[PDF] - June 11 th , 2018 MEMORANDUM TO: INTERESTED PARTIES FR: DAVID PDF Document

SLIDE 1

June 11th, 2018 MEMORANDUM TO: INTERESTED PARTIES FR: DAVID FLAHERTY, MAGELLAN STRATEGIES RE: COLORADO 2018 GOVERNOR REPUBLICAN PRIMARY SURVEY SUMMARY This memorandum is a summary of an automated voice recorded and cell phone survey of 593 likely Republican primary voters in Colorado. The interviews were conducted on June 6th and 7th, 2018. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 4.02% at the 95 percent confidence interval. The results were weighted to reflect the voter turnout demographics of past Republican primary elections in Colorado. Survey Findings Treasurer Walker Stapleton currently leads the Republican primary field for Governor with a 13-point lead and 36% support. His closest challenger is businessman Victor Mitchell with 23% support. Former Parker Mayor Greg Lopez has 10% support, Doug Robinson has 4% and 27% of likely Republican primary voters are undecided. Among male voters, Walker Stapleton holds a commanding 23-point lead over Victor Mitchell. Among female voters the election is much tighter and within the survey margin of error. Among seniors aged 65 and older, the most dominant and important Republican primary voter sub-group, Walker Stapleton leads Victor Mitchell by 24 points, 47% to 23% respectively. This contest is far from over, with Victor Mitchell finally being able to build some momentum after spending more than a million dollars introducing himself to voters. A major factor that will decide this race is if Victor Mitchell’s attack ads are effective moving voters away from Walker Stapleton. The truth is, nobody really knows the answer Colorado Governor Republican Primary Ballot Test by Voter Subgroup*

All Voters Men Wom Rep Unaf 65+ Trmp Rep Evan Rep Trad Rep Very Con Cons Mod

Stap. Lead

+13 +23 +3 +14 +7 +24 +10 +26 +12 +21 +9 +7 Stapleton 36% 44% 29% 37% 30% 47% 39% 44% 30% 41% 37% 29% Mitchell 23% 21% 26% 23% 23% 23% 29% 18% 18% 20% 28% 22% Lopez 10% 9% 10% 9% 11% 9% 7% 15% 7% 13% 7% 9% Robinson 4% 4% 4% 3% 6% 4% 2% 5% 7% 4% 3% 6% Undec. 27% 22% 31% 28% 30% 17% 23% 18% 38% 22% 25% 34%

*Sample demographics: Men 49%, Women 51%, Republican 86%, unaffiliated 14%, seniors 65 or older 47%, Trump Republican 39%, Evangelical Republican 22%, Traditional Republican 20%, very conservative 35%, conservative 39%, moderate 24%.

SLIDE 2

Magellan Strategies Colorado 2018 Governor Republican Primary Survey Summary Field Dates: June 6th to 7th, 2018, 593n, MoE +/- 4.02% Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585

2 to that question just yet. For Victor Mitchell to be in a position to win, his negative ads have to work with only two weeks to Election Day. We are somewhat surprised the timing

f Victor Mitchell’s attack ads coming so late in the election. Past ballot return data show

Colorado Republican primary voters return their ballots early. This is thought to be because nearly 50% of likely voters are aged 65 and older, retired and have more time on their

hands. More than 35% of the total Republican primary vote could be cast by the end of

this week. Colorado Governor Republican Candidate Image Ratings Walker Stapleton has a very strong image rating with 51% of likely voters having a favorable opinion of him and only 15% having and unfavorable opinion of him. With only two weeks to go before Election Day, the Stapleton Campaign and his campaign independent expenditure group have done a good job introducing and positioning him among likely Republican primary voters. Victor Mitchell’s image rating is respectable with 39% of respondents having a favorable opinion of him and 15% having an unfavorable

pinion of him. However, Victor Mitchell’s name recognition could be better, with 26%
f likely voters having heard of him but do not have an opinion of him, and 20% of

respondents having never heard of him. In comparing the two candidate image ratings, it is hard not to see the significant challenge the Mitchell Campaign faces in driving voters away from Walker Stapleton. Particularly among seniors aged 65 and older, who are nearly 50% of the total vote. Among those senior voters, nearly 6 in 10 have a favorable opinion of Walker Stapleton. As we pointed

ut before, the attack ads targeting Walker Stapleton need to be very effective for Victor

Mitchell to be in a position to win this election. Walker Stapleton Image Rating by Voter Subgroup

All Voters Men Wom Rep Unaf 65+ Trmp Rep Evan Rep Trad Rep Very Con Cons Mod Favorable 51% 55% 47% 52% 43% 59% 54% 56% 50% 57% 51% 43% Unfavor. 15% 13% 17% 14% 18% 14% 14% 12% 15% 12% 15% 18% No Opin. 20% 17% 23% 20% 24% 22% 21% 19% 18% 19% 22% 20%

Nvr. Hrd.

14% 15% 13% 14% 15% 5% 11% 13% 17% 12% 12% 19%

*Sample demographics: Men 49%, Women 51%, Republican 86%, unaffiliated 14%, seniors 65 or older 47%, Trump Republican 39%, Evangelical Republican 22%, Traditional Republican 20%, very conservative 35%, conservative 39%, moderate 24%.

Victor Mitchell Image Rating by Voter Subgroup

All Voters Men Wom Rep Unaf 65+ Trmp Rep Evan Rep Trad Rep Very Con Cons Mod Favorable 39% 39% 40% 39% 41% 41% 48% 37% 30% 40% 43% 35% Unfavor. 15% 18% 12% 16% 9% 15% 14% 19% 14% 17% 14% 12% No Opin. 26% 24% 27% 25% 27% 33% 24% 26% 30% 23% 23% 34%

Nvr. Hrd.

20% 19% 21% 20% 23% 11% 14% 18% 26% 20% 20% 19%

SLIDE 3

Magellan Strategies Colorado 2018 Governor Republican Primary Survey Summary Field Dates: June 6th to 7th, 2018, 593n, MoE +/- 4.02% Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585

3 Conclusion With two weeks before Election Day, is the Republican nomination for Governor a done deal? Based on the findings of this survey, absolutely not. However, it is hard to argue that Walker Stapleton does not have the inside track and that Victor Mitchell has a more difficult path to victory. One final observation of the dynamics of this race is that Walker Stapleton’s Campaign and his campaign independent expenditure group are likely to begin attacking Victor Mitchell. They also have the resources to do it and it would make the most sense. We shall see. Survey Commissioned By This survey was fielded and paid for by Magellan Strategies. We are not working for or with any candidates, individuals or independent expenditure committees with an interest in the 2018 Colorado Republican primary for Governor. For any questions regarding the survey findings or methodology, please contact David Flaherty by calling our office at 303-861- 8585 or email at dflaherty@magellanstrategies.com. Survey Sample The survey sample was randomly drawn from a Colorado voter file among households containing at least one registered Republican or unaffiliated voter. The survey topline and crosstab results are included in this document. A survey presentation is also available on

ur website at www.MagellanStrategies.com.

About Magellan Strategies Magellan Strategies is a national full-service voter opinion polling and survey research firm. We have provided polling services to Republican candidates, ballot issue campaigns, government relation firms, trade associations, and local governments since 2006. We also

ffer voter data mining, voter data analysis and campaign consulting services. Our office

is located in Louisville, Colorado. To learn more about our company please visit http://www.MagellanStrategies.com or call 303-861-8585. The survey topline and crosstab results follow.

SLIDE 4

Magellan Strategies

Colorado Republican Primary Survey Topline Results

Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results for a 593n live and autodial survey of likely 2018 Republican Primary voters in the state of

Colorado. The interviews were conducted June 6th - 7th, 2018. This survey has

a margin of error of +/- 4.02% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon past Republican primary election voting demographics.

T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an unaffiliated voter?

Republican ............................................................. 86% Unaffiliated ............................................................ 14%

T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2018 Republican Primary election to choose a

candidate for Governor? Extremely Likely ..................................................... 83% Very Likely ............................................................. 11% Somewhat likely ....................................................... 6%

T3. As you may know, unaffiliated voters in Colorado can now participate in the Democrat
r Republican primary election. Do you intend to vote in the Democrat primary, the

Republican primary or do not plan on voting in the primary election at all? Republican ........................................................... 100%

T4. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Walker Stapleton?

Favorable ............................................................... 51% Unfavorable ........................................................... 15% Heard of, no opinion .............................................. 20% Never heard of ....................................................... 14%

SLIDE 5

Magellan ID#: COGOP-060618 Colorado 2018 GOP Primary Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 6/6/18 - 6/7/18, MoE +/- 4.02%, 593n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585

2

T5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Greg Lopez?

Favorable ............................................................... 21% Unfavorable ........................................................... 14% Heard of, no opinion .............................................. 27% Never heard of ....................................................... 38%

T6. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Victor Mitchell?

Favorable ............................................................... 39% Unfavorable ........................................................... 15% Heard of, no opinion .............................................. 26% Never heard of ....................................................... 20%

T7. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Doug Robinson?

Favorable ............................................................... 15% Unfavorable ........................................................... 16% Heard of, no opinion .............................................. 30% Never heard of ....................................................... 39%

T8. If the Republican primary election for Governor were being held today for whom would

you vote if the candidates were Doug Robinson, Greg Lopez, Walker Stapleton, and Victor Mitchell? Walker Stapleton .................................................... 36% Victor Mitchell ....................................................... 23% Greg Lopez ............................................................ 10% Doug Robinson ........................................................ 4% Undecided ............................................................. 27%

T9. Among the different groups of voters within the Republican Party, which of the

following best describes the kind of Republican you consider yourself to be? Please wait to hear all options… Trump Republican .................................................. 40% Evangelical, Christian, Conservative Republican ..... 22% “Traditional” Republican ....................................... 20% Other Republican ................................................... 13% Unsure or No Opinion ............................................. 5%

SLIDE 6

Magellan ID#: COGOP-060618 Colorado 2018 GOP Primary Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 6/6/18 - 6/7/18, MoE +/- 4.02%, 593n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585

3

T10. Do you consider yourself to be very conservative, conservative or moderate in your

political beliefs? Very Conservative .................................................. 35% Conservative .......................................................... 39% Moderate ................................................................ 24% Unsure or No Opinion ............................................. 2%

T11. For statistical purposes, are you a man or a woman?

Female ................................................................... 51% Male ....................................................................... 49%

T12. Which of the following age groups applies to you?

18-34 ....................................................................... 7% 35-44 ....................................................................... 6% 45-54 ..................................................................... 14% 55-64 ..................................................................... 26% 65+ ........................................................................ 47%

T13. What is your marital status?

Married .................................................................. 69% Widowed ............................................................... 13% Single, Never Been Married ...................................... 8% Separated or Divorced .............................................. 7% Single, Living with Partner ........................................ 2% No Opinion .............................................................. 1% Survey Methodology This survey was conducted by live dialing cell phones and using automated telephone touchtone technology. The sample used for this survey was randomly drawn from a state

f Colorado voter file. The survey response data was weighted based upon past Republican

primary election voting demographics. The interviews were conducted on June 6th - 7th,

2018. Three attempts were made to interview each household in the sample. This survey

has a margin of error of +/- 4.02% at the 95 percent confidence interval.

SLIDE 7

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 1-1

T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat, or an unaffiliated voter?

GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY

TOTAL
MEN
MEN

MARR

MEN

SING

WOM
WOM

MARR

WOM

SING

18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65

PLUS

VERY

CON

CON
MOD
REP
REP

MEN

REP

WOM

UNAF
UNAF

MEN

UNAF

WOM

TOTAL

593 100.0 291 100.0 219 100.0 68 100.0 302 100.0 192 100.0 105 100.0 42 100.0 36 100.0 83 100.0 154 100.0 279 100.0 208 100.0 232 100.0 142 100.0 513 100.0 247 100.0 266 100.0 80 100.0 44 100.0 36 100.0 REPUBLICAN 513 86.4 247 84.9 190 86.8 53 78.9 266 87.9 171 88.9 90 85.7 38 90.5 31 87.8 70 84.6 132 85.6 242 86.7 193 92.9 207 89.0 106 74.4 513 100.0 247 100.0 266 100.0 UNAFFILIATED 80 13.6 44 15.1 29 13.2 14 21.1 36 12.1 21 11.1 15 14.3 4 9.5 4 12.2 13 15.4 22 14.4 37 13.3 15 7.1 25 11.0 36 25.6 80 100.0 44 100.0 36 100.0

SLIDE 8

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 1-2

T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat, or an unaffiliated voter?

TYPE OF REP STAPLETON IMAGE LOPEZ IMAGE MITCHELL IMAGE ROBINSON IMAGE GOVERNOR BALLOT

-------------------------------------------- --------------------
------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
TRAD

REP

EVAN

REP

TRMP

REP

OTH

REP

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

ROB

SON

LOP

EZ

STAP

TON

MIT

CHEL

UND
TOTAL

593 100.0 118 100.0 130 100.0 237 100.0 78 100.0 302 100.0 88 100.0 127 100.0 84 100.0 234 100.0 89 100.0 89 100.0 97 100.0 23 100.0 57 100.0 215 100.0 138 100.0 161 100.0 REPUBLICAN 513 86.4 109 92.1 122 94.1 202 85.1 57 72.5 268 88.7 73 83.4 116 91.2 71 84.2 201 86.0 81 91.6 78 88.0 89 91.6 18 77.6 48 84.6 190 88.7 120 86.6 137 85.3 UNAFFILIATED 80 13.6 9 7.9 8 5.9 35 14.9 22 27.5 34 11.3 15 16.6 11 8.8 13 15.8 33 14.0 7 8.4 11 12.0 8 8.4 5 22.4 9 15.4 24 11.3 19 13.4 24 14.7

SLIDE 9

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 2-1

T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2018 Republican Primary election to choose a candidate for Governor?

GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY

TOTAL
MEN
MEN

MARR

MEN

SING

WOM
WOM

MARR

WOM

SING

18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65

PLUS

VERY

CON

CON
MOD
REP
REP

MEN

REP

WOM

UNAF
UNAF

MEN

UNAF

WOM

TOTAL

513 100.0 247 100.0 190 100.0 53 100.0 266 100.0 171 100.0 90 100.0 38 100.0 31 100.0 70 100.0 132 100.0 242 100.0 193 100.0 207 100.0 106 100.0 513 100.0 247 100.0 266 100.0 EXTREMELY LIKELY 427 83.4 205 83.1 165 86.5 38 71.4 223 83.7 144 84.5 76 84.2 17 44.1 17 54.7 60 85.8 117 88.3 217 89.8 170 88.0 171 82.9 80 75.6 427 83.4 205 83.1 223 83.7 VERY LIKELY 57 11.1 30 12.3 19 10.2 10 18.9 27 10.0 21 12.5 5 5.9 12 31.0 10 33.4 6 9.2 11 8.5 17 7.1 13 6.8 26 12.6 17 16.1 57 11.1 30 12.3 27 10.0 SOMEWHAT LIKELY 28 5.5 11 4.7 6 3.3 5 9.6 17 6.3 5 3.0 9 9.9 9 24.9 4 11.9 4 5.0 4 3.2 7 3.1 10 5.2 9 4.5 9 8.3 28 5.5 11 4.7 17 6.3

SLIDE 10

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 2-2

T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2018 Republican Primary election to choose a candidate for Governor?

TYPE OF REP STAPLETON IMAGE LOPEZ IMAGE MITCHELL IMAGE ROBINSON IMAGE GOVERNOR BALLOT

-------------------------------------------- --------------------
------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
TRAD

REP

EVAN

REP

TRMP

REP

OTH

REP

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

ROB

SON

LOP

EZ

STAP

TON

MIT

CHEL

UND
TOTAL

513 100.0 109 100.0 122 100.0 202 100.0 57 100.0 268 100.0 73 100.0 116 100.0 71 100.0 201 100.0 81 100.0 78 100.0 89 100.0 18 100.0 48 100.0 190 100.0 120 100.0 137 100.0 EXTREMELY LIKELY 427 83.4 88 81.3 108 88.8 174 86.2 43 75.9 250 93.3 66 89.6 104 90.3 69 98.0 182 90.4 80 98.0 68 86.8 86 96.5 12 68.9 43 89.1 179 94.1 103 85.8 91 66.3 VERY LIKELY 57 11.1 14 13.1 10 8.4 21 10.3 7 12.8 12 4.7 6 8.8 7 5.6 14 6.8 1 1.1 8 10.5 1 1.0 5 31.1 5 10.9 7 3.4 10 8.6 29 21.5 SOMEWHAT LIKELY 28 5.5 6 5.7 3 2.8 7 3.4 6 11.4 5 2.0 1 1.7 5 4.1 1 2.0 6 2.8 1 0.9 2 2.6 2 2.6 5 2.5 7 5.7 17 12.2

SLIDE 11

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 3-1

T3. As you may know, unaffiliated voters in Colorado can now participate in the Democrat or Republican primary election. Do you intend to vote in the Democrat primary, the Republican primary or do not plan on voting

in the primary election at all? GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY

TOTAL
MEN
MEN

MARR

MEN

SING

WOM
WOM

MARR

WOM

SING

18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65

PLUS

VERY

CON

CON
MOD
REP
REP

MEN

REP

WOM

UNAF
UNAF

MEN

UNAF

WOM

TOTAL

80 100.0 44 100.0 29 100.0 14 100.0 36 100.0 21 100.0 15 100.0 4 100.0 4 100.0 13 100.0 22 100.0 37 100.0 15 100.0 25 100.0 36 100.0 80 100.0 44 100.0 36 100.0 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY 80 100.0 44 100.0 29 100.0 14 100.0 36 100.0 21 100.0 15 100.0 4 100.0 4 100.0 13 100.0 22 100.0 37 100.0 15 100.0 25 100.0 36 100.0 80 100.0 44 100.0 36 100.0

SLIDE 12

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 3-2

T3. As you may know, unaffiliated voters in Colorado can now participate in the Democrat or Republican primary election. Do you intend to vote in the Democrat primary, the Republican primary or do not plan on voting

in the primary election at all? TYPE OF REP STAPLETON IMAGE LOPEZ IMAGE MITCHELL IMAGE ROBINSON IMAGE GOVERNOR BALLOT

-------------------------------------------- --------------------
------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
TRAD

REP

EVAN

REP

TRMP

REP

OTH

REP

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

ROB

SON

LOP

EZ

STAP

TON

MIT

CHEL

UND
TOTAL

80 100.0 9 100.0 8 100.0 35 100.0 22 100.0 34 100.0 15 100.0 11 100.0 13 100.0 33 100.0 7 100.0 11 100.0 8 100.0 5 100.0 9 100.0 24 100.0 19 100.0 24 100.0 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY 80 100.0 9 100.0 8 100.0 35 100.0 22 100.0 34 100.0 15 100.0 11 100.0 13 100.0 33 100.0 7 100.0 11 100.0 8 100.0 5 100.0 9 100.0 24 100.0 19 100.0 24 100.0

SLIDE 13

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 4-1

T4. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Walker Stapleton?

GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY

TOTAL
MEN
MEN

MARR

MEN

SING

WOM
WOM

MARR

WOM

SING

18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65

PLUS

VERY

CON

CON
MOD
REP
REP

MEN

REP

WOM

UNAF
UNAF

MEN

UNAF

WOM

TOTAL

593 100.0 291 100.0 219 100.0 68 100.0 302 100.0 192 100.0 105 100.0 42 100.0 36 100.0 83 100.0 154 100.0 279 100.0 208 100.0 232 100.0 142 100.0 513 100.0 247 100.0 266 100.0 80 100.0 44 100.0 36 100.0 FAVORABLE 302 50.9 160 55.1 133 60.6 26 38.9 142 46.8 98 50.8 41 39.5 11 25.9 11 32.0 35 42.4 81 52.7 163 58.6 119 57.2 118 50.8 61 43.2 268 52.2 141 57.1 127 47.6 34 42.5 19 43.5 15 41.2 UNFAVORABLE 88 14.8 38 13.1 26 12.0 11 16.4 50 16.5 32 16.6 18 17.1 5 11.6 7 20.4 11 13.3 24 15.4 41 14.7 25 12.0 35 15.3 26 18.3 73 14.3 32 13.0 41 15.5 15 18.1 6 13.5 9 23.6 HEARD OF NO OPINION 121 20.4 50 17.3 36 16.2 14 20.5 71 23.4 38 19.6 30 29.0 6 15.4 4 10.8 20 24.0 30 19.5 61 21.9 39 18.5 50 21.7 28 20.0 102 19.9 39 15.6 63 23.8 19 24.0 12 26.5 8 20.9 NEVER HEARD OF 82 13.9 42 14.5 25 11.3 16 24.1 40 13.3 25 13.0 15 14.4 20 47.1 13 36.8 17 20.3 19 12.5 14 4.9 25 12.2 28 12.2 26 18.5 70 13.7 35 14.2 35 13.2 12 15.4 7 16.4 5 14.2

SLIDE 14

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 4-2

T4. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Walker Stapleton?

TYPE OF REP STAPLETON IMAGE LOPEZ IMAGE MITCHELL IMAGE ROBINSON IMAGE GOVERNOR BALLOT

-------------------------------------------- --------------------
------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
TRAD

REP

EVAN

REP

TRMP

REP

OTH

REP

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

ROB

SON

LOP

EZ

STAP

TON

MIT

CHEL

UND
TOTAL

593 100.0 118 100.0 130 100.0 237 100.0 78 100.0 302 100.0 88 100.0 127 100.0 84 100.0 234 100.0 89 100.0 89 100.0 97 100.0 23 100.0 57 100.0 215 100.0 138 100.0 161 100.0 FAVORABLE 302 50.9 59 50.3 72 55.6 129 54.4 32 40.9 302 100.0 76 60.2 50 58.9 132 56.7 60 67.5 63 71.1 59 60.2 11 46.5 17 29.3 187 87.3 56 40.2 32 19.7 UNFAVORABLE 88 14.8 18 15.2 16 12.1 34 14.2 13 16.5 88 100.0 26 20.6 27 32.2 48 20.6 24 27.1 13 14.2 35 36.0 7 29.4 23 40.1 3 1.5 37 27.1 18 11.1 HEARD OF NO OPINION 121 20.4 21 17.8 25 19.1 49 20.5 20 26.0 13 10.6 7 8.0 42 18.1 4 4.4 7 7.4 3 2.9 3 12.5 13 22.8 20 9.4 38 27.7 47 29.2 NEVER HEARD OF 82 13.9 20 16.8 17 13.1 26 10.9 13 16.6 11 8.6 1 1.0 11 4.5 1 1.0 6 7.3 1 0.9 3 11.6 4 7.8 4 1.9 7 5.0 64 40.1

SLIDE 15

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 5-1

T5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Greg Lopez?

GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY

TOTAL
MEN
MEN

MARR

MEN

SING

WOM
WOM

MARR

WOM

SING

18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65

PLUS

VERY

CON

CON
MOD
REP
REP

MEN

REP

WOM

UNAF
UNAF

MEN

UNAF

WOM

TOTAL

593 100.0 291 100.0 219 100.0 68 100.0 302 100.0 192 100.0 105 100.0 42 100.0 36 100.0 83 100.0 154 100.0 279 100.0 208 100.0 232 100.0 142 100.0 513 100.0 247 100.0 266 100.0 80 100.0 44 100.0 36 100.0 FAVORABLE 127 21.4 71 24.4 59 27.1 11 16.7 56 18.5 39 20.2 15 13.9 8 19.4 6 17.6 18 21.8 37 24.1 57 20.5 56 26.9 44 19.1 23 16.4 116 22.5 63 25.7 52 19.7 11 13.9 8 17.1 4 10.1 UNFAVORABLE 84 14.2 51 17.5 41 18.5 9 14.0 33 11.1 21 11.2 12 11.4 2 4.6 6 16.8 9 10.8 23 14.7 45 16.0 29 13.7 39 16.7 16 11.5 71 13.8 41 16.7 30 11.1 13 16.6 10 21.7 4 10.4 HEARD OF NO OPINION 158 26.7 74 25.5 56 25.4 17 24.8 84 27.9 53 27.6 31 29.9 7 17.1 5 14.8 19 22.8 28 18.3 99 35.5 49 23.4 58 24.9 49 34.7 128 24.9 62 25.2 65 24.6 31 38.1 12 26.9 19 51.6 NEVER HEARD OF 224 37.7 95 32.7 64 29.0 30 44.5 129 42.6 79 41.1 47 44.8 24 58.9 18 50.8 37 44.6 66 42.9 78 28.0 75 36.0 91 39.3 53 37.5 199 38.7 80 32.4 119 44.6 25 31.4 15 34.3 10 27.9

SLIDE 16

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 5-2

T5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Greg Lopez?

TYPE OF REP STAPLETON IMAGE LOPEZ IMAGE MITCHELL IMAGE ROBINSON IMAGE GOVERNOR BALLOT

-------------------------------------------- --------------------
------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
TRAD

REP

EVAN

REP

TRMP

REP

OTH

REP

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

ROB

SON

LOP

EZ

STAP

TON

MIT

CHEL

UND
TOTAL

593 100.0 118 100.0 130 100.0 237 100.0 78 100.0 302 100.0 88 100.0 127 100.0 84 100.0 234 100.0 89 100.0 89 100.0 97 100.0 23 100.0 57 100.0 215 100.0 138 100.0 161 100.0 FAVORABLE 127 21.4 29 24.6 33 25.4 48 20.1 15 18.7 76 25.3 26 29.7 127 100.0 69 29.4 35 39.9 39 44.4 30 31.3 5 23.0 44 76.9 40 18.7 25 18.2 13 7.9 UNFAVORABLE 84 14.2 15 13.0 11 8.4 44 18.6 11 14.3 50 16.4 27 30.9 84 100.0 49 21.2 26 28.8 12 13.0 52 53.3 4 18.2 2 3.2 38 17.6 33 23.8 7 4.6 HEARD OF NO OPINION 158 26.7 30 25.4 35 27.0 61 25.6 23 29.6 89 29.7 17 19.7 52 22.0 17 19.0 19 21.7 8 7.8 3 12.1 9 16.1 75 35.0 32 23.4 39 24.2 NEVER HEARD OF 224 37.7 44 37.1 51 39.2 85 35.7 29 37.4 86 28.6 17 19.7 64 27.4 11 12.3 18 20.9 7 7.6 11 46.7 2 3.8 62 28.7 48 34.7 102 63.2

SLIDE 17

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 6-1

T6. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Victor Mitchell?

GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY

TOTAL
MEN
MEN

MARR

MEN

SING

WOM
WOM

MARR

WOM

SING

18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65

PLUS

VERY

CON

CON
MOD
REP
REP

MEN

REP

WOM

UNAF
UNAF

MEN

UNAF

WOM

TOTAL

593 100.0 291 100.0 219 100.0 68 100.0 302 100.0 192 100.0 105 100.0 42 100.0 36 100.0 83 100.0 154 100.0 279 100.0 208 100.0 232 100.0 142 100.0 513 100.0 247 100.0 266 100.0 80 100.0 44 100.0 36 100.0 FAVORABLE 234 39.4 112 38.6 87 39.4 26 37.6 122 40.2 81 42.2 38 36.1 7 17.6 9 26.1 33 40.2 69 44.6 115 41.2 83 40.0 100 43.1 49 34.5 201 39.2 94 38.1 107 40.3 33 40.6 18 41.3 15 39.8 UNFAVORABLE 89 15.0 52 17.8 47 21.4 5 6.9 37 12.2 25 12.8 12 11.8 3 7.1 4 11.6 11 12.7 29 18.7 42 15.1 36 17.2 33 14.4 18 12.6 81 15.9 48 19.7 33 12.3 7 9.2 3 7.4 4 11.4 HEARD OF NO OPINION 152 25.7 70 24.0 50 23.0 19 28.6 82 27.3 51 26.5 32 30.1 8 19.7 6 16.0 20 24.3 27 17.2 92 32.9 49 23.4 53 22.9 48 33.9 130 25.4 57 23.0 73 27.6 22 27.5 13 29.6 9 24.8 NEVER HEARD OF 118 20.0 57 19.6 35 16.2 18 26.8 61 20.3 36 18.5 23 22.0 23 55.6 16 46.2 19 22.7 30 19.5 30 10.7 40 19.4 46 19.6 27 19.0 100 19.5 47 19.2 53 19.8 18 22.7 10 21.7 9 23.9

SLIDE 18

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 6-2

T6. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Victor Mitchell?

TYPE OF REP STAPLETON IMAGE LOPEZ IMAGE MITCHELL IMAGE ROBINSON IMAGE GOVERNOR BALLOT

-------------------------------------------- --------------------
------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
TRAD

REP

EVAN

REP

TRMP

REP

OTH

REP

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

ROB

SON

LOP

EZ

STAP

TON

MIT

CHEL

UND
TOTAL

593 100.0 118 100.0 130 100.0 237 100.0 78 100.0 302 100.0 88 100.0 127 100.0 84 100.0 234 100.0 89 100.0 89 100.0 97 100.0 23 100.0 57 100.0 215 100.0 138 100.0 161 100.0 FAVORABLE 234 39.4 35 30.0 48 36.9 113 47.8 27 34.1 132 43.9 48 54.9 69 54.1 49 58.8 234 100.0 49 55.5 50 51.4 9 41.0 18 32.0 60 28.0 127 92.1 19 11.6 UNFAVORABLE 89 15.0 17 14.2 24 18.9 33 14.1 13 16.1 60 19.8 24 27.3 35 27.9 26 30.3 89 100.0 14 16.4 39 40.2 2 8.7 21 36.9 58 27.0 8 4.8 HEARD OF NO OPINION 152 25.7 35 29.7 33 25.7 56 23.7 19 23.9 75 24.8 13 14.3 17 13.5 5 6.0 16 17.6 7 7.5 5 24.2 14 24.8 71 33.3 9 6.8 52 32.3 NEVER HEARD OF 118 20.0 31 26.2 24 18.5 34 14.4 20 25.9 35 11.5 3 3.5 6 4.5 4 4.9 9 10.5 1 0.9 6 26.1 4 6.3 25 11.7 1 1.1 82 51.2

SLIDE 19

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 7-1

T7. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Doug Robinson?

GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY

TOTAL
MEN
MEN

MARR

MEN

SING

WOM
WOM

MARR

WOM

SING

18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65

PLUS

VERY

CON

CON
MOD
REP
REP

MEN

REP

WOM

UNAF
UNAF

MEN

UNAF

WOM

TOTAL

593 100.0 291 100.0 219 100.0 68 100.0 302 100.0 192 100.0 105 100.0 42 100.0 36 100.0 83 100.0 154 100.0 279 100.0 208 100.0 232 100.0 142 100.0 513 100.0 247 100.0 266 100.0 80 100.0 44 100.0 36 100.0 FAVORABLE 89 14.9 55 18.8 47 21.4 8 11.6 34 11.2 24 12.3 8 7.7 6 14.1 4 12.2 13 15.7 20 12.7 46 16.4 33 16.0 34 14.7 19 13.7 78 15.2 47 19.0 31 11.7 11 13.2 8 18.0 3 7.3 UNFAVORABLE 97 16.4 56 19.4 44 19.8 13 19.0 41 13.5 27 13.8 14 13.7 3 7.4 5 15.1 8 9.7 32 20.4 49 17.7 46 22.0 31 13.2 21 14.8 89 17.4 53 21.4 36 13.7 8 10.2 4 8.2 5 12.6 HEARD OF NO OPINION 180 30.3 84 29.1 67 30.4 18 26.3 95 31.5 61 32.0 33 31.6 8 19.3 7 19.9 25 29.9 36 23.5 103 37.1 59 28.5 66 28.4 52 36.6 148 28.9 70 28.4 78 29.3 31 39.2 14 32.7 17 46.9 NEVER HEARD OF 227 38.4 95 32.7 62 28.4 29 43.1 133 43.8 81 41.9 49 46.9 25 59.2 19 52.8 37 44.7 67 43.4 80 28.8 70 33.5 101 43.7 50 34.9 197 38.5 77 31.2 120 45.3 30 37.5 18 41.1 12 33.1

SLIDE 20

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 7-2

T7. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Doug Robinson?

TYPE OF REP STAPLETON IMAGE LOPEZ IMAGE MITCHELL IMAGE ROBINSON IMAGE GOVERNOR BALLOT

-------------------------------------------- --------------------
------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
TRAD

REP

EVAN

REP

TRMP

REP

OTH

REP

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

ROB

SON

LOP

EZ

STAP

TON

MIT

CHEL

UND
TOTAL

593 100.0 118 100.0 130 100.0 237 100.0 78 100.0 302 100.0 88 100.0 127 100.0 84 100.0 234 100.0 89 100.0 89 100.0 97 100.0 23 100.0 57 100.0 215 100.0 138 100.0 161 100.0 FAVORABLE 89 14.9 25 21.0 20 15.8 28 11.7 11 14.0 63 20.9 13 14.3 39 31.0 12 13.7 49 21.0 14 16.3 89 100.0 16 70.2 11 19.0 34 15.9 17 12.3 11 6.5 UNFAVORABLE 97 16.4 17 14.4 21 16.4 47 19.7 9 10.9 59 19.4 35 39.9 30 24.0 52 61.7 50 21.4 39 44.2 97 100.0 3 12.4 16 28.9 46 21.4 26 18.7 6 4.0 HEARD OF NO OPINION 180 30.3 29 24.3 48 37.2 63 26.5 29 37.0 91 30.1 21 24.5 25 19.9 13 15.2 69 29.7 20 23.1 1 4.3 19 33.6 74 34.3 49 35.3 37 23.2 NEVER HEARD OF 227 38.4 48 40.3 40 30.6 100 42.1 30 38.1 89 29.6 19 21.3 32 25.0 8 9.4 65 27.8 15 16.4 3 13.1 11 18.6 61 28.4 47 33.8 106 66.2

SLIDE 21

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 8-1

T8. If the Republican primary election for Governor were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Doug Robinson, Greg Lopez, Walker Stapleton, and Victor Mitchell?

GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY

TOTAL
MEN
MEN

MARR

MEN

SING

WOM
WOM

MARR

WOM

SING

18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65

PLUS

VERY

CON

CON
MOD
REP
REP

MEN

REP

WOM

UNAF
UNAF

MEN

UNAF

WOM

TOTAL

593 100.0 291 100.0 219 100.0 68 100.0 302 100.0 192 100.0 105 100.0 42 100.0 36 100.0 83 100.0 154 100.0 279 100.0 208 100.0 232 100.0 142 100.0 513 100.0 247 100.0 266 100.0 80 100.0 44 100.0 36 100.0 STAPLETON 215 36.2 126 43.5 102 46.7 23 34.0 88 29.2 56 28.9 32 30.7 7 16.8 6 16.6 20 24.3 50 32.4 132 47.3 84 40.5 86 37.3 41 29.0 190 37.1 111 45.2 79 29.7 24 30.3 15 34.0 9 25.8 MITCHELL 138 23.3 61 20.9 45 20.4 16 23.3 78 25.6 50 25.9 26 24.5 5 11.8 5 15.4 21 25.2 44 28.5 63 22.6 41 19.6 65 27.9 32 22.4 120 23.3 50 20.3 70 26.2 19 23.1 11 24.2 8 21.8 LOPEZ 57 9.6 27 9.2 21 9.7 5 8.1 30 9.9 22 11.5 8 7.5 3 6.9 3 8.8 8 9.9 18 11.9 24 8.7 27 13.2 16 6.8 12 8.6 48 9.4 23 9.4 25 9.3 9 10.9 4 8.0 5 14.3 ROBINSON 23 3.8 11 3.8 5 2.3 5 7.7 12 3.9 11 5.5 1 1.1 3 7.1 3 7.7 4 5.0 2 1.5 11 3.8 8 3.9 6 2.5 8 5.7 18 3.4 7 3.0 10 3.9 5 6.4 4 8.2 2 4.1 UNDECIDED 161 27.1 66 22.7 46 20.9 18 26.9 95 31.3 54 28.1 38 36.2 24 57.4 18 51.5 30 35.7 39 25.6 49 17.7 47 22.8 59 25.5 49 34.3 137 26.7 55 22.2 82 31.0 24 29.4 11 25.6 12 34.0

SLIDE 22

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 8-2

T8. If the Republican primary election for Governor were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Doug Robinson, Greg Lopez, Walker Stapleton, and Victor Mitchell?

TYPE OF REP STAPLETON IMAGE LOPEZ IMAGE MITCHELL IMAGE ROBINSON IMAGE GOVERNOR BALLOT

-------------------------------------------- --------------------
------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
TRAD

REP

EVAN

REP

TRMP

REP

OTH

REP

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

ROB

SON

LOP

EZ

STAP

TON

MIT

CHEL

UND
TOTAL

593 100.0 118 100.0 130 100.0 237 100.0 78 100.0 302 100.0 88 100.0 127 100.0 84 100.0 234 100.0 89 100.0 89 100.0 97 100.0 23 100.0 57 100.0 215 100.0 138 100.0 161 100.0 STAPLETON 215 36.2 35 30.0 58 44.4 91 38.5 24 30.4 187 62.1 3 3.6 40 31.6 38 44.9 60 25.8 58 65.5 34 38.7 46 47.1 215 100.0 MITCHELL 138 23.3 21 17.8 24 18.2 69 29.1 16 20.6 56 18.4 37 42.6 25 19.8 33 39.1 127 54.5 17 19.2 26 26.5 138 100.0 LOPEZ 57 9.6 8 7.1 19 14.7 18 7.4 11 13.5 17 5.5 23 25.9 44 34.4 2 2.2 18 7.8 21 23.6 11 12.2 16 16.8 57 100.0 ROBINSON 23 3.8 8 6.8 7 5.2 4 1.9 3 4.5 11 3.5 7 7.6 5 4.1 4 4.9 9 4.0 2 2.2 16 18.1 3 2.9 23 100.0 UNDECIDED 161 27.1 45 38.2 23 17.4 55 23.1 24 31.0 32 10.5 18 20.2 13 10.0 7 8.9 19 8.0 8 8.7 11 11.9 6 6.7 161 100.0

SLIDE 23

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 9-1

T9. Among the different groups of voters within the Republican Party, which of the following best describes the kind of Republican you consider yourself to be? Please wait to hear all options...

GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY

TOTAL
MEN
MEN

MARR

MEN

SING

WOM
WOM

MARR

WOM

SING

18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65

PLUS

VERY

CON

CON
MOD
REP
REP

MEN

REP

WOM

UNAF
UNAF

MEN

UNAF

WOM

TOTAL

593 100.0 291 100.0 219 100.0 68 100.0 302 100.0 192 100.0 105 100.0 42 100.0 36 100.0 83 100.0 154 100.0 279 100.0 208 100.0 232 100.0 142 100.0 513 100.0 247 100.0 266 100.0 80 100.0 44 100.0 36 100.0 TRUMP REPUBLICAN 237 40.0 119 41.1 93 42.6 25 37.1 118 38.9 79 40.9 38 36.6 10 24.6 7 19.9 28 33.3 62 39.9 130 46.8 89 42.7 103 44.4 42 29.7 202 39.3 100 40.7 101 38.0 35 43.9 19 43.2 16 44.8 EVANGELICAL, CHRISTIAN CONSERVATIVE REPUBLICAN 130 21.8 59 20.2 52 23.7 6 8.6 71 23.4 49 25.4 22 20.5 7 17.7 10 28.2 16 19.4 38 24.8 58 20.8 66 31.8 48 20.8 14 10.2 122 23.8 54 22.1 68 25.4 8 9.5 4 9.6 3 9.3 TRADITIONAL REPUBLICAN 118 19.9 55 18.8 37 16.7 18 26.7 63 21.0 36 18.9 25 23.9 14 33.4 10 28.5 21 25.4 24 15.9 49 17.4 22 10.8 54 23.2 40 28.4 109 21.2 48 19.3 61 23.0 9 11.6 7 16.0 2 6.4 OTHER REPUBLICAN 78 13.2 42 14.6 28 12.7 13 19.7 36 11.9 20 10.5 14 13.2 7 17.5 6 17.3 10 12.0 26 16.8 29 10.4 22 10.6 21 9.0 32 22.4 57 11.1 33 13.3 24 9.1 22 26.8 10 21.9 12 32.7 UNSURE NO OPINION 30 5.1 15 5.3 9 4.3 5 7.9 15 4.8 8 4.4 6 5.8 3 6.9 2 6.1 8 9.9 4 2.7 13 4.5 9 4.1 6 2.7 13 9.3 23 4.6 11 4.6 12 4.5 7 8.1 4 9.3 2 6.8

SLIDE 24

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 9-2

T9. Among the different groups of voters within the Republican Party, which of the following best describes the kind of Republican you consider yourself to be? Please wait to hear all options...

TYPE OF REP STAPLETON IMAGE LOPEZ IMAGE MITCHELL IMAGE ROBINSON IMAGE GOVERNOR BALLOT

-------------------------------------------- --------------------
------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
TRAD

REP

EVAN

REP

TRMP

REP

OTH

REP

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

ROB

SON

LOP

EZ

STAP

TON

MIT

CHEL

UND
TOTAL

593 100.0 118 100.0 130 100.0 237 100.0 78 100.0 302 100.0 88 100.0 127 100.0 84 100.0 234 100.0 89 100.0 89 100.0 97 100.0 23 100.0 57 100.0 215 100.0 138 100.0 161 100.0 TRUMP REPUBLICAN 237 40.0 237 100.0 129 42.7 34 38.3 48 37.5 44 52.3 113 48.5 33 37.7 28 31.4 47 48.0 4 19.4 18 31.1 91 42.5 69 49.9 55 34.0 EVANGELICAL, CHRISTIAN CONSERVATIVE REPUBLICAN 130 21.8 130 100.0 72 23.9 16 17.9 33 26.0 11 12.9 48 20.5 24 27.6 20 23.1 21 21.9 7 29.8 19 33.7 58 26.8 24 17.1 23 14.1 TRADITIONAL REPUBLICAN 118 19.9 118 100.0 59 19.7 18 20.4 29 22.9 15 18.2 35 15.2 17 18.9 25 28.0 17 17.5 8 35.5 8 14.9 35 16.5 21 15.2 45 28.1 OTHER REPUBLICAN 78 13.2 78 100.0 32 10.6 13 14.7 15 11.6 11 13.3 27 11.4 13 14.2 11 12.4 9 8.8 3 15.4 11 18.6 24 11.1 16 11.7 24 15.1 UNSURE NO OPINION 30 5.1 9 3.1 8 8.7 3 2.1 3 3.2 10 4.4 1 1.7 5 5.1 4 3.8 1 1.8 7 3.1 8 6.1 14 8.7

SLIDE 25

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 10-1

T10. Do you consider yourself to be very conservative, conservative or moderate in your political beliefs?

GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY

TOTAL
MEN
MEN

MARR

MEN

SING

WOM
WOM

MARR

WOM

SING

18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65

PLUS

VERY

CON

CON
MOD
REP
REP

MEN

REP

WOM

UNAF
UNAF

MEN

UNAF

WOM

TOTAL

593 100.0 291 100.0 219 100.0 68 100.0 302 100.0 192 100.0 105 100.0 42 100.0 36 100.0 83 100.0 154 100.0 279 100.0 208 100.0 232 100.0 142 100.0 513 100.0 247 100.0 266 100.0 80 100.0 44 100.0 36 100.0 VERY CONSERVATIVE 208 35.0 113 39.0 92 41.9 21 31.4 94 31.2 69 35.9 21 20.4 11 26.7 11 29.8 19 23.0 67 43.6 100 35.8 208 100.0 193 37.7 105 42.5 88 33.1 15 18.2 8 18.9 6 17.4 CONSERVATIVE 232 39.1 113 38.9 91 41.5 20 30.1 119 39.3 69 35.9 49 46.9 15 35.1 14 37.9 33 40.1 60 38.9 111 39.7 232 100.0 207 40.3 95 38.5 112 42.0 25 31.6 18 41.3 7 19.9 MODERATE 142 23.9 58 19.8 34 15.5 23 33.3 84 27.8 53 27.6 31 29.3 16 38.2 9 26.2 28 34.3 25 16.0 63 22.8 142 100.0 106 20.6 42 17.0 64 23.9 36 45.1 16 35.6 21 56.7 UNSURE NO OPINION 12 1.9 7 2.3 2 1.1 4 5.3 5 1.6 1 0.6 4 3.5 2 6.1 2 2.6 2 1.5 5 1.7 7 1.5 5 2.0 3 1.0 4 5.0 2 4.2 2 6.1

SLIDE 26

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 10-2

T10. Do you consider yourself to be very conservative, conservative or moderate in your political beliefs?

TYPE OF REP STAPLETON IMAGE LOPEZ IMAGE MITCHELL IMAGE ROBINSON IMAGE GOVERNOR BALLOT

-------------------------------------------- --------------------
------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
TRAD

REP

EVAN

REP

TRMP

REP

OTH

REP

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

ROB

SON

LOP

EZ

STAP

TON

MIT

CHEL

UND
TOTAL

593 100.0 118 100.0 130 100.0 237 100.0 78 100.0 302 100.0 88 100.0 127 100.0 84 100.0 234 100.0 89 100.0 89 100.0 97 100.0 23 100.0 57 100.0 215 100.0 138 100.0 161 100.0 VERY CONSERVATIVE 208 35.0 22 19.0 66 51.0 89 37.4 22 28.2 119 39.4 25 28.3 56 44.1 29 33.9 83 35.6 36 40.3 33 37.4 46 46.9 8 35.9 27 48.3 84 39.2 41 29.4 47 29.4 CONSERVATIVE 232 39.1 54 45.5 48 37.2 103 43.5 21 26.5 118 39.1 35 40.4 44 35.0 39 46.0 100 42.8 33 37.6 34 38.6 31 31.5 6 25.9 16 27.7 86 40.3 65 46.8 59 36.9 MODERATE 142 23.9 40 34.1 14 11.1 42 17.8 32 40.5 61 20.3 26 29.6 23 18.3 16 19.3 49 20.9 18 20.2 19 21.9 21 21.6 8 35.3 12 21.5 41 19.2 32 23.0 49 30.2 UNSURE NO OPINION 12 1.9 2 1.4 1 0.7 3 1.3 4 4.8 4 1.2 1 1.7 3 2.6 1 0.8 2 0.7 2 1.9 2 2.1 1 2.9 1 2.6 3 1.4 1 0.7 5 3.4

SLIDE 27

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 11-1

T11. For statistical purposes, are you a man or a woman?

GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY

TOTAL
MEN
MEN

MARR

MEN

SING

WOM
WOM

MARR

WOM

SING

18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65

PLUS

VERY

CON

CON
MOD
REP
REP

MEN

REP

WOM

UNAF
UNAF

MEN

UNAF

WOM

TOTAL

593 100.0 291 100.0 219 100.0 68 100.0 302 100.0 192 100.0 105 100.0 42 100.0 36 100.0 83 100.0 154 100.0 279 100.0 208 100.0 232 100.0 142 100.0 513 100.0 247 100.0 266 100.0 80 100.0 44 100.0 36 100.0 FEMALE 302 51.0 302 100.0 192 100.0 105 100.0 21 51.2 21 60.4 46 55.8 79 51.2 134 48.2 94 45.5 119 51.3 84 59.4 266 51.9 266 100.0 36 45.3 36 100.0 MALE 291 49.0 291 100.0 219 100.0 68 100.0 20 48.8 14 39.6 37 44.2 75 48.8 144 51.8 113 54.5 113 48.7 58 40.6 247 48.1 247 100.0 44 54.7 44 100.0

SLIDE 28

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 11-2

T11. For statistical purposes, are you a man or a woman?

TYPE OF REP STAPLETON IMAGE LOPEZ IMAGE MITCHELL IMAGE ROBINSON IMAGE GOVERNOR BALLOT

-------------------------------------------- --------------------
------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
TRAD

REP

EVAN

REP

TRMP

REP

OTH

REP

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

ROB

SON

LOP

EZ

STAP

TON

MIT

CHEL

UND
TOTAL

593 100.0 118 100.0 130 100.0 237 100.0 78 100.0 302 100.0 88 100.0 127 100.0 84 100.0 234 100.0 89 100.0 89 100.0 97 100.0 23 100.0 57 100.0 215 100.0 138 100.0 161 100.0 FEMALE 302 51.0 63 53.7 71 54.7 118 49.6 36 45.9 142 46.9 50 56.7 56 44.1 33 39.7 122 52.0 37 41.7 34 38.2 41 42.1 12 52.1 30 52.7 88 41.2 78 56.1 95 59.0 MALE 291 49.0 55 46.3 59 45.3 119 50.4 42 54.1 160 53.1 38 43.3 71 55.9 51 60.3 112 48.0 52 58.3 55 61.8 56 57.9 11 47.9 27 47.3 126 58.8 61 43.9 66 41.0

SLIDE 29

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 12-1

T12. Which of the following age groups applies to you?

GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY

TOTAL
MEN
MEN

MARR

MEN

SING

WOM
WOM

MARR

WOM

SING

18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65

PLUS

VERY

CON

CON
MOD
REP
REP

MEN

REP

WOM

UNAF
UNAF

MEN

UNAF

WOM

TOTAL

593 100.0 291 100.0 219 100.0 68 100.0 302 100.0 192 100.0 105 100.0 42 100.0 36 100.0 83 100.0 154 100.0 279 100.0 208 100.0 232 100.0 142 100.0 513 100.0 247 100.0 266 100.0 80 100.0 44 100.0 36 100.0 18-34 42 7.0 20 7.0 5 2.2 13 19.9 21 7.0 12 6.0 10 9.2 42 100.0 11 5.3 15 6.3 16 11.2 38 7.3 18 7.2 20 7.5 4 4.9 3 5.9 1 3.7 35-44 36 6.0 14 4.9 11 5.0 3 3.8 21 7.1 14 7.3 6 5.9 36 100.0 11 5.1 14 5.8 9 6.6 31 6.1 13 5.5 18 6.7 4 5.4 1 1.5 4 10.1 45-54 83 14.0 37 12.6 25 11.4 12 17.1 46 15.3 33 17.1 14 12.9 83 100.0 19 9.2 33 14.4 28 20.1 70 13.7 26 10.7 44 16.5 13 15.9 10 23.5 2 6.6 55-64 154 26.0 75 25.9 64 29.1 11 16.8 79 26.1 62 32.2 13 12.4 154 100.0 67 32.4 60 25.8 25 17.4 132 25.7 65 26.2 67 25.3 22 27.7 11 24.0 12 32.1 65+ 279 47.0 144 49.7 115 52.3 29 42.4 134 44.4 72 37.4 62 59.5 279 100.0 100 48.0 111 47.7 63 44.8 242 47.1 125 50.5 117 44.0 37 46.2 20 45.1 17 47.5

SLIDE 30

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 12-2

T12. Which of the following age groups applies to you?

TYPE OF REP STAPLETON IMAGE LOPEZ IMAGE MITCHELL IMAGE ROBINSON IMAGE GOVERNOR BALLOT

-------------------------------------------- --------------------
------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
TRAD

REP

EVAN

REP

TRMP

REP

OTH

REP

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

ROB

SON

LOP

EZ

STAP

TON

MIT

CHEL

UND
TOTAL

593 100.0 118 100.0 130 100.0 237 100.0 78 100.0 302 100.0 88 100.0 127 100.0 84 100.0 234 100.0 89 100.0 89 100.0 97 100.0 23 100.0 57 100.0 215 100.0 138 100.0 161 100.0 18-34 42 7.0 14 11.7 7 5.7 10 4.3 7 9.3 11 3.6 5 5.5 8 6.3 2 2.3 7 3.1 3 3.3 6 6.6 3 3.2 3 13.0 3 5.0 7 3.3 5 3.5 24 14.8 35-44 36 6.0 10 8.6 10 7.7 7 3.0 6 7.9 11 3.8 7 8.3 6 5.0 6 7.1 9 4.0 4 4.7 4 4.9 5 5.5 3 12.1 3 5.5 6 2.8 5 4.0 18 11.4 45-54 83 14.0 21 17.8 16 12.4 28 11.7 10 12.7 35 11.7 11 12.5 18 14.3 9 10.7 33 14.3 11 11.9 13 14.7 8 8.3 4 18.2 8 14.5 20 9.4 21 15.1 30 18.5 55-64 154 26.0 24 20.7 38 29.5 62 26.0 26 33.0 81 26.9 24 27.0 37 29.3 23 26.9 69 29.4 29 32.5 20 22.1 32 32.4 2 10.5 18 32.4 50 23.3 44 31.8 39 24.5 65+ 279 47.0 49 41.2 58 44.7 130 55.0 29 37.2 163 54.1 41 46.7 57 45.1 45 53.1 115 49.2 42 47.5 46 51.6 49 50.7 11 46.2 24 42.6 132 61.3 63 45.5 49 30.8

SLIDE 31

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 13-1

T13. What is your marital status?

GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY

TOTAL
MEN
MEN

MARR

MEN

SING

WOM
WOM

MARR

WOM

SING

18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65

PLUS

VERY

CON

CON
MOD
REP
REP

MEN

REP

WOM

UNAF
UNAF

MEN

UNAF

WOM

TOTAL

593 100.0 291 100.0 219 100.0 68 100.0 302 100.0 192 100.0 105 100.0 42 100.0 36 100.0 83 100.0 154 100.0 279 100.0 208 100.0 232 100.0 142 100.0 513 100.0 247 100.0 266 100.0 80 100.0 44 100.0 36 100.0 MARRIED 412 69.4 219 75.5 219 100.0 192 63.6 192 100.0 16 39.6 25 70.1 58 69.7 126 81.5 187 67.0 161 77.5 160 69.1 87 61.3 361 70.5 190 77.2 171 64.2 50 62.7 29 65.9 21 58.8 WIDOWED 77 13.0 22 7.6 22 32.4 55 18.2 55 52.4 2 6.7 9 11.2 3 2.3 62 22.2 22 10.5 34 14.6 19 13.2 66 12.8 17 6.9 49 18.3 11 14.1 5 11.2 6 17.6 SINGLE NEVER MARRIED 47 7.9 26 9.0 26 38.6 21 6.8 21 19.6 18 43.0 5 13.5 11 13.6 6 3.8 7 2.5 14 6.8 11 4.9 20 14.4 38 7.4 19 7.6 19 7.3 9 10.8 7 17.0 1 3.4 SEPARATED DIVORCED 40 6.7 15 5.2 15 22.5 24 8.1 24 23.2 2 3.8 1 1.8 5 5.5 15 9.8 18 6.3 4 1.7 22 9.3 10 7.4 31 6.1 13 5.4 18 6.7 8 10.4 2 4.4 6 17.7 SINGLE LIVING PARTNER 9 1.6 4 1.5 4 6.5 5 1.6 5 4.8 4 9.0 1 2.7 5 1.7 3 1.5 3 1.2 4 2.5 8 1.7 4 1.8 4 1.5 1 1.1 1 2.5 NO OPINION 9 1.5 3 1.2 5 1.8 2 4.6 2 5.2 4 2.7 1 0.3 4 2.0 2 1.0 2 1.2 8 1.6 3 1.1 5 2.0 1 0.8 1 1.5

SLIDE 32

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 13-2

T13. What is your marital status?

TYPE OF REP STAPLETON IMAGE LOPEZ IMAGE MITCHELL IMAGE ROBINSON IMAGE GOVERNOR BALLOT

-------------------------------------------- --------------------
------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
TRAD

REP

EVAN

REP

TRMP

REP

OTH

REP

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

ROB

SON

LOP

EZ

STAP

TON

MIT

CHEL

UND
TOTAL

593 100.0 118 100.0 130 100.0 237 100.0 78 100.0 302 100.0 88 100.0 127 100.0 84 100.0 234 100.0 89 100.0 89 100.0 97 100.0 23 100.0 57 100.0 215 100.0 138 100.0 161 100.0 MARRIED 412 69.4 73 61.7 101 77.8 172 72.6 48 61.2 231 76.4 58 66.1 98 77.5 62 73.7 168 71.8 72 80.7 70 79.6 70 71.9 16 68.9 43 76.5 158 73.6 95 68.5 100 62.1 WIDOWED 77 13.0 13 10.7 18 13.9 31 13.2 7 9.4 39 12.8 14 15.5 9 7.2 10 12.3 30 12.7 6 6.9 6 7.3 16 16.5 2 10.0 5 8.7 34 15.8 14 10.2 22 13.5 SINGLE NEVER MARRIED 47 7.9 18 14.9 3 2.0 10 4.3 14 17.3 14 4.8 6 7.1 12 9.2 2 2.8 18 7.6 3 3.7 6 6.6 5 5.2 4 15.6 6 10.2 7 3.2 13 9.7 17 10.6 SEPARATED DIVORCED 40 6.7 10 8.7 3 2.5 19 8.0 6 8.0 11 3.5 8 8.6 5 4.0 6 7.6 14 5.8 6 6.9 4 4.1 5 4.7 1 2.7 3 4.5 10 4.7 12 8.4 15 9.2 SINGLE LIVING PARTNER 9 1.6 3 2.3 4 2.8 3 1.3 4 1.3 2 1.9 2 2.8 2 1.0 2 1.8 2 1.7 4 2.0 2 1.7 3 1.7 NO OPINION 9 1.5 2 1.7 1 1.1 1 0.6 3 4.0 3 1.1 1 0.8 3 2.1 1 0.8 3 1.1 2 2.3 1 2.9 1 0.6 2 1.5 5 2.9

SLIDE 33

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 14-1 REGION BY CD GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY

TOTAL
MEN
MEN

MARR

MEN

SING

WOM
WOM

MARR

WOM

SING

18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65

PLUS

VERY

CON

CON
MOD
REP
REP

MEN

REP

WOM

UNAF
UNAF

MEN

UNAF

WOM

TOTAL

593 100.0 291 100.0 219 100.0 68 100.0 302 100.0 192 100.0 105 100.0 42 100.0 36 100.0 83 100.0 154 100.0 279 100.0 208 100.0 232 100.0 142 100.0 513 100.0 247 100.0 266 100.0 80 100.0 44 100.0 36 100.0 CD1 42 7.0 21 7.2 14 6.5 6 9.1 21 6.8 10 5.3 10 9.4 5 11.1 3 7.5 5 6.0 6 3.7 24 8.4 13 6.4 15 6.6 11 8.1 36 7.0 18 7.4 18 6.6 6 7.1 3 6.2 3 8.2 CD2 77 13.0 47 16.1 27 12.3 19 28.3 30 10.0 22 11.4 8 7.9 12 28.0 2 4.3 6 6.7 16 10.6 42 15.1 24 11.6 35 14.9 17 11.8 65 12.6 39 16.0 25 9.4 13 15.6 7 16.9 5 14.0 CD3 95 16.0 46 15.9 38 17.3 8 12.2 49 16.1 30 15.8 18 17.0 2 5.7 11 31.2 14 16.9 19 12.5 48 17.3 35 16.7 39 17.0 17 12.2 77 15.1 40 16.1 37 14.1 18 22.0 6 14.8 11 30.8 CD4 113 19.0 46 16.0 40 18.4 6 9.0 66 21.9 38 19.7 24 23.0 3 6.9 7 20.4 14 16.3 49 31.9 40 14.3 49 23.4 41 17.5 23 16.5 107 20.9 42 17.1 65 24.5 5 6.6 4 9.6 1 3.0 CD5 125 21.0 50 17.2 40 18.1 9 13.9 75 24.6 48 25.2 26 24.9 7 16.8 9 25.9 24 29.4 26 16.9 58 20.7 42 20.2 44 19.1 37 26.3 111 21.7 44 17.7 67 25.4 13 16.7 6 14.6 7 19.2 CD6 77 13.0 49 16.8 36 16.3 12 17.1 28 9.4 19 10.1 9 8.6 7 15.7 3 7.7 16 19.7 14 9.3 37 13.3 23 10.9 31 13.3 21 14.6 57 11.2 35 14.4 22 8.2 20 24.6 13 30.3 6 17.7 CD7 65 11.0 31 10.8 24 11.1 7 10.4 34 11.2 24 12.5 10 9.3 7 15.7 1 3.1 4 4.9 23 15.2 30 10.8 22 10.8 27 11.7 15 10.4 59 11.6 28 11.4 31 11.7 6 7.3 3 7.5 3 7.1

SLIDE 34

Colorado Republican Primary Survey, June 6th - 7th, 2018, 593N, 4.02% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 14-2 REGION BY CD TYPE OF REP STAPLETON IMAGE LOPEZ IMAGE MITCHELL IMAGE ROBINSON IMAGE GOVERNOR BALLOT

-------------------------------------------- --------------------
------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
TRAD

REP

EVAN

REP

TRMP

REP

OTH

REP

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

FAV
UN

FAV

ROB

SON

LOP

EZ

STAP

TON

MIT

CHEL

UND
TOTAL

593 100.0 118 100.0 130 100.0 237 100.0 78 100.0 302 100.0 88 100.0 127 100.0 84 100.0 234 100.0 89 100.0 89 100.0 97 100.0 23 100.0 57 100.0 215 100.0 138 100.0 161 100.0 CD1 42 7.0 6 5.3 7 5.2 18 7.4 7 9.0 20 6.7 7 8.0 8 6.5 4 5.0 16 7.1 6 7.2 6 6.4 8 7.8 2 7.7 4 7.5 13 6.2 11 7.7 12 7.2 CD2 77 13.0 19 16.0 14 11.2 27 11.4 13 17.0 38 12.5 12 13.9 13 10.6 7 8.2 24 10.1 14 16.3 13 14.4 9 9.5 5 19.8 5 8.6 32 15.0 10 7.1 26 16.0 CD3 95 16.0 13 11.1 21 16.5 44 18.7 13 17.1 50 16.6 10 11.3 15 11.5 17 19.7 38 16.3 14 15.9 13 14.2 19 19.4 3 13.3 4 6.2 40 18.6 23 16.3 26 16.1 CD4 113 19.0 14 11.7 27 20.9 47 19.8 18 22.4 59 19.6 16 17.9 25 19.4 18 21.1 51 21.9 19 21.0 19 21.1 18 18.9 12 21.6 38 17.6 38 27.4 25 15.5 CD5 125 21.0 31 26.3 33 25.8 45 19.2 12 15.1 52 17.2 21 23.5 36 28.8 16 19.5 46 19.8 18 20.7 11 13.0 25 25.8 6 24.2 19 33.9 35 16.2 24 17.3 41 25.6 CD6 77 13.0 21 17.4 14 10.8 28 11.7 8 10.8 42 14.1 11 12.8 15 11.8 13 15.3 30 13.0 8 9.2 15 17.2 8 7.8 5 20.0 6 9.7 31 14.2 16 11.3 21 13.0 CD7 65 11.0 14 12.2 12 9.5 28 11.8 7 8.6 40 13.4 11 12.5 15 11.5 10 11.3 28 11.8 9 9.7 12 13.7 11 10.9 3 15.0 7 12.4 26 12.2 18 13.0 11 6.6