Joan Trullén Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona (UAB)
CONFERENCE 1
OPEN SESSION – HIGH-LEVEL CONFERENCE EFFECTIVE POLICIES FOR URBAN ENERGY TRAN“ITION Barcelona, 8 June 2017
Joan Trulln Universitat Autnoma de Barcelona (UAB) Vittorio - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Joan Trulln Universitat Autnoma de Barcelona (UAB) Vittorio Galletto Institute of Regional and Metropolitan Studies (IERMB) CONFERENCE 1 OPEN SESSION HIGH-LEVEL CONFERENCE EFFECTIVE POLICIES FOR URBAN ENERGY TRANITION
OPEN SESSION – HIGH-LEVEL CONFERENCE EFFECTIVE POLICIES FOR URBAN ENERGY TRAN“ITION Barcelona, 8 June 2017
FUNSEAM Faculty of Economics and Business Universitat de Barcelona June 8th, 2017
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Source: IERMB
Barcelona, Metropolitan Region (AMB), functional metropolitan region
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Source: Own creation based on Trullén and Boix (2000), Boix and Galletto (2004), and Boix and Veneri (2008).
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Source: Own creation based on Trullén and Boix (2000), Boix and Galletto (2004), and Boix and Veneri (2008).
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Source: Own creation based on Trullén and Boix (2000), Boix and Galletto (2004), and Boix and Veneri (2008).
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Source: Own creation based on Trullén and Boix (2000), Boix and Galletto (2004), and Boix and Veneri (2008).
Fuente: IERMB
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Fuente: IERMB
Fuente: IERMB
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Year Population Population (1991=100) 1991 4.654.407 100,00 1995 4.713.494 101,27 2001 4.804.606 103,23 2005 5.226.354 112,29 2010 5.511.147 118,41 2014 5.523.784 118,69
Source: Idescat
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Employment in Barcelona 1977 - 2016 and trend to 2024 (thousands)
Source: INE
1,605.3 2,652.2 2,364.8 y = 31.57x + 1264.1 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023
+759,4 +1.075
1986
Olympic Games / ECC
1996
Knowledge economy/ 3rd phase EMU
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26,600 19,000 22,583 29,200 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 EU-28 EU-15 Spain Catalonia Barcelona*
*Between 2000 and 2009, figures are estimations based on calculated GDP according to ESA-95 Source: IERMB from Eurostat
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Note: 2016 data provisional Source: Own elaboration from WTO Statistics database, DATACOMEX (AEAT) and Eurostat.
1.13 1.56 0.45 0.45 1 1 1 1 1 2 2
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
%
Catalunya on EU15 Catalunya on world total
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28
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Source: Ajuntament de Barcelona.
Source: Ajuntament de Barcelona.
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Source: Ayuntamiento de Barcelona.
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Source: AENA.
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Source: CELLS
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38 456,456 388,233 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 High Low
Source: IERMB with the Dep. of Work GENCAT, SESS MTI y Eurostat
39 827,891 968,406 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 High Low
Source: IERMB with the Dep. of Work GENCAT, SESS MTI y Eurostat
105.5% 57.3% 60.0% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120%
22@ Província of Barcelona Catalunya
Source: Molas, O. i M. Parellada (2011): "22@: 10 anys de transformació econòmica", in Revista Econòmica de Catalunya, no. 54, Monografic: “Economia del Coneixement i Territori”
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Firms in 2010 7,064 firms 225,652 firms 299,989 firms Firms in 2000 3,437 firms 143,411 firms 187,445 firms
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Mega-region Population km2 hab/km2 Am-Brus-Twerp 62.331.069 166.218 375 Barce-Lyon 29.067.891 111.816 260 Berlin 4.540.513 5.566 816 Frank-Gart 34.753.485 114.870 303 Glas-burgh 3.863.299 11.852 326 Lisbon 10.459.976 40.974 255 London 51.846.094 111.972 463 Madrid 6.904.141 14.340 481 Paris 24.204.737 97.080 249 Prague 17.778.045 92.606 192 Rom-Mil-Tur 55.614.000 199.791 278 Vienna-Budapest 46.574.691 217.372 214 Total 347.937.941 1.184.456 294
Source: IERMB
Main characteristics of megaregions (2009)
Source: IERMB
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5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 1995 2001 2007 2009
Am-Brus-Twerp Barce-Lyon Berlin Frank-Gart Glas-burgh Lisbon London Madrid Paris Prague Rom-Mil-Tur Vienna-Budapest
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 1992 1995 2001 2006
Am-Brus-Twerp Barce-Lyon Berlin Frank-Gart Glas-burgh Lisbon London Madrid Paris Prague
Development of economic activity in European megaregions (GDP per capita)
Source: IERMB
Development of innovative activity in European megaregions (patents per million inhabitants)
Source: IERMB
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Unemployment rate Barcelona and Spain, 1977-2014
Source: EPA, INE
25.1 23.4 6.2 24.4 14.7 21.7 24.6 7.9 26.9 18.6 5 10 15 20 25 30
1T 1977 4T 1977 3T 1978 2T 1979 1T 1980 4T 1980 3T 1981 2T 1982 1T 1983 4T 1983 3T 1984 2T 1985 1T 1986 4T 1986 3T 1987 2T 1988 1T 1989 4T 1989 3T 1990 2T 1991 1T 1992 4T 1992 3T 1993 2T 1994 1T 1995 4T 1995 3T 1996 2T 1997 1T 1998 4T 1998 3T 1999 2T 2000 1T 2001 4T 2001 3T 2002 2T 2003 1T 2004 4T 2004 3T 2005 2T 2006 1T 2007 4T 2007 3T 2008 2T 2009 1T 2010 4T 2010 3T 2011 2T 2012 1T 2013 4T 2013 3T 2014 2T 2015 1T 2016 4T 2016
% Barcelona Spain
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Employment in Barcelona 1977 - 2016 and trend to 2024 (thousands)
Source: INE
1,605.3 2,652.2 2,364.8 y = 31.57x + 1264.1 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023
+759,4 +1.075
1986
Olympic Games / ECC
1996
Knowledge economy/ 3rd phase EMU
2015
Mario Draghi Quantitative Easing/ ECB
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Note: Data for 1985 refer to the 27 municipalities of the former Metropolitan Corporation of Barcelona. Source: IERMB Survey of Living Conditions and Habits of the Population, 1985-2000; Idescat and IERMB Survey of Living Conditions and Habits of the Population, 2006-2011
Gini coefficient of disposable income. Barcelona and the rest of the Metropolitan Area (AMB), 1985-2011.
39.8 35.9 33.9 32.2 30.8 34.6 37.3 30.4 29.1 28.9 26.4 30.1
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 1985 1990 1995 2000 2006 2011 Barcelona Rest of the AMB
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Gini coefficient of disposable income. Catalunya and Spain, 2004-2015 Gini coefficient of disposable income. Euro Area (18 countries), 2004-2015
Source: Eurostat, from EU-SILC. Source: Idescat and INE, from INE Survey of Living Conditions.
29.2 29.4 28.4 29.5 29.4 29.4 31.7 31.9 32.6 31.9 33.0 32.3 31.0 32.2 31.9 31.9 32.4 32.9 33.5 34.0 34.2 33.7 34.7 34.6 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Catalunya Spain
30.7 29.3 29.3 30.0 30.5 30.3 30.3 30.6 30.4 30.7 30.9 30.7
26 28 30 32 34 36 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
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Unemployment rate by nationality, Barcelona; 2005- 2016
Source: IERMB from EPA microdata, INE
7.0 6.1 13.4 14.0 11.7 23.0 7.9 7.1 14.7 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 I III I III I III I III I III I III I III I III I III I III I III I III 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 % Spanish Foreign Total
Unemployment rate by age, Barcelona; 2005- 2016
Source: IERMB from EPA microdata, INE
31.6 13.8 13.0 14.7 10 20 30 40 50 60 I III I III I III I III I III I III I III I III I III I III I III I III 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 % 16 to 24 25 to 44 45 and older Total
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2 4 6 8 1Q 2001 3Q 2001 1Q 2002 3Q 2002 1Q 2003 3Q 2003 1Q 2004 3Q 2004 1Q 2005 3Q 2005 1Q 2006 3Q 2006 1Q 2007 3Q 2007 1Q 2008 3Q 2008 1Q 2009 3Q 2009 1Q 2010 3Q 2010 1Q 2011 3Q 2011 1Q 2012 3Q 2012 1Q 2013 3Q 2013 1Q 2014 3Q 2014 1Q 2015 3Q 2015 1Q 2016 3Q 2016 Contribution of domestic demand Contribution of foreign demand GDP Growth
Foreign demand Domestic demand Foreign and Domestic demand
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Source: Idescat
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Note: 2016 data provisional Source: Own elaboration from WTO Statistics database, DATACOMEX (AEAT) and Eurostat.
1.13 1.56 0.45 0.45 4.70 6.20 1.89 1.80 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
%
Catalunya on EU15 Catalunya on world total Spain on EU15 Spain on world total
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Source: Trullén, Joan (2015): “Creixement inclusiu: el gran repte estratègic metropolità”, en Anuari Metropolità de Barcelona 2014, IERMB-AMB.
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Source: Trullén 2011, Camagni 2011 ESPON Project
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Source: Trullén 2011
Source: Own elabotarion.
α β γ Rent Distancefrom the centre Productivity levels in the proactive scenario Productivity levels in the reference scenario
Barcelona and Metropolitan Area Orbital cities and villages Tranversal axis Vic - Manresa - Igualada
Farm land rent
Difference in productivity growth rates: α < β < γ
Rent in the center
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We gratefully acknowledge research help from IERMB staff: Marc Fíguls, Sandra Aguilera, Miquel Correa Contact:
E-mail: joan.trullen@uab.cat vittorio.galletto@uab.cat