Dutchess County Jail Admissions, Releases, and Recidivism January – August 2017 Dutchess County Criminal Justice Council September 2017 Gary E. Christensen, Ph. D. 1
DCJ Recidivism - Minimum 1-Year Post-Release September 2017 (N=11,920 - Released to Street Jan. 2012-August 2016) 80% 73% 70% 65% 57% 60% 47% 50% 41% 40% 35% 27% 30% 20% 10% 0% 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Proxy Score Risk to Reoffend Higher Lower
DCJ - January - August 2017 - 2042 total admissions
DCJ - January - August 2017 – 20 or more admissions Misdemeanor Non-Violent Felony Violent Felony Violation/Lower PETIT LARCENY 210 CRIM POSS CONTRL SUBST - Misd 136 CRIMINAL CONTEMPT 2ND 106 REVOKE PRESUMPTIVE RELEASE, PAROLE, COND RELEASE, PRS STATUS 96 CRIM POSS CONTR SUBST - Felony 96 CRIMINAL MISCHIEF - 4 60 CRIMINAL CONTEMPT 1ST 47 ASSAULT -3RD 43 BURGLARY-3RD DEG:ILLEGAL ENTRY WITH INTENT TO COMMIT A CRIME 39 GRAND LARCENY 4TH 37 CRIM POSSESSION STOLN PROP 5TH 33 CRIM SALE CONTRL SUBST 30 VIOL OF LOC LAW VIOL 27 CRIMINAL MISCHIEF - 3RD 25 RESPONDENT COMMITTED TO JAIL-FAIL TO OBEY ORDER OF SUPPORT 25 ENDANGERING WELFARE OF CHILD 25 DRIVING WHILE INTOXICATED- 1ST OFFENSE 24 OPER MOTOR VEH W/ .08 OF 1% OR MORE ALCOHOL IN BLOOD-1ST OFF 24 ASSAULT -2ND DEGREE 23 FUGITIVE FROM JUSTICE - OUT OF STATE CRIME 22 CRIMINAL POSSESSION OF A WEAPON- 2ND DEGREE 22 MENACING 2ND 21 DWI: PREVIOUS CONVICTION DESIGNATED OFFENSE WITHIN 10 YEARS 21 RESISTING ARREST 20 DISORDERLY CONDUCT 20
Risk to Reoffend - ALL Admissions Jan-Aug. 2017 700 614 600 500 429 400 326 291 300 209 200 100 100 73 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Proxy Score Higher Risk to Reoffend Lower
Risk to Reoffend with Projected Recidivism ALL Admissions Jan-Aug. 2017 700 614 600 500 73% 429 65% 400 57% 326 47% 291 300 41% 35% 209 27% 200 100 100 73 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Proxy Score Higher Risk to Reoffend Lower
DCJ - January - August 2017 1936 total releases (ALOS = 51.5) – Prison/Other releases = 281 (ALOS = 120.4; Jail Days = 33,840) • Misdemeanor = 47 releases (ALOS = 98.7; Jail Days = 4637) • Non-Violent Felony = 109 releases (ALOS = 147.8; Jail Days = 16,113) • Violation/Lower = 86 releases (ALOS = 39.7; Jail Days = 3416) • Violent Felony = 39 releases (ALOS = 248.1; Jail Days = 9674) – Street releases = 1655 (ALOS = 39.9; Jail Days = 65,952) • Misdemeanor = 950 releases (ALOS = 43.5; Jail Days = 41,330) • Non-Violent Felony = 465 releases (ALOS = 39.7; Jail Days = 18,441) • Violation/Lower = 149 releases (ALOS = 21.3; Jail Days = 3176) • Violent Felony = 91 releases (ALOS = 33; Jail Days = 3005)
ALOS Progress - FY 16 to date (1-Year Averages) 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 FY 2016 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 ALL 55.1 51.7 51.3 51.7 51.5 51.6 Street 40.7 39.1 39.2 39.4 39.2 40.2 Prison/Oth 137.9 130.5 123.8 124.5 124.3 120.5
RESTART Recidivism - Minimum 1-Year Post Release - September 2017 70% 61% 60% 48% 50% 41% 40% 33% 30% 20% 10% 0% PROXY 0-3 PROXY 4-6 RESTART 30+ days ALL Steet Released NOT RESTART Higher Risk to Reoffend Lower
All Admissions vs. Sentenced to DCJ by Risk to Reoffend Admissions and Releases - Jan-August 2017 35% 31% 30% 30% 25% 21% 21% 18% 20% 16% 14% 15% 12% 10% 10% 10% 5% 5% 4% 5% 3% 0% 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 All Admissions Sentenced Proxy Score Higher Risk to Reoffend Lower
Sentenced Inmates Released to Street ALOS Sentenced vs Total ALOS 120 113.4 98.4 100 91.8 90 80.7 79.2 80 62.3 57.2 60 51.4 50.9 50.4 47.8 41.4 40 32.3 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 ALOS sentenced 52.5 Total ALOS 88.3 Linear (ALOS sentenced 52.5) Linear (Total ALOS 88.3) Proxy Score Higher Lower Risk to Reoffend
Questions ? 12
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