Investors Relations Presentation
June 2020
Investors Relations Presentation June 2020 Bucharest Stock Exchange - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investors Relations Presentation June 2020 Bucharest Stock Exchange (BVB) Price evolution of BVB vs. BET index (5 years) Indicator BVB ISIN ROBVBAACNOR0 50 12,000 Refinitiv ROBVB.BX BVB BET index (rhs) Bloomberg BVB.RO 10,000 40
June 2020
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Bucharest Stock Exchange (BVB)
Indicator BVB
ISIN
ROBVBAACNOR0
Refinitiv
ROBVB.BX
Bloomberg
BVB.RO
Share price (May 25, 2020)
EUR 5.04 / RON 24.4
Market Cap (May 25, 2020)
EUR 40.6 mn/ RON 196.4 mn
8,049,246
ADT 12TM
RON 0.09 mn
P/E (price as of May 2020, 12TM EPS)
24.89x*
P/BV (price as of May 2020)
1.74x*
Dividend Yield
3.3%
52 wk Low - High
19.00 – 27.50
Turnover velocity (12 TM )
12%
100% free-float, listed on its own floor since 2010 20% ownership threshold, majority institutional shareholders Shareholding structure as of April 2020: Romanian institutional investors – 73.79% Foreign institutional investors – 6.88% Romanian private investors – 16.3% Foreign private investors – 1.98% Bucharest Stock Exchange – 1.05% Significant investors > 5%: SIF Transilvania, NN Group N.V., EBRD
Source: BVB, Refinitiv Eikon
P/E and P/B are calculated based on BVB Group preliminary financials as of March 2020 Data as of 25.05.20204,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 10 20 30 40 50 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Price evolution of BVB vs. BET index (5 years)
BVB BET index (rhs)
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Growth story in the Emerging Europe
CCP Impressive dividend yield Growing Domestic Potential Potential privatizations and new listings Promotion to Emerging Market Romanian capital market has been promoted to the Emerging Market status by FTSE Russell. The reclassification of the status will become effective in September 2020. Romanian Capital Market recorded one of the highest dividend yields in the world, averaging 8% in 2019 and estimated 5.1% in 2020 Pension funds’ total assets reached EUR 13.5 bn at the end of 2019, 27% higher than the end of the previous year while the AuM of the investment funds (apart from SIFs and FP) increased to EUR 5.4 bn at the end of 2019. The state seems keen to resume SOEs IPOs. Growing pipeline of private companies looking at financing options through the stock exchange. BVB has partnered with energy and financial institutions to put the basis for the Central Counterparty
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Historic moment - Romania was promoted to Emerging Market status
MSCI Global Market Accessibility Review, June 2019
In June 2019, MSCI upgraded Romania
received 3 additional upgrades
Trading, Market Regulations and Information Flow a year earlier Romania has been promoted to Secondary Emerging Market status 3 years after being introduced on the watchlist
MSCI FTSE
“Of the countries listed in the consultation, Poland and Romania were cited most often as countries where a classification change could be
in future consultations if conditions continue to improve”
S&P
FTSE Country Classification Review, September 2019 S&P Dow Jones Country Classification Consultation Results, October 2017
Source: FTSE Russell, MSCI, S&P Global
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Major potential for Romania to at least double its Market Cap to GDP ratio
Romania Bulgaria Austria Hungary Poland
Market Capitalization and ADT as of 30.04.2020 GDP as of 31.12.2018 Source: Refinitiv, FESE, BVB, GPW, WBAG, BSE, ZSE
Czech Rep. Croatia 27% 30%
20%
11%
8%
39%
11%
ADT: EUR 260.2 mn/day
# 449 companies ADT: EUR 152.7 mn/day
# 778 companies ADT: EUR 2.5 mn/day
# 119 companies ADT: EUR 48.4 mn/day
# 44 companies ADT: EUR 17.9 mn/day
# 55 companies ADT: EUR 0.7 mn/day
# 81 companies ADT: EUR 10.4 mn/day
# 84 companies on Main Market
Market Cap. / GDP
Diversified Market size and structure
Note: (%) of share turnover; (%) of market capitalization Data as of January 31, 2020
Banca Transilvania, 29% Fondul Proprietatea, 14% BRD Societe Generale, 13% Romgaz, 11% OMV Petrom, 9% Electrica, 4% Nuclearelectrica, 2% DIGI Communications, 2% SIF Oltenia, 2% Transgaz, 2% Transelectrica, 1% SIF Moldova, 1% SIF Transilvania, 1% SIF Banat Crisana, 1% Sphera Franchise Group, 1% Others, 7%Market Structure by traded turnover
OMV Petrom, 21% Romgaz, 12% Banca Transilvania, 12% BRD Societe Generale, 10% Fondul Proprietatea, 9% Nuclearelectrica, 4% Transgaz, 4% Electrica, 3% DIGI Communications, 3% Zentiva, 2% Rompetrol Rafinare, 2% SIF Moldova, 2% Alro, 1% SIF Oltenia, 1% SIF Banat Crisana, 1% Transelectrica, 1% SIF Transilvania, 1% Aerostar, 1% Medlife, 1% Others, 8%Market Structure by capitalization
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Significant IPOs over the past 5 years amounting EUR 362 mn
IPO on the Main Market, carried out between in
following the sale of 25,6% stake in the company for RON 944 mn (EUR 207 mn). IPO on the Main Market, carried in 2017, closed after less than 48 hours following the subscription rate
270%. 15% stake sold by shareholders for RON 5.5 mn (EUR 1.2 mn). IPO on the Main Market, carried in 2017, closed after less than 48 hours following the subscription rate over 270%. 25% stake sold by shareholders for RON 9 mn (EUR 2 mn). IPO on the Main Market, carried out in 2017 when 25% stake was sold by the shareholders for RON 285 mn (EUR 62 mn). IPO on the Main Market, following the sale of 49% stake in the company for RON 186 mn (EUR 40 mn) IPO on the Main Market, carried out in 2016 when 44% stake was sold by the shareholders for RON 230 mn (EUR 50.5 mn).
Source: BVB
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More than EUR 5.5 bn raised over the past 5 years through bonds issues and listings
Source: BVB
IIB – Supranational – EUR 460 mn raised, 7 issuances NE Property – Real Estate - EUR 1 bn raised, 2 issuances Romanian Finance Ministry – EUR 1.7 bn raised, 14 issuances Banca Transilvania EUR 285 mn raised Unicredit EUR 135 mn, 3 issuances Globalworth – Real Estate - EUR 1.1 bn raised, 2 issuances City of Bucharest, EUR 610 mn raised, 5 issuances Investia Finance SA BT Leasing EUR 40 mn, 2 issuances
Romania offers attractive dividend yields
Source: BVB, Refinitiv Eikon Dividend yield for 2020 was calculated as gross dividend divided by the latest price available before ex-date. Data until 25.05.2020
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2.5% 5.8% 5.4% 8.7% 8.0% 5.1% 3.6% 3.4% 4.0% 4.8% 4.6% 4.7%
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
BET index dividend yield vs. Avg. Ro.10Y treasury bond
BET Dividend Yield
5.1%
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%
BET index companies dividend yield in 2020 e
Dividend yield 2020 e BET avg. dividend yield e
2.3 3.3 4.5 5.7 7.3 8.9 10.6 13.5 13.4
11.2% 15.4% 19.1% 19.2% 18.7% 19.7% 17.5% 22.0% 18.9%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 162012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Pension Funds: Total Assets & Equity allocation
Pillar II & III Total Assets (EUR bn) Equity allocation (%)
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Growing pension funds and asset management industry
Source: ASF, AAF Pillar 2 data as of April 2020. Open ended funds data as of December 2019.
1.9 3.2 4.3 5.0 5.27 5.34 4.63 5.21
6.5% 4.6% 4.4% 4.6% 4.6% 6.5% 7.5% 8.7%
1 2 3 4 5 62012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Open ended funds: Net Assets & Equity allocation
Net Assets (EUR, bn) Equity allocation (%)
Mid-term strategic objective: Double the market liquidity
Increasing retail investors base Attracting more issuers Improving the financial education of the market participants Improving issuers’ transparency and coverage Better international visibility – EM promotion Establishing the Romanian CCP and launching the derivatives market
Double the Liquidity
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A healthy market evolution will only be supported by a CCP
Spot Market Single Stock Futures Index Futures Single Stock Options Currency (FX) Futures Energy Derivatives
We are here..
CCP establishment and launching
market
Lending & Borrowing Regulated lending platform
Phase I - 1 year Phase II – 1.5 years Phase III – 1.5 years
Other asset classes (e.g. Repo) OTC Liberalization
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Hidroelectrica IPO – Back on the priority list for the Government. Ongoing selection process for advisors. Expected in Q4 2020 / Q1 2021 Other privatizations: CEC Bank, Bucharest Airports – public intentions from the Government
Fiscal changes – Challenging taxation system for retail investors. Discussions for a more investor - friendly approach are held
Government Related Projects
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Other projects
New Listings: Momentum in the primary bond market - 10 listings in Q4 2019 alone. Private companies IPOs. Positive developments and potential for larger size issuers Launch of Vektor index, January 2020 – evaluates the IR performance of the listed companies New BVB market making scheme & issuer market making kicking off (2 companies hiring market makers so far in 2020) ESG inquiries on the rise from issuers and buy-side. Ongoing discussions with ESG provider Market data product list update
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Financial Education at BVB
Investor Forums in Bucharest and across the country, Fluent in Finance and many other projects aiming to improve financial education
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Made in Romania in numbers
A unique project of the Bucharest Stock Exchange, launched with the goal of identifying and promoting top Romanian companies in order to finance their growth story via the capital market. The 4th edition will take place in 2020.
NOMINATED COMPANIES SHORT LISTED COMPANIES FINALISTS
+50% vs 2018
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Strong economic growth and EU real convergence although facing headwinds from the current economic crisis
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000
05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Real GDP / capita (EUR, PPS)
Romania as % of EU area (RHS) Euro area Romania
Source: Refinitiv Eikon, INS, Eurostat GDP data as of March 2020.
5 10 15
05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Romania GDP
QoQ: 0.3% YoY: 2.7%
% change
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Slowing inflation with rising unemployment
Source: Refinitiv Eikon, INS, Ministry of Finance Data as of March 2020.
12M % change
2 4 6 8 10 12 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Romania CPI
Headline: 2.3% Core: 2.3%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Romania unemployment rate
Unemployment rate: 4.6%
% of GDP
19
Challenging twin deficits although relatively low government debt / GDP ratio
Source: Refinitiv Eikon, INS Data as of December 2019.
10 20 30 40 50 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Romania government debt
% of GDP
2
05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Romania twin deficits
Current Account Balance (% of GDP) Government Deficit / Surplus (% of GDP) (% of GDP)
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Weakening consumer confidence, however coming from a strong upward trend in the average gross salary
Source: Refinitiv Eikon, INS, DG ECFIN Data as of March 2020.
Net balance EUR/month, % change YoY
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Romania consumer confidence
162 170 177 202 267 325 418 478 435 452 467 463 489 524 575 626 706 936 14% 5% 4% 14% 32% 22% 29% 14%400 600 800 1,000 1,200
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Romania average gross salary
Average gross monthly salary (EUR) Annual % wage growth (%, YoY)
Financial Results Overview
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Bucharest Stock Exchange Central Depository CCP.RO Investors Compensation Fund Corporate Governance Institute
100% free float 69.04% 59.52%
62.45% 100%
BVB Group and the operated markets
Entities included in the consolidation process
Not included in the consolidation process
Markets operated by BVB
Main Market Listed companies:
81 domestic and 2 foreign* Domestic market cap: EUR 17.5 bn Total market cap: EUR 24.9 bn Instruments: shares, rights, corporate and municipal bonds, government securities, structured products, fund units, tradable UCITS (ETFs), warrants
Listed companies:
279 domestic and 2 foreign*
Total market cap:
EUR 1.7 bn
Instruments:
shares, rights, bonds
AeRO market for SMEs Segments within BVB Group:
Depository
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Source: BVB
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Key financial highlights - consolidated
1Q 2020 1Q 2019 Change (%)
Operating revenues 12.11 8.86 37% Operating expenses (8.02) (7.24) 11% Operating profit 4.09 1.62 153% Operating margin 34% 18% Net financial revenue/(expenses) 0.78 1.69
Profit before tax 4.88 3.31 47% Profit from continuing operations 4.21 2.76 52% Loss from discontinued operations
Profit for the period 4.21 2.72 54% Net margin 35% 31% EPS attributable to owners (RON/share) 0.5064 0.3254 56% Return on equity 3% 2%
Financial performance, BVB Group (RON mn, unless otherwise stated)
* The financial results for 1Q 2020 are prepared in accordance with IFRS and are not audited.24
Key financial highlights
Financial performance of BVB standalone, before consolidation (RON mn, unless otherwise stated)
* The financial results for 1Q 2020 are prepared in accordance with IFRS and are not audited.1Q 2020 1Q 2019 Change (%)
Operating revenues 7.96 5.38 48% Operating expenses (4.20) (4.01) 5% Operating profit 3.76 1.37 174% Operating margin 47% 26% Net financial revenue/(expenses) 0.55 1.43
Profit before tax 4.31 2.80 54% Profit for the period 3.73 2.34 59% Net margin 47% 44% Return on equity 3% 2%
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Analysis of the consolidated results for 1Q 2020
* The financial results for 1Q 2020 are prepared in accordance with IFRS and are not audited.by all business segments of the Group
advance of personnel expenses by RON 0.46 mn and the expenses with services provided by third parties by RON 0.36 mn
by 37% while the advance of operating expenses is 11%
the revaluation of financial instruments in foreign currency that generated a gain of RON 0.01 mn vs. RON 0.96 mn in 1Q 2019, decrease partially covered by the increase of interest income by RON 0.12 mn, up to the value of RON 0.86 mn
Group
12.11 8.86 4.09 1.62 4.21 2.72 2020 2019
Main financial indicators, 1Q 2020 vs. 1Q 2019 (RON mn)
Operating revenues Operating profit Net profit
7.88 2.73 1.37 0.14 3.68 0.44 0.22Trading Post-trading Registry FCI services & other services
Distribution of operating revenues and result, by segment, 1Q 2020 (RON mn)
Operating revenues Operating profit
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Analysis of the Group trading segment revenues (1/2)
Trading segment revenues Trends in trading activity
listed on the Main Market of BVB reached RON 120.29 bn, the equivalent of EUR 24.93 bn
mn to RON 7.87 mn as a result of the advance of revenues from shares trading on the main market, both “regular” transactions and secondary public offers, but also due to the increase of the category
the level of RON 3.53 bn while the transactions with “regular” shares
RON 3,09 bn
securities) – 1Q 2020, -59%, from RON 61 mn to RON 25 mn
2019, to RON 137 mn
* The financial indicators for 1Q 2020 are prepared in accordance with IFRS and are not audited. Trading fees, 73% Issuers fees, 7% Data vending, 5% Other, 16%Breakdown of the Group trading segment revenues in 1Q 2020 (%)
7.88 5.30 3.68 1.29 3.65 2.273M 2020 3M 2019
Operating revenues and profit, Group trading segment (RON mn)
Net result
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Analysis of the Group trading segment revenues (2/2)
2.77 2.66 2.45 2.08 3.53 1Q 2019 2Q 2019 3Q 2019 4Q 2019 1Q 2020
Trading value for shares, rights and units (RON bn)
0.037 0.038 0.058 0.053 0.137 1Q 2019 2Q 2019 3Q 2019 4Q 2019 1Q 2020
Trading value for certificates (RON bn)
0.06 0.04 0.01 1.90 0.03 1Q 2019 2Q 2019 3Q 2019 4Q 2019 1Q 2020
Trading value, fixed-income instruments (RON bn)
44.15 42.91 36.22 31.55 55.18 1Q 2019 2Q 2019 3Q 2019 4Q 2019 1Q 2020
Average trading value, shares - regulated market, incl. offers (RON mn/day)
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Analysis of the Group post-trading and registry segment revenues
Post-trading segment revenues
segment (DC) - Q1 2020, + 15% (from RON 2.38 mn to RON 2.73 mn) as a result of the increase of revenues from maintaining the quality of custodian in the DC system but also
increase in settlement revenues, influenced by the increase in values traded
Registry segment revenues
(DC) - Q1 2020, increased by 30% (from RON 1.05 mn to RON 1.37 mn) mainly due to the registration of “one-off” revenues
2.73 2.38 0.44 0.28 0.48 0.40 3M 2020 3M 2019
Operating revenues and profit, Group post-trading segment (RON mn)
Net profit 1.37 1.05
0.22 0.12 0.24 0.173M 2020 3M 2019
Operating revenues and profit, Group registry segment (RON mn)
Net profit
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Overview of the consolidated financial position
8.02 mn
result of the advance of salary expenses, as a result of the salary adjustments that took place starting with 2Q 2019, but also as a base effect considering that in 1Q 2019 at the level of DC no expenses were registered with Board allowances. At the same time, the estimated expenses with the benefits to be granted in shares to BVB management and employees decreased compared to 1Q 2019
1.16 mn, mainly due to the increase with the estimated consultancy expenses related to the CCP Project
RON 2.50 mn, influenced by the net decrease of the expenses with the rents and utilities (rents expenses + right
the Group, while the expenses with the IT maintenance services increased on the background of the increasing requirements of the regulations in force
3.90 4.36 0.8 1.16 2.54 2.53M 2019 3M 2020
Breakdown of operating expenses, 1Q 2020 vs. 1Q 2019 (RON mn)
Personnel costs & Directors' fees Third party services Other operating expenses Business consultancy 33% Audit services 5% Commissions & fees 13% Promotion activities 8% Other third party services 40%
Third party services, 1Q 2020 (%)
Rent and office utilities, 6% Amortisation & depreciation, 48% FSA fees and
12% Marketing (incl. travel&protocol), 6% Other expenses, 29%
Other operating expenses, 1Q 2020 (%)
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Key events during 1Q 2020
Consolidated financial position (RON mn)
Mar 2020 Dec 2019 Non-current assets 62.1 66.1 Current assets 158.3 151.5 Total assets 220.4 217.6 Shareholders’ equity attributable to owners of the Company 111.0 107.8 Minority interest 42.2 42.1 Total liabilities 67.2 67.7 Total equity and liabilities 220.4 217.6
Note: Dividend yields are calculated using the price on the corresponding ex-dates, except for 2019, where the closing price as of 29 April 2019 (GSM date) was used.from December 31, 2019, up to RON 220.39 mn, influenced by the increase of current assets at a higher level than the decrease of non-current assets
158.34 mn, mainly as a result of the increase of short-term financial assets but also of the value of trade receivables due to the increase of the invoiced value at the end of March
RON 62.05 mn, mainly due to the reclassification as current assets of some government securities whose maturity decreased below 1 year
RON 67.15 mn, -1% compared to the value as of December 31, 2019 of RON 67.70 mn, mainly due to the reduction of debts with dividends to be paid by the Central Depository in the amount of RON 1.93 mn
influenced by the registration of the current result of 1Q but also due to the acquisition of treasury shares by BVB.
0.87 0.92 1.68 1.13 0.81 3.2% 2.7% 5.9% 5.1% 3.4% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Attractive dividend yield
Dividend/share [RON] Dividend yield [%]
Key financial highlights (FY2019) - consolidated
* The preliminary financial results for FY/4Q 2019 are prepared in accordance with IFRS and are not audited.
Financial performance, BVB Group (RON mn, unless otherwise stated)
2019 (prelim) 2018 Change (%) 4Q2019 (prelim) 4Q2018 Change (%) Operating revenue 34.96 39.82
8.51 10.85
Operating expenses 31.27 30.94 1% 8.84 9.46
Operating profit 3.7 8.88
1.39
Operating margin 11% 22%
13% Net financial revenue/(expenses) 4.42 3.63 22% 0.49 0.87
Profit before tax 8.17 12.49
0.17 2.23
Profit from continuing operations 6.83 10.44
0.14 1.86
Profit from discontinued operation
6.83 10.19
0.14 2.04
Net margin 20% 26% 2% 19% EPS attributable to owners (RON/share) 0.807 1.2111
0.0225 0.2329
Return on equity 5% 8% 0% 2%
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IR Contact:
Remus Danila PR & IR Officer Email: remus.danila@bvb.ro Phone: +40 745 013 552
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