are required Intermediate Coverage Functions objectives goals Stewardship, governance, oversight Stewardship, governance, oversight Creating resources Creating resources Equity in resource Equity in resource Utilisation in Utilisation in distribution distribution relation to need relation to need Revenue Revenue collection collection Financing Financing Benefits Benefits Financial protection Financial protection Efficiency Efficiency and equity in and equity in Pooling Pooling finance finance Purchasing Purchasing Transparency and Transparency and Quality Quality accountability accountability Service delivery Service delivery Steenekamp, Boshoff. Review of South African healthcare financing: towards Universal Health Coverage. A contribution towards the debate on achieving Universal Health Coverage in South Africa. Centurion, South Africa : MMI Health, 15 July 2016. McIntyre, Diane and Kutzin, Joseph. Health financing country diagnostic: a foundation for national strategy development. Health Systems Governance & 9 Finance. Geneva : World Health Organization, 2016. ISBN 978 92 4 151011 0.

  10. A health financing strategy should define…  …changes to revenue raising, purchasing , benefit design , and overall system architecture and governance …  …to address specific, identified problems that limit progress towards UHC (final and intermediate) objectives… … and provide a solid foundation for future development of a system…  …that can be feasibly implemented given current and expected future contextual constraints. Joe Kutzin, Study material, WHO advanced course on health financing for universal health coverage for low and middle income 10 countries.

  11. Contextual constraints hindering NHI implementation  Poverty, unemployment and inequality  Narrow PIT & CIT taxpayer base: R23bn revenue shortfall * , additional taxes of R13bn in 2017-18 *  High tax-to-GDP ratio  Confidence is low  Politically charged  GDP growth < 1%  Higher education funding: R17.6bn more than projected *  Rating agencies  Uncertainty around NHI policy in relation to Comprehensive Social Security policy * Ensor, Linda. Pravin Gordhan’s medium -term budget in a nutshell: big tax increases, spending cuts. Business Day. 26 OCTOBER 2016. 11

  12. Debt to GDP ratio Forecasts and actual 12 Ensor, Linda. Pravin Gordhan’s medium -term budget in a nutshell: big tax increases, spending cuts. Business Day. 26 OCTOBER 2016.

  13. GDP growth Forecasts and actual 13 Ensor, Linda. Pravin Gordhan’s medium -term budget in a nutshell: big tax increases, spending cuts. Business Day. 26 OCTOBER 2016.

  14. Government wage bill trend % of non-interest expenditure 45 40 % of Non-interest expenditure 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 FY15/16 FY16/17 FY17/18 FY18/19 FY19/20 2016 Budget 2016 MTBPS van Papendorp, Herman and Packirisamy, Sanisha. MTBPS 2016: Additional taxes and spending cuts used to negate weaker growth impact 14 on fiscus. Macro Research and Asset Allocation. Pretoria : Momentum Collective Investments (RF) (Pty) Ltd, 26 October 2016.

  15. Government wage bill comparison % of GDP Zimbabwe Tunisia France SA Portugal Honduras Jamaica Ireland El Salvador Kosovo UK Ghana Moldova Netherlands Cote d'Ivoire Romania Malaysia Mali Kenya Philippines 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 Government wage bill as % of GDP van Papendorp, Herman and Packirisamy, Sanisha. MTBPS 2016: Additional taxes and spending cuts used to negate weaker growth impact 15 on fiscus. Macro Research and Asset Allocation. Pretoria : Momentum Collective Investments (RF) (Pty) Ltd, 26 October 2016.

  16. Four NDP prerequisites for building NHI  Improve the quality of public health care  Lower the relative cost of private care  More professionals in both sectors  Health information system that spans public and private health providers These reforms will take time, require cooperation between the public and private sectors, and demand significant resources. National Planning Commission. National Development Plan 2030 Our future - make it work. Department of the Presidency. Pretoria : Republic of South Africa, 2012. ISBN: 978-0-621-41180-5. 16

  17. Interventions towards NHI Service delivery, creating resources, stewardship, governance and oversight Service delivery, creating resources, stewardship, governance and oversight Revenue collection Revenue collection Pooling Pooling Purchasing Purchasing Benefits Benefits Single health information platform Risk adjustment mechanism for medical schemes Risk adjustment mechanism for medical schemes Virtual single Virtual single risk pool risk pool Norms and standards for equitable financing in provinces Norms and standards for equitable financing in provinces Priority setting authority (NICE or HITAP) Priority setting authority (NICE or HITAP) Coding, remuneration, and outcomes authority Coding, remuneration, and outcomes authority Transversal contracts for medicines, surgicals, labs and equipment Transversal contracts for medicines, surgicals, labs and equipment Prepare for a purchaser provider split, improve service delivery Prepare for a purchaser provider split, improve service delivery State sponsorship for missing middle State sponsorship for missing middle Stewardship, governance and oversight Stewardship, governance and oversight Creating resources Creating resources Revenue collection Revenue collection Single health information platform 17 Based on: MMI Health. MMI Comments on NHI White Paper. Pretoria : MMI Holdings, 31 May 2016.

  18. Economic framework for cost containment OECD publication THE THE Total Health Total Health Expenditure Expenditure HE O/I HE O/I HE PH HE PH HE ADM HE ADM Health Expenditure Health Expenditure Health Expenditure Health Expenditure Health Expenditure Health Expenditure (Outpatient and (Outpatient and (Pharmaceuticals) (Pharmaceuticals) (Administration) (Administration) Inpatient) Inpatient) P O/I P O/I Q O/I Q O/I P PH P PH Q PH Q PH Price Price Quantity Quantity Price Price Quantity Quantity (Outpatient and (Outpatient and (Outpatient and (Outpatient and (Pharmaceuticals) (Pharmaceuticals) (Pharmaceuticals) (Pharmaceuticals) Inpatient) Inpatient) Inpatient) Inpatient) Based on: Moreno-Serra, Rodrigo. The impact of cost-containment policies on health expenditure. [book auth.] OECD. Fiscal Sustainability of Health Systems. Bridging Health and Finance Perspectives. Paris : OECD Publishing, 2015. 18

  19. Areas of influence for cost containment policies OECD publication THE THE HE O/I HE O/I HE PH HE PH HE ADM HE ADM P O/I P O/I Q O/I Q O/I P PH P PH Q PH Q PH Public management, Public management, Supply side Supply side Demand side Demand side coordination and coordination and financing financing Based on: Moreno-Serra, Rodrigo. The impact of cost-containment policies on health expenditure. [book auth.] OECD. Fiscal Sustainability of Health Systems. Bridging Health and Finance Perspectives. Paris : OECD Publishing, 2015. 19

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