January August 2017 Dutchess County Criminal Justice Council - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Dutchess County Jail Admissions, Releases, and Recidivism

January – August 2017

Dutchess County Criminal Justice Council September 2017

Gary E. Christensen, Ph. D.

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Proxy Score Risk to Reoffend Higher Lower 27% 35% 41% 47% 57% 65% 73%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

1 2 3 4 5 6

DCJ Recidivism - Minimum 1-Year Post-Release September 2017 (N=11,920 - Released to Street Jan. 2012-August 2016)

DCJ - January - August 2017 - 2042 total admissions

DCJ - January - August 2017 – 20 or more admissions

PETIT LARCENY 210 CRIM POSS CONTRL SUBST - Misd 136 CRIMINAL CONTEMPT 2ND 106 REVOKE PRESUMPTIVE RELEASE, PAROLE, COND RELEASE, PRS STATUS 96 CRIM POSS CONTR SUBST - Felony 96 CRIMINAL MISCHIEF - 4 60 CRIMINAL CONTEMPT 1ST 47 ASSAULT -3RD 43 BURGLARY-3RD DEG:ILLEGAL ENTRY WITH INTENT TO COMMIT A CRIME 39 GRAND LARCENY 4TH 37 CRIM POSSESSION STOLN PROP 5TH 33 CRIM SALE CONTRL SUBST 30 VIOL OF LOC LAW VIOL 27 CRIMINAL MISCHIEF - 3RD 25 RESPONDENT COMMITTED TO JAIL-FAIL TO OBEY ORDER OF SUPPORT 25 ENDANGERING WELFARE OF CHILD 25 DRIVING WHILE INTOXICATED- 1ST OFFENSE 24 OPER MOTOR VEH W/ .08 OF 1% OR MORE ALCOHOL IN BLOOD-1ST OFF 24 ASSAULT -2ND DEGREE 23 FUGITIVE FROM JUSTICE - OUT OF STATE CRIME 22 CRIMINAL POSSESSION OF A WEAPON- 2ND DEGREE 22 MENACING 2ND 21 DWI: PREVIOUS CONVICTION DESIGNATED OFFENSE WITHIN 10 YEARS 21 RESISTING ARREST 20 DISORDERLY CONDUCT 20

Misdemeanor Non-Violent Felony Violent Felony Violation/Lower

Proxy Score Risk to Reoffend Higher Lower

100 209 291 429 614 326 73

100 200 300 400 500 600 700

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Risk to Reoffend - ALL Admissions Jan-Aug. 2017

Proxy Score Risk to Reoffend Higher Lower

100 209 291 429 614 326 73

100 200 300 400 500 600 700

1 2 3 4 5 6

Risk to Reoffend with Projected Recidivism ALL Admissions Jan-Aug. 2017

27% 35% 41% 47% 57% 65% 73%

DCJ - January - August 2017 1936 total releases (ALOS = 51.5)

– Prison/Other releases = 281 (ALOS = 120.4; Jail Days = 33,840)

• Misdemeanor = 47 releases (ALOS = 98.7; Jail Days = 4637)
• Non-Violent Felony = 109 releases (ALOS = 147.8; Jail Days = 16,113)
• Violation/Lower = 86 releases (ALOS = 39.7; Jail Days = 3416)
• Violent Felony = 39 releases (ALOS = 248.1; Jail Days = 9674)

– Street releases = 1655 (ALOS = 39.9; Jail Days = 65,952)

• Misdemeanor = 950 releases (ALOS = 43.5; Jail Days = 41,330)
• Non-Violent Felony = 465 releases (ALOS = 39.7; Jail Days = 18,441)
• Violation/Lower = 149 releases (ALOS = 21.3; Jail Days = 3176)
• Violent Felony = 91 releases (ALOS = 33; Jail Days = 3005)

FY 2016 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 ALL 55.1 51.7 51.3 51.7 51.5 51.6 Street 40.7 39.1 39.2 39.4 39.2 40.2 Prison/Oth 137.9 130.5 123.8 124.5 124.3 120.5

20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160

ALOS Progress - FY 16 to date (1-Year Averages)

Risk to Reoffend Higher Lower 33% 48% 41% 61%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

PROXY 0-3 PROXY 4-6

RESTART Recidivism - Minimum 1-Year Post Release - September 2017

RESTART 30+ days ALL Steet Released NOT RESTART

Proxy Score Risk to Reoffend Higher Lower

5% 10% 14% 21% 30% 16% 4% 3% 10% 12% 21% 31% 18% 5%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 1 2 3 4 5 6

All Admissions vs. Sentenced to DCJ by Risk to Reoffend Admissions and Releases - Jan-August 2017

All Admissions Sentenced

Higher Lower

32.3 50.9 47.8 51.4 57.2 50.4 62.3 41.4 80.7 91.8 79.2 90 98.4 113.4

20 40 60 80 100 120

1 2 3 4 5 6

Sentenced Inmates Released to Street ALOS Sentenced vs Total ALOS

ALOS sentenced 52.5 Total ALOS 88.3 Linear (ALOS sentenced 52.5) Linear (Total ALOS 88.3)

Proxy Score Risk to Reoffend

Questions ?

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