Low Enrollment Challenges and Opportunities Challenges and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Low Enrollment Challenges and Opportunities Challenges and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

R Regional School District #6 l h l D #6 Low Enrollment Challenges and Opportunities Challenges and Opportunities Chris Sanders, Chairman BOE Ed Drapp, Superintendent 1 10/28/2014 v0.5 Agenda Agenda Background Background The


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SLIDE 1

R l h l D #6 Regional School District #6

Low Enrollment Challenges and Opportunities Challenges and Opportunities

Chris Sanders, Chairman BOE Ed Drapp, Superintendent

10/28/2014 v0.5 1

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SLIDE 2

Agenda Agenda

  • Background

Background

  • The BOE Review of the Issues and
  • The BOE Review of the Issues and

Recommendations

  • An Inside View (Ed Drapp)
  • Next Steps/Q&A

10/28/2014 v0.5 2

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SLIDE 3

Background Background

  • Our experience and demographic data indicate declining

enrollment for Region 6 schools enrollment for Region 6 schools.

  • Connecticut-wide trend since 2008 with few exceptions.
  • Economic and demographic realities are likely to lock

these trends in place for at least next ten years.

  • Enrollment Projection Report (Dr. Peter Prowda)
  • Changed economy; Shifting Job Situation
  • Young are moving out; not being replaced
  • Rapidly aging communities
  • Rapidly aging communities
  • Birth rates falling
  • School age population declining
  • Available at http://www.rsd6.org on District Info menu.

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SLIDE 4

Enrollment Projections Enrollment Projections

  • Over the next 10 years …

Over the next 10 years …

  • Overall enrollment declines by about 25%
  • Wamogo declines 20% to about 417

Wamogo declines 20% to about 417

  • Warren declines 45% to about 44
  • Morris declines 11% to about 123
  • GCS declines 38% to about 108

B 2023 j d ll d li

  • By 2023, projected enrollment declines to

lowest levels in 50 years

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SLIDE 5

Is it a Certainty? Is it a Certainty?

  • Dr. Prowda, himself, says …
  • “It is important to remember that the […] method [used] relies on
  • bserved data from the recent past. Its key assumption is that
  • bserved data from the recent past. Its key assumption is that

those conditions will persist. It does not try to predict when the economic conditions might change. We cannot know today how long these conditions will continue. This projection should be used as a starting point for local planning.” used as a s a g po

  • ca p a

g

  • But, … The projections have been fairly accurate since the

2008 financial crash.

1000 1050 1100 850 900 950 Prowda Actual 800 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

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SLIDE 6

So, What Can the Region 6 B d D Ab I ? Board Do About It?

  • We can’t ignore it.
  • Unlike some school districts we have restrictions on

what we can do about it …

BOE h th i it f t th t f d R i 6

  • BOE honors the spirit of agreement that formed Region 6

to educate elementary children in their Town of residence

  • So what we can do is
  • So, what we can do is …
  • Continue to adjust the delivery of education to maximize

efficiency and quality within those constraints.

  • Study the problem and inform you
  • Study the problem and inform you.
  • The Board can offer its view of the right path as your

elected representatives.

  • We can lead the District in the direction you

We can lead the District in the direction you indicate you prefer.

10/28/2014 v0.5 6

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SLIDE 7

History History

  • Two years ago Declining Enrollment Task Force (DETF) was created
  • DETF retained Jonathan Costa of Education Connection to help explore

the impact and develop data for a number of options.

  • In March 2014, DETF concluded its work and recommended that the

Region 6 BOE consider a merger with Litchfield School District hi hli hti i th highlighting concerns in three areas …

Middle/High Educational Elementary Educational Cost

  • The BOE met to consider the findings in June 2014 and again

ducat o a Issues ducat o a Issues Cost

g g in September 2014.

10/28/2014 v0.5 7

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SLIDE 8

BOE Recommendations BOE Recommendations

1. That a merger with Litchfield would have the potential to disrupt the delivery of a quality education for Region 6 without a sufficient the delivery of a quality education for Region 6 without a sufficient benefit. 2. That operational cost savings and enhancement of both the Litchfield and Region 6 High School educational programs are Litchfield and Region 6 High School educational programs are possible through cooperation and this should be pursued. 3. That the continued operation of three town-centric elementary h l ti l i t th lit f d ti d li d d schools negatively impacts the quality of education delivered and increases operational cost. The community should begin a discussion about how best to address this. 4. For as long as we continue to operate three elementary schools, the BOE should adopt a policy to allow parents and guardians to choose which of the three buildings their child attends.

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Adopted by the Region 6 Board, 10/08/14

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SLIDE 9

What Cost Savings W Lik l ?

Cost

Were Likely?

  • Cost savings projected for a merger by Jonathan Costa

Combine Central Offices Eliminate Two Schools Eliminate Four Schools Eliminate Five Schools Characteristics Central Office from both Districts into One Close Warren and Center School Close Warren, Goshen, Morris and LCS schools. Redistribute use of remaining buildings Close Warren, Goshen, Morris, LCS and LIS schools. All students use LHS and Wamogo. 10 Yr. Savings From Costa Study* $4.5 million $13.6 million $22.1 million $27 million Region 6 Towns Share (proj.)** $2.3 million $6.8 million $11.1 million $13.5 million Savings Over Baseline Investment 1.1% 3.4% 5.5% 6.8% Unlikely as a stand alone solution Most Likely Not likely Not likely * These numbers considered school years 2014 through 2022

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y g ** Assumes 50/50 savings split with Litchfield; actual would be headcount based

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SLIDE 10

Challenges of a Small Middle/High School

Middle/High Educational I

Middle/High School

CHALLENGE SUMMARY DATA

Issues

Summary of Main Points: “Impact of Declining Enrollment on High School Programming”, Jonathan Costa

CHALLENGE SUMMARY DATA Limited Course Offerings With a smaller student population it is difficult to

  • ffer a broad range of offerings as class sizes

can get quite small At Wamogo (Pomperaug) Currently: Total Courses = 119 (219) Core Courses = 58 Elective Courses = 48 AP Courses = 13 (15) AP Courses = 13 (15) Schedule Conflicts Limit Choice With small student population, can only offer most electives and some core courses in a single session. Some combinations of Core and Elective courses not always possible. Limited ti t id t h th t t d t d ’t lik Single Section At Wamogo (Pomperaug): 60% of all offerings 41% of Core offerings 100% (73%) of AP offerings

  • ption to avoid teachers that students don’t like.

Student Interaction Limited Students attend most classes 7-12 with same

  • kids. Social issues may follow. Will become

bigger issue with time. Class size ave. at Wamogo (Pomperaug): Academic = 19 Elective = 9 AP = 11 (21) Teacher Loads are Low and Declining As class sizes decline, the number of students each teacher handles declines. Introduces financial inefficiency. Teacher Load: Wamogo: 70 students Pomperaug: 110 students Difficulty Fielding Athletic Teams Smaller pools of eligible students make fielding a competitive team harder Some sports may Athletic Teams a competitive team harder. Some sports may have to be dropped.

10/28/2014 v0.5 10

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SLIDE 11

But There Are Ad T

Middle/High Educational I

Advantages, Too

  • Clearly we have the challenges of a small

Middl /Hi h S h l b t h ll th

Issues

Middle/High School but … we have all the advantages, too!

  • Benefits of Smaller High Schools*
  • Better Academic Results
  • Better Student Behavior
  • Higher Rates of Student and Parent Participation
  • Higher Rates of Graduation
  • Higher Rates of Graduation

* “School Size: Research Based Conclusions”, The Rural School and Community Trust

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The Rural School and Community Trust

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SLIDE 12

Build On An Excellent Base

Middle/High Educational I

An Excellent Base

  • We think “small is the new big” at Wamogo
  • Designation as Blue Ribbon School

Issues

  • Designation as Blue Ribbon School
  • Designation as a New England Spotlight

Middle School

  • Designation of AgSci as a

Designation of AgSci as a National Chapter

  • Metrics trending upward.
  • Build on that though opportunities to cooperate that

could benefit both Litchfield and Region 6

  • Cooperation in planning and scheduling low attendance
  • fferings between our two schools
  • Distance learning options with Litchfield and others.

Sh i i lt t h d Di t i t i

  • Sharing specialty teachers and District services

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SLIDE 13

We Need to Know

Elementary Educational Issues

We Need to Know

  • Important for the Board to understand the Region

p g thoughts about options for the elementary schools

All f th ti i d th l i f t l t

  • All of the merger options required the closing of at least
  • ne Region 6 elementary school to realize cost savings.
  • There are educational challenges at the elementary level

if nothing is done. More importantly, there are

  • pportunities for excellence by taking action.

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  • What direction shall we take?

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SLIDE 14

The Challenges

Elementary Educational

The Challenges

  • Over the next ten years, if we do nothing else, Region 6

elementary parents will see:

Issues

elementary parents will see:

  • More instances of inconsistent class sizes in the 3 schools, and
  • Increasing use of Multi-age Classrooms.
  • This challenges our ability to offer core enrichment (art,

language, music, etc.). I d / h l t iti t i

  • In some grades/schools, opportunities to experience

interaction with children their own age as they learn will become very limited.

  • Optimizing our elementary school programs for a declining

student population will become an increasing challenge

10/28/2014 v0.5 14

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SLIDE 15

Elementary Reorganization

Elementary Educational Issues

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Key Characteristics

  • Close one of the existing elementary school buildings.
  • Seek High School level cooperation with another district.
  • 2 elementary schools and Wamogo Middle/High School

Required Elements

  • 2 elementary schools and Wamogo Middle/High School
  • Consider other district uses for the closed building

Educational

  • Greater equalization of educational experience for students.
  • Greater instructional coherence

Greater operational efficiency

Educational Implications

  • Greater operational efficiency
  • More bus time for some elementary students
  • Secondary enrollment challenges dependent on inter-district

cooperation

Financial

  • Savings of $2 5M over ten years depending on configuration

Financial Implications

Savings of $2.5M over ten years depending on configuration

  • May be additional savings from inter-district cooperation.

Required Actions

  • Study options, pick the best configuration, and develop plan
  • Communicate and determine sentiment of Region 6 citizens
  • If favorable, a referendum must be held in each community and each

If favorable, a referendum must be held in each community and each must agree with the proposed strategy.

Bottom Line

  • Improves the efficiency and quality of elementary

instructional experience Maintain local educational control by Region 6 towns

Line

  • Maintain local educational control by Region 6 towns.

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SLIDE 16

Elementary Consolidation

Elementary Educational Issues

Key Characteristics

  • Consolidate all three elementary schools into a new school building.
  • Seek High School level cooperation with another district.

Required Elements

  • 1 elementary school and Wamogo Middle/High School.

q Educational Implications

  • Greatest equalization of educational experience for students.
  • Greatest instructional coherence
  • Greatest operational efficiency
  • Secondary enrollment challenges dependent on inter-district cooperation

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Financial Implications

  • Would need to be studied, but expected that savings from closure of

buildings and operational efficiencies would offset the cost of new elementary school. Assume no cost savings in the short term – could save in the long-term.

Required Actions

  • Contract with architect to develop estimate of construction costs.
  • Complete a detailed financial analysis and develop plan for closed schools
  • Communicate and determine sentiment of Region 6 citizens.
  • If favorable, a referendum must be held in each Town and each must agree

with the proposed strategy bonding etc with the proposed strategy, bonding, etc.

Bottom Line

  • Best efficiency and quality of elementary education
  • Greatest operational efficiency
  • Maintain educational control by Region 6 towns.

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SLIDE 17

Survey Survey

  • Designed to gather information about the elementary

school issues and your guidance on direction

  • Available online at www rsd6 org as of 11/13/14
  • Available online at www.rsd6.org as of 11/13/14
  • Alternatively, hard copies at Town Halls and local

y, p schools Data will be compiled and published

  • Data will be compiled and published
  • Will inform any further actions by Board

Will inform any further actions by Board

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SLIDE 18

What’s Next? What s Next?

  • (November) Holding 3 community communication

i sessions

  • (Tonight) Q&A Session

( g )

  • (Nov - Dec) Community-wide survey
  • (January) Board reviews data and publishes for all

(B E d f S h l Y ) B d k d i i

  • (By End of School Year) Board makes decision

about next steps

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SLIDE 19

An Inside View

Ed Drapp Superintendent p

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SLIDE 20

Q&A Q&A

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