Marion C n County HB 3194 3194 P Prese sentation Mike Schmidt - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Marion C n County HB 3194 3194 P Prese sentation Mike Schmidt - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Sep 07, 2023 25 likes •577 views

Marion C n County HB 3194 3194 P Prese sentation Mike Schmidt Oregon Criminal Justice Commission December 8, 2015 Key p y provisions of s of H HB 319 3194: S : Sentencing Probation for all Marijuana offenses Exceptions:

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Marion C n County HB 3194 3194 P Prese sentation

Mike Schmidt Oregon Criminal Justice Commission December 8, 2015

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Key p y provisions of s of H HB 319 3194: S : Sentencing

  • Probation for all Marijuana offenses
  • Exceptions: Manufacture or Delivery w/in 1000 feet of a

school & Delivery to a minor.

  • Probation for Felony Driving While Suspended
  • Exceptions: Murder / Manslaughter / Criminally Negligent

Homicide / Assault with serious physical injury / Aggravated vehicular Homicide / Aggravated Driving While Suspended.

  • Robbery in the Third & Identity Theft
  • Presumptive sentence reduced to 18 months prison from

24 months in prison.

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Key p y provisions of s of H HB 319 3194: S : Sentencing

  • Drug delivery & manufacturing sentences.
  • ORS 475.933 repealed until 2023.
  • Gives judges ability to give optional probation on drug
  • ffenses even where the person has previous convictions

for the same or similar drug offenses.

  • Transition Leave
  • The final 90 days of a prison sentence may be served in

the community under certain circumstances.

  • Department of Corrections identifies eligible offender and

works with community to which they will be released to set rules and a transition plan.

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SLIDE 4

Key p y provisions of s of H HB 319 3194:

Justice ce R Reinvestment Program

  • Establish the Grant Review Committee to write rules for future

JRI grant applications and to make recommendations to the CJC for awarding future grants.

  • Commissioners of the CJC have the final say on LPSCC plans being

funded.

  • Reinvesting money not spent on prison into community based

sanctions, services and programs.

  • Marion County 2013-15 funding: $1,507,834.
  • Marion County 2015-17 funding: $3,534,081.
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Prison Population and Forecasts

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14000 14100 14200 14300 14400 14500 14600 14700 14800 14900 15000 15100 15200 15300 15400

Prison Population and Forecasts

Deer Ridge and OSP Minimum Open Junction City Opens April 2013 Forecast (No 3194 Impacts) Actual Prison Population April 2015 Forecast (full 3194 impacts) October 2015 Forecast (full 3194 impacts)

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Why the increase in the October forecast?

  • From the Office of Economic Analysis and

October 2015 Forecast Summary:

  • Diminishing impacts from HB 3194

sentencing changes

  • Changes in release profile
  • Slightly longer average estimated length of

stay

  • Fewer intakes with an estimated short length
  • f stay (0 to 12 months)
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SLIDE 8

Prison Intakes Average LOS

  • The average estimated length of stay for all prison intakes has

slightly increased

37.1 40.3 38.3 40.7 42.4 39.9 40.0 44.1 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 Aug 2013-Oct 2013 Nov 2013-Jan 2014 Feb 2014-Apr 2014 May 2014-July 2014 Aug 2014-Oct 2014 Nov 2014-Jan 2015 Feb 2015-Apr 2015 May 2015-July 2015

Prison Intakes Average LOS

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Prison Intakes

  • The number of intakes with an estimated length of stay of less

than 12 months has gradually declined

346 323 304 323 304 232 239 201 918 856 880 925 933 934 1027 1016 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 Aug 2013-Oct 2013 Nov 2013-Jan 2014Feb 2014-Apr 2014 May 2014-July 2014 Aug 2014-Oct 2014 Nov 2014-Jan 2015Feb 2015-Apr 2015 May 2015-July 2015

Prison Intakes

0 to 12 month LOS More than 12 month LOS

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SLIDE 10
  • 1,000
  • 900
  • 800
  • 700
  • 600
  • 500
  • 400
  • 300
  • 200
  • 100

7/1/2013 10/1/2013 1/1/2014 4/1/2014 7/1/2014 10/1/2014 1/1/2015 4/1/2015 7/1/2015 10/1/2015 1/1/2016 4/1/2016 7/1/2016 10/1/2016 1/1/2017 4/1/2017 7/1/2017 10/1/2017 1/1/2018 4/1/2018 7/1/2018 10/1/2018 1/1/2019 4/1/2019 7/1/2019 10/1/2019 1/1/2020 4/1/2020 7/1/2020 10/1/2020 1/1/2021 4/1/2021 7/1/2021 10/1/2021 1/1/2022 4/1/2022 7/1/2022 10/1/2022 1/1/2023 4/1/2023

HB 3194 Total Estimated Bed Savings

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SLIDE 11
  • 350
  • 300
  • 250
  • 200
  • 150
  • 100
  • 50

HB 3194 Estimated Bed Savings

Robb 3 DWS ID Theft Drug M57 MJ STTL

STTL Drug M57 Robb 3 DWS ID Theft MJ

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Prison Population and Forecasts by Gender

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1150 1175 1200 1225 1250 1275 1300 1325 1350 1375

Female Prison Population and Forecasts

OSP Minimum Opens April 2013 (no 3194 impacts) Actual prison population April 2015 Forecast (full 3194 impacts) October 2015 Forecast (full 3194 impacts)

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1190 1210 1230 1250 1270 1290 1310 1330 1350 1370 1390 1410 1430 1/1/2013 5/1/2013 9/1/2013 1/1/2014 5/1/2014 9/1/2014 1/1/2015 5/1/2015 9/1/2015 1/1/2016 5/1/2016 9/1/2016 1/1/2017 5/1/2017 9/1/2017 1/1/2018 5/1/2018 9/1/2018 1/1/2019 5/1/2019 9/1/2019 1/1/2020 5/1/2020 9/1/2020 1/1/2021 5/1/2021 9/1/2021 1/1/2022 5/1/2022 9/1/2022 1/1/2023 5/1/2023 9/1/2023 1/1/2024 5/1/2024 9/1/2024 1/1/2025 5/1/2025 9/1/2025

Female Prison Population and Forecasts to Sept 2025

OSP Minimum Opens April 2013 (no 3194 impacts) Actual prison population April 2015 Forecast (full 3194 impacts) October 2015 Forecast (full 3194 impacts)

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13000 13100 13200 13300 13400 13500 13600 13700 13800 13900 14000 14100

Male Prison Population and Forecasts

Deer Ridge Opens Junction City Opens April 2013 Forecast (no 3194 impacts) Actual prison population April 2015 Forecast (full 3194 impacts) October 2015 Forecast (full 3194 impacts)

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13000 13200 13400 13600 13800 14000 14200 14400 14600 14800 15000 1/1/2013 5/1/2013 9/1/2013 1/1/2014 5/1/2014 9/1/2014 1/1/2015 5/1/2015 9/1/2015 1/1/2016 5/1/2016 9/1/2016 1/1/2017 5/1/2017 9/1/2017 1/1/2018 5/1/2018 9/1/2018 1/1/2019 5/1/2019 9/1/2019 1/1/2020 5/1/2020 9/1/2020 1/1/2021 5/1/2021 9/1/2021 1/1/2022 5/1/2022 9/1/2022 1/1/2023 5/1/2023 9/1/2023 1/1/2024 5/1/2024 9/1/2024 1/1/2025 5/1/2025 9/1/2025

Male Prison Population and Forecasts to Sept 2025

Deer Ridge Opens Junction City Opens April 2013 Forecast (no 3194 impacts) Actual prison population April 2015 Forecast (full 3194 impacts) October 2015 Forecast (full 3194 impacts)

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Statewide Prison Usage All Offenses October 2012 - September 2015

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Total Prison Intakes

500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 Person Sex M57Prop/Drug/Driving Other

Total Prison Intakes

Oct 2012-Sept 2013 Oct 2013-Sept 2014 Oct 2014-Sept 2015

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Total Prison Months

10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 Person Sex M57Prop/Drug/Driving Other

Total Prison Months

Oct 2012-Sept 2013 Oct 2013-Sept 2014 Oct 2014-Sept 2015

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Statewide Prison Usage: M5 M57 P Prop

  • perty

rty and Drug O g Offenses October 2012 - September 2015

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Prison Intakes

1389 376 590 166 1299 392 498 185 1249 481 493 163 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 First Sentences Probation Revocations First Sentences Probation Revocations M57 Property Drug

Property and Drug Prison Intakes

Oct 2012-Sept 2013 Oct 2013-Sept 2014 Oct 2014-Sept 2015

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Average LOS

25.0 17.2 21.2 17.8 25.5 18.9 24.2 16.8 25.1 19.8 26.0 17.1 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 First Sentences Probation Revocations First Sentences Probation Revocations M57 Property Drug

Property and Drug Prison Intakes Average LOS

Oct 2012-Sept 2013 Oct 2013-Sept 2014 Oct 2014-Sept 2015

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Total Prison Months

34661 6454 12491 2956 33083 7413 12040 3113 31391 9510 12820 2787 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 First Sentences Probation Revocations First Sentences Probation Revocations M57 Property Drug

Property and Drug Total Prison Months

Oct 2012-Sept 2013 Oct 2013-Sept 2014 Oct 2014-Sept 2015

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M57 Property Sentence Types

36% 32% 34% 4% 4% 4% 60% 64% 61% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Oct 2012-Sept 2013 Oct 2013-Sept 2014 Oct 2014-Sept 2015

M57 Property First Sentences by Sentence Type

Prison Local Control Probation

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Drug Sentence Types

9% 7% 8% 11% 15% 16% 80% 78% 76% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Oct 2012-Sept 2013 Oct 2013-Sept 2014 Oct 2014-Sept 2015

Drug First Sentences by Sentence Type

Prison Local Control Probation

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County Level Prison Usage October 2012 to September 2015

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Marion County Total Prison Intakes

50 100 150 200 250 Person Sex Other M57Prop Drug Driving

Marion County Total Prison Intakes

Oct 2012-Sept 2013 Oct 2013-Sept 2014 Oct 2014-Sept 2015

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Marion County Total Prison Months

2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 Person Sex Other M57Prop Drug Driving

Marion County Total Prison Months

July - Sept 2013 July - Sept 2014 July - Sept 2015

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Marion County Prison Intakes

164 41 93 28 160 52 66 30 162 47 73 24 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 First Sentences Probation Revocations First Sentences Probation Revocations M57 Property Drug

Marion County Property and Drug Prison Intakes

Oct 2012-Sept 2013 Oct 2013-Sept 2014 Oct 2014-Sept 2015

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Marion County Average LOS

28.2 23.8 26.5 18.1 31.6 21.2 33.0 25.7 31.6 25.3 30.9 20.6 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 First Sentences Probation Revocations First Sentences Probation Revocations M57 Property Drug

Marion County Property and Drug Prison Intakes Average LOS

Oct 2012-Sept 2013 Oct 2013-Sept 2014 Oct 2014-Sept 2015

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Marion County Total Prison Months

4630 977 2463 507 5048 1101 2181 770 5113 1189 2253 495 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 First Sentences Probation Revocations First Sentences Probation Revocations M57 Property Drug

Marion County Property and Drug Total Prison Months

Oct 2012-Sept 2013 Oct 2013-Sept 2014 Oct 2014-Sept 2015

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Marion County M57 Property Sentence Types

37% 38% 43% 12% 10% 13% 51% 52% 44% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Oct 2012-Sept 2013 Oct 2013-Sept 2014 Oct 2014-Sept 2015

Marion County M57 Property First Sentences by Sentence Type

Prison Local Control Probation

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Marion County Drug Sentence Types

15% 11% 14% 34% 46% 40% 51% 43% 47% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Oct 2012-Sept 2013 Oct 2013-Sept 2014 Oct 2014-Sept 2015

Marion County Drug First Sentences by Sentence Type

Prison Local Control Probation

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1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 10000 11000 CLACKAMAS LANE MARION MULTNOMAH WASHINGTON

JRI Prison Utilization by Metro Counties Oct 2014 - Sept 2015

Baseline Oct 2014 - Sept 2015

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M57 Property Prison Usage County Comparison October 2014 to September 2015

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M57 Property Prison Intakes

138 22 143 45 162 47 184 83 131 55 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 First Sentences Probation Revocations

Prison Intakes M57 Property Oct 2014 - Sept 2015

Clackamas Lane Marion Multnomah Washington 35.2 5.6 39.9 12.5 49.7 14.4 24.0 10.8 23.4 9.8 31.5 12.1 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 First Sentences Probation Revocations

M57 Property Prison Intake Rate per 100,000 Population Oct 2014 - Sept 2015

Clackamas Lane Marion Multnomah Washington Statewide

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M57 Property Prison Average LOS

18.8 18.6 37.6 25.3 31.6 25.3 24.0 14.5 20.9 16.5 25.1 19.8 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 First Sentences Probation Revocations

Prison Intakes M57 Property Average LOS Oct 2014 - Sept 2015

Clackamas Lane Marion Multnomah Washington Statewide

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M57 Property Total Prison Months

2591 410 5378 1137 5113 1189 4407 1202 2742 907 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 First Sentences Probation Revocations

Total Prison Months M57 Property Oct 2014 - Sept 2015

Clackamas Lane Marion Multnomah Washington 661.8 104.7 1498.9 316.9 1567.8 364.5 575.5 157.0 489.3 161.8 792.2 240.0 0.0 200.0 400.0 600.0 800.0 1000.0 1200.0 1400.0 1600.0 1800.0 First Sentences Rate per 100,000 Population Probation Revocations Rate per 100,000 Population

M57 Property Total Prison Months per 100,000 Population Oct 2014 - Sept 2015

Clackamas Lane Marion Multnomah Washington Statewide

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M57 Property Sentence Types

43% 43% 43% 30% 34% 34% 2% 5% 13% 2% 6% 4% 55% 52% 44% 68% 60% 61% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Clackamas Lane Marion Multnomah Washington Statewide

M57 Property First Sentences by Sentence Type Oct 2014 to Sept 2015

Prison Local Control Probation

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Drug Prison Usage County Comparison October 2014 to September 2015

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Drug Prison Intakes

38 8 31 16 73 24 74 31 61 21 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 First Sentences Probation Revocations

Prison Intakes Drug Oct 2014 - Sept 2015

Clackamas Lane Marion Multnomah Washington 9.7 2.0 8.6 4.5 22.4 7.4 9.7 4.0 10.9 3.7 12.4 4.1 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 First Sentences Probation Revocations

Drug Prison Intake Rate per 100,000 Population Oct 2014 - Sept 2015

Clackamas Lane Marion Multnomah Washington Statewide

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Drug Prison Average LOS

21.7 11.3 50.8 23.7 30.9 20.6 23.4 12.5 24.1 13.8 26.0 17.1 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 First Sentences Probation Revocations

Prison Intakes Drug Average LOS Oct 2014 - Sept 2015

Clackamas Lane Marion Multnomah Washington Statewide

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Drug Total Prison Months

825 90 1573 379 2253 495 1733 388 1468 289 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 First Sentences Probation Revocations

Total Prison Months Drug Oct 2014 - Sept 2015

Clackamas Lane Marion Multnomah Washington 210.8 23.1 438.5 105.7 690.8 151.7 226.3 50.7 261.9 51.5 323.5 70.3 0.0 100.0 200.0 300.0 400.0 500.0 600.0 700.0 800.0 First Sentences Rate per 100,000 Population Probation Revocations Rate per 100,000 Population

Drug Total Prison Months per 100,000 Population Oct 2014 - Sept 2015

Clackamas Lane Marion Multnomah Washington Statewide

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Drug Sentence Types

7% 11% 14% 10% 9% 8% 23% 12% 40% 3% 19% 16% 70% 77% 47% 87% 71% 76% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Clackamas Lane Marion Multnomah Washington Statewide

Drug First Sentences by Sentence Type Oct 2014 to Sept 2015

Prison Local Control Probation

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Intakes Reduction Goa

  • al
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14000 14100 14200 14300 14400 14500 14600 14700 14800 14900 15000 15100 15200 15300 15400

Prison Population and Forecasts

Deer Ridge and OSP Minimum Open Junction City Opens April 2013 Forecast (No 3194 Impacts) Actual Prison Population April 2015 Forecast (full 3194 impacts) October 2015 Forecast (full 3194 impacts)

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Intakes Reduction Goal

  • To avoid additional permanent beds intakes must be reduced
  • A statewide reduction of 25 male intakes a month beginning December

2015 will avoid new permanent beds

  • A statewide reduction of 6 female intakes a month beginning December

2015 will also avoid new permanent beds

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Central/Eastern Region

  • 3 fewer male intakes a month
  • 1 less female intake a month

Central/Eastern: 10% of total prison months

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NW Coastal Region

  • 3 fewer male intakes a month
  • 1 less female intake a month

NW Coastal: 14% of total prison months

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Southwest Region

  • 4 fewer male intakes a month
  • 1 less female intake a month

Southwest: 15% of total prison months

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Metro Region

  • 15 fewer male intakes a month
  • 3 fewer female intakes a month

Metro: 61% of total prison months

If Marion were to get intakes down to the statewide rate:

  • 66 fewer property intakes over a year (5.5 per month)
  • 43 fewer drug intakes (3.5 per month)

If Lane were to get intakes down to the statewide rate:

  • 31 fewer property intakes over a year (3 per month)

With this drop in intakes we would avoid Deer Ridge in 2016. If Marion and Lane could get the average LOS down, that would help in the longer term. More of Lane’s prison use is driven by LOS than intakes. The drug intake rate for Lane is currently below the statewide average, but the LOS is almost double the statewide average.

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1150 1175 1200 1225 1250 1275 1300 1325 1350 1375 1/1/2013 5/1/2013 9/1/2013 1/1/2014 5/1/2014 9/1/2014 1/1/2015 5/1/2015 9/1/2015 1/1/2016 5/1/2016 9/1/2016 1/1/2017 5/1/2017 9/1/2017 1/1/2018 5/1/2018 9/1/2018 1/1/2019 5/1/2019 9/1/2019 1/1/2020 5/1/2020 9/1/2020 1/1/2021 5/1/2021 9/1/2021 1/1/2022 5/1/2022 9/1/2022 1/1/2023 5/1/2023 9/1/2023 1/1/2024 5/1/2024 9/1/2024 1/1/2025 5/1/2025 9/1/2025

Female Prison Population and Forecasts to Sept 2025

OSP Minimum Opens Actual prison population October 2015 Forecast October 2015 Forecast minus Reduced Intakes Estimate

OSP Minimum is a vo ide d in the 10 ye a r ho rizo n

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13000 13100 13200 13300 13400 13500 13600 13700 13800 13900 14000 14100 14200 1/1/2013 5/1/2013 9/1/2013 1/1/2014 5/1/2014 9/1/2014 1/1/2015 5/1/2015 9/1/2015 1/1/2016 5/1/2016 9/1/2016 1/1/2017 5/1/2017 9/1/2017 1/1/2018 5/1/2018 9/1/2018 1/1/2019 5/1/2019 9/1/2019 1/1/2020 5/1/2020 9/1/2020 1/1/2021 5/1/2021 9/1/2021 1/1/2022 5/1/2022 9/1/2022 1/1/2023 5/1/2023 9/1/2023 1/1/2024 5/1/2024 9/1/2024 1/1/2025 5/1/2025 9/1/2025

Male Prison Population and Forecasts to Sept 2025

Deer Ridge Opens Junction City Opens Actual prison population October 2015 Forecast October 2015 Forecast minus Reduced Intakes Estimate

De e r Ridg e c o me s o nline July 2020 Junc tio n City is a vo ide d in the 10 ye a r ho rizo n

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Questions?

  • ross.caldwell@oregon.gov
  • 503-378-6229